ILLINOIS MSA Indices & Forecast Release data Issue www.real.illinois.edu 07/15/2012 May 2004 / May 2012 2013.07 Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix. Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 Bloomington Champaign Davenport Decatur Peoria Rockford Springfield Kankakee *When figures dropping zero represents that MSAs are doing worse than Chicago; when figures rising above zero represents that MSAs are doing better than Chicago. Before Jan 2008, MSA Decatur performed worse than Chicago. However, after Jan 2008, Decatur started performing better than Chicago. From early 2007 to early 2009, MSA Bloomington, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, Davenport, Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee performed better than Chicago. However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, these MSAs generally performed worse than Chicago. According to the forecast for May 2014, MSA Bloomington, Champaign, Davenport, Peoria, Rockford and Springfield are likely to perform better than Chicago by Apr 2014. Decatur and Kankakee will compare favorably to Chicago. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 1 Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 94.60 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 94.21 94.23 84.07 Forecast 94.90 96.26 94.21 ~ 107.24 Bloomington - Normal MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 B-N Chicago 100.00 Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 70.00 Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Bloomington-Normal in May gained by moving up 1 position reaching the 1st place of the rank. In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moving up 2 positions reaching the 7th place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 2 Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 90.80 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 90.75 90.77 90.78 Forecast 90.81 90.58 87.61 ~ 98.16 Champaign - Urbana MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 C-U Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul lost in May by moving down 2 positions reaching the 6th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul dropped 1 position reaching 2nd place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 3 Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 102.31 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 103.82 104.10 109.27 Forecast 101.26 96.93 92.72 ~ 103.11 Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 D-RI-M Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Davenport-Rock Island-Moline in May moved up 7 positions reaching the 2nd place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline remained in the 5th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 4 Decatur (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 103.02 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 102.91 102.93 102.12 Forecast 103.08 103.07 94.06 ~ 105.21 Decatur MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 Decatur 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 70.00 Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Compared to the previous month, Decatur in May dropped 2 positions reaching the 7th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur remained in the last place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 5 Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 99.23 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 99.65 99.67 84.63 Forecast 99.14 96.31 90.59 ~ 102.71 Kankakee - Bradley MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 K-B 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Compared to last month, Kankakee – Bradley moved up 6 positions reaching the 4th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley remained in the 4th position of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 6 Peoria (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 84.98 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 85.14 85.16 95.34 Forecast 84.78 85.15 81.37 ~ 92.06 Peoria MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 Peoria 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Peoria in May remained in the 8th place of the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Peoria moved down 1 position reaching the 9th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 7 Rockford (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 90.91 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 90.79 90.81 91.14 Forecast 91.14 92.07 91.36 ~ 102.62 Rockford MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 Rockford 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 May-11 Jan-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 May-09 Jan-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Rockford in May moved down 3 positions reaching the 10th place of the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Rockford remained in the 3rd place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 8 Springfield (Reference Month – May 2013) Current 99.62 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 99.61 99.63 100.67 Forecast 99.65 102.45 98.83 ~ 114.02 Springfield MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 Springfield Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 60.00 May-14 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 May-09 Jan-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 50.00 Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Springfield moved up 1 position reaching the 5th place of the rank in May. In the 12 months growth league table Springfield remained in the 6th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 07/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 9