Neurologic Biomarkers V6 FINAL

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Author(s): Berg, Cuoto

Date: January 18, 2014

Question: Do serum levels of neurologic biomarkers NSE, S100 or MBP predict survival or neurologic outcome in children after cardiac arrest?

Settings: University Hospital in-patient

Bibliography (systematic reviews): 1=Topjian, Peds CCM 2009, 2=Fink, Peds CCM 2014, 3=Pfeifer, Resus 2005

Quality assessment Serum Level mcg/L

№ of studies

Study design

Risk of bias

Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision

Other considerations

Survival or

Good

Neuro

Non-

Survival or

Poor

Neuro

Confidence or Effect p

Relative

Risk

(95% CI) and

Positive

Predictive

Value

Quality Importance

Serum NSE and survival to discharge

2 Pros

Obs

Serious Not serious Not serious Serious Studies 1, 2 Low Important 19.45

15.41

14.11

15.6

25.2

29.8

37.81

56.37

61.23

46.8

75.8

81.5

24 hrs .004

48hrs <.001

72hrs <.001

24hrs .003

48hrs .007

72hrs .004

Serum S100(B) and survival to discharge

2 Pros

Obs

Serious Not serious Not serious Serious Studies 1,2 0.35

0.32

0.33

.021

.029

.024

1.38

1.3

0.66

0.239

0.251

0.167

48hrs .002

72hrs <.001

96hrs .007

24h <.001

48h <.001

72h <.001

Low Important

Serum NSE and neurologic outcome at discharge

2 Pros

Obs

Serious Not serious Not serious Serious Studies 1,2 15.38

11.5

15.1

20.4

17.2

45.8

25.08

36.3

60.8

67

48hr <.001

72hrs <.001

24hrs .019

48hrs .011

72hrs .001

Low Important

Serum S100(B) and neurologic outcome at discharge

1 Pros

Obs

Serious Not serious Not serious Serious Study 2 .023

.034

.028

0.162

0.167

.099

24hr <.001

48hr <.001

72hr <.001

Very

Low

Important

Effect of NSE above cut-off levels 48 hrs after ROSC on poor neurologic outcome or death

1 Pros

Clin

Trial

Not serious

Not serious Serious Very

Serious

Study 3

Effect of S100 above cut-off levels 48 hrs after ROSC on poor neurologic outcome or death

1 Pros

Clin

Trial

Not serious

Not serious Serious Very

Serious

Study 3

>65

>1.5

PPV 97%

RR ~30

(CI ~3-110)

PPV 96%

RR~20

(CI ~2-100)

Very

Low

Very

Low

Important

Important

1 Topjian, Peds CCM, 2009; Study characterized pattern of serum biochemical markers of CNS injury after cardiac arrest. A prospective observational small single-center study of 35 pediatric patients. Some patients had therapeutic hypothermia, not reported separately. This study defined “poor neurologic outcome” as a PCPC change of > or = 2 pre to post-arrest. Lower Neuron Specific Enolase (NSE) at 48 and 72 hours post-arrest predicts survival to discharge and survival with favorable neurologic outcome. Lower S100B at 48 and 72 hours post-arrest predicts survival to discharge. S100B were not associated with neurologic outcome at any timepoint. Note: When excluding subjects with initial PCPC >1 (i.e. subjectes with pre-existing neurologic disease), elevated NSE still predicts death. Elevated S-100B does not predict death at

24 or 48 hrs when subjects with a pre-event PCPC > 1 are excluded.

2 Fink, Peds CCM, 2014 Study characterized pattern of serum biochemical markers of CNS injury after cardiac arrest. A prospective observational small single-center study of 43 pediatric patients. Some patients had therapeutic hypothermia, not reported separately. This study defined “poor neurologic outcome” as a PCPC of 4 to 6 post-arrest. Lower Neuron Specific Enolase (NSE) at 24, 48 and 72 hours post-arrest predicts survival to discharge and survival with favorable neurologic outcome.

Lower S100B at 24, 48 and 72 hours post-arrest predicts survival to discharge and favorable neurologic outcome.

3 Pfeifer, Resus, 2005; Study characterized pattern of serum biochemical markers of CNS injury after cardiac arrest. A prospective clinical trial in a single-center study of

97 adult patients with both non-traumatic IHCA and OHCA. Defines “good or moderate neurologic outcome” as GOS 3-5. The primary finding is that statistical cut-off

levels for both NSE and S-100 at 48 hours after ROSC can predict both death and poor neurologic outcome. Limitations include extrapolation to pediatrics from adult subjects, assayed S100 dimer not the S100B homodimer. Relative risk included in this worksheet is manually estimated from figure 1 in manuscript. Reference group for

NSE and S100 levels were volunteers without neurologic disease, not matched controls. Other limitations: Seizure presence (not controlled in the study group) may effect these levels. Renal failure (not controlled in the study group) effects S100B levels as it is renally excreted.

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