Unit 1 Homework For all homework please place your answers on a separate sheet of paper. Make sure that you show your work and when appropriate write your answers in complete sentences. Read each question carefully. Reading and using language is really important 1.1- Counting 1) A car company offers a series of options for their interiors in their new sports car. An individual can have leather or cloth interior, a Bose sound system, a THX sound system, or a stock sound system, and dark tinted windows or no tinting. How many different kinds of cars can the company claim if each owner has a choice of interior, sound system and windows? Draw a tree diagram to illustrate your answer. 2) How many different words can you make using the following words: a) Puzzle b) Statistics c) Antidisestablishmentarianism 3) Suppose that you are using two regular-sided dice. Answer the following questions. a) How many different values can you get from rolling the two dice? b) How many different ways can you get a seven using the two dice? c) How many different ways can you get less than five? d) In the game of craps, rolling a two, three or twelve is called rolling craps. How many ways can you roll craps on two fair dice? e) The probability that you will roll craps is The number of ways that you can roll craps The total number of values that you can roll on the dice Calculate the probability that you will roll craps on a single roll. 4) This one might take a little research. How many different California Lotto MegaMillion tickets can you create? Make sure to explain your reasoning. 5) The probability of winning the lottery is: The number of winning tickets The total number of tickets Calculate the probability that a ticket that you create will win the lottery. Given the information that you have above, would you say that there is a good chance of winning the lottery if you bought a single ticket? Use the probability and counting to explain your reasoning. 6) Create a word problem of your own for each of the following kinds of techniques. Then when you are finished writing the problem, answer it. a) The Multiplicative Principle b) Factorials c) Combinations d) Permutations 7) Discuss in your own words the difference between a combination and a permutation. Detail how you could tell the difference between the two. Unit 1.2a- Probability For each question, make sure to show your work and when necessary write your answers in complete sentences. 1) Suppose that you own a sandwich shop. For each sandwich, you can select one meat, one cheese, and a one choice of bread. There are four kinds of meats, three kinds of cheeses and two kinds of bread. Find the probability for each of the situations. a) The probability of selecting a sandwich that is made with roast beef. b) The probability of selecting a sandwich with roast beef or ham. c) The probability of selecting a sandwich with roast beef and cheddar. d) The probability of selecting a sandwich with ham or cheddar. e) The probability of selecting a sandwich made with roast beef or ham given that the sandwich has cheddar cheese on it. 2) At a particular night club, 22% of the people in the club were African-American, 31% are Latino, 40% are Caucasian, and 7% are Asian-American. Answer the following questions a) Suppose that there are 600 people in the club. How many people are African American? Caucasian? Asian-American? Latino? b) Suppose that 60% of the Latino patron's are women? How many of the patrons are Latino women? c) Suppose that 55% of the African-American patron's are men. What is the probability that you will select a patron at random that is an AfricanAmerican woman? d) Suppose that 55% of the African American patron's are men and that 57% of all of the patron's are women. What is the probability that you will select a patron at random that is an African American or a woman? 3) The following numbers represent a randomly chosen group of 1000 Santa Ana College students who are all taking transfer level mathematics. The following are the demographics for these students. 45% of the students are taking Math 219 (6% are African-American, 52% are Latino, 32% are Asian, 10% are Caucasian), 30% are taking Math 160 (10% are African American, 40% are Latino, 35% are Asian-American, 15% are Caucasian) and 25% are taking Math 105 (4% are African American, 70% are Latino, 20% are Asian-American, and 6% are Caucasian). Construct a table with the ethnicity of the students as the rows and the class that they took as the columns to help answer these questions. The most informative way to set up the table is put the number of individuals and not the percentage in each of the boxes in the table. 4) 5) 6) 7) a) What percentage of the students in your survey are both Latino and taking Math 219? What is the probability that you will select an individual who is both Latino and taking Math 219? b) What is the probability that you will select an individual at random that is a Latino or an African American? c) What is the probability that you will select an individual who is either a Latino or a student in Math 219? d) What is the probability that you will select an individual who is not Latino? What is the probability that you select someone who is not Latino or is not taking Math 160? e) What is the probability that you will select an individual that is not AfricanAmerican given that the individual is taking Math 105? Write and solve a probability problem using the tools that we have in Unit 1.2a. For your problem construct a Venn Diagram that demonstrates the different sets in your probability problem. Give an example of an event that has a probability of zero. Give an example of an event that has a probability of one. Explain why it is impossible to have a probability of greater than 1. Unit 1.2b For each question, make sure to show your work and when necessary write your answers in complete sentences. 1) Suppose that you conducted a study where you asked Santa Ana residents whether or not they had been to Disneyland. You conducted a survey of 150 randomly chosen people. Of those 150 people, 95 of them said that they had been to Disneyland. a) What is the probability, if you selected without replacement, that the first five people that you questioned would have gone to Disneyland? Explain your reasoning. b) Suppose that you put all of the responses in a hat and selected ones at random with replacement, what is the probability that the first three that you selected would not have gone to Disneyland? Explain your reasoning. c) Suppose that you selected 20 responses at random, what is the probability that all of the responses would have been from people who had been to Disneyland? Explain your reasoning. 2) Suppose that you were given a jar filled with red, green and black beads. There are 10 black beads, 25 red beads, and 17 green beads. a) What is the probability, if you selected without replacement, that you would select a black bead, then a red bead, then a green bead? What if you selected the beads with replacement? Explain your reasoning. b) Suppose that you wanted to figure out what the probability was that you would select a green bead, a red bead, and a black bead from the jar without replacement. What is the probability that you would do that? c) What is the probability that you will select, with replacement, 5 consecutive green beads? Would you say that this probability is likely? Explain your reasoning. d) Which is more likely, selecting 5 consecutive green beads with replacement or 3 consecutive black beads with replacement? 3) Whenever we use statistics that are gathered from a large population, we consider that any kind of probability we are doing with them is done with replacement. Hence for each selection, the probabilities do not change (what is the technical term for this?). Suppose that at Santa Ana College, 60% of the students are Latino, 20% are Asian, 15% are Caucasian, 3% are African American, and 2% are Native American. a) If we walk into a classroom of 500 students that is roughly representative (what do I mean by this term) of the population at Santa Ana College, how many would we expect to be Latino? Asian? Caucasian? African American? Native American? Explain your reasoning. b) What is the probability that two students chosen at random will both be Latino? c) What is the probability that from 20 randomly selected students, none of them will be Latino? d) What is the probability that from 20 randomly selected students, at least one of them will be Latino? 4) Conduct a short survey of 20 people chosen at random. Ask them which kind of movie they prefer, comedy, action, horror, drama, cartoons. Then construct a table like the one below. Then answer the questions. Type of Movie Number of people responding Percentage of the group who chose the category Comedy Action Horror Drama Cartoons a) When you add up all of the probabilities, what is their sum? Explain how this makes sense to you from a probability standpoint. b) Suppose you chose two people at random from your sample. What is the probability that You will select one who chose comedy and then one who chose action, without replacement? c) Would you say that your survey group accurately reflects the population of all moviegoers in the United States? Why or why not? (Consider demographic criteria such as age, race, socioeconomic status, level of education, etc.) d) What might be a better way to create your sample? 5) Which is more likely the probability of a series of events occurring if their probability is calculated without replacement, or the probability of a series of events occurring if their probability is calculated with replacement? Explain your reasoning. 6) State whether or not the two events are independent or dependent. Explain your reasoning. a) Selecting a king from a deck of cards and then selecting a heart. b) Rolling a six, a three, and then a 12 on a set of dice. c) Selecting a Honda from a car lot and then selecting a Big Mac at MacDonald's d) Selecting a woman from your gym and then selecting a woman from your Stat's Class (assuming that no one in your Stat's class is actually a member of your gym) 7) Write a multiplicative probability problem in which the events selected are independent. Provide a solution to your problem as well. 8) Write a multiplicative probability problem in which the events selected are dependent. Provide a solution to your problem as well.