APEC PROJECT Evaluation Report on SME 02-09T: Access to Credit Seminar Project number: Date received by Secretariat: SME 02-2009T Name of Committee/Working Group/Taskforce: SME Working Group Title of Project: Capacity-Building Seminar on Ease of Doing Business: Access to Credit (Access to Finance for SMEs) Proposing APEC Economy: New Zealand, Singapore Co-sponsoring APEC Economy(ies):, Canada, Peru, USA, Mexico, Australia Project Overseer: Name, Title and Organization: Dr Roger Wigglesworth, Director, SMEs Effective Markets Branch New Zealand Ministry of Economic Development Financial Information Total cost of proposal (US$): US$ 149,000 Amount being sought from APEC Central Fund (US$): US$ 74,500 Type of Project: seminar/symposium Project start date: 4 October 2009 Project end date: 4 October 2009 Brief description of Project : The Access to Credit seminar was held in Singapore on 4 October 2009 prior to the 29th meeting of the APEC SME Working Group, to discuss improving access to finance for SMEs, particularly in light of the current global economic crisis. The seminar was the sixth in the series of capacity building seminars on the ease of doing business and part of APEC’s Private Sector Development agenda.1 Improving access to finance for SMEs is an agreed priority for the SME Working Group’s Strategic Plan 2009-2012. The seminar was designed therefore to facilitate a discussion on policies, programmes, regulatory frameworks and regulations regarding access to finance in member economies, assisting officials to identify and implement reforms which encourage more effective access to finance by SMEs. Presentations were made by representatives from a range of APEC economies: Ms Belinda Kwan from Hong Kong China’s Trade and Industry Department opened and chaired the seminar. Ms Kwan gave an overview of the current credit situation facing 1 The APEC Private Sector Development Agenda and multi-year work plan was originally endorsed by Leaders in 2006. The work plan consists of a series of capacity building seminars each based on one of the ten World Bank Doing Business indicators. An accelerated work plan was endorsed by Ministers Responsible for Trade in June 2008 which aims to complete all ten seminars by the end of 2011. Successfully completed workshops in the series to date include the topics of starting a business, business licensing, paying taxes, trading across borders and enforcing contracts. 991110 Page 1 of 23 SMEs and the measures that Hong Kong China has implemented to help SMEs weather the global economic crisis. Ms Tea Trumbic from the World Bank’s Doing Business project, who leads the research team for the indicator on Getting Credit, outlined how APEC member economies fare in the World Bank’s annual Doing Business survey when it comes to ‘getting credit’ and the types of reforms top reforming economies in this area are implementing. Mr Allan Riding from Ottawa University in Canada explained the results of the written survey distributed to member economies prior to the seminar, which sought to gain a deeper understanding of the current perspectives and practices regarding access to credit by SMEs in APEC economies. Mr Manuel Pino from the Peruvian Ministry of Production gave a presentation from a developing economy perspective, explaining the particular challenges and constraints faced by Peruvian SMEs in obtaining finance, as well as steps that Peru is taking, working with the World Bank, to address these. Mr Paul Bayly, from Cranleigh Merchant Bankers in New Zealand gave participants an insight into the particular challenges faced by New Zealand SMEs. Ms Florence Tan from the Overseas Chinese Banking Corporation in Singapore looked at the question of access to finance for SMEs from a bank’s perspective. In addition, participants were given the opportunity during the closing panel discussion to ask questions of the presenters and express views on the content of their presentations. Satisfaction levels with the seminar were high, with remarks on the high level of engagement from well-qualified speakers and participants. The project was completed well within the budgeted sum, with only US$22,832 spent from the APEC-funded budget of $74,500, most of which covered the travel costs of the speakers to attend the seminar. Signature of Project Overseer: (Separate written confirmation acceptable for email submission) Signature of Committee Chair/WG Lead Shepherd: Progress Report and Evaluation Report) (Separate written confirmation acceptable for email submission) 991110 Date: 10 March 2010 (Not applicable to Date: Evaluation of Outcomes. Framework (for all projects) Project Overseer’s comment The seminar was successfully held in the margins of the 29th SME Working Group Meeting. The organisation from the hosting economy (Singapore) was very thorough and the cooperation between economies in developing the seminar was very good. The support received from co-sponsoring economy Canada, which organised a survey to be conducted prior to the seminar to inform discussion, was particularly appreciated (sample response attached). In all, approximately 30 people participated in the ‘Access to Credit’ seminar from eleven different APEC member economies. In addition to officials responsible for SME policy, the seminar was attended by representatives from the banking sector, the APEC Business Advisory Council, and academia. A participants list is attached. The turnout for this seminar compared to other seminars in the Ease of Doing Business series was slightly disappointing, but this was mostly due to the day (Sunday) which had been allocated to the seminar by the organisers of the SME Working Group meeting. It would be advisable for future seminars in the Ease of Doing Business series to be scheduled on a day that would help maximise attendance. The project was completed well within budget. Canada self-funded the pre-seminar research, so the money set aside for this cost from the APEC budget was not required. The total costs from the APEC-funded budget amounted to US$ 22,832, less than one-third of the original budget of US$ 74,500. As with the previous seminars the feedback from participants was positive. Sample survey responses from speakers and participants are attached for reference. The speakers for this particular seminar were of particularly high calibre and their presentations elicited many questions from the floor during the panel discussion. Many participants asked for copies of the presentations to be emailed to them after the seminar, particularly the presentation by the World Bank and the one by the Canadian presenter who summarised the results of the survey of APEC economies. The format of carrying out a survey beforehand to assess the particular challenges faced by individual APEC economies in each of the Ease of Doing Business indicators under consideration, to help inform discussion at the seminar, is a good one and it is recommended that this format be continued for remaining seminars in the Ease of Doing Business series. The next step is to prepare a best practice guide based on the information provided at this and other seminars in the Ease of Doing Business series, subject to final approval. The output from this series of seminars will also contribute directly to the new APEC Economic Committee initiative of champion economies and the strong thrust to enhance the ease of doing business across APEC economies generally. Signature: 991110 4 Name: Roger Wigglesworth 991110 5 List of participants at ‘Access to Credit’ seminar Family Name Given Name Representation Organisation Designation Chong Teng Tsuboyama Maslina Salleh Pigeon Riding Chao Hsu Lee Wu Wu Yang Kwan Hariadi Kuspurwahati Sutanto Resmi Sari Miranda Nakamura Bayly Wilton Pino Patiño-patroni Chan Chan Chung Ho Huang Lai Odunlami Tan Suntichanathiput Mudd Juliana Theng Dar Luis Galvan Said Effandi Anne Allan Wen-heng Hsiu-ling Guann-jyh Pei-chen Ching-hsin Chia-hsien Belinda Bambang Habsari Yunita Silvia Kazuto Paul Daniel Jennifer Manuel Lai Yong May Mei Zhi Lai Thoe Chi Bao Simin, Veron Cheng Yi Jean-philippe Audrey Attanisa Michael ABAC ABAC APEC Secretariat Brunei Darussalam Brunei Darussalam Canada Canada Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei Chinese Taipei Hong Kong, China Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Invited Guest Japan New Zealand New Zealand Peru Singapore Singapore Singapore Singapore Singapore Singapore Singapore Singapore Thailand United States Singapore Business Federation Singapore Business Federation APEC Secretariat Industry and Primary Resourcss Industry and Primary Resourcss Industry Canada University of Ottawa Taiwan Institute of Economic Research Small and Medium Enterprise Adminisration Small and Medium Enterprise Administration, MOEA Taiwan Institute of Economic Research Small and Medium Enterprise Administration Small and Medium Enterprise Administration, MOEA Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region The Agency For the Assessment and Application Technology Ministery of Coop and SME Directorate of Credit, Rural Bank Supervision and SME Ministry of Foreign Trade SME Agency, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Cranleigh Merchant Bankers Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade Ministry of Production SPRING Singapore IE Singapore IE Singapore SPRING Singapore SPRING Singapore SPRING Singapore Focus Partners LLP IE Singapore Office of SMEs Promotion/Ministry of Industry Computing Techology Industry Association Project Executive Chief Executive Officer Director (Program) Project Officer Senior Duty Officer Senior Policy Advisor Professor Associate Research Fellow Section Chief Director Assistant Research Fellow Specialist Technical advisor Assistant Director-General of Trade & Industry Delegate Delegate SENIOR ANALYST Advisor Assistant Director Director Policy Officer Delegate Manager Senior Officer Deputy Director Deputy Director Manager Senior Officer Managing Partner Division Head Mangement Official Director of Public Policy Asia Pacific 991110 Combined responses from speakers to post-seminar questionnaire for APEC Ease of Doing Business Seminar: Access to Credit Project Code: SME 02-09T Project Title: Capacity-Building Seminar on Ease of Doing Business: Access to Credit Your evaluation of the project will assist the assessment by the APEC fora. Your responses to the following questions are appreciated. Part A. Summarize Project’s Purpose and Expected Results Names: Florence Tan and Paul Bayly (a) What activities did you attend? Training Conference Duration: 1 Day Project start date: 4 Oct 2009 X Seminar/Symposium Project end Date: Other (pls. specify) 4 Oct 2009 (b) What were your roles before, during, and after the activity? Florence Tan and Paul Bayly: Speakers for APEC Access to Credit Seminar held at Shangri-La Hotel on 4 Oct 2009. (c) Do you think the project achieved its objectives? What were the project’s results/achievements? Florence Tan: The panel of 6 speakers shared their views on how the different government agencies in their respective countries assisted SMEs in overcoming the financial crisis through various risk sharing financing schemes. It was a relatively good turnout at the seminar considering it was held over the weekend. Paul Bayly: The seminars were very informative and am sure set the base for comprehensive discussions by the APEC working groups. (d) Were the attendees the most appropriate target group? Florence Tan: No information about the participants. Paul Bayly: Yes, based on a limited understanding of participants. I met a wide variety of industry, academic, and government officials and all prepared to find the seminars interesting and useful. 991110 7 (e) What is your assessment of the overall effectiveness of the project? Florence Tan: The government agencies participating in the seminar may be in a better position to assess the assessment of the overall effectiveness of the project. Paul Bayly: Very effective as evidenced by the turnout and high level of engagement. (f) Was there any room for improving the project? If so, how? Florence Tan: The participation rate might be better if there was more publicity on the event and if the seminar was held on weekday instead of over the weekend. Paul Bayly: I understand a longer day format has been used but felt the seminar could be longer. (g) Any other suggestions: Paul Bayly: More options to network such as dinners and optional tours as noticed many people dispersed without an opportunity to meet up later except on a one-to-one basis. Please hand the completed survey to one of the organisers on the day of the seminar or email your response to nadine.brown@med.govt.nz 991110 8 Response from participant at APEC Ease of Doing Business Seminar: Access to Credit Project Code: SME 02-09T Project Title: Capability-Building Seminar on the Ease of Doing Business: Access to Credit Your evaluation of the project will assist the assessment by the APEC fora. Your responses to the following questions are appreciated. Names: Yunita Resmi Sari (Bank Indonesia) (a) How have you or your economy benefited from the project? I have learned the measures taken by other economies in overcoming or lessening the impact of the recent financial crisis to SMEs The perspective of other party on our system will be beneficial for us to evaluate then improve the system (the world bank survey) How well our economy perform compared to others in the region (b) What new skills, knowledge, or value have you gained? Other economies policies and regulations on SMEs, as well as data and information and economic indicator prior and after the crisis The definition on SMEs in other economies Impact of the crisis to SMEs and banking sector (c) What, if any, changes do you plan to pursue in your home economy as a result of the project? I will share and propose some relevant policies in my agency I will share the result of the survey to related department in my agecy (d) What needs to be done next? How should the project be built upon? Sharing from other economies on their program to boost economy after the crisis Sharing from the economies about the result of the project has been proposed to lessen the impact of the crisis (for instance in Singapore and Hongkong, as they already presented their policies, then it would be interesting to know further the result of their policies) (e) Is there any plan to link the project’s outcomes to subsequent collective actions by fora or individual actions by economies? Yes, there is a plan to do so, but of course as long as it is in line to the national policy as a whole 991110 9 (f) Please use the same scale to rate the project on an overall basis. [5] [4] (Good) [3] [2] [1] (Poor) What is your assessment of the overall effectiveness of the project? 5 (g) Was the project content: (Check One) X Just Right Too Detailed Not Detailed Enough (h) Please provide any additional comments. How to improve the project, if any? More variety on economies to share the experience, for example some developed economies and some developing economies. Please hand the completed survey to one of the organizers on the day of the seminar or email your response to: nadine.brown@med.govt.nz 991110 10 ACCESS TO CREDIT FOR SMALL BUSINESSES IN THE APEC REGION ( ) PRE SEMINAR SURVEY The purpose of this questionnaire is to examine perceptions of access to finance for small- and medium-sized firms (SMEs) for the economies in the APEC region. This survey begins by reviewing the period that preceded the so-called global financial crisis (GFC), then examines the perceived impact of the crisis on SME financing and concludes by identifying ways in which governments have intervened (if any) during the GFC. Response from Philippine Department of Trade and Industry, Bureau of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Development (BMSMED). Section 1: The Financial Markets for SMEs, June 2005-June 2008 In answering the questions posed in this first section, please use the three-year period ending in June 2008 as the reference period. Overview of the Credit Market 1. What formal sources of credit-based financing are available to SMEs (however your economy defines an SME) in your economy? CHECK ALL THAT APPLY a. Term loans to the business from private sector commercial lenders b. Lines of credit/operating loans from private sector commercial lenders 991110 ✓ ✓ c. Commercial credit cards ✓ d. Leases from private sector financial institutions ✓ e. Direct loans from government ✓ f. ✓ Loans from government-owned financial institutions g. Commercial credit cards ✓ h. Trade credit owing to suppliers ✓ i. Factoring ✓ j. Personal loans to the business owner(s) from lending institutions ✓ k. Personal credit cards ✓ l. ✓ Micro-credit 11 2. Is the amount of private sector credit in your economy measured? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, what is the average ratio of total private sector credit to GDP during the 2005/08 reference period? ____.038____per unit GDP (approx.) 3. If the amount of private sector credit available is measured in your economy, what proportion of private sector credit available was accounted for by loans to SMEs during the reference period? a. Not measured b. Proportion of private sector credit loaned to SMEs was ___8___ % (approx.) ✓ 4. Is the amount of private sector venture capital under management in your economy measured? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, what is the average ratio of total private sector venture capital under management to GDP during the 2005/08 reference period? ____________per unit GDP 5. During the reference period, was credit to SMEs in your economy facilitated by means of one or more government-funded loan guarantee or risk sharing programs? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, please described the broad parameters of such programs per the headings in the following table (if there are multiple programs, please complete one such table for each program). Name of program / URL Credit Guarantee Program Small Business Corporation (SBC) www.sbgfc.org.ph What is the primary goal of the program? To provide guarantee for SME loans and to encourage financial institutions to lend to MSMEs though credit risk sharing (credit supplementation). The SBC takes a bigger risk for a guarantee fee. SBC envisions the Program to be a means of enterprise graduation for nearbankable SMEs and for the pre-bankable to being bankable. Which segment(s) of the SME population is targeted by the program (size, sectors, etc.)? 991110 Business activities or enterprises engaged in industry, agri-businesses or services, whether single proprietorship, cooperative, partnership or corporation whose total assets (inclusive of those arising from loans but exclusive of the land on which the business is located) does not exceed Php 100 million (approx. US$ 2 million) ✓ ✓ 12 How is the program delivered? Through accredited financial institutions What is the annual volume of loans under the program? Php200 million – Php300 million What is the take-up rate of the program (for what proportion of total annual SME lending does the program account)? Has the incrementality (additionality) of the program been estimated? If so, with what results? Have the economic benefits attributable to the program been estimated? If so, with what results Very small No No 6. Has your government developed an official published public policy strategy or framework on entrepreneurship / innovation? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, are issues related to access to financial capital included within it? a. No b. Yes ✓ 7. During the reference period (June 2005 – June 2008) were government policies or programs introduced or changed to facilitate access to credit for SMEs in your economy? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, please describe the nature of each policy of program by including information related to the headings in the table below. Please complete one copy of the table for each reform. Name of program / URL What was the general nature of the reform? Interest rate subsidy? Additional funding/support for an existing program? Is it a temporary or permanent initiative? To whom is the program targeted? SMEs? Lenders? Business associations? Non-profit groups? 991110 ✓ 13 What is the primary goal of the program? Which segment(s) of the SME population is targeted by the program (size, sectors, etc.)? How is the program delivered? What is the annual rate of usage under the program? Has the program been evaluated? If so, with what results 8. Again with reference to the 2005/08 reference period, did any level of government in your economy provide loans directly to SMEs? a. No b. YES, through a government program Please describe briefly all such program(s) or provide website reference(s) ✓ www.bsp.gov.ph c. YES, through a government-owned financial institution Please describe briefly all such program(s) or provide website reference(s) www.bsp.gov.ph www.sbgfc.org.ph 991110 14 Perceptions of the Credit Market AGREE/DISAGREE?? Again with reference to the 2005/08 reference period, to what extent would you agree/disagree with the following statements? A “1” signifies that your agree strongly with the statement; a “7” that you disagree strongly; and a 4 that you neither agree nor disagree. (Answers are in bold ) It was a widely-accepted view within my economy that small businesses generally face disproportionate difficulties with respect to obtaining business loans. Don’t Know It was a widely-accepted view within economy that innovative small businesses generally face disproportionate difficulties with respect to obtaining business loans. Don’t Know It was a widely-accepted view within my economy that the demand for credit available to small firms exceeds the supply of credit. Don’t Know It was a widely-accepted view within my economy that the demand for venture capital to small firms exceeds the supply of venture capital. Don’t Know STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Private individuals (including friends and Don’t family) are an important source of Know financing for small firms in my economy. STRONGLY DISAGREE The legal system in my economy is Don’t consistent with an efficient credit market. Know STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Over the 2005 to 2008 period, the supply of credit to SMEs in my economy increased. Don’t Know Over the 2005 to 2008 period, the legal setting for the credit market in my economy was strengthened. Don’t Know It is a widely-accepted view within my economy that small firms in certain sectors (for example, knowledge-based businesses, exporters, minority-owned, etc.) face difficulty obtaining loans. Don’t Know 991110 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 15 Section 2: The Financial Markets for SMEs, June 2008 to the present In answering the questions posed in this second section, please use the period from June 2008 to the present as the reference period. Overview of Changes in the Credit Market 9. To what extent would you say that the supply of each of the following sources of financing for SMEs has changed? (Refer to BSP) Term loans to small Don’t Not businesses from private sector know applicable commercial lenders in my economy Lines of credit/operating loans Don’t Not to small businesses from know applicable private sector lenders in my economy Commercial credit cards Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Leases from private sector Don’t Not financial institutions know applicable in my economy Direct loans from government Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Loans from governmentDon’t Not owned financial institutions know applicable in my economy Commercial credit cards Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Trade credit owing to Don’t Not suppliers know applicable in my economy Factoring Don’t Not know applicable in my economy 991110 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased No Increased Substantially Change Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased No Increased Substantially Change Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased No Increased Substantially Change Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 16 Personal loans to the business owner(s) from lending institutions Personal credit cards Micro-credit Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Don’t Not know applicable in my economy Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 Decreased Substantially No Change Increased Substantially 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 10. If the amount of private sector credit available in your economy is measured, what was the ratio of total private sector credit to GDP as of the end of the first quarter of 2009? Data is as of 1st semester a. Not measured b. Ratio of private sector credit to GDP was (computed at total direct compliance / GDP) 2009) _____.10____per unit GDP (approx. as of 1st sem. 11. If the amount of private sector credit available in your economy is measured, what proportion of private sector credit available in your economy was accounted for by loans to SMEs as of the end of the first quarter of 2009? a. Not measured b. Proportion of private sector credit loaned to SMEs was _____21_____%. (approx. as of 1st sem. 2009) 12. If the amount of private sector venture capital invested in SMEs in your economy is measured, what was the ratio of total private sector venture capital under management to GDP as of the end of the first quarter of 2009? a. Not measured ✓ b. Ratio of private sector venture capital under management to GDP was ____________per unit GDP 991110 17 13. During the global financial crisis reference period (June 2008 – present) were any additions or changes made to the policies and programs in your economy aimed at further facilitating access to credit for SMEs? a. No b. Yes If “Yes”, please describe the nature of each such reform by including information related to the headings in the table below. Please complete one copy of the table for each reform. Name of program / URL What was the general nature of the reform? Interest rate subsidy? www.sbgfc.org.ph Department of Trade and Industry-Small Business Corporation Loan Program Financial Assistance Additional funding/support for an existing program? Is it a temporary or permanent Temporary initiative? To whom is the program Micro and displaced workers targeted? SMEs? Lenders? Business associations? Nonprofit groups? What is the primary goal of the program? To mitigate the impact of the economic crisis. The loan is expected to be invested in small businesses. Which segment(s) of the SME population is targeted by the program (size, sectors, etc.)? Microentrepreneurs and displaced workers How is the program delivered? Implementation is being done by the Small Business Corporation What is the annual rate of usage under the program? Has the program been evaluated? If so, with what results 991110 ✓ 18 Section 3: Sample Scenarios In answering the questions posed in this section, please use the present as the reference time period. Scenario 1 The owner of a small printing business in your economy that employs six people is seeking to expand by adding an additional printing press. The business has been in operation for eighteen years and has operated profitably for the last five years. The business has previously borrowed from a local commercial lending bank and has repaid all prior borrowing on schedule. The owner is seeking a term loan from the same bank to finance the entire cost of the new machinery with the machinery to be used as collateral security for the loan. Under this scenario, to what extent would you agree/disagree with each of the following statements? In my economy, the lending bank would be able to access credit histories on the firm as well as on the owner to help with the lending decision. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, there is a very strong likelihood that the owner’s loan application would be approved. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, the owner’s loan application would only be approved under the terms of a loan guarantee or risk sharing program. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if the loan application was approved, the interest rate and fees associated with the loan would be relatively low. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if business conditions deteriorated such that the business missed three successive monthly payments, the lender would seek to foreclose on the collateral. STRONGLY DISAGREE In my economy, if business conditions deteriorated such that the business missed three successive monthly payments, the lender would seek to foreclose on the collateral (i.e. the lender forces the sale of the assets given as collateral) In my economy, if the lender foreclosed on the collateral due to non-payment of the debt, the legal system would enforce the lender’s position in a timely manner. STRONGLY DISAGREE 991110 STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------5--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 19 Scenario 2 The owner of a small printing business in your economy that employs six people is seeking to address business losses and the ensuing cash flow difficulties arising from the poor economy of the last year or so. The business has been in operation for eighteen years and has operated profitably for the five years preceding the most current year. The business has previously borrowed from a local commercial lending bank and has repaid all prior borrowing on schedule. The owner is seeking an operating loan from that bank to finance the business’ cash flow needs with the firm’s inventories and accounts receivable to be used as collateral security (assets given as collateral) for the loan. Under this scenario, to what extent would you agree/disagree with each of the following statements? In my economy, the lending bank would be able to access credit histories on the firm as well as on the owner to help with the lending decision. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, there is a very strong likelihood that the owner’s loan application would be approved. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, the owner’s loan application would only be approved under the terms of a loan guarantee or risk sharing program. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if the loan application was approved, the interest rate and fees associated with the loan would be relatively low. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if business conditions further deteriorated such that the business missed three successive monthly payments, the lender would seek to foreclose on the collateral (i.e. the lender forces the sale of the assets given as collateral to cover the outstanding debt). In my economy, if the lender foreclosed on the collateral due to non-payment of the debt, the legal system would enforce the lender’s position in a timely manner. 991110 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 20 Scenario 3 The owner of a new printing business in your economy is seeking to finance the start-up of the enterprise. The owner has presented a business plan that shows that the firm will not become profitable for at least 12 months but projects a substantial and growing profit for several years thereafter. The owner of the firm is new to the community and has no personal of professional history with the local lending bank. The owner is seeking an operating loan from that bank to finance the business’ cash flow needs during the start-up period. Under this scenario, to what extent would you agree/disagree with each of the following statements? In my economy, the lending bank would be able to access credit histories on the firm as well as on the owner to help with the lending decision. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, there is a very strong likelihood that the owner’s loan application would be approved. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, the owner’s loan application STRONGLY STRONGLY would only be approved under the terms of a loan DISAGREE AGREE guarantee or risk sharing program. 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if the loan application was approved, the interest rate and fees associated with the loan would be relatively low. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, the business owner may be able to finance the business start-up by accessing venture capital. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 In my economy, if business conditions further deteriorated such that the business missed three successive monthly payments, the lender would seek to foreclose on the collateral(i.e. the lender forces the sale of the assets given as collateral to cover the outstanding debt). 991110 STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 21 Scenario 4 The owner of a small pharmaceutical firm with six employees is seeking financing for human trials of a patented new drug that has shown great effectiveness in laboratory and animal trials for the treatment of Type II diabetes. If successful, it is expected that the firm’s sales and profits will at least double each year for the next 10 years until the patent expires. The business has been in operation for eighteen years and has operated profitably for the last five years. The business has previously borrowed from a local commercial lending bank and has repaid all prior borrowing on schedule. The owner is seeking an operating loan from the same bank to finance the (significant) entire cost of the human trials. The firm’s plant and equipment will be used as collateral security for the loan but the amount of borrowing is expected to exceed the value of the collateral. Under this scenario, to what extent would you agree/disagree with each of the following statements? In my economy, there is a very strong likelihood that the owner’s loan application would be approved. In my economy, the owner’s loan application would only be approved under the terms of a loan guarantee or risk sharing program. In my economy, if the loan application was approved, the interest rate and fees associated with the loan would be relatively low. In my economy, the business owner may be able to finance the trials by accessing venture capital. In my economy, having patent protection would be a significant factor in the firm’s ability to access financing. STRONGLY DISAGREE STRONGLY AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY STRONGLY DISAGREE AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY STRONGLY DISAGREE AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY STRONGLY DISAGREE AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 STRONGLY STRONGLY DISAGREE AGREE 1--------2--------3--------4--------5--------6--------7 991110 Evaluation Group Assessment # 1 Criteria Were all the objectives fully achieved? 2 Were all the outputs fully achieved? For ECOTECH and other projects, has the completed project contributed to a priority APEC theme? 3 For TILF projects, has the completed project specifically contributed to trade and Investment liberalization and facilitation to achieve Bogor Goals? 991110 Explanations (what to look for) What exactly were they? (What skills were improved – from what level to what level; was capacity built and institutions strengthened – by how much? Was economic efficiency and performance increased – how was it measured?) Were they also of a satisfactory quality? Has it contributed to one of the priority themes in the 1996 Manila Declaration, or has it been directly relevant to one specific priority set by APEC Ministers and Leaders, or a vision statement from a working group. Has it contributed to one of the Actions in Specific Areas in Section 3 of Osaka Action Agenda in 1995, or has it addressed issues directly contributing trade and investment liberalization and facilitation? Comments (if any) Assessment 23 4 Is there an opportunity for any follow-up projects? Are there any additional actions needed? Are there any ideas or pending issues that can be followed up? 5 Any other relevant points? 6 In your judgment has the project been successful? For example, list the lessons learned; are they useful and have they been communicated to other interested parties? To what extent were the objectives achieved and how relevant were they? What useful lessons have been leaned for future projects? Based on current information, could this project be earmarked for an impact evaluation in the future? Comments by Lead Shepherd/ Chair: Lead Shepherd/ Chair’s Signature: Comments by Secretariat: 991110