A78 Hunterston Roundabout to Highthorne: Survey, Hazards, Risks, Mitigations March 2013 To be read in conjunction with A78 Pictorial Survey, Hunterston Roundabout to Highthorne This work starts at the south side of the Hunterston Roundabout; the roundabout itself is not included (the detail of the Ordnance Survey map shows an accident cluster in the vicinity of the roundabout). Unless otherwise stated, distances are measured to or from the near edge of a junction. Interval Characterisation The A78 (T) is the main north-south route for North Ayrshire. It is a busy road, but seldom sees significant queuing / congestion. Usage includes private vehicles and all sizes of commercial vehicles. This 2.25km interval of the A78 runs through an agricultural area, and comprises 2 distinct sections. It is a single lane carriageway; the national speed limit applies (60mph for cars down to 40mph for heavy trucks). The northern 1km from the Hunterston Roundabout to just south of the Kilruskin junction was realigned in conjunction with Hunterston developments; this included establishing fairly wide road-side verges (but not footways) – usually 2–3m wide. Because the curvature is gentle and uniform, it is possible to drive along at speed; however, it is not well suited for overtaking at higher speeds, as the curvature limits forward vision. The carriageway width is around 7.0m. The 1.25km interval to the south is dead straight, and narrower – around 6.56m at the lay-by. The verges are generally narrower, and bordered by hedges / fencing. Some drivers entering this straight stretch see it as an opportunity to overtake; equally, north bound drivers see an overtaking opportunity starting at the B782 junction (at Highthorne). There is a cluster of serious accidents just south of the Kilruskin Road T-junction, where the curved road interval transitions into the straight section; the length of the cluster section is about 220 metres. There is a second cluster of serious accidents at the B782 Highthorne junction. The A78 has a partial blind characteristic at each of these cluster sites. Hazards and Risks These are ranked according to the rationale set out in Support Package SP C3 Accident History Refer to the Summary Maps, which show individual injury accidents over the last 23 years. The accidents are categorised according to the severity of injuries suffered – slight, serious or fatal. Accident cluster sites are obvious from this map, and there is a clear correlation between these and identified Hazard Areas. ++ Survey and Hazard Identification This is split into 4 parts: 1. 2. 3. 4. A78 to north of the Kilruskin Junction Kilruskin T-Junction A78 between Kilruskin Junction and the turning into Hunterston Estate The trio of junctions at Highthorne Part 1: A78 to north of the Kilruskin Junction This interval of carriageway is described above under Interval Characterisation. The only apparent hazard is the interface between motor vehicles and cyclists - who do not have a separate Cycle Way (there is no cyclist warning sign). See photos 1 – 5. Part 2: A78 / Kilruskin Road T-Junction Refer to photos 4, 5 and 6 Carried out November 2011 and December 2012 There is a cluster of serious accidents just south of the Kilruskin Road T-junction, where the curved road interval transitions into the straight section; the length of the cluster section is about 400 metres. Road type Traffic Flows A78(T) to south of junction (Ardrossan side) A78(T) to north of junction (Largs side) Single-lane rural A-road, no central reservation Single-lane rural A road, no central reservation; was realigned in conjunction with Hunterston developments, including establishing broad side verges (no footways) Steady; broadly equal flows in both directions; most traffic leaving the A78 to join the Kilruskin Road is turning left, having come from the Largs side. “Rush-hour” traffic (including Hunterston shift changes) adds significantly to traffic flows. Condition of carriageway surface Current Speed Limits Speed Considerations Kilruskin Road to east of junction Single lane unclassified rural road; width at junction before the bell-mouth is about 20 feet (6m) Hazard Area 1: Kilruskin Rd / A78 Tjunction Refer to photos 4, 5 & 6 Contributing Factors Lighter, broadly equal flows in both directions. More traffic turns right (north towards Hunterston / Largs) than left. Most traffic entering Kilruskin Road at the junction is turning left (having come from the Hunterston / Largs side) The application of the national speed limit (60mph for cars) Joining the A78 from Kilruskin Road: + the line of sight to the left (south) only opens up when about 5m from the junction edge + the junction is Give Way rather than Stop Generally sound Generally sound + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows National Speed Limit (60 mph for cars, down to 40mph for heavy trucks) The carriageway contours on the junction approaches mean that 60 mph is not a difficult speed to maintain. + driver may intend turning without first stopping at the junction Gauging the speed of approaching traffic from the south is more difficult (traffic is coming almost straight-on to the waiting car due to the slight carriageway curvature). Gauging the speed of approaching traffic from the north is a little easier due to the approach angle. + There is no restriction on overtaking on the A78 + The A78 here sees significant numbers of recreational cyclists Turning right from A78 into Kilruskin Road Road contours approaching junction A78(T) to south of junction (Ardrossan side) A78(T) to north of junction (Largs side) A gentle uniform left curve; generally level A gentle uniform right curve; generally level Kilruskin Road to east of junction Almost straight (slight curvature to right); downhill + Driver must cross fast-moving A78 south-bound traffic + Driver has no right-turn filter lane Margin for Error: Low Hazard Area 1 Ranking: Level 5, Significant Photo 5: 4.8m from junction edge, looking south along A78; line of sight opening up The junction is divided by an island to separate the 2 traffic flows. The island carries 2 Keep Left signs. Arrangement of Junction There is a wide bell-mouth. Lines of sight The junction is visible when approaching it. It has a reflector post on each side of the bell-mouth. The line of sight along both directions of the A78 is not good till about 12 yards from the junction at which point the line of sight is established to the right (north); the line of sight to the left (south) only opens up about 4.8 yards from the junction edge. The carriageway has a central hazard warning line, starting about 112 yards from the near edge of the junction, on the south and north approaches. There is a central hazard warning line up to the junction. There is an edge line at both edges of the carriageway. There is a give way sign about 20 yards before the junction, and a give way triangle is painted on the carriageway just before the junction. Roadside Vegetation Carriageway Markings and Signs approaching the junction There are reflectors along both edges of the carriageway and along the centre of the carriageway. There are no prohibitions on overtaking on the A78 to north and south of At the junction, there are double broken lines across the left carriageway (give way at major A78(T) to south of junction (Ardrossan side) A78(T) to north of junction (Largs side) the junction There is a reflector post in the verge on each side of the bell-mouth. Kilruskin Road to east of junction carriageway), and a single broken line across the right carriageway. There are no town directional signs at the junction. There is a Direction sign to West Kilbride located about 112 yards short of the junction to the north and south. Carriageway Lighting none none Part 3: Mainly straight interval of Carriageway from south of Kilruskin T-junction along to right turn into Hunterston Estate Road – Refer to photos 7 - 12 As stated under Interval Characterisation: This 1.25 km interval to the south is dead straight, and narrower - 6.56m measured at the lay-by. The verges are generally narrower, and bordered by hedges / fencing. Some drivers entering this straight stretch see it as an opportunity to overtake; equally, north bound drivers see an overtaking opportunity starting at the B782 junction at HIghthorne. There is a cluster of serious accidents at the north end, just south of the Kilruskin Road T-junction, where the curved road interval transitions into the straight section; the length of the cluster section is about 400 metres. At this transition there is a partially blind characteristic. Hazard Area 2: Partially blind transition and straight interval of A78 from just south of Kilruskin T-junction along to right turn onto Hunterston Estate Road. See Photos 7 – 10 & 13 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination: + For a driver heading south, there is a blind interval of road in the transition between the curved and straight sections, more pronounced to the driver’s right side of road + Encountering an overtaking driver – maybe impatient - and who makes a misjudgement + The relative narrowness of the carriageway + The national speed limit of 60mph for cars + The low margin for error associated with speed and narrow carriageways + The zero margin for error associated with vehicles passing in the presence of a cyclist + The introduction of a sudden need to brake, coming from traffic appearing from the Kilruskin junction, the Hunterston estate junction, the B782 junction, or over the blind brow at Highthorne – or from the lay-by + The compounding of these scenarios when a traffic flow in one direction meets a similar scenario approaching from the opposite direction. Margin for Error: Low, sometimes none Hazard Area 2 Ranking: Level 7, Serious ++ Part 4: Survey of Trio of A78 T-Junctions at Hunterston Estate Road, Highthorne Road (B782), and Thirdpart Road Refer to photos 12 – 27 There is a cluster of serious accidents at the B782 Highthorne and Thirdpart junctions; the road interval is about 220 metres A78 at south side of B782 junction (from Ardrossan) Road Type A78 at north side of B782 junction (from Largs) Single-lane rural A-carriageway (no central reservation) The interval of A78 around the B782 junction is around 6.50m wide, and is straight. There is a blind bend at its southern end (just north of Carlung Farm) and a blind brow and down-slope just north of the junction; the blind brow is not sign-posted Some north-bound drivers entering this straight stretch see it as an opportunity to overtake, starting at the B782 junction at Highthorne. B782 to east of junction (from West Kilbride) Single-lane rural B-carriageway; width at junction is about 6.9m. The carriageway has no markings from West Kilbride till just before the junction. It is characterised by farm accesses (6); field accesses (many); bends, hills; roadside vegetation which includes hedges. The above contribute to limited lines of sight along its length. Junctions Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Please refer to photo survey and detail from OS Map. Hazard Area 3: Hunterston Estate Road Junction and adjacent interval of A78 Refer to photos 10 - 13 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination The three T-junctions are spaced as follows along a 400 yard interval of the A78: At 257 yards north of the B782 junction is the T-junction on the west to Hunterston Estate At about 134 yards south of the B782 junction is the T-junction on the west to Thirdpart The A78 signage for these 3 junctions is as follows: Hunterston 260 yards from B782 West Kilbride (B782) Coming from North no yes Coming from South no yes Thirdpart 134 yards from B782 yes (added 2012) yes + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows + the junction’s proximity to the B782 junction, at which point overtaking is permitted for north-bound A78 traffic; the blind brow contributes to this hazard + its position in the A78 southbound overtaking zone + the junction is not sign- posted on the A78 + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is to narrow to have one) + the absence of clear markings and signage at the junction + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + a footway / cycleway crosses the Hunterston Estate Road just short of the A78, obliging drivers turning off the A78 to yield to cyclists / pedestrians + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error : Very Low Hazard Area 3 Ranking: Level 7, Serious Traffic Flows A78 flows are steady, broadly equal flows in both directions. Rush-hour traffic (including from Hunterston power stations) adds significantly to traffic flows. Of the 3 junctions, the busiest is the B782; the least used is the Hunterston Estate Road. Lighter, broadly equal flows in both directions; more traffic turns right (north towards Largs) than left. Most traffic entering the B782 at the junction is turning left (having come from the Hunterston / Largs side). Hazard Area 4: B782 Tjunction and adjacent intervals of A78 Refer to photos: 12 – 17 & 24 Contributing Factors Accidents Singly and in combination For the interval of the A78 between Carlung and about 400 yards to the north of the B782 junction, the accident record is bad: there have been several deaths and serious injuries. + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows There is a cluster of serious accidents at the B782 Highthorne and Thirdpart junctions Speed Limits National speed limit, 60 mph for cars, 40mph for heavy trucks National speed limit + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in limited lines of sight along the Speed Considerations The carriageway contours and straightness of this stretch of the A78 mean that 60 mph is not a difficult speed to maintain. It is common to see traffic flows travelling at 40 mph; but it is also common to see occasional drivers at 60 mph, and overtaking. Carriageway contours approaching junction Level carriageway up to the junction, then dips downhill; carriageway is straight Uphill slope towards the junction; carriageway is straight Gauging the speed of approaching A78 traffic is not easy; to the north it is made more difficult due to the blind brow at the start of the down-slope. Level carriageway, final approach is at right angles to the A78. The bellmouth at the junction allows for vehicles to turn smoothly. A78 to the north when joining from the B782 – until almost at the junction edge + Correspondingly, the junction is partly obscured from about 160 yards to the north; and the junction’s visibility on the approach is not prominent + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in A78 traffic approaching from the north being blind to traffic approaching the junction from the south – and vice-versa + the status of the junction as Give Way instead of Stop + the overtaking restriction for north-bound traffic is lifted at the junction + there are no turning filter lanes for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for these, although the land is there) + the width of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 4 Ranking: Level 8, Very Serious Lines of Sight A car approaching the B782 junction from the south will find the line of sight along the A78 to the north is impaired immediately north of the junction due to the brow of the hill A car approaching the junction from the north will find the line of sight along the A78 to the south of the junction impaired due to the brow of A car at the junction about to join the A78 has clear line of sight to the left (south) when about 10 yards from the junction. Hazard Area 5: Thirdpart Tjunction and adjacent intervals the hill Roadside Vegetation Carriageway Markings and road signs approaching the junction Not obscuring the junction The carriageway is marked as follows, from south to north; distances are to the near edge of the B782 junction: + solid double white lines up to the junction; at the junction this changes to broken / solid lines, (overtaking permitted heading north) + edge lines at both edges of the carriageway up to and beyond the junction reflectors along both edges of the carriageway and down the centre of the carriageway + + Greenock / Hunterston / West Kilbride direction sign 114 yards before the junction + Greenock / Hunterston / West Kilbride direction sign at the junction To the right (north) he has clear line of sight only once he is about 1 yard from the junction; however, once he has this line of sight, the down-slope curvature of the carriageway will cut off the lower part of approaching vehicles at a distance of about 160 yards. If grass is allowed to grow in the area on the north-east side of the junction, the reduction in the line of sight mentioned above is aggravated. The carriageway is marked as follows, from north to south; distances are to the near edge of the B782 junction: + edge line at both edges of the carriageway up to and beyond the junction. + reflectors along both edges of the carriageway and down the middle of the carriageway. + At 345 yards from junction there is a cyclist route warning sign. + At 235 and 205 yards, Get-In-toLeft arrows painted on the carriageway + At 166 yards, an Irvine / West Kilbride direction sign. + At 175 yards, the carriageway centre line changes to solid / broken white lines which continue to the junction (no overtaking heading south); at the B782 junction they change to double solid lines which run up to the far side of the dogleg bend. + A left T-junction-ahead sign at 120 yards + A white square painted in the middle of each carriageway at 88 of A78 Refer to photos:18 - 27 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination + the absence of clear markings and signage for the junction + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows + There are no line markings on this carriageway from West Kilbride until about 42 yards before the junction; from this point up to the junction, the centre of the carriageway is marked with a hazard warning line. + traffic joining the A78 has very restricted line of sight along the A78 to the south – which opens up only when car is 2 yards from carriageway edge + cyclist route warning sign 100 yards from the junction. + the status of the junction as Give Way (?) instead of Stop + 8 yards before the junction there is a Give Way sign, and a white Give Way warning triangle painted on the carriageway. + its proximity to the dogleg bend to the south – 175 yards, which equates to the 55 mph wet-road stopping distance; and to the B782 T-junction to the north + At the junction, there are double broken lines across the left carriageway (give way at major carriageway) and a single broken line across the right carriageway. + There are Irvine & Greenock direction signs on the far side of the junction. + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for this) + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users; the junction has an A78(T) pavement to left and right. + the presence of slower moving agricultural traffic and ‘horse-box’ traffic + the slow tight turn for traffic yards turning left off the A78 + The word SLOW is painted on the carriageway at about 72 yards + the bell-mouth at the junction allows for vehicles to turn smoothly, but the narrowness of the Thirdpart road does not allow for 2 vehicles to pass in the immediate vicinity of the junction. Consequently longer vehicles entering the Thirdpart road are required to wait on the A78 to allow an exiting vehicle to clear the junction. + A left bend sign at 34 yards, which refers to the dogleg bend beyond the Thirdpart T-junction + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 5 Ranking: Level 8, Very Serious Traffic Calming features Nothing other than stated above no Road Lighting no Footways Yes, on the west side and separated from the carriageway by a 3m (varies) wide grass verge (this footway runs from Seamill to about 400 yards north of the junction). no Provision for Cyclists and Pedestrians + Cyclist Route Ahead warning sign about 50 yards before left turning to Thirdpart + Cyclist Route Ahead warning sign about 100 yards from the junction. no + Cyclist Route Ahead warning sign about 345 yards from the junction. no + A Cyclist and Pedestrian use sign marks the continuation of the footpath on the north side of the Thirdpart T-junction. + Sign indicating off-carriageway cycle path about 35 yards from the junction. + A Cyclist and Pedestrian direction sign is located on the pavement at the junction + There is a short cycle-way separated from the carriageway for last few yards of the approach to the junction. A Cyclists Dismount sign is located on this path just short of the A78. Bus Stops Provision for Horse Riders Unmarked bus stops are in use about 30 yards from the A78 Recreational horse riding is popular in this area. Horses are stabled at Thirdpart, and nearby at Millstonford immediately to the north-east of the junction. Riders typically cross the B782 about 30 yards from the A78 junction, then pass along the cycle way and cross the A78 to the footway which then gives access to the rural (unclassified) road to Thirdpart. Risk Assessment Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability In General Principal road features which lead to hazards and risks include the following: + A single-lane A-road which is relatively narrow in parts, with a national speed limit which is seen as too high when gauged against current Government guidelines + The close proximity of 3 T-junctions to one another, which do not all have good lines of sight - coupled to a nearby blind dogleg bend and a blind brow. Traffic joining the A78 must negotiate 1 or both lanes of fast-moving traffic. + A short straight interval of the A78 bounded on both sides by intervals not well suited for overtaking; on this interval, the narrow carriageway cannot accommodate 3 adjacent vehicles: this has a major impact on margin for driver error when overtaking. In general, the risk of an accident comes from the road system’s characteristics, in conjunction with driver behaviours, including speed, inattention, error of judgement Possible events include the following, or variations on these: + Vehicles colliding associated with overtaking + Vehicles colliding associated with joining the A78 at rural T junctions + Vehicles impacting from behind + Vehicles running off road + The presence of other road users Possible Outcomes Varies – see notes below on each individual Hazard Area Varies – see each individual Hazard Area in tabulation Hazard Managment and Mitigations + The status of these 3 T-junction as Give Way instead of Stop, and the absence of further constraints on speed + The presence of other road users – pedestrian, cyclist, equestrian – albeit in small numbers Hazard Area 1: Kilruskin Rd / A78 T-junction Refer to photos 4, 5 & 6 Contributing Factors The application of the national speed limit (60mph for cars) Joining the A78 from Kilruskin Road: + the line of sight to the left (south) only opens up when about 5m from the junction edge + the junction is Give Way rather than Stop + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving + Driver on Kilruskin Road approaches junction intending not to stop unless necessary, and in the seconds available to make his decision, he misjudges the presence and speed of A78 traffic, leading to a collision Possible Outcomes + Driver stops at junction, but still misjudges nature and speed of approaching traffic, presence of other road users, leading to a collision Vehicle runs off the road, through fence + driver misses his gear change / stalls when starting his turn Near miss, Injury , Death Collision with other vehicle (possible but less likely with a cyclist) resulting in + Confusion sets in between drivers turning right, one joining and one leaving the A78 Relative Likelihood Hazard Area 1 Risk: Level 5, Significant Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability traffic flows For the possible events shown, the relative likelihood is categorised as Medium + driver may intend turning without first stopping at the junction + There is no restriction on overtaking on the A78 + The A78 here sees significant numbers of recreational cyclists The A78 immediately to the south of the junction is the sight of a cluster of serious accidents Turning right from A78 into Kilruskin Road + Driver must cross fast-moving A78 south-bound traffic + Driver has no right-turn filter lane Margin for Error: Low Hazard Area 1 Ranking: Level 5, Significant Hazard Area 2: Partially blind transition and straight interval of A78 from just south of Kilruskin T-junction along to just north of right turn onto Hunterston Estate Road. + A range of accident associated with speed on a rural singlelane trunk road with narrow lanes. These could be shunts, head-on collisions, running off the road. Possible Outcomes See Photos 7 – 10, & 13 + As well as involving other vehicles, they could involve cyclists and motor cyclists. Collision with other vehicle (possible but less likely with a cyclist) + The presence at the southerly end of the branch road to Hunterston Estate and the rise and partially blind brow at Highthorne compound matters. Vehicle runs off the road, through fence Contributing Factors Singly and in combination: + For a driver heading south, there is a blind interval of road in the transition between the curved and straight sections, more pronounced to the driver’s right side of road + Encountering an overtaking driver – maybe impatient and who makes a misjudgement + The relative narrowness of the carriageway + The national speed limit of 60mph for cars + The low margin for error associated with speed and narrow carriageways + The zero margin for error associated with vehicles passing in the presence of a cyclist resulting in Near miss, Injury , Death Relative Likelihood For the possible events shown, the relative likelihood is categorised as Higher than Medium Hazard Area 2 Risk: Level 7, Serious Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability + The introduction of a sudden need to brake, coming from traffic appearing from the Kilruskin junction, the Hunterston estate junction, the B782 junction, or over the blind brow at Highthorne – or from the lay-by + The compounding of these scenarios when a traffic flow in one direction meets a similar scenario approaching from the opposite direction. Margin for Error: Low, sometimes none at all Hazard Area 2 Ranking: Level 7, Serious Hazard Area 3: Hunterston Estate Road Junction and adjacent interval of A78 Refer to photos 10 - 13 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows The possible events are similar to those stated above for Hazard Area 4 below: A range of accidents associated with a T-junction of a 60mph A-road (with no central reservation) and a rural B-road. The right turn – across 1 or both fast-moving flows is notorious; the left turn is also dangerous. The possibility of an overtaking vehicle approaching downhill from the B782 junction compounds what could happen. Possible Outcomes Collision with other vehicle (possible but less likely with a cyclist or pedestrian) Vehicle runs off the road, through fence + the junction’s proximity to the B782 junction, at which point overtaking is permitted for north-bound A78 traffic; the blind brow contributes to this hazard Joining the A78 resulting in Driver misjudges the speed of the 2 approaching traffic flows, and proceeds when unsafe to do so Near miss, Injury , Death + its position in the A78 south-bound overtaking zone Leaving the A78 + the junction is not sign-posted on the A78 Driver misjudges speed of Approaching A78 traffic + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is to narrow to have one) Driver obliged to stop on A78 and wait for pedestrian or cyclists to clear the junction + the absence of clear markings and signage at the junction Right-turning driver does not notice an overtaking vehicle from behind. + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error Carrying on along A78 + a footway / cycleway crosses the Hunterston Estate Road just short of the A78, obliging drivers turning off the A78 to yield to cyclists / pedestrians + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national Overtaking vehicle south-bound runs out of forward vision as he approaches the blind brow; or meets no overtaking restriction before he can complete the manoeuvre. Relative Likelihood For the possible events shown, the relative likelihood is categorised as Higher than Medium Hazaard Area 3 Risk: Level 7-, Serious (the 7- refers to the relatively low usage of the Hunterston Estate Road) Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error : Very Low Hazard Area 3 Ranking: Level 7, Serious Hazard Area 4: B782 T-junction and adjacent intervals of A78 Refer to photos: 12 – 17 & 24 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in limited lines of sight along the A78 to the north when joining from the B782 – until almost at the junction edge + Correspondingly, the junction is partly obscured from about 160 yards to the north; and the junction’s visibility on the approach is not prominent + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in A78 traffic approaching from the north being blind to traffic approaching the junction from the south – and vice-versa + the status of the junction as Give Way instead of Stop + the overtaking restriction for north-bound traffic is lifted at the junction + there are no turning filter lanes for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for these, although the land is there) + the width of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users A range of accidents associated with a T-junction of a 60mph A-road (with no central reservation) and a rural B-road. The right turn – across 1 or both fast-moving flows is notorious; the left turn is also dangerous. Joining the A78 Driver misjudges the speed of the 2 approaching traffic flows, and proceeds when unsafe to do so Possible Outcomes Collision with other vehicle (possible but less likely with a cyclist or pedestrian) Vehicle runs off the road, through fence Driver tries to turn without first stopping, leading to error of judgement; may miss his gear change / stalls resulting in Leaving the A78 Near miss, Injury , Death Driver misjudges speed of approaching A78 traffic Driver obliged to stop on A78 and wait for pedestrian or cyclists to clear the junction Right-turning driver does not notice an overtaking vehicle from behind. Carrying on along A78 Overtaking vehicle south-bound runs out of forward vision as he approaches the blind brow; or meets no overtaking restriction before he can complete the manoeuvre. Generally Driver unfamiliar with the hazards in this area may be caught out by behaviours of familiar drivers Relative Likelihood For the possible events shown, the relative likelihood is categorised as Higher Hazard Area 4 Risk: Level 8, Very serious Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 4 Ranking: Level 8, Very Serious Hazard Area 4 Risk: Level 8, Very Serious Hazard Area 5: Thirdpart T-junction and adjacent intervals of A78 Refer to photos:18 - 27 Contributing Factors Singly and in combination + the absence of clear markings and signage for the junction + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows + traffic joining the A78 has very restricted line of sight along the A78 to the south –which opens up only when car is 2 yards from carriageway edge + the status of the junction as Give Way (?) instead of Stop + its proximity to the dogleg bend to the south – 175 yards, which equates to the 55 mph wet-road stopping distance; and to the B782 T-junction to the north The possible events are similar to those stated above for Hazard Area 4: A range of accidents associated with a T-junction of a 60mph A-road (with no central reservation) and a rural B-road. The right turn – across 1 or both fast-moving flows is notorious; the left turn also must be approached with great care. Impact from behind on the A78 is contributed to by proximity of the A78 bend to the south, and could affect a slow-moving vehicle having turned left onto A78 a vehice slowly turning off the A78 onto the Thirdpart Road Possible Outcomes Collision with other vehicle - also possible with a cyclist or pedestrian) Vehicle runs off the road, through fence resulting in Driver misjudges the speed of the 2 approaching traffic flows, and proceeds when unsafe to do so Driver tries to turn without first stopping, leading to error of judgement; may miss his gear change / stalls Leaving the A78 Driver misjudges speed of approaching A78 traffic Driver obliged to stop on A78 and wait for pedestrian or cyclists to clear the junction + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for this) Generally + the presence of slower moving agricultural traffic and ‘horse-box’ traffic Possible Consequences: Near miss, injury, death Joining the A78 + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users; the junction has an A78(T) pavement to left and right. Relative Likelihood: High Driver unfamiliar with the hazards in this area may be caught out by behaviours of familiar drivers. Near miss, Injury , Death Relative Likelihood For the possible events shown, the relative likelihood is categorised as Higher Hazard Area 5 Risk: Level 8, Very serious Possible Outcomes Hazard Area, Contributing Factors, Margin for Error, Hazard Area Ranking Possible Events Relative Likelihood Hazard Area Risk Level Manageability + the slow tight turn for traffic turning left off the A78 + the bell-mouth at the junction allows for vehicles to turn smoothly, but the narrowness of the Thirdpart road does not allow for 2 vehicles to pass in the immediate vicinity of the junction. Consequently longer vehicles entering the Thirdpart road are required to wait on the A78 to allow an exiting vehicle to clear the junction. + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 5 Ranking: Level 8, Very Serious Hazard Management and Mitigation Contributing Factors Hazard Area Hazard Ranking Margin for Error Risk Level Singly and in combination Controllable Variables / Road Management Options Pros / Cons Suggested Best-Fit Hazard Area 1: Kilruskin Rd / A78 junction Refer to photos: 4, 5 & 6 Joining the A78 from Kilruskin Road Margin for Error: Low Hazard Area 1 Ranking: Level 5, Significant + the line of sight to the left (south) only opens up when about 5m from the junction edge Change junction status and signage to STOP Hazard Area 1 Risk: Level 5, Significant + the junction is Give Way rather than Stop Reduce A78 speed limit to 50mph for cars + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows + driver may intend turning without first stopping at the junction Introduce no overtaking double white lines for 250 yard interval centred on the junction Change junction to a STOP status These 3 measures taken together are seen as delivering a significant improvement, cost-effectively and Reduce A78 Speed limit to 50mph for cars and Introduce no overtaking double white lines for 250 yard interval centred on the junction. + There is no restriction on overtaking on the A78 + The A78 here sees significant numbers of recreational cyclists Introduce cycle lanes? Would reduce carriageway width and associated margin for user error Turning right from A78 into Kilruskin Road Reduce speed limit on A78 to 50mph The above 3 measures would mitigate the risks. + Driver must cross fast-moving A78 southbound traffic Introduce right turn filter lane A filter lane would be expensive + Driver has no right-turn filter lane With no overtaking and a reduction of the speed limit, a degree of mitigation for cyclist risk is achieved. The above 3 measures are seen as likely to deliver sufficient risk mitigation Contributing Factors Hazard Area Hazard Ranking Margin for Error Risk Level Singly and in combination Hazard Area 2: Partially blind transition and straight interval of A78 from just south of Kilruskin T-junction along to just north of right turn onto Hunterston Estate Road. + For a driver heading south, there is a blind interval of road in the transition between the curved and straight sections, more pronounced to the driver’s right side of road See Photos 7 – 10, & 13 + Encountering an overtaking driver – maybe impatient - and who makes a misjudgement Margin for Error: Low, sometimes none Hazard Area 2 Ranking: Level 7, serious Hazard Area 2 Risk: Level 7, Serious Controllable Variables / Road Management Options Reduce A78 speed limit to 50mph for cars Pros / Cons Inexpensive and practical Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both directions – see also Hazard Areas 3 and 4 below Reduce the speed limit for cars to 50mph and + The national speed limit of 60mph for cars + The zero margin for error associated with vehicles passing in the presence of a cyclist Widen the road Ban overtaking Introduce a suitable cycleway These are seen as expensive / unrealistic, and not the best way to mitigate the hazards + The introduction of a sudden need to brake, coming from traffic appearing from the Kilruskin junction, the Hunterston estate junction, the B782 junction, or over the blind brow at Highthorne – or from the lay-by Hazard Area 3: Hunterston Estate Road Junction and adjacent interval of A78 + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows Reduce the A78 speed limit to 50mph Refer to photos: 10 - 13 + the junction’s proximity to the B782 junction, at which point overtaking is permitted for north-bound A78 traffic; the blind brow contributes to this hazard Improve the marking s and signage associated with the junction, including a STOP sign Hazard Area 3 Ranking: Level 7, Serious Hazard Area 3 Risk: Level 7-, Serious + its position in the A78 south-bound overtaking zone (the 7- refers to the low usage of the Estate Road) + the junction is not sign-posted on the A78 + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic Improve marking and signage at Hunterston Estate Road junction (see Hazard Area 3 below) and Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both traffic directions – see also Hazard Areas 3 and 4 below (Initial speed measurements show a mean speed slightly below 50mph; more work will be done on this) + The compounding of these scenarios when a traffic flow in one direction meets a similar scenario approaching from the opposite direction. Margin for Error : Very Low Reducing speeds over 50mph, and tighter controls on overtaking are seen as key steps. The recommendations are: + The relative narrowness of the carriageway + The low margin for error associated with speed and narrow carriageways Suggested Best-Fit Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both traffic directions – see also Hazard Areas 2 and 4 Stopping overtaking on the A78 at this junction, along with a 50mph speed limit are seen as key mitigation possibilities These steps are not expensive Reduce A78 speed limit to 50mph for cars and Change junction to a STOP and Improve the marking s and signage associated with the junction and Contributing Factors Hazard Area Hazard Ranking Margin for Error Risk Level Singly and in combination leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is to narrow to have one) Controllable Variables / Road Management Options Pros / Cons Suggested Best-Fit Road widening? Widening the road to allow for a right turn filter lane on the A78 is not seen as preferable to the 3 steps shown above – and would be relatively expensive. Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both traffic directions – see also Hazard Areas 2 and 4 These 3 single measures address all contributing factors effectively, and economically Use the available land to install a roundabout + the absence of clear markings and signage at the junction + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + a footway / cycleway crosses the Hunterston Estate Road just short of the A78, obliging drivers turning off the A78 to yield to cyclists / pedestrians + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Hazard Area 4: B782 T-junction and adjacent intervals of A78 + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows Introduce a roundabout, using the existing open ground Refer to photos: 12 – 17 & 24 + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in limited lines of sight along the A78 to the north when joining from the B782 – until almost at the junction edge Reduce the A78 speed limit to 50mph Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 4 Ranking: Level 8, Very Serious Hazard Area 4 Risk: Level 8, Very serious Photo 15: Highthorne Junction looking north along A78; front of car 2m from junction edge + Correspondingly, the junction is partly obscured from about 160 yards to the north; and the junction’s visibility on the approach is not prominent + the partially blind brow at the north side of the junction results in A78 traffic approaching from the north being blind to Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both traffic directions – see also Hazard Areas 2 and 3 and reduce the speed limit on this interval of the A78(T) to 50 mph for cars and Extend the A78 No Overtaking lines to 100 yards north of the Hunterston Estate junction – applies to both traffic directions – see also Hazard Areas 2 and 3 Contributing Factors Hazard Area Hazard Ranking Margin for Error Risk Level Singly and in combination traffic approaching the junction from the south – and vice-versa + the status of the junction as Give Way instead of Stop + the overtaking restriction for north-bound traffic is lifted at the junction + there are no turning filter lanes for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for these, although the land is there) Controllable Variables / Road Management Options Re-contour the A78 to north to sort out the blind brow Pros / Cons - Suggested Best-Fit and as an interim measure Introduce a right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 Change Junction to STOP status Broaden the carriageway With a VAS saying All these are expensive options which would not necessarily achieve the safety improvement STOP, LOOK + the width of the A78 carriageway reduces margins for error + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Hazard Area 5: Thirdpart junction and adjacent intervals of A78 + the absence of clear markings and signage for the junction Reduce the A78 Speed Limit to 50mph Refer to photos:18 - 27 + traffic joining the A78 has to negotiate 1 or 2 fast-moving traffic flows Improve line of sight to south from the Thirdpart Road + traffic joining the A78 has very restricted line of sight along the A78 to the south – which opens up only when car is 2 yards from carriageway edge Change status of junction from Give Way to Stop Margin for Error: Very Low Hazard Area 5 Ranking: : Level 8, Very Serious Hazard Area 5 Risk: Level 8, Very serious + the status of the junction as Give Way (?) instead of Stop + its proximity to the dogleg bend to the south – 175 yards, which equates to the 55 mph wet-road stopping distance; and to the B782 T-junction to the north + the narrowness of the A78 carriageway Introduce a SLOW DOWN VAS in this vicinity of the A78 This set of measures is seen as cost-effective and practicable to address the most serious features of this junction Reduce Speed Limit on this interval of the A78(T) to 50 mph and Improve line of sight to south from the Thirdpart Road and Change status of junction from Give Way to Stop Improve markings and signage associated with this junction and Improve the bellmouth and the first short interval of Thirdpart Road Introduce a SLOW DOWN VAS in this vicinity of the A78 and Improve markings and signage Contributing Factors Hazard Area Hazard Ranking Margin for Error Risk Level Singly and in combination reduces margins for error + there is no right turn filter lane for traffic leaving the A78 at the junction (the carriageway is not wide enough for this) + the presence of cyclists, pedestrians and equestrian users; the junction has an A78(T) pavement to left and right. + the presence of slower moving agricultural traffic and ‘horse-box’ traffic + the slow tight turn for traffic turning left off the A78 + the bell-mouth at the junction allows for vehicles to turn smoothly, but the narrowness of the Thirdpart road does not allow for 2 vehicles to pass in the immediate vicinity of the junction. Consequently longer vehicles entering the Thirdpart road are required to wait on the A78 to allow an exiting vehicle to clear the junction. + on top of the foregoing is the application of the national speed limit – 60 mph for cars Controllable Variables / Road Management Options Widen the A78 to allow filter lanes for turning off the A78 Pros / Cons This is seen as too expensive when compared to the suggested set of changes Suggested Best-Fit associated with this junction and Improve the bellmouth and widen the first short interval of Thirdpart Road