Determinants of Percent Change of Endangered Mammal Species: A Cross Sectional Study By: Shaylyn Allen sra001@maritta.edu A Senior Capstone Paper Submitted to: Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani ECON 421: Empirical Research Marietta College December 2013 ABSTRACT: This study was designed to find the determinants of the percentage change in endangerment of mammal species, in hopes to decrease biodiversity loss. The semilog equation was estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method of regression. With a sample of 75 countries in the year of 2008, six independent variables that were included were found to be statistically affecting the percentage change in endangered mammal species. The elasticity of endangered mammal species with respect to gross domestic product growth rate and carbon dioxide emissions was found to be positive and significant. The precipitation, temperature, interaction between both precipitation and temperature, and the percent of mammal species endemic to a country were found to significantly increasing the percent change of endangered mammals, while the percent of land protected was found to be significantly decreasing the percentage change of endangered mammal species. Variables that were included and not found to be significantly affecting the dependent were the percent of urban land, the logs of human population density, species richness and invasive species. Key words: Endangered Species, Regression, Gross Domestic Product, Pollution, Mammals JEL Codes: Q20, Q28, Q57 DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN EUROPE: DID THE EURO HAVE AN EFFECT? By: Tyler Blume Tjb006@marietta.edu A senior capstone paper submitted to Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Econ 421: Empirical Research Marietta College December 2013 Abstract This paper develops and estimates a model on the determinants of economic growth in Europe using short run aggregate supply and aggregate demand theory. The question of interest is: did the induction of the Euro and the continued move towards converging currencies spur economic growth? The sample of this study consists of 31of the 47 members of the Council of Europe in the years 2000 and 2004 respectively. The dependent variable is percentage change in real GDP in country i during year t. The major result of this study is that the convergence to the Euro did not have a significant effect on percentage change in real GDP. Other findings include a significant positive correlation between the year dummy and the dependent variable as well as a significant negative correlation between the price for a liter of oil and the dependent variable. Keywords: GDP growth, Euro, Regression JEL: C21, F43, F36 Towards a More Liberal International Order: Factors Leading to the Creation of Bilateral Free Trade Agreements By: Eric A Miranda eam004@marietta.edu A Capstone Paper, Submitted to Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani, ECON 421: Empirical Research, Marietta College December 2013 Abstract: The liberal economic order being advocated first by the United Kingdom in the nineteenth century and by the United States in the twentieth and twenty first centuries has caused Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) to grow in popularity, and their rate of formation has accelerated since the creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO). This paper seeks to explain the determinants of bilateral FTA formation. The paper will do this using a probit estimation model which analyzes 87 observations (bilateral pairs of countries) randomly selected from the population of polities. The paper finds that a common language, distance, and diplomatic relations all have a tremendous impact on FTA formation. Keywords: Bilateral Free Trade Agreement, Probit Model, Political Factors Journal of Economic Literature Classification Codes: F14, F15, F55 DETERMINANTS OF INWARD FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN LATIN AMERICA 2008-2011: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS By: Sean O. Kuhn sok001@marietta.edu A senior capstone paper Submitted to Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Econ 421: Empirical Research Marietta College December 2013 Abstract Since 2000 wherein the UN’s Millennium Development Goals enumerated foreign direct investment as a targeted method of ending absolute poverty, the size of FDI inflows into the developing world have markedly increased. Empirical analyses thereon generally fall into one of two separate but inherently related camps—whereas the first set examines the factors which influence the size of FDI inflows, the second set attempts to quantify the relationship between these inflows and host-state development. This study employs three variations on a yearly fixed-effect OLS methodology in an attempt to answer the former question framed with respect to a sample of twenty developing nations in Latin America between 2008 and 2011. To supplement the canonical dependent variable definition of FDI as a percentage of GDP, novel analysis is introduced by also defining FDI inflows in terms of their elasticity and as a per capita measurement. Across all dependent variable operationalizations, host states’ business climates and export barriers are found to be significantly correlated with FDI [positively and negatively, respectively]. Freedom from corruption, democracy, natural resource endowment, corporate profit tax rates, and population are also found to be positively and significantly correlated with FDI in at least one equation. Key Words: Foreign Direct Investment, Latin America, Regression JEL Codes: F230, F590 THE EFFECTS OF GUN CONTROL LEGISLATION: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY By: Tristine Toves tst003@marietta.edu A Senior Capstone Paper Submitted to Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani ECON 421: Empirical Research Marietta College December 2013 Abstract This study uses a sample of the 50 U.S. states during 1998 and the OLS method to estimate three regression equations in order to determine the effect of gun control legislation, among other control variables, on the violent crime rate, the murder and non-negligent manslaughter rate, and the percent of murders committed by firearm in a state. The degree of gun control legislation in place during 1998, as measured by the Open Society Institute’s index, was not found to have a statistically significant impact on the violent crime rate, non-negligent manslaughter rate, or the percent of murders committed by firearm. However, I found that the degree of urbanization and the percentage of a state’s population that was African-American were significant predictors of various measures of crime rates. I also found that the availability of firearms, measured by the number of federal firearms licensees (FFLs) that were either dealers or pawnbrokers per 100,000 people in a state did not have a significant effect on the percent of murders committed by firearm in a state. My findings suggest that future efforts to control crime rates should not focus on tightening gun control legislation, but on other factors affecting crime rates. Keywords: Gun Control, Crime Rates, Regression K00, Z18, K30, K39 Determinants of the Female Labor Force Participation Rate in the United States: A State-Level Cross Sectional Study in 2000 & 2010 By: Xiaoyan Liu xl007@marietta.edu A senior capstone paper submitted to Dr. Jacqueline Khorassani Econ 421: Empirical Research Marietta College December 2013 ABSTRACT The overall female Labor Force Participation Rate (FLPR) has declined in the US in recent years. In some states, however, this rate has increased. What are the causes of the overall decline in FLFPR and what are the factors that account for the differences in the FLFPR across the fifty states and the District of Columbia? To find the answers to these two questions, this study uses the OLS method, a cross-sectional state level data set in the U.S. in years 2000 & 2010 to estimate a regression equation in which the dependent variable is the FLFPR. The major findings of this study are that the variables controlling for education, eligibility for welfare payments, having young children, and median age of female population positively and significantly correlated with the FLFPR. While the variables controlling for the percentage of female disabled, the existence of diversion program, the average household size, the male and female unemployment rates, the female median age squared, and a dummy taking a value of 1 in 2010 were factors that negatively and significantly correlated with the FLFPR. Key Words: Female Labor Force Participation Rate; Empirical Analysis; Regression Journal of Economic Literature classification codes: D13, E24, J20, J4