Brain Drain and Brain Gain: Problems, Paradoxes, and Trends in International Skill Flows Katarzyna HadaĆ, Annette Lang Introduction Brain drain is a kind of trap for developing countries, which, deprived of their most highly-educated people who would be natural leaders in terms of economic and social development, are unable to come out of poverty, which is often worsened by violence and extremism, as well as passiveness and hopelessness. The achievement of many developing countries' Millennium Development Goals and particular national targets is threatened or hampered due to inadequate human resources and this situation is compounded by the loss of both essential and beneficial professionals such as scientists, medical doctors, engineers, academics, nurses, technicians, administrators and managers who emigrate to more economically-developed countries (Dassin, 2005). Approximately 3% of the world's population live in a country other than their country of birth. International migration is an established feature of contemporary economic, social and political life, driven by the seemingly-unstoppable forces of globalization and demography. Modern communications and transportation ensure that more and more people have access to formerly distant and unreachable lands of promise with regard to their well-being and progress. It is only the matter of the last two decades that the availability of new communication technologies have made the former sporadic, exceptional and limited connections more systematic, dense and multiple. The term ”brain drain”, although considered by some authors (Clemens, 2009) as oldfashioned and pejorative, is still used to describe the international movement of resources in the form of human capital, represented by relatively highly-educated individuals, from developing countries to wealthier ones. The outflow of these professionals is narrowed in the non-academic literature and limited to the migration of engineers, physicians, scientists or other very highlyskilled professionals with university degrees. In scientific analyses of census data, however, skilled immigration is defined with the inclusion of professionals with advanced degrees, workers with tertiary education, mid-level technical personnel and professional workers. Skilled labour migration also includes: scientific trainees studying at Master's degree and PhD levels who go overseas for training but do not return upon completion of their studies; professionals who receive advanced training in developed countries, return upon completion of their studies and then emigrate again after working for some period; and professionals who are trained in 1 domestic institutions but emigrate upon completion of their studies and/or after working for some period of time. There are three different meanings associated in the literature with the notion of “brain gain”. First, it is viewed as the other side of the coin; while the flow of skilled migration is considered to be a brain drain of human resources from the less to more developed nations, the latter automatically experience a beneficial “gain”. Nonetheless, there also exist two-way and multiple flows, and the return of former migrants can be considered as a “reversed brain drain” for the host country or a “brain gain” for the country that they initially left. The third meaning covers the benefits derived from the extended human capital formation in developing countries, where people are driven to improve their education and professionalism by the prospect of emigrating. Reports of the successes of their co-nationals abroad and the realization that highlytrained professionals can get lucrative jobs may be effective in persuading young people to continue their education, thus increasing a developing country's levels of skills and know-how. Such incentive-influenced decisions made by “those remaining behind” to invest in their education may be one of the key determinants of the long-term economic growth of these countries (Lucas, 2005). There are two ways of facilitating brain gain: either through the return of expatriates to their country of origin (the return option) or through their remote mobilization and association to its development (the diaspora option). The impressive case of emigrants who have returned from Silicon Valley and invested their talent, knowledge and finance in the information technology industries in Taiwan, China and India in order to push their economies forward is unfortunately the exception rather than the rule. Migrants often do come back but it is not always the case that their return has such a significant effect. Returnees are likely to have enthusiasm for institution building, and furthermore they are often politically-active and motivated to push for reform and to stimulate business in their home countries, even if these are stereotypically perceived as not being able to offer significant incentives for people to return. The most remarkable cases of return can be found in the biographies of the 46 current and 165 former heads of government, who received their higher education in the United States after 1950. However, these are exceptional, although significant, returns. In case of some countries, the majority of returnees, due to a lack of productive and legal opportunities at home, are hardly able to have any essential input into their domestic trade or industry. For instance, some surveys have found that less than 5% of skilled migrants from Tonga, Micronesia and Ghana have ever helped a company from their home country in a trade deal, and when they have, the values of these deals have been modest. Cases of philanthropic activity occasionally performed by émigrés 2 in their countries of origin, who have successfully built their businesses abroad, are rather singular. More common is a lack of involvement in trade and investment due to circumstances which are unfavourable to business, and not because of a lack of interest on the part of the migrants in helping their home countries (Clemens, 2009). Countries which are more economically developed, and that can offer better opportunities, especially those identified as new industrialized countries (NICs), such as Singapore and the Republic of Korea, or major developing nations, such as India and China, have implemented strong repatriate programmes since the 1980s. They have created conditions in which returnees could effectively channel their activities and funds, enabling them to be operational. It was the incentives that skilled workers could expect to find back home that shaped their decisions to return. Nevertheless, the physical return of skilled migrants is not necessary in order to gain from their expertise. Both China and India learned how to take advantage of the skilled diaspora as a valuable and influential “brain bank” bringing remotely-gained benefits in the forms of business, political and cultural linkages. This is an essential ability because the reality is that migrants who have successfully settled abroad and built their professional and personal lives there, may not be likely to come back. This happens despite any incentive policies that are introduced, even though the émigrés may still be very concerned about the development of their home countries due to sentiments and attachments to their home cultures, and because of family ties and lasting friendships. Some emigrants may from the beginning plan their eventual returns only for their retirements. Amongst the many categories of entrants: unskilled immigrant workers, undocumented workers, refugees, asylum seekers and students, skilled immigrant workers have for a long time been a topic of intense interest in socio-economic research. In the 1970s, the literature on brain drain and brain gain concluded that the emigration of skilled workers adversely affects the welfare of those who remain in the source countries (Bhagwati and Hamada, 1974). A series of recent empirical studies, however, provides evidence that emigration may actually contribute to the long-term development of these countries because emigration encourages human capital investment (e.g., Stark et al., 1997; Beine et al., 2006; Beine et al., 2008). For example, Beine found “a significantly positive developmental effect of migration on human capital accumulation in their cross-country analysis of 37 developing countries”. In the long-term the departure of the highly skilled may have beneficial effects in the form of a counter-flow of remittances, investments, trade relations, new knowledge, innovations, attitudes and information. Moreover, migrants may return with a much better knowledge of the markets beyond their borders and the financial capital to invest in export businesses. If they are successful, these businesses provide employment and income growth for their poorest co-nationals. 3 Problems with estimating the scope of the phenomenon Several publications have analysed and aggregated the international data on migration flows by country of origin and education level (Carrington and Detragiache,1998, Adams, 2003, Docquier and Marfouk, 2004, Dumont and Lemaitre, 2004). Attempts to estimate brain drain encounter difficulties as the relevant national authorities maintain very limited databases. In fact, many countries do not have systems for the continuous recording of international migration and, where they do, they do not process and publish the data. Taking into account those countries that do produce statistics on international migration, their meaning and scope vary considerably, e.g. due to inconsistent categorisation of skill and education levels. Researchers have also found it difficult to assess the economic impact of brain drain in developing countries where there is imperfect information on return migration. In the absence of systematically-gathered and credible material, the debate remains almost exclusively theoretical, political, anecdotal and emotional. It is also worth addressing two different opinions on the difficulties in reaching objective conclusions about the real impact due to the flaws in the existing data. The first shortcoming, according to Meyer and Brown, originates from the omission of the numerous funded education opportunities in receiving counties: “entries and exits registered at the borders only keep record of the number of already skilled migrants entering a definite country when it is clear, today, that the majority of skilled people of foreign origin acquire their professional qualifications in the host country” (Meyer and Brown 1999). Beine, Docquier and Rapaport conclude that such imprecision may cause an over-estimation of the intensity of the brain drain as well as “possible spurious cross-country variation in skilled emigration rates.” (Beine, Docquier and Rapaport 2006). Generally it leads to conclusions of which those of the ACP-EU Joint Parliamentary Assembly are typical: „The brain debate is still marked by a considerable amount of confusion and frustration, especially due to the lack of reliable statistical data and the lack of impact assessment studies on potential policy recommendations to address the ‘brain drain’ phenomenon” (ACP-EU, 2007). The same problem concerns the estimation of economic losses. Attempts have been made to calculate the financial cost of a single emigrant departure, taking account of the lost returns from the investment made in educating a doctor or an engineer, plus the amount that the expenditure on this training would have earned, had it been invested in a financial institution, and the additional potential revenues that would have been raised from the taxes he or she would have paid. An example of such a calculation is the one made by Kirigia, Gbary, Muthuri, Nyoni, and Seddoh: “The United Nations Commission for Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has estimated that each migrating African professional represents a loss of US$ 184,000. Our study 4 estimated economic loss incurred by African countries as a result of emigration of one doctor to be about US$ 517,931 and one nurse to be US$ 338,868. Our estimates are higher than those of UNCTAD for two reasons: (i)we take into account the investments made into production of doctors and nurses from primary school to tertiary training institutions; and (ii) we take into account the cumulative financial effects of the lost returns from investments”. The authors calculated that on average, an emigrant doctor would have worked for 32 years before retiring. They then multiplied this number of years by the average interest rate on fixed deposits in Kenya (6.65%). (Kirigia, et al., 2006.) In response to this, Clemens claimed that these amounts were “astronomical in a country where the average person earns about US$1.30 per day”. His first reservation relates to the fact that many skilled emigrants have already served their countries for long periods before emigrating. His second questions the rationality of subsidizing the training of very highly- educated health professionals using the state budget, when much more mid-level health workers (with skills exactly tuned to local needs - endemic diseases and sanitary conditions) might have been trained for the same cost, with a much greater impact on the nation's health. Alternatively, he subsequently argued, some of this money could be used on preventive public health measures, such as improved sanitation, basic hygiene education, and HIV education, which would be more effective and sustainable (as they are “immobile”) than when spent on training of very highly-educated doctors who are most likely to emigrate. (Clemens, 2009) The conclusion he reached was that the training of highly-skilled future emigrants is not an optimal use of scarce public resources. At first glance, this reduces the problem of brain drain to absurdity – likewise described in nonsensopedia1 as “an employment trick which results in a situation that researchers (and other highly-skilled professionals), who should work in favour of development of the country that educated them and now is expecting the return of this investment, departure to another country which is able to pay them because it does not waste money for training of those who left the country just after studies”. Such a “definition” may be humorous but it highlights one crucial aspect – the contribution of publiclysubsidized tertiary education to the emigration of highly-skilled workers. The solution to this problem is dependent on the policy decisions of the individual governments. A flag comparison of two approaches to this problem is illustrated by the Philippines and various African countries. In the Philippines, the great majority of registered nurses who depart the country pay for their own education. Their emigration is then supported by the government and, rather than being shamed, they are praised for working overseas in order to send remittances back to the home 1 Satiric, internet para- encyclopedia http://nonsensopedia.wikia.com 5 country. In Africa, however, the opposite is true. The majority of African emigrant nurses were publicly trained, and their departure is seen as being damaging to their domestic health services. This situation would be improved if the burden of the education of these health specialists could be shifted in part to private institutions. The question arises from this comparison is which policy is more reasonable? Worldwide hunt for talents There are two visible trends in the selection policies and screening mechanisms in receiving countries. Firstly, those with ageing populations give priority to the young or to those likely to have many children. Secondly, countries in which particular labour markets are already oversupplied with workers give priority to people with different occupations in order to protect domestic workers and to meet the demands of the other labour markets and the needs of society as a whole. The quality-selective immigration policies that have been introduced in many OECD countries grade candidates according to their prospective ”contribution to the host country, more or less explicitly identifying the potential ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ in a particular destination”. Several countries, including Australia, Canada and New Zealand, use points systems to evaluate each individual's profile, in terms of education, occupation, language proficiency and age. In destinations where there are no such transparent systems, the selection process may be perceived by candidates as being more arbitrary, meaning that they are uncertain when they leave as to whether their capabilities predestine them to be “winners”. In the EU countries, immigration policies are less clear but a level of expectation may arise among the relatives of émigrés as European countries are still oriented towards traditional targets such as asylum seekers and applicants who wish to be reunited with family members. However, there is some evidence suggesting that European countries are also leaning towards becoming quality-selective. The French Weil Report on Immigration published in 1997 explicitly recommends giving priority to the immigration of highly-educated workers. Another example is Germany's plan, announced in 2000, to recruit 10,000 additional specialists in the field of information technology. The EU directive on the admission of highly-skilled migrants aims to avoid the negative brain drain effects on developing countries, especially in Africa. In the form of a proposal, the document advocates ethical recruitment standards to limit – if not ban – active recruitment by Member States in developing countries which already suffer from a serious brain drain, and contains measures to facilitate circular migration. Nevertheless, it depends on the particular country how efficient the screening is and to what extent the developing country will lose out from the departure of its best talent. This fact should not be merely a source of blame for the two winning 6 sides (the receiving country and the migrant). The crucial thing is to find answers, for the benefit of those remaining behind (both states and communities), as to the reasons for the migration of “the best and brightest” and whether it is to be a temporary or a permanent loss (Risse, 2009). Reasons for and results of skilled movement The reasons for the migration of key workers are shaped on the one hand by a combination of the economic inequalities and political and social situations in poor countries and on the other by the recruitment policies of governments in the developed world. These pull and push factors in tandem thus lead to the brain drain of skilled professionals. Crucial factors that pull professionals to developed countries are better remuneration and working conditions, safe and desirable living conditions and opportunities for intellectual growth. These are accompanied by other factors which may also simplify the decision to leave: the availability of information about employment opportunities abroad, easy access to cheap communication technologies, being a member of a target group defined in a foreign recruitment policy, and the availability of assistance in finding suitable positions and support in completing visa applications etc. The key push factors driving them out include: poor living conditions, low remuneration, lack of professional development opportunities, lack of clear career development paths, low intellectual stimulation, disastrously poor governance, widespread poverty, nepotism and corruption in recruitment and promotion, insecurity or violence in the workplace, political unrest and tensions, military conflicts and civil wars. In the case of those failing to return to their home countries after training or working abroad, the above listed factors are complemented by a heightened awareness of the inequalities and deficiencies, gained abroad from numerous comparisons from personal experience in daily life. These include the presence and condition of the infrastructure and systems relevant to their professional lives, career structures, work cultures, social status, recognition of talents and scope for their use, quality of education for children and the overall standards of living and lifestyles. Fan and Stark identified three possible negative short and long term consequences of the international migration of skilled workers: loss of the skilled, “educated unemployment” and “overeducation”. The first of these is the most obvious and is consistent with the ‘traditional’ view that migration leads to a reduction in the ‘stock’ of better-educated individuals, which in turn reduces the average income in the developing country. In general, the emigration of talent may give a positive signal which motivates others in the sending country to become more educated, thus raising the human capital and possibly promoting growth. But the outcome in the short term may be equally negative, as educated individuals who would otherwise have taken 7 jobs are lured into further education only to end up unemployed, thereby creating “educated unemployment”. The related effect of overeducation occurs when large numbers of new graduates are introduced into a small economy with limited or low-paying entry positions. As a result, “many of these individuals end up remaining in the country and the country's economy cannot absorb them, then these individuals’ overeducation is socially inefficient” (Fan and Stark, 2007). Good sides of the phenomenon? The rich literature published about the brain drain has described and analyzed the pull and push factors leading in tandem to a brain drain of highly-trained professionals and has usually concluded that brain drain results in mostly or exclusively negative effects and harmful losses. The traditional brain drain literature has viewed the exodus of human capital as a “curse” for developing countries, leading to increased inequality at the international level, with the rich countries getting richer at the expense of the poorer countries. Especially difficult situation in health sector in some developing countries, combined with high outflow of their doctors and nurses was a subject of numerous alarming publications (Chen and Boufford, 2006, Mills, et al. 2008). Nevertheless some authors has recognized that the moderate brain drain does bring certain benefits. These include not only remittances but exchange of knowledge, foreign direct investment and increased trade, as a result of diaspora activity, as well as skills, know-how and work culture brought by return migrants from their host countries. Last years of XX century brought also the “new brain drain” or “new beneficial brain drain” literature claiming that the brain drain has a big impact on the number of skilled individuals in a sending country. Driven to achieving education and professionalism by the perspective of emigration they form intellectual potential. As not all of them leave the country, a part of this extended human capital stays and generates economic welfare and growth for their nation. Emerging statistical and anecdotal evidence indicates that there are significant positive effects associated with the global skills flow. Benefits accompanying brain drain were analyzed in the works of Mountford (1997), Stark et al. (1997), Stark et al. (2004), Beine et al. ( 2001, 2003), Docquier and Rapoport (2007). Thanks to recent findings, it is now acknowledged that the international movement of educated people may have positive effects on the sending economy in terms of increased domestic enrolment in education and significant financial contributions through the remittances they send home. When the movement is back and forth it results in a transfer of technology and know-how whereby foreign models, solutions, and practices may be adopted locally in order to create a wealthier society. The investment in the home country of capital accumulated abroad may provide essential 8 impetus to new businesses and activities. Additionally, “diaspora may demand goods and services that remind them of home, which in turn generates new avenues of trade”. All this may lead to a growth in employment and incomes and a reduction in poverty. Moreover, if it is not exactly a positive, compensation can be drawn from the fact that the children of émigrés are educated abroad, although they may come back as adults, thus reducing the burden on the state education system. It has also been noted that there is a correlation between the levels of direct foreign investment from wealthier countries and the numbers of émigré graduates residing in these host countries. Remittances, diasporas and return flows may partly or wholly offset the consequences of skilled emigration. Puri and Ritzema (2000) reviewed and discussed the existing research on remittances. The problem with such research lies in the impossibility of separating out the volumes of remittances coming from migrants in different skill groups. Remittances vary systematically with respect to income, planned duration of stay, and the conditions in the sending country in general and in households in particular. Anecdotal evidence indicates that skilled migrants earn more and respectively send more money home, but this is called into question by other common truths that skilled immigrant families are likely to already be relatively well off in their home countries and that educated workers may be less likely to remit as they tend to remain in their destination country much longer and take their families along with them. (Faini, 2006). According to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report, the value of officially recorded remittances exceeded 232 billion dollars in 2005. Furthermore, it is estimated that remittances sent through informal channels could increase this figure by up to 50%. The importance of this is colossal - the total value of remittance flows is larger than that of official worldwide development aid. The countries receiving the most recorded remittances are India (21.7 billion dollars), China (21.3 billion dollars), Mexico (18.1 billion dollars), and the Philippines (11.6 billion dollars). Countries for which remittances account for the largest proportion of GDP are Tonga (31%), Moldova (27.1%), Lesotho (25.8%), Haiti (24.8%), and Bosnia and Herzegovina (22.5%). Several studies have indicated that remittances increase educational expenditure in origin households (Adams 2003), reduce the likelihood of children dropping out of school and increase the number of children, in particular girls, who complete their schooling. However, a negative impact on schooling is observed where migration is dominated by low skilled, often undocumented, workers and where the receiving market does not expect people of a certain origin to be educated. For instance, “a Mexican or a Moroccan cleaner with a university education in Spain or the United States is unlikely to earn significantly more than a colleague 9 with only a primary education. There is indeed some evidence from Mexican household surveys indicating that international migration has a negative effect on the level of schooling of children” (McKenzie and Rapoport 2006). Beneficial gain? In general, individuals who decide to return are persuaded by at least five types of reasons. Firstly, by sentiment - when the immigrant prefers to live, to socialize, to bring up children and to consume in the home country, and to live a less hectic lifestyle and to enjoy the prestige that the money he/she has earned brings him/her at home. Secondly, by economic reasons - when prices are lower at home and when the purchasing power of the capital accumulated aboard is higher there. Thirdly, by ambition - when the human capital acquired abroad is valued and welcomed, making the returnee someone important and respected by conationals and local authorities etc.. Fourthly, by security – deemed as the sustainability and constancy of his/her activity after return – as an employee, as an entrepreneur or in selfemployment. And lastly, some returnees may come back also when they realized a mistake when “the anticipated income gain does not materialize, or being away proves more of a hardship than expected, the emigrant may later reverse the decision to live abroad” (Kapur and McHale, 2005). Such a reverse may occur due to oversight and a lack of realism on the part of the emigrant or due to unforeseeable changes in circumstances at home or abroad. Some authors claim that returners tend to be those who are less skilled, and very rarely those who are the best. Cohen and Haberfeld (2001) found that “Israeli immigrants returning from the United States are likely to be negatively selected from those Israelis who emigrated in the first place. In sum, studies of return migration suggest that those who return may be those that have performed relatively poorly when abroad; the best migrants tend to stay. Of course, these observations do not necessarily hold true for all different migrant groups or countries” (Ha, at al., 2009). Shiff contests the “new brain drain” idea. He argues that the assumption - that by raising the return to education, a brain drain generates a brain gain that in certain conditions, is larger than the brain drain itself, and that such a net brain gain results in an increase in welfare and growth due to education's positive externalities - is mainly theoretical and “based on static partial equilibrium analysis”. According to Schiff the size of the brain gain is smaller than suggested in that literature, the impact on welfare and growth is significantly smaller as well, there is a significantly greater than reported in that literature, likelihood of a negative impact on welfare and growth, an increase in the stock of human capital may have as well a negative impact 10 on welfare and growth. Schiff concludes that the new brain drain literature offers no solution to the most severe brain drain problems. This includes the exodus of healthcare providers from SubSahara Africa and the Caribbean - the world's poorest regions (Maurice Schiff, 2005). The situation in the health sector In looking for positives arising from the global skill flow we should not lose sight of the difficult situation in the health sector in some developing countries. However, we should add the qualification that the outflow of medical staff is not the only reason for the problems in this sector in these parts of the world. Healthcare is generally under-provided there and its accessibility also tends to be skewed towards urban and relatively privileged consumers. Chen and Boufford call the movement of physicians from poor to rich countries “fatal flows’ . Indeed, the statistics are striking: “Ghana, with 0.09 physician per thousand population, sends doctors to the United Kingdom, which has 18 times as many physicians per capita. The United States, with 5% of the world's population, employs 11% of the globe's physicians, and its demand is growing”. This happens because the medical systems in the United States and other developed countries are “heavily dependent on imported workers — for hospital staffing, coverage of underserved areas, and meeting gaps in skill levels. U.S. medical schools turn out a relatively stable 17,000 graduates annually, but the demand for residency staffing exceeds this number by 30%. This gap is filled by international medical graduates, most of whom will attain citizenship or permanent residence and remain in the United States to practice medicine” (Chen and Boufford, 2006) However, countries that intentionally export skilled medical personnel, such as the Philippines, tolerate "brain drain" in exchange for financial remittances, a lowering of their high unemployment rates, and the possibility of establishing scientific connections. When health professionals emigrate, there is a negative effect not only on treatment but also on health promotion, disease prevention, and rehabilitation for those remaining behind, thus influencing their levels of health, and their productivity and general welfare. Apart from the economic losses (investment in education of doctors and nurses, their service and tax collection from their incomes), Kirigia at al. identified other losses of a social and moral nature. One of them is the loss of supervisors and mentors for health sciences trainees associated with the departure of practising doctors and senior nurses who would otherwise supervise staff in peripheral facilities or train and counsel new employees and students doing internships there. Using the example of the Kenyan hierarchical national referral system, the authors also point out its loss in functionality due to the uncontrolled movement of patients (not initiated or regulated 11 by health professionals) who bypass the cost-effective peripheral health units (usually the first to be avoided) and seek more expensive care in tertiary and provincial hospitals. This loss of role models and guardians of human rights occurs particularly in rural areas. The authors argued that health professionals who are posted there, “by virtue of being the most educated, often bore the burden of assuring that the human rights of their actual and potential clients were respected and protected in the course of their clinical work and research carried out by others”. By acting in this way they are viewed as examples to be imitated and followed. Then there is the loss of entrepreneurs and employers because of the tendency of health practitioners to set up private clinics, hospitals, pharmacies and non-health-related businesses, such as retail and wholesale outlets. Doctors also give employment to housemaids, gardeners and security guards at their residences. Lastly, according to the authors, senior medical personnel are “generally respected as being above corruption, they advocate for quality public schools, they provide a market for consumer goods, and they contribute to political, social and economic stability”, and are thus an important element of the middle class which is lost to the country as a result of migration. (Kirigia at al. , 2006) Measuring the scope of the healthcare brain drain leads to the argument that wealthy countries have a moral obligation to reduce the flow of healthcare workers from the developing to the developed world. (Hooper, 2008). Mills at al. presented statistics showing the shortages of healthcare staff in sub-Saharan Africa, where, on average, one physician serves 8,000 people. In the worst affected countries, such as Malawi, the physician-to-population ratio is one to 50,000 people compared to the minimum acceptable care level of one per 5,000 (the WHO’s Health for All standard ). A comparison of these figures with the ratios in developed countries (the UK, for example, has over 100 times more physicians per population than Malawi, while almost one in ten doctors working in the UK is from Africa) led the authors to ask dramatically: “should active recruitment of health Professional from sub-Saharan Africa be viewed as a crime?” (Mills at al. , 2008) Advertising in the targeted country’s newspapers and journals, together with personal emails and letters, internet sites and recruitment workshops lure doctors, nurses and pharmacists to leave their countries. Active recruitment is more effective the more it offers: guaranteed earnings, legal assistance in immigration and relocation expenses all make the decision to leave easier. There is a public discourse about the actual effects of brain drain of medical staff. While some publications and communications accuse receiving countries of depriving Africa of its human resources, thus causing “debility, morbidity, human suffering and premature death” there are also voices that talk about unjustified lamenting, the overestimation of losses and the 12 confusing of effects with the real “underlying causes”. According to Clemens, “The level of medical care provided by doctors in Africa depends on a vast array of factors that have little or nothing to do with international movement - such as scant wages in the public health service, poor or absent rural service incentives, few other performance incentives of any kind, a lack of adequate medical supplies and pharmaceuticals, a mismatch between medical training and the health problems of the poorest, weak transportation infrastructure, or abysmal sanitation systems”. He then reflects on the question as to why countries such as Kenya, Mozambique and Ethiopia do not improve the domestic effectiveness of the available physicians in remote and rural regions. Just 8% of Kenya's population live in the capital, Nairobi, but the city is home to 66% of its physicians. The comparable figures for Mozambique and Maputo and Ethiopia and Addis Ababa are 10% and 51%, and 5% and 50% respectively. Does this congregation of physicians in the richer urban areas differ in its ultimate effect – a lack of doctors where they are badly needed - from the one of departure abroad? Or does the emigration of doctors kill people in Africa? Clemens gives his answer by stating that there is no scientifically-proven relationship between the departure of physicians and nurses and poor health statistics as measured by indicators such as child mortality: “African countries with the largest number of their physicians residing abroad in the rich country are typically those with the lowest child mortality, and vice versa. This suggests that whatever is determining whether or not African children live or die, other factors besides international migration of physicians are vastly more important” (Clemens, 2009). The debate about the African health sector brain drain is passionate and intense, and full of noble concerns while voices of liberal rationalism are marginalised. Nonetheless, many discussants try to be objective: “We can not and should not prevent completely the migration of doctors and nurses. Medicine has a strong tradition of international collaboration, with doctors moving around the globe to gain further training and different clinical experience. Indeed, we like to think that international exchange and diversity enrich us all. This is a romantic delusion. We gain in the North, but developing countries lose out by losing their doctors permanently” (Johnson, 2005). Individual human rights and the common good The ability to move freely from place to place is essential for a life to be lived with dignity. The United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights states that all people have the unqualified right to leave any country. Skilled migrants are not “owned” by their home countries, and should have the same rights to freedom of movement as professionals in rich countries. This standpoint implies the moral importance of expanding the choices of skilled 13 people and permitting their mobility “as long as it does not illegitimately affect the freedom of others”. Concerns about brain drain mostly reveal a singular focus on the national perspective, ignoring the rights of the individual. These include the right to better oneself by migrating from environments which offer little prospects for job satisfaction and individual development to others where one's work is valued and fairly remunerated. The price paid by an individual for his or her choice is often sufficiently high – the exchange of a familiar environment for an unknown and uncertain one, the disruption of family life and loneliness – to render any attacks on their decision invalid. In the recent debate on brain drain, uncomfortable questions about human and property rights have arisen. Clemens, for instance, asks: "Why the positive externalities of an Indian engineer are considered the property of the Indian nation as a whole, while any negative externalities that person exerts are not national property but exclusively belong to the individual? (…) Why coercing French nurses to go to Africa is considered immoral even if that coercion might cause deaths to be avoided, but coercing African physicians to be in Africa is considered moral?” (Clemens 2007). Two strategies aimed at stopping departures – taxing emigration and bonding graduates who have obtained a state education – are widely viewed as a particular form of social justice. Closing the door to the outside as an act “towards equity” means destroying precious opportunities available to very few, instead of finding a solution for those who are left behind. In 1974, the emigration tax proposed by Bhagwati and Hamada to be collected by the receiving, developed country party and transmitted to the sending, developing country proved to be technically problematic. The idea is still alive, although Desai, Kapur and McHale (2009) suggested further investigations rather than presenting operational proposals. According to Clemens, such a tax is justified “by a series of unexamined assumptions about property rights: that individuals own their negative externalities but not their positive externalities; that groups of people own individuals’ positive externalities; and that only groups of people born near skilled workers’ birthplace own their positive externalities, while groups born far away do not”. When it comes to bonding, he proposes firstly analysing inconsistencies in the arguments such as the following: “few modern societies would consider it acceptable to require a lifetime of work in poor conditions in exchange for a government scholarship, for this would constitute the unlimited ownership of a person by the state” (Clemens, 2009). Beside emerging proposals for the creation of an independent, international organization to regulate the flow of people across borders, there are voices arguing that people should be allowed to take care of themselves, forgetting the national contexts. The supporters of this 14 position argue that individual development may be of greater value than international actions: “the propensity and ability for people to help themselves seems to be far greater than the ability of the international community to make resources available for development”( Luthria 2009) The individualist approach to international movements presented above is rather isolated amongst the more common concerns that migration can adversely affect the basis of social cohesion, and that the loss of skilled workers can wreck the chances of poor countries of sustaining the provision of services and goods that are essential for development (Chen and Boufford (2005), Mills, et al (2008), and UNCTAD (2007) and that is why the movement from poor countries should be limited or at least controlled. Stereotypes versus findings According to de Haas et al “the real question is whether such skilled labour would have been productive if migrants had stayed. This is too often taken for granted”. In Mediterranean and North African countries such as Morrocco, Egypt, Jordan and Yemen there is mass unemployment and frustration among university graduates, which is often suggested to be a cause of radicalism in the region. It is thus important to “disentangle cause and effect - high skilled individuals migrate because of a lack of meaningful employment and career opportunities and migration is not a cause but result of poor conditions”( de Haas, 2009) Another important issue to be internalized is that a “migration decision is the proximate cause of a skilled person’s departure, but this choice is in turn caused by a complex web of underlying forces”. These forces include: poor working conditions as a result of years of underinvestment, a lack of training, low salaries, demoralisation, institutional failure, corruption, political repression, a mismatch between national higher education curricula and local needs, and institutional obstacles to the self-financing of education. Stopping, limiting, and impeding potential emigrants might be a treatment for the symptoms, but it does not cure the illness. There is therefore a need to focus on the underlying causes of emigration in each particular country instead of blaming their nationals who leave because of those causes or the countries which attract them so successfully because of those causes. A recent study using a new database of health worker emigration from Africa suggested that low health staffing levels and poor public health conditions are the result of factors entirely unrelated to international movements of highly trained health professionals (Clemens 2007). Many developing countries face mass unemployment among the highly skilled, which is the partial result of misguided education policies which do not reflect the true skill and knowledge needs of developing economies. There is often an over-investment in higher education and an underinvestment in primary and 15 secondary education and vocational training. “This all casts some doubt on the assumption that the emigration of the highly skilled would automatically represent a loss. In such situations, it may not come as a surprise that many higher educated people wish to emigrate to improve their overall well-being and that also many governments consider emigration as a useful economic safety valve in order to relieve political tensions” (Clemens 2007). Large numbers of skilled workers within many countries depart the rural areas in search of better earnings in cities, opportunities to maintain and upgrade their professional knowledge, comfortable working conditions with others who are skilled and talented, and an environment which is more secure and healthy for themselves and their families. In the debate about brain drain, passionate arguments are countered with reserved ones, conventional wisdom and popular perceptions clash with research findings, and straightforward reasoning collides with thoughtful investigation. Chen and Boufford have talked of “fatal flows” (2005), and Bach of the “catastrophe” in Africa’s human resources (2008), while Mills’ et al. (2008) have called for the international recruiting of health professionals from developing countries to be treated as a crime against humanity. In all of these and other public statements, the message is clear: “to some degree, skilled-worker migration causes impoverishment, disease, and death”(…) If this is true, then stopping skilled-worker migration per se must increase wealth, improve health, and lengthen life - for if stopping migration per se did not help solve the problem, then something else must be causing the problem (Clemens, 2009 ). Some countries have introduced strong policy measures to limit migration. Does this solve the problem? The OECD report of 2007 concludes that “the global health workforce crisis goes far beyond the migration issue” because “the health sector needs for human resources in developing countries exceed the numbers of immigrant health workers in the OECD.” At the same time, an observation of the performance of personnel in the health sector and the operation of the health systems themselves incline one to the conclusion that both the staff and the systems “would be extremely inadequate even if outflows of health professionals were somehow reduced” (Kinfu et al. (2009). However, the common wisdom that tells us that attracting skilled emigration is stealing human capital (and therefore killing people) from poor countries is widespread. An interesting quote of Clemens addresses this conviction: “emigration from a developing country is an active choice made by a person from a developing country. The language used in discussions of ‘brain drain’ frequently negates this simple fact by baselessly defining migration to be something that active people in destination countries ‘do’ to passive migrants from developing countries.(…) This is the case when skilled workers are said to be ‘exported’, ‘taken’, ‘poached’, ‘stolen’, or ‘sent’. These are all transitive verbs whose direct objects are passive recipients of an 16 action taken by someone else. Few people would speak of an American nurse who chooses to work in the Philippines as having been ‘exported’, since a person from a rich country is assumed to have agency in the migration decision - even if that person’s decision was influenced by a government action such as Peace Corps sponsorship. But it is common to speak of a Filipino nurse in America as having been ‘exported’, placing the migration decision in the hands of some unnamed other person who is not the migrant” (Clemens 2007) Recommendations The brain drain literature suggest that different diagnoses need to be made and different measures should be tailored to three target groups: potential skilled émigrés, those who have already departed and students applying for foreign grants for education. Simply blocking migration is neither effective nor ethical, since freedom of movement is a basic human right. Moreover, if the regulations are seen as too punitive they may be selfdefeating in propelling one-way permanent movement and ensuring a later lack of co-operation. The solution is to “train, retain, and sustain” workforces through national plans that improve salaries and working conditions, revitalize education, and mobilize paraprofessional and community workers whose services are more cost-effective and who are less likely to emigrate. Making it worthwhile for highly-trained professionals to stay is much more difficult. The third way of dealing with the problem is to replace them with competent locals at a rate as fast as or faster than the rate of their departure. The realisation of these tasks will depend on the global community's provision of appropriate financial and technical aid” (Chen and Boufford, 2006). Freedom of movement is especially important in countries with oppressive political regimes like Eritrea .The Scholar Rescue Fund provides fellowships for professors, researchers and lecturers whose lives and work are ravaged by fear, conflict and repression. Scholars are often persecuted for specific reasons, such as writing and researching about sensitive topics, while others face persecution purely due to general anti-intellectualism in their countries. Such scholarships permit them to find temporary refuge at universities and colleges anywhere in the world, enabling them to pursue academic work and to continue to share their knowledge with students, colleagues, and the community at large. The assumption is that when conditions improve, these scholars will return home to help rebuild their universities and societies. Solving the problem of brain drain requires the phenomenon to be reconsidered and uncomfortable questions to be answered. To limit movement or tackle underlying causes? To address proximate effects or long-term reasons? To continue free higher on or to allow and accredit private training and permit the financial sector to create educational loans for students 17 who then pay fees? Still the majority of doctors, nurses and teachers in developing countries receive substantial public subsidies for their training and then leave. In sectors such as business, administration, and engineering certification and regulation allow for the establishing of private and foreign “offshore” universities, where potential future migrants do not burden modest states budgets. Some countries will be in need of changes to their educational policies. The first of these is to make the number of tertiary-educated graduates fit more closely to the number of suitable work positions offered in the country. The absence of such a correlation is highly visible in Morocco, where “decades of government job guarantees for graduates have induced students to seek any degree, regardless of its utility in the production, since a degree, by itself, has long been a guarantee of a government job. Governments can no longer provide the necessary jobs, while policies impede private sector job creation" (de Haas, 2006). Secondly, curricula should be changed in order to address the most urgent needs of the particular country. A difficult question needs to be answered: should developing countries continue to educate (subsidized) high-class professionals or instead train paraprofessionals with skills tuned directly to local needs, targeting sectors and regions suffering from labour shortages? Rational and reasonable solutions may appear sound and realistic but their implementation may prove to be problematic: “subsidizing skills apt for the international market is an important underlying cause of professional emigration, and therefore of migration’s proximate impacts. Subsidizing skills for local needs is a preferable alternative to the more traditional method of ‘train and trap’. A common objection to proposals of this type is that people in poor countries deserve ‘the best’ health professionals and teachers, and task shifting robs them of these. But surely ‘the best’ service providers are those who are present and whose skills are best adapted to the pressing needs of the worst served populations” (Clemens, 2009). Introducing a study loans system, however, may be counterproductive. A decision to work overseas is often precipitated by the need to repay large student debts. In New Zealand, for example, a strong correlation was noted between the size of a student’s loan debt and the probability that that student would be working overseas within a year of graduation to pay the loan back. Many countries simultaneously have shortages in some professions and large numbers of professionals in the same sectors unemployed. Unemployment is higher among university graduates than among primary school graduates in Nigeria (Dabalen et al. 2000), as well as in Morocco, Jordan, and Egypt (Said 2001). This paradoxical situation sometimes occurs due to regulatory barriers that complicate the hiring of skilled workers into public service, such as legal requirements that all providers of a certain service be full civil servants with de-facto lifetime employment (and other regulations reviewed by Djankov and Ramalho (2009). This issue does 18 not affect all developing countries and industry sectors in the same way, therefore any solutions and policy responses need to be tailored to the specific needs and challenges of each affected country. With regards to the second group - those who have already departed - incentive packages that encourage professionals to return after completing their education abroad are becoming more common. In addition to the promise of competitive salaries and the prospect of good working conditions, some countries have established national research grants and endowments. Yet again, however, because of the financial constraints and political pressures in many developing countries, these local incentives can be difficult to sustain. Moreover, returning "migrants may, paradoxically, be extremely difficult to reintegrate into their countries of origin and may also be more vulnerable to unemployment in their countries of origin than people who have not migrated”(EU-ACP, 2009). Some of these efforts to attract professionals (and talented graduates) back to their countries of origin may not, therefore, bring the expected results. Many of the expatriates who have become well-off and accustomed to life in the host country and do not have sentimental or family reasons to draw them back may not wish to return. The objective, then, is to create links through which they could be used effectively and productively in the development of their homeland, without their physical return. The creation of intellectual and scientific diaspora networks aimed at establishing and maintaining productive communication and exchanges between members living abroad and their counterparts in their home country is one way of securing their contribution to the country's economic, political and social development. Scientific diasporas may publish and disseminate, among their members and academics at home country, newsletters, digests and periodicals with publications written by network members. In this way, the host country does not lose these skilled professionals, whose links with their country of origin may also in turn create opportunities for the host country. This may incline host countries to help, facilitate or support the diasporas on their territories. Kapur and McHale recommend “ to ensure that emigrants remain economically and socially connected to their former homes, which include policies that affect the probability of return. The purpose here is to maximize the benefits from having a well-connected diaspora and the capital-augmented return. Receiving and sending countries can make it easier for emigrants to travel, send remittances, and make investments. They can also help in solving the collective action problems inherent in organizing a diaspora” (Kapur and McHale, 2005). Approaches to emigrants vary by country and depend on the size of the emigrating population, the relations between the home and destination countries, and the existence of homecountry policies that can help to make use of their skills. The following cases are examples of 19 policies aimed at encouraging the temporary return of skilled migrants. The government of Taiwan, for instance, has actively offered return incentives to skilled workers abroad, such as the creation of the Hinschu Science-based Industrial Park. This followed the attractive job opportunities and political freedoms at home which encouraged the return migration of skilled Taiwanese workers in the 1980s and 1990s (O’Neil, 2003). In Africa, “Temporary Return of Qualified Nationals” and “Migration for Development in Africa” are two programs that enable interested skilled workers abroad to transfer knowledge and skills to their countries of origin through short-term positions in key ministries and other organizations. Another good example is the Ghana “Skills Bank” that was launched in the United States in order to recruit Ghanaian professionals living abroad for limited periods of work in Ghana. Additionally, the UN’s “Transfer of Knowledge Through Expatriate Nationals” program (TOKTEN) has for many years played a similar role in Lebanon, Palestine, Sudan, Afghanistan, Liberia, Rwanda and many other countries. The development impacts of these programs, however, are difficult to assess and have not been systematically evaluated. Kapur and McHale have discussed actions for which receiving countries can come to an understanding with sending countries and then put into practice: “one way to increase the probability of return is to make visas temporary without the possibility of leading to permanent status. The idea is that young people build skills, savings, and social networks while abroad and then return to use their accumulated human, financial, and social capital to the benefit of the home country. Such policies seem fair if the migrants understand the terms of their visa from the outset. Indeed, time limitations are perfectly legitimate for short stays. But seeing that many people quickly put down roots in their adopted countries, we think that medium- to long-term temporary and nonconvertible visas are not humane policy. A better approach is to create incentives to return as opposed to prohibitions on staying. For instance, governments could allow emigrants to return again at a later time if things do not work out, make social security entitlements portable, sponsor the return of people with badly needed skills, put money in special accounts during the migrant’s stay that can only be accessed on return, or ask the country of origin to provide information on opportunities at home” (Kapur and McHale, 2005). Trends in international skill flows There are several trends in the brain drain/gain equilibrium which can be observed in the contemporary globalized world. Here are presented twelve global patterns of brain drain that seems to be true for majority countries in the world. 20 1. Skilled workers leave smaller countries and those where incomes are lower. Brain drain is truly massive in a minority of countries and in specific sectors. There is little risk of brain drain for countries with high demographic potential such as China and India, which, despite having the highest numbers of skilled migrants working in industrialized countries, experience a much lower rate of loss of highly-skilled individuals, compared to ACP countries, where scientific communities are much smaller. There are positive correlations between low percentages of highly-educated workers in the population and low productivity (as measured by GDP per capita) on the one hand and loss of relatively more skilled workers on the other. The statistics show a constant skills outflow from the world’s poorest countries. Data from the year 2000 concerning the number of skilled arrivals to OECD countries place 81 countries in the group with a skilled immigration ratio of 15%, and 34 countries in the group with a ratio of over 33%. It is only this latter group that is threatened by the negative effects of brain drain. In 2003, Adams concluded that international migration does not tend to remove such a high proportion of the best educated. In two-thirds of the 33 major emigration countries he surveyed, less than 10% of the tertiary-educated population had migrated. The emigration of highly-educated migrants only seems to be massive in a limited number of smaller countries and in specific sectors, such as healthcare. According to the mainstream media the situation in some countries looks grim: more than half of the trained doctors from the small states of Antigua, Grenada, Haiti, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, and Guyana work abroad. There are similarly high proportions in the conflict-torn African states of Mozambique, Angola, Sierra Leone, Liberia and Congo, as well as the poor but English-speaking Tanzania, Kenya and Ghana. These countries have also lost considerable proportions of their highly-educated populations as a whole, with 67% of university-educated Haitians, 72% of Jamaicans, 27% of Kenyans and 33% of Ghanaians living abroad. Conversely, larger countries such as India or Nigeria have only a small proportion of their total graduates working abroad, although their numbers are larger in absolute terms. (BBC , 2008). 2. Educated professionals leave the places where they are scarcest. Human capital flows to places where it is already abundant. Brain drain is currently characterized by a ”demand pull” on the side of the receiving countries, whose immigration policies are determined according to domestic needs and labourmarket conditions, regardless of the consequences for the immigrants’ origin countries (Beine at al. 2008). Statistics show that the ratios of particular professionals available in the whole population is growing in wealthy countries and is decreasing in the remote and rural areas of poor countries (due to both domestic and international migration). For example, net importers of 21 health professionals such as Australia and Canada have more than 200 physicians and 800 nurses per 100,000 people, whereas Ghana, a net exporter of health professionals, has only 6,2 physicians and 72 nurses per 100,000, which translates to 16,129 people per physician and 1,389 people per nurse. 3. Skilled workers earn much more abroad. Emigration leads to a life-changing improvement in living standards. Skilled workers earn less – adjusted for purchasing power – in developing countries than in developed ones. A 2001 study of immigrants to the USA showed that, on average, men experience a 68% increase in earnings and women a 62% increase. With time they experience far larger wage differentials (Commander, Kangasniemi and Winters, 2002). Skilled migration between advanced countries is often temporary, while migrants from developing countries are generally more likely to stay in the host country than migrants from advanced countries. This is presumably caused by the larger gap in remuneration and related to the bigger improvement in living standards. 4. Skilled workers earn, save, invest and invent relatively more when they are in their home countries. This in turn causes economic growth. Skilled professionals are relatively highly-paid (with the exception of teachers in public primary and secondary schools). Through the higher taxes that they pay, they make an important contribution to the accumulation of national wealth, which can be used by the state for various development purposes. If, for example, money is loaned to entrepreneurs, it may lever other businesses, thus contributing to the country's development as well as generating further wealth for the state, from interest paid on the loans. 5. Diaspora networks can create mutual benefits by creating high-tech businesses, international trade and capital flow, but the results depend on the openness of the business and political environments. Fostering diasporas is a promising alternative, tapping into the knowledge and experience of expatriates and the financial resources they enjoy in their adopted countries and converting them into benefits for the home countries. Over the last decade many countries all over the developing world have used their expatriate experts, scientists and engineers for progress at home. Since the early 1990s various African governments have asked their diplomatic missions abroad to reach out to diaspora populations. The New Partnership for Africa's Development aims to promote such collaboration between Africans abroad with their domestic populations. Meyer and Brown have identified 41 expatriate knowledge networks around the world which have the explicit purpose of connecting their expatriate members with their countrymen at home to 22 exchange knowledge and skills. There are also many more diasporic societies with a more general purpose. Some of the more notable are : ALAS - Latin American Association of Scientists, ANA - Association of Nigerians Abroad, ASTA - Arab Scientists and Technologists Abroad, ATPAC - Association of Thai Professionals in America and Canada, ATPER Association of Thai Professionals in Europe, ATPIJ Association of Thai Professionals in Japan, BGN - Brain Gain Network, CESASC - Chinese American Engineers and Scientists Association of Southern California, CHISA - Chinese Scholars Abroad, FORS - Forum for Science and Reform, IRSA Irish Research Scientists Association, JANET - Japanese Associate Network, MARS - Moroccan Association of Researchers and Scholars, SANSA - South African Network of Skills Abroad, SIPA - Silicon Valley Indian Professionals Association, SCBA - Society of Chinese Bioscientists in America (Meyer and Brown, 1999). The success of the diasporas approach depends on the openness of the business and political environments, as is demonstrated by a comparison of the effectiveness of the diaspora networks of India, Taiwan and Israel as opposed to those of Russia, Vietnam and Iran. 6. The migration of certain educated individuals may damage the social welfare of those who stay behind in the short term but improves it in the long term. It is never the case that all highly-educated people in a developing country emigrate. A beneficial effect of brain-drain is the creation of an increased incentive for people who subsequently stay in their home countries to improve their levels of education (Mountford (1997), Stark, Helmenstein and Prskawetz (1997), Beine, Docquier and Rapaport (2001a), Commander, Kangasniemi, Winters (2002). The World Migration Report 2005, by the International Organization for Migration, examines the costs and benefits of migration for societies, governments and migrants, focusing particularly on the interrelations among migration and labour markets, development, integration, health and institutional structures. A key finding is that the costs and benefits of migration vary widely from situation to situation, which makes generalizations about the complex effects of international migration difficult. The benefits as well as the risks of skilled migration must be considered coolly without proposing any "one-sizefits-all" migration management policy (McKinley, 2005). Migration, remittances and domestic labour-market outcomes are jointly determined and the result of their interaction may bring positive effects. For the last two decades, the conception about the migration of skills has evolved, putting stronger emphasis on brain gain, and the expatriate skilled population may now be considered as a potential asset instead of a definite loss. Some studies have tried to identify the circumstances under which a developing country can benefit from skilled migration. They have identified several factors of major importance: sectoral aspects of migration and the way 23 migrants are screened in the receiving country, the size of the sending country, the duration of the migration and the effectiveness of diasporas in transferring their knowledge and skills. 7. The skilled are welcomed almost everywhere with few exceptions. A 2007 survey investigated the policies implemented by host countries with regards to highly-skilled workers. The responses indicated that only five countries (Bhutan, Botswana, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates) have policies in place to reduce the numbers of skilled workers arriving (Facchini and Mayda, 2009). Among the countries which are totally closed to permanent migration are the Republic of Korea for low-skilled workers and the UAE, Egypt and India for both high- and low-skilled migrants (Klugman, Jeni, and Isabel Medalho Pereira, "Assessment of National Migration Policies . An emerging picture on admissions, treatment and enforcement in developing and developed countries" United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Research Paper 2009/48. 8. The perception of skilled migration is better than that of unskilled migration. Skilled natives prefer an immigration policy that admits unskilled foreign workers, as this policy will increase the skilled wage. On the other hand, the arrival of unskilled immigrants and the persistence of skill levels over generations may give rise to a situation in which the unskilled workers become the political majority, and therefore vote for policies that benefit them as a group. In contrast, the results of a UN survey suggest that government policies are also favourable to skilled migrants in countries where skilled labour is “abundant”. There are three possible reasons for this result. First, the great majority of individuals, as citizens and voters, prefer skilled migration to unskilled migration, irrespective of whether they themselves are skilled or unskilled. Secondly, high income countries may prefer highly-skilled migrant workers for intuitive political reasons, i.e. skilled native voters will likely favour and oppose the admission of skilled and unskilled migrants respectively, as the latter will tend to vote for policies that favour unskilled individuals (Ortega 2005). Third, the cultural assimilation of highly-skilled migrants is easier than of low-skilled migrants ((Facchini and Mayda, 2009). 9. Circular migration occurs in parallel to the mainstream of one-directional or return migration. It is still a relatively exclusive privilege to be able to move back and forth freely between one’s home and destination countries. Having secure residential status in both countries, these individuals can benefit from the following advantages: the avoidance of having to make a definitive choice of country, the maintenance of significant ties in both locations, the differences in earnings and business profits, and the more favourable conditions for living and for raising and educating children. The status of those with dual citizenship or permanent residency permission 24 as described above is quite different from the status of those who are able to circulate, but not entirely freely. This situation occurs where the terms of their visas or contracts require them to leave the destination country after a specified period, obliging them to return home but allowing them the possibility of a repeat stay. Another situation is that of European students, teachers and researchers, who, thanks to the EU’s internal educational and research policy, are able to spend part of their student and working lives outside their home countries in the spirit of academic freedom of movement. (Newland, 2009). 10. The main south-north direction of brain drain is accompanied by marginal but worrying trends in some developed countries The well-known south-north dimension of brain drain is accompanied by its north-north and south-south equivalents. Countries that traditionally receive migrants, such as Australia, New Zealand and Great Britain, are seriously investigating their real or perceived brain drains, and are considering options for attracting back their highly-skilled and talented émigrés (Glassand and Choy, 2001). 11. It is scientists and engineers involved in research and development activities (rather than health professionals, whose brain drain is the most visible and debated) who are the major engines of wealth and development. Scientists and engineers are the key performers of R&D aimed at increasing the stock of knowledge and creating new applications in order to ensure sustainable development. Their work contributes to a better understanding of policy-relevant issues such as climate change, growth in resource consumption rates, demographic trends, and environmental degradation. They join foreign companies, research centres and multinational corporations and also circulate within international institutions and non-governmental organisations, as well as move to independent consultancy offered abroad. They make a wide contribution to the advancement of science, and foster innovative and far-reaching technological developments in their adopted countries. 12. The flow of skilled migrants will increase rather than decrease in the short to medium term. Economic and human development improves people’s capabilities and raises their aspirations and therefore tends to stimulate a future increase in emigration. 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