MINISTERIO
DE CIENCIA
E INNOVACIÓN
SECOND INTERNATIONAL COURSE
DOÑANA BIOLOGICAL RESERVE
“ECOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGES: INTEGRATING
RESEARCH APPROACHES”
MONDAY 26 SEPTEMBER TO FRIDAY 7 OCTOBER 2011
Course Contents
Coordinators
Juan J. Negro (Assistant Director of Doñana Biological Station & Department of Evolutionary
Ecology, Sevilla, Spain)
Arndt Hampe (Research Director, UMR1202 ‘Biodiversity, Genes & Communities’ (INRA),
Cestas, France)
Begoña Arrizabalaga (Project management of Doñana Biological Station, Sevilla, Spain)
Lectures
MIGUEL ARAÚJO
Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales (MNCN). CSIC. Madrid, Spain.
Ecological niche modelling under climate change
1. Theory of niches and distributions
2. Modelling niches under climate change
3. Uncertainties and ensemble forecasting
4. Uses of niche models
 Practical work: Introduction to BIOMOD R (by MARÍA TRIVIÑO, MNCN)
KEITH BILDSTEIN
Hawk Mountain Sanctuary. Orwigsburg, Pennsylvania, USA.
Climate change and raptor migration: likely effects and consequences
1. Global overview of short- and long-distance migration in birds of prey
2. How global change is likely to change the overall map of raptor migration
3. Ecological and evolutionary consequences of climate change on raptor migration
4. Distribution and abundance of birds of prey on island
5. Ecological and evolutionary consequences of climate change on island raptors
Reserva Biológica de Doñana
Palacio de Doñana
21760 Matalascañas, Huelva
MINISTERIO
DE CIENCIA
E INNOVACIÓN
JOSÉ S. CARRIÓN
Universidad de Murcia. Spain.
A palaeoecological perspective in vegetation science
1. Introduction to palaeoecology and palynology: concepts and methods
2. Quaternary vegetation history in the Mediterranean Basin and the Iberian Peninsula
3. Patterns of woody plant extinctions through the past 5 Myr
4. Confronting the palaeorecord with the ‘potential natural vegetation’ concept
ISABELLE CHUINE
Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE). CNRS. Montpellier, France.
A process-based approach to the niche
1. How to study phenology: time series, experiments, citizen science programmes
2. What is environmental determinism? Unanswered questions and challenges from recent
climate change
3. How to model phenological events: some theory regarding plants and insects
4. Why does phenology drive species distribution?
5. Modeling species distributions: correlative, process-based, and hybrid models
6. Do projections of different model types and climate scenarios converge?
7. A glimpse at modeling niche evolution in a climate change context
8. New developments in species distribution models: modeling dispersal and the evolution of
genetic traits
 Practical work: Computer-based adjustment of a phenological model and development of
predictions
ARNDT HAMPE
UMR1202 ‘Biodiversité, Gènes & Communautés’ (BIOGECO). INRA. Cestas, France.
Forests of the past: a window to future changes
1. A brief overview of past climate changes and species’ responses
2. Introduction to plant phylogeography
3. Tree phylogeography in the Mediterranean: from Neogene to Holocene
4. Population dynamics, evolution and conservation of trees under modern climate change
Reserva Biológica de Doñana
Palacio de Doñana
21760 Matalascañas, Huelva
MINISTERIO
DE CIENCIA
E INNOVACIÓN
GEORG HOFFMANN
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht (IMAU). Utrecht Universiteit. The
Netherlands.
Climate physics, climate history and climate prediction
1. Introduction into the principles of physical processes controlling the climate on Earth;
energy balance of the planet (greenhouse gases, clouds, convection); most important climate
oscillations (ENSO, Monsoon, NAO).
2. Climate from the deep past (last 350 million years) to the last 1000 years; proxies (deep sea
sediments, ice cores, speleothems); forcing factors (continental distribution, volcanoes,
Milankovitch cycles, solar activity, greenhouse gases); impacts (mass extinctions, historical
events).
3. Climate models: How do they work? The conceptual ideas of the IPCC report; the central
importance of the concept of climate sensitivity; some conclusion on how climate will
change the next 100 years; uncertainties in predictions; some impacts (sea level rise, sea ice
retreat).
MIGUEL TEJEDO
Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD). CSIC. Sevilla. Spain.
The role of thermal physiology to forecast the impacts of climate change in ectotherms.
1. Temperature and ecological performance in ectotherms
2. Mechanistic assessment of vulnerability to global warming. The role of macrophysiology
3. Geographical variation in vulnerability. Can tropical ectotherms take the heat?
 Practical work: Thermal tolerance estimates in amphibian tadpoles (by HELDER DUARTE
& MIGUEL TEJEDO, EBD)
FERNANDO VALLADARES
Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales (MNCN). CSIC. Madrid, Spain.
Global change versus climate change in Mediterranean ecosystems
1. Interaction among factors
2. Response of key plant species to climate change
3. What can we do? Mitigation, ecological restoration,…
 Practical work: Measurement of ecophysiological parameters in the field
Reserva Biológica de Doñana
Palacio de Doñana
21760 Matalascañas, Huelva
MINISTERIO
DE CIENCIA
E INNOVACIÓN
COURSE PROGRAMME 2011
12:00 - 12:30
12:30 - 14:00
14:00 - 15:00
16:00 - 19:00
20:30 - 21:30
09:00 - 09:30
09:30 - 11:30
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09:30 - 11:30
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09:00 - 09:30
09:30 - 11:30
14:00 -15:00
20:30 - 21:30
Monday, September 26
ARRIVAL AT SEVILLA (ESTACIÓN BIOLÓGICA DE DOÑANA)
BUS TRANSFER FROM SEVILLA TO THE RESERVA BIOLOGICA DE DOÑANA (RBD)
LUNCH (RBD)
STUDENT PRESENTATIONS
DINNER (RBD)
Tuesday, September 27
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. HOFFMANN LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. HOFFMANN LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
Dr. HOFFMANN PRACTICAL LESSONS
DINNER (RBD)
Wednesday, September 28
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. CARRION LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. CARRION LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
VISIT TO DOÑANA NATIONAL PARK
DINNER (RBD)
Thursday, September 29
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. ARNDT LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. ARNDT LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
FIELD TRIP
DINNER (RBD)
Friday, September 30
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dra. CHUINE LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dra. CHUINE LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
Dra. CHUINE PRACTICAL LESSONS
DINNER (RBD)
Saturday, October 1. FREE DAY.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
OPTIONAL: BUS TRANSFER FROM RBD TO SEVILLA
FOR THOSE WHO DECIDE TO STAY: LUNCH (RBD)
DINNER (RBD)
Sunday, October 2. FREE DAY.
Reserva Biológica de Doñana
Palacio de Doñana
21760 Matalascañas, Huelva
MINISTERIO
DE CIENCIA
E INNOVACIÓN
09:00 - 09:30
14:00 -15:00
19:00 - 20:30
20:30 - 21:30
09:00 - 09:30
09:30 - 11:30
11:30 - 12:00
12.00 - 14.00
14:00 -15:00
17:30 - 19:30
20:30 - 21:30
09:00 - 09:30
11:00 - 12:30
12:30 - 12:45
12:45 - 14:00
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16:00 - 20:00
20:30 - 21:30
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09:30 - 11:30
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16:30 - 19:30
20:30 - 21:30
09:00 - 09:30
09:30 - 11:00
11:30 - 13:00
BREAKFAST (RBD)
LUNCH (RBD)
BUS TRANSFER FROM SEVILLA TO RBD.
DINNER (RBD)
Monday, October 3.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. BILDSTEIN LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. BILDSTEIN LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
FIELD TRIP (BIRD RINGING STATION IN MANECORRO)
DINNER (RBD)
Tuesday, October 4.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. TEJEDO LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. TEJEDO LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
Dr. TEJEDO PRACTICAL LESSONS
DINNER (RBD)
Wednesday, October 5.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. VALLADARES LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. VALLADARES LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
Dr. VALLADARES PRACTICAL LESSONS
DINNER (RBD)
Thursday, October 6.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
Dr. ARAUJO LECTURE
COFFEE BREAK
Dr. ARAUJO LECTURE
LUNCH (RBD)
MARÍA TRIVIÑO PRACTICAL LESSONS
DINNER (RBD)
Friday, October 7.
BREAKFAST (RBD)
CONCLUSIONS AND EVALUATIONS
END OF THE COURSE. BUS TRANSFER FROM RBD TO SEVILLA
Reserva Biológica de Doñana
Palacio de Doñana
21760 Matalascañas, Huelva