1 (Mock manuscript No.1: Cluster analysis of the ultrasound findings) Large scale ultrasonography screening for cholangiocarcinoma in northeastern Thailand: a cluster analysis Nitaya Chamadol MD, Narong Khantikeo MD, Puangrat Yongvanit PhD, Watcharin Loilome PhD, Nisana Namwat PhD, Cameron Hurst PhD, Ross Andrew PhD, Trevor Petney PhD, Bandit Thinkhamrop PhD. Abstract Background: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is one of the most fatal cancer and reported as the world’s highest rate among natives of the northeastern Thailand. Ultrasonography findings of the livers of population at the high risk to CCA might offer ways for future studies. Objective: To describe pattern of abnormalities of ultrasonography findings of the liver among population at the high risk to CCA in northeastern Thailand. Methods: This reported results from the baseline screening for CCA as of August 2014 of an ongoing project- the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP) conducted in northeastern Thailand, the region known to have the world’s highest rate of cholangiocarcinoma. Participants were northeasterners who were at least one of the followings: 40 years or older, ever been infected with liver fluke, ever been treated with praziquantel, or ever been consumed raw fresh water fish. Ultrasonography were done by well-trained medical radiologists. This study has been approved by Khon Kaen University Ethic Committee and registered at Thai Clinical Trial Registry (TCTRXXXXXX). Results: Of 35,577 participants, xx.x% were male with a mean age of xx.x (standard deviation = x.x) years. There were xx,xxx (xx.x%) participants found to have at least one abnormalities. Majority of them, xxx (xx.x%), had peripheral bile duct and xx (x.x%) had fatty liver. Those who had either one or both of these abnormalities shared about one third of all screened population (xx.x%). The most common combination of the abnormalities was ???? (xx.x%) followed by ???? (xx.x%) and ???? (xx.x%). Proportion of liver mass was xx.x% and of bile duct dilatation was xx.x%. Cluster analysis revealed that there were x dominant and distinctive clusters of ultrasonography findings including ????. The prevalence of these subgroup were xx.x%, xx.x%, xx.x%, and xx.x% respectively. Conclusion: One third of risk population in northeastern Thailand had either peripheral bile duct or fatty liver. These shared almost all abnormalities of the livers. The data suggested that ??? Keywords: cholangiocarcinoma, ultrasonography screening, periductal fibrosis, fatty liver, cluster analysis 2 INTRODUCTION Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is the one of the most fatal cancer and reported as the world’s highest rate among natives of the northeastern Thailand. Ultrasonography of the liver allowed detection of liver mass and bile duct dilatation which are findings of suspected CCA to be referred for further investigation for early stage CCA. However, the findings in large scale population screening have never been reported. <More to be written> METHODS Design overview This reported results from the baseline screening for CCA as of August 2014 of an ongoing project- the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP, see details at www.cascap.in.th). Northeastern Thailand has long been known to be the region with the world’s highest rate of cholangiocarcinoma. Participants were northeasterners who were at least one of the followings: 40 years or older, ever been infected with liver fluke, ever been treated with praziquantel, or ever been consumed raw fresh water fish. Ultrasonography were done by well-trained medical radiologists. Ethical consideration This study will be conduct according to the International Conference of Harmonization (ICH) Good Clinical Practice (GCP) guideline and the Declaration of Helsinki. The final study protocol and the final version of the Written Informed Consent had been approved by Khon Kaen University Ethic Committee. This study was registered at Thai Clinical Trial Registry (TCTRXXXXXX). Statistical analysis Baseline characteristics of the participants were examined using descriptive statistics. Percent descriptions of abnormalities of the liver based on ultrasonography findings were presented. Cluster analysis was used to identify subgroup of the abnormality. All statistical analyses were implemented using Stata 13 (StataCorp, College Station, TX). 3 RESULTS Table 1. Baseline characteristics presented as number and percentage unless specified otherwise Characteristics Mean age SD (years) Age group Less than 50 50 – 60 Greater than 60 Education No formal education Primary school Secondary school Tertiary school Collage Under graduate Post graduate Occupation Unemployed Farmer Labor Own business Government/State enterprise Others Ever been infected with liver fluke Never been tested Tested and found to be positive Tested and found to be negative Cannot remember Ever been treated with praziquantel Never been treated 1 occasion 2 occasions 3 occasions More than 3 occasions Cannot remember Having relatives with cholangiocarcinoma No Yes Relatives with cholangiocarcinoma Grandparent (Paternal) Grandparent (Maternal) Uncle/Aunt (Older) Total Number (%) xx.x x.x Male Number (%) xx.x x.x Female Number (%) xx.x x.x xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) 4 Characteristics Uncle/Aunt (Younger) Parents Son/Daughter Sibling Nephew/Niece Spouse Smoking No Yes, either current or previous Alcohol consumption No Yes, either current or previous Alcoholic toxicity No Yes, either current or previous Ever eaten uncooked or fermented fish (specifically, fresh water with scales) No Yes, either current or previous Underlying diseases None Hepatitis B Hepatitis C Diabetes Others Total Male Female Number (%) Number (%) Number (%) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) 5 Figure 1. Summary of ultrasonography findings 6 Table 2. Findings of ultrasonography screening Characteristics Total Number (%) Male Number (%) Female Number (%) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) xx xx xx xx (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) (xx.x) Patterns of ultrasound findings PDF Fatty liver Cirrhosis Mass 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 ... Fatty liver sub-categories None Mild Moderate Severe Periductal fibrosis sub-categories None PDF 1 PDF 2 PDF 3 Liver mass sub-categories None Single mass Multiple mass Size of greater than 5 cm. Dilated bile duct sub-categories None Right lobe Left lobe Common bile duct Gall bladder Normal Wall thickening Duct dilatation 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) 7 Characteristics Wall polyp Wall mass Gall stone None Single Multiple Total Male Female Number (%) Number (%) Number (%) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) Figure 2. Cluster analysis of findings of ultrasonography screening xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) xx (xx.x) 8 DISCUSSIONS Explaining the findings <copy narrative parts of the Results followed by explaining each important findings in turn , 5-10 references needed here in this section where about half of them are the same as the one cited in the Introduction section of the manuscript> Strength of the study <to be written> Limitation of the study Can selection bias distort the findings? Can information bias distort the findings? Can confounding bias distort the findings? Conclusions (copy from the Conclusion section of the abstract then add some) Recommendations <to be written> ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors thank to ???. 9 POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST This study was financially supported by the Cholangiocarcinoma Foundation of Thailand. All authors reported no conflicts of interest. REFERENCE <To be written>