Population Growth in MLHD - Murrumbidgee Local Health District

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POPULATION GROWTH 2001 TO 2011
MURRUMBIDGEE LOCAL HEALTH DISTRICT
Summary of changes in official ABS Estimated Resident Populations
from 2001 to 2011
Date:
December 2012
Author:
Kim Gilchrist, Epidemiologist, Public Health Unit, MLHD
[email protected]
Copies available:
www.mlhd.health.nsw.gov.au/about/health-statistics
Murrumbidgee Local Health District
ABN 71 172 428 618
Locked Bag 10, Wagga Wagga NSW 2650
Tel 02 6933 9100 Fax 02 6933 9188
Website www.mlhd.health.nsw.gov.au
POPULATION GROWTH IN MLHD
The following is an excerpt from the Australian Bureau of Statistics publication on Population Growth from
2001 to 2011 (3218.0 - Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2011, ABS 31/07/2012)
Inland change
Population growth occurred in a number of SA2s within major regional cities and towns in inland NSW. The
largest growth between June 2001 and June 2011 was in Orange - North (up 3,700 people), Queanbeyan West Jerrabomberra (3,600), Wagga Wagga - South (3,500), and Albury - East (3,300). The largest declines over this
ten year period were in Broken Hill (down 2,000 people) and Moree (down 1,500). Of the remaining mainly
rural SA2s, the largest growth occurred in Queanbeyan Region (up 4,200 people) and Yass Region (2,400), both
of which border the Australian Capital Territory. There was also large growth in Orange Region (up 1,100
people) and Tamworth Region (1,100), both of which surround major regional centres. Reflecting the effects of
drought in many parts of rural NSW, more than half of these predominantly rural areas had population declines
in the ten years to 2011, with the largest loss n Griffith Region (down 1,700 people). See map below for
comparison of SA2s (statistical area 2) with LGAs
The SA2 – which are the new standard geographical classifications used by the ABS – split up some LGAs, but
combine others. What they do is split off the larger towns or regional centres and refer to the rural outskirts as
a “Region”, for example there is Deniliquin, Moama and Deniliquin Region SA2s in south western MLHD –
which covers the Murray, Wakool, Deniliquin and Conargo LGAs.
Figure 1 – Map of MLHD showing LGA and SA2 boundaries
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Public Health Unit – MLHD (Document1)
The Figure 2 and Table 1 show the population growth for the SA2s indicating specific areas of growth in
Moama (increased by 1239 people) Albury-East (3348 people), Wagga Wagga-South (3448 people), Wagga
Wagga - East (1057 people) and Griffith (1134).
Figure 2 - Population growth (percentage) by SA2 from 2001 to 2011
Deniliquin and Deniliquin region experienced significant population decline as did the Griffith Region,
Narrandera, Leeton, Hay, and West Wyalong. Despite these pockets of decrease, the growth in the regional
centres bolsters the MLHD population and shows the overall area has increased in population over the 10 year
period.
Table 2 and Figure 3 show the same data but for the LGA geography. Wagga Wagga LGA has increased by close
to 5000 people since 2001, Albury nearly 4,000 people and more significantly the small LGA of Murray had a
high percentage increase with Murray Shire increasing by 16% (1000 people) over 10 years. Other areas of
increase were Young (664) and Corowa (517) Shires.
What the SA2 information adds to our more typical population data, is more specifically that the growth in
Wagga Wagga was to the north and south of the city, and for Albury to the east and Thurgoona; and for
Murray Shire – the Moama township, whereas Corowa Shire’s growth was in outlying areas around the town
and Young’s growth was in the township and decrease in the outer regions. Where the Griffith urban area
(SA2) grew by over 1000 people, the decline in outer areas shows the Griffith Shire only increasing by 688
people.
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Public Health Unit – MLHD (Document1)
Figure 3 - Population growth (percentage) by LGA from 2001 to 2011
The LGAs with the most significant decrease in population proportionally (from 14 to 20%) were: Jerilderie,
Carrathool, Urana, Wakool, Lockhart, Hay and Conargo. Additionally Deniliquin, Wakool, Hay, Carrathool,
Leeton, Narrandera and Bland decreased by 500 to 1000 people over 10 years. These figures do not include
the Lake Cargelligo area, however overall the Condobolin SA2 decreased by 11 per cent.
Overall the MLHD had a slow growth rate of 0.1 per cent per annum from 2001 to 2011. The population has
increased by 3643 people. There appears to be some shift of the population from outer rural areas into the
regional centres of Albury, Wagga Wagga and Griffith and growth in the township of Moama as further
residential development occurs on the north side of the Murray River from the larger town of Echuca (VIC).
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Public Health Unit – MLHD (Document1)
Table 1- Estimated Resident Population by SA2 and year
ERP at 30 June
STATISTICAL AREAS LEVEL 4 (SA4),
Statistical Areas Level 3 (SA3) and
Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2)
Change
2001-2011pr
%
no.
20012011pr(a)
%
2001
no.
2002
no.
2003
no.
2004
no.
2005
no.
2006
no.
2007pr
no.
2008pr
no.
2009pr
no.
2010pr
no.
2011pr
no.
Young
Young Region
Condobolin
West Wyalong
9890
7734
8089
6637
9956
7647
7971
6569
10050
7607
7823
6484
10155
7567
7676
6380
10304
7562
7548
6303
10465
7592
7444
6315
10472
7464
7298
6250
10477
7466
7286
6134
10492
7497
7246
6135
10501
7569
7193
6050
10506
7599
7199
6001
6.2
-1.7
-11.0
-9.6
616
-135
-890
-636
0.6
-0.2
-1.2
-1.0
Albury - East
Albury - North
Albury - South
Albury Region
Lavington
Total Albury
9872
9227
11026
11259
14642
56026
10162
9379
11119
11207
14647
56514
10528
9438
11115
11146
14612
56839
10743
9493
11097
11166
14651
57150
11222
9606
11114
11157
14696
57795
11613
9687
11218
11240
14791
58549
12078
9707
11146
11205
14720
58856
12426
9716
11165
11185
14645
59137
12724
9681
11093
11165
14528
59191
13014
9648
11049
11147
14454
59312
13220
9634
10910
11132
14426
59322
33.9
4.4
-1.1
-1.1
-1.5
5.9
3348
407
-116
-127
-216
3296
3.0
0.4
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
0.6
Lower Murray
Hay
Wentworth - Buronga
Wentworth-Balranald Region
Total Lower Murray
3599
6309
4226
14134
3600
6247
4154
14001
3573
6191
4087
13851
3537
6149
3997
13683
3526
6155
3950
13631
3516
6197
3909
13622
3421
6225
3840
13486
3317
6204
3839
13360
3236
6085
3812
13133
3169
6017
3810
12996
3097
5921
3778
12796
-13.9
-6.1
-10.6
-9.5
-502
-388
-448
-1338
-1.5
-0.6
-1.1
-1.0
Upper Murray exc. Albury
Corowa
Corowa Region
Deniliquin
Deniliquin Region
Moama
Tocumwal - Finley - Jerilderie
Total Upper Murray exc. Albury
5655
6348
8333
8332
4028
9677
42373
5710
6333
8229
8205
4164
9638
42279
5763
6351
8107
8056
4288
9534
42099
5824
6334
7949
7931
4379
9470
41887
5936
6361
7835
7827
4497
9530
41986
6071
6489
7731
7753
4719
9709
42472
6013
6466
7652
7536
4997
9717
42381
5960
6501
7558
7379
5155
9710
42263
5903
6595
7522
7262
5236
9687
42205
5838
6637
7400
7129
5260
9643
41907
5764
6679
7317
7006
5267
9549
41582
1.9
5.2
-12.2
-15.9
30.8
-1.3
-1.9
109
331
-1016
-1326
1239
-128
-791
0.2
0.5
-1.3
-1.7
2.7
-0.1
-0.2
112533
112794
112789
112720
113412
114643
114723
114760
114529
114215
113700
1.0
1167
0.1
MURRAY
Albury
TOTAL MURRAY
RIVERINA
5|P a g e
ERP at 30 June
Change
STATISTICAL AREAS LEVEL 4 (SA4),
Statistical Areas Level 3 (SA3) and
Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2)
Griffith - Murrumbidgee (West)
Griffith (NSW)
Griffith Region
Leeton
Narrandera
Total Griffith - Murrumbidgee (West)
2001
no.
2002
no.
2003
no.
2004
no.
2005
no.
2006
no.
2007pr
no.
2008pr
no.
2009pr
no.
2010pr
no.
2011pr
no.
17479
14799
10658
7022
49958
17561
14630
10647
6921
49759
17595
14379
10628
6781
49383
17644
14183
10600
6656
49083
17801
14038
10564
6585
48988
18026
13930
10597
6532
49085
18116
13668
10466
6431
48681
18327
13529
10389
6390
48635
18481
13457
10385
6395
48718
18538
13281
10297
6370
48486
18613
13107
10224
6352
48296
6.5
-11.4
-4.1
-9.5
-3.3
1134
-1692
-434
-670
-1662
0.6
-1.2
-0.4
-1.0
-0.3
Tumut - Tumbarumba
Tumbarumba
Tumut
Tumut Region
Total Tumut - Tumbarumba
3779
6432
5038
15249
3768
6426
4998
15192
3730
6450
5044
15224
3700
6331
4952
14983
3698
6319
4922
14939
3734
6337
4936
15007
3657
6328
4905
14890
3598
6332
4859
14789
3574
6417
4830
14821
3535
6464
4810
14809
3477
6500
4772
14749
-8.0
1.1
-5.3
-3.3
-302
68
-266
-500
-0.8
0.1
-0.5
-0.3
Wagga Wagga
Cootamundra
Gundagai
Junee
Temora
Wagga Wagga - East
Wagga Wagga - North
Wagga Wagga - South
Wagga Wagga - West
Wagga Wagga Region
Total Wagga Wagga
7894
3664
5869
6983
15338
3062
18204
12530
14597
88141
7850
3678
5884
6905
15435
3089
18495
12622
14525
88483
7782
3672
5866
6800
15502
3097
18753
12654
14382
88508
7756
3670
5868
6711
15607
3107
19092
12650
14294
88755
7796
3690
5914
6692
15766
3140
19628
12661
14281
89568
7811
3719
6017
6700
15958
3201
20224
12734
14401
90765
7678
3694
5981
6509
16011
3211
20676
12797
14458
91015
7595
3691
5990
6475
16086
3299
21172
12792
14509
91609
7672
3693
6062
6549
16198
3404
21414
12698
14532
92222
7621
3690
6040
6546
16299
3506
21544
12453
14499
92198
7619
3665
6029
6500
16395
3626
21652
12232
14360
92078
-3.5
0.0
2.7
-6.9
6.9
18.4
18.9
-2.4
-1.6
4.5
-275
1
160
-483
1057
564
3448
-298
-237
3937
-0.4
0.0
0.3
-0.7
0.7
1.7
1.7
-0.2
-0.2
0.4
153348
153434
153115
152821
153495
154857
154586
155033
155761
155493
155123
1.2
1775
0.1
6575217
6628951
6672577
6707189
6756457
6816087
6885204
6975891
7069707
7144928
7211468
9.7
636251
0.9
TOTAL RIVERINA
TOTAL NEW SOUTH WALES
2001-2011pr
%
no.
20012011pr(a)
%
6|P a g e
Table 2 - Estimated Resident Population by LGA and year
ERP at 30 June
Local Government Area
Albury (C)
M
Berrigan (A)
M
Bland (A)
M
Boorowa (A)
M
Carrathool (A)
M
Conargo (A)
M
Coolamon (A)
M
Cootamundra (A)
M
Corowa Shire (A)
M
Deniliquin (A)
M
Greater Hume Shire
(A)
M
Griffith (C)
M
Gundagai (A)
M
Harden (A)
M
Hay (A)
M
Jerilderie (A)
M
Junee (A)
M
Leeton (A)
M
Lockhart (A)
M
Murray (A)
M
Murrumbidgee (A)
M
Narrandera (A)
M
Temora (A)
M
Tumbarumba (A)
M
Tumut Shire (A)
M
Urana (A)
M
Wagga Wagga (C)
M
Wakool (A)
M
Young (A)
M
MLHD
TOTAL NEW SOUTH WALES
Change
2001-2011pr
%
no.
8.4
3846
1.8
144
-9.6
-637
0.6
14
-19.5
-648
-13.1
-238
2.2
91
-2.5
-194
4.8
517
-12.2
-1016
20012011pr(a)
%
0.8
0.2
-1.0
0.1
-2.2
-1.4
0.2
-0.3
0.5
-1.3
2001
no.
45621
8138
6655
2455
3316
1823
4122
7695
10785
8333
2002
no.
46223
8130
6587
2415
3275
1815
4114
7653
10839
8229
2003
no.
46672
8061
6502
2402
3176
1787
4095
7589
10934
8107
2004
no.
47028
8033
6398
2405
3092
1761
4096
7566
11004
7949
2005
no.
47731
8121
6320
2395
2993
1747
4115
7610
11158
7835
2006
no.
48482
8317
6332
2396
2918
1734
4176
7627
11432
7731
2007pr
no.
48857
8363
6269
2350
2866
1713
4167
7533
11342
7652
2008pr
no.
49171
8380
6153
2395
2816
1681
4191
7460
11334
7558
2009pr
no.
49253
8366
6153
2441
2795
1642
4210
7540
11365
7522
2010pr
no.
49397
8346
6067
2462
2731
1610
4222
7497
11338
7400
2011pr
no.
49467
8282
6018
2469
2668
1585
4213
7501
11302
7317
10537
24604
3792
3860
3599
1922
5905
11925
3578
6156
2662
6739
6337
3735
11470
1431
56722
4929
11850
10423
24594
3805
3813
3600
1873
5921
11912
3501
6255
2652
6639
6276
3725
11424
1410
57222
4835
11910
10297
24535
3798
3776
3573
1823
5903
11880
3440
6335
2626
6501
6188
3687
11494
1380
57505
4743
12008
10251
24534
3795
3725
3537
1776
5906
11825
3371
6395
2606
6385
6113
3658
11283
1343
57916
4664
12110
10191
24705
3815
3721
3526
1734
5953
11769
3318
6464
2585
6317
6109
3656
11241
1323
58656
4616
12265
10192
24921
3844
3739
3516
1707
6057
11785
3299
6677
2593
6267
6124
3692
11273
1306
59646
4554
12432
10127
24907
3794
3696
3421
1649
6002
11663
3248
6897
2518
6175
5961
3616
11233
1277
60321
4393
12400
10108
25107
3785
3645
3317
1614
6021
11570
3207
7031
2472
6133
5929
3559
11191
1250
61024
4316
12417
10097
25259
3787
3619
3236
1598
6103
11582
3177
7113
2420
6151
5973
3535
11247
1225
61436
4255
12461
10087
25265
3781
3663
3169
1570
6092
11489
3150
7154
2378
6132
5970
3496
11274
1202
61489
4155
12491
10039
25292
3753
3680
3097
1534
6091
11406
3082
7159
2338
6123
5928
3440
11272
1180
61509
4080
12514
-4.7
2.8
-1.0
-4.7
-13.9
-20.2
3.1
-4.4
-13.9
16.3
-12.2
-9.1
-6.5
-7.9
-1.7
-17.5
8.4
-17.2
5.6
-498
688
-39
-180
-502
-388
186
-519
-496
1003
-324
-616
-409
-295
-198
-251
4787
-849
664
-0.5
0.3
-0.1
-0.5
-1.5
-2.2
0.3
-0.4
-1.5
1.5
-1.3
-1.0
-0.7
-0.8
-0.2
-1.9
0.8
-1.9
0.5
280696
281070
280817
280525
281989
284769
284410
284835
285561
285077
284339
1.3
3643
0.1
6575217
6628951
6672577
6707189
6756457
6816087
6885204
6975891
7069707
7144928
7211468
9.7
636251
0.9
7|P a g e
DATA SOURCE:
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Catalogue: 3218.0 Regional Population Growth, Australia
Released at 11.30am (Canberra time) 31 July 2012
3218.0 Population Estimates by Local Government Area, 2001 to 2011
3218.0 Population Estimates by Statistical Area Level 2, 2001 to 2011
Maps drawn using Esri® ArcMap™ 10.1.
8|P a g e
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