1 Kyle Sleeper ENVR 325 Mike Valentine And the Landslide Brought Me Down: a look into the hazards and joys of living in Tacoma’s Salmon Beach Community The historical community known as Salmon Beach rests nestled along the shore of Puget Sound just south of Point Defiance Park in Tacoma, Washington. People have lived here for over a hundred years, beginning as a fishing village at the turn of the 20th century. The homes there attract attention locally and from far away for its unique set-up; all of the homes rest upon large stilts shooting down into the stand. Precariously perched above the community is several thousand tons worth of feeder bluff prone to slope failure. In fact, Salmon Beach has had multiple large-scale slides causing extensive damage, and even death. The loose sediment which the houses rest is thoroughly saturated with water, and is susceptible to liquefaction in the event of a large enough magnitude Earthquake. From the ocean, quite literally on their doorstep, one can expect seiches or tsunamis depending on where and when an earthquake would strike. These hazards are acknowledged and accepted by the community. They are willing to risk their property and their lives in order to preserve their beautiful and secluded way of living. This paper has been written to explore the natural hazards and risks associated with each major event mentioned above in relationship to Salmon Beach, and the choice residents have made to continue their existence there. Various figures and maps will be used to clarify certain sections, and complete references can be found in the footnotes of this document. LANDSLIDES Every year several billion dollars are spent on preventing, fixing, and assessing possible damage caused by mass movements. There are over 2 million slope failures a year, many of which are preventable. The Puget Sound region is particularly susceptible to failures due to a 2 combination of factors involving glacial stratigraphy, sediment types, orientation, precipitation, and eroding feeder bluffs. Examples of mass movements include creep, shallow slides, slumps, landslides, and ancient, deep-seated slides.1 Unfortunately for those residents of Salmon Beach, they are prone to each one of the wasting events mentioned, all of which are gravity-driven. They can be triggered by natural factors such as excessive rainfall, vibrations, and slope steepening, as well as human factors changing slope angle like removing vegetation, cutting into slopes, leaks in septic and watering systems, adding mass to the top of a slope, or removing it from the bottom of a slope (under cutting). The Puget Lowland’s glacial stratigraphy has caused extremely steep slopes inundated with loose sediments, and coastal erosion runs rampant throughout the region. What we find is Esperance sands resting on top of Lawton clay, causing a prime slip zone for major events. In the words of Sue Martin, an engineer with the City of Tacoma, about the cliffs threatening Salmon Beach, “The cliff is made up of layers meant to move: silt and clay at its base, followed by a layer of sand and gravel, followed by more silt, sand and glacial till. Interwoven through it all is a series of springs, some of which gush into small waterfalls at the base of the bluff.” 2 The bluff is constantly eroding, which on one level is essential to the continued equilibrium of the ecosystem because it provides fresh sediments for beaches and replenishes essential nutrients, but it also makes for unstable building sites and dangerous potential energy. The picture on the right3 is a picture of Salmon Beach from the water, and provides a prime example of a slope that has continuously failed, lacking the anchoring mechanism of vegetation, with an extremely steep gradient. 1 Information on mass movements provided in this paragraph comes predominately from class lecture given by Mike Valentine on June 17th, 2010 2 Sue Martin via Elaine Porterfield. “Idyllic life at salmon beach outweighs landslide risk for many.” (2001). Seattle Post-Intelligencer 3 Image accessed from Julie Newcombe’s personal website http://www.julienewcombe.com/photos/salmonbeach/index.htm 3 Historical Evidence The most convincing evidence of these recurring slope failures lies in the historical record. Major landslides have occurred in the past century due to both earthquakes and excessive rainfall. Failures worth noting occurred in 1949 due to the Olympia earthquake, in 1996 due to excessive rainfall, and 2001 due to the Nisqually earthquake. In 1949, 3 days after an earthquake, magnitude 7.6, an “eleven million cubic yard landslide occurred on Point Defiance at the Tacoma Narrows when a 400 foot high cliff gave way and slid into the water…there was a row of homes at Salmon Beach at the foot of the cliff which was narrowly missed…[others] sustained damage.”4 On December 27th, 1996, excessive winter precipitation saturated the bluff and two slides occurred at Salmon Beach (slumps), and cut off phone lines and electricity to Salmon Beach. 5 This slide also destroyed 3 homes. Though a slower event which occurred over a period of days, it exemplified how prone these loose sediments are to slipping due to rainfall, and danger presented by even slow events. On February 28th, 2001 there was a magnitude 6.8 Nisqually earthquake which caused $1,505,428 worth in damages.6 Failures all over the Puget Sound region prompted the president to appropriate funds via FEMA for what was declared Federal Disaster #1361, 4 Lander, J.F., P.A. Lockridge, and M.J. Kozuch (1993). Tsunamis Affecting the West Coast of the United States 1806-1992, NGDC Key to Geophysical Record Documentation No. 29, NOAA, NESDIS, NGDC, 242 pp. 5 Rex L. Baum, Alan F. Chleborad, & Robert L. Schuster. (1998). Landslides triggered by the winter 1996-97 storms in the puget lowland, washington (online edition). Denver, CO: USGS. 6 Lynn M. Highland. (2003). An account of preliminary landslide damage and losses resulting from the February 28, 2001, Nisqually, Washington, earthquake. USGS. 4 “I have determined that the damage in certain areas of the State of Washington, resulting from an earthquake on February 28, 2001 and continuing, is of sufficient severity and magnitude to warrant a major disaster declaration under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, 42 USC 5121(Stafford Act). I, therefore, declare that such a major disaster exists in the State of Washington.”7 In Salmon Beach the damages included severed municipal services and significant damage to at least 8 of the cabins. The rock/soil slide from the bluffs above the community contained about 1,000 cubic meters of material, and left 10,000-20,000 cubic meters of material poised and threatening 6 additional houses.8 The events of the 2001 quake prompted the City of Tacoma to require residents to sign a waiver agreeing to the hold the city blameless for any slides that damage their community, acknowledging the risks of living there. What this also means is that if the community wants to enact any mitigation plans and technologies to prevent slope failure they must assume the financial burden of any such project. Because they would be multi-million dollar investments, they very well may never commit to such projects. The Pierce County Hazard Mitigation team determined the recurrence interval for the landslide hazard in the county to be “100 years or less occurrence.”9 As we can see from these three examples alone, the “or less” part of that conclusion becomes the dominant train of thought. TSUNAMIS and SEICHES Tsunamis are large and fast waves generated from the displacement of a large volume of water beneath the surface. These are caused in oceans from seismic activity, landslides, and impact events from meteorites. Tsunamis can move with tremendous force, and devastate coastal areas exposed to their power. Seiches are water waves generated in enclosed or partly 7 Federal Emergency Management Agency. (2001). [FEMA-1361-DR] United States Federal Government. 8 Rex Baum, Al Chleborad, Ed Harp, Randall Jibson, David Keefer, & Scott Miles. Nisqually earthquake, Washington mw 6.8. (2001) USGS. 9 Pierce County. (2003). Region 5 hazard mitigation plan landslide hazard sub-section. 5 enclosed bodies of water such as reservoirs, lakes, bays and rivers by the passage of seismic waves caused by an earthquake.10 They model the waves of the earthquake and are known as “standing waves,” which appear to superficially raise water levels. Locally produced tsunamis have happened in Puget Sound in the past. The 1949 earthquake caused a 6-8 foot tidal wave that damaged boats, dock areas, boardwalks, and other waterfront installations in Salmon Beach from landslides going into the water.11 Furthermore, a study was done which found that about 1,000 years ago there was a massive tsunami in the region which drowned out marshes that once occupied Figure showing past Tsunamigenic events in Pierce County (http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/pubs/PDF/vent2981/vent2981.pdf) downtown Seattle, Whidbey Island, and covered parts of Vashon Island with sand, which was caused by the Seattle fault.12 This suggests that we can expect future tsunamis in the Puget Sound area. Tsunamis generate an enormous amount of momentum, traveling hundreds of kilometers an hour and they can strike within minutes of a nearby quake. Because of the evidence of large-scale tsunamis occurring fairly recently by geological standards the NOAA is now “using a finite difference model based on nonlinear shallow water wave theory and highresolution digital elevation model, we simulate the generation, propagation, and inundation of tsunamis in Puget Sound. The tsunamis are generated as a result of possible earthquake scenarios for the Seattle Fault.”13 This investment in modeling should make it clear as to how serious this hazard is for members living along the coast. 10 Pierce County, REGION 5 HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN TSUNAMI HAZARD SUB-SECTION1 Tacoma News-Tribune, April 18, 1949, p.1 12 Angie J. Venturato, Diego Arcas, Vasily V. Titov, Harold O. Mofjeld, Chris C. Chamberlin, & Frank I. Gonzalez. Tacoma, washington, tsunami hazard mapping project: Modeling tsunami inundation from tacoma and seattle fault earthquakes. 2007. Seattle, WA: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. 11 13 Koshimura, Mojfeld, “Puget Sound Tsunami Inundation Modeling Preliminary Report : Phase 2,” NOAA. 6 In a worst-case scenario sure, because of its location at sea level, a tsunami approaching the shore with such force could simply demolishes the Salmon Beach houses against the cliffs, however, Salmon Beach is on the south side of the peninsula and is protected from extremely devastating waves. Tsunamis caused by subaerial landslides are more likely to damage Salmon Beach than those triggered directly by earthquakes. Pierce County deems them secondary in hazard to This would prove impossible for Salmon Beach Residents (http://ioc3.unesco.org/itic/images/upload/Washington_TsuH azZone_big.png) seiches.14 In the event of seiche, Salmon Beach will experience significant flooding, in part because “sedimentary basins beneath a body of water can amplify a seiche. Seismic waves…can amplify water waves by exciting the natural sloshing action in a body of water or focusing water waves onto a section of shoreline.”15 Already the high tide mark is only a few feet from the bottom of their houses (which all rest on stilts in the sand) and a 4 or 5 foot increase in the tide will engulf the first floors, boardwalk, and prevent evacuations over land from the houses. Essentially it will trap the residents in their houses, cause significant water damage, and could possibly result in drowning or death. The Washington State Department of Natural Resources advises its citizens to know what to expect. They believe the best form of mitigation for tsunami and seiche dangers lie in the weapon of awareness. As further advances are made in understanding earthquakes and their effects, so too are the dangers of tsunamis and “information is the foundation for planning efforts.”16 LIQUEFACTION 14 15 Pierce County, REGION 5 HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN TSUNAMI HAZARD SUB-SECTION1 Washington State HIVA Mitigation Plan, 2006/2007 Washington State Department of Natural Resources http://www.dnr.wa.gov/ResearchScience/Topics/GeologicHazardsMapping/Pages/tsunamis.aspx 16 7 Another frightening hazard is that of liquefaction. It is the process of loosely packed, water-logged sediment, suddenly turning to a heavy-liquid-like state due to intense vibrations, like the shaking of an earthquake. It can also occur because of tsunami runup and drawdown “due to the generation of high excess pore pressure and the reduction of the effective over burden pressure during the drawdown.”17 As with most other hazards dealing with sediment there is a combination of factors leading up to such an occurrence. In the case of liquefaction the sediment will usually be waterlogged because of poor drainage, high permeability, and high porosity. The homes at Salmon Beach are built on stilts driven down into sand. One can assume that the ground is thoroughly saturated. Drainage is hard to measure, because the in and out flux is a constant in such an environment, but I picture it as a soup of sand to certain extent. There have been significant mapping efforts of Pierce County to determine liquefaction-prone areas inland, and in the maps I’ve looked at, data for Salmon Beach specifically has not been logged. In part this is probably due to the county realizing that Salmon Beach has so many other risks already associated with living there, and liquefaction is known to occur on coasts naturally. In the violent shaking of large magnitude quakes (6.0+) one could expect the homes at Salmon Beach to shift on their stilt-foundations and/or sink downwards over time due to the constant pressure of tides. They seem to be holding up so far but one can only guess for how long that will remain. HAZARD MITIGATION Acknowledging all these hazards we must then look at ways to mitigate the risks. The recurrence interval for major quakes is within the timeframe of 100 years, major slides around 50 years, and earthquake-caused tsunamis every 1,000 years. The most prominent hazard to mitigate against for the residents is by far Landslides, so we will focus on the mitigation techniques they have employed and could employ, but probably wouldn’t because of the cost and effort. In this section we can also mention some of the techniques to prevent liquefaction. Soft approaches to mitigating damages caused by landslides for the Salmon Beach community haven’t amounted to much. Already the city requires residents to sign a waiver agreeing 17 Stephen P. Palmer, Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping for Selected Urban Areas in the Central Puget Sound Region, Washington Final Technical Report, Washington Department of Natural Resources, 2004. 8 to hold the city blameless for any slides that damage their community. New building permits aren’t granted, and some residents complain about additions they want to add to their house but can’t receive permits for. They can do restoration projects, but this historical community resides in such a precarious area that the city doesn’t want to be liable for assured damages there anymore. The slopes are tagged and past slide areas are identifiable by the scars left in the land as well as small flags at the bases of where the slumps once were. Some hard approaches have been tried. There are large anchoring cables nailed down into the cliffs, as well as some nets on the upper vegetation to help hold the sediment back, however it is not enough. Unfortunately, further efforts will not be pursued for both aesthetic and financial reasons. The residents wouldn’t want shot crete sprayed on their walls because it would detract from the natural landscape they appreciate so much. Cellular faces would be extremely difficult to install, and thus would be extremely expensive. Another way to mitigate slope failure would be to jet-grout the hillside. It involves drilling cylinders into the sediment and filling it with a cement-like material, and offers additional stability and possible resistance to liquefaction. WHY LIVE THERE? When talking with a Tacoma resident who plans to buy a house in Salmon Beach whenever he has the funds to, who goes by the name “Bazooka Joe,” he told me, “I’ve been coming to Salmon Beach since I was a kid. I wouldn’t let landslide scares stop me from moving here. It’s the most beautiful place on the Sound.”18 That attitude and resiliency displaying a “won’t happen to me” sentiment shows up frequently when discussing the community, but more on that later. The risk perception of the community is extremely low. It is probably due to two factors: it is a familiar hazard, and it is “balanced” by the benefits of remaining there. Everyone living at Salmon Beach knows about landslides, that they might occur, and the damage it has caused in the past. But one of the things the community thrives on is just that: community. When a home or boardwalk is damaged by an event everyone rushes to the aid of the person or structure to fix the problem. When driftwood comes on to the beach or gets stuck in a foundation they work together to drag it out and chop it up to distribute as firewood amongst the community. 18 Bazooka Joe, personal communication 9 An article published by the Seattle Post-Intelligencer shortly after the 2001 Earthquake captures the essence of the community and their attitudes about sliding quite well. In it the author interviewed numerous residents and quoted the president of the homeowner as saying that “We’re more stable now and not too worried about a hill slide.”19 While some might call this a case of denial the community is proud to prove its self-reliant ways by staying put under the looming cliffs. There is constant maintenance that must be done to the boardwalk, stairways, and access road above the community, probably deforming because of creep, but the work to be done just bonds the community tighter because they all work together. A book published in 2006 by Arcadia Publishing was written by Roger Cushman Edwards, a resident of Salmon Beach, and contains a wealth of private pictures and images providing a window into the extensive history of this community. Perusing the history of this stretch of beach allows for a greater appreciation for the way of life preserved by this haven. While it wouldn’t be my first choice for a place to own property, I will continue to visit Salmon Beach from time to time. It certainly offers a brief respite from the hustle and bustle of life above the cliffs. 19 Elaine Porterfield. “Idyllic life at salmon beach outweighs landslide risk for many.” (2001). Seattle Post-Intelligencer