Article Summary & Discussion Preparation Log Name: Terrè Block Article Title: A Shifting Band of Rain Author/Source: Julian P. Sachs and Conor L. Myhrvold A: List the major ideas, concepts or key points- point by point Example: • By tracing that history, we can gain a better understanding of how the ongoing buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, rising air temperatures and changes in tropical precipitation are likely to alter future climate patterns. • The tropical rain band that wraps the globe north of the equator migrates as atmospheric temperature changes, altering rainfall patterns worldwide. • Pacific Island lakes show that the band is at 3°N to 10°N, as far north as it has ever been in at least 1,200 years. • At current warming rates, the band could shift north by five degrees by 2100, drying out farmland for millions of people in Ecuador, Colombia and elsewhere. • Multiyear drought conditions in the southwestern U.S. could persist as that area becomes more like the semiarid region of northern Mexico. • a band of heavy rainfall that circles the globe in the tropics and migrates north or south seasonally with the angle of the sun. The area in which it moves is known as the Inter tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). • small increases in the greenhouse effect can fundamentally alter tropical rainfall. • Scientists can profile the sun’s strength from isotopes such as carbon 14 in tree rings and beryllium 10 in ice cores and can reconstruct the historic profile of worldwide greenhouse gases from air bubbles trapped in tubular cores of ice extracted from polar regions. • a move of the rain band five degrees further north would endanger the hundreds of millions of people who live near the equator and depend on subsistence agriculture, not to mention tropical biodiversity • coffee plants, much like vineyards, need a lot of rain at the beginning of the growing season and require more than 1.8 meters in total to develop suitable beans. • Colombia, however, is the world’s third-largest coffee producer, and as in Indonesia, less precipitation could affect long-term coffee yields. B: Summarize the AUTHOR’s main point or idea- at LEAST 1-2 paragraphs The Inter tropical Convergence Zone is on the move, by 2100 several agricultural depended villages, cities, and countries will be affected by serious droughts. The Inter tropical Convergence Zone or ITCZ, is the area in which a band of heavy rainfall circles the globe. Due to greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide the earth heating at a rapid pace, faster than any time since 800 A.D. In America, South Western states are undergoing drought that is to be the normal pattern for the 21st century, the appearance of these western states will take on Mexico’s desert like environment. Research has begun to track the movement of the ITCZ, from the past through measuring the ecosystems characteristics. Climate Scientists, Julian P. Sachs and Conor L. Myhrvold, are studying the shift of the ITCZ by mapping equatorial precipitation from 800 A.D. to present day. These scientist test seafloor sediments off the shore of isolated islands, these samples contain evidence of the climate thousands of years ago. This method allows for the scientist to simply fill in the blanks about the location of the ITCZ band over centuries. Water samples are collected at different depths, where the hydrogen isotope ratio and chemical composition of the water is determined. The ITCZ, is on the move this statement must be made aware it could be said it is an overreaction, but as technology improves the more our evidence becomes enhanced. If the ITCZ, moves at the rate recorded in 2100, many surplus crops will be lost like coffee from Columbia and Indonesia and bananas from the Philippines and Ecuador, there will be wide spread drought and hunger. C: Write a reaction paragraph to the article stating your own thoughts on the topic My Own Thoughts on the Topic: The “ITCZ, is on the move!” The what? I was really confused with this article, and it did not help I had never heard anything of the sort. The thought of going back so far in the past to analyze climate sounds bizarre, but to understand the future you have to learn from the past and use the data to find trends or patterns of the earth’s climate. This type of research tests both theories that global warming is created from human impact or the cycle of the earth. Science has shown again and again that the burning of fossil fuels, are accelerating the earth’s change. This article also proves that the studying the environment is a great job, I wish I could work on the shore off an island. However, fun might be involved in his job it is very crucial to solving crises before they occur. I can imagine as the seafloor sediments begin to set thousands of years ago, held deep within locked by a hard shell holding the secret to the past. It is a beautiful idea knowing that answers to our questions about understanding the world around us, is held by the earth. When I think of these greedy corporations I feel hurt and there is a big injustice, that no one is trying to fix. When money comes into the situation people turn their head and will do anything to ignore the truth, no solutions will be made to find sources of renewable energy to stop the buildup of greenhouse gases or slowdown the movement of the ITCZ. Kids could starve end up starving by 2100, many agricultural based countries are dependent on cash crops as their main source of income, will see droughts and crops begin to dry then disappear. So What? • • • Says Who? • • • What if..? • • • What Does This Remind Me Of? • • •