Astroparticle Physics landscape1 1. Τhe summary of the 2011 APPEC roadmap Astroparticle physics marks the intersection of astrophysics, particle physics and cosmology. It addresses fundamental questions: the nature of dark matter and dark energy; the physics of primordial Universe; the stability of protons; the properties of neutrinos and their role in cosmic evolution as well as the interior of cosmic processes as seen with neutrinos; the origin of cosmic rays; the nature of the Universe at extreme energies and violent cosmic processes as seen with gravitational waves. ApPEC has published in November 2011 the European roadmap of priorities for large Astroparticle Physics Infrastructures whose recommendations are summarised below: • In the category of medium scale projects: the timely completion of the 2nd generation upgrades of gravitational antennas, as well as the upgrades/constructions towards tonscale detectors for dark matter and double-beta neutrino mass experiments. • In the category of large-scale projects a high priority is given to the construction of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA), and strong support for the first phase of KM3NeT, as well as R&D towards the definition of the next generation ground-based observatory for high energy cosmic rays. • Finally there needs to be coordination with other European/non-European organizations for the realization of billion-scale projects at the 2020 horizon, in particular a 50-500 kt scale low-energy neutrino astrophysics/proton-decay detector. Other projects on this cost scale are dark energy surveys on ground and in space, and – in a longer perspective – gravitational antennae with cosmological sensitivity on ground and in space. 2. New discoveries, updated tasks Since the publication of the roadmap, the years 2012-2014 were rich in discoveries with major implications for fundamental physics as can be attested by: 1. The discovery 126 GeV Higgs at the LHC collider at CERN consistent with a supersymmetric extension of the Standard Model, suggesting a spectrum of particles and dark matter either accessible at the LHC or accessible directly and indirectly by detectors of astroparticle physics. 2. The precision measurements by Planck of what could be indices of the inflation parameters plus a rich cosmological program in development attempting to measure the imprints of the primordial gravitational waves generated at inflation on the cosmological background. 3. The completion of the measurement of the three neutrino mixing angles and the program in development for the measurement of the hierarchy of neutrino masses and the determination of the CP-violation phase providing a plausible mechanism for the domination of matter of antimatter. 1 This paper includes input from a) the ASPERA/APPEC Roadmap of 2011, b) the January 2013 APPEC statement for the European Strategy for Particle Physics, c) the June 2014 Scientific Advisory Committee report to the General Assembly of APPEC, d) the press release of the International Neutrino Meeting organised by APPEC in June 2014 4. The detection of cosmic neutrinos by IceCube detector at the South Pole, inaugurating high-energy neutrino astronomy, accompanying thus this of photons of very high energy inaugurated during the previous decade and giving important clues for the possibility of astronomy using very high energy cosmic ray charged particles. All of the above are also related to the imminent increase of sensitivity of the gravitational wave antennas (ca 2016-2017) giving access for the first time to the detection of gravitational waves coming from violent events of the Universe. These events set the stage for a true multi-messenger study of the high energy Universe, from gravitational waves and neutrinos to very high energy photons and cosmic rays. These findings consolidate the interdisciplinary link between particle, astroparticle physics, astrophysics and cosmology; giving thus the possibility for a first time to formulate a consistent picture of fundamental physics covering a multitude of energy scales: from the electroweak symmetry breaking scale (Higgs) to this of inflation (possibly the scale of unification of interactions) passing through other postulated scales as is for instance the one responsible for dark matter particle phenomena or neutrino mass and matter-antimatter asymmetry. The questions therefore of astroparticle , and more generally fundamental, physics today can be reduced to a few questions: 1. The most crucial issue at the crossroad of high-energy and astroparticle physics concerns the presence of new elementary particles (and possibly also new interactions) not included in the particle physics Standard Model and with masses in the TeV region, i.e. an energy range to be explored directly at the LHC (high-energy physics), but also, in a complementary way, by several astroparticle means, including in particular, but not exclusively, the direct and indirect dark matter searches. This is summarised in the question: How many new physical scales they exist between the electroweak scale and that of inflation? This question is connected with the theories of inflation as well as dark matter and energy, but it is also connected with the better understanding of the neutrino sector and the possibilities of unification of interactions. 2. How the particles and fields of these new energy scales influence the genesis, formation and destruction of cosmic structures? This question is related with the multi-messenger studies of high energy photons, neutrinos, high-energy charged particles and gravitational waves. If one attempts to chart the future discoveries and corresponding theories that will be tested one could expect in the next decade or two: Large theoretical and experimental progress in the dark matter quest, reaching close to the parameter limits of current theories. The study with precision of the inflation potential, and of the parameters of the equation of state of dark energy. The understanding of the neutrino sector and its cosmological role The opening of the new astronomies (neutrinos, gravitational waves and cosmic rays) Hopefully the first clues of unification of interactions (e.g. through proton decay) 2. Towards a new landscape and roadmap Based on the above new indices the APPEC General Assembly (GA) asked its Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) to produce by the end of 2014 a resource-aware update of the roadmap of the research infrastructures. The preliminary SAC findings, updated with more recent developments (US P5 report, globalisation of the neutrino effort) are reported below. The final text will be ready by the end of 2014. The relevant research infrastructures are presented in three sections: High energy Universe, Neutrino physics and Cosmology. 3.1 High Energy Universe Cosmic fluxes with energies per particle in the range of 1010 eV up to 1020 eV are observed for protons and nuclei, for photons and – very recently – for neutrinos. The localisation of sources and investigation of production mechanisms of these particles – which to a large extent are unknown yet – are priority aims of the high energy observatories. Important scientific synergies are expected by improved multimessenger observations which will cover not only the high energy messengers but also the radio-, IR-, visible, UV- and X-ray-photons, as well as gravitational waves. 3.1.1 HIGH ENERGY PHOTONS Ground-based Gamma-ray Astronomy is one of the most advanced disciplines of Astroparticle Physics with major objectives like detection for Dark Matter, search for evidence of violation of the Lorentz Invariance, probes of extreme environments characterized by huge gravitational and magnetic fields, relativistic shocks, highly turbulent plasma. At the same time, it addresses an impressively broad range of topics of modern astrophysics: from compact objects like pulsars and accreting stellar mass black holes to giant jets and lobes of radio galaxies and galaxy clusters, the largest gravitationally bound structures in the Universe. Gamma-rays are unique cosmological messengers containing information about the intergalactic IR-OPT-UV radiation and magnetic fields. The aim of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) is the full realization of the great potential of imaging atmospheric Cherenkov telescope arrays as powerful multifunctional tools for exploration of most extreme phenomena in the Universe through study of temporal, spectral and morphological properties of sources of high and very high energy gamma-rays. With two planned arrays to be located in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, CTA will cover the entire sky. Regarding the performance, CTA has two major objectives: (i) one order of magnitude improvement of the flux sensitivity (compared to the current detectors) in the standard energy interval from 0.1 TeV to 10 TeV, and (ii) an aggressive extension of the energy domain in both directions - down to < 30 GeV and beyond 100~TeV. CTA, with its large, medium and small size telescope sub-arrays, will explore the entire sky, and operate as an open access observatory. The telescope designs are essentially completed, and the advanced prototyping is underway. While the feasibility of the telescope construction is very high, the controlling of large number telescopes and the handling of huge datasets are two major challenges. The construction approval is expected by mid-2015. After a phase of pre-production the main construction period starts in 2018, with plans for early operation of partial arrays. The latest estimate of the investment cost is 200 M€. 3.1.2 HIGH ENERGY NEUTRINOS The scientific objectives of neutrino telescopes are (i) the investigation of high-energy cosmic neutrino fluxes, also and in particular in the multi-messenger context, (ii) the identification and investigation of cosmic hadron accelerators and (iii) the investigation of neutrino properties. The cubic-kilometre sized IceCube experiment in the deep ice of the South Pole is completed since 2010 and is taking data. The recently reported detection of a cosmic neutrino signal by IceCube establishes a major breakthrough of the field. In the Mediterranean Sea, the smaller ANTARES detector has proven the feasibility of a deep-sea neutrino telescope. The next-generation KM3NeT telescope has completed its R&D phase in the two sites of Toulouse (France) and Capo Passero (Italy) and is preparing a 3-stage construction at sites in France, Italy and Greece. The first KM3NeT construction phase is fully funded and will proceed in 2014-2016. As a next step, KM3NeT is preparing an intermediate stage, KM3NeT Phase-1.5, dedicated to the investigation of the IceCube signal with a complementary field of view and different systematics. This detector will require additional 50 to 60 Mio Euro of funds and could be implemented in 2016-2019. The future of the field targets neutrino telescopes with about ten times higher sensitivity. Design considerations have been started for a highenergy extension of IceCube which is expected to be roughly in the sensitivity range of the final KM3NeT detector configuration (Phase-2). The cost for the KM3NeT Phase-2 project is 140-170 MEUR in addition to Phase-1.5; construction could start in 2020, contingent on availability of funding. 3.1.3 HIGH ENERGY COSMIC RAYS The priority project for high-energy cosmic ray physics (CR) is the Pierre Auger Observatory, where the major objective is the study of the origin of highest energy CRs – localization of their production sites and understanding of the nature of extreme particle accelerators in the Universe. The Pierre Auger Observatory is the largest and most sensitive surface array in the world and has a substantial European involvement. The main achievements, after six years of highly effective operation include (i) precise measurements of the energy spectrum from 3·1017 eV to 1020 eV with a clear evidence of two spectral features – a noticeable hardening of the spectrum around the `ankle´ at 5·1018 eV, and a significant suppression of the flux around 5·1019 eV; (ii) evidence of increasingly heavier mass composition above the ankle; (iii) meaningful upper limits on the fluxes of EeV neutrinos and gamma-rays; as well as contribution to Particle Physics by determination of proton-proton cross section. However, to give an answer to the origin of the flux suppression an improved mass sensitivity with high statistics at the GZK energy domain is necessary. The Auger collaboration plans for the period of 2014-16 include continued operation and a detector upgrade in a cost scale of 12-14 M€ with a >60% contribution from Europe. Principal questions to be addressed with the Auger upgrade are: (i) “proton astronomy” (identification of sources); (ii) the origin of the flux suppression above 5·1019 eV (GZK cut-off versus acceleration limit); (iii) hadronic multi-particle production √𝑠>7 TeV, well beyond the LHC domain. On a longer term, the global cosmic-ray community is working towards next-generation observatories. These efforts include the development of new detection technologies including the radio detection techniques on ground (AugerNext), as well as fluorescence light observation of air-showers from space (JEM-EUSO). In the lower energy range there are, beside the low-energy extensions of the Pierre Auger Observatory, a couple of experiments with partly minor but important European contributions (IceTop, TUNKA/TAIGA, LHAASO) with potential of further involvements of European expertise. 3.1.4 GRAVITATIONAL WAVES The upgrades of the first generation interferometers have been fully funded and are underway in the Advanced LIGO (facilities in the US), Advanced Virgo (facility near Pisa, Italy), and GEO-HF (facility in Germany) projects, with commissioning of these second generation instruments to start in 2014 and 2015. The sensitivity is expected to ramp up rapidly and the first detections are expected soon afterwards. The capabilities for observation will increase in the future by adding KAGRA in Japan and perhaps LIGOIndia (IndIGO) to the network. In parallel the astronomy community is pursuing pulsar timing array measurements. The direct detection of gravitational waves, expected in the first years of operation of the advanced detectors (2016-2020), is expected to open a new observational window on the Universe that will complement the investigations based on optical telescopes, cosmic rays and neutrino detection. The effort is large but the potential achievement is tremendously important; for this reason a renewed effort of all the institutions already involved in the realization of the advanced detectors is encouraged and a larger and more coordinated engagement of the institutions that are marginally involved in the common effort in Europe. ASPERA's November 2011 roadmap identified Einstein Telescope as a third generation detector whose design should be pursued, as well as the importance of complementary low-frequency gravitational wave detectors in space. With the selection in November 2013 of "the Gravitational Universe" as the theme for ESA's L3 mission (launch 2034), Europe has decided to consolidate its worldwide leadership in space-based gravitational wave detection. 3.2 NEUTRINO PHYSICS Neutrinos play a fundamental and special role in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology. Indeed, the neutrino masses present the only evidence of physics beyond the particle Physics Standard Model while it is a key parameter of the Standard Model of Cosmology. In this sector a decade of revolutionary experiments have unravelled a new flavour sector starting with the discovery of oscillations by SuperKamiokande, Kamland and SNO until the more recent discovery of the last neutrino mixing angle θ13 by T2K and the reactor experiments (Daya Bay, Reno, Double CHOOZ). In this context, the international agencies and laboratory director gathered at the International Meeting on Large Neutrino Infrastructures organised by APPEC in Paris (23-24 June 2014) agreed that the understanding of the neutrino sector is a worldwide priority promising physics beyond the Standard Model in a unified theoretical framework that goes from the Electroweak Scale to the highest energy scales. They issued recommendations on two sectors: the one attempting to determine the neutrino mass hierarchy, CP violation and number of neutrinos and the one attempting to determine the absolute neutrino masses as well as its nature (Majorana or Dirac). 3.2.1 Measuring the neutrino mass hierarchy, CP violation and number of neutrinos The study of the neutrino mass hierarchy and of CP violation will most certainly require a new large scale long baseline project for the next decade. The agencies (DOE, INFN, CNRS, CEA, STFC, CERN,IHEP(China), INO(India), CFI(Canada)) and laboratory directors (CERN, Fermilab, JPARC, SNOLAB, LSM) gathered at the APPEC meeting mentioned above welcomed the recent approval by the CERN council of the medium-term CERN plan, consistent with the European Strategy document, including the hosting of a neutrino platform at CERN for R&D and prototyping for the next generation of neutrino detectors, as the main CERN investment to the development of a worldwide program. They also welcomed the proposed upgrade of the J-PARC beam and the proposal to construct Hyper-Kamiokande, a megaton scale water Cherenkov detector with large international participation in Kamioka. They supported the vision of the HEPAP/P5 report to host an international facility (“Long Baselnine Neutrino Facility”, LBNF) for short and long-baseline neutrino oscillations at Fermilab, where internationally driven collaborations are encouraged to propose a program optimised in baseline and detector technology. They finally invited the neutrino scientific community to develop urgently a coherent international program which exploits the above opportunities. This international agency and scientific community meeting was followed by a “neutrino summit” at Fermilab, where a large part of the community decided to submit a Letter of Intent to Fermilab along the above lines. Europe has since long invested into the use of the argon technique for the detection of the neutrino beams from accelerators, in particular with a 600-ton liquid argon detector (ICARUS) in the Gran Sasso laboratory studying neutrinos coming from CERN (CNGS project). Furthermore, the LAGUNA-LBNO collaboration has recently completed its detailed engineering design reports, including construction plans, timescales and costs for the Pyhäsalmi mine in Finland. This work has benefited from two EU funded design studies with 14 M€. The next step includes a sizeable demonstrator at CERN, LBNODEMO (WA105) with 300t, to be built and operated in 2015-2018. Its goal is to demonstrate the feasibility of the double phase Liquid Argon technology and to study the calorimetric response with a charged particle beam. Beyond this, the collaboration discusses with their US colleagues (collaboration LBNE) along the lines of the LBNF project as discussed above. A European participation is also expected in the HypeKamioka (HK) program. Both the LBNF (US) and HK (Japan), have a rich and complementary astroparticle program which goes from supernova detection to the proton lifetime. Final decisions for both programs are expected in the 2017-2018 timescale. In the longer term, there is a proposed design study using ESS, the European Spallation Source in Sweden. In the reactor related domain, there is a small European participation to the approved JUNO experiment located in China, whose goal is to determine the mass hierarchy by using reactor neutrinos while also performing precision measurement of oscillation parameters, studies of supernova neutrinos, geo-neutrinos, solar and atmospheric neutrinos. The neutrino mass hierarchy will also be measured through atmospheric neutrinos in INO a 50 kton magnetized iron detector in India and through the proposed upgrades of the neutrino observatory ICECUBE (PINGU) and the projected KM3Net (ORCA). Furthermore, the situation concerning the "neutrino anomalies" needs to be clarified. This will be addressed by the neutrino short baseline program mentioned above and by smaller scale endeavours putting neutrino sources near the detector. 3.2.2 DOUBLE AND SINGLE BETA DECAY FOR NEUTRINO MASS AND NATURE Current-generation experiments on neutrino-less double beta decay will approach halflife sensitivities of about 1026 years in about 3-5 years from now, approximately one order of magnitude more stringent than present limits. Assuming that the process is mediated by the mass mechanism, this corresponds to sensitivities on the effective Majorana neutrino mass barely reaching 50 meV, at the onset of the inverted hierarchy region of neutrino masses. In Europe, the projects with this potential are CUORE, GERDA-2, NEXT, SuperNEMO and searches based on scintillating bolometers (LUCIFER and LUMINEU). At the international level, EXO-200, KamLAND-Zen, SNO+ and MAJORANA have similar sensitivity ranges. Only two of these searches are taking data in an almost final configuration (EXO-200 and KamLAND-Zen), and in Europe GERDA-2 and CUORE will presumably be the first to start measurements within about one year. The next-generation experiments, which need a long preparation and are expected to take data from 2020. They aim at fully covering the inverted hierarchy band with about 1 ton of isotope and close-to-zero background. Due to the high enrichment cost (in the 20 – 80 M€ range), it is unlikely that there will be more than one next-generation experiment in Europe. Two may be possible with an important American or in general extra-European participation. The next two-three years will be crucial to define the technology of these future searches; essential indications will come from the performance – especially the background levels – achieved by current-generation projects. The agencies and laboratory directors gathered at the APPEC meeting of June 2014 agreed that there is a rich physics program in development both for single beta and neutrino-less double beta decay measurements currently probing the quasi-degenerate region of neutrino masses. The next ambitious goal for double-beta decay is the coverage in sensitivity of the inverted mass-hierarchy region; achieving this goal will require large enrichment of isotopes and ton scale detectors, boosting the scale of the experiments and therefore demanding international collaborations for their construction. The agencies urged the underground laboratory directors to prepare the ground for an international evaluation in 2-3 years time leading to a selection of the most promising technologies for the next generation detectors worldwide. 3.3 COSMOLOGY 3.3.1 DARK MATTER About 85% of the matter in our universe is believed to be a new form of matter which we call dark, because it neither emits nor absorbs electromagnetic radiation. Dark matter is assumed to consist of one or more types of new particles, which interact only very weakly with normal matter. Direct detection experiments look for dark matter interactions in the laboratory, operating ultra-low background and low-threshold detectors deep underground. Existing direct dark matter searches have reached unprecedented sensitivities in a wide mass range for weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs), probing WIMP-nucleon cross sections below 10-45 cm2 at particle masses around 40 GeV. European groups are currently involved in a broad range of experiments, based on technologies such as scintillating crystal detectors (ANAIS, DAMA/LIBRA), cryogenic solid-state detectors (CRESST and EDELWEISS), liquefied noble gas detectors (ArDM, DarkSide-50, DEAP, LUX, XENON100, XENON1T), superheated droplet detectors (SIMPLE), as well as directional detectors (DMTPC, DRIFT, MiMAC). At present, the highest sensitivity on the WIMP scattering cross section in the mass range ~ 6 GeV - 100 TeV is reached by experiments using liquid xenon, namely LUX and XENON100. A ton-scale xenon detector, XENON1T, which is fully funded and under construction at LNGS, aims to reach cross sections around 10-47 cm2. Fist results from ton-scale argon detectors such as ArDM and DEAP, as well as from DarkSide-50, which used argon depleted in 39-Ar, are expected within this and next year. In parallel in the US, DOE and NSF have revealed the two "second generation" directdetection dark-matter (non-axion) experiments that they will support, following the Particle Physics Project Prioritization Panel's (P5) recommendations. The agencies' programme will include the Super Cryogenic Dark Matter Search-SNOLAB (SuperCDMS) and the LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ). Strong coordination at the European level exists for sub-K cryogenic detectors (CRESST + EDELWEISS and other groups => EURECA, which might foresee a common experiment with SuperCDMS at SNOLAB) and for noble liquids (ArDM, DarkSide, XENON + new groups => DARWIN, most likely to be located at LNGS). While EURECA/SuperCDMS can competitively probe the mass range below 10 GeV, a 20t/30t Xe/Ar detector such as DARWIN aims to probe the experimentally accessible parameter range for masses above 10 GeV, until the neutrino background will start to dominate the measured recoil spectra. The construction of such third-generation (G3-level) direct dark matter detection experiments will cost around 50 MEuro, and they are expected so start taking data from 2022 onwards. Directional detectors are currently working on R&D to demonstrate the required track angular reconstruction at low energy thresholds in 1m3 modules, which would be the basic detector unit for building up massive detectors. Different readout strategies are employed by each group, and none have yet demonstrated both the required angular reconstruction and low energy threshold. However there is global coordination of this R&D through the CYGNUS meetings, which aim to converge on a technology choice for a larger detector on a timescale of a few years when the 1m3 R&D efforts are complete. There is consensus in the broader dark matter community that a directional detector is the next step to establish the astrophysical original after a dark matter direct detection signal is confirmed. In the US, the P5 panel recommends one or more third-generation (G3) direct detection experiments, the technology of which will be guided by the results of G2 detectors, in a global complementary approach. APPEC proposes to establish a committee that would help guide the European dark matter community to decide on the technology for a thirdgeneration (G3) direct detection experiment (timescale 2017-2018). 3.3.2 DARK ENERGY If dark matter forms the 85% of the matter of the Universe, dark energy forms the 70% of the combined energy-matter density of the Universe. The determination of the parameters of its equation of state is a worldwide priority. While Europe was leading till recently in the large ground surveys for dark energy (SNLS), the US took the lead on the ground, through large galaxy surveys, either photometric, as DES and LSST, or spectroscopic, as BOSS and DESI. The large ground survey of the future is clearly LSST (first light 2021) and will have a rich legacy program and measure with unprecedented precision the dark energy equation of state parameters as well as those of the mass of the neutrino. France has been involved in LSST since 2007, and has important responsibilities in the construction of the LSST camera. Many other European physicists and astronomers are interested in joining LSST. At this time, the only way to join is by contributing to the running costs with $20k per senior scientist and year for the 10 years of intended operation, 2022-2032. On the other hand, Europe will have the leadership on dark-energy studies from space once the Euclid ESA mission is launched in 2020 and similar precision and complementary discovery potential with LSST. 3.3.3 CMB The field of CMB physics is depending on the results of the ESA Planck mission as well as the first results of ground experiments detecting B-modes. Whereas Europe has a leadership in space with the Planck mission and prospects for a new ESA mission in the context of the call for the next medium (M4) mission of the Cosmic Vision programme, due most probably this year (for a foreseen launch in 2026), US has a clear leadership on ground, as is attested by the plethora of experiments currently taking data (ACTPol, BICEP, POLARBEAR at present, SPIDER, IBEX, AdvACT, POLARBEARII, in the future). In Europe, the three existing projects are: QUBIC using bolometric interferometry (France, Italy, UK, Ireland with US and China), the LSPE balloon (mostly Italy, with UK and US), and the QIJOTE project (Spain, UK). All these projects aim at measuring the ratio of tensor to scalar fluctuations at the level of a few percent. In the US the recent P5 panel in the US has strengthened the prospects for financing a unique Stage IV experiments in the years 2020-2025, aiming a tensor to scalar ratio of order one per mil, as well as unprecedented precision on the mass of light neutrinos, and the effective number of neutrinos. 3. Summary and key decision points With the currently funded program, a few major clarifications of our world picture related to astroparticle, particle physics and cosmology are expected in the five to ten years to come. Key among them are the first detection of gravitational waves, the better understanding of the neutrino and dark energy sector, the development of neutrino astronomy, large progress in the dark matter studies bringing us close to the predicted parameter limits of our current theories, possibly advances in the determination of the inflation parameters. In the domain of large infrastructures the next five years will see the deployment of CTA. The dark energy program on ground (LSST) and space (EUCLID) has also been funded and is in the process of realisation. Furthermore, in the next two to three years Europe will need to take a decision on a) the construction of the phase 1.5 of of KM3Net, b) a European-led dark matter multi-ton experiment c) the construction of large neutrino detector or a major investment as a contribution to a long baseline program in US or Japan, d) a ton-scale neutrino mass detector (double beta decay technique) and e) a major contribution on ground and/or space to the cosmology program probing the parameters of inflation. Even further in the future, and provided there is a gravitational wave detection in the next few years, Europe could start preparing the next generation gravitational wave ground detector (Einstein Telescope). Last but not least, the above program has many complementary aspects to the space program in development by ESA (EUCLID, ATHENA, eLISA, possible a cosmology mission in M4)