2012 DEMOGRAPHIC STATE OF THE
STATE REPORT
OKLAHOMA STATE AND COUNTY POPULATION
PROJECTIONS THROUGH 2075
Steve Barker, MBA
Sr. Research Analyst/Program Manager
Policy, Research and Economic Analysis Division
Oklahoma Department of Commerce
1|Page
Executive Summary
Oklahoma: Statewide Population
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Sum of Individual County Forecasts
6,000,000
5,560,007
5,000,000
3,751,351
4,000,000
3,450,654
3,145,585
3,025,290
2,559,229
2,328,284
3,000,000
2,396,040 2,336,434
2,233,351
2,028,283
2,000,000
1,657,155
1,000,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Oklahoma Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Oklahoma Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Oklahoma Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Oklahoma’s population is projected to top 5 million by the time the state celebrates its 150th birthday.



By the 2020 Census, Oklahoma’s population will top 4 million
By the mid 2050s, Oklahoma’s population will top 5 million
By 2075, Oklahoma’s population will top 5.5 million
Oklahoma’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.73% over the next 65 years,
equivalent to the US Census Bureau’s most recent national growth forecasts through 2050. The Census
Bureau does not have state level population forecasts.
2|Page
Counties surrounding present day Tulsa and Oklahoma City metro areas are forecast to see substantial
population growth. In 2010, the 14 counties currently included in the Tulsa and Oklahoma City MSAs
combined to represent 58.4% of the state’s total population but by 2075, those same 14 counties are
forecast to represent 64.2% of the state’s total population. Tulsa and Oklahoma counties alone will
combine to represent 35.6% of the state’s population.
2010 Population
Creek
Okmulgee
Osage
Pawnee
Rogers
Tulsa
Wagoner
Total Tulsa MSA
for Counties That Make Up Present Day Tulsa and OKC MSAs
69,967
Canadian
40,069
Cleveland
47,472
Grady
16,577
Lincoln
86,905
Logan
603,403
McClain
73,085
Oklahoma
937,478
Total OKC MSA
Percentage of
25.0%
Statewide total
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
Creek
Okmulgee
Osage
Pawnee
Rogers
Tulsa
Wagoner
Total Tulsa MSA
2075 Population Forecast
for Counties That Make Up Present Day Tulsa and OKC MSAs
109,751
Canadian
44,406
Cleveland
71,916
Grady
24,929
Lincoln
173,122
Logan
934,215
McClain
144,991
Oklahoma
1,503,330
Total OKC MSA
Percentage of
27.0%
Statewide total
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
115,541
255,755
52,431
34,273
41,848
34,506
718,633
1,252,987
33.4%
232,316
521,368
82,549
55,400
69,711
61,698
1,042,525
2,065,568
37.2%
3|Page
There are 25 counties in Oklahoma forecast to experience population decline over the next 65 years.
Many of these counties, mostly in western Oklahoma, experienced their peak population levels in 1910,
shortly after Oklahoma achieved statehood. While these counties are expected to continue to
experience population declines, the rate of decline is expected to slow over the coming decades.
Counties forecast to experience population decline between 2010 and 2075
Alfalfa
Beaver
Blaine
Choctaw
Cimarron
Cotton
Craig
Dewey
Ellis
Grant
Greer
Harmon
Harper
Hughes
Jackson
Jefferson
Kay
Kiowa
Major
Nowata
Roger Mills
Seminole
Tillman
Washita
Woods
Oklahoma’s population is also expected to live longer on average. An increasingly larger percentage of
the state’s population will gradually be made up by older population groups.


In 2010, 13.5% of the state’s population was aged 65 or older
By 2075, 19.8% of the state’s population will be aged 65 or older
Age 00 to 04
Age 05 to 09
Age 10 to 14
Age 15 to 19
Age 20 to 24
Age 25 to 29
Age 30 to 34
Age 35 to 39
Age 40 to 44
Age 45 to 49
Age 50 to 54
Age 55 to 59
Age 60 to 64
Age 65 to 69
Age 70 to 74
Age 75 to 79
Age 80 to 84
Age 85+
Total Population
Statewide population projections by age group
2010
2075
Population
As %
Projected Population
264,126
7.0%
347,853
259,336
6.9%
349,177
253,664
6.8%
350,455
264,484
7.1%
350,949
269,242
7.2%
350,816
265,737
7.1%
350,657
241,018
6.4%
350,293
232,742
6.2%
349,324
228,195
6.1%
347,057
261,242
7.0%
342,806
264,369
7.0%
335,832
235,969
6.3%
325,586
204,513
5.5%
310,576
159,392
4.2%
289,062
121,075
3.2%
258,716
95,051
2.5%
217,121
69,284
1.8%
166,952
61,912
1.7%
166,777
3,751,351
100.0%
5,560,007
As %
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.2%
6.2%
6.0%
5.9%
5.6%
5.2%
4.7%
3.9%
3.0%
3.0%
100.0%
4|Page
Methodology
General discussion of projection formulas
State level projections used in this report start with population counts revealed under the 2010
Decennial Census and follow generally accepted forecasting routines developed by the US Census
Bureau. For simplicity, the basic demographic formulas used in this report are as follows:
Population in the current year
+ Births in the current year
- Deaths in the current year
+ Net migration
Equals
Population projection for the next year
Population projection for the next year
+ estimated births in the current year, based on fertility rates and # of women of child bearing age
- Deaths in the current year
+ Net migration
Equals
Population projection for the following year
What population groups are included in projections
All population figures cited in this report, whether historic counts or forward looking projections, include
the following:



All civilian residents living within the state
Members of the US Armed Forces stationed within Oklahoma
All persons incarcerated in the state of Oklahoma, including out of state prisoners held at
private prisons located within the state
5|Page
Projection of births and fertility rates
This report uses statewide total fertility rates from Table S1301 of the US Census Bureau’s 2006-2010
American Community Survey. Based on survey responses gathered over 5 years, Table S1301 reports
the rate of births per 1,000 women by three age categories. Table S1301 indicates Oklahoma’s rate of
women with births in the past 12 months (an annual time frame) were:



Among women aged 15-19 there were 37 births per 1,000 women
Among women aged 20-34 there were 113 births per 1,000 women
Among women aged 35-49, there were 15 births per 1,000 women
A summary of Table S1301 is included in Appendix 1.
While birth rates have been generally declining across the United States and in Oklahoma for some time,
that rate of decline has also been slowing in recent years. Further, the state’s growing Hispanic
population typically has a higher birth rate than the rate shown for the population in total.
This report does not project populations by race or ethnicity, but it is assumed that the state’s Hispanic
population will continue to grow. As the percentage of Hispanics in Oklahoma increases, it is also
assumed that the rate of decline in the state’s overall birth rate will slow or possibly reverse. Because of
the uncertainty surrounding the longer term direction for birth rates in Oklahoma, the population
projections in this report assume that the overall birth rate will remain constant over the longer term.
Projection of deaths
United States survival rates by single age and gender for 2007 were obtained from the US Centers for
Disease Control at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_09.pdf and are included in
Appendix 2.
National survival rates were used to calculate Oklahoma life expectancy for each age group over the
next 65 years. Those survival rates are not likely to remain static with improvements in health care
technology and Oklahoma embarking on efforts like smoking reduction programs and diabetes
awareness efforts to change the state’s overall health characteristics. However, the rapid onset of other
health concerns, like the national epidemic of obesity, could also adversely impact the state’s longer
term life expectancy figures.
Because of the difficulty in forecasting future changes in life expectancy, Oklahoma’s age specific
survival rates are assumed to remain constant for the purposes of the populations projections contained
within this report.
6|Page
Projection of net migration
As difficult as the previous variables are to project, migration is likely even more difficult to gauge. As
the state’s previous population projections report stated following the release of the 2000 Census
results, “The only consistency in Oklahoma’s recent migration history has been its unpredictability.”
How volatile is this component of population growth? Between 1970 and 1983, Oklahoma’s overall
population growth rate grew at a heated pace, reaching peak annual growth of 3.6% in 1982. Some less
populated counties in eastern Oklahoma, driven in part by new oil discoveries and well construction,
experienced double digit annual percentage growth. Then by 1987 the state’s annual population growth
rate dropped to -1.3% and some of those same double digit growth counties were showing nearly
double digit declines. Appendix 3 shows more detailed information about the history of Oklahoma’s
components of population change, including net migration figures.
Between 1960 and 2011, Oklahoma’s population gain due to net migration averaged slightly over 10,000
people annually, with swings ranging from a gain of 80,500 in 1982 to a decline of 61,000 in 1987.
Ignoring the volatility found in the 1970s and 1980s, and limiting net migration to the 1990s and 2000s,
Oklahoma’s average annual net migration gain was just under 15,000. For this analysis, the state’s
annual population growth figure has been assumed to run at a consistent rate of adding 15,000 people
annually.
County population projections
County population projections were obtained using a more generalized process than the statewide
approach already outlined above. Linear regression trendline formulas, based on population patterns
from 1960 to 2011, were deemed sufficient to develop county population projections for 64 of
Oklahoma’s 77 counties. For the remaining 13 counties, straight linear regression formulas yielded
unrealistic population levels and another option needed to be used.
Linear models were judged to be insufficient for Alfalfa, Cimarron, Dewey, Ellis, Grant, Greer, Harmon,
Harper, Kiowa, Roger Mills, Tillman, Washita and Woods counties. For these counties, a curved, or
power, trendline was judged to be a better fit.
Statistically, trendline formulas have a measure of ‘fit’ known as the r-squared value. The closer the rsquared value is to a value of one, the better the formula matches up with actual population figures.
Going one step further, the higher the r-squared value, the better the assumed predictability of future
values. This report includes both the trendline formula used for each county’s population, plus the
associated r-squared value as a measure of how well the formula fits the historic population levels and
how well the formula might predict future populations, all other things being held constant.
7|Page
Matching up the two methodologies
Statewide estimates have been developed using two different methods, each arriving at a similar
conclusion before balancing. With each method acting as a comparative “check” against the other, it is
believed these estimates are as accurate as possible, excluding any unforeseen changes in economic or
political condition.
When the Census Bureau develops annual population estimates based on birth, death and migration
data, they encounter situations where the sum of the parts doesn’t exactly equal the expected whole.
To resolve the issue, they use a balancing figure that effectively serves as a “margin of error” within
their birth, death and migration figures. This report used a similar approach to unify the results of the
statewide methodology with the county level methodology.
Summing county level population projections yielded a population total that was comfortably close to
the state level population projections, but there was a small degree of difference that necessitated a
slight population adjustment at the statewide level. Over the course of the 65 years between 2010 and
2075, the required adjustment averaged 0.2% of each year’s total population. This was deemed an
acceptable range of variation and was added into the statewide population total for balancing purposes.
8|Page
Oklahoma Statewide
Oklahoma: Statewide Population
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Sum of Individual County Forecasts
6,000,000
5,560,007
5,000,000
3,751,351
3,450,654
3,145,585
3,025,290
2,559,229
2,328,284
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,396,040 2,336,434
2,233,351
2,028,283
2,000,000
1,657,155
1,000,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Oklahoma Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Oklahoma Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Oklahoma Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Oklahoma’s statewide population projection was built using the sum of population projections for all 77
counties. Annual growth rates are forecast to average 0.73%. This is similar to the state’s average
annual growth rate of 0.80% over the last three decades, and equivalent to the US Census Bureau’s
forecast for the national growth rate through 2050.
The following pages contain tables showing Oklahoma’s statewide Decennial Census populations going
back to statehood; annual population estimates going back to 1960; population projections from 2012
to 2075; and population projections by 5 year age group through 2075 for males, females and the total
population.
Decennial Census population counts
Statewide
1,657,155
1910
1960
2,028,283
1920
1970
2,396,040
1930
1980
2,336,434
1940
1990
2,233,351
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
2,328,284
2,559,229
3,025,290
3,145,585
3,450,654
2010
3,751,351
9|Page
Annual population estimates
Statewide
2,328,284
2,694,000
1960
1973
1986
2,380,000
2,732,000
1961
1974
1987
2,427,000
2,772,000
1962
1975
1988
2,439,000
2,823,000
1963
1976
1989
2,446,000
2,866,000
1964
1977
1990
2,440,000
2,913,000
1965
1978
1991
2,454,000
2,970,000
1966
1979
1992
2,489,000
3,025,290
1967
1980
1993
2,503,000
3,096,159
1968
1981
1994
2,535,000
3,206,129
1969
1982
1995
2,559,229
3,290,404
1970
1983
1996
2,618,000
3,285,535
1971
1984
1997
2,657,000
3,271,333
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
3,252,735
3,210,124
3,167,064
3,150,304
3,145,585
3,175,440
3,220,517
3,252,285
3,280,940
3,308,208
3,340,129
3,372,917
3,405,194
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
3,437,147
3,450,654
3,464,729
3,484,754
3,498,687
3,514,449
3,532,769
3,574,334
3,612,186
3,644,025
3,687,050
3,751,351
3,791,508
Population projections
Statewide
3,802,027
4,246,796
2012
2028
3,829,773
4,274,646
2013
2029
3,857,527
4,302,501
2014
2030
3,885,288
4,330,362
2015
2031
3,913,057
4,358,227
2016
2032
3,940,833
4,386,098
2017
2033
3,968,616
4,413,973
2018
2034
3,996,406
4,441,853
2019
2035
4,024,202
4,469,737
2020
2036
4,052,005
4,497,626
2021
2037
4,079,814
4,525,519
2022
2038
4,107,630
4,553,417
2023
2039
4,135,452
4,581,319
2024
2040
4,163,279
4,609,225
2025
2041
4,191,113
4,637,135
2026
2042
4,218,952
4,665,050
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
4,692,968
4,720,889
4,748,815
4,776,744
4,804,677
4,832,614
4,860,554
4,888,497
4,916,443
4,944,393
4,972,346
5,000,303
5,028,262
5,056,224
5,084,190
5,112,158
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
5,140,129
5,168,103
5,196,079
5,224,059
5,252,041
5,280,026
5,308,013
5,336,003
5,363,995
5,391,990
5,419,987
5,447,986
5,475,988
5,503,992
5,531,999
5,560,007
10 | P a g e
Total Population – Statewide projections by age group
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
3,751,351
3,885,288
4,024,202
4,163,279
4,302,501
4,441,853
4,581,319
Age 00 to 04
264,126
261,386
264,575
269,470
275,542
282,544
290,154
Age 05 to 09
259,336
263,437
266,238
270,710
276,637
283,608
291,232
Age 10 to 14
253,664
261,538
266,890
271,867
277,785
284,698
292,299
Age 15 to 19
264,484
261,914
266,352
271,944
278,183
285,164
292,748
Age 20 to 24
269,242
266,144
267,166
271,732
277,957
285,046
292,669
Age 25 to 29
265,737
268,691
269,593
272,642
278,079
284,959
292,563
Age 30 to 34
241,018
260,416
268,635
273,335
278,514
284,988
292,389
Age 35 to 39
232,742
246,732
261,044
270,577
277,685
284,527
291,835
Age 40 to 44
228,195
236,035
249,520
262,713
273,261
281,935
289,892
Age 45 to 49
261,242
240,762
242,209
252,628
264,756
275,699
285,180
Age 50 to 54
264,369
251,815
243,014
245,286
254,499
265,831
276,687
Age 55 to 59
235,969
247,936
244,211
241,509
245,355
254,134
264,756
Age 60 to 64
204,513
225,559
234,502
235,164
236,262
241,382
249,845
Age 65 to 69
159,392
189,604
209,531
218,798
222,379
225,851
231,690
Age 70 to 74
121,075
147,839
172,262
189,090
198,245
203,305
207,932
Age 75 to 79
95,051
109,135
129,623
148,434
161,786
169,841
175,029
Age 80 to 84
69,284
76,690
89,559
104,846
118,339
127,972
134,140
Age 85+
61,912
69,655
79,277
92,534
107,240
120,368
130,281
2045
4,720,889
2050
4,860,554
2055
5,000,303
2060
5,140,129
2065
5,280,026
2070
5,419,987
2075
5,560,007
Age 00 to 04
298,074
306,136
314,281
322,514
330,854
339,304
347,853
Age 05 to 09
299,194
307,302
315,488
323,754
332,121
340,599
349,177
Age 10 to 14
300,272
308,414
316,641
324,945
333,343
341,849
350,455
Age 15 to 19
300,700
308,838
317,077
325,399
333,815
342,333
350,949
Age 20 to 24
300,609
308,725
316,949
325,267
333,684
342,203
350,816
Age 25 to 29
300,503
308,605
316,812
325,117
333,529
342,045
350,657
Age 30 to 34
300,256
308,326
316,506
324,789
333,184
341,689
350,293
Age 35 to 39
299,572
307,556
315,680
323,917
332,273
340,747
349,324
Age 40 to 44
297,743
305,671
313,709
321,863
330,142
338,545
347,057
Age 45 to 49
293,738
301,880
309,907
317,969
326,131
334,413
342,806
Age 50 to 54
286,389
295,158
303,407
311,459
319,503
327,620
335,832
Age 55 to 59
275,187
284,726
293,445
301,659
309,653
317,601
325,586
Age 60 to 64
259,693
269,469
278,587
287,047
295,065
302,860
310,576
Age 65 to 69
239,684
248,647
257,595
266,080
274,061
281,670
289,062
Age 70 to 74
213,867
221,137
229,054
236,977
244,580
251,801
258,716
Age 75 to 79
179,739
185,158
191,378
198,003
204,624
211,015
217,121
Age 80 to 84
138,485
142,507
146,935
151,829
156,947
162,035
166,952
Age 85+
137,183
142,298
146,852
151,538
156,516
161,658
166,777
Total Population
Total Population
11 | P a g e
MALE Population – Statewide projections by age group
2010
Male Population
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
1,856,977
1,929,481
2,001,017
2,071,124
2,140,913
2,210,927
2,281,243
Age 00 to 04
134,700
133,680
135,435
137,976
141,094
144,683
148,579
Age 05 to 09
132,918
134,726
136,213
138,567
141,637
145,221
149,130
Age 10 to 14
130,260
133,991
136,582
139,124
142,184
145,750
149,656
Age 15 to 19
135,644
134,241
136,311
139,057
142,220
145,800
149,695
Age 20 to 24
137,934
136,231
136,598
138,766
141,841
145,421
149,306
Age 25 to 29
135,908
137,362
137,713
139,117
141,745
145,155
148,982
Age 30 to 34
122,914
132,910
137,067
139,359
141,857
145,022
148,694
Age 35 to 39
117,446
125,315
132,861
137,746
141,286
144,644
148,238
Age 40 to 44
114,943
119,224
126,410
133,308
138,707
143,051
146,982
Age 45 to 49
129,816
120,473
121,775
127,427
133,766
139,357
144,107
Age 50 to 54
129,931
124,405
120,741
122,465
127,493
133,406
138,932
Age 55 to 59
114,982
121,005
119,651
118,912
121,367
126,131
131,646
Age 60 to 64
98,601
108,785
113,277
113,974
115,015
118,019
122,554
Age 65 to 69
75,279
90,017
99,597
104,158
106,176
108,271
111,522
Age 70 to 74
55,836
68,622
80,177
88,073
92,444
95,052
97,578
Age 75 to 79
41,390
48,833
58,585
67,260
73,333
77,049
79,590
Age 80 to 84
28,049
32,509
38,887
45,933
51,937
56,155
58,900
Age 85+
20,426
27,154
33,139
39,903
46,810
52,741
57,153
2045
Male Population
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2,351,666
2,421,964
2,491,988
2,561,719
2,631,226
2,700,613
2,769,983
Age 00 to 04
152,629
156,755
160,923
165,137
169,405
173,728
178,107
Age 05 to 09
153,205
157,353
161,542
165,771
170,053
174,391
178,782
Age 10 to 14
153,743
157,911
162,120
166,368
170,665
175,017
179,420
Age 15 to 19
153,773
157,939
162,152
166,405
170,705
175,058
179,462
Age 20 to 24
153,365
157,513
161,712
165,956
170,248
174,591
178,983
Age 25 to 29
153,011
157,137
161,319
165,549
169,832
174,167
178,549
Age 30 to 34
152,642
156,722
160,874
165,083
169,350
173,672
178,044
Age 35 to 39
152,077
156,074
160,168
164,335
168,570
172,867
177,217
Age 40 to 44
150,852
154,781
158,793
162,887
167,060
171,305
175,608
Age 45 to 49
148,340
152,352
156,319
160,326
164,405
168,560
172,781
Age 50 to 54
143,777
148,101
152,149
156,108
160,081
164,110
168,201
Age 55 to 59
136,923
141,657
145,929
149,933
153,832
157,723
161,650
Age 60 to 64
127,624
132,526
137,009
141,115
144,984
148,746
152,482
Age 65 to 69
115,731
120,283
124,708
128,821
132,640
136,259
139,774
Age 70 to 74
100,747
104,482
108,419
112,255
115,863
119,246
122,465
Age 75 to 79
82,018
84,794
87,889
91,086
94,199
97,143
99,921
Age 80 to 84
60,946
62,928
65,103
67,446
69,825
72,130
74,315
Age 85+
60,261
62,655
64,861
67,136
69,508
71,898
74,223
12 | P a g e
FEMALE Population – Statewide projections by age group
2010
Female Population
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
1,894,374
1,955,807
2,023,185
2,092,155
2,161,589
2,230,925
2,300,076
Age 00 to 04
129,426
127,706
129,141
131,494
134,447
137,862
141,576
Age 05 to 09
126,418
128,711
130,025
132,142
135,000
138,387
142,103
Age 10 to 14
123,404
127,547
130,309
132,743
135,600
138,948
142,643
Age 15 to 19
128,840
127,673
130,041
132,887
135,963
139,363
143,053
Age 20 to 24
131,308
129,914
130,568
132,966
136,115
139,626
143,363
Age 25 to 29
129,829
131,329
131,880
133,525
136,334
139,804
143,581
Age 30 to 34
118,104
127,507
131,567
133,976
136,657
139,966
143,695
Age 35 to 39
115,296
121,417
128,184
132,831
136,399
139,883
143,597
Age 40 to 44
113,252
116,811
123,110
129,405
134,554
138,884
142,910
Age 45 to 49
131,426
120,289
120,435
125,202
130,990
136,342
141,073
Age 50 to 54
134,438
127,410
122,274
122,821
127,006
132,425
137,755
Age 55 to 59
120,987
126,931
124,560
122,597
123,988
128,003
133,110
Age 60 to 64
105,912
116,774
121,225
121,191
121,247
123,364
127,291
Age 65 to 69
84,113
99,587
109,934
114,640
116,203
117,580
120,168
Age 70 to 74
65,239
79,217
92,085
101,017
105,800
108,253
110,353
Age 75 to 79
53,661
60,301
71,038
81,174
88,452
92,792
95,439
Age 80 to 84
41,235
44,181
50,672
58,912
66,402
71,816
75,240
Age 85+
41,486
42,500
46,138
52,631
60,430
67,627
73,129
2045
Female Population
Age 00 to 04
Age 05 to 09
Age 10 to 14
Age 15 to 19
Age 20 to 24
Age 25 to 29
Age 30 to 34
Age 35 to 39
Age 40 to 44
Age 45 to 49
Age 50 to 54
Age 55 to 59
Age 60 to 64
Age 65 to 69
Age 70 to 74
Age 75 to 79
Age 80 to 84
Age 85+
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2,369,224
2,438,590
2,508,315
2,578,410
2,648,800
2,719,373
2,790,024
145,445
149,381
153,358
157,377
161,449
165,576
169,746
145,989
149,949
153,947
157,983
162,068
166,207
170,395
146,529
150,503
154,521
158,577
162,678
166,832
171,034
146,927
150,899
154,925
158,994
163,110
167,275
171,487
147,244
151,212
155,237
159,312
163,437
167,612
171,833
147,492
151,468
155,493
159,568
163,697
167,879
172,108
147,614
151,603
155,632
159,706
163,834
168,017
172,249
147,495
151,482
155,512
159,583
163,703
167,880
172,107
146,891
150,890
154,916
158,977
163,082
167,240
171,448
145,398
149,528
153,588
157,643
161,726
165,853
170,025
142,612
147,057
151,258
155,351
159,422
163,510
167,630
138,264
143,069
147,516
151,727
155,821
159,878
163,935
132,069
136,943
141,578
145,932
150,081
154,113
158,094
123,953
128,364
132,887
137,259
141,421
145,411
149,289
113,121
116,655
120,635
124,722
128,716
132,555
136,250
97,721
100,363
103,489
106,916
110,426
113,872
117,200
77,539
79,579
81,832
84,383
87,121
89,905
92,637
76,922
79,642
81,991
84,402
87,008
89,760
92,555
13 | P a g e
Adair County
Adair County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
40000
35000
30000
25000
22,683
18,575 18,421
20000
15000
15,755
13,703
14,756
14,918
21,038
15,141
13,112
10,535
10000
5000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Adair County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Adair Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Adair Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Adair County’s population is forecast to grow at approximately 0.78% on an average annual basis over
the next 65 years. This forecast was developed using a linear regression trendline based on the county’s
population change between 1960 and 2010. The regression formula appears to have a strong degree of
fit, with only limited year to year variation from forecasts expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Adair
10,535
1910
1960
13,703
1920
1970
14,756
1930
1980
15,755
1940
1990
14,918
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
13,112
15,141
18,575
18,421
21,038
2010
22,683
14 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Adair
13,112
16,700
1960
1973
1986
13,400
16,800
1961
1974
1987
13,800
17,100
1962
1975
1988
14,000
17,300
1963
1976
1989
14,100
17,700
1964
1977
1990
14,100
18,200
1965
1978
1991
14,300
18,700
1966
1979
1992
14,500
18,575
1967
1980
1993
14,700
18,258
1968
1981
1994
14,900
18,437
1969
1982
1995
15,141
18,845
1970
1983
1996
15,500
18,369
1971
1984
1997
16,300
18,357
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
18,557
18,815
18,771
18,516
18,421
18,844
19,178
19,483
19,784
19,933
20,182
20,421
20,748
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
20,904
21,038
21,066
21,179
21,285
21,371
21,599
21,858
21,938
21,857
21,857
22,683
22,612
Population projections
Adair
23,029
25,855
2012
2028
23,206
26,032
2013
2029
23,382
26,209
2014
2030
23,559
26,385
2015
2031
23,736
26,562
2016
2032
23,912
26,739
2017
2033
24,089
26,915
2018
2034
24,266
27,092
2019
2035
24,442
27,269
2020
2036
24,619
27,445
2021
2037
24,796
27,622
2022
2038
24,972
27,799
2023
2039
25,149
27,975
2024
2040
25,326
28,152
2025
2041
25,502
28,329
2026
2042
25,679
28,505
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
28,682
28,858
29,035
29,212
29,388
29,565
29,742
29,918
30,095
30,272
30,448
30,625
30,802
30,978
31,155
31,332
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
31,508
31,685
31,861
32,038
32,215
32,391
32,568
32,745
32,921
33,098
33,275
33,451
33,628
33,805
33,981
34,158
15 | P a g e
Alfalfa County
Alfalfa County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
21000
18,138
18000
16,253
15,228
15000
14,129
12000
10,699
8,445
9000
7,224
7,077
6,416
6000
6,105
5,642
3000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Alfalfa County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Alfalfa Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Alfalfa Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Alfalfa County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the next 65 years.
While a higher rate of decline is expected in the immediate term, later decades are expected to
experience lower rates of decline. Over the full 65 year span, the decline is forecast to average an
annual rate of -0.37%. A power regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns over the
last 50 years indicates a strong degree of fit, with only a limited amount of year to year variation
expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Alfalfa
18,138
1910
1960
16,253
1920
1970
15,228
1930
1980
14,129
1940
1990
10,699
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,445
7,224
7,077
6,416
6,105
2010
5,642
16 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Alfalfa
8,445
7,000
1960
1973
8,400
7,000
1961
1974
8,300
7,200
1962
1975
8,200
7,200
1963
1976
8,000
7,200
1964
1977
7,900
7,300
1965
1978
7,600
7,200
1966
1979
7,600
7,077
1967
1980
7,400
7,235
1968
1981
7,300
7,380
1969
1982
7,224
7,519
1970
1983
7,200
7,324
1971
1984
7,100
7,197
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7,222
6,979
6,637
6,575
6,416
6,367
6,327
6,309
6,291
6,275
6,291
6,247
6,244
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,125
6,105
5,926
5,886
5,800
5,748
5,656
5,584
5,571
5,565
5,481
5,642
5,662
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
4,837
4,817
4,797
4,778
4,758
4,739
4,720
4,701
4,682
4,664
4,646
4,628
4,610
4,592
4,575
4,557
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
4,540
4,523
4,507
4,490
4,474
4,457
4,441
4,425
4,409
4,394
4,378
4,363
4,348
4,333
4,318
4,303
Population projections
Alfalfa
5,638
5,196
2012
2028
5,607
5,171
2013
2029
5,577
5,147
2014
2030
5,547
5,123
2015
2031
5,518
5,099
2016
2032
5,489
5,076
2017
2033
5,460
5,053
2018
2034
5,432
5,030
2019
2035
5,404
5,008
2020
2036
5,377
4,986
2021
2037
5,350
4,964
2022
2038
5,323
4,942
2023
2039
5,297
4,921
2024
2040
5,271
4,899
2025
2041
5,246
4,879
2026
2042
5,221
4,858
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
17 | P a g e
Atoka County
Atoka County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
24,000
20,862
20,000
18,702
14,533
16,000
14,269
14,182
13,808
12,748
12,778
13,879
10,972
12,000
10,352
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Atoka County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Atoka Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Atoka Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Atoka County is forecast to experience population growth rates slightly below the state population
growth level over the next 65 years. Between 2010 and 2075, Atoka County’s expected average annual
growth rate is 0.58%. A linear regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns over the
last 50 years indicates a strong degree of fit, with slight population variation expected from year to year.
Decennial Census population counts
Atoka
13,808
1910
1960
20,862
1920
1970
14,533
1930
1980
18,702
1940
1990
14,269
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,352
10,972
12,748
12,778
13,879
2010
14,182
18 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Atoka
10,352
11,600
1960
1973
10,500
11,900
1961
1974
10,700
12,100
1962
1975
10,700
12,100
1963
1976
10,700
12,300
1964
1977
10,600
12,300
1965
1978
10,600
12,600
1966
1979
10,700
12,748
1967
1980
10,800
12,713
1968
1981
10,900
12,811
1969
1982
10,972
13,548
1970
1983
11,200
13,674
1971
1984
11,400
13,599
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
13,317
13,175
12,979
12,881
12,778
12,866
13,172
13,260
13,336
13,553
13,572
13,785
13,749
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
13,856
13,879
13,896
13,987
14,155
14,290
14,288
14,308
14,453
14,573
14,498
14,182
14,206
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
16,925
17,009
17,093
17,176
17,260
17,344
17,428
17,512
17,596
17,680
17,764
17,848
17,932
18,016
18,100
18,184
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
18,268
18,352
18,436
18,520
18,604
18,688
18,772
18,855
18,939
19,023
19,107
19,191
19,275
19,359
19,443
19,527
Population projections
Atoka
14,238
15,581
2012
2028
14,322
15,665
2013
2029
14,406
15,749
2014
2030
14,490
15,833
2015
2031
14,574
15,917
2016
2032
14,658
16,001
2017
2033
14,742
16,085
2018
2034
14,826
16,169
2019
2035
14,910
16,253
2020
2036
14,994
16,337
2021
2037
15,078
16,421
2022
2038
15,162
16,505
2023
2039
15,246
16,589
2024
2040
15,330
16,673
2025
2041
15,414
16,757
2026
2042
15,498
16,841
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
19 | P a g e
Beaver County
Beaver County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
15,000
12,000
9,000
14,048
13,631
11,452
8,648
7,411
6,965
6,282
6,806
6,023
6,000
5,857
5,636
3,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Beaver County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Beaver Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Beaver Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Beaver County’s population is forecast to experience an average annual rate of decline of -0.49% over
the next 65 years. However, a linear regression trendline based on the county’s population patterns
over the last 50 years shows some degree of uncertainty. Actual year to year population numbers may
swing higher or lower than expected, but the overall trend is likely to remain in the general direction of
the overall trendline.
Decennial Census population counts
Beaver
13,631
1910
1960
14,048
1920
1970
11,452
1930
1980
8,648
1940
1990
7,411
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
6,965
6,282
6,806
6,023
5,857
2010
5,636
20 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Beaver
6,965
5,900
1960
1973
7,000
5,800
1961
1974
7,000
5,900
1962
1975
6,800
5,900
1963
1976
6,800
6,000
1964
1977
6,600
6,300
1965
1978
6,500
6,500
1966
1979
6,500
6,806
1967
1980
6,400
6,955
1968
1981
6,300
7,129
1969
1982
6,282
7,164
1970
1983
6,300
7,093
1971
1984
6,100
6,971
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,890
6,577
6,353
6,204
6,023
5,969
5,869
5,854
5,880
5,908
5,921
5,928
6,039
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,024
5,857
5,641
5,564
5,519
5,452
5,403
5,313
5,325
5,242
5,270
5,636
5,624
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
4,645
4,618
4,592
4,566
4,540
4,514
4,487
4,461
4,435
4,409
4,383
4,356
4,330
4,304
4,278
4,252
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
4,225
4,199
4,173
4,147
4,120
4,094
4,068
4,042
4,016
3,989
3,963
3,937
3,911
3,885
3,858
3,832
Population projections
Beaver
5,483
5,064
2012
2028
5,457
5,038
2013
2029
5,431
5,012
2014
2030
5,405
4,985
2015
2031
5,379
4,959
2016
2032
5,352
4,933
2017
2033
5,326
4,907
2018
2034
5,300
4,881
2019
2035
5,274
4,854
2020
2036
5,247
4,828
2021
2037
5,221
4,802
2022
2038
5,195
4,776
2023
2039
5,169
4,750
2024
2040
5,143
4,723
2025
2041
5,116
4,697
2026
2042
5,090
4,671
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
21 | P a g e
Beckham County
Beckham County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
28,991
30,000
25,000
22,169
19,699
20,000
22,119
21,627
19,243
18,989
18,812
19,799
17,782
15,754
15,000
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Beckham County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Beckham Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Beckham Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Beckham County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.38% over the next 65
years. Volatility in the county’s population over the last 50 years, historically influenced by
developments in the energy sector, reduces the overall fit of this county’s linear regression trendline.
Up and down swings in population from year to year are expected to continue, much like they have
since 1960. However, the long-term growth trend is expected to generally follow the levels indicated by
the graph above.
Decennial Census population counts
Beckham
19,699
1910
1960
18,989
1920
1970
28,991
1930
1980
22,169
1940
1990
21,627
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
17,782
15,754
19,243
18,812
19,799
2010
22,119
22 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Beckham
17,782
15,600
1960
1973
17,800
15,900
1961
1974
17,600
16,100
1962
1975
17,500
15,900
1963
1976
17,200
16,400
1964
1977
16,800
17,100
1965
1978
16,500
18,300
1966
1979
16,300
19,243
1967
1980
16,100
21,010
1968
1981
15,900
25,027
1969
1982
15,754
26,383
1970
1983
15,800
23,502
1971
1984
15,500
22,160
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
21,114
19,551
19,290
19,001
18,812
18,789
18,685
18,579
18,799
18,969
18,971
18,885
19,442
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
19,957
19,799
19,778
19,849
19,205
18,164
18,630
19,315
20,787
21,494
21,116
22,119
22,288
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
24,931
25,017
25,104
25,191
25,278
25,364
25,451
25,538
25,624
25,711
25,798
25,885
25,971
26,058
26,145
26,232
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
26,318
26,405
26,492
26,579
26,665
26,752
26,839
26,925
27,012
27,099
27,186
27,272
27,359
27,446
27,533
27,619
Population projections
Beckham
22,155
23,543
2012
2028
22,242
23,630
2013
2029
22,329
23,716
2014
2030
22,415
23,803
2015
2031
22,502
23,890
2016
2032
22,589
23,977
2017
2033
22,676
24,063
2018
2034
22,762
24,150
2019
2035
22,849
24,237
2020
2036
22,936
24,323
2021
2037
23,022
24,410
2022
2038
23,109
24,497
2023
2039
23,196
24,584
2024
2040
23,283
24,670
2025
2041
23,369
24,757
2026
2042
23,456
24,844
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
23 | P a g e
Blaine County
Blaine County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2010
25,000
20,452
20,000 17,960
18,543
15,875
15,049
15,000
12,077 11,794
13,443
11,470 11,976 11,943
9,780
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Blaine County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Blaine Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Blaine Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
In 2010, after 12 years of operation, a large private contract correctional facility in Blaine County closed.
Those inmates represented approximately one sixth of the county’s population before being transferred
to other facilities. Efforts to reopen the prison continue but are uncertain at this point. Population
forecasts for Blaine County assume the prison remains closed. There is a high level of long term
uncertainty associated with projections for Blaine County.
Decennial Census population counts
Blaine
17,960
1910
1960
15,875
1920
1970
20,452
1930
1980
18,543
1940
1990
15,049
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
12,077
11,794
13,443
11,470
11,976
2010
11,943
24 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Blaine
12,077
12,200
1960
1973
12,200
12,300
1961
1974
12,300
12,500
1962
1975
12,200
12,800
1963
1976
12,100
12,900
1964
1977
11,900
13,000
1965
1978
11,800
13,400
1966
1979
11,900
13,443
1967
1980
11,800
14,215
1968
1981
11,800
14,968
1969
1982
11,794
14,653
1970
1983
12,200
14,026
1971
1984
12,200
13,558
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
13,116
12,641
12,185
11,824
11,470
11,655
11,544
11,565
11,687
11,821
11,778
11,884
11,832
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,882
11,976
12,022
11,628
11,188
12,702
12,748
12,493
12,607
12,668
12,609
11,943
9,780
Population projections
Blaine
9,889
9,740
2012
2028
9,880
9,730
2013
2029
9,870
9,721
2014
2030
9,861
9,712
2015
2031
9,852
9,702
2016
2032
9,842
9,693
2017
2033
9,833
9,684
2018
2034
9,824
9,674
2019
2035
9,814
9,665
2020
2036
9,805
9,656
2021
2037
9,796
9,646
2022
2038
9,786
9,637
2023
2039
9,777
9,628
2024
2040
9,768
9,618
2025
2041
9,758
9,609
2026
2042
9,749
9,600
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
9,590
9,581
9,572
9,562
9,553
9,544
9,534
9,525
9,516
9,506
9,497
9,488
9,478
9,469
9,460
9,450
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
9,441
9,432
9,422
9,413
9,404
9,394
9,385
9,376
9,366
9,357
9,348
9,338
9,329
9,320
9,310
9,301
25 | P a g e
Bryan County
Bryan County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
70,000
60,000
50,000
42,416
40,700
40,000
38,138
36,534
32,277
29,854
32,089
30,535
28,999
30,000
24,252
25,552
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Bryan County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Bryan Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Bryan Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Bryan County’s population is forecast to average a 0.80% annual growth rate over the next 65 years.
While Bryan County has shown an unusually high rate of growth over the last five years, expanding by an
average annual rate of 2.1%, the long term trend is expected to level off. The linear regression trendline
shows a strong degree of fit and should be a good predictor of county growth patterns.
Decennial Census population counts
Bryan
29,854
1910
1960
40,700
1920
1970
32,277
1930
1980
38,138
1940
1990
28,999
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
24,252
25,552
30,535
32,089
36,534
2010
42,416
26 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Bryan
24,252
26,700
1960
1973
24,700
27,300
1961
1974
25,000
27,600
1962
1975
25,000
28,200
1963
1976
25,000
28,800
1964
1977
24,800
29,200
1965
1978
24,900
30,100
1966
1979
25,100
30,535
1967
1980
25,200
30,474
1968
1981
25,400
30,527
1969
1982
25,552
31,411
1970
1983
26,200
32,008
1971
1984
26,400
32,201
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
32,468
32,877
32,273
31,933
32,089
32,335
32,761
33,523
33,789
34,370
34,675
35,299
35,887
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
36,182
36,534
36,462
36,768
36,872
37,367
37,658
38,956
39,474
40,463
40,783
42,416
43,089
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
53,959
54,302
54,644
54,987
55,329
55,671
56,014
56,356
56,699
57,041
57,383
57,726
58,068
58,411
58,753
59,095
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
59,438
59,780
60,123
60,465
60,808
61,150
61,492
61,835
62,177
62,520
62,862
63,204
63,547
63,889
64,232
64,574
Population projections
Bryan
43,002
48,481
2012
2028
43,344
48,823
2013
2029
43,687
49,166
2014
2030
44,029
49,508
2015
2031
44,372
49,850
2016
2032
44,714
50,193
2017
2033
45,057
50,535
2018
2034
45,399
50,878
2019
2035
45,741
51,220
2020
2036
46,084
51,562
2021
2037
46,426
51,905
2022
2038
46,769
52,247
2023
2039
47,111
52,590
2024
2040
47,453
52,932
2025
2041
47,796
53,274
2026
2042
48,138
53,617
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
27 | P a g e
Caddo County
Caddo County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
50,779
52,500
45,000
37,500
41,567
35,685
34,207
34,913
28,621 28,931
30,905
29,550 30,150 29,600
30,000
22,500
15,000
7,500
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Caddo County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Caddo Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Caddo Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Caddo County’s population growth rate has been relatively flat since 1960, with a 0.07% growth rate and
a small degree of volatility in the total population count. A linear regression trendline based on
population patterns over the last 50 years indicates that this flat rate of growth will continue between
now and 2075, growing at an average annual rate of 0.06%. While the exact population counts from
year to year may show variation up and down from these projections, the population as a whole is
expected to remain relatively stable.
Decennial Census population counts
Caddo
35,685
1910
1960
34,207
1920
1970
50,779
1930
1980
41,567
1940
1990
34,913
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
28,621
28,931
30,905
29,550
30,150
2010
29,600
28 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Caddo
28,621
30,300
1960
1973
29,000
30,700
1961
1974
29,300
31,000
1962
1975
29,300
31,500
1963
1976
29,100
31,700
1964
1977
28,800
32,000
1965
1978
28,800
30,900
1966
1979
28,900
30,905
1967
1980
28,800
31,803
1968
1981
28,900
33,479
1969
1982
28,931
34,592
1970
1983
29,700
33,475
1971
1984
30,100
32,664
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
31,966
31,438
30,897
30,106
29,550
29,072
29,685
29,757
29,954
30,327
30,404
30,500
30,483
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
30,257
30,150
29,874
29,828
29,925
29,903
29,689
29,637
28,479
29,329
30,393
29,600
29,537
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
30,573
30,578
30,583
30,588
30,593
30,599
30,604
30,609
30,614
30,619
30,624
30,630
30,635
30,640
30,645
30,650
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
30,656
30,661
30,666
30,671
30,676
30,681
30,687
30,692
30,697
30,702
30,707
30,713
30,718
30,723
30,728
30,733
Population projections
Caddo
30,407
30,490
2012
2028
30,412
30,495
2013
2029
30,417
30,500
2014
2030
30,422
30,505
2015
2031
30,428
30,510
2016
2032
30,433
30,516
2017
2033
30,438
30,521
2018
2034
30,443
30,526
2019
2035
30,448
30,531
2020
2036
30,453
30,536
2021
2037
30,459
30,542
2022
2038
30,464
30,547
2023
2039
30,469
30,552
2024
2040
30,474
30,557
2025
2041
30,479
30,562
2026
2042
30,485
30,567
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
29 | P a g e
Canadian County
Canadian County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
250,000
200,000
150,000
115,541
87,697
100,000
74,409
56,452
50,000
23,50122,288
32,245
28,115 27,329
25,644 24,727
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Canadian County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Canadian Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Canadian Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Canadian County’s population has grown by an annual average 3.8% over the last 5 years, far outpacing
growth rates for the state as a whole. Over the next 65 years, Canadian County is forecast to experience
an average annual 1.55% growth rate, based on a linear regression trendline of population data since
1960. The level of overall fit is considered strong, but some year to year variation from the forecast is
expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Canadian
23,501
1910
1960
22,288
1920
1970
28,115
1930
1980
27,329
1940
1990
25,644
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
24,727
32,245
56,452
74,409
87,697
2010
115,541
30 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Canadian
24,727
39,800
1960
1973
1986
25,800
42,400
1961
1974
1987
26,700
43,700
1962
1975
1988
27,300
45,200
1963
1976
1989
27,900
47,300
1964
1977
1990
28,300
50,100
1965
1978
1991
29,000
54,800
1966
1979
1992
29,900
56,452
1967
1980
1993
30,600
60,110
1968
1981
1994
31,500
64,245
1969
1982
1995
32,245
67,279
1970
1983
1996
33,800
69,888
1971
1984
1997
36,500
71,931
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
73,234
73,251
72,898
73,637
74,409
75,871
77,063
78,668
79,911
81,245
83,015
84,186
85,266
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
86,306
87,697
89,521
90,699
92,230
94,501
97,147
100,421
103,948
106,755
109,668
115,541
119,492
Population projections
Canadian
119,090
147,846
2012
2028
120,887
149,643
2013
2029
122,684
151,440
2014
2030
124,481
153,237
2015
2031
126,279
155,035
2016
2032
128,076
156,832
2017
2033
129,873
158,629
2018
2034
131,670
160,426
2019
2035
133,468
162,224
2020
2036
135,265
164,021
2021
2037
137,062
165,818
2022
2038
138,859
167,615
2023
2039
140,657
169,413
2024
2040
142,454
171,210
2025
2041
144,251
173,007
2026
2042
146,048
174,804
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
176,602
178,399
180,196
181,993
183,791
185,588
187,385
189,182
190,980
192,777
194,574
196,371
198,169
199,966
201,763
203,560
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
205,357
207,155
208,952
210,749
212,546
214,344
216,141
217,938
219,735
221,533
223,330
225,127
226,924
228,722
230,519
232,316
31 | P a g e
Carter County
Carter County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
70,000
60,000
47,557
50,000
40,247 41,419
43,292
40,000
30,000
43,610
39,044
42,919
45,621
37,349
36,455
25,358
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Carter County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Carter Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Carter Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Over the next 65 years, Carter County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of
0.43%. This is virtually equal to the 0.44% average annual rate experienced since 1960 and only slightly
below the 0.54% average annual population growth rate experienced over the last two decades. While
population volatility in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s reduces the overall fit of the linear regression
trendline and may indicate some year to year variation for long term forecasts, the variation is expected
to balance out over time.
Decennial Census population counts
Carter
25,358
1910
1960
40,247
1920
1970
41,419
1930
1980
43,292
1940
1990
36,455
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
39,044
37,349
43,610
42,919
45,621
2010
47,557
32 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Carter
39,044
39,800
1960
1973
39,300
40,800
1961
1974
39,500
41,700
1962
1975
39,200
42,300
1963
1976
38,800
42,900
1964
1977
38,100
43,000
1965
1978
37,700
42,800
1966
1979
37,800
43,610
1967
1980
37,500
44,184
1968
1981
37,400
46,062
1969
1982
37,349
46,816
1970
1983
38,700
46,824
1971
1984
39,200
46,907
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
46,770
45,549
44,020
43,242
42,919
42,833
43,309
43,809
44,061
44,488
44,706
45,035
45,223
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
45,578
45,621
45,595
45,887
46,150
46,604
46,632
46,980
47,287
47,716
48,326
47,557
48,096
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
54,775
54,971
55,167
55,363
55,560
55,756
55,952
56,148
56,345
56,541
56,737
56,933
57,130
57,326
57,522
57,718
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
57,915
58,111
58,307
58,503
58,700
58,896
59,092
59,288
59,485
59,681
59,877
60,073
60,270
60,466
60,662
60,858
Population projections
Carter
48,495
51,635
2012
2028
48,691
51,831
2013
2029
48,887
52,027
2014
2030
49,083
52,223
2015
2031
49,280
52,420
2016
2032
49,476
52,616
2017
2033
49,672
52,812
2018
2034
49,868
53,008
2019
2035
50,065
53,205
2020
2036
50,261
53,401
2021
2037
50,457
53,597
2022
2038
50,653
53,793
2023
2039
50,850
53,990
2024
2040
51,046
54,186
2025
2041
51,242
54,382
2026
2042
51,438
54,578
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
33 | P a g e
Cherokee County
Cherokee County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
100,000
80,000
60,000
46,987
42,521
40,000
20,000
34,049
30,684
19,872
16,778
23,174
21,030
17,470
18,989
17,762
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Cherokee County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Cherokee Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Cherokee Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Cherokee County is forecast to average 1.27% annual growth between 2010 and 2075, with steady
growth being the norm. The linear regression trendline shows an excellent, near exact fit over the last
50 years, and actual population growth patterns are expected to remain very tight around long range
forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Cherokee
16,778
1910
1960
19,872
1920
1970
17,470
1930
1980
21,030
1940
1990
18,989
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
17,762
23,174
30,684
34,049
42,521
2010
46,987
34 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Cherokee
17,762
25,000
1960
1973
18,600
26,100
1961
1974
19,400
26,700
1962
1975
19,800
27,900
1963
1976
20,200
28,500
1964
1977
20,500
29,300
1965
1978
20,800
30,000
1966
1979
21,600
30,684
1967
1980
22,000
30,614
1968
1981
22,700
30,863
1969
1982
23,174
32,558
1970
1983
24,400
32,789
1971
1984
24,700
33,162
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
33,542
33,568
33,702
34,051
34,049
35,074
36,019
36,557
37,245
38,324
39,198
40,234
41,126
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
41,937
42,521
43,032
43,518
43,853
44,129
44,408
45,036
45,065
45,667
46,029
46,987
47,845
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
67,552
68,144
68,736
69,328
69,919
70,511
71,103
71,695
72,287
72,878
73,470
74,062
74,654
75,245
75,837
76,429
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
77,021
77,613
78,204
78,796
79,388
79,980
80,571
81,163
81,755
82,347
82,939
83,530
84,122
84,714
85,306
85,897
Population projections
Cherokee
48,615
58,084
2012
2028
49,207
58,676
2013
2029
49,799
59,267
2014
2030
50,391
59,859
2015
2031
50,982
60,451
2016
2032
51,574
61,043
2017
2033
52,166
61,634
2018
2034
52,758
62,226
2019
2035
53,350
62,818
2020
2036
53,941
63,410
2021
2037
54,533
64,002
2022
2038
55,125
64,593
2023
2039
55,717
65,185
2024
2040
56,308
65,777
2025
2041
56,900
66,369
2026
2042
57,492
66,961
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
35 | P a g e
Choctaw County
Choctaw County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
35,000
32,144
30,000
25,000
28,358
24,142
21,862
20,405
20,000
15,637
15,141
17,203
15,302
15,342 15,205
15,000
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Choctaw County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Choctaw Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Choctaw Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Choctaw County is forecast to experience a slight average annual population decline of -0.16% between
2010 and 2075. Population volatility in the 1970s reduces the overall fit of the linear regression
trendline, but year over year variation in the long term population forecast is expected to be relatively
slight.
Decennial Census population counts
Choctaw
21,862
1910
1960
32,144
1920
1970
24,142
1930
1980
28,358
1940
1990
20,405
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
15,637
15,141
17,203
15,302
15,342
2010
15,205
36 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Choctaw
15,637
17,600
1960
1973
15,700
18,000
1961
1974
15,800
18,600
1962
1975
15,700
16,600
1963
1976
15,500
16,700
1964
1977
15,300
18,400
1965
1978
15,200
17,300
1966
1979
15,200
17,203
1967
1980
15,100
16,981
1968
1981
15,100
16,655
1969
1982
15,141
16,599
1970
1983
16,400
16,190
1971
1984
17,200
15,725
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
15,958
16,174
15,937
15,438
15,302
15,302
15,429
15,442
15,559
15,351
15,376
15,362
15,305
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
15,265
15,342
15,143
15,248
15,138
15,168
15,087
15,091
15,002
14,885
14,872
15,205
15,250
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
14,397
14,372
14,347
14,322
14,297
14,272
14,248
14,223
14,198
14,173
14,148
14,123
14,099
14,074
14,049
14,024
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
13,999
13,974
13,950
13,925
13,900
13,875
13,850
13,825
13,801
13,776
13,751
13,726
13,701
13,676
13,652
13,627
Population projections
Choctaw
15,191
14,794
2012
2028
15,166
14,769
2013
2029
15,142
14,744
2014
2030
15,117
14,719
2015
2031
15,092
14,695
2016
2032
15,067
14,670
2017
2033
15,042
14,645
2018
2034
15,017
14,620
2019
2035
14,993
14,595
2020
2036
14,968
14,570
2021
2037
14,943
14,546
2022
2038
14,918
14,521
2023
2039
14,893
14,496
2024
2040
14,868
14,471
2025
2041
14,844
14,446
2026
2042
14,819
14,421
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
37 | P a g e
Cimarron County
Cimarron County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
6,000
5,408
5,000
4,589
4,553
4,496
4,145
4,000
3,436
3,654
3,648
3,301
3,148
3,000
2,475
2,000
1,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Cimarron County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Cimarron Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Cimarron Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Cimarron County is forecast to experience continued population decline over the next 65 years, though
the pace of that decline is expected to gradually slow over time. Between 2010 and 2075, the rate of
population decline is expected to average -0.55%. A power regression trendline was used to develop
Cimarron County’s long term population forecast and the fit appears to be strong. While some year to
year variation is expected, swings up and down are expected to be relatively minor.
Decennial Census population counts
Cimarron
4,553
1910
1960
3,436
1920
1970
5,408
1930
1980
3,654
1940
1990
4,589
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
4,496
4,145
3,648
3,301
3,148
2010
2,475
38 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Cimarron
4,496
4,000
1960
1973
4,500
4,000
1961
1974
4,500
4,000
1962
1975
4,500
3,900
1963
1976
4,400
3,800
1964
1977
4,300
3,600
1965
1978
4,300
3,600
1966
1979
4,300
3,648
1967
1980
4,200
3,709
1968
1981
4,200
3,648
1969
1982
4,145
3,806
1970
1983
4,000
3,853
1971
1984
3,900
3,790
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
3,763
3,891
3,551
3,441
3,301
3,239
3,239
3,235
3,229
3,162
3,194
3,255
3,182
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
3,129
3,148
3,053
2,974
2,896
2,794
2,708
2,684
2,655
2,585
2,630
2,475
2,487
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
1,926
1,913
1,901
1,888
1,875
1,863
1,851
1,839
1,827
1,815
1,804
1,792
1,781
1,770
1,759
1,748
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
1,737
1,727
1,716
1,706
1,696
1,685
1,675
1,666
1,656
1,646
1,637
1,627
1,618
1,609
1,599
1,590
Population projections
Cimarron
2,461
2,161
2012
2028
2,440
2,145
2013
2029
2,419
2,129
2014
2030
2,398
2,113
2015
2031
2,378
2,097
2016
2032
2,359
2,082
2017
2033
2,339
2,067
2018
2034
2,320
2,052
2019
2035
2,301
2,037
2020
2036
2,283
2,023
2021
2037
2,264
2,008
2022
2038
2,247
1,994
2023
2039
2,229
1,980
2024
2040
2,212
1,967
2025
2041
2,194
1,953
2026
2042
2,178
1,940
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
39 | P a g e
Cleveland County
Cleveland County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
255,755
200,000
133,173
208,016
174,253
81,839
100,000
18,843 19,389 24,948 27,728
41,443 47,600
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Cleveland County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Cleveland Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Cleveland Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Cleveland County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 1.60% over the next 65 years,
slightly below the 2.34% population growth rate experienced over the previous two decades. The linear
regression trendline shows a strong fit against population growth patterns between 1960 and 2010, and
little variation among long range population forecasts is expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Cleveland
18,843
1910
1960
19,389
1920
1970
24,948
1930
1980
27,728
1940
1990
41,443
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
47,600
81,839
133,173
174,253
208,016
2010
255,755
40 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Cleveland
47,600
99,500
1960
1973
1986
52,100
106,100
1961
1974
1987
55,900
104,900
1962
1975
1988
59,000
108,900
1963
1976
1989
62,100
115,200
1964
1977
1990
64,700
120,000
1965
1978
1991
67,900
127,400
1966
1979
1992
71,800
133,173
1967
1980
1993
75,000
139,567
1968
1981
1994
78,900
148,470
1969
1982
1995
81,839
156,631
1970
1983
1996
87,400
162,174
1971
1984
1997
93,100
164,533
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
167,782
169,453
169,669
171,753
174,253
177,804
181,338
185,499
189,607
192,741
195,785
200,515
203,730
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
206,844
208,016
212,541
215,733
219,499
222,373
225,835
232,379
235,906
240,568
244,589
255,755
261,281
393,704
397,823
401,941
406,059
410,177
414,295
418,414
422,532
426,650
430,768
434,886
439,004
443,123
447,241
451,359
455,477
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
459,595
463,713
467,832
471,950
476,068
480,186
484,304
488,423
492,541
496,659
500,777
504,895
509,013
513,132
517,250
521,368
Population projections
Cleveland
261,923
327,814
2012
2028
266,041
331,932
2013
2029
270,159
336,050
2014
2030
274,277
340,168
2015
2031
278,395
344,286
2016
2032
282,514
348,404
2017
2033
286,632
352,523
2018
2034
290,750
356,641
2019
2035
294,868
360,759
2020
2036
298,986
364,877
2021
2037
303,105
368,995
2022
2038
307,223
373,114
2023
2039
311,341
377,232
2024
2040
315,459
381,350
2025
2041
319,577
385,468
2026
2042
323,695
389,586
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
41 | P a g e
Coal County
Coal County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
21,000
18,406
18,000
15,817
15,000
12,811
12,000
11,521
9,000
8,056
5,546
6,000
5,525
6,041
5,780
6,031
5,925
3,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Coal County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Coal Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Coal Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Coal County’s population growth has remained relatively flat over the last 50 years, with only a slight
growth pattern expected between now and 2075. From 1960 to 2010, Coal County has shown 0.14%
average annual growth, and average annual growth over the next 50 years is expected to remain at
0.10%. While some slight up and down variation may be expected, the overall population trend will
most likely remain flat.
Decennial Census population counts
Coal
15,817
1910
1960
18,406
1920
1970
11,521
1930
1980
12,811
1940
1990
8,056
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,546
5,525
6,041
5,780
6,031
2010
5,925
42 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Coal
5,546
5,800
1960
1973
5,600
5,900
1961
1974
5,600
6,000
1962
1975
5,600
6,300
1963
1976
5,500
6,300
1964
1977
5,500
6,300
1965
1978
5,400
6,200
1966
1979
5,400
6,041
1967
1980
5,500
6,110
1968
1981
5,500
5,972
1969
1982
5,525
6,271
1970
1983
5,700
6,126
1971
1984
5,900
6,079
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,160
6,134
6,040
5,980
5,780
5,658
5,717
5,816
5,878
5,958
6,011
6,005
5,912
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,021
6,031
5,998
5,931
5,890
5,836
5,690
5,613
5,654
5,672
5,856
5,925
5,928
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
6,148
6,153
6,157
6,162
6,167
6,172
6,177
6,182
6,187
6,192
6,197
6,202
6,206
6,211
6,216
6,221
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
6,226
6,231
6,236
6,241
6,246
6,251
6,255
6,260
6,265
6,270
6,275
6,280
6,285
6,290
6,295
6,300
Population projections
Coal
5,991
6,069
2012
2028
5,996
6,074
2013
2029
6,001
6,079
2014
2030
6,005
6,084
2015
2031
6,010
6,089
2016
2032
6,015
6,094
2017
2033
6,020
6,099
2018
2034
6,025
6,103
2019
2035
6,030
6,108
2020
2036
6,035
6,113
2021
2037
6,040
6,118
2022
2038
6,045
6,123
2023
2039
6,050
6,128
2024
2040
6,054
6,133
2025
2041
6,059
6,138
2026
2042
6,064
6,143
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
43 | P a g e
Comanche County
Comanche County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
200,000
160,000
124,098
120,000
108,144
112,456 111,486 114,996
90,803
80,000
55,165
40,000
26,629
25,067
34,317
38,988
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Comanche County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Comanche Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Comanche Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Comanche County is forecast to experience 0.31% population growth between 2010 and 2075. The
County has experienced continued up and down swings in population since 1960, but the long term
trend has remained generally positive. A linear regression trendline based on population data over the
last 50 years shows how wide those swings have been, and similar swings around forecasted population
counts are expected to occur between now and 2075.
Decennial Census population counts
Comanche
25,067
1910
1960
26,629
1920
1970
34,317
1930
1980
38,988
1940
1990
55,165
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
90,803
108,144
112,456
111,486
114,996
2010
124,098
44 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Comanche
90,803
102,700
1960
1973
1986
93,900
104,200
1961
1974
1987
96,600
105,800
1962
1975
1988
98,100
114,300
1963
1976
1989
99,300
115,500
1964
1977
1990
99,700
117,400
1965
1978
1991
100,900
115,000
1966
1979
1992
103,000
112,456
1967
1980
1993
104,400
114,573
1968
1981
1994
106,600
119,414
1969
1982
1995
108,144
121,858
1970
1983
1996
107,900
120,749
1971
1984
1997
100,400
120,211
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
118,976
118,365
116,417
112,313
111,486
111,454
120,903
118,945
118,733
116,713
116,635
115,912
115,577
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
116,064
114,996
112,236
112,009
110,484
113,630
111,866
112,293
114,503
112,249
113,228
124,098
125,815
137,303
137,675
138,047
138,419
138,792
139,164
139,536
139,908
140,280
140,652
141,024
141,396
141,768
142,141
142,513
142,885
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
143,257
143,629
144,001
144,373
144,745
145,117
145,490
145,862
146,234
146,606
146,978
147,350
147,722
148,094
148,466
148,838
Population projections
Comanche
125,396
131,349
2012
2028
125,768
131,721
2013
2029
126,140
132,094
2014
2030
126,512
132,466
2015
2031
126,884
132,838
2016
2032
127,256
133,210
2017
2033
127,628
133,582
2018
2034
128,000
133,954
2019
2035
128,373
134,326
2020
2036
128,745
134,698
2021
2037
129,117
135,070
2022
2038
129,489
135,443
2023
2039
129,861
135,815
2024
2040
130,233
136,187
2025
2041
130,605
136,559
2026
2042
130,977
136,931
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
45 | P a g e
Cotton County
Cotton County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
18,000
16,422 16,679
15,442
15,000
12,884
12,000
10,180
9,000
8,031
6,832
7,338
6,651
6,614
6,193
6,000
3,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Cotton County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Cotton Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Cotton Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Cotton County is forecast to have a -.039% average annual population decline over the next 65 years.
The linear regression trendline above has a relatively good fit, with greater volatility shown in the 1960s
and 1970s. Some year to year variation from population forecasts is expected, but the variation is likely
to be relatively small.
Decennial Census population counts
Cotton
16,422
1910
1960
16,679
1920
1970
15,442
1930
1980
12,884
1940
1990
10,180
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,031
6,832
7,338
6,651
6,614
2010
6,193
46 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Cotton
8,031
6,600
1960
1973
7,900
6,600
1961
1974
7,900
6,700
1962
1975
7,800
6,900
1963
1976
7,600
6,900
1964
1977
7,400
7,000
1965
1978
7,200
7,200
1966
1979
7,100
7,338
1967
1980
7,000
7,204
1968
1981
6,900
7,004
1969
1982
6,832
7,226
1970
1983
6,800
7,297
1971
1984
6,700
7,050
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,921
6,936
6,872
6,731
6,651
6,442
6,510
6,540
6,590
6,699
6,722
6,585
6,499
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,478
6,614
6,430
6,375
6,431
6,394
6,449
6,393
6,367
6,267
6,281
6,193
6,179
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
5,390
5,365
5,340
5,315
5,291
5,266
5,241
5,216
5,191
5,167
5,142
5,117
5,092
5,067
5,043
5,018
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
4,993
4,968
4,943
4,919
4,894
4,869
4,844
4,819
4,795
4,770
4,745
4,720
4,695
4,671
4,646
4,621
Population projections
Cotton
6,184
5,787
2012
2028
6,159
5,762
2013
2029
6,134
5,737
2014
2030
6,109
5,712
2015
2031
6,084
5,688
2016
2032
6,060
5,663
2017
2033
6,035
5,638
2018
2034
6,010
5,613
2019
2035
5,985
5,588
2020
2036
5,960
5,564
2021
2037
5,936
5,539
2022
2038
5,911
5,514
2023
2039
5,886
5,489
2024
2040
5,861
5,464
2025
2041
5,836
5,440
2026
2042
5,812
5,415
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
47 | P a g e
Craig County
Craig County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
25,000
21,083
19,160
20,000
17,404
18,052
18,263
16,303
15,000
14,722 15,014 14,104 14,950 15,029
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Craig County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Craig Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Craig Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Craig County is forecast to have a -0.10% average annual rate of population decline over the next 65
years, based on a linear regression trendline drawn on population data between 1960 and 2010.
Population variation around that line is expected to be relatively small between now and 2075.
Decennial Census population counts
Craig
17,404
1910
1960
19,160
1920
1970
18,052
1930
1980
21,083
1940
1990
18,263
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
16,303
14,722
15,014
14,104
14,950
2010
15,029
48 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Craig
16,303
14,800
1960
1973
16,300
14,900
1961
1974
16,300
14,700
1962
1975
16,000
14,600
1963
1976
15,800
15,000
1964
1977
15,500
15,200
1965
1978
15,200
15,200
1966
1979
15,200
15,014
1967
1980
14,900
14,858
1968
1981
14,800
15,076
1969
1982
14,722
15,164
1970
1983
14,900
14,968
1971
1984
15,100
15,040
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
14,997
14,835
14,618
14,298
14,104
14,087
14,202
14,232
14,385
14,462
14,674
14,814
14,870
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
14,899
14,950
14,768
14,742
14,781
14,815
14,995
15,006
15,136
15,101
15,158
15,029
15,073
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
14,559
14,544
14,528
14,512
14,497
14,481
14,466
14,450
14,434
14,419
14,403
14,387
14,372
14,356
14,341
14,325
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
14,309
14,294
14,278
14,263
14,247
14,231
14,216
14,200
14,185
14,169
14,153
14,138
14,122
14,106
14,091
14,075
Population projections
Craig
15,059
14,809
2012
2028
15,043
14,793
2013
2029
15,028
14,778
2014
2030
15,012
14,762
2015
2031
14,996
14,747
2016
2032
14,981
14,731
2017
2033
14,965
14,715
2018
2034
14,950
14,700
2019
2035
14,934
14,684
2020
2036
14,918
14,669
2021
2037
14,903
14,653
2022
2038
14,887
14,637
2023
2039
14,871
14,622
2024
2040
14,856
14,606
2025
2041
14,840
14,590
2026
2042
14,825
14,575
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
49 | P a g e
Creek County
Creek County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
120,000
100,000
80,000
67,367
62,480 64,115
55,503
60,000
69,967
59,016 60,915
43,143
45,532
40,495
40,000
26,223
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Creek County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Creek Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Creek Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Creek County’s population is forecast to grow at an average annual rate of 0.87%, slightly above the
forecast state growth rate. While growth has slowed somewhat over the last 5 years, the linear
regression trendline retains a relatively strong fit and is expected to be a good indicator for future
growth patterns.
Decennial Census population counts
Creek
26,223
1910
1960
62,480
1920
1970
64,115
1930
1980
55,503
1940
1990
43,143
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
40,495
45,532
59,016
60,915
67,367
2010
69,967
50 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Creek
40,495
48,800
1960
1973
41,400
50,400
1961
1974
42,300
51,500
1962
1975
42,500
53,100
1963
1976
42,700
55,400
1964
1977
42,700
57,200
1965
1978
43,100
58,400
1966
1979
43,900
59,016
1967
1980
44,300
60,848
1968
1981
45,000
63,238
1969
1982
45,532
64,360
1970
1983
46,900
67,458
1971
1984
47,700
67,432
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
66,045
64,531
62,869
61,617
60,915
61,554
62,087
62,591
63,270
64,053
64,638
65,540
66,326
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
67,056
67,367
67,903
68,346
68,320
68,138
68,059
68,216
68,835
69,514
70,244
69,967
70,467
Population projections
Creek
70,888
80,758
2012
2028
71,505
81,375
2013
2029
72,122
81,992
2014
2030
72,739
82,609
2015
2031
73,356
83,226
2016
2032
73,973
83,843
2017
2033
74,590
84,460
2018
2034
75,206
85,076
2019
2035
75,823
85,693
2020
2036
76,440
86,310
2021
2037
77,057
86,927
2022
2038
77,674
87,544
2023
2039
78,291
88,161
2024
2040
78,908
88,778
2025
2041
79,525
89,394
2026
2042
80,141
90,011
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
90,628
91,245
91,862
92,479
93,096
93,713
94,329
94,946
95,563
96,180
96,797
97,414
98,031
98,648
99,264
99,881
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
100,498
101,115
101,732
102,349
102,966
103,582
104,199
104,816
105,433
106,050
106,667
107,284
107,901
108,517
109,134
109,751
51 | P a g e
Custer County
Custer County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
40,000
30,000
27,517
23,068
23,231
21,097
25,995
21,040 22,665
26,897 26,142 27,469
18,736
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Custer County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Custer Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Custer Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Custer County is forecast to have a 0.39% average annual rate of population growth over the next 65
years. A linear regression formula based on the county’s population data from 1960 to 2010 shows a
lower degree of fit, but that is largely due to a strong population growth spurt followed by a sharp
population decline during the 1980s. Removing that one-time peak would result in a significantly
improved overall fit for the regression formula. Some year to year variation from forecasts is expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Custer
23,231
1910
1960
18,736
1920
1970
27,517
1930
1980
23,068
1940
1990
21,097
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
21,040
22,665
25,995
26,897
26,142
2010
27,469
52 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Custer
21,040
23,600
1960
1973
21,500
23,600
1961
1974
21,900
23,400
1962
1975
22,000
23,900
1963
1976
22,000
24,400
1964
1977
21,800
25,000
1965
1978
21,900
25,800
1966
1979
22,200
25,995
1967
1980
22,300
27,655
1968
1981
22,500
31,078
1969
1982
22,665
32,285
1970
1983
23,000
30,500
1971
1984
23,500
29,659
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
28,896
27,791
27,065
27,452
26,897
26,557
26,749
26,694
26,772
26,609
26,327
26,172
26,227
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
26,263
26,142
25,696
25,195
25,319
25,339
25,501
25,704
25,865
26,272
26,717
27,469
27,750
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
31,330
31,430
31,530
31,630
31,731
31,831
31,931
32,031
32,131
32,231
32,331
32,431
32,531
32,632
32,732
32,832
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
32,932
33,032
33,132
33,232
33,332
33,432
33,533
33,633
33,733
33,833
33,933
34,033
34,133
34,233
34,334
34,434
Population projections
Custer
28,126
29,728
2012
2028
28,227
29,828
2013
2029
28,327
29,928
2014
2030
28,427
30,029
2015
2031
28,527
30,129
2016
2032
28,627
30,229
2017
2033
28,727
30,329
2018
2034
28,827
30,429
2019
2035
28,927
30,529
2020
2036
29,027
30,629
2021
2037
29,128
30,729
2022
2038
29,228
30,830
2023
2039
29,328
30,930
2024
2040
29,428
31,030
2025
2041
29,528
31,130
2026
2042
29,628
31,230
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
53 | P a g e
Delaware County
Delaware County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
90,000
75,000
60,000
41,487
45,000
37,077
28,070
30,000
23,946
15,000 11,469
13,868 15,370
18,592
14,734 13,198
17,767
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Delaware County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Delaware Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Delaware Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Delaware County is forecast to experience an annual average growth rate of 1.43% over the next 65
years. The linear regression trendline is an excellent fit with the historic pattern of growth experienced
by the county over the last half century, and should be a very good indicator of future growth trends.
Little year to year variation is expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Delaware
11,469
1910
1960
13,868
1920
1970
15,370
1930
1980
18,592
1940
1990
14,734
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
13,198
17,767
23,946
28,070
37,077
2010
41,487
54 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Delaware
13,198
19,700
1960
1973
13,900
20,100
1961
1974
14,500
20,300
1962
1975
14,900
20,600
1963
1976
15,300
21,500
1964
1977
15,500
22,000
1965
1978
16,000
23,900
1966
1979
16,500
23,946
1967
1980
16,900
24,477
1968
1981
17,400
25,340
1969
1982
17,767
26,314
1970
1983
18,800
26,533
1971
1984
19,200
26,914
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
27,157
27,545
27,796
28,001
28,070
28,630
29,600
30,549
31,741
33,028
34,117
34,966
35,675
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
36,503
37,077
37,643
37,935
38,504
38,797
38,980
39,873
40,511
40,463
40,555
41,487
41,633
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
61,702
62,290
62,879
63,467
64,056
64,644
65,233
65,821
66,410
66,998
67,587
68,175
68,764
69,352
69,940
70,529
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
71,117
71,706
72,294
72,883
73,471
74,060
74,648
75,237
75,825
76,414
77,002
77,591
78,179
78,768
79,356
79,945
Population projections
Delaware
42,870
52,286
2012
2028
43,459
52,874
2013
2029
44,047
53,463
2014
2030
44,636
54,051
2015
2031
45,224
54,640
2016
2032
45,813
55,228
2017
2033
46,401
55,817
2018
2034
46,990
56,405
2019
2035
47,578
56,994
2020
2036
48,167
57,582
2021
2037
48,755
58,171
2022
2038
49,344
58,759
2023
2039
49,932
59,348
2024
2040
50,521
59,936
2025
2041
51,109
60,525
2026
2042
51,698
61,113
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
55 | P a g e
Dewey County
Dewey County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000
14,132
13,250
12,434
11,981
12,000
8,789
8,000
6,051
5,656
5,922
5,551
4,743
4,810
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Dewey County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Dewey Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Dewey Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Dewey County is forecast to have a continued decline in population, but the pace of that decline is
forecast to slow over the next 65 years. On average, the annual rate of decline is forecast to be -0.32%.
While Dewey County experienced some population growth in the late 1970s and early 1980s, led by
growth in the energy sector, the overall trend has been downward since the 1930s. A power regression
trendline based on population data from the last 50 years indicates the population will slowly drop
below 4,000.
Decennial Census population counts
Dewey
14,132
1910
1960
12,434
1920
1970
13,250
1930
1980
11,981
1940
1990
8,789
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
6,051
5,656
5,922
5,551
4,743
2010
4,810
56 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Dewey
6,051
5,500
1960
1973
6,100
5,300
1961
1974
6,000
5,300
1962
1975
6,000
5,500
1963
1976
5,900
5,600
1964
1977
5,800
5,800
1965
1978
5,800
6,000
1966
1979
5,800
5,922
1967
1980
5,700
6,054
1968
1981
5,700
6,501
1969
1982
5,656
6,711
1970
1983
5,700
6,456
1971
1984
5,500
6,200
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,155
5,947
5,715
5,647
5,551
5,469
5,417
5,266
5,183
5,079
5,007
4,913
4,840
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
4,811
4,743
4,597
4,513
4,471
4,512
4,398
4,369
4,368
4,416
4,404
4,810
4,867
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
4,176
4,162
4,149
4,136
4,123
4,110
4,098
4,085
4,073
4,061
4,048
4,036
4,025
4,013
4,001
3,989
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
3,978
3,967
3,955
3,944
3,933
3,922
3,911
3,901
3,890
3,879
3,869
3,859
3,848
3,838
3,828
3,818
Population projections
Dewey
4,695
4,410
2012
2028
4,675
4,394
2013
2029
4,656
4,379
2014
2030
4,637
4,363
2015
2031
4,618
4,348
2016
2032
4,599
4,332
2017
2033
4,581
4,317
2018
2034
4,563
4,302
2019
2035
4,545
4,288
2020
2036
4,528
4,273
2021
2037
4,510
4,259
2022
2038
4,493
4,245
2023
2039
4,476
4,230
2024
2040
4,459
4,217
2025
2041
4,443
4,203
2026
2042
4,426
4,189
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
57 | P a g e
Ellis County
Ellis County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000
12,000
15,375
11,673
10,541
8,466
7,326
8,000
5,457
5,129 5,596
4,497
4,075
4,151
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Ellis County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Ellis Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Ellis Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Ellis County is forecast to experience continued but slowing population decline over the next 65 years,
based on a power regression trendline. The trendline, using data for the last half century, indicates Ellis
County’s population will decline at an average annual rate of -0.43%, with a somewhat higher rate in the
short term and lower rates in the longer term. Some year to year variation from these projections is
expected due to the influence of energy developments in the county.
Decennial Census population counts
Ellis
15,375
1910
1960
11,673
1920
1970
10,541
1930
1980
8,466
1940
1990
7,326
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,457
5,129
5,596
4,497
4,075
2010
4,151
58 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Ellis
5,457
5,200
1960
1973
5,500
5,200
1961
1974
5,500
5,300
1962
1975
5,400
5,400
1963
1976
5,400
5,300
1964
1977
5,300
5,500
1965
1978
5,200
5,800
1966
1979
5,200
5,596
1967
1980
5,100
5,976
1968
1981
5,100
6,410
1969
1982
5,129
6,365
1970
1983
5,400
5,986
1971
1984
5,300
5,598
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
5,257
5,050
4,728
4,652
4,497
4,396
4,330
4,299
4,193
4,178
4,156
4,144
4,174
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
4,134
4,075
3,896
3,954
3,909
3,909
3,870
3,769
3,836
3,877
3,925
4,151
4,051
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
3,385
3,371
3,356
3,342
3,327
3,313
3,299
3,286
3,272
3,259
3,245
3,232
3,219
3,206
3,194
3,181
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
3,169
3,156
3,144
3,132
3,120
3,108
3,096
3,085
3,073
3,062
3,051
3,040
3,029
3,018
3,007
2,996
Population projections
Ellis
3,972
3,647
2012
2028
3,949
3,629
2013
2029
3,927
3,612
2014
2030
3,905
3,594
2015
2031
3,884
3,577
2016
2032
3,862
3,560
2017
2033
3,841
3,543
2018
2034
3,821
3,526
2019
2035
3,800
3,510
2020
2036
3,780
3,494
2021
2037
3,760
3,477
2022
2038
3,741
3,462
2023
2039
3,722
3,446
2024
2040
3,703
3,431
2025
2041
3,684
3,415
2026
2042
3,666
3,400
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
59 | P a g e
Garfield County
Garfield County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
80,000
62,820
60,000
52,820 52,975
55,365
56,735 57,813
60,580
45,588 45,484
40,000
37,500
33,050
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Garfield County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Garfield Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Garfield Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Garfield County is expected to realize a slight population growth over the next 65 years, growing at an
average annual rate of 0.05%. A linear regression trendline based on population history for the last 50
years indicates slow but relatively steady growth, but the quality of the formula’s fit shows a high
likelihood of year to year variation from the overall trend.
Decennial Census population counts
Garfield
33,050
1910
1960
37,500
1920
1970
45,588
1930
1980
45,484
1940
1990
52,820
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
52,975
55,365
62,820
56,735
57,813
2010
60,580
60 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Garfield
52,975
56,500
1960
1973
53,900
57,600
1961
1974
54,800
58,700
1962
1975
54,900
60,100
1963
1976
54,900
61,100
1964
1977
54,600
61,900
1965
1978
54,800
62,300
1966
1979
55,400
62,820
1967
1980
55,500
64,500
1968
1981
56,000
67,597
1969
1982
55,365
67,225
1970
1983
57,600
65,759
1971
1984
57,600
64,151
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
62,550
59,858
57,691
57,178
56,735
56,486
56,780
56,879
57,296
57,939
57,794
57,831
58,122
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
58,197
57,813
57,181
57,115
57,149
57,169
56,940
57,145
57,434
58,053
58,928
60,580
60,670
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
61,098
61,144
61,190
61,237
61,283
61,329
61,376
61,422
61,468
61,515
61,561
61,607
61,654
61,700
61,746
61,793
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
61,839
61,885
61,932
61,978
62,024
62,071
62,117
62,163
62,210
62,256
62,302
62,349
62,395
62,441
62,488
62,534
Population projections
Garfield
59,615
60,356
2012
2028
59,661
60,402
2013
2029
59,707
60,449
2014
2030
59,754
60,495
2015
2031
59,800
60,541
2016
2032
59,846
60,588
2017
2033
59,893
60,634
2018
2034
59,939
60,680
2019
2035
59,985
60,727
2020
2036
60,032
60,773
2021
2037
60,078
60,819
2022
2038
60,124
60,866
2023
2039
60,171
60,912
2024
2040
60,217
60,958
2025
2041
60,263
61,005
2026
2042
60,310
61,051
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
61 | P a g e
Garvin County
Garvin County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
40,000
32,445
30,000
31,401 31,150
29,500
26,545
28,290
24,87427,856
26,605 27,210 27,576
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Garvin County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Garvin Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Garvin Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Garvin County is forecast to have essentially flat long-term population growth over the coming 65 years,
with an overall average annual growth rate of 0.00%. However, the degree of fit indicated by a linear
regression trendline drawn from population data between 1960 and 2011 indicates that there is a high
likelihood of year to year variation from population forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Garvin
26,545
1910
1960
32,445
1920
1970
31,401
1930
1980
31,150
1940
1990
29,500
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
28,290
24,874
27,856
26,605
27,210
2010
27,576
62 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Garvin
28,290
26,200
1960
1973
28,300
26,500
1961
1974
28,300
26,900
1962
1975
27,800
27,000
1963
1976
27,300
26,900
1964
1977
26,600
27,300
1965
1978
26,100
27,400
1966
1979
25,900
27,856
1967
1980
25,400
28,684
1968
1981
25,100
29,893
1969
1982
24,874
30,552
1970
1983
25,900
30,118
1971
1984
26,300
29,350
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
29,199
28,230
27,418
26,843
26,605
26,592
26,586
26,587
26,729
26,856
26,841
26,940
26,967
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
26,971
27,210
27,021
27,040
26,964
26,787
26,864
26,955
27,074
27,128
27,113
27,576
27,452
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
27,394
27,397
27,400
27,403
27,406
27,409
27,412
27,415
27,418
27,421
27,424
27,427
27,430
27,433
27,436
27,439
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
27,442
27,445
27,448
27,451
27,454
27,457
27,460
27,463
27,466
27,469
27,472
27,475
27,478
27,481
27,484
27,487
Population projections
Garvin
27,298
27,346
2012
2028
27,301
27,349
2013
2029
27,304
27,352
2014
2030
27,307
27,355
2015
2031
27,310
27,358
2016
2032
27,313
27,361
2017
2033
27,316
27,364
2018
2034
27,319
27,367
2019
2035
27,322
27,370
2020
2036
27,325
27,373
2021
2037
27,328
27,376
2022
2038
27,331
27,379
2023
2039
27,334
27,382
2024
2040
27,337
27,385
2025
2041
27,340
27,388
2026
2042
27,343
27,391
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
63 | P a g e
Grady County
Grady County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
90,000
75,000
60,000
52,431
47,638
45,000
45,516
41,116
33,943
30,309
39,490
41,747
34,872
29,590 29,354
30,000
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Grady County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Grady Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Grady Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Grady County is forecast to experience population growth slightly exceeding the state average over the
next 65 years. Grady County’s population is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 0.88%
between now and 2075 with a high level of fit shown by a linear regression trendline. This indicates that
there will likely be only small degrees of year to year variation in population forecasts over the long run.
Decennial Census population counts
Grady
30,309
1910
1960
33,943
1920
1970
47,638
1930
1980
41,116
1940
1990
34,872
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
29,590
29,354
39,490
41,747
45,516
2010
52,431
64 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Grady
29,590
32,900
1960
1973
29,800
34,000
1961
1974
30,100
35,000
1962
1975
29,900
36,100
1963
1976
29,500
36,900
1964
1977
29,300
37,500
1965
1978
29,200
38,700
1966
1979
29,300
39,490
1967
1980
29,200
40,943
1968
1981
29,300
43,836
1969
1982
29,354
45,454
1970
1983
30,600
45,098
1971
1984
32,100
45,013
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
43,899
43,089
42,587
42,247
41,747
41,673
41,795
42,254
42,646
43,399
44,297
44,760
44,999
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
45,280
45,516
45,844
46,620
47,080
47,929
48,942
50,051
50,428
51,099
51,649
52,431
53,020
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
67,901
68,374
68,846
69,319
69,791
70,264
70,736
71,209
71,681
72,154
72,626
73,099
73,571
74,044
74,516
74,989
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
75,462
75,934
76,407
76,879
77,352
77,824
78,297
78,769
79,242
79,714
80,187
80,659
81,132
81,604
82,077
82,549
Population projections
Grady
52,781
60,341
2012
2028
53,253
60,813
2013
2029
53,726
61,286
2014
2030
54,198
61,758
2015
2031
54,671
62,231
2016
2032
55,143
62,703
2017
2033
55,616
63,176
2018
2034
56,088
63,649
2019
2035
56,561
64,121
2020
2036
57,033
64,594
2021
2037
57,506
65,066
2022
2038
57,978
65,539
2023
2039
58,451
66,011
2024
2040
58,923
66,484
2025
2041
59,396
66,956
2026
2042
59,868
67,429
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
65 | P a g e
Grant County
Grant County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
25,000
20,000
18,760
16,072
14,150
15,000
13,128
10,461
10,000
8,140
7,117
6,518
5,689
5,000
5,144
4,527
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Grant County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Grant Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Grant Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Grant County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the coming 65 years, as
indicated by a power regression trendline drawn from the county’s population history over the last 50
years. The county’s average annual population rate of decline is expected to be -0.52%, with a higher
rate of decline in the short term and a slower rate of decline experienced in the longer term. The level
of fit indicated by the power regression trendline indicates relatively low year to year variation in
population forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Grant
18,760
1910
1960
16,072
1920
1970
14,150
1930
1980
13,128
1940
1990
10,461
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,140
7,117
6,518
5,689
5,144
2010
4,527
66 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Grant
8,140
6,900
1960
1973
8,100
6,700
1961
1974
8,100
6,700
1962
1975
8,000
7,000
1963
1976
7,800
6,900
1964
1977
7,600
6,700
1965
1978
7,500
6,600
1966
1979
7,400
6,518
1967
1980
7,300
6,704
1968
1981
7,200
6,669
1969
1982
7,117
6,792
1970
1983
7,000
6,725
1971
1984
6,900
6,617
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,470
6,216
5,974
5,757
5,689
5,570
5,483
5,550
5,535
5,428
5,441
5,378
5,278
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
5,171
5,144
5,019
4,931
4,865
4,696
4,656
4,513
4,482
4,448
4,317
4,527
4,585
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
3,595
3,571
3,548
3,525
3,502
3,480
3,458
3,436
3,415
3,394
3,373
3,353
3,332
3,312
3,292
3,273
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
3,254
3,234
3,216
3,197
3,179
3,161
3,143
3,125
3,107
3,090
3,073
3,056
3,039
3,023
3,007
2,990
Population projections
Grant
4,573
4,022
2012
2028
4,534
3,992
2013
2029
4,496
3,963
2014
2030
4,458
3,934
2015
2031
4,421
3,905
2016
2032
4,385
3,877
2017
2033
4,349
3,850
2018
2034
4,313
3,822
2019
2035
4,279
3,796
2020
2036
4,245
3,769
2021
2037
4,211
3,743
2022
2038
4,178
3,717
2023
2039
4,146
3,692
2024
2040
4,114
3,667
2025
2041
4,083
3,643
2026
2042
4,052
3,618
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
67 | P a g e
Greer County
Greer County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
25,000
20,282
20,000
16,449
15,000
15,836
14,550
11,749
10,000
8,877
7,979
7,028
6,559
6,061
6,239
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Greer County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Greer Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Greer Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Greer County’s population history over the last 50 years indicates a slow but consistent rate of
population decline, forecast to average -0.42% annually over the next 65 years. A power regression
trendline for the county’s population since 1960 indicates a high degree of fit, leading to the conclusion
that there will be little year to year variation from the overall long term population forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Greer
16,449
1910
1960
15,836
1920
1970
20,282
1930
1980
14,550
1940
1990
11,749
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,877
7,979
7,028
6,559
6,061
2010
6,239
68 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Greer
8,877
7,500
1960
1973
8,900
7,400
1961
1974
8,900
7,300
1962
1975
8,800
7,300
1963
1976
8,600
7,200
1964
1977
8,400
6,900
1965
1978
8,300
6,900
1966
1979
8,200
7,028
1967
1980
8,100
7,244
1968
1981
8,000
7,479
1969
1982
7,979
7,537
1970
1983
7,700
7,317
1971
1984
7,600
7,097
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6,901
6,913
6,875
6,710
6,559
6,384
6,293
6,278
6,293
6,459
6,353
6,135
6,016
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,193
6,061
5,837
5,861
5,781
5,807
5,799
5,739
5,803
5,820
5,830
6,239
6,125
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
5,140
5,118
5,096
5,074
5,052
5,030
5,009
4,988
4,967
4,947
4,927
4,907
4,887
4,867
4,848
4,829
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
4,810
4,791
4,772
4,754
4,736
4,718
4,700
4,682
4,665
4,648
4,631
4,614
4,597
4,581
4,564
4,548
Population projections
Greer
6,045
5,543
2012
2028
6,010
5,515
2013
2029
5,976
5,488
2014
2030
5,942
5,461
2015
2031
5,908
5,434
2016
2032
5,875
5,408
2017
2033
5,843
5,382
2018
2034
5,811
5,356
2019
2035
5,779
5,331
2020
2036
5,748
5,306
2021
2037
5,717
5,282
2022
2038
5,687
5,257
2023
2039
5,658
5,233
2024
2040
5,628
5,210
2025
2041
5,599
5,186
2026
2042
5,571
5,163
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
69 | P a g e
Harmon County
Harmon County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
15,000
12,000
13,834
11,328 11,261
10,019
9,000
8,079
5,852
6,000
5,136
4,519
3,793
3,283
3,000
2,922
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Harmon County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Harmon Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Harmon Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Harmon County is forecast to experience a declining average annual population rate of -0.66% between
now and 2075. Historic population trends in the county show a slowing rate of population decline and a
power regression formula drawn from that data indicates a strong level of fit. Year to year variation
from population forecasts is expected to be relatively low.
Decennial Census population counts
Harmon
11,328
1910
1960
11,261
1920
1970
13,834
1930
1980
10,019
1940
1990
8,079
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,852
5,136
4,519
3,793
3,283
2010
2,922
70 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Harmon
5,852
4,800
1960
1973
5,800
4,800
1961
1974
5,803
5,000
1962
1975
5,800
5,200
1963
1976
5,600
5,000
1964
1977
5,500
5,000
1965
1978
5,400
4,900
1966
1979
5,400
4,519
1967
1980
5,300
4,632
1968
1981
5,200
4,555
1969
1982
5,136
4,458
1970
1983
4,900
4,382
1971
1984
4,800
4,286
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
4,113
4,041
3,933
3,896
3,793
3,713
3,636
3,619
3,555
3,578
3,534
3,485
3,433
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
3,278
3,283
3,155
3,050
2,986
2,939
2,955
2,916
2,833
2,834
2,843
2,922
2,919
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
2,104
2,087
2,069
2,052
2,036
2,019
2,003
1,987
1,971
1,956
1,940
1,925
1,910
1,896
1,881
1,867
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
1,853
1,839
1,825
1,812
1,799
1,786
1,773
1,760
1,747
1,735
1,723
1,711
1,699
1,687
1,675
1,664
Population projections
Harmon
2,862
2,429
2012
2028
2,830
2,406
2013
2029
2,800
2,383
2014
2030
2,770
2,361
2015
2031
2,740
2,339
2016
2032
2,712
2,318
2017
2033
2,683
2,297
2018
2034
2,656
2,276
2019
2035
2,629
2,256
2020
2036
2,602
2,236
2021
2037
2,576
2,216
2022
2038
2,550
2,197
2023
2039
2,525
2,177
2024
2040
2,500
2,159
2025
2041
2,476
2,140
2026
2042
2,452
2,122
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
71 | P a g e
Harper County
Harper County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
10,000
8,189
8,000
7,623
7,761
6,454
6,000
5,977
5,956
5,151
4,715
4,063
3,562
3,685
4,000
2,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Harper County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Harper Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Harper Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Harper County is forecast to have a declining rate of population growth over the coming years, with the
annual rate of decline averaging -0.52% between now and 2075. The rate of decline is forecast to be
somewhat higher in the short term, and lower in the long term. The level of fit for Harper County’s
power regression trendline is strong, indicating limited year to year variation from population forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Harper
8,189
1910
1960
7,623
1920
1970
7,761
1930
1980
6,454
1940
1990
5,977
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,956
5,151
4,715
4,063
3,562
2010
3,685
72 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Harper
5,956
4,700
1960
1973
6,000
4,800
1961
1974
6,000
4,900
1962
1975
5,900
4,900
1963
1976
5,700
4,900
1964
1977
5,600
4,800
1965
1978
5,500
4,700
1966
1979
5,500
4,715
1967
1980
5,300
4,926
1968
1981
5,200
5,046
1969
1982
5,151
5,049
1970
1983
4,800
4,852
1971
1984
4,700
4,654
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
4,508
4,412
4,359
4,117
4,063
3,967
3,867
3,867
3,866
3,801
3,732
3,597
3,574
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
3,602
3,562
3,421
3,414
3,321
3,341
3,301
3,333
3,302
3,385
3,377
3,685
3,695
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
2,874
2,857
2,840
2,824
2,807
2,791
2,775
2,759
2,743
2,728
2,713
2,698
2,683
2,668
2,654
2,639
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
2,625
2,611
2,598
2,584
2,571
2,557
2,544
2,531
2,519
2,506
2,494
2,481
2,469
2,457
2,445
2,433
Population projections
Harper
3,589
3,186
2012
2028
3,561
3,165
2013
2029
3,533
3,143
2014
2030
3,505
3,122
2015
2031
3,478
3,101
2016
2032
3,451
3,081
2017
2033
3,425
3,061
2018
2034
3,399
3,041
2019
2035
3,374
3,021
2020
2036
3,349
3,002
2021
2037
3,325
2,983
2022
2038
3,301
2,964
2023
2039
3,277
2,946
2024
2040
3,254
2,928
2025
2041
3,231
2,910
2026
2042
3,209
2,892
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
73 | P a g e
Haskell County
Haskell County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
25,000
20,000
19,397
18,875
17,324
16,216
15,000
13,313
12,769
9,121
10,000
9,578
11,010 10,940
11,792
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
0
Haskell County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Haskell Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Haskell Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Haskell County’s population forecast anticipates a 0.47% average annual rate of growth between now
and 2075. A linear regression trendline drawn on population data over the last 50 years indicates a
strong degree of fit, leading to the anticipation of only limited year to year variation from population
forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Haskell
18,875
1910
1960
19,397
1920
1970
16,216
1930
1980
17,324
1940
1990
13,313
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
9,121
9,578
11,010
10,940
11,792
2010
12,769
74 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Haskell
9,121
9,700
1960
1973
1986
9,300
10,000
1961
1974
1987
9,400
10,200
1962
1975
1988
9,400
10,400
1963
1976
1989
9,400
10,500
1964
1977
1990
9,300
10,700
1965
1978
1991
9,300
10,900
1966
1979
1992
9,500
11,010
1967
1980
1993
9,500
11,164
1968
1981
1994
9,500
11,153
1969
1982
1995
9,578
11,453
1970
1983
1996
9,900
11,373
1971
1984
1997
9,800
11,445
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
11,320
11,160
11,053
10,963
10,940
10,912
11,048
11,032
11,143
11,406
11,500
11,650
11,652
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,707
11,792
11,755
11,728
11,870
11,955
11,952
12,058
12,102
12,266
12,393
12,769
12,810
14,693
14,758
14,823
14,888
14,953
15,018
15,083
15,148
15,214
15,279
15,344
15,409
15,474
15,539
15,604
15,669
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
15,734
15,800
15,865
15,930
15,995
16,060
16,125
16,190
16,255
16,321
16,386
16,451
16,516
16,581
16,646
16,711
Population projections
Haskell
12,609
13,651
2012
2028
12,674
13,716
2013
2029
12,739
13,781
2014
2030
12,804
13,846
2015
2031
12,869
13,911
2016
2032
12,934
13,976
2017
2033
13,000
14,041
2018
2034
13,065
14,107
2019
2035
13,130
14,172
2020
2036
13,195
14,237
2021
2037
13,260
14,302
2022
2038
13,325
14,367
2023
2039
13,390
14,432
2024
2040
13,455
14,497
2025
2041
13,521
14,562
2026
2042
13,586
14,628
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
75 | P a g e
Hughes County
Hughes County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
37,500
30,334
30,000
29,189
26,045
24,040
22,500
20,664
15,144
13,228
15,000
14,338
13,023 14,154 14,003
7,500
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Hughes County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Hughes Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Hughes Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Hughes County is forecast to have a -0.16% average annual rate of population decline over the next 65
years. Between 1960 and 2011, the county experienced a -0.16% average annual rate of population
decline, with some year to year variations in population data. That same pattern is expected to
continue through 2075. While the level of fit for Hughes County’s linear regression trendline is
somewhat low, the general population trend is expected to follow the forecasted slowly declining
pattern.
Decennial Census population counts
Hughes
24,040
1910
1960
26,045
1920
1970
30,334
1930
1980
29,189
1940
1990
20,664
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
15,144
13,228
14,338
13,023
14,154
2010
14,003
76 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Hughes
15,144
13,900
1960
1973
15,100
14,100
1961
1974
15,000
14,500
1962
1975
14,700
14,500
1963
1976
14,400
14,500
1964
1977
14,000
14,200
1965
1978
13,800
14,300
1966
1979
13,700
14,338
1967
1980
13,500
14,388
1968
1981
13,400
14,522
1969
1982
13,228
14,721
1970
1983
13,500
14,617
1971
1984
14,000
14,233
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
14,105
13,967
13,499
13,234
13,023
12,898
12,822
12,743
12,797
12,970
13,694
14,079
14,148
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
14,177
14,154
13,876
13,934
13,833
13,762
13,717
13,605
13,651
13,630
13,819
14,003
13,843
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
13,040
13,025
13,010
12,995
12,980
12,964
12,949
12,934
12,919
12,904
12,888
12,873
12,858
12,843
12,828
12,813
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
12,797
12,782
12,767
12,752
12,737
12,721
12,706
12,691
12,676
12,661
12,646
12,630
12,615
12,600
12,585
12,570
Population projections
Hughes
13,526
13,283
2012
2028
13,511
13,268
2013
2029
13,496
13,253
2014
2030
13,481
13,238
2015
2031
13,465
13,222
2016
2032
13,450
13,207
2017
2033
13,435
13,192
2018
2034
13,420
13,177
2019
2035
13,405
13,162
2020
2036
13,389
13,147
2021
2037
13,374
13,131
2022
2038
13,359
13,116
2023
2039
13,344
13,101
2024
2040
13,329
13,086
2025
2041
13,314
13,071
2026
2042
13,298
13,055
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
77 | P a g e
Jackson County
Jackson County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
40,000
30,902
32,000
28,910
29,736
30,356
28,764
28,439
26,446
23,737
24,000
22,141
22,708
20,082
16,000
8,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Jackson County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Jackson Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Jackson Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Jackson County is forecast to have a declining average annual population rate of -0.38 % for the next 65
years. Since 1960, Jackson County’s population has been declining at an average annual rate of -0.22%
and a linear regression trendline anticipates the rate of decline will pick up slightly between now and
2075. While the level of fit for this trendline is considered to be fairly strong, some year to year
variation with the population projections can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Jackson
23,737
1910
1960
22,141
1920
1970
28,910
1930
1980
22,708
1940
1990
20,082
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
29,736
30,902
30,356
28,764
28,439
2010
26,446
78 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Jackson
29,736
31,900
1960
1973
30,300
32,400
1961
1974
30,800
32,100
1962
1975
31,000
33,400
1963
1976
31,000
32,500
1964
1977
30,900
31,600
1965
1978
30,800
30,100
1966
1979
30,900
30,356
1967
1980
30,800
29,956
1968
1981
30,800
30,292
1969
1982
30,902
31,464
1970
1983
32,100
31,760
1971
1984
32,000
31,313
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
30,810
30,796
29,995
29,395
28,764
28,479
28,778
28,985
29,190
30,034
30,194
28,930
28,955
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
28,789
28,439
27,890
27,347
27,203
27,181
26,471
26,241
25,739
25,336
25,369
26,446
26,447
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
23,350
23,242
23,134
23,025
22,917
22,809
22,701
22,593
22,484
22,376
22,268
22,160
22,051
21,943
21,835
21,727
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
21,619
21,510
21,402
21,294
21,186
21,078
20,969
20,861
20,753
20,645
20,537
20,428
20,320
20,212
20,104
19,995
Population projections
Jackson
26,813
25,081
2012
2028
26,705
24,973
2013
2029
26,596
24,865
2014
2030
26,488
24,757
2015
2031
26,380
24,649
2016
2032
26,272
24,540
2017
2033
26,164
24,432
2018
2034
26,055
24,324
2019
2035
25,947
24,216
2020
2036
25,839
24,108
2021
2037
25,731
23,999
2022
2038
25,622
23,891
2023
2039
25,514
23,783
2024
2040
25,406
23,675
2025
2041
25,298
23,566
2026
2042
25,190
23,458
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
79 | P a g e
Jefferson County
Jefferson County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
17,664
17,392
17,430
16,000
15,107
12,000
11,122
8,192
7,125
8,183
8,000
7,010
6,818
6,472
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Jefferson County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Jefferson Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Jefferson Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Jefferson County is projected to experience a declining rate of population growth, with a -0.52% average
annual rate of decline projected through 2075. Since 1960, Jefferson County experienced an average
annual rate of decline of -0.42% and a linear regression trendline on the county’s historic population
data indicates that the rate of decline will pick up slightly over the next 65 years. The trendline’s level of
fit, while strong, indicates that there will be some year to year variation in the overall population
patterns.
Decennial Census population counts
Jefferson
17,430
1910
1960
17,664
1920
1970
17,392
1930
1980
15,107
1940
1990
11,122
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,192
7,125
8,183
7,010
6,818
2010
6,472
80 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Jefferson
8,192
7,700
1960
1973
8,100
7,800
1961
1974
8,100
7,900
1962
1975
8,000
7,900
1963
1976
7,800
8,100
1964
1977
7,600
8,300
1965
1978
7,500
8,200
1966
1979
7,400
8,183
1967
1980
7,300
8,158
1968
1981
7,200
8,418
1969
1982
7,125
8,596
1970
1983
7,400
8,135
1971
1984
7,800
7,956
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7,632
7,394
7,177
7,153
7,010
7,020
7,043
7,065
7,130
7,042
6,987
6,972
6,918
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
6,902
6,818
6,646
6,508
6,466
6,417
6,375
6,289
6,228
6,231
6,319
6,472
6,506
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
5,329
5,295
5,261
5,226
5,192
5,158
5,123
5,089
5,055
5,020
4,986
4,952
4,917
4,883
4,849
4,814
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
4,780
4,746
4,711
4,677
4,643
4,608
4,574
4,540
4,505
4,471
4,437
4,402
4,368
4,334
4,299
4,265
Population projections
Jefferson
6,428
5,879
2012
2028
6,394
5,844
2013
2029
6,359
5,810
2014
2030
6,325
5,776
2015
2031
6,291
5,741
2016
2032
6,256
5,707
2017
2033
6,222
5,673
2018
2034
6,188
5,638
2019
2035
6,153
5,604
2020
2036
6,119
5,570
2021
2037
6,085
5,535
2022
2038
6,050
5,501
2023
2039
6,016
5,467
2024
2040
5,982
5,432
2025
2041
5,947
5,398
2026
2042
5,913
5,364
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
81 | P a g e
Johnston County
Johnston County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
25,000
20,125
20,000
16,734
15,000
15,960
13,082
10,356
10,608
10,000
8,517
10,032
10,513
10,957
7,870
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Johnston County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Johnston Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Johnston Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Johnston County’s population forecast shows a 0.50% average annual growth rate over the next 65
years. While below the anticipated 0.74% average annual statewide growth rate, this is relatively close
to the county’s historic average annual growth rate of 0.57%. A linear regression trendline drawn on
population history since 1960 shows a strong level of fit, but some year to year variability is anticipated.
Decennial Census population counts
Johnston
16,734
1910
1960
20,125
1920
1970
13,082
1930
1980
15,960
1940
1990
10,608
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
8,517
7,870
10,356
10,032
10,513
2010
10,957
82 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Johnston
8,517
8,800
1960
1973
1986
8,500
9,100
1961
1974
1987
8,600
9,400
1962
1975
1988
8,500
9,800
1963
1976
1989
8,300
10,000
1964
1977
1990
8,200
10,100
1965
1978
1991
8,100
10,300
1966
1979
1992
8,000
10,356
1967
1980
1993
7,900
10,538
1968
1981
1994
7,900
10,445
1969
1982
1995
7,870
10,835
1970
1983
1996
8,100
10,741
1971
1984
1997
8,500
10,641
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
10,673
10,668
10,453
10,115
10,032
9,987
10,151
10,049
10,212
10,245
10,286
10,498
10,467
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
10,529
10,513
10,437
10,386
10,351
10,243
10,203
10,421
10,458
10,428
10,468
10,957
11,139
12,870
12,923
12,976
13,028
13,081
13,134
13,187
13,240
13,293
13,346
13,399
13,451
13,504
13,557
13,610
13,663
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
13,716
13,769
13,821
13,874
13,927
13,980
14,033
14,086
14,139
14,192
14,244
14,297
14,350
14,403
14,456
14,509
Population projections
Johnston
11,178
12,024
2012
2028
11,231
12,077
2013
2029
11,284
12,130
2014
2030
11,337
12,183
2015
2031
11,390
12,235
2016
2032
11,442
12,288
2017
2033
11,495
12,341
2018
2034
11,548
12,394
2019
2035
11,601
12,447
2020
2036
11,654
12,500
2021
2037
11,707
12,553
2022
2038
11,760
12,606
2023
2039
11,813
12,658
2024
2040
11,865
12,711
2025
2041
11,918
12,764
2026
2042
11,971
12,817
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
83 | P a g e
Kay County
Kay County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
50,186
47,084
48,892
51,042
48,791 49,852
48,056
50,000
40,000
30,000
48,080
46,562
34,907
26,999
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Kay County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Kay Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Kay Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Kay county is forecast to experience an average annual rate of population decline of -0.16% over the
next 65 years. This is slightly below the -0.18% average annual rate of decline indicated by county
population patterns since 1960. The level of fit for the county’s linear regression trendline is relatively
strong, but subject to some volatility. However, even after accounting for high growth rates
experienced in the 1980s, the long term trend has been for a slow population decline overall. Some
year to year variation in the population forecasts can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Kay
26,999
1910
1960
34,907
1920
1970
50,186
1930
1980
47,084
1940
1990
48,892
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
51,042
48,791
49,852
48,056
48,080
2010
46,562
84 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Kay
51,042
48,400
1960
1973
51,400
47,800
1961
1974
51,700
48,200
1962
1975
51,300
49,100
1963
1976
50,600
49,400
1964
1977
49,800
49,600
1965
1978
49,400
49,300
1966
1979
49,400
49,852
1967
1980
48,900
50,891
1968
1981
48,900
52,236
1969
1982
48,791
53,113
1970
1983
48,900
52,520
1971
1984
48,400
51,627
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
50,891
50,143
48,775
48,494
48,056
48,321
49,060
48,992
48,591
48,659
48,463
48,295
48,311
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
48,360
48,080
47,437
47,529
47,107
46,590
46,079
45,760
45,955
45,886
46,110
46,562
46,159
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
44,204
44,123
44,043
43,963
43,882
43,802
43,721
43,641
43,560
43,480
43,400
43,319
43,239
43,158
43,078
42,997
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
42,917
42,837
42,756
42,676
42,595
42,515
42,434
42,354
42,274
42,193
42,113
42,032
41,952
41,872
41,791
41,711
Population projections
Kay
46,777
45,491
2012
2028
46,697
45,410
2013
2029
46,616
45,330
2014
2030
46,536
45,249
2015
2031
46,456
45,169
2016
2032
46,375
45,088
2017
2033
46,295
45,008
2018
2034
46,214
44,928
2019
2035
46,134
44,847
2020
2036
46,053
44,767
2021
2037
45,973
44,686
2022
2038
45,893
44,606
2023
2039
45,812
44,525
2024
2040
45,732
44,445
2025
2041
45,651
44,365
2026
2042
45,571
44,284
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
85 | P a g e
Kingfisher County
Kingfisher County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
16,000
18,825
15,671 15,960 15,617
14,187
12,860
12,000
13,212
13,926
15,034
12,857
10,635
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Kingfisher County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Kingfisher Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Kingfisher Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Kingfisher County’s population growth rate is expected to average 0.32% annually between now and
2075. The county has averaged 0.83% annual population growth since 1960, with very high growth
rates in the early 1980s followed by high population declines in the late 1980s. A linear regression
trendline drawn from the county’s population data over the last half century indicates a somewhat weak
level of fit because of that volatility. While the overall trend is for positive growth, year to year
variations can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Kingfisher
18,825
1910
1960
15,671
1920
1970
15,960
1930
1980
15,617
1940
1990
12,860
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,635
12,857
14,187
13,212
13,926
2010
15,034
86 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Kingfisher
10,635
12,700
1960
1973
11,000
12,900
1961
1974
11,300
13,000
1962
1975
11,500
13,600
1963
1976
11,700
14,000
1964
1977
11,800
14,200
1965
1978
12,000
13,800
1966
1979
12,300
14,187
1967
1980
12,400
14,959
1968
1981
12,500
16,193
1969
1982
12,857
16,372
1970
1983
12,900
16,212
1971
1984
12,800
15,755
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
15,350
14,512
14,035
13,534
13,212
13,093
13,100
13,194
13,392
13,593
13,734
13,801
13,857
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
13,919
13,926
13,843
13,816
13,961
13,974
14,076
14,092
14,279
14,264
14,384
15,034
15,213
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
16,597
16,649
16,700
16,752
16,803
16,854
16,906
16,957
17,008
17,060
17,111
17,163
17,214
17,265
17,317
17,368
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
17,419
17,471
17,522
17,574
17,625
17,676
17,728
17,779
17,831
17,882
17,933
17,985
18,036
18,087
18,139
18,190
Population projections
Kingfisher
14,953
15,775
2012
2028
15,005
15,827
2013
2029
15,056
15,878
2014
2030
15,107
15,929
2015
2031
15,159
15,981
2016
2032
15,210
16,032
2017
2033
15,261
16,084
2018
2034
15,313
16,135
2019
2035
15,364
16,186
2020
2036
15,416
16,238
2021
2037
15,467
16,289
2022
2038
15,518
16,340
2023
2039
15,570
16,392
2024
2040
15,621
16,443
2025
2041
15,672
16,495
2026
2042
15,724
16,546
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
87 | P a g e
Kiowa County
Kiowa County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
32,000
29,630
27,526
23,094
22,817
24,000
18,926
14,825
16,000
12,532 12,711
11,347
10,227
9,446
8,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Kiowa County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Kiowa Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Kiowa Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Kiowa County is forecast to experience a slowing rate of population decline over the next 65 years,
averaging a -0.39% decline through 2075. The rate of decline is anticipated to be higher in the short
term, and slower in the long term. Between 1960 and 2010, the region experienced an annual average
decline of -0.73% in population. A power regression trendline indicates a strong fit so while year to year
variation from the county’s population forecasts can be expected, they are anticipated to be relatively
small.
Decennial Census population counts
Kiowa
27,526
1910
1960
23,094
1920
1970
29,630
1930
1980
22,817
1940
1990
18,926
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
14,825
12,532
12,711
11,347
10,227
2010
9,446
88 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Kiowa
14,825
12,100
1960
1973
14,700
12,400
1961
1974
14,700
12,500
1962
1975
14,400
12,600
1963
1976
14,100
12,500
1964
1977
13,700
12,700
1965
1978
13,400
12,800
1966
1979
13,200
12,711
1967
1980
12,900
12,844
1968
1981
12,700
13,006
1969
1982
12,532
13,283
1970
1983
12,400
13,100
1971
1984
12,200
12,497
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
11,962
11,933
11,922
11,450
11,347
11,150
11,008
11,074
10,931
10,874
10,646
10,623
10,430
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
10,236
10,227
10,022
9,949
9,859
9,743
9,771
9,540
9,300
9,246
9,101
9,446
9,416
Population projections
Kiowa
9,537
8,703
2012
2028
9,479
8,657
2013
2029
9,422
8,612
2014
2030
9,365
8,567
2015
2031
9,310
8,523
2016
2032
9,255
8,479
2017
2033
9,201
8,436
2018
2034
9,148
8,394
2019
2035
9,096
8,352
2020
2036
9,044
8,310
2021
2037
8,993
8,269
2022
2038
8,943
8,229
2023
2039
8,894
8,189
2024
2040
8,845
8,150
2025
2041
8,797
8,111
2026
2042
8,750
8,072
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
8,034
7,997
7,960
7,923
7,887
7,851
7,816
7,781
7,747
7,712
7,679
7,645
7,612
7,580
7,547
7,515
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
7,484
7,453
7,422
7,391
7,361
7,331
7,301
7,272
7,243
7,214
7,186
7,158
7,130
7,102
7,075
7,048
89 | P a g e
Latimer County
Latimer County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000
13,866
12,000
12,380
11,321
11,184
9,690
7,738
8,601
9,840
10,333
10,692
11,154
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Latimer County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Latimer Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Latimer Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Latimer County is forecast to experience a 0.52% rate of annual average population growth over the
next 65 years. The forecast is based on a linear regression trendline drawn from population patterns
over the last 50 years. Recent years have shown some divergence from the trendline’s overall pattern,
but the overall fit is expected to remain fairly strong. Some year to year variation in population
forecasts may become more likely if recent changes are an indication of longer term developments.
Decennial Census population counts
Latimer
11,321
1910
1960
13,866
1920
1970
11,184
1930
1980
12,380
1940
1990
9,690
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
7,738
8,601
9,840
10,333
10,692
2010
11,154
90 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Latimer
7,738
9,700
1960
1973
1986
7,900
9,700
1961
1974
1987
8,100
10,100
1962
1975
1988
8,100
9,900
1963
1976
1989
8,200
9,800
1964
1977
1990
8,200
9,700
1965
1978
1991
8,300
9,500
1966
1979
1992
8,400
9,840
1967
1980
1993
8,400
9,855
1968
1981
1994
8,500
9,841
1969
1982
1995
8,601
10,001
1970
1983
1996
8,700
9,969
1971
1984
1997
9,200
9,962
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
10,105
10,064
10,175
10,320
10,333
10,678
10,561
10,385
10,410
10,528
10,484
10,526
10,577
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
10,662
10,692
10,574
10,577
10,496
10,515
10,485
10,487
10,442
10,576
10,621
11,154
11,155
13,128
13,185
13,241
13,298
13,355
13,412
13,469
13,525
13,582
13,639
13,696
13,753
13,810
13,866
13,923
13,980
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
14,037
14,094
14,150
14,207
14,264
14,321
14,378
14,435
14,491
14,548
14,605
14,662
14,719
14,776
14,832
14,889
Population projections
Latimer
11,309
12,219
2012
2028
11,366
12,275
2013
2029
11,423
12,332
2014
2030
11,480
12,389
2015
2031
11,537
12,446
2016
2032
11,594
12,503
2017
2033
11,650
12,559
2018
2034
11,707
12,616
2019
2035
11,764
12,673
2020
2036
11,821
12,730
2021
2037
11,878
12,787
2022
2038
11,934
12,844
2023
2039
11,991
12,900
2024
2040
12,048
12,957
2025
2041
12,105
13,014
2026
2042
12,162
13,071
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
91 | P a g e
Le Flore County
Le Flore County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
90,000
75,000
60,000
45,000
50,384
42,765 42,896
48,109
45,866
43,270
40,698
32,137
35,276
29,127
30,000
29,106
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Le Flore County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Le Flore Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Le Flore Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Le Flore County is forecast to experience a 0.89% average annual growth rate through 2075, slightly
above the forecast rate for Oklahoma’s overall growth. A linear regression trendline based on the last
50 years of population data shows a strong level of fit, indicating that year to year variation from the
long term forecast may be relatively small.
Decennial Census population counts
Le Flore
29,127
1910
1960
42,765
1920
1970
42,896
1930
1980
45,866
1940
1990
35,276
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
29,106
32,137
40,698
43,270
48,109
2010
50,384
92 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Le Flore
29,106
34,400
1960
1973
29,700
35,700
1961
1974
30,300
36,800
1962
1975
30,400
37,300
1963
1976
30,500
38,200
1964
1977
30,500
38,900
1965
1978
30,700
40,300
1966
1979
31,200
40,698
1967
1980
31,500
40,053
1968
1981
31,800
40,561
1969
1982
32,137
41,321
1970
1983
33,400
41,740
1971
1984
34,100
41,819
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
42,245
43,016
43,061
43,052
43,270
43,682
43,851
44,778
45,320
46,268
46,684
47,335
47,674
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
47,858
48,109
48,033
48,337
48,429
48,618
48,852
49,200
49,625
49,806
49,915
50,384
50,628
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
65,459
65,912
66,364
66,817
67,269
67,722
68,174
68,627
69,079
69,532
69,985
70,437
70,890
71,342
71,795
72,247
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
72,700
73,153
73,605
74,058
74,510
74,963
75,415
75,868
76,321
76,773
77,226
77,678
78,131
78,583
79,036
79,488
Population projections
Le Flore
50,977
58,218
2012
2028
51,429
58,670
2013
2029
51,882
59,123
2014
2030
52,335
59,576
2015
2031
52,787
60,028
2016
2032
53,240
60,481
2017
2033
53,692
60,933
2018
2034
54,145
61,386
2019
2035
54,597
61,838
2020
2036
55,050
62,291
2021
2037
55,503
62,744
2022
2038
55,955
63,196
2023
2039
56,408
63,649
2024
2040
56,860
64,101
2025
2041
57,313
64,554
2026
2042
57,765
65,006
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
93 | P a g e
Lincoln County
Lincoln County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
45,000
34,779
30,000
34,273
33,406 33,738
32,080
29,216
29,529
26,601
22,102
18,783
19,482
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Lincoln County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Lincoln Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Lincoln Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Lincoln County is forecast to have an average annual population growth rate of 0.95% over the next 65
years, following the growth pattern indicated by a linear regression trendline of population patterns
going back to 1960. This is slightly higher than the expected statewide average annual growth rate of
0.73%. The level of historical fit for the trendline is strong, indicating likelihood that year over year
variation from forecast population levels will be relatively small.
Decennial Census population counts
Lincoln
34,779
1910
1960
33,406
1920
1970
33,738
1930
1980
29,529
1940
1990
22,102
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
18,783
19,482
26,601
29,216
32,080
2010
34,273
94 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Lincoln
18,783
21,700
1960
1973
19,100
22,200
1961
1974
19,300
22,400
1962
1975
19,300
22,900
1963
1976
19,200
23,400
1964
1977
19,100
24,100
1965
1978
19,100
25,600
1966
1979
19,300
26,601
1967
1980
19,300
27,382
1968
1981
19,400
28,262
1969
1982
19,482
29,311
1970
1983
20,300
30,066
1971
1984
21,000
30,411
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
30,161
29,687
29,203
29,483
29,216
29,358
29,298
29,717
29,958
30,431
30,803
30,967
31,248
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
31,796
32,080
32,084
32,090
32,064
32,062
31,987
32,203
32,217
32,070
32,199
34,273
34,155
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
45,176
45,506
45,835
46,165
46,495
46,825
47,155
47,485
47,814
48,144
48,474
48,804
49,134
49,464
49,793
50,123
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
50,453
50,783
51,113
51,443
51,772
52,102
52,432
52,762
53,092
53,422
53,751
54,081
54,411
54,741
55,071
55,400
Population projections
Lincoln
34,621
39,899
2012
2028
34,951
40,228
2013
2029
35,281
40,558
2014
2030
35,611
40,888
2015
2031
35,941
41,218
2016
2032
36,270
41,548
2017
2033
36,600
41,878
2018
2034
36,930
42,207
2019
2035
37,260
42,537
2020
2036
37,590
42,867
2021
2037
37,920
43,197
2022
2038
38,249
43,527
2023
2039
38,579
43,857
2024
2040
38,909
44,186
2025
2041
39,239
44,516
2026
2042
39,569
44,846
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
95 | P a g e
Logan County
Logan County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
75,000
60,000
45,000
41,848
33,924
30,000
31,740
27,550 27,761
29,011
26,881
19,645
25,245
22,170
18,662
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Logan County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Logan Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Logan Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Logan County’s population is forecast to achieve an average annual population growth rate of 1.02%
over the coming 65 years. It should be noted that since 2005 the county has averaged an annual growth
rate of 3.64% and that the county may be entering a growth spurt similar to the early 1980s. However,
that spurt ultimately returned to the long term growth rate indicated by the linear regression trendline
in the above graph. The level of fit is strong, so year to year variation overall is expected to be low.
Decennial Census population counts
Logan
31,740
1910
1960
27,550
1920
1970
27,761
1930
1980
25,245
1940
1990
22,170
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
18,662
19,645
26,881
29,011
33,924
2010
41,848
96 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Logan
18,662
23,100
1960
1973
19,000
23,600
1961
1974
19,300
24,100
1962
1975
19,300
24,300
1963
1976
19,300
24,700
1964
1977
19,100
25,300
1965
1978
19,200
25,900
1966
1979
19,300
26,881
1967
1980
19,300
27,606
1968
1981
19,500
28,684
1969
1982
19,645
30,239
1970
1983
21,500
31,178
1971
1984
22,500
30,989
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
30,556
29,951
29,505
29,091
29,011
29,549
30,131
30,998
31,202
31,618
31,679
32,328
32,876
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
33,503
33,924
34,517
34,703
35,393
34,968
35,399
35,756
37,330
38,424
39,301
41,848
42,499
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
56,451
56,878
57,306
57,734
58,162
58,589
59,017
59,445
59,873
60,300
60,728
61,156
61,584
62,011
62,439
62,867
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
63,295
63,722
64,150
64,578
65,006
65,433
65,861
66,289
66,717
67,144
67,572
68,000
68,428
68,855
69,283
69,711
Population projections
Logan
42,763
49,607
2012
2028
43,191
50,035
2013
2029
43,618
50,462
2014
2030
44,046
50,890
2015
2031
44,474
51,318
2016
2032
44,902
51,746
2017
2033
45,329
52,173
2018
2034
45,757
52,601
2019
2035
46,185
53,029
2020
2036
46,613
53,457
2021
2037
47,040
53,884
2022
2038
47,468
54,312
2023
2039
47,896
54,740
2024
2040
48,324
55,167
2025
2041
48,751
55,595
2026
2042
49,179
56,023
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
97 | P a g e
Love County
Love County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000
12,433
11,433
12,000
10,236
9,639
8,831
8,157
7,721
8,000
9,423
7,469
5,862 5,637
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Love County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Love Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Love Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Love County is forecast to experience an average annual growth rate of 0.87% over the next 65 years.
This is slightly above the anticipated statewide growth rate of 0.73%. A linear regression trendline
based on the county’s population patterns going back to 1960 indicates a strong fit overall, with a higher
likelihood that forecast populations will be on target over the long term. Some year to year variation in
population projections are to be expected, but should be relatively small.
Decennial Census population counts
Love
10,236
1910
1960
12,433
1920
1970
9,639
1930
1980
11,433
1940
1990
7,721
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,862
5,637
7,469
8,157
8,831
2010
9,423
98 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Love
5,862
6,400
1960
1973
5,900
6,600
1961
1974
5,900
6,900
1962
1975
5,900
7,200
1963
1976
5,800
7,200
1964
1977
5,700
7,300
1965
1978
5,700
7,500
1966
1979
5,700
7,469
1967
1980
5,700
7,447
1968
1981
5,600
7,862
1969
1982
5,637
8,113
1970
1983
5,900
8,107
1971
1984
6,200
8,088
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
8,129
8,222
8,077
8,250
8,157
7,921
8,066
8,095
8,329
8,462
8,706
8,716
8,724
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
8,806
8,831
8,729
8,793
8,843
8,943
9,028
9,048
9,062
9,097
9,124
9,423
9,386
Population projections
Love
9,735
11,008
2012
2028
9,815
11,087
2013
2029
9,895
11,167
2014
2030
9,974
11,247
2015
2031
10,054
11,326
2016
2032
10,133
11,406
2017
2033
10,213
11,485
2018
2034
10,292
11,565
2019
2035
10,372
11,644
2020
2036
10,451
11,724
2021
2037
10,531
11,803
2022
2038
10,610
11,883
2023
2039
10,690
11,962
2024
2040
10,769
12,042
2025
2041
10,849
12,121
2026
2042
10,928
12,201
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
12,280
12,360
12,440
12,519
12,599
12,678
12,758
12,837
12,917
12,996
13,076
13,155
13,235
13,314
13,394
13,473
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
13,553
13,632
13,712
13,792
13,871
13,951
14,030
14,110
14,189
14,269
14,348
14,428
14,507
14,587
14,666
14,746
99 | P a g e
McClain County
McClain County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
34,506
27,740
30,000
20,000
22,795
19,326
15,659
21,575
20,291
14,157
19,205
14,681
12,740
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
McClain County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
McClain Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
McClain Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
McClain County is forecast to grow at a 1.21% average annual growth rate over the next 65 years, nearly
double the growth rate expected for the state as a whole during that time. A linear regression trendline
drawn over the growth between 1960 and 2010 indicates a strong level of fit, with little year over year
variation from forecasts expected.
Decennial Census population counts
McClain
15,659
1910
1960
19,326
1920
1970
21,575
1930
1980
19,205
1940
1990
14,681
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
12,740
14,157
20,291
22,795
27,740
2010
34,506
100 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
McClain
12,740
16,800
1960
1973
13,000
17,600
1961
1974
13,300
18,200
1962
1975
13,400
18,400
1963
1976
13,400
19,100
1964
1977
13,400
19,800
1965
1978
13,500
19,900
1966
1979
13,700
20,291
1967
1980
13,800
20,862
1968
1981
14,200
21,855
1969
1982
14,157
23,276
1970
1983
14,900
23,772
1971
1984
15,800
24,045
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
23,896
23,331
22,886
22,699
22,795
23,152
23,566
24,222
24,878
25,535
25,856
26,300
26,825
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
27,436
27,740
27,787
28,018
28,575
29,033
29,912
30,920
31,892
32,487
33,168
34,506
35,235
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
48,719
49,138
49,557
49,975
50,394
50,812
51,231
51,650
52,068
52,487
52,906
53,324
53,743
54,162
54,580
54,999
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
55,418
55,836
56,255
56,674
57,092
57,511
57,930
58,348
58,767
59,186
59,604
60,023
60,442
60,860
61,279
61,698
Population projections
McClain
35,322
42,021
2012
2028
35,741
42,439
2013
2029
36,160
42,858
2014
2030
36,578
43,277
2015
2031
36,997
43,695
2016
2032
37,416
44,114
2017
2033
37,834
44,533
2018
2034
38,253
44,951
2019
2035
38,671
45,370
2020
2036
39,090
45,789
2021
2037
39,509
46,207
2022
2038
39,927
46,626
2023
2039
40,346
47,045
2024
2040
40,765
47,463
2025
2041
41,183
47,882
2026
2042
41,602
48,301
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
101 | P a g e
McCurtain County
McCurtain County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
50,000
41,318
40,000
37,905
33,151
36,151
34,759
33,433
31,588
34,402
28,642
30,000
25,851
20,681
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
McCurtain County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
McCurtain Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
McCurtain Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear (McCurtain County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division))
McCurtain County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 0.36% between now and 2075.
However, the level of fit indicated by the county’s linear regression trendline is weak, heavily influenced
by high growth in the early 1970s and not reflecting a gradual rate of decline in effect since the late
1970s. Year over year variation is expected.
Decennial Census population counts
McCurtain
20,681
1910
1960
37,905
1920
1970
34,759
1930
1980
41,318
1940
1990
31,588
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
25,851
28,642
36,151
33,433
34,402
2010
33,151
102 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
McCurtain
25,851
35,000
1960
1973
26,400
36,200
1961
1974
26,800
37,000
1962
1975
27,000
34,200
1963
1976
27,100
34,900
1964
1977
27,000
37,000
1965
1978
27,200
36,600
1966
1979
27,700
36,151
1967
1980
27,900
35,788
1968
1981
28,300
35,179
1969
1982
28,642
35,601
1970
1983
31,500
34,696
1971
1984
33,800
34,697
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
34,358
34,337
34,108
33,855
33,433
33,217
33,503
33,573
33,634
34,147
34,362
34,283
34,420
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
34,348
34,402
34,030
33,915
33,773
33,475
33,458
33,467
33,472
33,489
33,370
33,151
33,195
37,469
37,583
37,696
37,810
37,923
38,037
38,151
38,264
38,378
38,491
38,605
38,718
38,832
38,945
39,059
39,173
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
39,286
39,400
39,513
39,627
39,740
39,854
39,967
40,081
40,195
40,308
40,422
40,535
40,649
40,762
40,876
40,989
Population projections
McCurtain
33,836
35,652
2012
2028
33,949
35,766
2013
2029
34,063
35,880
2014
2030
34,176
35,993
2015
2031
34,290
36,107
2016
2032
34,403
36,220
2017
2033
34,517
36,334
2018
2034
34,631
36,447
2019
2035
34,744
36,561
2020
2036
34,858
36,674
2021
2037
34,971
36,788
2022
2038
35,085
36,902
2023
2039
35,198
37,015
2024
2040
35,312
37,129
2025
2041
35,425
37,242
2026
2042
35,539
37,356
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
103 | P a g e
McIntosh County
McIntosh County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
37,500
30,000
22,500
26,404
24,924
24,097
20,961
19,456
17,829
20,252
16,779
15,562
15,000
12,371
12,472
7,500
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
McIntosh County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
McIntosh Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
McIntosh Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
McIntosh County is forecast to experience a 0.88% average annual population growth rate through
2075. A linear regression trendline based on population patterns over the last half century indicates a
strong level of fit, with year to year variation from the long term trend expected to be relatively small.
Decennial Census population counts
McIntosh
20,961
1910
1960
26,404
1920
1970
24,924
1930
1980
24,097
1940
1990
17,829
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
12,371
12,472
15,562
16,779
19,456
2010
20,252
104 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
McIntosh
12,371
13,000
1960
1973
12,500
13,100
1961
1974
12,700
13,600
1962
1975
12,600
14,000
1963
1976
12,500
14,100
1964
1977
12,400
14,500
1965
1978
12,400
15,200
1966
1979
12,400
15,562
1967
1980
12,400
15,770
1968
1981
12,400
16,312
1969
1982
12,472
16,874
1970
1983
12,600
16,922
1971
1984
12,700
17,128
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
17,124
17,117
17,004
16,681
16,779
16,904
17,128
17,557
18,042
18,456
18,495
18,775
19,017
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
19,320
19,456
19,450
19,501
19,472
19,440
19,388
19,476
19,659
19,629
19,801
20,252
20,360
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
26,191
26,373
26,556
26,739
26,921
27,104
27,287
27,469
27,652
27,834
28,017
28,200
28,382
28,565
28,747
28,930
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
29,113
29,295
29,478
29,661
29,843
30,026
30,208
30,391
30,574
30,756
30,939
31,122
31,304
31,487
31,669
31,852
Population projections
McIntosh
20,347
23,269
2012
2028
20,530
23,452
2013
2029
20,712
23,634
2014
2030
20,895
23,817
2015
2031
21,077
23,999
2016
2032
21,260
24,182
2017
2033
21,443
24,365
2018
2034
21,625
24,547
2019
2035
21,808
24,730
2020
2036
21,991
24,912
2021
2037
22,173
25,095
2022
2038
22,356
25,278
2023
2039
22,538
25,460
2024
2040
22,721
25,643
2025
2041
22,904
25,826
2026
2042
23,086
26,008
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
105 | P a g e
Major County
Major County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000
12,000
15,248
12,426 12,206
11,946
10,279
7,808
8,772
7,529
8,055
8,000
7,545
7,527
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Major County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Major Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Major Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Major County is forecast to experience a slow level of population decline over the coming 65 years,
averaging an annual growth rate of -0.14%. High volatility in the county’s population, particularly during
the 1970s and 1980s, hold strong influence on the linear regression trendline’s overall measure of fit. As
a result, it is likely that the long term forecasts will experience a high level of year to year differences
when measured against final population counts. Over the long term, however, the downward trend is
expected to continue.
Decennial Census population counts
Major
15,248
1910
1960
12,426
1920
1970
12,206
1930
1980
11,946
1940
1990
10,279
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
7,808
7,529
8,772
8,055
7,545
2010
7,527
106 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Major
7,808
7,900
1960
1973
7,900
8,100
1961
1974
7,900
8,300
1962
1975
7,800
8,400
1963
1976
7,700
8,300
1964
1977
7,600
8,600
1965
1978
7,500
8,900
1966
1979
7,600
8,772
1967
1980
7,500
9,234
1968
1981
7,500
9,724
1969
1982
7,529
9,685
1970
1983
7,500
9,439
1971
1984
7,600
9,174
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
8,879
8,658
8,558
8,295
8,055
7,864
7,763
7,605
7,672
7,646
7,599
7,662
7,662
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
7,550
7,545
7,529
7,474
7,301
7,256
7,171
7,200
7,184
7,132
7,189
7,527
7,657
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
7,240
7,228
7,216
7,204
7,191
7,179
7,167
7,155
7,143
7,130
7,118
7,106
7,094
7,082
7,069
7,057
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
7,045
7,033
7,021
7,008
6,996
6,984
6,972
6,960
6,947
6,935
6,923
6,911
6,899
6,886
6,874
6,862
Population projections
Major
7,631
7,435
2012
2028
7,618
7,423
2013
2029
7,606
7,411
2014
2030
7,594
7,399
2015
2031
7,582
7,387
2016
2032
7,570
7,374
2017
2033
7,557
7,362
2018
2034
7,545
7,350
2019
2035
7,533
7,338
2020
2036
7,521
7,326
2021
2037
7,509
7,313
2022
2038
7,496
7,301
2023
2039
7,484
7,289
2024
2040
7,472
7,277
2025
2041
7,460
7,265
2026
2042
7,448
7,252
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
107 | P a g e
Marshall County
Marshall County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
30,000
22,500
15,000
15,840
14,674
11,619
11,026
12,384
10,550
8,177
7,263
7,500
10,829
13,184
7,682
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Marshall County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Marshall Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Marshall Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Marshall County’s average annual growth rate is forecast to be 1.04% over the next 65 years. A linear
regression trendline based on the county’s growth patterns between 1960 and 2010 indicates a strong
level of fit, with little year over year variation expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Marshall
11,619
1910
1960
14,674
1920
1970
11,026
1930
1980
12,384
1940
1990
8,177
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
7,263
7,682
10,550
10,829
13,184
2010
15,840
108 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Marshall
7,263
8,500
1960
1973
1986
7,400
8,700
1961
1974
1987
7,500
8,900
1962
1975
1988
7,500
9,300
1963
1976
1989
7,500
9,500
1964
1977
1990
7,500
9,800
1965
1978
1991
7,500
10,500
1966
1979
1992
7,600
10,550
1967
1980
1993
7,600
10,811
1968
1981
1994
7,600
10,970
1969
1982
1995
7,682
11,260
1970
1983
1996
8,300
11,331
1971
1984
1997
8,500
11,274
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
11,482
11,180
11,026
10,870
10,829
11,059
11,363
11,670
11,793
12,155
12,327
12,586
12,870
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
13,097
13,184
13,312
13,533
13,629
13,901
14,365
14,594
14,871
14,958
15,014
15,840
16,049
20,702
20,869
21,036
21,203
21,370
21,537
21,704
21,871
22,038
22,205
22,372
22,540
22,707
22,874
23,041
23,208
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
23,375
23,542
23,709
23,876
24,043
24,210
24,377
24,544
24,711
24,878
25,045
25,212
25,379
25,546
25,713
25,880
Population projections
Marshall
15,357
18,030
2012
2028
15,524
18,197
2013
2029
15,691
18,364
2014
2030
15,858
18,531
2015
2031
16,025
18,698
2016
2032
16,192
18,865
2017
2033
16,359
19,032
2018
2034
16,526
19,199
2019
2035
16,693
19,366
2020
2036
16,860
19,533
2021
2037
17,027
19,700
2022
2038
17,194
19,867
2023
2039
17,362
20,034
2024
2040
17,529
20,201
2025
2041
17,696
20,368
2026
2042
17,863
20,535
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
109 | P a g e
Mayes County
Mayes County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
80,000
60,000
41,259
38,369
40,000
32,261
23,302
21,668
20,000
16,829 17,883
33,366
19,743
20,073
13,596
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Mayes County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Mayes Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Mayes Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Mayes County is forecast to experience a long term average annual population growth rate of 1.02%.
This is based on a linear regression model drawn using the previous 50 years of population data. The
overall trendline fit is strong, with relatively small degree of year to year variation expected from the
long term population forecasts.
Decennial Census population counts
Mayes
13,596
1910
1960
16,829
1920
1970
17,883
1930
1980
21,668
1940
1990
19,743
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
20,073
23,302
32,261
33,366
38,369
2010
41,259
110 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Mayes
20,073
25,700
1960
1973
20,700
26,300
1961
1974
21,200
28,100
1962
1975
21,400
29,100
1963
1976
21,600
29,800
1964
1977
21,600
30,500
1965
1978
21,900
31,600
1966
1979
22,300
32,261
1967
1980
22,500
32,617
1968
1981
23,000
33,314
1969
1982
23,302
34,162
1970
1983
23,900
34,862
1971
1984
24,700
34,133
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
33,864
33,488
33,159
33,132
33,366
33,869
34,287
34,796
35,237
35,872
36,419
36,999
37,560
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
38,217
38,369
38,449
38,476
38,660
38,843
39,049
39,361
39,769
40,084
40,065
41,259
41,389
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
55,278
55,705
56,132
56,558
56,985
57,411
57,838
58,265
58,691
59,118
59,545
59,971
60,398
60,824
61,251
61,678
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
62,104
62,531
62,958
63,384
63,811
64,237
64,664
65,091
65,517
65,944
66,371
66,797
67,224
67,651
68,077
68,504
Population projections
Mayes
41,626
48,452
2012
2028
42,053
48,879
2013
2029
42,479
49,305
2014
2030
42,906
49,732
2015
2031
43,333
50,159
2016
2032
43,759
50,585
2017
2033
44,186
51,012
2018
2034
44,613
51,439
2019
2035
45,039
51,865
2020
2036
45,466
52,292
2021
2037
45,892
52,718
2022
2038
46,319
53,145
2023
2039
46,746
53,572
2024
2040
47,172
53,998
2025
2041
47,599
54,425
2026
2042
48,026
54,852
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
111 | P a g e
Murray County
Murray County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
16,000
12,74413,115 12,410
13,841
12,000
13,488
12,147
12,042
12,623
10,775 10,622 10,669
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Murray County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Murray Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Murray Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Murray County is forecast to have a 0.38% average annual population growth through 2075, down
slightly from the 0.54% population growth rate over the previous 50 years. Very high population growth
rates experienced during the late 1970s and early 1980s help to bring down the overall fit of the linear
regression trendline and the county may expect to see year to year up and down swings away from
forecast population levels.
Decennial Census population counts
Murray
12,744
1910
1960
13,115
1920
1970
12,410
1930
1980
13,841
1940
1990
10,775
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,622
10,669
12,147
12,042
12,623
2010
13,488
112 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Murray
10,622
10,800
1960
1973
10,700
10,800
1961
1974
10,800
10,800
1962
1975
10,900
10,800
1963
1976
10,700
10,800
1964
1977
10,600
10,900
1965
1978
10,500
12,000
1966
1979
10,600
12,147
1967
1980
10,600
12,500
1968
1981
10,600
13,031
1969
1982
10,669
13,431
1970
1983
10,500
13,360
1971
1984
10,900
12,997
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
12,989
12,680
12,502
12,308
12,042
12,050
12,163
12,052
12,063
12,299
12,586
12,551
12,497
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
12,635
12,623
12,655
12,581
12,565
12,500
12,566
12,685
12,646
12,787
12,960
13,488
13,571
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
15,097
15,151
15,205
15,260
15,314
15,368
15,422
15,477
15,531
15,585
15,639
15,693
15,748
15,802
15,856
15,910
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
15,965
16,019
16,073
16,127
16,182
16,236
16,290
16,344
16,398
16,453
16,507
16,561
16,615
16,670
16,724
16,778
Population projections
Murray
13,362
14,229
2012
2028
13,416
14,284
2013
2029
13,470
14,338
2014
2030
13,525
14,392
2015
2031
13,579
14,446
2016
2032
13,633
14,501
2017
2033
13,687
14,555
2018
2034
13,741
14,609
2019
2035
13,796
14,663
2020
2036
13,850
14,717
2021
2037
13,904
14,772
2022
2038
13,958
14,826
2023
2039
14,013
14,880
2024
2040
14,067
14,934
2025
2041
14,121
14,989
2026
2042
14,175
15,043
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
113 | P a g e
Muskogee County
Muskogee County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
100,000
80,000
66,424
61,710
60,000
65,914 65,573
66,939
61,866
70,990
68,078 69,451
59,542
52,743
40,000
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Muskogee County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Muskogee Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Muskogee Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Muskogee County’s population is expected to average a 0.37% annual growth rate over the next 65
years. This is below the expected statewide level of growth, but is a slight increase over the county’s
0.29% annual average growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. The overall fit indicated by
Muskogee County’s linear regression trendline is relatively strong, with only a small amount of year to
year variation from forecast population levels expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Muskogee
52,743
1910
1960
61,710
1920
1970
66,424
1930
1980
65,914
1940
1990
65,573
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
61,866
59,542
66,939
68,078
69,451
2010
70,990
114 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Muskogee
61,866
60,900
1960
1973
62,200
61,200
1961
1974
62,600
62,200
1962
1975
62,100
64,100
1963
1976
61,500
65,400
1964
1977
60,500
65,900
1965
1978
60,000
65,800
1966
1979
60,100
66,939
1967
1980
59,700
67,684
1968
1981
59,600
68,169
1969
1982
59,542
70,265
1970
1983
60,000
70,692
1971
1984
60,000
70,264
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
69,760
69,527
68,346
67,840
68,078
68,424
68,758
68,889
69,241
69,217
69,271
69,231
69,470
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
69,413
69,451
69,506
69,508
69,950
69,903
70,210
70,431
70,686
70,750
71,412
70,990
71,003
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
80,452
80,690
80,929
81,167
81,405
81,644
81,882
82,120
82,359
82,597
82,835
83,074
83,312
83,550
83,789
84,027
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
84,265
84,504
84,742
84,980
85,219
85,457
85,695
85,934
86,172
86,410
86,649
86,887
87,125
87,364
87,602
87,840
Population projections
Muskogee
72,825
76,639
2012
2028
73,064
76,877
2013
2029
73,302
77,115
2014
2030
73,540
77,354
2015
2031
73,779
77,592
2016
2032
74,017
77,830
2017
2033
74,255
78,069
2018
2034
74,494
78,307
2019
2035
74,732
78,545
2020
2036
74,970
78,784
2021
2037
75,209
79,022
2022
2038
75,447
79,260
2023
2039
75,685
79,499
2024
2040
75,924
79,737
2025
2041
76,162
79,975
2026
2042
76,400
80,214
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
115 | P a g e
Noble County
Noble County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
16,000 14,945
15,139 14,826
13,560
12,156
11,573
12,000
11,561
11,045 11,411
10,376 10,043
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Noble County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Noble Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Noble Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Noble County’s population is forecast to experience a 0.22% average annual growth rate over the
coming 65 years, virtually equal to the 0.23% growth rate experienced over the previous 50 years. The
county has shown relatively high up and down population swing between 1960 an 2010 when placed in
the context of the county’s total population. As a result, the linear regression formula drawn on that
history shows a somewhat weak fit. It is likely that volatility in the county’s population will continue.
Decennial Census population counts
Noble
14,945
1910
1960
13,560
1920
1970
15,139
1930
1980
14,826
1940
1990
12,156
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,376
10,043
11,573
11,045
11,411
2010
11,561
116 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Noble
10,376
10,000
1960
1973
10,500
10,400
1961
1974
10,600
10,500
1962
1975
10,500
10,600
1963
1976
10,400
10,800
1964
1977
10,200
10,900
1965
1978
10,100
11,500
1966
1979
10,100
11,573
1967
1980
10,000
11,559
1968
1981
10,000
11,820
1969
1982
10,043
12,228
1970
1983
10,100
11,995
1971
1984
10,000
11,921
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
11,845
11,620
11,417
11,160
11,045
11,109
11,135
11,269
11,271
11,352
11,304
11,413
11,488
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,492
11,411
11,413
11,266
11,237
11,179
11,112
11,030
10,964
11,000
10,950
11,561
11,578
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
12,446
12,471
12,496
12,520
12,545
12,569
12,594
12,619
12,643
12,668
12,693
12,717
12,742
12,766
12,791
12,816
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
12,840
12,865
12,889
12,914
12,939
12,963
12,988
13,013
13,037
13,062
13,086
13,111
13,136
13,160
13,185
13,209
Population projections
Noble
11,659
12,053
2012
2028
11,683
12,077
2013
2029
11,708
12,102
2014
2030
11,733
12,126
2015
2031
11,757
12,151
2016
2032
11,782
12,176
2017
2033
11,806
12,200
2018
2034
11,831
12,225
2019
2035
11,856
12,249
2020
2036
11,880
12,274
2021
2037
11,905
12,299
2022
2038
11,930
12,323
2023
2039
11,954
12,348
2024
2040
11,979
12,373
2025
2041
12,003
12,397
2026
2042
12,028
12,422
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
117 | P a g e
Nowata County
Nowata County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
16,000
15,899
14,223
15,774
13,611
12,734
12,000
11,486
10,848
9,773
9,992
10,569 10,536
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Nowata County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Nowata Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Nowata Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Nowata County is forecast to experience virtually flat population growth over the next 65 years with an
average annual growth rate of 0.00%. Some swing up and down is likely during that span. Over the last
50 years, the county has experienced a very slight average annual rate of decline equaling -0.06%. The
level of fit indicated by the linear regression model is very poor when it comes to predicting year to year
population values, though the long term trend is expected to be fairly accurate.
Decennial Census population counts
Nowata
14,223
1910
1960
15,899
1920
1970
13,611
1930
1980
15,774
1940
1990
12,734
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,848
9,773
11,486
9,992
10,569
2010
10,536
118 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Nowata
10,848
10,300
1960
1973
10,800
10,400
1961
1974
10,900
10,600
1962
1975
10,700
10,600
1963
1976
10,500
10,700
1964
1977
10,300
10,800
1965
1978
10,200
11,100
1966
1979
10,100
11,486
1967
1980
9,900
11,883
1968
1981
9,800
11,970
1969
1982
9,773
11,877
1970
1983
10,000
11,517
1971
1984
10,200
11,138
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
10,876
10,538
10,389
10,166
9,992
9,935
9,944
9,984
9,945
10,107
10,124
10,221
10,350
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
10,489
10,569
10,594
10,552
10,776
10,595
10,621
10,650
10,708
10,725
10,528
10,536
10,629
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
10,564
10,564
10,564
10,565
10,565
10,565
10,565
10,565
10,565
10,565
10,566
10,566
10,566
10,566
10,566
10,566
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
10,566
10,566
10,567
10,567
10,567
10,567
10,567
10,567
10,567
10,568
10,568
10,568
10,568
10,568
10,568
10,568
Population projections
Nowata
10,560
10,562
2012
2028
10,560
10,562
2013
2029
10,560
10,562
2014
2030
10,560
10,562
2015
2031
10,560
10,563
2016
2032
10,561
10,563
2017
2033
10,561
10,563
2018
2034
10,561
10,563
2019
2035
10,561
10,563
2020
2036
10,561
10,563
2021
2037
10,561
10,563
2022
2038
10,561
10,564
2023
2039
10,562
10,564
2024
2040
10,562
10,564
2025
2041
10,562
10,564
2026
2042
10,562
10,564
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
119 | P a g e
Okfuskee County
Okfuskee County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
30,000
29,016
25,051
26,279
25,000
19,995
20,000
16,948
15,000
11,706
10,683 11,125
11,551
11,814 12,191
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Okfuskee County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Okfuskee Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Okfuskee Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Okfuskee County is forecast to experience a 0.06% average annual population growth rate between now
and 2075. Since 1960, the county has experienced a very slight average annual growth rate of 0.08%,
but the level of fit indicated by the linear regression model is very poor. Year to year population values
are likely to move up and down in relation to the trendline and forecasts included in this report.
Decennial Census population counts
Okfuskee
19,995
1910
1960
25,051
1920
1970
29,016
1930
1980
26,279
1940
1990
16,948
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
11,706
10,683
11,125
11,551
11,814
2010
12,191
120 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Okfuskee
11,706
11,200
1960
1973
11,700
11,200
1961
1974
11,700
11,400
1962
1975
11,600
11,400
1963
1976
11,400
11,300
1964
1977
11,200
11,400
1965
1978
11,000
11,400
1966
1979
11,000
11,125
1967
1980
10,800
11,455
1968
1981
10,800
11,732
1969
1982
10,683
12,281
1970
1983
10,700
12,114
1971
1984
10,900
11,957
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
11,974
11,901
11,790
11,500
11,551
11,374
11,379
11,402
11,389
11,537
11,632
11,753
11,833
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,762
11,814
11,719
11,569
11,538
11,436
11,263
11,191
11,186
11,107
10,924
12,191
12,348
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
12,440
12,448
12,457
12,465
12,473
12,481
12,489
12,497
12,505
12,513
12,521
12,530
12,538
12,546
12,554
12,562
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
12,570
12,578
12,586
12,594
12,603
12,611
12,619
12,627
12,635
12,643
12,651
12,659
12,667
12,676
12,684
12,692
Population projections
Okfuskee
12,181
12,310
2012
2028
12,189
12,319
2013
2029
12,197
12,327
2014
2030
12,205
12,335
2015
2031
12,213
12,343
2016
2032
12,221
12,351
2017
2033
12,229
12,359
2018
2034
12,237
12,367
2019
2035
12,246
12,375
2020
2036
12,254
12,384
2021
2037
12,262
12,392
2022
2038
12,270
12,400
2023
2039
12,278
12,408
2024
2040
12,286
12,416
2025
2041
12,294
12,424
2026
2042
12,302
12,432
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
121 | P a g e
Oklahoma County
Oklahoma County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
568,933
600,000
599,611
660,448
718,633
526,805
439,506
400,000
325,352
221,738 244,159
200,000
85,232
116,307
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Oklahoma County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Oklahoma Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Oklahoma Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Oklahoma County is forecast to experience an annual average growth rate of 0.69% over the next 65
years, slower than the growth rate expected by the state as a whole. Between 1960 and 2010,
Oklahoma County grew at an average annual rate of 1.27%. In the coming decades, growth is expected
to gradually shift to neighboring counties. A linear regression trendline indicates a strong level of fit
against historic population trends, and year to year variations against forecast are expected to be
relatively low.
Decennial Census population counts
Oklahoma
85,232
1910
1960
116,307
1920
1970
221,738
1930
1980
244,159
1940
1990
325,352
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
439,506
526,805
568,933
599,611
660,448
2010
718,633
122 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Oklahoma
439,506
551,100
1960
1973
1986
454,700
546,900
1961
1974
1987
468,200
549,900
1962
1975
1988
474,600
552,300
1963
1976
1989
481,300
554,000
1964
1977
1990
484,500
560,200
1965
1978
1991
491,500
559,700
1966
1979
1992
502,300
568,933
1967
1980
1993
508,900
581,207
1968
1981
1994
519,800
601,966
1969
1982
1995
526,805
619,780
1970
1983
1996
542,600
621,481
1971
1984
1997
549,200
620,966
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
614,469
601,241
599,675
601,066
599,611
606,535
615,216
623,640
631,136
634,374
640,451
646,277
650,289
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
657,182
660,448
665,401
672,324
676,646
679,913
685,871
693,007
699,523
706,116
716,704
718,633
732,371
Population projections
Oklahoma
732,712
811,395
2012
2028
737,630
816,312
2013
2029
742,547
821,230
2014
2030
747,465
826,148
2015
2031
752,383
831,065
2016
2032
757,300
835,983
2017
2033
762,218
840,901
2018
2034
767,136
845,818
2019
2035
772,053
850,736
2020
2036
776,971
855,654
2021
2037
781,889
860,571
2022
2038
786,806
865,489
2023
2039
791,724
870,407
2024
2040
796,642
875,324
2025
2041
801,559
880,242
2026
2042
806,477
885,160
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
890,078
894,995
899,913
904,831
909,748
914,666
919,584
924,501
929,419
934,337
939,254
944,172
949,090
954,007
958,925
963,843
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
968,760
973,678
978,596
983,513
988,431
993,349
998,266
1,003,184
1,008,102
1,013,019
1,017,937
1,022,855
1,027,772
1,032,690
1,037,608
1,042,525
123 | P a g e
Okmulgee County
Okmulgee County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
55,072
56,558
50,101
50,000
44,561
39,685
36,945 35,358 39,169 36,490
40,000
40,069
30,000
21,115
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Okmulgee County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Okmulgee Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Okmulgee Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Okmulgee County is forecast to see a low annual growth rate, averaging 0.17% between now and 2075.
This is equal to the average annual growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Volatility in
population levels over the past 50 years mean that the trendline’s fit against actual results is strong but
not without up and down swings. Year to year variation from long term population forecasts are
expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Okmulgee
21,115
1910
1960
55,072
1920
1970
56,558
1930
1980
50,101
1940
1990
44,561
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
36,945
35,358
39,169
36,490
39,685
2010
40,069
124 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Okmulgee
36,945
37,400
1960
1973
37,100
37,000
1961
1974
37,200
36,900
1962
1975
36,900
37,500
1963
1976
36,400
38,300
1964
1977
35,900
38,200
1965
1978
35,700
38,700
1966
1979
35,700
39,169
1967
1980
35,400
39,858
1968
1981
35,400
39,882
1969
1982
35,358
40,595
1970
1983
36,100
39,732
1971
1984
36,100
39,285
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
39,183
38,976
37,562
36,814
36,490
36,607
37,031
37,585
37,756
38,056
38,389
39,259
39,490
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
39,680
39,685
39,580
39,515
39,582
39,548
39,332
39,156
39,269
39,100
39,292
40,069
39,937
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
42,212
42,283
42,353
42,424
42,495
42,566
42,636
42,707
42,778
42,849
42,920
42,990
43,061
43,132
43,203
43,274
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
43,344
43,415
43,486
43,557
43,628
43,698
43,769
43,840
43,911
43,981
44,052
44,123
44,194
44,265
44,335
44,406
Population projections
Okmulgee
39,946
41,079
2012
2028
40,017
41,150
2013
2029
40,088
41,221
2014
2030
40,159
41,291
2015
2031
40,230
41,362
2016
2032
40,300
41,433
2017
2033
40,371
41,504
2018
2034
40,442
41,575
2019
2035
40,513
41,645
2020
2036
40,584
41,716
2021
2037
40,654
41,787
2022
2038
40,725
41,858
2023
2039
40,796
41,929
2024
2040
40,867
41,999
2025
2041
40,938
42,070
2026
2042
41,008
42,141
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
125 | P a g e
Osage County
Osage County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
80,000
60,000
47,472
47,334
41,502
40,000
36,536
41,645
44,437
39,327
33,071 32,441 29,750
20,101
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Osage County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Osage Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Osage Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Osage County is forecast to have a 0.79% average annual growth rate, slightly higher than the expected
state rate between now and 2075. However, this is slightly below the county’s 0.93% average annual
growth rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Population volatility in the 1960s and 1970s helped
to lower the linear regression trendline’s overall fit, but year to year variation against the long term
population forecast is not expected to be high.
Decennial Census population counts
Osage
20,101
1910
1960
36,536
1920
1970
47,334
1930
1980
41,502
1940
1990
33,071
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
32,441
29,750
39,327
41,645
44,437
2010
47,472
126 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Osage
32,441
29,700
1960
1973
32,400
31,200
1961
1974
32,400
32,900
1962
1975
32,000
34,100
1963
1976
31,500
35,100
1964
1977
30,900
36,500
1965
1978
30,500
38,100
1966
1979
30,400
39,327
1967
1980
30,000
39,612
1968
1981
29,900
41,962
1969
1982
29,750
43,560
1970
1983
30,000
42,791
1971
1984
29,900
42,843
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
43,450
42,174
41,552
41,793
41,645
41,861
42,417
43,065
43,010
43,071
43,178
43,429
43,985
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
44,213
44,437
44,938
44,877
44,842
44,773
44,952
44,933
45,269
45,203
45,051
47,472
47,425
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
60,547
60,914
61,280
61,647
62,014
62,381
62,747
63,114
63,481
63,848
64,214
64,581
64,948
65,315
65,681
66,048
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
66,415
66,782
67,148
67,515
67,882
68,249
68,615
68,982
69,349
69,716
70,082
70,449
70,816
71,183
71,549
71,916
Population projections
Osage
48,811
54,679
2012
2028
49,178
55,046
2013
2029
49,545
55,413
2014
2030
49,911
55,779
2015
2031
50,278
56,146
2016
2032
50,645
56,513
2017
2033
51,012
56,880
2018
2034
51,378
57,246
2019
2035
51,745
57,613
2020
2036
52,112
57,980
2021
2037
52,479
58,347
2022
2038
52,845
58,713
2023
2039
53,212
59,080
2024
2040
53,579
59,447
2025
2041
53,946
59,814
2026
2042
54,312
60,180
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
127 | P a g e
Ottawa County
Ottawa County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
45000
41,108
38,542
35,849
37500
32,870
32,218
28,301
30000
29,800
30,561
33,194 31,848
22500
15,713
15000
7500
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Ottawa County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Ottawa Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Ottawa Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Ottawa County is forecast to have a 0.20% average annual growth rate between now and 2075. This is
only slightly below the 0.25% average annual growth rate experienced since 1960. A linear regression
trendline based on the last half century of data indicates a fair level of fit, though there have been some
population swings up and down during that time. For that reason it is expected that there will be year
to year variation from specific population forecasts, but the overall trend will continue on its current
path.
Decennial Census population counts
Ottawa
15,713
1910
1960
41,108
1920
1970
38,542
1930
1980
35,849
1940
1990
32,218
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
28,301
29,800
32,870
30,561
33,194
2010
31,848
128 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Ottawa
28,301
30,500
1960
1973
28,800
31,000
1961
1974
29,200
31,200
1962
1975
29,200
31,900
1963
1976
29,100
32,300
1964
1977
28,900
32,700
1965
1978
29,000
32,800
1966
1979
29,300
32,870
1967
1980
29,300
32,652
1968
1981
29,600
32,859
1969
1982
29,800
33,584
1970
1983
30,400
33,375
1971
1984
30,200
33,147
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
32,604
31,694
31,133
30,656
30,561
30,702
30,776
30,977
31,439
31,830
31,856
32,251
32,710
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
32,869
33,194
33,039
32,625
32,411
32,388
32,475
32,757
32,234
31,644
31,629
31,848
31,860
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
33,917
33,982
34,047
34,111
34,176
34,240
34,305
34,370
34,434
34,499
34,564
34,628
34,693
34,757
34,822
34,887
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
34,951
35,016
35,080
35,145
35,210
35,274
35,339
35,404
35,468
35,533
35,597
35,662
35,727
35,791
35,856
35,920
Population projections
Ottawa
31,850
32,884
2012
2028
31,914
32,948
2013
2029
31,979
33,013
2014
2030
32,044
33,077
2015
2031
32,108
33,142
2016
2032
32,173
33,207
2017
2033
32,237
33,271
2018
2034
32,302
33,336
2019
2035
32,367
33,400
2020
2036
32,431
33,465
2021
2037
32,496
33,530
2022
2038
32,561
33,594
2023
2039
32,625
33,659
2024
2040
32,690
33,724
2025
2041
32,754
33,788
2026
2042
32,819
33,853
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
129 | P a g e
Pawnee County
Pawnee County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
30000
25000
19,126 19,882
20000
17,332
16,612 16,577
17,395
15,310
15000
13,616
15,575
11,338
10,884
10000
5000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Pawnee County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Pawnee Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Pawnee Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Pawnee County is forecast to experience a 0.78% average annual rate of population growth between
now and 2075. This is virtually equal to the state’s 0.73% average annual growth forecast. A linear
regression trendline based on the county’s growth history since 1960 indicates a good fit, though year to
year variation is to be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Pawnee
17,332
1910
1960
19,126
1920
1970
19,882
1930
1980
17,395
1940
1990
13,616
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
10,884
11,338
15,310
15,575
16,612
2010
16,577
130 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Pawnee
10,884
12,400
1960
1973
11,000
12,700
1961
1974
11,200
13,100
1962
1975
11,200
13,400
1963
1976
11,100
13,800
1964
1977
11,000
14,200
1965
1978
11,000
15,300
1966
1979
11,100
15,310
1967
1980
11,200
15,771
1968
1981
11,300
15,956
1969
1982
11,338
16,636
1970
1983
11,600
16,449
1971
1984
12,100
16,602
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
16,480
16,394
15,783
15,656
15,575
15,503
15,581
15,652
15,709
15,773
15,925
16,084
16,240
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
16,381
16,612
16,765
16,732
16,616
16,472
16,470
16,512
16,490
16,310
16,419
16,577
16,730
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
20,900
21,030
21,160
21,290
21,420
21,550
21,680
21,810
21,940
22,070
22,200
22,330
22,460
22,590
22,720
22,850
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
22,980
23,109
23,239
23,369
23,499
23,629
23,759
23,889
24,019
24,149
24,279
24,409
24,539
24,669
24,799
24,929
Population projections
Pawnee
16,742
18,821
2012
2028
16,872
18,951
2013
2029
17,002
19,081
2014
2030
17,132
19,211
2015
2031
17,261
19,341
2016
2032
17,391
19,471
2017
2033
17,521
19,601
2018
2034
17,651
19,731
2019
2035
17,781
19,861
2020
2036
17,911
19,991
2021
2037
18,041
20,121
2022
2038
18,171
20,250
2023
2039
18,301
20,380
2024
2040
18,431
20,510
2025
2041
18,561
20,640
2026
2042
18,691
20,770
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
131 | P a g e
Payne County
Payne County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
120,000
100,000
77,350
80,000
68,190
62,435
60,000
40,000
61,507
50,654
36,905 36,057
46,430 44,231
30,180
23,735
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Payne County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Payne Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Payne Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Payne County is forecast to show a 0.84% average annual population growth rate for the next 65 years,
slightly above the average annual growth rate projected for the state as a whole. With a strong fit
indicated by the linear regression trendline, the county’s population growth pattern is expected to show
slight year to year variation over the long term.
Decennial Census population counts
Payne
23,735
1910
1960
30,180
1920
1970
36,905
1930
1980
36,057
1940
1990
46,430
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
44,231
50,654
62,435
61,507
68,190
2010
77,350
132 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Payne
44,231
54,300
1960
1973
45,500
55,900
1961
1974
46,700
55,800
1962
1975
47,200
58,000
1963
1976
47,500
59,000
1964
1977
47,500
60,500
1965
1978
47,900
61,400
1966
1979
48,700
62,435
1967
1980
49,200
63,074
1968
1981
50,000
65,104
1969
1982
50,654
65,981
1970
1983
52,800
65,404
1971
1984
55,300
64,394
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
63,668
62,839
62,282
61,806
61,507
61,789
62,872
63,809
64,132
64,803
65,161
66,320
66,837
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
68,039
68,190
71,437
72,926
74,873
76,044
76,144
79,741
78,326
78,733
79,727
77,350
77,988
Population projections
Payne
79,195
89,486
2012
2028
79,838
90,129
2013
2029
80,481
90,773
2014
2030
81,125
91,416
2015
2031
81,768
92,059
2016
2032
82,411
92,702
2017
2033
83,054
93,345
2018
2034
83,697
93,989
2019
2035
84,341
94,632
2020
2036
84,984
95,275
2021
2037
85,627
95,918
2022
2038
86,270
96,561
2023
2039
86,913
97,205
2024
2040
87,557
97,848
2025
2041
88,200
98,491
2026
2042
88,843
99,134
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
99,777
100,421
101,064
101,707
102,350
102,993
103,637
104,280
104,923
105,566
106,209
106,853
107,496
108,139
108,782
109,425
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
110,069
110,712
111,355
111,998
112,641
113,285
113,928
114,571
115,214
115,857
116,501
117,144
117,787
118,430
119,073
119,717
133 | P a g e
Pittsburg County
Pittsburg County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
52,570
47,650
50,778
48,985
45,000
43,953
40,524
41,031
45,837
40,581
37,521
34,360
30,000
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Pittsburg County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Pittsburg Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Pittsburg Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Pittsburg County’s average annual growth rate is forecast to be 0.43% between now and 2075, a slight
reduction in the 0.67% rate experienced between 1960 and 2010. Over the last 50 years, the county has
shown steady growth, with a small degree of variation from the overall trend. The county’s linear
regression trendline shows strong level of fit, so year to year variation is expected to remain relatively
slight.
Decennial Census population counts
Pittsburg
47,650
1910
1960
52,570
1920
1970
50,778
1930
1980
48,985
1940
1990
41,031
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
34,360
37,521
40,524
40,581
43,953
2010
45,837
134 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Pittsburg
34,360
39,100
1960
1973
35,000
39,300
1961
1974
35,600
39,400
1962
1975
35,700
40,900
1963
1976
35,700
40,900
1964
1977
35,700
40,900
1965
1978
36,000
40,800
1966
1979
36,400
40,524
1967
1980
36,700
39,931
1968
1981
37,200
40,566
1969
1982
37,521
42,307
1970
1983
38,300
42,269
1971
1984
39,000
42,288
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
42,160
41,492
40,764
40,651
40,581
41,583
42,367
42,920
43,219
43,501
43,470
43,366
43,428
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
43,836
43,953
43,349
43,767
43,688
43,639
43,910
44,249
44,423
44,776
45,211
45,837
45,625
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
52,509
52,707
52,905
53,103
53,301
53,500
53,698
53,896
54,094
54,292
54,490
54,688
54,886
55,084
55,282
55,480
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
55,678
55,876
56,074
56,272
56,470
56,668
56,866
57,064
57,262
57,460
57,658
57,856
58,054
58,252
58,450
58,648
Population projections
Pittsburg
46,173
49,341
2012
2028
46,371
49,539
2013
2029
46,569
49,737
2014
2030
46,767
49,935
2015
2031
46,965
50,133
2016
2032
47,163
50,331
2017
2033
47,361
50,529
2018
2034
47,559
50,727
2019
2035
47,757
50,925
2020
2036
47,955
51,123
2021
2037
48,153
51,321
2022
2038
48,351
51,519
2023
2039
48,549
51,717
2024
2040
48,747
51,915
2025
2041
48,945
52,113
2026
2042
49,143
52,311
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
135 | P a g e
Pontotoc County
Pontotoc County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
50,000
39,792
40,000
32,469
30,949
32,598
30,875 28,089
27,867
34,119
35,143
37,492
30,000
24,331
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Pontotoc County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Pontotoc Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Pontotoc Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Pontotoc County is expected to have a 0.52% average annual growth rate through 2075. This is slightly
below the historic average annual growth rate of 0.67% but mirrors an expected slowdown nationally
and statewide. A linear trendline drawn from the last 50 years of population growth shows a strong fit,
with year to year variation expected to be relatively low.,
Decennial Census population counts
Pontotoc
24,331
1910
1960
30,949
1920
1970
32,469
1930
1980
39,792
1940
1990
30,875
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
28,089
27,867
32,598
34,119
35,143
2010
37,492
136 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Pontotoc
28,089
29,800
1960
1973
28,400
30,400
1961
1974
28,600
30,300
1962
1975
28,500
31,000
1963
1976
28,300
31,500
1964
1977
27,900
31,500
1965
1978
27,800
32,300
1966
1979
27,900
32,598
1967
1980
27,800
33,146
1968
1981
27,800
33,891
1969
1982
27,867
34,836
1970
1983
28,800
35,002
1971
1984
29,500
35,207
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
34,972
35,030
34,353
34,175
34,119
34,080
34,022
34,094
34,382
34,818
35,233
34,965
35,017
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
34,993
35,143
34,917
35,010
35,146
35,234
35,439
35,721
36,411
36,948
37,422
37,492
37,799
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
44,205
44,400
44,595
44,789
44,984
45,179
45,374
45,569
45,764
45,959
46,154
46,349
46,544
46,739
46,934
47,129
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
47,324
47,518
47,713
47,908
48,103
48,298
48,493
48,688
48,883
49,078
49,273
49,468
49,663
49,858
50,053
50,247
Population projections
Pontotoc
37,967
41,086
2012
2028
38,162
41,281
2013
2029
38,357
41,476
2014
2030
38,552
41,671
2015
2031
38,747
41,866
2016
2032
38,942
42,060
2017
2033
39,137
42,255
2018
2034
39,331
42,450
2019
2035
39,526
42,645
2020
2036
39,721
42,840
2021
2037
39,916
43,035
2022
2038
40,111
43,230
2023
2039
40,306
43,425
2024
2040
40,501
43,620
2025
2041
40,696
43,815
2026
2042
40,891
44,010
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
137 | P a g e
Pottawatomie County
Pottawatomie County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
120,000
100,000
80,000
69,442
66,572
58,760
60,000
46,028
54,377
43,595
65,521
55,239
43,134
43,517
41,486
40,000
20,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Pottawatomie County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Pottawatomie Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Pottawatomie Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Pottawatomie County is forecast to see a 0.89% average annual growth rate between now and 2075.
The county has experienced continued growth over most of the last 50 years, with the pace of growth
being the steadiest over the last 20 years. A linear regression line drawn over this time period shows a
strong level of fit so year to year variations are expected to be relatively slight.
Decennial Census population counts
Pottawatomie
43,595
1910
1960
46,028
1920
1970
66,572
1930
1980
54,377
1940
1990
43,517
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
41,486
43,134
55,239
58,760
65,521
2010
69,442
138 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Pottawatomie
41,486
47,700
1960
1973
42,200
49,400
1961
1974
42,800
50,500
1962
1975
42,800
51,500
1963
1976
42,600
52,600
1964
1977
42,300
53,100
1965
1978
42,300
53,800
1966
1979
42,600
55,239
1967
1980
42,600
57,218
1968
1981
42,900
59,025
1969
1982
43,134
61,186
1970
1983
44,200
62,354
1971
1984
46,100
62,567
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
61,787
60,666
59,433
58,801
58,760
59,002
59,677
60,632
60,789
61,635
62,559
62,517
63,789
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
64,861
65,521
66,271
66,614
67,544
67,405
67,707
68,162
69,170
69,464
70,274
69,442
70,280
Population projections
Pottawatomie
70,986
80,836
2012
2028
71,602
81,451
2013
2029
72,217
82,067
2014
2030
72,833
82,682
2015
2031
73,448
83,298
2016
2032
74,064
83,914
2017
2033
74,680
84,529
2018
2034
75,295
85,145
2019
2035
75,911
85,761
2020
2036
76,526
86,376
2021
2037
77,142
86,992
2022
2038
77,758
87,607
2023
2039
78,373
88,223
2024
2040
78,989
88,839
2025
2041
79,604
89,454
2026
2042
80,220
90,070
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
90,685
91,301
91,917
92,532
93,148
93,763
94,379
94,995
95,610
96,226
96,841
97,457
98,073
98,688
99,304
99,919
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
100,535
101,151
101,766
102,382
102,997
103,613
104,229
104,844
105,460
106,075
106,691
107,307
107,922
108,538
109,153
109,769
139 | P a g e
Pushmataha County
Pushmataha County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
19,466
17,514
16,000
14,744
12,001
11,773
10,997
12,000
10,118
9,088
11,667 11,572
9,385
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Pushmataha County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Pushmataha Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Pushmataha Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Pushmataha County is forecast to experience a 0.47% average annual growth rate between now and
2075, similar to the 0.55% average annual rate experienced over the last 50 years. A linear trendline
drawn over the time period indicates a strong level of fit but year to year volatility in these projections
can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Pushmataha
10,118
1910
1960
17,514
1920
1970
14,744
1930
1980
19,466
1940
1990
12,001
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
9,088
9,385
11,773
10,997
11,667
2010
11,572
140 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Pushmataha
9,088
10,000
1960
1973
1986
9,200
10,400
1961
1974
1987
9,300
10,700
1962
1975
1988
9,300
10,900
1963
1976
1989
9,300
11,200
1964
1977
1990
9,200
11,300
1965
1978
1991
9,200
11,400
1966
1979
1992
9,300
11,773
1967
1980
1993
9,300
11,971
1968
1981
1994
9,300
11,667
1969
1982
1995
9,385
11,705
1970
1983
1996
9,500
11,820
1971
1984
1997
9,600
11,864
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
11,632
11,219
11,126
11,125
10,997
10,992
11,011
11,164
11,287
11,417
11,663
11,564
11,532
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,655
11,667
11,653
11,607
11,535
11,559
11,467
11,517
11,624
11,672
11,812
11,572
11,478
13,457
13,510
13,562
13,615
13,668
13,721
13,773
13,826
13,879
13,932
13,985
14,037
14,090
14,143
14,196
14,248
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
14,301
14,354
14,407
14,460
14,512
14,565
14,618
14,671
14,723
14,776
14,829
14,882
14,934
14,987
15,040
15,093
Population projections
Pushmataha
11,768
12,612
2012
2028
11,821
12,665
2013
2029
11,874
12,718
2014
2030
11,926
12,771
2015
2031
11,979
12,824
2016
2032
12,032
12,876
2017
2033
12,085
12,929
2018
2034
12,138
12,982
2019
2035
12,190
13,035
2020
2036
12,243
13,087
2021
2037
12,296
13,140
2022
2038
12,349
13,193
2023
2039
12,401
13,246
2024
2040
12,454
13,299
2025
2041
12,507
13,351
2026
2042
12,560
13,404
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
141 | P a g e
Roger Mills County
Roger Mills County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
15,000
14,164
12,861
12,500
10,638
10,736
10,000
7,395
7,500
5,090
4,452
5,000
4,799
4,147
3,436
3,647
2,500
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Roger Mills County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Roger Mills Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Roger Mills Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Roger Mills County is forecast to experience an average annual decline in population of -0.46% over the
next 65 years. The rate of decline is expected to be most pronounced in the short term, with the rate of
longer term population decline expected to gradually slow. A power regression trendline based on
historic population data indicates a fair degree of fit but some variation from year to year population
forecasts can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Roger Mills
12,861
1910
1960
10,638
1920
1970
14,164
1930
1980
10,736
1940
1990
7,395
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
5,090
4,452
4,799
4,147
3,436
2010
3,647
142 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Roger Mills
5,090
4,200
1960
1973
5,100
4,000
1961
1974
5,100
3,900
1962
1975
5,000
4,000
1963
1976
4,900
3,900
1964
1977
4,800
3,900
1965
1978
4,700
4,300
1966
1979
4,700
4,799
1967
1980
4,600
5,529
1968
1981
4,500
6,001
1969
1982
4,452
6,006
1970
1983
4,400
5,590
1971
1984
4,200
5,168
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
5,001
4,707
4,420
4,302
4,147
4,081
3,959
3,904
3,789
3,735
3,663
3,502
3,488
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
3,483
3,436
3,310
3,195
3,154
3,212
3,261
3,241
3,273
3,370
3,407
3,647
3,702
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
2,900
2,887
2,874
2,862
2,849
2,836
2,824
2,812
2,800
2,788
2,776
2,765
2,753
2,742
2,731
2,720
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
2,709
2,698
2,687
2,676
2,666
2,655
2,645
2,635
2,624
2,614
2,605
2,595
2,585
2,575
2,566
2,556
Population projections
Roger Mills
3,421
3,132
2012
2028
3,401
3,116
2013
2029
3,381
3,101
2014
2030
3,361
3,085
2015
2031
3,342
3,070
2016
2032
3,323
3,055
2017
2033
3,305
3,040
2018
2034
3,286
3,025
2019
2035
3,268
3,010
2020
2036
3,250
2,996
2021
2037
3,233
2,982
2022
2038
3,215
2,968
2023
2039
3,198
2,954
2024
2040
3,181
2,940
2025
2041
3,165
2,927
2026
2042
3,148
2,913
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
143 | P a g e
Rogers County
Rogers County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
200,000
160,000
120,000
86,905
70,641
80,000
46,436
55,170
28,425
40,000
17,736 17,605
18,956 21,078 19,532 20,614
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Rogers County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Rogers Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Rogers Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Rogers County is forecast to experience a 1.53% average annual growth rate over the coming 65 years,
double the rate of growth forecast for the state as a whole. A linear regression trendline based on
historic population data indicates a strong fit and year to year variation in population forecasts are
expected to be relatively slight.
Decennial Census population counts
Rogers
17,736
1910
1960
17,605
1920
1970
18,956
1930
1980
21,078
1940
1990
19,532
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
20,614
28,425
46,436
55,170
70,641
2010
86,905
144 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Rogers
20,614
32,800
1960
1973
21,800
34,400
1961
1974
22,800
36,100
1962
1975
23,400
38,100
1963
1976
23,900
40,000
1964
1977
24,400
41,800
1965
1978
25,000
45,200
1966
1979
26,000
46,436
1967
1980
26,700
48,443
1968
1981
27,700
51,241
1969
1982
28,425
53,511
1970
1983
29,300
53,917
1971
1984
30,800
54,878
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
55,101
55,067
54,425
54,558
55,170
56,412
57,522
59,194
60,098
61,246
62,692
64,563
66,778
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
68,884
70,641
72,974
74,960
76,890
78,565
79,669
81,476
83,188
84,464
85,654
86,905
87,706
Population projections
Rogers
87,842
109,501
2012
2028
89,196
110,854
2013
2029
90,550
112,208
2014
2030
91,903
113,562
2015
2031
93,257
114,915
2016
2032
94,611
116,269
2017
2033
95,964
117,623
2018
2034
97,318
118,976
2019
2035
98,672
120,330
2020
2036
100,025
121,684
2021
2037
101,379
123,037
2022
2038
102,732
124,391
2023
2039
104,086
125,745
2024
2040
105,440
127,098
2025
2041
106,793
128,452
2026
2042
108,147
129,806
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
131,159
132,513
133,866
135,220
136,574
137,927
139,281
140,635
141,988
143,342
144,696
146,049
147,403
148,757
150,110
151,464
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
152,818
154,171
155,525
156,879
158,232
159,586
160,940
162,293
163,647
165,001
166,354
167,708
169,061
170,415
171,769
173,122
145 | P a g e
Seminole County
Seminole County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
90,000
79,621
75,000
61,201
60,000
45,000
40,672
28,066
30,000
25,144
23,808
27,473
25,482
25,412
24,894
19,964
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Seminole County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Seminole Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Seminole Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Seminole County is forecast to have a slight population decline over the next 65 years, with an average
annual rate of decline of -0.31% between now and 2075. This is slightly higher than the -0.18% average
annual rate of decline experienced over the last 50 years, where the decline has consistently been
gradual but clear. A linear trendline drawn on the past 50 years of population history indicates a fair
degree of fit, with some degree of year to year variation from projections expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Seminole
19,964
1910
1960
23,808
1920
1970
79,621
1930
1980
61,201
1940
1990
40,672
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
28,066
25,144
27,473
25,412
24,894
2010
25,482
146 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Seminole
28,066
26,800
1960
1973
28,000
26,900
1961
1974
28,100
27,500
1962
1975
27,600
27,500
1963
1976
27,100
27,300
1964
1977
26,500
27,100
1965
1978
26,200
26,800
1966
1979
26,000
27,473
1967
1980
25,600
27,613
1968
1981
25,400
28,473
1969
1982
25,144
28,767
1970
1983
25,500
28,552
1971
1984
26,600
28,577
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
28,351
27,249
26,444
25,922
25,412
24,994
24,813
24,983
25,142
25,158
25,122
25,260
25,051
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
24,902
24,894
24,497
24,193
24,093
24,180
24,119
24,109
24,025
24,110
24,296
25,482
25,292
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
22,339
22,275
22,211
22,147
22,082
22,018
21,954
21,889
21,825
21,761
21,696
21,632
21,568
21,504
21,439
21,375
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
21,311
21,246
21,182
21,118
21,053
20,989
20,925
20,860
20,796
20,732
20,668
20,603
20,539
20,475
20,410
20,346
Population projections
Seminole
24,397
23,368
2012
2028
24,333
23,304
2013
2029
24,269
23,240
2014
2030
24,204
23,175
2015
2031
24,140
23,111
2016
2032
24,076
23,047
2017
2033
24,011
22,982
2018
2034
23,947
22,918
2019
2035
23,883
22,854
2020
2036
23,818
22,790
2021
2037
23,754
22,725
2022
2038
23,690
22,661
2023
2039
23,625
22,597
2024
2040
23,561
22,532
2025
2041
23,497
22,468
2026
2042
23,433
22,404
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
147 | P a g e
Sequoyah County
Sequoyah County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
90,000
75,000
60,000
42,391
45,000
38,972
30,749
26,786
30,000
25,005
23,138
19,505
19,773
33,828
23,370
18,001
15,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Sequoyah County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Sequoyah Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Sequoyah Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Sequoyah County is forecast to experience an average annual growth rate of 1.10% over the next 65
years. A review of the past 50 years of population growth for the county yields a linear regression
formula with a strong level of fit. Year to year variation from forecasts are expected, but should be
relatively slight over the long term.
Decennial Census population counts
Sequoyah
25,005
1910
1960
26,786
1920
1970
19,505
1930
1980
23,138
1940
1990
19,773
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
18,001
23,370
30,749
33,828
38,972
2010
42,391
148 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Sequoyah
18,001
25,100
1960
1973
18,800
26,500
1961
1974
19,400
27,500
1962
1975
19,900
28,100
1963
1976
20,300
29,000
1964
1977
20,700
29,600
1965
1978
21,100
30,700
1966
1979
21,800
30,749
1967
1980
22,200
30,840
1968
1981
22,900
30,997
1969
1982
23,370
32,046
1970
1983
24,100
32,789
1971
1984
24,400
33,191
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
33,574
34,119
33,742
33,818
33,828
34,149
34,755
35,167
35,471
36,368
37,119
37,654
38,293
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
38,661
38,972
39,228
39,401
39,634
40,064
40,204
40,728
40,975
41,089
41,433
42,391
42,341
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
57,818
58,299
58,780
59,261
59,742
60,223
60,704
61,185
61,667
62,148
62,629
63,110
63,591
64,072
64,553
65,034
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
65,515
65,996
66,477
66,958
67,439
67,920
68,401
68,882
69,363
69,844
70,325
70,806
71,287
71,768
72,249
72,730
Population projections
Sequoyah
42,425
50,122
2012
2028
42,906
50,603
2013
2029
43,387
51,084
2014
2030
43,868
51,565
2015
2031
44,349
52,046
2016
2032
44,831
52,527
2017
2033
45,312
53,008
2018
2034
45,793
53,489
2019
2035
46,274
53,970
2020
2036
46,755
54,451
2021
2037
47,236
54,932
2022
2038
47,717
55,413
2023
2039
48,198
55,894
2024
2040
48,679
56,375
2025
2041
49,160
56,856
2026
2042
49,641
57,337
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
149 | P a g e
Stephens County
Stephens County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
60,000
50,000
43,419
37,990
35,902
40,000
30,000
42,299
43,182
45,048
33,069 31,090 34,071
24,692
22,252
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Stephens County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Stephens Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Stephens Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Stephens County is forecast to experience a gradual rate of population growth, averaging 0.34%
annually. This is nearly identical to the county’s historic average annual growth rate of 0.37%. Strong
growth in the 1970s and early 1980s, offset by a declining population level in the late 1980s, combine to
reduce level of fit for a linear regression formula based on the last 50 years of population trends. Year
to year variation from forecasts are likely, but the long term trend of population growth is expected to
continue.
Decennial Census population counts
Stephens
22,252
1910
1960
24,692
1920
1970
33,069
1930
1980
31,090
1940
1990
34,071
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
37,990
35,902
43,419
42,299
43,182
2010
45,048
150 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Stephens
37,990
37,500
1960
1973
38,200
37,700
1961
1974
38,400
38,100
1962
1975
38,000
39,200
1963
1976
37,600
40,000
1964
1977
36,900
40,800
1965
1978
36,500
42,400
1966
1979
36,500
43,419
1967
1980
36,200
44,601
1968
1981
36,000
46,669
1969
1982
35,902
47,139
1970
1983
36,700
45,594
1971
1984
37,500
45,136
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
44,375
43,157
42,525
42,901
42,299
42,790
43,098
43,106
43,299
43,000
43,383
43,583
43,808
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
43,344
43,182
42,623
42,460
42,255
42,446
42,544
42,751
43,148
43,351
43,487
45,048
45,197
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
50,377
50,530
50,684
50,837
50,990
51,143
51,296
51,449
51,602
51,755
51,909
52,062
52,215
52,368
52,521
52,674
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
52,827
52,980
53,134
53,287
53,440
53,593
53,746
53,899
54,052
54,205
54,359
54,512
54,665
54,818
54,971
55,124
Population projections
Stephens
45,477
47,927
2012
2028
45,630
48,080
2013
2029
45,784
48,234
2014
2030
45,937
48,387
2015
2031
46,090
48,540
2016
2032
46,243
48,693
2017
2033
46,396
48,846
2018
2034
46,549
48,999
2019
2035
46,702
49,152
2020
2036
46,855
49,305
2021
2037
47,009
49,459
2022
2038
47,162
49,612
2023
2039
47,315
49,765
2024
2040
47,468
49,918
2025
2041
47,621
50,071
2026
2042
47,774
50,224
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
151 | P a g e
Texas County
Texas County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
30,000
25,000
20,107
20,000
17,727
16,352
15,000
20,640
14,100
14,249
13,975
16,419
14,235 14,162
9,896
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Texas County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Texas Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Texas Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Texas County is forecast to experience an average annual population growth rate of 0.54% over the next
65 years. A steep drop in population experienced in the late 1980s was offset by a rapid increase in
population over the 1990s. That shift in population reduces the overall fit of the county’s linear
regression trendline, but outside of that time period, the match remains strong. Some year to year
population variation from forecasts may be expected, but the long term growth trend is expected to
continue.
Decennial Census population counts
Texas
14,249
1910
1960
13,975
1920
1970
14,100
1930
1980
9,896
1940
1990
14,235
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
14,162
16,352
17,727
16,419
20,107
2010
20,640
152 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Texas
14,162
17,200
1960
1973
14,600
17,900
1961
1974
14,900
18,100
1962
1975
15,100
18,200
1963
1976
15,200
18,300
1964
1977
15,200
18,000
1965
1978
15,400
17,700
1966
1979
15,700
17,727
1967
1980
15,800
17,967
1968
1981
16,100
17,990
1969
1982
16,352
18,676
1970
1983
16,700
18,630
1971
1984
16,900
18,404
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
18,271
18,154
17,227
16,457
16,419
16,388
16,454
16,430
16,817
17,313
18,272
19,082
19,791
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
19,878
20,107
20,113
20,014
19,847
20,198
20,021
20,096
20,151
20,573
21,135
20,640
21,312
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
24,572
24,678
24,784
24,891
24,997
25,103
25,210
25,316
25,423
25,529
25,635
25,742
25,848
25,955
26,061
26,167
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
26,274
26,380
26,487
26,593
26,699
26,806
26,912
27,019
27,125
27,231
27,338
27,444
27,551
27,657
27,763
27,870
Population projections
Texas
21,167
22,869
2012
2028
21,273
22,976
2013
2029
21,380
23,082
2014
2030
21,486
23,188
2015
2031
21,592
23,295
2016
2032
21,699
23,401
2017
2033
21,805
23,508
2018
2034
21,912
23,614
2019
2035
22,018
23,720
2020
2036
22,124
23,827
2021
2037
22,231
23,933
2022
2038
22,337
24,040
2023
2039
22,444
24,146
2024
2040
22,550
24,252
2025
2041
22,656
24,359
2026
2042
22,763
24,465
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
153 | P a g e
Tillman County
Tillman County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
30000
24,390
25000
22,433
20,754
20000 18,650
17,598
14,654
15000
12,901
12,398
10,384
9,287
10000
7,992
5000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Tillman County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Tillman Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Tillman Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Tillman County is forecast to experience a continued population decline, averaging -0.55% annually
between now and 2075. The rate of decline is expected to be most pronounced in the short term, with
a gradual slowing in the longer term. Between 1960 and 2010, the county experienced an average
annual rate of decline of -0.91%. A power regression trendline based on that time period yields a strong
fit, with slight year to year variation from forecasts expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Tillman
18,650
1910
1960
22,433
1920
1970
24,390
1930
1980
20,754
1940
1990
17,598
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
14,654
12,901
12,398
10,384
9,287
2010
7,992
154 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Tillman
14,654
12,600
1960
1973
14,600
12,400
1961
1974
14,600
12,400
1962
1975
14,400
12,300
1963
1976
14,100
12,200
1964
1977
13,800
12,100
1965
1978
13,500
12,200
1966
1979
13,400
12,398
1967
1980
13,200
12,132
1968
1981
13,000
12,063
1969
1982
12,901
12,190
1970
1983
12,600
11,749
1971
1984
12,400
11,405
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
11,227
11,346
11,087
10,705
10,384
10,231
10,065
10,034
9,766
9,690
9,615
9,628
9,507
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
6,248
6,205
6,163
6,121
6,080
6,040
6,000
5,961
5,922
5,884
5,846
5,809
5,772
5,735
5,700
5,664
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
9,378
9,287
9,190
8,810
8,747
8,587
8,358
8,259
8,108
7,928
7,796
7,992
8,061
Population projections
Tillman
8,026
7,023
2012
2028
7,955
6,969
2013
2029
7,885
6,916
2014
2030
7,817
6,863
2015
2031
7,749
6,812
2016
2032
7,683
6,761
2017
2033
7,618
6,710
2018
2034
7,554
6,661
2019
2035
7,491
6,612
2020
2036
7,429
6,564
2021
2037
7,368
6,517
2022
2038
7,308
6,471
2023
2039
7,249
6,425
2024
2040
7,191
6,380
2025
2041
7,135
6,335
2026
2042
7,079
6,291
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
5,629
5,595
5,561
5,527
5,494
5,461
5,428
5,396
5,364
5,333
5,302
5,272
5,241
5,211
5,182
5,153
155 | P a g e
Tulsa County
Tulsa County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
1,000,000
800,000
563,299
600,000
470,593
346,038
400,000
401,663
251,686
187,574
200,000
603,403
503,341
193,363
109,023
34,995
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Tulsa County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Tulsa Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Tulsa Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Tulsa County is forecast to have a 0.84% average annual population growth rate over the next 65 years,
slightly above the projected national and statewide growth rates. This is a slowdown compared to
Tulsa’s average annual growth rate of 1.49% from the prior 50 years, but reflects a similar growth
slowdown expected to occur statewide and nationally. A linear regression trendline drawn over the
county’s population history since 1960 shows strong fit.
Decennial Census population counts
Tulsa
34,995
1910
1960
109,023
1920
1970
187,574
1930
1980
193,363
1940
1990
251,686
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
346,038
401,663
470,593
503,341
563,299
2010
603,403
156 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Tulsa
346,038
413,700
1960
1973
1986
356,100
417,600
1961
1974
1987
364,800
424,300
1962
1975
1988
367,800
430,200
1963
1976
1989
370,900
434,300
1964
1977
1990
371,600
439,300
1965
1978
1991
375,800
454,600
1966
1979
1992
383,200
470,593
1967
1980
1993
387,400
482,745
1968
1981
1994
394,700
497,599
1969
1982
1995
401,663
507,078
1970
1983
1996
404,500
506,414
1971
1984
1997
409,700
504,424
1972
1985
1998
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
507,932
505,740
499,454
499,452
503,341
514,116
521,681
526,344
529,054
531,124
537,887
546,009
554,563
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
561,682
563,299
566,789
570,207
569,584
567,695
570,051
577,271
585,407
592,406
601,961
603,403
610,599
775,251
780,379
785,507
790,635
795,763
800,891
806,018
811,146
816,274
821,402
826,530
831,658
836,786
841,913
847,041
852,169
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
857,297
862,425
867,553
872,681
877,809
882,936
888,064
893,192
898,320
903,448
908,576
913,704
918,831
923,959
929,087
934,215
Population projections
Tulsa
611,160
693,205
2012
2028
616,287
698,333
2013
2029
621,415
703,461
2014
2030
626,543
708,589
2015
2031
631,671
713,717
2016
2032
636,799
718,845
2017
2033
641,927
723,973
2018
2034
647,055
729,100
2019
2035
652,183
734,228
2020
2036
657,310
739,356
2021
2037
662,438
744,484
2022
2038
667,566
749,612
2023
2039
672,694
754,740
2024
2040
677,822
759,868
2025
2041
682,950
764,996
2026
2042
688,078
770,123
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
157 | P a g e
Wagoner County
Wagoner County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
150,000
125,000
100,000
73,085
75,000
57,491
41,801
50,000
25,000
47,883
21,642
22,086
21,371 22,428
16,741 15,673 22,163
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Wagoner County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Wagoner Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Wagoner Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Wagoner County is forecast to experience 1.51% average annual growth between now and 2075. This is
double the statewide growth rate forecast for the same period. A linear regression trendline drawn from
historic population data since 1960 indicates a strong level of fit, with slight year to year variation
expected from the overall trend.
Decennial Census population counts
Wagoner
22,086
1910
1960
21,371
1920
1970
22,428
1930
1980
21,642
1940
1990
16,741
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
15,673
22,163
41,801
47,883
57,491
2010
73,085
158 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Wagoner
15,673
27,300
1960
1973
16,600
28,600
1961
1974
17,300
30,500
1962
1975
17,900
32,100
1963
1976
18,400
34,800
1964
1977
18,900
36,800
1965
1978
19,500
39,800
1966
1979
20,200
41,801
1967
1980
20,800
43,449
1968
1981
21,600
44,931
1969
1982
22,163
47,040
1970
1983
23,800
47,739
1971
1984
25,700
47,739
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
47,607
47,831
47,007
47,455
47,883
48,712
49,436
50,708
51,576
52,402
53,575
54,507
55,675
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
56,735
57,491
58,758
60,178
61,085
61,981
63,119
65,071
67,220
69,040
70,394
73,085
74,098
Population projections
Wagoner
74,143
92,136
2012
2028
75,267
93,260
2013
2029
76,392
94,385
2014
2030
77,516
95,509
2015
2031
78,641
96,634
2016
2032
79,766
97,759
2017
2033
80,890
98,883
2018
2034
82,015
100,008
2019
2035
83,139
101,132
2020
2036
84,264
102,257
2021
2037
85,388
103,381
2022
2038
86,513
104,506
2023
2039
87,638
105,631
2024
2040
88,762
106,755
2025
2041
89,887
107,880
2026
2042
91,011
109,004
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
110,129
111,253
112,378
113,503
114,627
115,752
116,876
118,001
119,125
120,250
121,375
122,499
123,624
124,748
125,873
126,997
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
128,122
129,247
130,371
131,496
132,620
133,745
134,869
135,994
137,119
138,243
139,368
140,492
141,617
142,741
143,866
144,991
159 | P a g e
Washington County
Washington County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
70,000
60,000
48,113
50,000
42,347
48,066 48,996
50,976
42,277
40,000
30,559
30,000
32,880
27,002 27,777
17,484
20,000
10,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Washington County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Washington Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Washington Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Washington County is forecast to have an average annual growth rate of 0.37% over the next 65 years.
The county experienced strong population growth in the 1970 and early 1980s, but that growth was
partially offset by population declines over the mid to late1980s. These events combine to reduce the
overall fit for the county’s linear regression trendline. While some year to year variation in population
forecasts can be expected, the long term positive growth trend is expected to continue.
Decennial Census population counts
Washington
17,484
1910
1960
27,002
1920
1970
27,777
1930
1980
30,559
1940
1990
32,880
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
42,347
42,277
48,113
48,066
48,996
2010
50,976
160 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Washington
42,347
41,500
1960
1973
42,800
41,200
1961
1974
43,300
41,800
1962
1975
43,100
42,600
1963
1976
42,700
43,100
1964
1977
42,200
43,700
1965
1978
42,000
46,300
1966
1979
42,200
48,113
1967
1980
42,000
50,626
1968
1981
42,200
52,988
1969
1982
42,277
53,859
1970
1983
41,500
53,098
1971
1984
41,100
52,910
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
51,246
49,057
48,051
47,228
48,066
48,850
48,667
48,094
48,161
48,312
48,425
48,663
48,847
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
49,013
48,996
48,875
48,988
48,911
48,890
48,740
49,058
49,903
50,556
50,706
50,976
51,476
57,478
57,668
57,857
58,047
58,236
58,426
58,615
58,805
58,994
59,184
59,373
59,563
59,752
59,942
60,132
60,321
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
60,511
60,700
60,890
61,079
61,269
61,458
61,648
61,837
62,027
62,217
62,406
62,596
62,785
62,975
63,164
63,354
Population projections
Washington
51,413
54,445
2012
2028
51,602
54,635
2013
2029
51,792
54,824
2014
2030
51,981
55,014
2015
2031
52,171
55,204
2016
2032
52,360
55,393
2017
2033
52,550
55,583
2018
2034
52,739
55,772
2019
2035
52,929
55,962
2020
2036
53,119
56,151
2021
2037
53,308
56,341
2022
2038
53,498
56,530
2023
2039
53,687
56,720
2024
2040
53,877
56,909
2025
2041
54,066
57,099
2026
2042
54,256
57,288
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
161 | P a g e
Washita County
Washita County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Power Trend From 1960 to 2011
30,000
29,435
25,034
25,000
22,237
22,279
20,000
17,657
18,121
13,798
12,141
15,000
11,441
11,508
11,629
10,000
5,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Washita County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Washita Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Washita Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Power Trendline
Washita County is forecast to experience a -0.31% average annual rate of population decline over the
next 65 years. However, the possibility of strong year to year variation is expected based on the strong
population swings experienced in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s. A power regression trendline based on
historic population counts over the last half century shows a weak fit. Because the county’s population
appears to have stabilized over the last two decades, it is possible that the declining trendline
Decennial Census population counts
Washita
25,034
1910
1960
22,237
1920
1970
29,435
1930
1980
22,279
1940
1990
17,657
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
18,121
12,141
13,798
11,441
11,508
2010
11,629
162 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Washita
18,121
11,800
1960
1973
17,500
11,900
1961
1974
17,200
12,400
1962
1975
16,400
12,600
1963
1976
15,800
12,600
1964
1977
15,000
12,800
1965
1978
14,400
13,200
1966
1979
13,900
13,798
1967
1980
13,200
15,362
1968
1981
12,600
17,855
1969
1982
12,141
17,149
1970
1983
9,600
15,188
1971
1984
11,600
14,120
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
13,369
12,549
11,934
11,549
11,441
11,464
11,473
11,387
11,464
11,585
11,558
11,510
11,692
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
11,528
11,508
11,377
11,263
11,226
11,234
11,264
11,465
11,630
11,691
11,813
11,629
11,574
Population projections
Washita
11,496
10,781
2012
2028
11,446
10,741
2013
2029
11,398
10,701
2014
2030
11,350
10,662
2015
2031
11,302
10,623
2016
2032
11,256
10,585
2017
2033
11,210
10,548
2018
2034
11,164
10,510
2019
2035
11,119
10,474
2020
2036
11,075
10,437
2021
2037
11,031
10,401
2022
2038
10,988
10,366
2023
2039
10,946
10,331
2024
2040
10,904
10,296
2025
2041
10,862
10,261
2026
2042
10,821
10,227
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
10,194
10,161
10,128
10,095
10,063
10,031
9,999
9,968
9,937
9,907
9,876
9,846
9,817
9,787
9,758
9,730
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
9,701
9,673
9,645
9,617
9,590
9,562
9,536
9,509
9,482
9,456
9,430
9,405
9,379
9,354
9,329
9,304
163 | P a g e
Woods County
Woods County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
20,000
17,567
16,000
17,005
15,939
14,915 14,526
11,932
12,000
11,920
10,923
9,103
9,089
8,878
8,000
4,000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Woods County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Woods Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Woods Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Woods County is forecast to experience a -0.39% average annual rate of population decline between
now and 2075, a slowing of the of the -0.51% average annual rate of decline experienced since 1960. A
linear regression trendline drawn over the last 50 years of population data indicates a strong level of fit,
with year over year variations from forecasts expected to be small.
Decennial Census population counts
Woods
17,567
1910
1960
15,939
1920
1970
17,005
1930
1980
14,915
1940
1990
14,526
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
11,932
11,920
10,923
9,103
9,089
2010
8,878
164 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Woods
11,932
11,000
1960
1973
12,100
11,000
1961
1974
12,200
11,100
1962
1975
12,100
11,100
1963
1976
12,100
10,700
1964
1977
11,900
10,500
1965
1978
11,900
10,700
1966
1979
11,900
10,923
1967
1980
11,900
10,963
1968
1981
11,900
11,000
1969
1982
11,920
11,145
1970
1983
11,700
10,833
1971
1984
11,000
10,388
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
10,089
9,814
9,382
9,216
9,103
9,078
9,201
9,019
9,045
9,048
9,058
9,028
9,130
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
7,446
7,414
7,383
7,352
7,321
7,291
7,261
7,231
7,202
7,173
7,145
7,116
7,089
7,061
7,034
7,006
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
9,125
9,089
8,846
8,837
8,641
8,566
8,540
8,390
8,471
8,379
8,418
8,878
8,775
Population projections
Woods
8,712
8,010
2012
2028
8,663
7,972
2013
2029
8,615
7,933
2014
2030
8,568
7,895
2015
2031
8,521
7,858
2016
2032
8,475
7,821
2017
2033
8,430
7,785
2018
2034
8,385
7,749
2019
2035
8,341
7,714
2020
2036
8,298
7,679
2021
2037
8,255
7,644
2022
2038
8,213
7,610
2023
2039
8,171
7,576
2024
2040
8,130
7,543
2025
2041
8,090
7,510
2026
2042
8,050
7,478
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
6,980
6,953
6,927
6,901
6,875
6,850
6,825
6,800
6,775
6,751
6,727
6,703
6,679
6,656
6,633
6,610
165 | P a g e
Woodward County
Woodward County
2012 to 2075 Forecast
Based on Linear Trend From 1960 to 2011
30000
25000
21,172
18,976
20,081
18,486
20000
16,592
15,844 16,270 14,383
14,663
15000
15,537
13,902
10000
5000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
0
Woodward County Annual Estimates 1960-2011 (Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division)
Woodward Forecast 2012-2075 (Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce)
Woodward Decennial Census 1910-2010 (Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census)
Linear Trendline
Woodward County is forecast to have a 0.45% average annual rate of population growth between now
and 2075. The county has experienced significant population variation during the last 50 years, with a
peak experienced in the early 1980s, followed by a sharp population decline. The resulting spike
reduces the overall fit of a linear regression trendline, indicating that some year to year population
variation from forecasts can be expected.
Decennial Census population counts
Woodward
16,592
1910
1960
14,663
1920
1970
15,844
1930
1980
16,270
1940
1990
14,383
1950
2000
Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
13,902
15,537
21,172
18,976
18,486
2010
20,081
166 | P a g e
Annual population estimates
Woodward
13,902
15,900
1960
1973
14,200
16,600
1961
1974
14,600
17,100
1962
1975
14,700
18,100
1963
1976
14,700
18,900
1964
1977
14,700
19,600
1965
1978
14,800
20,300
1966
1979
15,100
21,172
1967
1980
15,200
22,829
1968
1981
15,400
25,084
1969
1982
15,537
24,441
1970
1983
15,600
23,034
1971
1984
15,600
22,260
1972
1985
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
21,298
19,887
19,469
19,117
18,976
18,864
18,944
18,745
18,832
18,790
18,693
18,689
18,680
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
18,655
18,486
18,317
18,382
18,416
18,720
18,849
19,016
19,595
19,729
19,959
20,081
20,034
23,032
23,127
23,222
23,316
23,411
23,506
23,600
23,695
23,790
23,884
23,979
24,073
24,168
24,263
24,357
24,452
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
2067
2068
2069
2070
2071
2072
2073
2074
2075
24,547
24,641
24,736
24,831
24,925
25,020
25,115
25,209
25,304
25,398
25,493
25,588
25,682
25,777
25,872
25,966
Population projections
Woodward
20,004
21,518
2012
2028
20,098
21,613
2013
2029
20,193
21,707
2014
2030
20,288
21,802
2015
2031
20,382
21,897
2016
2032
20,477
21,991
2017
2033
20,572
22,086
2018
2034
20,666
22,181
2019
2035
20,761
22,275
2020
2036
20,856
22,370
2021
2037
20,950
22,465
2022
2038
21,045
22,559
2023
2039
21,140
22,654
2024
2040
21,234
22,748
2025
2041
21,329
22,843
2026
2042
21,423
22,938
2027
2043
Source: Oklahoma Department of Commerce
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
167 | P a g e
Appendix 1 – Summary Fertility Rates by County
Source: US Census Bureau’s 2006-2010 American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Table S1301
Geography
Estimate
Oklahoma
Adair
Alfalfa
Atoka
Beaver
Beckham
Blaine
Bryan
Caddo
Canadian
Carter
Cherokee
Choctaw
Cimarron
Cleveland
Coal
Comanche
Cotton
Craig
Creek
Custer
Delaware
Dewey
Ellis
Garfield
Garvin
Grady
Grant
Greer
Harmon
Harper
Haskell
Hughes
Jackson
Jefferson
892,680
5,294
877
2,932
1,213
4,673
2,230
9,873
6,384
27,591
10,802
11,709
3,252
433
67,000
1,188
30,036
1,371
3,223
15,735
6,929
8,650
942
769
13,820
6,131
12,292
951
1,051
583
735
2,713
2,617
6,246
1,408
Women 15 to 50 years
Total
Women with births in the past 12 months
Number
Rate per 1,000 women
Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Error
Error
Error
1,161
52,619
1,438
59
2
67
434
110
82
21
40
60
25
68
30
84
165
82
56
27
33
66
32
54
26
169
393
132
84
29
152
194
66
87
29
134
422
145
43
15
129
447
95
70
15
212
1,896
332
69
12
230
678
191
63
18
221
591
150
50
13
66
203
71
62
22
35
33
26
76
60
237
3,665
391
55
6
56
74
43
62
37
165
2,209
301
74
10
49
149
65
109
48
87
107
71
33
22
126
833
177
53
11
125
591
152
85
22
151
255
107
29
12
34
41
26
44
27
26
39
19
51
25
206
821
223
59
16
102
288
91
47
15
122
876
202
71
17
26
29
23
30
25
73
24
23
23
22
66
67
31
115
54
57
79
47
107
63
53
129
61
48
23
84
208
72
79
28
130
397
128
64
21
40
110
39
78
27
168 | P a g e
Johnston
Kay
Kingfisher
Kiowa
Latimer
Le Flore
Lincoln
Logan
Love
McClain
McCurtain
McIntosh
Major
Marshall
Mayes
Murray
Muskogee
Noble
Nowata
Okfuskee
Oklahoma
Okmulgee
Osage
Ottawa
Pawnee
Payne
Pittsburg
Pontotoc
Pottawatomie
Pushmataha
Roger Mills
Rogers
Seminole
Sequoyah
Stephens
Texas
Tillman
Tulsa
Wagoner
Washington
Washita
Woods
Woodward
2,435
10,197
3,485
2,085
2,526
11,331
7,794
9,783
2,114
7,704
7,560
4,034
1,483
3,119
9,206
2,890
16,844
2,651
2,218
2,394
179,533
8,847
10,378
7,282
3,622
21,973
9,562
9,222
17,117
2,456
693
20,586
5,779
9,744
9,963
4,649
1,763
148,911
16,851
11,331
2,555
1,927
4,430
103
115
81
113
69
136
130
133
95
132
80
106
47
148
107
113
196
115
68
81
469
135
125
79
84
151
122
192
137
60
30
191
113
155
129
90
90
372
132
152
58
138
143
106
720
180
69
113
756
314
672
123
465
464
167
105
213
594
117
1,055
110
214
110
11,816
506
578
423
259
1,058
663
546
781
115
46
802
336
496
499
267
128
8,173
959
482
140
72
234
78
123
83
34
61
138
94
212
70
133
131
92
48
109
169
69
252
67
98
54
807
163
133
91
98
251
141
137
156
48
25
173
111
129
163
93
72
598
207
151
51
55
94
44
71
52
33
45
67
40
69
58
60
61
41
71
68
65
40
63
41
96
46
66
57
56
58
72
48
69
59
46
47
66
39
58
51
50
57
73
55
57
43
55
37
53
31
12
24
17
24
12
12
21
34
17
17
23
33
33
18
24
15
25
44
23
5
18
13
13
27
11
15
15
9
19
36
8
19
13
16
20
41
4
12
13
20
29
21
169 | P a g e
Total
Geography
Estimate
Oklahoma
Adair
Alfalfa
Atoka
Beaver
Beckham
Blaine
Bryan
Caddo
Canadian
Carter
Cherokee
Choctaw
Cimarron
Cleveland
Coal
Comanche
Cotton
Craig
Creek
Custer
Delaware
Dewey
Ellis
Garfield
Garvin
Grady
Grant
Greer
Harmon
Harper
Haskell
Hughes
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnston
129,023
855
109
382
195
727
427
1,578
1,056
3,883
1,646
2,165
507
43
9,661
154
4,264
140
453
2,364
1,049
1,356
124
123
2,089
864
1,852
153
126
79
120
380
442
699
219
416
Women 15 to 19 years
Women with births in the past 12 months
Number
Rate per 1,000 women
Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Error
Error
Error
962
4,826
478
37
4
59
28
19
33
23
18
109
221
76
30
43
79
106
41
15
18
77
88
105
15
23
21
32
106
109
62
108
16
22
10
14
142
29
29
27
28
133
105
71
27
18
133
140
89
85
55
190
55
46
25
22
55
28
26
55
50
31
8
13
186
283
214
150
89
16
9
45
8
9
52
63
75
200
95
47
22
25
17
17
121
106
95
14
29
31
58
60
50
45
21
19
105
7
10
7
9
62
15
18
11
13
22
4
5
32
40
24
109
199
169
77
59
37
29
73
22
24
25
29
87
132
79
71
43
23
109
164
60
109
195
30
109
286
67
32
34
267
266
28
10
13
26
34
56
37
33
84
75
100
87
91
124
131
25
12
14
55
60
73
24
28
58
69
170 | P a g e
Kay
Kingfisher
Kiowa
Latimer
Le Flore
Lincoln
Logan
Love
McClain
McCurtain
McIntosh
Major
Marshall
Mayes
Murray
Muskogee
Noble
Nowata
Okfuskee
Oklahoma
Okmulgee
Osage
Ottawa
Pawnee
Payne
Pittsburg
Pontotoc
Pottawatomie
Pushmataha
Roger Mills
Rogers
Seminole
Sequoyah
Stephens
Texas
Tillman
Tulsa
Wagoner
Washington
Washita
Woods
Woodward
1,697
548
382
589
1,771
1,336
1,407
338
998
1,060
711
197
530
1,544
381
2,306
393
260
330
23,382
1,180
1,644
1,297
531
4,032
1,436
1,444
2,547
392
81
3,153
910
1,469
1,415
706
308
20,307
2,389
1,630
376
378
538
55
46
100
133
63
81
112
85
76
72
144
33
102
64
97
162
78
82
85
3
97
89
38
55
198
74
121
121
45
22
99
75
82
112
62
76
59
103
79
33
133
112
68
11
26
18
37
19
72
38
13
5
21
62
18
250
12
9
1,029
85
26
63
21
49
51
54
136
26
4
60
24
21
86
23
11
811
90
80
15
15
-
51
15
22
22
28
18
53
109
109
33
16
7
24
49
32
175
109
15
11
191
66
26
43
21
56
36
43
77
24
6
46
30
23
63
29
11
168
69
76
14
23
109
40
20
68
31
21
14
51
36
18
25
40
40
47
108
46
27
44
72
16
49
40
12
36
37
53
66
49
19
26
14
61
33
36
40
38
49
40
40
-
30
28
62
35
16
14
38
78
27
31
23
35
46
32
85
75
68
60
34
8
54
16
34
40
14
25
31
30
62
70
15
32
16
43
41
36
8
28
46
36
67
50
171 | P a g e
Geography
Estimate
Oklahoma
Adair
Alfalfa
Atoka
Beaver
Beckham
Blaine
Bryan
Caddo
Canadian
Carter
Cherokee
Choctaw
Cimarron
Cleveland
Coal
Comanche
Cotton
Craig
Creek
Custer
Delaware
Dewey
Ellis
Garfield
Garvin
Grady
Grant
Greer
Harmon
Harper
Haskell
Hughes
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnston
Kay
Kingfisher
368,582
2,030
330
1,084
372
1,879
695
4,175
2,265
10,609
4,240
4,826
1,231
161
30,888
456
13,283
514
1,133
5,712
3,430
2,963
359
257
5,538
2,394
4,583
330
450
221
271
1,019
947
2,767
479
955
3,874
1,242
Women 20 to 34 years
Total
Women with births in the past 12 months
Number
Rate per 1,000 women
Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Error
Error
Error
852
41,696
1,338
113
4
80
402
111
198
53
23
60
25
182
79
84
118
69
109
63
37
41
20
110
56
120
371
131
197
71
91
187
66
269
96
96
382
138
91
33
81
397
87
175
38
96
1,482
297
140
28
155
506
157
119
36
141
520
151
108
32
67
175
68
142
55
46
18
21
112
130
200
2,951
354
96
11
36
59
39
129
82
118
1,897
276
143
21
43
111
62
216
116
61
90
62
79
54
85
749
168
131
29
137
494
151
144
45
59
216
97
73
33
31
31
24
86
67
25
39
19
152
72
154
681
203
123
36
96
200
82
84
34
135
618
184
135
41
25
29
23
88
69
73
24
23
53
51
50
63
32
285
157
52
47
35
173
126
54
84
43
82
42
60
158
64
167
66
61
263
84
95
30
32
98
38
205
81
219
73
71
76
86
50
590
119
152
31
95
166
83
134
65
172 | P a g e
Kiowa
Latimer
Le Flore
Lincoln
Logan
Love
McClain
McCurtain
McIntosh
Major
Marshall
Mayes
Murray
Muskogee
Noble
Nowata
Okfuskee
Oklahoma
Okmulgee
Osage
Ottawa
Pawnee
Payne
Pittsburg
Pontotoc
Pottawatomie
Pushmataha
Roger Mills
Rogers
Seminole
Sequoyah
Stephens
Texas
Tillman
Tulsa
Wagoner
Washington
Washita
Woods
Woodward
692
750
4,287
2,532
3,797
764
2,808
3,060
1,384
513
1,124
3,387
1,074
6,901
980
856
923
80,175
3,613
3,408
2,691
1,249
11,754
3,547
3,954
6,958
829
239
7,193
2,185
3,497
3,740
2,037
546
62,813
6,312
4,289
988
827
1,944
62
115
79
65
115
56
132
84
109
36
122
28
100
173
78
66
68
94
127
152
27
54
209
116
89
105
18
18
118
75
95
129
47
92
47
121
115
39
72
131
43
74
643
229
542
85
404
420
135
74
152
486
87
690
103
202
88
9,391
408
427
356
204
862
549
410
507
63
42
694
303
382
334
220
111
6,143
717
394
117
49
166
31
51
129
72
186
58
122
132
86
40
87
152
61
170
64
98
50
713
138
106
77
92
219
130
122
126
35
24
163
101
108
129
90
68
483
188
126
46
40
93
62
99
150
90
143
111
144
137
98
144
135
143
81
100
105
236
95
117
113
125
132
163
73
155
104
73
76
176
96
139
109
89
108
203
98
114
92
118
59
85
45
62
30
28
48
77
45
43
60
75
78
45
56
25
65
113
52
9
38
32
29
74
19
36
32
18
42
101
23
45
31
35
44
113
8
29
30
47
49
48
173 | P a g e
Geography
Estimate
Oklahoma
Adair
Alfalfa
Atoka
Beaver
Beckham
Blaine
Bryan
Caddo
Canadian
Carter
Cherokee
Choctaw
Cimarron
Cleveland
Coal
Comanche
Cotton
Craig
Creek
Custer
Delaware
Dewey
Ellis
Garfield
Garvin
Grady
Grant
Greer
Harmon
Harper
Haskell
Hughes
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnston
Kay
Kingfisher
395,075
2,409
438
1,466
646
2,067
1,108
4,120
3,063
13,099
4,916
4,718
1,514
229
26,451
578
12,489
717
1,637
7,659
2,450
4,331
459
389
6,193
2,873
5,857
468
475
283
344
1,314
1,228
2,780
710
1,064
4,626
1,695
Women 35 to 50 years
Total
Women with births in the past 12 months
Number
Rate per 1,000 women
Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Estimate Margin of
Error
Error
Error
986
6,097
501
15
1
81
4
6
2
2
28
109
61
79
17
17
12
11
34
10
15
15
23
132
7
13
3
6
142
7
7
6
7
108
24
27
6
7
88
21
20
7
7
189
309
111
24
8
191
32
32
7
6
151
16
14
3
3
63
109
18
40
7
10
31
43
229
564
175
21
7
40
7
11
12
19
174
112
69
9
6
55
21
22
29
31
61
3
6
2
4
128
34
33
4
4
132
90
68
37
28
162
24
31
6
7
25
6
9
13
20
23
109
68
197
63
43
10
7
103
66
44
23
15
140
126
90
22
15
27
109
57
77
109
56
34
4
7
14
24
45
109
77
51
35
42
27
32
49
13
19
11
16
105
47
41
17
15
44
109
38
263
9
13
8
12
127
62
39
13
8
107
3
6
2
3
174 | P a g e
Kiowa
Latimer
Le Flore
Lincoln
Logan
Love
McClain
McCurtain
McIntosh
Major
Marshall
Mayes
Murray
Muskogee
Noble
Nowata
Okfuskee
Oklahoma
Okmulgee
Osage
Ottawa
Pawnee
Payne
Pittsburg
Pontotoc
Pottawatomie
Pushmataha
Roger Mills
Rogers
Seminole
Sequoyah
Stephens
Texas
Tillman
Tulsa
Wagoner
Washington
Washita
Woods
Woodward
1,011
1,187
5,273
3,926
4,579
1,012
3,898
3,440
1,939
773
1,465
4,275
1,435
7,637
1,278
1,102
1,141
75,976
4,054
5,326
3,294
1,842
6,187
4,579
3,824
7,612
1,235
373
10,240
2,684
4,778
4,808
1,906
909
65,791
8,150
5,412
1,191
722
1,948
82
70
126
125
116
60
145
96
93
41
128
101
95
174
109
55
62
448
113
158
66
70
149
138
138
115
50
22
174
91
143
163
62
79
377
153
140
51
60
99
21
76
66
58
38
61
6
19
26
40
46
12
115
7
13
1,396
13
125
4
34
147
63
82
138
26
48
9
93
79
24
6
1,219
152
8
8
8
68
109
22
53
50
42
38
74
9
19
26
46
40
14
73
13
109
19
248
17
89
6
29
81
46
53
66
28
109
31
13
54
60
29
9
236
69
14
12
12
43
18
14
17
13
38
16
2
10
34
27
11
8
15
5
11
18
3
23
1
18
24
14
21
18
21
5
3
19
16
13
7
19
19
1
7
11
35
27
18
10
13
9
37
19
3
10
34
30
9
10
10
10
25
17
3
4
17
2
16
13
10
14
9
22
71
3
5
11
13
15
10
4
9
3
10
17
22
175 | P a g e
Appendix 2 – US Mortality Rates 2007
Source: US Center for Disease Controll, as accessed at
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_09.pdf
Table 2. Life table for males: United States, 2007
Age
Probablity
of dying
between
ages x to
x+1
Number
surviving
to age x
Number
dying
between
ages x
to x+1
Personyears
lived
between
ages x
to x+1
Total
number of
personyears
lived
above age
x
Expectation
of life at
age x
0-1
0.007390
100,000
739
99,352
7,537,883
75.4
1-2
0.000490
99,261
49
99,237
7,438,531
74.9
2-3
0.000316
99,212
31
99,197
7,339,295
74.0
3-4
0.000242
99,181
24
99,169
7,240,098
73.0
4-5
0.000201
99,157
20
99,147
7,140,929
72.0
5-6
0.000182
99,137
18
99,128
7,041,782
71.0
6-7
0.000170
99,119
17
99,111
6,942,654
70.0
7-8
0.000156
99,102
15
99,095
6,843,543
69.1
8-9
0.000134
99,087
13
99,080
6,744,448
68.1
9-10
0.000107
99,074
11
99,068
6,645,368
67.1
10-11
0.000085
99,063
8
99,059
6,546,300
66.1
11-12
0.000089
99,055
9
99,050
6,447,241
65.1
12-13
0.000143
99,046
14
99,039
6,348,191
64.1
13-14
0.000256
99,032
25
99,019
6,249,153
63.1
14-15
0.000411
99,006
41
98,986
6,150,134
62.1
15-16
0.000573
98,966
57
98,937
6,051,148
61.1
16-17
0.000725
98,909
72
98,873
5,952,211
60.2
17-18
0.000873
98,837
86
98,794
5,853,338
59.2
18-19
0.001014
98,751
100
98,701
5,754,544
58.3
19-20
0.001149
98,651
113
98,594
5,655,843
57.3
20-21
0.001292
98,537
127
98,474
5,557,249
56.4
21-22
0.001427
98,410
140
98,340
5,458,775
55.5
22-23
0.001512
98,270
149
98,195
5,360,435
54.5
23-24
0.001529
98,121
150
98,046
5,262,240
53.6
24-25
0.001497
97,971
147
97,898
5,164,194
52.7
25-26
0.001448
97,824
142
97,754
5,066,296
51.8
26-27
0.001409
97,683
138
97,614
4,968,543
50.9
176 | P a g e
27-28
0.001382
97,545
135
97,478
4,870,929
49.9
28-29
0.001376
97,410
134
97,343
4,773,451
49.0
29-30
0.001390
97,276
135
97,209
4,676,108
48.1
30-31
0.001412
97,141
137
97,072
4,578,899
47.1
31-32
0.001437
97,004
139
96,934
4,481,827
46.2
32-33
0.001474
96,864
143
96,793
4,384,893
45.3
33-34
0.001516
96,722
147
96,648
4,288,100
44.3
34-35
0.001570
96,575
152
96,499
4,191,451
43.4
35-36
0.001634
96,423
158
96,345
4,094,952
42.5
36-37
0.001716
96,266
165
96,183
3,998,607
41.5
37-38
0.001821
96,101
175
96,013
3,902,424
40.6
38-39
0.001956
95,926
188
95,832
3,806,411
39.7
39-40
0.002120
95,738
203
95,636
3,710,579
38.8
40-41
0.002303
95,535
220
95,425
3,614,943
37.8
41-42
0.002505
95,315
239
95,196
3,519,518
36.9
42-43
0.002735
95,076
260
94,946
3,424,322
36.0
43-44
0.002992
94,816
284
94,674
3,329,376
35.1
44-45
0.003270
94,533
309
94,378
3,234,702
34.2
45-46
0.003556
94,223
335
94,056
3,140,324
33.3
46-47
0.003855
93,888
362
93,707
3,046,268
32.4
47-48
0.004187
93,526
392
93,331
2,952,560
31.6
48-49
0.004570
93,135
426
92,922
2,859,230
30.7
49-50
0.005001
92,709
464
92,477
2,766,308
29.8
50-51
0.005474
92,246
505
91,993
2,673,831
29.0
51-52
0.005969
91,741
548
91,467
2,581,838
28.1
52-53
0.006473
91,193
590
90,898
2,490,371
27.3
53-54
0.006971
90,603
632
90,287
2,399,473
26.5
54-55
0.007469
89,971
672
89,635
2,309,186
25.7
55-56
0.007995
89,299
714
88,942
2,219,551
24.9
56-57
0.008567
88,585
759
88,206
2,130,609
24.1
57-58
0.009179
87,826
806
87,423
2,042,403
23.3
58-59
0.009843
87,020
857
86,592
1,954,980
22.5
59-60
0.010571
86,164
911
85,708
1,868,389
21.7
60-61
0.011378
85,253
970
84,768
1,782,680
20.9
61-62
0.012264
84,283
1,034
83,766
1,697,913
20.1
62-63
0.013227
83,249
1,101
82,699
1,614,147
19.4
63-64
0.014275
82,148
1,173
81,562
1,531,448
18.6
64-65
0.015434
80,975
1,250
80,350
1,449,887
17.9
65-66
0.016771
79,726
1,337
79,057
1,369,536
17.2
177 | P a g e
66-67
0.018156
78,388
1,423
77,677
1,290,479
16.5
67-68
0.019682
76,965
1,515
76,208
1,212,802
15.8
68-69
0.021327
75,450
1,609
74,646
1,136,594
15.1
69-70
0.023144
73,841
1,709
72,987
1,061,948
14.4
70-71
0.025204
72,132
1,818
71,223
988,962
13.7
71-72
0.027616
70,314
1,942
69,343
917,738
13.1
72-73
0.030417
68,373
2,080
67,333
848,395
12.4
73-74
0.033598
66,293
2,227
65,179
781,062
11.8
74-75
0.037153
64,066
2,380
62,875
715,883
11.2
75-76
0.041097
61,685
2,535
60,418
653,008
10.6
76-77
0.045315
59,150
2,680
57,810
592,590
10.0
77-78
0.049944
56,470
2,820
55,060
534,780
9.5
78-79
0.055019
53,649
2,952
52,174
479,720
8.9
79-80
0.060576
50,698
3,071
49,162
427,547
8.4
80-81
0.066655
47,627
3,175
46,039
378,384
7.9
81-82
0.073296
44,452
3,258
42,823
332,345
7.5
82-83
0.080542
41,194
3,318
39,535
289,522
7.0
83-84
0.088435
37,876
3,350
36,201
249,987
6.6
84-85
0.097021
34,527
3,350
32,852
213,785
6.2
85-86
0.106343
31,177
3,315
29,519
180,934
5.8
86-87
0.116446
27,861
3,244
26,239
151,415
5.4
87-88
0.127371
24,617
3,135
23,049
125,175
5.1
88-89
0.139160
21,482
2,989
19,987
102,126
4.8
89-90
0.151850
18,492
2,808
17,088
82,139
4.4
90-91
0.165475
15,684
2,595
14,386
65,051
4.1
91-92
0.180063
13,089
2,357
11,910
50,665
3.9
92-93
0.195635
10,732
2,100
9,682
38,754
3.6
93-94
0.212205
8,632
1,832
7,717
29,072
3.4
94-95
0.229779
6,801
1,563
6,019
21,355
3.1
95-96
0.248348
5,238
1,301
4,588
15,336
2.9
96-97
0.267897
3,937
1,055
3,410
10,749
2.7
97-98
0.288394
2,882
831
2,467
7,339
2.5
98-99
0.309795
2,051
635
1,733
4,872
2.4
99-100
0.332043
1,416
470
1,181
3,139
2.2
100 and
over
1.000000
946
946
1,958
1,958
2.1
178 | P a g e
Table 3. Life table for females: United States, 2007
Age
Probablity
of dying
between
ages x to
x+1
Number
surviving
to age x
Number
dying
between
ages x
to x+1
Personyears
lived
between
ages x
to x+1
Total
number of
personyears
lived
above age
x
Expectation
of life at
age x
0-1
0.006103
100,000
610
99,464
8,040,632
80.4
1-2
0.000430
99,390
43
99,368
7,941,168
79.9
2-3
0.000255
99,347
25
99,334
7,841,800
78.9
3-4
0.000193
99,322
19
99,312
7,742,465
78.0
4-5
0.000149
99,303
15
99,295
7,643,153
77.0
5-6
0.000145
99,288
14
99,281
7,543,858
76.0
6-7
0.000132
99,273
13
99,267
7,444,577
75.0
7-8
0.000122
99,260
12
99,254
7,345,311
74.0
8-9
0.000112
99,248
11
99,243
7,246,057
73.0
9-10
0.000103
99,237
10
99,232
7,146,814
72.0
10-11
0.000096
99,227
10
99,222
7,047,582
71.0
11-12
0.000100
99,217
10
99,212
6,948,360
70.0
12-13
0.000120
99,207
12
99,201
6,849,148
69.0
13-14
0.000160
99,195
16
99,188
6,749,947
68.0
14-15
0.000212
99,180
21
99,169
6,650,759
67.1
15-16
0.000271
99,159
27
99,145
6,551,590
66.1
16-17
0.000325
99,132
32
99,116
6,452,445
65.1
17-18
0.000369
99,100
37
99,081
6,353,329
64.1
18-19
0.000400
99,063
40
99,043
6,254,248
63.1
19-20
0.000422
99,023
42
99,003
6,155,205
62.2
20-21
0.000443
98,982
44
98,960
6,056,202
61.2
21-22
0.000467
98,938
46
98,915
5,957,243
60.2
22-23
0.000488
98,892
48
98,868
5,858,328
59.2
23-24
0.000504
98,843
50
98,818
5,759,460
58.3
24-25
0.000518
98,794
51
98,768
5,660,642
57.3
25-26
0.000532
98,742
53
98,716
5,561,874
56.3
26-27
0.000548
98,690
54
98,663
5,463,158
55.4
27-28
0.000565
98,636
56
98,608
5,364,495
54.4
28-29
0.000583
98,580
57
98,551
5,265,887
53.4
29-30
0.000605
98,523
60
98,493
5,167,336
52.4
30-31
0.000634
98,463
62
98,432
5,068,843
51.5
31-32
0.000670
98,401
66
98,368
4,970,411
50.5
179 | P a g e
32-33
0.000714
98,335
70
98,300
4,872,043
49.5
33-34
0.000767
98,264
75
98,227
4,773,744
48.6
34-35
0.000824
98,189
81
98,149
4,675,517
47.6
35-36
0.000887
98,108
87
98,065
4,577,369
46.7
36-37
0.000959
98,021
94
97,974
4,479,304
45.7
37-38
0.001040
97,927
102
97,876
4,381,330
44.7
38-39
0.001137
97,825
111
97,770
4,283,454
43.8
39-40
0.001248
97,714
122
97,653
4,185,684
42.8
40-41
0.001367
97,592
133
97,525
4,088,031
41.9
41-42
0.001495
97,459
146
97,386
3,990,505
40.9
42-43
0.001644
97,313
160
97,233
3,893,120
40.0
43-44
0.001812
97,153
176
97,065
3,795,887
39.1
44-45
0.001994
96,977
193
96,880
3,698,822
38.1
45-46
0.002182
96,784
211
96,678
3,601,941
37.2
46-47
0.002373
96,572
229
96,458
3,505,263
36.3
47-48
0.002569
96,343
247
96,220
3,408,805
35.4
48-49
0.002775
96,096
267
95,962
3,312,586
34.5
49-50
0.002995
95,829
287
95,686
3,216,623
33.6
50-51
0.003236
95,542
309
95,388
3,120,938
32.7
51-52
0.003494
95,233
333
95,067
3,025,550
31.8
52-53
0.003763
94,900
357
94,722
2,930,484
30.9
53-54
0.004041
94,543
382
94,352
2,835,762
30.0
54-55
0.004330
94,161
408
93,957
2,741,410
29.1
55-56
0.004639
93,753
435
93,536
2,647,452
28.2
56-57
0.004981
93,319
465
93,086
2,553,916
27.4
57-58
0.005372
92,854
499
92,604
2,460,830
26.5
58-59
0.005826
92,355
538
92,086
2,368,226
25.6
59-60
0.006347
91,817
583
91,525
2,276,140
24.8
60-61
0.006942
91,234
633
90,917
2,184,615
23.9
61-62
0.007595
90,601
688
90,257
2,093,697
23.1
62-63
0.008293
89,913
746
89,540
2,003,441
22.3
63-64
0.009029
89,167
805
88,764
1,913,901
21.5
64-65
0.009826
88,362
868
87,928
1,825,136
20.7
65-66
0.010753
87,494
941
87,023
1,737,208
19.9
66-67
0.011692
86,553
1,012
86,047
1,650,185
19.1
67-68
0.012722
85,541
1,088
84,997
1,564,138
18.3
68-69
0.013830
84,453
1,168
83,869
1,479,141
17.5
69-70
0.015062
83,285
1,254
82,657
1,395,273
16.8
70-71
0.016484
82,030
1,352
81,354
1,312,615
16.0
180 | P a g e
71-72
0.018170
80,678
1,466
79,945
1,231,261
15.3
72-73
0.020151
79,212
1,596
78,414
1,151,316
14.5
73-74
0.022445
77,616
1,742
76,745
1,072,902
13.8
74-75
0.025056
75,874
1,901
74,923
996,157
13.1
75-76
0.028016
73,973
2,072
72,937
921,234
12.5
76-77
0.031215
71,900
2,244
70,778
848,297
11.8
77-78
0.034767
69,656
2,422
68,445
777,519
11.2
78-79
0.038707
67,234
2,602
65,933
709,074
10.5
79-80
0.043073
64,632
2,784
63,240
643,141
10.0
80-81
0.047907
61,848
2,963
60,366
579,901
9.4
81-82
0.053254
58,885
3,136
57,317
519,534
8.8
82-83
0.059160
55,749
3,298
54,100
462,217
8.3
83-84
0.065676
52,451
3,445
50,729
408,117
7.8
84-85
0.072854
49,006
3,570
47,221
357,389
7.3
85-86
0.080749
45,436
3,669
43,601
310,168
6.8
86-87
0.089416
41,767
3,735
39,900
266,566
6.4
87-88
0.098914
38,032
3,762
36,151
226,666
6.0
88-89
0.109300
34,270
3,746
32,398
190,515
5.6
89-90
0.120630
30,525
3,682
28,684
158,117
5.2
90-91
0.132959
26,842
3,569
25,058
129,434
4.8
91-92
0.146339
23,274
3,406
21,571
104,376
4.5
92-93
0.160816
19,868
3,195
18,270
82,805
4.2
93-94
0.176428
16,673
2,942
15,202
64,535
3.9
94-95
0.193208
13,731
2,653
12,405
49,333
3.6
95-96
0.211174
11,078
2,339
9,908
36,928
3.3
96-97
0.230333
8,739
2,013
7,732
27,020
3.1
97-98
0.250679
6,726
1,686
5,883
19,288
2.9
98-99
0.272186
5,040
1,372
4,354
13,405
2.7
99-100
0.294812
3,668
1,081
3,127
9,051
2.5
100 and
over
1.000000
2,587
2,587
5,923
5,923
2.3
181 | P a g e
Appendix 3 – Historic Components of Change for Oklahoma’s Population
Source: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division
STATE OF OKLAHOMA
Table A-3
Historical Population, Births, Deaths, and Migration: 1920 - 2001
Natural Population Percent
Year
Population
Births
Deaths
Natural
Increase
Migration
Population
Change
Percent
Change
1920
2,028,283
40,636
16,054
24,582
700
25,300
1.26
1921
2,108,000
47,068
16,340
30,728
49,000
79,700
3.93
1922
2,140,000
50,944
16,378
34,566
(2,600)
32,000
1.52
1923
2,159,000
47,452
17,273
30,179
(11,200)
19,000
0.89
1924
2,179,000
50,453
17,103
33,350
(13,400)
20,000
0.93
1925
2,216,000
54,915
20,026
34,889
2,100
37,000
1.7
1926
2,256,000
55,770
20,507
35,263
4,700
40,000
1.81
1927
2,306,000
51,856
21,170
30,686
19,300
50,000
2.22
1928
2,344,000
42,986
20,953
22,033
16,000
38,000
1.65
1929
2,372,000
39,738
21,398
18,340
9,700
28,000
1.19
1930
2,396,040
42,505
19,646
22,859
1,200
24,000
1.01
1931
2,403,000
43,269
18,802
24,467
(17,500)
7,000
0.29
1932
2,394,000
41,039
19,285
21,754
(30,800)
(9,000)
-0.37
1933
2,392,000
43,697
20,309
23,388
(25,400)
(2,000)
-0.08
1934
2,391,000
47,302
21,373
25,929
(26,900)
(1,000)
-0.04
1935
2,386,000
43,691
21,091
22,600
(27,600)
(5,000)
-0.21
1936
2,365,000
41,815
23,350
18,465
(39,500)
(21,000)
-0.88
1937
2,334,000
41,223
21,399
19,824
(50,800)
(31,000)
-1.31
1938
2,324,000
44,190
20,422
23,768
(33,800)
(10,000)
-0.43
1939
2,333,000
42,760
20,657
22,103
(13,100)
9,000
0.39
1940
2,336,434
44,258
20,618
23,640
(20,200)
3,400
0.15
1941
2,262,000
45,313
20,097
25,216
(99,700)
(74,400)
-3.19
1942
2,215,000
45,277
18,985
26,292
(73,300)
(47,000)
-2.08
1943
2,205,000
47,800
19,765
28,035
(38,000)
(10,000)
-0.45
1944
2,043,000
46,885
18,438
28,447
(190,400)
(162,000)
-7.35
1945
2,028,000
43,405
18,731
24,674
(39,700)
(15,000)
-0.73
1946
2,128,000
50,043
18,420
31,623
68,400
100,000
4.93
1947
2,133,000
52,691
19,101
33,590
(28,600)
5,000
0.23
182 | P a g e
1948
2,089,000
50,428
19,074
31,354
(75,400)
(44,000)
-2.06
1949
2,105,000
49,971
19,346
30,625
(14,600)
16,000
0.77
1950
2,233,351
50,472
19,431
31,041
97,300
128,400
6.1
1951
2,229,000
50,597
20,082
30,515
(34,900)
(4,400)
-0.19
1952
2,210,000
50,146
19,645
30,501
(49,500)
(19,000)
-0.85
1953
2,219,000
51,275
19,820
31,455
(22,500)
9,000
0.41
1954
2,182,000
51,457
20,121
31,336
(68,300)
(37,000)
-1.67
1955
2,250,000
50,636
19,705
30,931
37,100
68,000
3.12
1956
2,273,000
51,894
20,954
30,940
(7,900)
23,000
1.02
1957
2,282,000
51,349
21,568
29,781
(20,800)
9,000
0.4
1958
2,267,000
50,552
21,812
28,740
(43,700)
(15,000)
-0.66
1959
2,289,000
51,141
21,996
29,145
(7,100)
22,000
0.97
1960
2,328,284
50,900
22,932
27,968
11,300
39,300
1.72
1961
2,380,000
50,859
22,973
27,886
23,800
51,700
2.22
1962
2,427,000
51,351
24,005
27,346
19,700
47,000
1.97
1963
2,439,000
49,955
24,458
25,497
(13,500)
12,000
0.49
1964
2,446,000
47,563
24,194
23,369
(16,400)
7,000
0.29
1965
2,440,000
42,806
24,304
18,502
(24,500)
(6,000)
-0.25
1966
2,454,000
39,993
24,806
15,187
(1,200)
14,000
0.57
1967
2,489,000
40,102
24,859
15,243
19,800
35,000
1.43
1968
2,503,000
40,973
25,708
15,265
(1,300)
14,000
0.56
1969
2,535,000
42,737
25,972
16,765
15,200
32,000
1.28
1970
2,559,229
44,991
26,750
18,241
6,200
24,500
0.97
1971
2,618,000
45,353
25,682
19,671
39,500
59,100
2.31
1972
2,657,000
42,303
26,935
15,368
24,600
40,000
1.53
1973
2,694,000
40,765
27,357
13,408
23,900
37,300
1.4
1974
2,732,000
42,363
27,228
15,135
23,800
38,900
1.44
1975
2,772,000
43,130
27,165
15,965
23,900
39,900
1.46
1976
2,823,000
43,663
27,103
16,560
35,500
52,100
1.88
1977
2,866,000
45,449
26,766
18,683
24,500
43,200
1.53
1978
2,913,000
45,885
27,892
17,993
29,300
47,300
1.65
1979
2,970,000
49,007
27,756
21,251
36,700
58,000
1.99
1980
3,025,290
52,065
28,227
23,838
26,300
50,200
1.69
1981
3,096,159
53,620
28,568
25,052
45,700
70,700
2.34
1982
3,206,129
58,748
29,305
29,443
80,500
109,900
3.55
1983
3,290,404
56,859
29,426
27,433
56,900
84,300
2.63
1984
3,285,535
54,323
28,635
25,688
(30,600)
(4,900)
-0.15
1985
3,271,333
53,100
29,735
23,365
(37,600)
(14,200)
-0.43
1986
3,252,735
50,536
29,708
20,828
(39,400)
(18,600)
-0.57
183 | P a g e
1987
3,210,124
47,701
29,191
18,510
(61,100)
(42,600)
-1.31
1988
3,167,064
47,279
29,766
17,513
(60,500)
(43,000)
-1.34
1989
3,150,304
47,238
29,487
17,751
(34,600)
(16,800)
-0.53
1990
3,145,585
47,725
30,301
17,424
(22,100)
(4,700)
-0.15
1991
3,175,440
47,759
30,172
17,587
12,200
29,800
0.95
1992
3,220,517
47,544
30,425
17,119
28,000
45,100
1.42
1993
3,252,285
46,165
32,265
13,900
17,900
31,800
0.99
1994
3,280,940
45,607
32,082
13,525
15,100
28,600
0.88
1995
3,308,208
45,365
32,431
12,934
14,400
27,300
0.83
1996
3,340,129
46,133
32,872
13,261
18,600
31,900
0.96
1997
3,372,917
48,162
33,780
14,380
18,400
32,800
0.98
1998
3,405,194
49,354
33,810
15,544
16,800
32,300
0.96
1999
3,437,147
48,470
34,266
14,396
17,500
31,953
0.94
2000
3,450,654
49,712
34,766
14,946
(739)
13,507
0.39
2001
3,464,729
49,570
35,007
14,563
(1,922)
14,075
0.41
2002
3,484,754
50,371
35,080
15,291
6,867
20,025
0.58
2003
3,498,687
50,632
35,020
15,612
1,033
13,933
0.40
2004
3,514,449
50,923
35,736
15,187
3,032
15,762
0.45
2005
3,532,769
51,859
35,856
16,003
5,064
18,320
0.52
2006
3,574,334
52,485
35,765
16,720
25,700
41,565
1.18
2007
3,612,186
54,988
35,173
19,815
18,205
37,852
1.06
2008
3,644,025
54,579
34,792
19,787
12,052
31,839
0.88
2009
3,687,050
54,262
34,815
19,447
23,685
43,025
1.18
2010
3,751,351
51,796
35,037
16,759
47,542
64,301
1.74
2011
3,791,508
53,727
34,528
19,199
12,103
40,157
1.07
184 | P a g e