Regulatory capture, interest group theory, and institutional mediation: The regulatory politics of financial reporting rules, 1973-1987 Stephen J. Mezias Department of Management The Stern School, New York University 40 West 4th Street, Room 7-04 New York, NY 10012 212-998-0229 (ph) 212-995-4234 (fax) smezias@stern.nyu.edu and Seungwha Chung Department of Management Yonsei University Korea Regulatory capture, interest group theory, and institutional mediation: The regulatory politics of financial reporting rules, 1973-1987 Abstract Recent work applying an institutional perspective to understand legal environments has revealed the important role of institutional mediation in determining outcomes such as the decision to regulate an industry and other forms of legislation. This institutional politics perspective suggests that the influence of professions, firms, and state actors will differ depending on the types of process that are executed. We extend this work by applying the institutional politics model to understand outcomes in the ongoing regulation of financial reporting. Distinguishing between substantive and non-substantive rules, we show that the influence of organized actors over regulatory outcomes differs for these two kinds of rules. We discuss implications for theory and research of this finding. 2 The neo-institutional perspective (DiMaggio and Powell, 1991) has been an area of active research in recent years, providing extensive evidence that institutional environments affect organizations (Meyer and Rowan, 1977). Initially, institutional change was treated largely as a backdrop (Oliver, 1991), with persuasive qualitative accounts of institutional change motivating the hypotheses tested. These studies linked changes in the legal and normative environments with the diffusion of civil service reforms (Tolbert and Zucker, 1983), the diffusion of modern personnel administration (Baron, Dobbin, and Jennings, 1986), the expansion of due process at organizations (Dobbin, Edelman, Meyer, Scott, and Swidler, 1988), the adoption of grievance procedures and the creation of affirmative action offices (Edelman, 1990, 1992), the spread of financial reporting practices (Mezias, 1990), the diffusion of equal employment opportunity and employment-at-will clauses (Sutton and Dobbin, 1996), and the creation of personnel, antidiscrimination, safety, and benefits departments (Dobbin and Sutton, 1998). Understanding of institutional change was enhanced by many of the findings in this work: Dobbin (1992) showed how normative environments shape the goals and actions of interest groups. Edelman (1990; 1992) provided evidence that shifts in the legal environment motivate organizational response even when no specific actions are mandated. This work has also shown a multitude of ways in which legal and institutional environments focus the attention of organizational constituencies on specific issues (Abzug and Mezias, 1993; Kelly and Dobbin, 1999; Fuller, Edelman, and Matusik, 2000; Edelman, Fuller, and Mara-Drita, 2001). Researchers applying the neo-institutional perspective have now focused explicitly on the dynamic nature of legal environments, particularly regulatory initiatives. The emerging consensus from this work is that regulation is a (Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001: 103) “… a mechanism for channeling private economic organization and for instituting regulated private 3 government as a ‘third way’ between markets or statist regimes.” The model of regulated private government that emerges from this work emphasizes processes consistent with three prominent social science theories (Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001). The first is corporate control or regulatory capture theory, which views regulation as a product of market forces and the interests of firms in controlling competition or consolidating economic power (Laffont and Tirole, 1991). The second is interest group theory, which broadens the view of actors involved in the regulatory process (Stryker, 2002). From this perspective, regulation emerges when political and social conditions facilitate challenges to corporate control over the private order of the market (Jenkins and Brents, 1989). As Dobbin (1992: 1420) argued, regulation is constructed by the interaction of interest groups, whose goals change over time, requiring a focus on “…the contextual factors that influence those goals.” Understanding these contextual factors is central to the third prominent theory -- neoinstitutional theory. This perspective suggests that prevailing models of rationality and fairness are central to an understanding of regulation, implying particular avenues of theoretical attention. Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) articulated this combination of regulatory capture, interest group politics, and the neo-institutional perspective the regulatory politics model, linking it with the institutional politics model (Amenta, 1998). As Amenta and Halfmann, 2000: 507) observed, the fundamental insight of this model is that political institutions “…shape the possibilities of social policy and mediate the influence of political actors on social policy.” This conjunction of firms acting to capture regulation, the state acting to respond to interest group pressure, and neo-institutional processes results in a complex regulatory process that can differ dramatically across times and contexts. For example, Sutton and Dobbin (1996) found that legalization processes enhance both rights-enhancing and rights-negating rules. 4 Abzug and Mezias (1993) compared slow and fast diffusion processes for human resource management reforms. Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) provided a comparison of states that did and did not pass fire insurance regulation as well as a distinction between stronger and weaker forms of regulation. Ingram and Rao (2004) compared the processes that led to the enactment and repeal of anti-chain store legislation. All of these authors focus on institutional mediation as a key factor in understanding these different kinds of outcomes. The recent findings of Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) highlight a key insight of the neo-institutional perspective: Corporate interests are enhanced when institutional attention is not activated. Weaker forms of regulation result when processes linked with capture theory dominate because institutional processes do not facilitate the mobilization interest groups. Stronger forms of regulation result when processes linked with interest group theory dominate; this occurs when institutional processes aid interest groups in mobilizing the state against powerful corporate interests. The evidence supporting this complex, endogenous regulatory process, while impressive, still requires replication and extension; as Edelman, Uggen, and Erlanger (1999: 407) suggested, this endogenous model of institutional politics “… should be applicable to other legal areas.” Along the same lines, further study of how these processes operate after regulation has occurred is also necessary. As Schneiberg and Bartley (2001: 131 - 132) suggested: “To be clear, further analysis is needed of the competing theories under consideration since passing regulation does not signal the end of regulatory politics.” This study is intended to pursue the replication and extension of the work to date on the institutional model of the politics of regulation. First, by reviewing the history of financial reporting in the United States (US), we extend the contexts where the institutional politics model has been studied. In doing this, we hope to clarify how outcomes of one set of political conflicts over broader macro political-economic institutions 5 shape relations among actors and provide resources for subsequent political conflicts over the content of regulation (Stryker, 2002). Financial reporting in the US emerged from a private order achieved through the cooperation of accounting professionals and the firms for which they provided audits (Mezias, 1990; Mezias and Scarselletta, 1992). Second, we do not study the decision to pass national regulation of financial reporting standards, which occurred in the wake of the Great Depression (Mahoney, 2001). Rather, we study the evolution of financial reporting rules under the auspices of the regulatory agency that has been delegated responsibility for the content of financial reporting rules by the government. In doing this, it is our intention to compare ongoing institutional politics of regulatory oversight with the processes that have been found to drive the decision to pass regulation and other forms of legislation (Amenta, 1998; Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001; Bartley and Schneiberg, 2002; Ingram and Rao, 2004). We begin by reviewing the history of financial reporting in the US to understand the origin of private sector accounting standards. We argue that financial reporting became an important activity, controlled by the private market cooperation of firms and the accounting profession, long before state governments and finally the federal government became involved. Then we focus on more recent times to study the institutional politics of the ongoing process of setting financial reporting rules. We argue that for one class of rules, which we call substantive rules, the regulatory process tends to promote public interest over private interests, leading to the passage of substantive change even over the objections of private powerful interests. For the remaining rules, which we call non-substantive rules, we argue that organized private interests will have more influence over the content of the rules. Using a sample of financial reporting alternatives considered by the agency charged with setting rules, we demonstrate the empirical validity of these claims, which are consistent with past findings. After discussing potential 6 limitations, we suggest some implications of our findings for future research on legal environments, regulation, and public policy. THE INSTITUTIONAL POLITICS OF FINANCIAL REPORTING REGULATION Financial reporting refers to a myriad of activities related to preparing documents that present information about the condition of an enterprise to those outside its immediate management; it is an activity that has a long history (Carruthers and Espeland, 1991). Financial reporting became increasingly important in the US as British direct investment in the economy of its former colony skyrocketed during the 19th century. These investors insisted that financial statements preparation was in accordance with standards developed by the British accounting profession. Thus, like the common law system it had inherited earlier, the US inherited a system of professional accountancy from the United Kingdom. As with many British imports, however, the Americans soon made the profession their own. State accounting societies arose quickly, and a rapid professionalization project ensued. The rise of the common stock corporation and financial markets for the sales of securities issued by firms fed a rapid growth in demand for the services of accounting professionals. Private sector governance of rules for financial reporting, without explicit oversight by any state authorities, was well established by the end of the 19th century (Boland, 1982; Montagna, 1986). As Stryker (2002: 175) pointed out, “… economic organizational forms created in one set of political conflicts over broader macro political-economic institutions become actors in, and provide resources for, subsequent political conflicts over political economic governance.” Thus, we expect that years of private governance of financial reporting standards by business interests and the accounting profession would leave them well organized to influence outcomes of political contests resulting from pressures for state intervention and regulation of financial 7 reporting standards. Indeed, as waves of reform, first populism and then progressivism swept the US, it was likely inevitable that reformers’ attention would at some point turn to regulation of the growing securities markets. Roe (1994) argued that the self-interest of some business groups and political ideology intersected to produce financial regulation in the early 20th century; the passage of financial reporting regulation by the states can be seen as part of this wave of regulation of the financial markets. According to Mahoney (2003), 47 of the 48 states adopted Blue Sky laws, that is, some form of regulation of the sale of securities, between 1911 and 1931. Interestingly, his study of the passage of these laws yielded conclusions quite similar to those of Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) with respect to passage of fire insurance regulation. In fact, both forms of regulation can be seen as part of the same wave of progressive reform (Hofstadter, 1955). A first similarity then is institutional: Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) concentrated on the creation of administrative capacity to examine the fire insurance industry and the creation of a climate of crisis surrounding the industry. Mahoney (2003) is more explicit about linking the passage of Blue Sky laws with overall climate of reform. He found that an index of progressivism, which measured the tendency of particular states to create regulations during this period, was significantly associated with the passage of Blue Sky Laws. A second similarity between the two sets of regulation is the importance of interest group involvement (Ingram and Rao, 2004). Both studies focus on the relative strength of the agricultural sector, which they interpret as measuring the ability of interest groups to overcome the business lobby. Both studies found that more stringent regulations were passed where agricultural interests were strongest. The converse implication is that less stringent regulations were passed where the business lobby was more powerful. Indeed, Mahoney (2003) also found that states where smaller banks represented a greater percentage of deposits were more likely to pass more 8 stringent forms of regulation. Again, the converse implication suggests that the financial sector was able to affect Blue Sky laws: States where larger banks predominated were less likely to pass stringent regulation. Indeed, looking at the timing of securities regulations by the states also suggests that where finance was a more powerful industry, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Delaware for example, were among the very last states to pass any form of securities regulation. Another important outcome of this influence was that regulation came to focus on the disclosure of information about firms issuing securities rather than on fraud prevention (Mahoney, 2003). Federal level financial reporting regulation was resisted successfully by the alliance of business and professional interests throughout the progressive era. The combination of the 1929 stock market collapse, the Great Depression, and the exposure of financial reporting accounting scandals that came to be seen as triggering these events, however, proved to be sufficient to overcome resistance to regulation. In 1934, Congress passed the legislation creating the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Companies selling equity securities in the US had to file financial statements with the SEC (Skousen, 1991). Edelman (1992: 1536) specified three conditions that would make an institutional perspective on legal mandates and regulation more applicable. The first is that the law is ambiguous with respect to the meaning of compliance. For example, Dobbin (1992: 1446) found that the state institutionalized retirement without adequately providing retirement wages. Similarly, we find that the state institutionalized financial reporting regulation without specifying the content of rules or enforcement. This left wide latitude for interpreting what the law regulating financial reporting would mean in practice. What results is consistent with Edelman’s (1992: 1535) observation that firms use “…the mechanics of the legal process to construct law in a manner that is minimally disruptive to the 9 status quo.” Merrill and Palyi (1938: 573) characterized the requirements imposed by federal regulation of financial reporting as follows: “Much of this information, it should be noted, was already insisted upon by the exchanges in the conduct of their own activities, so that from this point of view the control exerted by the federal government was merely an extension of that already in operation.” The second condition for a regulatory context to be subject to institutional mediation is that the law constrains organizational procedures more than the outcome of those procedures (Edelman, 1992). Like the majority of the state laws that preceded them, laws creating federal oversight and the SEC focused not on proactive prevention of fraud, a bad outcome, but rather on ensuring that firms disclose information, a procedural focus. Mahoney (2001: 2) commented on the evidence that financial reporting regulation changed outcomes by benefiting investors or improving the functioning of financial markets: “The economic commentary looks for (and largely fails to find) evidence that the act improved investors’ returns or the informativeness of prices.” Thus, it would seem that financial reporting regulation focused on requiring specific disclosure procedures while doing little to change outcomes in financial markets. The lack of a direct effect on outcomes is related to the third criterion discussed by Edelman (1992): weak enforcement mechanisms. The legislation creating the SEC gave that agency the right to control rules governing financial statements, breaking with the long tradition of the private sector regulation of the content of financial statements. However, the state institutionalized government control over financial reporting rules without specifying how this would be implemented. This left wide latitude for interpreting the provision that the SEC should control the rules dictating the content of financial statements. The two major national groups representing the public accounting profession merged, and the new national organization lobbied 10 to affect implementation of this provision. The result was that the SEC delegated determining the rules governing financial reporting to a private sector body dominated by accounting profession and representatives of large firms (Mezias, 1990). Hypotheses Having concluded that financial reporting regulation is likely to be a good setting to apply the institutional politics model to ongoing regulation, we now turn our attention to developing predictions from this theoretical perspective. We begin by focusing on the actors who will have influence in the process. We start with the observation by Edelman et al. (1999: 449) that regulation and legal rules “…acquire meaning through dialog across organizational, professional, and legal fields.” This implies that three sets of organized actors will be important to the institutional politics of ongoing regulation: professionals, representatives of large, forprofit enterprises, and representatives of the state. In discussing how these actors might influence financial reporting, we will use labels for them that correspond to how they are discussed in the context of financial reporting regulation (Skousen, 1991). Specifically, the certified public accounting professionals are referred to collectively as the profession. The representatives of top managers at for-profit organizations are referred to collectively as firms. Lastly, state actors are referred to as regulators. As we elaborate, there is much in the current institutional literature of regulation to support the contention that these three actors will be influential in determining the content of regulation. Table 1 summarizes the theoretical arguments we make about the important actors, the mechanisms of their influence, and their aims in exercising that influence. The first set of actors, labeled professionals, includes members of the certified public accounting profession, particularly those acting in their roles as licensed practitioners of federally mandated audits. 11 According to DiMaggio and Powell (1983) the distinctive source of influence of this organized actor derives from their control over normative isomorphic pressures. Subsequent work has borne out their claim: Sutton and Dobbin (1996: 795) summarized their arguments that professionals responded to legal mandates and government policy by claiming that research has confirmed the centrality of the professions to understanding legal environments. Schneiberg and Bartley (2001: 108) articulated the dynamic nature of normative isomorphism in terms of institutionalization projects whereby professionals “…assert their jurisdiction and institute models of development, order, or control in an industry.” In terms of financial reporting regulation, the important professional group is the certified public accounting profession, which control organizations such as the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants. This organization determines auditing standards and governs the body of professional knowledge that drives judgments in the field. At the level of individual organizations, the profession controls the certification of financial statements. By SEC mandate, which has the force of law, all financial statements filed with them must be certified by a professional accountant. A small oligopoly of partnership firms largely control, organize, and deploy this supply of labor as well as the rules they follow in performing their work. In terms of motivation, we presume that the profession acts to maintain its control over the knowledge domain of financial reporting (Boland, 1982). Hypothesis 1 (H1): Financial reporting rules preferred by professionals are more likely to be adopted. The second organized actor consists of the firms: for-profit enterprises lobbying to influence the content of regulatory rules. Their distinctive source of influence derives from their control over the content of financial statements. Through mimetic isomorphic processes, they control important precedents embodied in the notion of prevailing practice (Edelman, 1990; 12 1992). In terms of describing their motivation and actions, we follow Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) in using capture theory to describe them; thus, we assume that firms attempt to dominate regulatory processes to obtain rules that they prefer (Edelman, et al., 1999: 407). In terms of financial reporting, the prevailing practices of firms in preparing financial statements are an important precedent, considered by professionals and regulators, as well as other firms, in evaluating the appropriateness of specific financial reporting practices. In terms of participation in the regulatory process, representatives of firms are active in all aspects of the process, including task forces, responding to invitations to comment, responding to proposed regulatory changes, and participating in public hearings (Mezias, 1990; Tandy and Wilburn, 1992). Hypothesis 2 (H2): Financial reporting rules preferred by firms are more likely to be adopted. The final organized actor includes those persons acting as members of the government and its agencies. The distinctive source of influence of this organized actor derives from their control over the legal environment (Edelman, 1990; 1992) governing the interactions among the three actors. As noted by Mezias (1990), a wide variety of state actors can affect the content of financial reporting regulation. For example, in addition to the SEC, which dictates rules for all firms filing financial statements, a multitude of other agencies can also dictate rules for specific types of firms. The Interstate Commerce Commission, the Federal Power Commission, and the Federal Communications Commission are three; there are many others. In addition, agencies like the Department of Defense often include provisions in their contracts that affect financial reporting by suppliers of goods and services. We believe that the process by which these various regulatory actors have influence is well described by the concept of coercive isomorphism (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983). Consistent with the concept of the legal environment (Edelman, 1990), we view the isomorphic pressures of law broadly, including both direct legal mandates 13 and such actions as litigation, legislation, and administrative initiatives, and exercise of the bully pulpit. In terms of motivation, we follow Dobbin (1992: 1445), who argued that “… an institutional explanation links public policy to interest group goals.” Schneiberg and Bartley (2001: 102 - 3) summarized interest group theory as follows: “Here, regulation emerges when consumers and other actors are sufficiently powerful to challenge an industry and use the state to check concentrated corporate power.” Based on these arguments, we claim that regulatory action can be explained in terms of interest group theory, with a focus on protecting the interests of the public, broadly defined. In terms of financial reporting rules, this would assume that government acts in ways that protect the interests of investors and others who use financial statement information (Skousen, 1991; Miller, Redding, and Bahnson, 1994). Hypothesis 3 (H3): Financial reporting rules preferred by regulators are more likely to be adopted. Institutional Mediation of Financial Reporting Rules Institutional theorists studying regulation have focused on the mediating role of the state. We apply this literature by discussing how the institutions create different regulatory tracks and how these mediate the influence of the three organized actors on regulatory outcomes. The different regulatory tracks that occur for financial reporting regulation mirror a distinction that has frequently been important in studies of the enactment of regulation: between stronger and weaker forms of regulation (e.g., Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001: 125). In fact, past work (Briloff, 1986; Tandy and Wilburn, 1992) allows us to categorize financial reporting rules into stronger and weaker forms of regulation. The essential distinction emerging from these categorizations of regulation is between substantive standards, which represent a fundamental change to existing regulations, and non-substantive standards, which clarify previous standards or are new rules that are so narrow in their application as to have little effect on current financial reporting practice. 14 Relevant to the institutional mediation hypothesis, participation in the process of setting financial reporting rules is greatly affected by the distinction between substantive and non-substantive rules. Tandy and Wilburn (1992: 58) found that “… substantive standards elicited considerably more participation than industry standards and amendments.” Our hypotheses about institutional mediation derive from theoretical arguments about how increased participation will affect the influence of organized actors for substantive and non-substantive rules. Our first claim, consistent with H1, is that the influence of professionals will be significant for both kinds of rules. As Sutton and Dobbin (1996: 795) argued, “… research has confirmed the intermediary role of the professions …” as legal environments are “… constructed through the interaction of shifting government policies and professional influence.” We follow them in expecting professionals to respond opportunistically to changes in the legal environment; thus, we expect they will remain influential even as there are shifts in government policy that result in weaker and stronger forms of financial reporting regulation. Regardless of whether regulatory changes are substantive or non-substantive, we expect there will be a requirement that (Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001: 108) the “… underlying models are endorsed by professionals.” This will be especially true in contexts characterized by a strong and successful profession, which is the case with financial reporting regulation (Boland, 1982; Montagna, 1986). Thus, we do not expect the influence of professionals to be affected by the different processes that result for substantive and non-substantive standards. By contrast, we do expect the influence of firms and regulators to be different for substantive and non-substantive standards. For non-substantive standards, both new rules of narrow application and amendments to previous rules, we believe the processes will be similar to cases of weak regulation. As Schneiberg and Bartley (2001: 133) suggested, most institutional 15 activities to organize legal environments “…fly under the radar, evoking little or no controversy or counter organization.” Thus, we expect a process resembling regulatory capture; the lack of attention means that interest groups will not be activated to oppose corporate power. In the case of standards that are classified as non-substantive because they are very narrow in application, the only interested parties will be the few affected firms and the accounting firms that do their audits. They will work together to produce regulation that conforms to their interests. Amendments to prior regulations represent examples of how firms can manipulate even laws designed to constrain them. As Edelman et al. (1999: 407) argued, “… regulating organizations is especially open to social construction because the corporate lobby is usually successful in softening regulation that infringes on corporate interests.” In some instances, amendments may reflect even more overt manipulation, as illustrated by the reversal of the requirement that firms expense the investment tax credit (Mezias, 1990). We expect that non-substantive regulations, like weak regulation, will illustrate that (Edelman, 1992: 1533) “… organizations have a strong capacity to resist legal control and that both the structure of regulation and the culture of the business world may buttress that resistance.” Thus, we expect firms to be particularly influential for non-substantive rules. For substantive rules, we have drawn the analogy with stronger forms of regulation that have been studied in past literature. In these instances, interest group theory comes to the fore as illustrated by Schneiberg and Bartley’s (2001: 102 - 3) claim that strong regulation “… emerges when consumers and other actors are sufficiently powerful to challenge an industry and use the state to check concentrated corporate power.” We also expect institutional theory to be more important in these instances as regulations (Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001: 108) “… arise from institutionalization projects – concerted efforts by professionals or reformers to assert their 16 jurisdiction and institute models of development, order, or control in an industry.” The greater attention that is devoted to these issues, reflected in increased participation (Tandy and Wilburn, 1992), strengthens the ability of interest groups to overcome pervasive corporate influence to produce more substantive changes in regulatory rules. Taken together our arguments about the influence of actors in the substantive and non-substantive financial reporting regulations suggest two hypotheses. Hypothesis 4 (H4): The influence of firms will be diminished for substantive changes (relative to all other changes) in financial reporting rules. Hypothesis 5 (H5): The influence of regulators will be enhanced for substantive changes (relative to all other changes) in financial reporting rules. SETTING, SAMPLE, AND MEASURES The legislation creating the SEC imposed two major requirements regarding financial reporting. First, all firms selling financial securities in the US had to file financial statements on a regular basis with the SEC. Second, these financial statements had to comply with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the content of which was to be determined by the SEC. According to the historical account on the website of the national association of the accounting profession (http://www.aicpa.org/edu/profissu/century), regulatory control over the content of GAAP was perceived as “… worrisome professional autonomy problem.” Robert H. Montgomery, head of one of the two national certified public accounting professional associations, acted as an institutional entrepreneur in spearheading a merger with the other. The rationale was explicit: To give the profession “… greater leverage in negotiating with political leaders to countervail the undesired extension of federal regulatory authority.” This led to the acceptance by the SEC of the authority of the profession “… as promulgator of standards.” 17 In response to this victory of the accounting profession, the SEC since its inception has delegated the determination of GAAP to an external agency. Our focus will be on the current agency, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). Describing how the SEC delegated authority to set accounting standards to the FASB, Skousen (1991: 118) wrote: The “... SEC stated explicitly in ASR No. 150 that it considers those accounting principles, standards, and practices promulgated by the FASB as having considerable authoritative support. ... The SEC thus recognizes the FASB as the primary standard-setting body.” According to March and Olsen (1989: 97), this use of organizations “... at the margin of the state has grown. Administrative functions have been entrusted to semi-autonomous governmental or quasi-governmental agencies.” Although the specific arrangement between the SEC and FASB may be unique, the practice of delegating policy authority to an autonomous, quasi-governmental agency is not. Carmichael and Willingham (1989: 11-12) described GAAP as a hierarchy with the Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) issued by the FASB at the top. Consistent with neoinstitutional arguments, the process to issue these rules is characterized by legalistic procedures and a lengthy due process (Boland, 1982; Miller, Redding, and Bahnson, 1994; Tandy and Wilburn, 1992). The formal records produced during the comment period, which commences when the FASB releases an Exposure Draft describing a proposed regulation, are particularly comprehensive. Interested parties have a period of weeks or months to write letters of comment that the FASB will consider before releasing the final standard (Mezias and Chung, 1989; 1991). For this reason we decided to get the data for our study from the comment periods. In deciding which SFAS to include in our study, we began with the classification of standards into substantive and non-substantive. Tandy and Wilburn’s (1992) classification extends from the inception of the FASB in 1973 through December 1988. Upon review of the 18 institutional environment of financial reporting regulation, however, we decided to end our sample a year earlier in 1987. The main reason was to avoid the effects of mergers among the eight major firms that had dominated the certified public accounting profession since the inception of the FASB (Wootton, Wolk, and Normand, 2003). To determine which comment periods would provide the data for this study, we randomly chose 30 SFAS issued by the FASB between 1973 and 1987. We based the distinction between substantive and non-substantive on the work of Tandy and Wilburn (1992). Using this categorization, the thirty SFAS we selected included five substantive standards and twenty-five non-substantive standards. To test the hypotheses we needed a way to distinguish the issues that were decided in each of these SFASs. The comment period always commences with the release of an Exposure Draft; we examined these documents to determine the issues considered by the FASB in each Exposure Draft. These documents characterize the decision-making in terms of various financial reporting practices and present a rationale for why each of these financial reporting alternatives should or should not be allowed under the new SFAS. The standards included in this study discussed a total of 151 financial reporting alternatives, which is the unit of analysis for this study. Dependent, Independent, and Control Measures Table 2 provides an example by outlining the alternatives considered in SFAS # 40; we discuss several aspects of this information to illustrate how we created our measures. First, it should be noted that this was a non-substantive standard in the category of those that are narrow in application; this SFAS would only apply to firms that report holdings of timberlands on their financial statements. Second, we familiarized ourselves with the context of each statement by reading the Exposure Drafts and examining other secondary records for each SFAS, e.g., minutes of any hearings or task force meetings. The four alternatives considered in this Exposure Draft 19 were the following: (a) Allow firms to report the value of timberlands using either historical cost, actual expenditures, or current cost, what those expenditures would cost in current dollars. (b) Require firms to report the value of timberlands using current cost value. (c) Require firms to report the values of timberland using fair values. (d) Exempt firms holding timberlands from any future requirement to report the value of timberlands using current cost accounting. Third, for this SFAS, the first alternative was adopted, and all other alternatives rejected. However, in some instances, the decision in the final SFAS was to allow multiple alternatives to be acceptable under GAAP, which means that more than one alternative was accepted in the final draft. Of the 151 alternatives in our sample, 61 were accepted as part of the final SFAS; 90 were rejected. Our dependent variable is a dummy variable called Choice: coded 1 if a particular alternative was accepted in the SFAS and 0 if it was rejected. To test our hypotheses we examine the association between this dependent variable and the preferences of the organized actors for particular alternatives. This required developing a methodology for measuring each organized actor’s preference for particular alternatives. The ability to measure the actor’s preferences using their letters is a primary justification for studying the comment period. Thus, we began at the FASB library where all letters written during the comment period for every SFAS are maintained. The classification of comment letters by the FASB maps directly onto our three organized actors. For our measure of the preferences of the profession, we used their category called the public accounting profession; for firms, we used their category called preparers, and for regulators, we used their category of government. For the average SFAS, almost one hundred and eleven letters were written, but this distribution is rightskewed; a few standards with many more letters drive up the average. For the case of standards with many more letters than average, we believed that we could measure the preferences of 20 organized actors by looking at just a subset of letters. In doing this, we followed these procedures: For Exposure Drafts with less than 100 letters of comment, all letters were read. For Exposure Drafts with between 100 and 200 letters of comment, every other letter was read, and we alternated starting with the first and second letter. For Exposure Drafts with between 200 and 300 letters of comment, every third letter was read; again, we alternated our starting point. Next we developed a coding scheme to record positions taken in individual letters. Two researchers began this task by reading fifteen letters randomly selected from the comment periods of SFAS not among the thirty included in this study. Based on reading these letters, we developed three straightforward coding rules. First, if a letter stated explicit support for or opposition to a specific alternative, then it was recorded as favoring or opposing that alternative. For example, a letter written in response to SFAS #40, which was presented in Table 2, might state that the author opposed requiring current value accounting for timberlands. Such a letter would count as opposing the third alternative in the table. Second, if a letter contained a clear statement supporting the tentative conclusions of the Exposure Draft, it was coded as favoring alternatives advocated in the Exposure Draft. Third, if a letter contained a clear statement opposing the tentative conclusions of the Exposure Draft, it was coded as opposing alternatives advocated by the FASB in the Exposure Draft. This coding scheme recognizes that one letter may mention several alternatives; thus, a single letter may count as being in favor or against multiple alternatives. Conversely, not all letters in response to an Exposure Draft mentioned all alternatives. There were no letters for which a position coded based on one of these rules contradicted a position coded by applying one of the others. To verify that these narrow, textbased rules would result in measures with a high reliability, we chose an additional SFAS not among those included in the study at random. Two researchers read all of the comment letters 21 received in response to the Exposure Draft of the chosen SFAS, which was # 22. For over 95% of these letters, the assessment of the text was identical for the two coders. Following the confirmation of this extremely high level of reliability and given the large number of letters, we used single rater coding for the letters written regarding the 151 alternatives in our sample. Because only statements that conformed directly to these three rules were counted in creating the variables, there was a small number of letters, fewer than ten among more than one thousand read for this study, for which we were unable to code any content. We decided to reread these letters to see if changes to our coding scheme might account for their content. Ultimately, we decided to make no changes to our rules, and these letters are omitted from the study as too ambiguous to code. A second important decision concerned how to combine the opinions coded from multiple letters to create a measure of the overall opinion of the organized actors regarding alternatives discussed in the Exposure Drafts. We assumed that members of the organized actors were structurally equivalent, which is consistent with both an institutional perspective and how these letters are handled during the due process of the FASB. By the end of the comment period, the letters written by all professionals, firms, and regulators have been collected into binders, sorted by category, are available for review. We considered other ways of aggregating letters. For example, FASB personnel have espoused the view that the comment period is not an election and argued that `high quality’ letters have much more impact (Beresford and Van Riper, 1992). However, we believed that deviation from the assumption of structural equivalence should be based on a clear theory and the availability of accurate measures. We lacked a compelling theory of what constitutes a high quality letter to help us calculate a metric other than equal weighting. Similarly, processes such as reputation or network centrality might imply deviations from equal 22 weighting of letters, but again we were unsure as to how we might proceed in determining how to measure the effect of these processes.1 Ultimately, we concluded that for this first attempt to study an institutional politics model of an ongoing process, we should treat entries into the public record of the comment period from organized actors as equal; thus, all letters are counted as they are presented in official records of the FASB: one for one. We created a measure of support for each alternative for each organized actor, professionals, firms, and regulators, by aggregated the coding of letters from all members of each organized actor. Our measure calculates the number of net favorable, positive values, or net unfavorable, negative values, as a percent of total letters using the following formula: PERCENT = (LETTERS FOR – LETTERS AGAINST) (LETTERS FOR + LETTERS AGAINST) It could range from minus one, unanimous opposition, to positive one, unanimous support. This gives us summary measures of the overall opinion of each organized actor with respect to each alternative in the sample. Moreover, because this measure is a percentage, it is comparable across alternatives and across organized actors. These values were calculated for all three organized actors with respect to the 151 alternatives in our sample and are labeled Professionals, Firms, and Regulators in our analyses. H1 through H3 are supported if these variables have a positive, significant effect on the likelihood that an alternative was adopted by the FASB. H4 and H5 refer to the influence of Firms and Regulators over alternatives that were part of substantive standards. To test them, we began by creating a variable called Substantive, which was coded one if Tandy and Wilburn (1992) categorized the SFAS for which the Exposure Draft was issued as substantive, and zero otherwise. To test H4, we examine the interaction between this variable and the variables Firms and Regulators; these interaction terms estimate the 1 As we mention in our discussion of the results, we did rerun all of the analyses including only letters from Big 8 firms in creating the measure for the accounting profession; this made no difference to the results. 23 mediated effect of the latter two variables for instances of substantive regulations. H4 is supported if the interaction term for Firms and Substantive, labeled SFirms, is negative and significant. H5 is supported if the interaction term for Regulators and Substantive, labeled SRegulators, is positive and significant. We also included the interaction term for Professionals and Substantive, labeled SProfessionals, to see if it had a significant effect despite our argument that it would not. We included four variables to control for differences across alternative that we thought might account for variation independent of the processes of theoretical interest to us. First, both as a control for process differences and to allow for more precise estimation of the two interaction effects that we incorporate for hypothesis tests, we include the variable Substantive. This will control for any systematic differences in the probability that an alternative would be adopted depending on whether it was included in the Exposure Draft for a substantive as opposed to non-substantive standard. Second, we included two variables to account for differences in the amount of attention that regulatory decisions attract. While we believed including the dummy variable for substantive standards would control for some of the attention effects, we also wanted to control for attention specific to the comment period we studied. As a specific control for attention during the comment period, we introduced a variable called Letters that is equal to the count of total letters submitted to the FASB in response to the Exposure Draft for each of the rules in our sample. We also wanted to control for attention that might be given to an issue prior to the comment period. After an issue is admitted to the agenda of the FASB, decisions are made regarding the necessity of engaging in any four possible due process steps, which generally occur prior to issuing an Exposure Draft. Consequently, they can be seen as part of the context 24 preceding the issuance of an Exposure Draft that structures the attention from organized actors reflected in the letters of comment. Possible due process steps include the following (Miller, Redding, and Bahnson, 1994): (1) Forming a task force: The FASB may choose to ask persons with various expertise on a particular issue to serve in a group that meets to consider the issue placed on its technical agenda. (2) Issuing a discussion memorandum: The FASB may choose to prepare a formal document outlining preliminary ideas and logic concerning the issue placed on its technical agenda. (3) Having an invitation to comment: The FASB may publicly announce its desire to hear from parties interested in the issue placed on its technical agenda as part of its early deliberations on the issue. (4) Holding a public hearing: The FASB may choose to schedule a public meeting for discussion of the issue placed on its technical agenda with interested parties. We used a count of the total number of due process steps executed for a particular standard as our measure of the structuring of attention; this variable is called DueProcess. Finally, consistent with much of the literature on legal environments, Sutton and Dobbin (1996: 799) noted that outcomes tended to be time dependent. Despite the fact that we purposely constructed a window of time to avoid major process changes, we did examine FASB decisions over a period of about fourteen years. To control for possible effects of the passage of time during our study period, we introduce a control variable called Months. This variable tracks the passage of time for alternatives in our sample with a count of the number of months between the release date of the Exposure Draft that corresponds to a particular alternative and the release date of the earliest Exposure Draft in our sample. ESTIMATION AND RESULTS To test the hypotheses, we ran maximum likelihood logistic regression models to predict whether specific alternatives discussed in the Exposure Draft would be adopted in the final rule 25 issued by the FASB. The dependent variable was a categorical representation of the decision by the FASB for each of the alternatives in the Exposure Drafts. This variable was coded zero if the alternative was rejected in the final SFAS issued by the FASB; it was coded one if the alternative was accepted. This categorical dependent variable is called Choice. The following equation represents the basic model, which can be estimated using maximum likelihood logistic regression: Choicei = 0 + 1Professionalsi + 2Firmsi + 3Regulatorsi + 4Firmsi + 5SProfessionals + 6SRegulatorsi + 7Substantivei + 8Lettersi + 9Monthsi + 10DueProcess + i where i designates the alternative. To test H1 through H3, we examine the significance and direction of the coefficients for the variables named after each of the three organized actors. These measure support (positive values) or opposition (negative values) for each alternative; positive, significant coefficients are consistent with the hypotheses. To test H4 and H5, we examine the coefficients of the interaction terms. If the coefficient of SFirms is negative and significant, then H4 is supported; if the coefficient of SRegulators is positive and significant, then H5 is supported. Descriptive statistics for all the variables are reported in Table 3; a correlation matrix for the variables is reported in Table 4. The values on all of the variables that measure the opinions of the various organized actors are negative; this implies that organized actors on balance tend to oppose alternatives more than they support alternatives. Apparently, being opposed to an alternative is a greater motivation to writing a letter than supporting one. The mean of the variable Substantive indicates that slightly more than one quarter of the alternatives, 38 of 151, in the sample are from substantive standards. Not surprisingly, the scope of discussion in these 26 standards is broader, and more alternatives tend to be considered. The average alternative in our sample was discussed in nearly one hundred and eleven letters. Across the fourteen-year period of our study, the average alternative was included in an Exposure Draft issued 70 months, or just under six years after the first. The alternatives included in our sample were not random across time, but were likely to occur earlier in the time frame of our study. As we will discuss in reviewing the results, this slowing down of standard setting by the FASB, already evident in 1987, has only become more evident in the ensuing years. The descriptive statistics also indicate that the average alternative in our sample was derived from a due process that included only slightly more than one of the four possible steps executed by the FASB. Correlations among the independent variables are presented in Table 4. There are significant and fairly large correlations among the independent variables for the several regression equations that we need to run to test our remaining hypotheses, suggesting the possibility of multicollinearity. To assess the potential effects on any of the coefficients, we examined the variance inflation factors for the individual variables. While there is no formal statistical rule for assessing the influence of multicollinearity on coefficients, the rule of thumb is to assume that values exceeding ten indicate problems (Allison, 1999); none of the measures for any of our variable were greater than eight, even in the full model; most were less than two. Therefore, we conclude that despite the presence of some significant and fairly large correlations, none of the estimates of the effects of the independent variables was affected unduly by multicollinearity. The correlation matrix also reveals some interesting relationships related to the institutional politics model. First, all of the correlations among the opinions of the organized actors are significantly greater than zero. Even for the substantive standards for which we 27 predicted that the influence of regulators will be enhanced and that of firms diminished, the correlation between these two variables is positive. We attribute this to the fact that most of the participants, even those acting as representatives of firms and as regulators, are certified public accountants (Mezias and Scarselletta, 1994). The correlations also suggest that the strongest of these positive relationships is that between the opinions expressed by firms and those expressed by professionals. The single highest correlation is between the opinions of professionals and firms for alternatives discussed in substantive standards; the second highest is between the same two actors for alternatives discussed in all standards. It is also true, however, that correlations between professionals and regulators tend to be high. The next highest correlation is between professionals and regulators for alternatives discussed as part of substantive standards followed by the correlation between the same two organized actors across all alternatives. As would be expected the correlation between being part of a substantive standard and both the number of letters written and the number of due process steps executed are positive and significant. Table 5 presents the results for estimation of the maximum likelihood logit models of Choice. We begin with a model that includes only the control variables to establish a baseline for comparison with models including variables of theoretical variables. All of the variables as well as the model itself are not significant. In fact, no control variable has a significant effect in any of the models, and this model does worse than chance, classifying just over fifty percent of the alternatives correctly as either accepted or rejected. Given that 90 of the 151 alternatives are rejected, i.e., the dependent variable equals zero, a naïve model that simply predicts zero would achieve nearly sixty percent correct classification. We proceed by adding the variables to test the influence of the organized actors predicted by the first three hypotheses. All are supported in one-sided tests against the null hypothesis of no effect; the variables Professionals (p < 0.001), 28 Firms (p < 0.05), and Regulators (p < 0.05) all have effects significantly greater than zero. Since the variables are all measured in the same units, percentage support or opposition among all letters sent by members of the respective organized actors, the effects are directly comparable. The coefficients indicate that the opinion of the professionals group has about twice the effect of either firms or regulators, which are approximately equal. The model overall is significant (p < 0.001) and achieves more than eighty-six percent correct classification. The estimates reveal that the effects of shifts in the opinions of the organized actors on the likelihood that an alternative would be adopted are quite dramatic. Figure 1 depicts these effects, with the lines showing the effect of professionals, firms, and regulators shifting from uniform opposition to an alternative (-1) to uniform support for an alternative (1).2 For professionals, the organized actor with the largest effect, total opposition implies that the likelihood that an alternative will be adopted by the FASB is barely a fifteen percent. Conversely, total support for an alternative increases the likelihood of adoption to more than seventy-five percent. The effects for shifts in the opinions of firms and regulators is similar but of slightly smaller magnitude. Total opposition from either group reduces the likelihood of adoption of an alternative to about twentyfive percent; total support from either group raises the likelihood of adoption of an alternative to about sixty percent. The final model adds the interaction variables to test the last two hypotheses. The model overall is significant (p < 0.001); comparison of the test statistics for this model and the previous model shows that the difference in chi-square is significant, suggesting that the addition of these variables improves the overall fit of the model. This is also reflected by an increase in the percentage of correctly classified cases to over ninety percent. Inspection of the coefficient for the interaction of the opinions of the representatives of firms and substantive standards reveals 2 Both figures present the effects for each organized actor holding all other significant variables at their mean. 29 support for H4: SFirms is significant (p < 0.01) and negative. The alternatives advocated by firms for substantive standards are less likely to be adopted. Inspection of the coefficient for the interaction of the opinions of regulators and substantive standards reveals support for H5: SRegulators is significant (p < 0.05) and positive. The alternatives advocated by regulators for substantive standards are more likely to be adopted. Figure 2 depicts these effects, with the lines showing the effect of professionals, firms, and regulators shifting from uniform opposition to an alternative (-1) to uniform support for an alternative (1). For firms, the organized actor with the largest effect, total opposition increases the likelihood the FASB will adopt an alternative to just under ninety-seven percent. Conversely, total support for an alternative decreases the likelihood of adoption to nearly one in one hundred. The effect for shifts in the opinions of regulators are the second largest effect, with total opposition by this organized actor decreasing the likelihood of adoption to just under seven percent; total support from regulators increases the likelihood of adoption to nearly ninety percent. The effect of professionals is not significantly different for substantive standards, but the effect of opinions from this group increases once the interactions are introduced. As visual inspection of the figure reveals, the effect of opinions expressed by members of the profession is similar to the effect of regulators, but of slightly lesser magnitude. Reviewing all of the coefficients in the model reveals a most interesting aspect of these findings: The interaction variables to test the last two hypotheses have the largest effects of any in the model. The single largest effect is the negative effect of firms for substantive standards; the second largest effect is the positive effect of regulators for substantive standards. Taken together, these two effects indicate strong support for the notion that institutional mediation is important to understanding outcomes in the ongoing regulation of financial reporting. 30 The variable for the main effect of the opinions of professionals remains significant while the interaction with the indicator variable for substantive standards is not significant. This indicates that there is no significant difference in the effect of professionals for substantive and non-substantive standards. This is consistent with claims that professionals adapt to a changing legal environment (Sutton and Dobbin, 1996) and that the imprimatur of normative support (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983) is necessary for the passage of both substantive and nonsubstantive standards. Interestingly, comparison of the coefficient for Professionals in the models without and with the interaction effect reveals that inclusion of the interaction effects increases the estimate of the coefficient by an amount approximately equal to the standard error of the coefficient. We interpret this to suggest that the true effect of the variable is larger than suggested by the first model. There is a similar, but even larger change in the coefficient of Firms, which more than doubles in size after the interactions are added. Lastly, the coefficient of the variable Regulators, loses significance after the interaction effects are added, indicating that regulators are influential for substantive standards but have no significant effect on nonsubstantive standards. Apparently, the significant, positive effect for this variable in the model without the interaction terms was driven by its strongly positive effect for only that subset of alternatives that were part of substantive standards. Discussion The support for the hypotheses derived from the institutional politics model is strong and consistent. Regulatory capture, interest group theory, and institutional mediation are all important parts of the story; taken together, they provide a more complete understanding of the ongoing process of regulating financial reporting standards than would anyone of them alone. These results are also robust to alternate specifications of the model. Using probit estimation 31 yields the same conclusions with respect to all of our hypotheses. Further, if we treat adoption of an alternative as an event and use event history methods to estimate the same model, the results do not change from what we reported using maximum likelihood logit. That said, we believe that the way choices were made, explicitly rejecting or accepting alternatives at fixed points in discrete time is actually most consistent with the logit framework. We also ran a model that included only letters from the Big 8 accounting firms in calculating the opinion of members of the profession. While the effect of this group was weakened slightly by this result, none of the results for any of the hypothesis tests were changed. We also estimated two alternative measures of the effects of institutional mediation. In both cases, while we still found support for H5, indicating that the influence of regulators was enhanced by institutional mediation, H4 was not supported. We interpret these twin results to suggest that the support for H4 is more tentative than our other findings. The first alternative measure of institutional mediation was the variable measuring the number of due process steps; interactions of this variable and the influence variables leads to a failure to support H4. Similarly, if we use the count of the number of letters rather than the indicator variable for substantive standards, the interaction of firms and letters again is not significant, indicating a failure to support H4. While these two results both suggest that support for H4 should be regarded as more tentative, we also believe there are several reasons to conclude that the results from the main model should not be rejected. First, in both cases the sign of the interaction is negative, that is, in the correct direction. With a sample size of only 151, we may simply not have enough power to distinguish effects that are subtler than the dichotomous distinction between substantive and non-substantive standards. 32 Second, our examination of the data revealed underlying processes driving both due process and the writing of letters that are independent of processes of institutional mediation of direct interest to us. In the case of due process, the FASB will sometimes execute steps in recognition of other factors that are at play. For example, there were three due process steps executed for SFAS 40 and 41, which were not substantive rules, because they were linked with the then ongoing project on current cost accounting. In essence, these hearings became a forum to discuss the controversial issue of replacing historical cost accounting with current cost accounting rather than being a forum for institutional mediation of influence over the content of those rules. In the case of letters, there was also evidence of processes that might change their quantity that were unrelated to processes of institutional mediation. For example, we discovered that for one of the SFAS included in our study an entire undergraduate accounting class was required to send letters of comment as an assignment by their professor. We think it is fair to conclude that this participation did not represent facilitation of interest group influence by processes of institutional mediation. Nonetheless, we do believe that future research should regard the support for H4 as more tentative; we look for future designs to determine the limits of our finding that firm influence over ongoing regulation is reduced by institutional mediation. Future research might also address some other weaknesses in our study. A first is highlighted by the timing argument that caused us to reject continuous time model: Groups of our alternatives were decided together. This is related to the fact that we derived these 151 alternatives from thirty FASB rules. The first response to this potential problem is a theoretical one; both the way the FASB discusses these alternatives as well as how letters written during the comment period discuss them tends to focus on specific alternatives as choice points. Despite the fact that Exposure Drafts discuss multiple alternatives, rationales are developed for or against 33 each alternative, which is accepted or rejected on its own merits relative to an ideal of financial reporting practice. This is demonstrated by the fact that 61 alternatives, just above two per regulatory decision, were accepted as part of the SFAS that we studied. Similarly, 90 alternatives, three per regulatory decision rule, were rejected in these same SFAS. The best statistical method to handle this problem would be to include a rule specific fixed effect parameter. Unfortunately, with only 151 decisions, the addition of twenty-nine fixed effects parameters results in a failure of the model to converge, no matter which estimation methodology we use. Given this, we used an alternative method to assess the extent to which the observations deviate from the independent, identically distributed assumptions required by the estimation model. We did this by putting the data matrix in order by SFAS so that alternatives considered as part of a single rule making process were in consecutive rows. This yielded a set of error terms where the alternatives that were part of the same SFAS are clustered together. We then conducted two variations on the runs test (Bradley, 1968) to assess any deviations from independence. In the first, we examined whether consecutive residuals deviated from the equal likelihood of being positive and negative that would hold if the observations were independent. In the second, we examined whether consecutive residuals deviated from the equal probability of being above or below the median absolute value among all the residuals. The test statistics for both lead to acceptance of the null hypothesis that the values of the residuals are independent; in both sign and magnitude, the residuals from our estimation do not deviate from what would be expected if choices among the alternatives were independent. Another potential problem with our results is that we have examined only one stage in the decision making process for financial reporting regulation. As Bachrach and Baratz (1962) observed, power and influence in a decision making process may be exercised to prevent 34 decisions or issues from ever entering the agenda. Thus, the real power and influence in the process for regulating financial reporting rules occurs by ensuring that issues which powerful actors do not wish considered never enter the FASB agenda. This implies that studying the formal process of FASB decision-making is to see only the tip of the iceberg. At least two implications of this are important to interpreting our results. First, the results of Mezias and Scarselletta (1994), who studied the agenda process of the FASB, revealed a process in which the accounting profession and firms dominate just as we found for non-substantive standards. These groups make decisions about the majority of financial reporting issues without invoking the full regulatory apparatus of the FASB. Of the minority that makes it onto the formal agenda of the FASB, which were those included in our study, the firms and the professions again dominate over the majority. Thus, the substantive rules, for which regulators and professionals are able to overcome firm opposition, is even smaller relative to the whole of issues than our ratio of one in five indicates. Second, we wondered whether agenda control has the result that meaningful and important financial reporting issues never enter the agenda of the FASB. On that count, we think it is fairly clear that important issues do enter the agenda of the FASB. During the time frame of our study the FASB was looking at accounting for health care costs and other post-retirement benefits, accounting for pensions, and towards the end of our study period began a project on accounting for stock options used in executive compensation. A brief perusal of the business headlines twenty years’ later reveals that these are important topics. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS The strong results of this study in support of the institutional politics model as applied to ongoing regulation suggest some conclusions and implications. In addition, the choice of financial reporting standards as the context of the empirical study raises 35 issues as well. We begin with these by quoting a front-page story in the Wall Street Journal (February 4, 2002: A1): As Congress investigated the collapse of a high-profile energy company, it faced a daunting challenge. One senator said that to understand the huge company's shocking failure, lawmakers must consider the regulatory and legal missteps that led to its downfall. How, he wondered, could Congress restore investors' confidence in the financial system? By repealing old laws? Enacting new ones? One of his colleagues answered by recounting an old joke: A man gets a message that his mother-in-law has died. “Shall we embalm, cremate or bury?” it asks. Replies the man, “Embalm, cremate and bury. Take no chances.” As the failure to name the company hinted, the story is not about Enron, the huge energy company that had collapsed the previous year; rather it dates from the 1930s and concerns the bankruptcy of Middle Western Utilities. Scandals arouse the passion to reform and punish, as did the financial crises of the 1930s; yet, seventy years of history suggest that reforms have not prevented future crises. We would suggest policy choices based on what Stryker (2002: 176) termed “… deep historical knowledge …” might be a more effective response. Our review of the history of regulation of financial reporting in the US reveals that crises are part of a longer process and need to be understood in that larger context. This is not to suggest that scandals are not important turning points in regulatory processes or that they should not arouse passions for reform or punishment. Rather, we would urge policy makers to avoid the urge to view these crises as the unique result of a series of unusual circumstances and human error (Perrow, 1984) and urge them to take a more systemic view of the problem (Mezias, 1994). We interpret our results to suggest some suggestions for the design of institutions that will mediate regulatory decisions. For example, those who would like to see a more effective counterbalance to the powerful alliance of corporate and professional interests should try to strengthen the links between regulators and interest groups in all regulatory decisions, including the majority that currently fly under the radar. Our evidence demonstrates that substantive 36 standards present a context where the power of firms is curbed. As Briloff (1986) argued, because the FASB tends to issue relatively few substantive standards, it does little to establish rules for financial reporting independent of the power nexus of firms and professionals. Understanding the relationship between amendments and substantive standards is even more disheartening from the perspective of empowering those who would oppose regulatory capture by firms. Amendments, being non-substantive standards, tend to be dominated by firms and professionals, with little input from regulators. Thus, the amendments that interpret the ambiguities of substantive standards and clarify implementation issues that arise from them tend to be resolved by processes dominated by regulatory capture. Not content with dominating the process for most SFAS, firms and professionals lobbied hard to have the voting rules changed after the close of our study period in 1987. The effect of this change has been to slow down the pace of new rules at the FASB. Between its founding and the close of our sample, the fourteen years from 1973 to 1987, the FASB issued 97 SFAS. By contrast, from 1988, the year after our sample ends through 2005, the FASB issued only 57 SFAS in an eighteen-year period. Events in the context of financial reporting regulation, particularly the financial scandals that marked the turn of the century, can be interpreted to suggest that the FASB has done less recently to curb the power of the alliance of firms and professionals. As analysts of legal environments, particularly those interested in workplace rights have noted, the two decades beginning about 1980 were an era in which state intervention was viewed in a particularly dim light. The regulation of financial reporting standards was not an exception to this trend. In 1989, the voting rules for the passage of new regulations were changed; from that year on, a vote of five to two in favor of a new rule was required for it to pass it rather than the four to three vote required during the period of our sample. This change was enacted amid 37 widespread criticism that the FASB had issued far too many new rules; the intent was clearly to slow down the pace of new regulation. Thus, one clear difference between the fifteen years after 1987 and the fifteen years prior, which were the ones in our sample, was that fewer substantive rules were passed. However, opponents of financial reporting regulation were not merely content to slow down the FASB, they went further; the example of accounting for stock options is illustrative. In June 1993, the FASB voted to begin the process of passing a new rule on the valuation of stock options despite intense corporate opposition. Rather than allow the process to continue, which according to our results would likely have meant defeat for the alternatives advocated by firms, the corporate lobby went to Capitol Hill. Hearings were held; Senator Joseph Lieberman introduced legislation to block the proposed rule. Although this legislation did not pass, he subsequently introduced and Congress passed a non-binding resolution that claimed a new rule on valuing stock options would have grave consequences for business in general and entrepreneurs in particular. Congress also threatened to undermine the authority of the FASB by requiring that the SEC explicitly ratify each decision that it made. Threatened with these actions, the chairman of the SEC urged the FASB to back down, which it did. Rather than issue a new regulation that required firms to expense some duly calculated value of stock options on their financial statements, the FASB instead called only for disclosure of a value for options, calculated at the discretion of firms and their accountants, in a footnote to the financial statements (Levitt, 2002). The best course of action for reformers and regulators who hope to avoid crises and their attendant costs by reducing firm influence over financial reporting regulation is to use the momentum for reform that results from financial crises and scandals to create mechanisms that empower regulators to engage in ongoing public scrutiny of financial reporting practices. As 38 Schneiberg and Bartley (2001: 132) suggested, a primary goal of research on public policy should be a better understanding of how public policy can “… reduce the costs of political organization or provide certain actors with new political advantages.” Putting this recommendation for future research in the context of our results suggests the need for policies that enhance the ability of public to participate in the ongoing setting of financial reporting standards. Absent a fundamental redesign of the process, the major substantive changes that have been enacted in the wake of financial crises at the turn of the current century are likely to be undone by amendments and other non-substantive changes produced as part of the ongoing regulatory process. The results of this empirical study also suggest several theoretical conclusions and implications for future research. The first conclusion is that strong support for the utility of the institutional politics model of ongoing regulation. Future research should be aimed at replicating these findings and extending them to other contexts to develop a deeper understanding of how regulatory capture, interest group theory, and institutional mediation interact in dynamic processes of ongoing regulation. A second research implication follows from the use in this study of a pooled measure of the opinions of organized actors. It may be that influence processes respond to the identities of individual letter writers even though our measures do not. For example, a letter from Anheuser-Busch may have a very different effect than a letter from a local microbrewery. Further, there may leaders in formal or informal networks operating within the organized actors that we have studied that may have different influence than other members of the network. We advocate research with a different design to sort out how reputation and network effects play a role in influencing regulatory outcomes. 39 A final research implication is suggested by the importance of the distinction between substantive and non-substantive regulation. While we treated this distinction as exogenous in framing our study, we also believe that one of the key advantages of an institutional framework is that it focuses attention on the endogenous determination of sense making in regulatory processes (Edelman, et al., 1999). From this perspective, understanding efforts the slow down in financial reporting regulation observed after 1987 requires understanding the dynamics of the logic of regulation (Bartley and Schneiberg, 2002). Our discussion of events since the close of our study period, consistent with many other recent studies, revealed a shift in legal environments away from more active regulation in the recent past. One avenue for understanding this shift is to focus on how the costs and benefits of regulation are defined. In particular, the issue of how important actors in the processes of institutional politics came to accept that regulations were too burdensome is likely an important part of the story. This suggests the need for longitudinal models and a better understanding of cycles of institutional change (March and Olsen, 1989). 40 TABLE 1: ORGANIZED ACTORS Organized Source of Actor Power Type of Aims of Isomorphism Action Professionals Certification: Normative: Control of What is Principles. appropriate? Firms Regulators Control specific domain of knowledge Control of Mimetic: What Regulatory financial is prevailing capture. statements. practice? Enforcement Coercive: What Protect the of legal is required by public requirements. law? interest. 41 TABLE 2: Alternatives in the Exposure Draft of SFAS#40: Financial Reporting and Changing Prices: Specialized Assets, Timberlands, and Growing Timbers ALTERNATIVE 1: EITHER HISTORICAL COST (CONSTANT DOLLAR) AMOUNTS OR CURRENT COST MEASURE SHOULD BE PERMITTED. ACCEPTED IN FINAL STATEMENT. ALTERNATIVE 2: THE STATEMENT SHALL REQUIRE MEASUREMENTS ON A CURRENT COST BASIS. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT. ALTERNATIVE 3: THE STATEMENT SHALL REQUIRE INFORMATION ABOUT FAIR VALUES, DEFINED AS THE PRICES THAT WOULD BE ACCEPTED AS REASONABLE IN TRANSACTIONS BETWEEN A WILLING SELLER AND A WILLING BUYER. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT. ALTERNATIVE 4: THE STATEMENT SHALL EXEMPT ACTIVITIES THAT USE TIMBERLANDS AND GROWING TIMBER FROM REQUIREMENTS TO PRESENT INFORMATION ON A CURRENT COST BASIS. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT. 42 Table 3: Descriptive Statistics Variable Professionals Firms Regulators Sprofessionals Sfirms SRegulators Substantive Letters Months DueProcess Mean Standard Deviation Minimum Minimum -0.1751 0.7323 -1 1 -0.197 0.6878 -1 1 -0.06735 0.6766 -1 1 -0.0449 0.3838 -1 1 -0.0456 0.3302 -1 1 -0.0342 0.3668 -1 1 0.2517 0.4354 0 1 110.9669 75.7845 14 233 70.0861 36.6177 0 129 1.1258 1.462 0 4 43 TABLE 4: CORRELATION MATRIX 2. Professionals 3. Regulators 4. Sfirms 5. Sprofessionals 6. Sregulators 7. Substantive 8. Letters 9. Months 10. DueProcess 1. Firms 0.687 0.391 0.45 0.404 0.22 0.013 -0.131 -0.007 -0.055 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0.478 0.444 0.503 0.323 -0.003 -0.106 -0.028 -0.076 0.265 0.346 0.538 -0.059 -0.089 0.07 -0.088 0.895 0.501 -0.239 -0.178 0.213 -0.175 0.648 -0.202 -0.127 0.151 -0.191 -0.162 -0.113 0.141 -0.12 0.424 -0.12 0.62 -0.176 0.275 0.112 Correlations with magnitude larger than 0.16 are significantly different from zero, p < 0.05 44 TABLE 5: Maximum Likelihood Estimates Variable Name Intercept Control Organized Variables only Actor Variables -0.3568 Add Interactions -0.6398 -0.6988 Professionals 1.3801** 1.7685** Firms 0.6990* 1.4024** Regulators 0.6852* 0.1559 SProfessionals 1.6430 SFirms -5.2406** SRegulators 2.249* Substantive 0.4421 0.0608 -0.4577 Letters -0.0012 0.0024 0.0026 Months 0.0016 0.0035 0.0105 DueProcess -0.1183 -0.0209 -0.0128 Model Chi-Sq. 0.9866 63.988*** 85.154*** * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 45 Figure 1: Influence of Organized Actors 0.75 0.65 0.55 0.45 0.35 0.25 -1 -0.9 -0.8 -0.6 -0.59 -0.49 -0.39 -0.29 -0.19 -0.09 9 0.0 1 0 .1 1 0.2 1 0.3 1 0.4 1 0.5 1 0.6 1 0.7 1 0.8 1 0.9 1 0.15 Opinions Professionals Firms Regulators 46 Figure 2: Influence of Organized Actors over Substantive Standards 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 -0.8-1 -0.79 -0.68 -0.56 -0.45 -0.34 -0.23 -0.12 1 0.101 0.22 0.33 0.44 0.55 0.66 0.77 0.88 0.99 0 Professionals OpinioSfinsrms Sregulators 47 REFERENCES Abzug, R. and Mezias, S. 1993. “The fragmented state due process protections in organizations. 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