THE LABOR MARKET IN CRETE AND ITS PROSPECTS Crete, at the most southern point of both the country and Europe, gazes with optimism at the new millenium. Its course of progress during the last two decades shows that the island of Psyloritis can play a leading role in the economic developments. During these years, the economy of this large and self-sufficient island developed further than the rest of the country. As a consequence, it has now exceeded the GNP's average growth rate, while the relevant prospects look even more auspicious. The native population, which in 1998 numbers approximately 540.000 people, increases at a higher rate than the national average, although with a slight decline at its growth rate. The island's economically active population increases steadily (211.185 people in 1991, 231.000 in 1996 and 244.000 in 1998). Part of this increase is combined with the increased presence of financial immigrants who are employed mainly in agriculture, in constructions and in subsidiary occupations. Our estimations, which are in agreement with the international ones, show that the untaxed financial activities in our country reach the level of 30%. If one accepts this fact, then this kind of economical activity in Crete must exceed the proportion of 35%. This fact can be attributed to the relatively large number of financial immigrants, the small size of businesses in average, as well as the traditionally social status of tolerance all around the island. Consequently, the total as well as the per capita regional income in Crete is increased by the above-mentioned percentage. In addition, the compound index of productive infrastructure and human development, with the inclusion of the number of lyceum students per classroom, of hospital beds and telephone numbers per 1.000 inhabitants, as well as the kilometers of provincial road nets per square kilometer, lies above the national average. These compound aforementioned positive inferences explain the fact that Crete shows the lower levels of unemployment in the whole country. According to surveys on human resources, carried out by the National Statistical Service of Greece, the percentages of unemployment in Crete show the following course in relation to the ones of the entire country (Tables 1 and 2). Table 1 Development of the percentages of unemployment for the entire country and Crete between 1993-98 YEAR ENTIRE COUNTRY CRETE 1993 9,7 4,2 1994 9,6 4,3 1995 10,0 4,8 1996 10,3 3,8 1997 10,3 4,6 1998 10,8 7,2 *Source: Sampling research of the Work Force of NSSE in 1993-97 and at the 2nd trimester of 1998. *The relevant evidences regard the 2nd trimester of 1998 Table 2 Population of 15 years old and above per District, occupation and unemployment Areas Population Total Occupied Total Unemployed in percentage per work force Non work force Entire country 8.702,2 4.445,7 3.967,2 478,5 10,8 4.274,5 East Macedonia 425,5 242,5 220,8 21,8 9,0 209,9 and Trace 1.482,2 737,0 660,9 76,1 10,3 745,2 Central Macedonia 226,9 111,6 98,9 12,7 11,4 115,3 252,5 117,0 101,2 15,9 13,6 135,5 151,0 79,4 76,4 3,1 3,9 71,5 532,1 266,6 237,4 29,2 11,0 265,5 429,5 208,6 181,8 26,8 12,8 220,9 3.326,4 1.700,6 1.493,4 207,2 12,2 1.625,8 West Macedonia Epirus Ionian Islands West Greece Main Greece 446,2 227,1 208,6 18,5 8,1 219,1 Attica 153,0 67,6 60,3 7,4 10,9 85,4 Peloponnese 205,7 106,5 99,7 6,8 6,4 99,2 North Aegean 451,5 262,6 243,8 18,9 7,2 188,9 South Aegean Crete *Source: NSSE, Sampling research of work force, 2nd trimester of 1998 (in thousands of people) For the year 1998, the data refer to the second trimester of the year, i.e. months April, May and June, which only in part represent the summer season that shows a highly increased seasonal employment rate, especially in intensively tourist oriented regions, such as Crete. This influence demonstrates most eloquently the particularly important seasonal employment pattern that characterizes the island's financial activity. This fact is connected with the increased presence of tourism as well as the existence of traditionally seasonal agriculture, such as olive and grape cultivation. In the rural areas where a large part of the population lives – one can notice a large dispersion of small villages of 200-250 inhabitants –in its turn creates an increased need for infrastructure, especially as far as roads, water-supply systems and drainage are concerned. This same problem is crucial in mountainous and secluded areas. In the large cities, especially Heraclion, besides the problems in water supply and drainage systems – which are lately taken care of thanks to proper action – another serious and hardly irreversible problem is that of the urban construction without planning. There is a hope that the proper enforcement of order, as well as the display of the necessary sensitivity and sense of good taste, will work towards the elimination of this particular problem, at least form now on. This is something that the inhabitants of the city must all agree upon in the first place. Important improvements and expansions, concerning airports and ports, are on their way, while the parts in Rethymno and Agios Nicolaos are bound to be completed within the year 2000. However, the sea tourism in Crete has not attracted the business initiative until now, mainly because the island's geographical position is remote in relation to the usual destinations of tourist boats. It should be particularly noted that there is an increased urban and economical concentration at the northern part of the island. Despite recent interventions many parts of the road net are in poor condition and far from the condition of the national road net. The south road net of the island still remains uncompleted, for which both regional oppositions and concentration on other priorities are to blame. The inequality in the development of Crete in favor of its northern part results in further positive prospects of employment in these regions. However, in the long term it is only natural that, the already apparent, satiation will occur, while this does not apply to the southern regions. Their development according to the modern sensitivity and concerns about environmental and urban planning require, above all, the proper political will and coordination towards materialization. The agricultural productivity of the island is rich and covers all the needs of the local market, while a part of it is exported mainly in Athens. As it was noted above, the traditional olive and grape growing cultivation is of special importance. As far as the olive production is concerned, the State should persist in supporting it, under auspices of the European Union. It is especially so, if one considers the fact that olive oil from Crete has gained international acclaim for its many qualities as part of a healthy and modern diet. This of course will lead to internationally competitive prices and mass production. The greenhouse cultivation has been greatly developed in the island. It constitutes 50% of the national total. Although, this intensive cultivation occupies many foreigner workers, it can offer long-term work opportunities for properly qualified work force from any educational level. The climate offers also many opportunities for horticulture as well as ecological cultivation, which is in great demand worldwide, especially recently since dioxins made their appearance. So, every concentration connected with agriculture has positive perspectives under the condition that there is satisfactory and developing education and concentration in modern and alternative culture. Fishery never had and will never have an important role in Crete because the Cretans traditionally do not occupy themselves with such activities. The founding of the Institute for the sea research in Crete does not guarantee the sought after creation of aquiculture because there is no interest in it and also because there are very few adequate sea patches. In the foreseeable future there are no auspicious prospects for employment in fishery. The animal breeding shows potentiality and satisfactory employment prospects especially in mountainous Crete. The specific flora and climate of the island are advantageous for apiaries, although this specific activity has not yet attracted the business initiative. The industrial sector in Crete traditionally presents limited development. It is based mainly on small or medium sized production units and certain large joined business, some of which have problems and malfunctions. In general, this sector is oriented to the processing of agricultural products, food and beverage, as well as to sectors of plastic and construction materials. The production of constructing materials is particularly connected with the increased, although often without plan, construction activities in the island. The function of industrial zone in Heraclion and of small business industrial zone in Chania is not sufficient for the coordinated and quick productive development of the District. In general, the balance of demand and supply in industrial processing will remain stable in the near future, while the construction activities will be moderately developed. Positive prospects lie ahead for mechanological, electrological, electronical and generally technological professions under the condition that there will be constant development and adaptation to the ever-changing and fast growing technology. As Crete being an island, there are large navigational units, which take advantage of their monopoly, thus gaining large profits, although at the same time they result in the augmentation of travelling costs for persons and merchandise. Despite the negative consequences for the total competitively of the island, there are remarkable prospects in the local labor market, concerning marine and other transportations. Until recently the energy deficit was a crucial problem, as the island depends upon the continental Greece for its energy supplies. In order to face this problem, the District Administration is working decisively towards the creation of a new Electrical Power Station with 150MW power, in combination with the use of renewed energy sources. At the same time, two privately invested aeolian energy parks, as well as one photovoltaic park already function. There are also positive prospects of employment for expert personnel on the energy sector and the multiple work positions that will be created. Table 3 Analysis of funds per sector Class of Intervention Mediterranean Integrated Programs & Regional Operational Programs 198393 Regional Operational Programs Primary 27,0 Process National Division, Initiatives – Collective Total Adjudication of Project/1 (Billion dr.) 1994-99 Coherence Treasury 1994-99 31,9 41,8 1,5 102,0 31,8 11,7 14,4 0,1 58,1 Tourism-Culture 18,6 20,8 11,5 - 50,8 Human Potential Work Force 18,5 22,1 6,9 8,2 47,5 Research-Technology 4,5 3,3 17,3 4,3 29,4 Health-Welfare 3,3 16,2 4,0 1,6 25,8 Environment-Natural Resources 6,0 9,7 6,6 - 22,3 Urban road net 11,2 12,7 16,9 1,8 42,6 Transportations 30,0 48,5 28,9 9,6 117,0 *Source: District Development Plan 2000-2006 for Crete From the studying of evidences for the human potential work force, a slight shortage in the numbers of graduates from higher and middle education is ascertained, in relation to the national average. Still this fact, during the current period, rather lightens than burdens the pressures on the unemployment front, if it is considered that Greece is the only country in Europe where lyceum and university graduates present higher unemployment percentages than those of secondary school. From the one who signs the present essay, it has been repeatedly emphasized in researches, reports and articles that the Greek educational system, as it is directed on long-standing and nonelastic ideas, produces unemployed people. And that this unfortunate reality – so long as no immediate and grave interventions are done – is responsible for more than half of the total percentage of unemployment in our country, as well as for the huge percentages of unemployment among young people. The same ascertainment likewise, leads to an unjustified waste of economical and educational funds, to a decreased competitiveness of economy, as well as to creation of expectations of unachieved prospects for the youth, with whichever unpleasant consequences. For this reason, the occupation of graduates, in the entire country but also particularly in Crete, at other sectors than the ones they have studied ascent to unprecedented international standards and is on the highest level compared to the other statemembers of European Union. The important presence of new Universities and TEI (Technological Education Institutes) in Crete, along with considerable research centers – in spite of all the recent problems of administrative and managing substance that have been presented in certain circumstances – constitutes a basic vault for educational and researching prospects and relevant personnel employment. Besides, the indicators of research activity in the District of Crete appear to be quite higher than most of the other districts of the country. The important national and European Community funds that are directed for the same sector in Crete, prejudge an equivalent ascending course in the future with accordingly restrained positive consequences for employment (see Table 3). Particularly, the presence of research centers on peak technologies and specifically in computer science, telematic and telecommunications should be emphasized. The balance of professions in sectors that are connected with computer science is very positive, at both abroad and our country, under the condition that the employees in relevant sectors constantly follow and are trained at the rapidly developing and upgrading technology. Computer science, telematic, telecommunications, automations, graphic design with contemporary electronic means constitute the "labor avenues" of today and tomorrow. This fact of course concerns pioneer regions like Crete. Particularly positive are the prospects of economical, administrative and commercial professions. As it has become evident from pilot researches that has taken place recently for the labor market in Crete, the balance of professions of this big category appears to be slightly more positive than from what it stands for the entire country. Because of the use of new technology in the banking system, of the intense competition and of the equivalent international developments, the prospects for banking and insurance professions are negative. The same stands for stock market professions due to the oversupply of labor in the last years, in a field like the Stock Market that glows but is not gold. Negative to very negative are the prospects of labor market for educational guidelines of social-anthropological, physic, mathematical and law sciences, as it also stands for the entire country. Very negative are the prospects, among others, for philologists, theologists, archeologists, anthropologists, ethnologists, for graduates of political sciences and public administration, due to increased supply and decreased demand in those fields. It is obvious that graduates of the above mentioned fields can pursue employment at other fields and especially at those connected with computer science, as well as foreign language teaching. And this happens, because the knowledge of foreign languages and particularly English, today constitutes a necessary asset mainly for middle and higher levels of labor market and specially for tourism. It is also pinpointed, the special sensitivity and emphasis (see Table 4) that characterizes the current sensible leadership of the District, between others, on subjects of environment. This fact involves positive developments at relative professions. The new concentrations on high educational levels, quality control professions and environmental protection, as well as professions like carpentry, glass manufacturing and ceramic, show a positive prospect. Table 4 The development of the Gross District Product (per sector %) 1981 1991 2001(prediction) Primary Sector 33,2 28,4 22 Secondary Sector 20,4 16,3 12 Tertiary Sector 46,4 55,3 66 *Source: Crete District Particularly satisfying is the health infrastructure in the District of Crete, with a higher than the national average index of beds per 1000 inhabitants, with comparatively high rank Hospitals and 103 regional community clinics and first rank health units of ISI (Institution of Social Insurance). The prospects of balance of supply and demand for paramedical professions are positive while they are intensely negative for doctors, dentists and pharmacists due to the oversupply of labor in those professions at a national level. Due to the demographic aging of population, as also to the increased obligations of a modern just-governing State towards elderly people and people with special Needs, the prospects of professions of psychology and well fare are outlined just about positive. The same stands for professions of housework and those of security service. Notable is the case of fine and applied arts, as also of information and mass communication professions, which present a neutral to negative prospect, in the entire country. Slightly better must be the situation in those case in Crete, of course with vivid differences in proportion with the subcategory, the specialties and the districts. The structure of the three grand sectors of economy (primary, secondary, tertiary), follow as much the international as the national trends. The tertiary sector is overinflated, which in 2001 is predicted to represent the 66% of the whole (see Table 4). Naturally, the biggest portion is occupied from tourism, which is the most powerfully developing sector, with a share in the District Product from 8% in 1982 to 20,4% in 1995 and with further increasing trends. It is obvious that the prospects of employment in travel and tourism industry professions represent the biggest hope for the creation of new work positions. Equivalent positive prospects present sport, entertainment and nautical professions. The compulsory turn to quality tourism imposes an important upgrading of tourism training and re-education, in all levels and concentrations of tourism education. The most recent developments in the same field indicate a conversion from massive tourism and grand hotel units, to middle and small units that offer high quality services combined with architectural elegance and hospitality, in accordance with the local traditions. The promotion of alternative activities – like tourism conventions, the creation of golf courts, centers of alternative therapies and hydrotherapy, the elevation of antiquities and historical features of cities, as well as the organization of cultural demonstrations – constitute positive steps for tomorrow. To the same directions that appertain to equivalent concentrations of the work force, It is only natural to orient an important part of the labor demand in the immediate future. In general, what come first nowadays is the appropriate training and retraining of the work force towards directions and concentrations that are in demand in the labor market. The need of turn of the educational system towards new directions, the emphasis on high technology and particularly on computer science and the compulsory knowledge of at least one foreign language, constitute the appropriate resources for gaining the future of labor. Of a remarkable as much as competitive future, that particularly in the case of Crete is outlined optimistically. These ascertainments, of course, do not indicate that young people should neglect their cultural and humanitarian background, which is a necessary provision for the soul. For good knowledge of contemporary technology, anything but enough is for the integration of the human persona, particularly for the persona of the Cretans that single out, above all, for their humanity, their aliveness, their wisdom, their hospitality and for their constant relationship with their roots.