Communications Regulatory Authority of the Republic of Lithuania Reference paper for creating model for calculation of bottom up long run average incremental costs (BU-LRAIC) for operator of public mobile communications network 2012 m. May 1. Glossary The terminology used in this document is defined in the legal acts of the Republic of Lithuania and international practices. The list of other terminology and abbreviations is placed in the following table. No. Abbreviation Term Explanation 1. - X A function that returns the highest integer less than or equal to X. 2. - X A function that returns the smallest integer not less than X. 3. A A interface Link between the BSS and MSC/MGW. 4. B Byte Basic unit of information equal to 8 bits 5. bit Bit A bit is a binary digit, taking a value of either 0 or 1. Binary digits are a basic unit of information storage and communication in digital computing and digital information theory 6. BSC Base Station Controller Base Transceiver The BSC is the functional entity within the GSM architecture that is responsible for radio resource allocation to a mobile station, frequency administration and handover between BTS controlled by the BSC. In cellular GSM system the Base Transceiver Station terminates the radio interface. 7. BTS 8. BHCA 9. BHE Busy Hour Erlangs 10. BHT Busy Hour Traffic 11. - Call 12. CAPEX CAPEX Capital expenditure costs. CAPEX costs comprise depreciation and ROI. 13. - Channel Logical unit in a circuit used for transmitting electric signals. 14. - Circuit Station Busy hour call attempts Each BTS may consist of a number of TRX, typically between 1 and 16. Number of call attempts in a busy hour. Measurement of traffic in telecommunications network during a busy hour expressed in Erlangs. Amount of traffic in a busy hour. Connection established by means of a publicly available electronic communications service allowing two-way communication in real time. Telecommunications line which ensures transmission of electric signals. CSD is the original form of data transmission developed for the time division 15. CSD Circuit Switched Data multiple accesses (TDMA)-based mobile phone systems like Global System for Mobile Communications. 16. CJC 17. CCS 18. - 19. CVR Common and joint costs Common-Channel Signaling Cost driver Cost volume relationship Costs that need to be allocated to several services. CCS is the transmission of signaling information (control information) on a separate channel to the data. A factor that influences the existence and amount of costs. Relationship between total value of cost and cost driver. No. Abbreviation Term 20. - Costs Explanation Decrease in the economic value for a company due to usage of fixed assets, sale of assets, loss of assets, decrease in asset value or increase in liabilities over a period, which results in a decrease in equity capital. 21. CCA 22. CD Current cost accounting Current depreciation Accounting of costs in terms of current costs and prices of products and services. Depreciation cost expressed in current cost accounting terms. DDF is the distribution equipment used between digital multiplexers, between 23. DDF Digital distribution frame digital multiplexer and exchange equipment or non voice service equipment, carrying out such functions as cables connection, cable patching and test of loops transmitting digital signals. Equipment identity 24. EIR 25. - eNode B 26. - Erlang 27. EPC Evolved Packet Core 28. FC Fixed costs 29. - 30. GGSN 31. Gb register Forward looking cost accounting Gateway GPRS Support Node Gb interface Global System for 32. GSM Mobile communication 33. GBV 34. GRC 35. HSCSD 36. HSDPA 37. HCA 38. HG 39. HLR 40. HCC Gross book value Gross replacement cost High Speed Circuit Switched Data High Speed Downlink Packet Access Historic cost accounting Holding gain Home Location Register Homogenous cost category EIR is a database employed within mobile networks. It stores information about user equipment state (stolen, non-conforming and other). The eNode B is the function within the LTE network that provides the physical radio link between the user equipment and the network Measurement of traffic indicating number of call minutes on a network during one minute time. The EPC serves as equivalent of GPRS networks (via the Mobility Management Entity, Serving Gateway and PDN Gateway subcomponents). Costs that are fixed and not influenced by change in volume of service. Accounting of costs in terms of forward looking costs and prices of products and services. GGSN supports the edge routing function of the GPRS network. Link between the SGSN and PCU. GSM is a cellular network, which means that mobile phones connect to it by searching for cells in the immediate vicinity. Acquisition cost of an asset. Cost incurred for replacing object of similar type and characteristics not taking into account accumulated depreciation. HSCSD is an enhancement to Circuit Switched Data. HSDPA improves system capacity and increases user data rates in the downlink direction, that is, transmission from the Radio Access Network to the mobile terminal. Accounting of costs in terms of historic (actual) costs and priced of products and services. Income that results due to increase in asset value. The Home Location Register is a database, which provides routing information for mobile terminated calls and SMS. A set of costs, which have the same driver, the same cost volume relationship pattern and the same rate of technology change. 3 No. Abbreviation Term 41. IMS 42. - Incremental cost 43. - Indirect costs 44. Iub Iub Interface IP multimedia subsystem Explanation An architectural framework of core network for delivering multimedia services over IP protocol. Increase in costs due to increase in volume of service. Costs that are indirectly related to a specific product and service and that need to be allocated to different products or services using economically justifiable drivers. Link between the RNC and the Node B. The principle of long run average incremental costing – estimating change in costs 45. LRAIC Long run average incremental costing as a result of change in cost driver volume and dividing them over a unit of service. The costs are measured in the long run, which means that the company based on the level of demand can change the amount of resources involved in providing a service i.e. all costs become variable. Standard for wireless communication of high-speed data for mobile phones and 46. LTE Long term evolution data terminals. It is based on the GSM/EDGE and UMTS/HSPA network technologies, increasing the capacity and speed using new modulation techniques. 47. Max (…) Maximum 48. MGW Media Gateway 49. Min (…) Minimum 50. MME Mobility management entity It is a function, which returns the biggest number in a set of values defined in brackets. A gateway that supports both bearer traffic and signaling traffic. It provides conversion between TDM and IP traffic. Min (minimum) is a function, which returns the smallest number in a set of values defined in brackets. The MME is the key control-node for the LTE access-network. It is responsible for idle mode UE (User Equipment) tracking and paging procedure including retransmissions. 51. MSC Mobile Switching Centre A Mobile Switching Centre is a telecommunication switch or exchange within a cellular network architecture which is capable of inter working with location databases. MSC Server handles call control for circuit-based services including bearer 52. MSS MSC Server services, tele services, supplementary services, charging and security, besides controlling resources related to circuit-based services. Multimedia 53. MMSC Messaging Service Centre 54. NBV Net book value 55. NRC Net replacement cost 56. NC Network Component 57. NE Network element 58. - Node B 59. OPEX OPEX The Multimedia Messaging Service Centre provides a store and forward facility for multimedia messages sent across a mobile network. Remaining value of an asset calculated as a difference between gross book value and accumulated depreciation plus changes in asset revaluation over time. Cost incurred for replacing object of similar type and characteristics taking into account accumulated depreciation. Network Components represent logical elements that are functionally integrated and in combining those elements any services may be modeled. Any network object, which physically or logically can be identified as an independent network unit. In cellular UMTS system NodeB terminates the radio interface. Operating expenditures that comprise salaries, material and other external service costs. 4 No. Abbreviation 60. ODF Term Optical distribution frame 61. - Port 62. PGW Packet gateway Explanation ODF are used for connection and patching of optical cables, mainly used as the interface between optical transmit network and optical transmit equipment and between optical cables in access network of optical fiber subscribers. A device for connecting lines with network nodes accepting and forwarding electric signals. PGW includes Serving Gateway and PDN Gateway subcomponents, which together provide connectivity from the user equipment (UE) to external packet data networks by being the point of exit and entry of traffic for the UE. Radio Network 63. RNC 64. ROI Return on investment 65. - Routing matrix 66. SCP Service Control Point 67. SGSN 68. SMSC 69. SFH Controller The main element in Radio Network Subsystem that controls the use and the reliability of the radio resources. Required return on investment calculated by multiplying WACC and capital employed. Matrix which represents the intensity of NE usage for different services. The SCP processes the request and issues a "response" to the MSC so that it may continue call processing as appropriate. Serving GPRS SGSN keeps track of the location of an individual Mobile Station and performs Support Node security functions and access control. Short Message The SMSC forwards the short message to the indicated destination subscriber Service Centre number. Soft handover is a category of handover procedures where the radio links are Soft Handover added and abandoned in such manner that the mobile always keeps at least one radio link established. Stand-alone 70. SDCCH Dedicated Control Channel 71. - 72. - 73. - Supporting activity Switch (switching host) Electronic Communications network This channel is used in the GSM system to provide a reliable connection for signaling and SMS messages. Supporting activity comprise administration, accounting, planning, human resource management and other supplementary activities. Network element that switches calls between two network nodes. Electronic communications network used to provide public telephone service including transmission of voice between network end points and other services such as fax or data transmission. Transmission of a call from a switch (including switch) where interconnection can 74. - Termination be established, located closest to the subscriber receiving the call, to the final network point where the call ends. 75. TRX Transceiver 76. TRC Transcoder Controller A device that is capable of both transmission and reception of a signal. Function of TRC is transmitting data between switching controllers in a data transmission network. Transmission of a call from a switch where interconnection can be established 77. - Transit located closest to a subscriber initiating a call (excluding the switch ) to a switch where interconnection can be established located closest to a subscriber receiving a call (excluding the switch) via one or more switches. 5 No. Abbreviation Term 78. - Transmission link 79. - Transmission network 80. - Tributary card Universal Mobile 81. UMTS Telecommunications System 82. - Unsuccessful call 83. VC Variable costs 84. VLR Visitor Location Register 85. VMS Voice Mail Service 86. - WAP Gateway 87. WACC 88. - 89. WAP 90. – Weighted average cost of capital Wholesale billing system Wireless Application Protocol Recommendation Explanation A link which ensures transmission of optical and electric signal between two remote geographic units. Electronic communications equipment which ensures transmission of optical and electric signals among separate core network components. Component of a multiplexer constituting interface between multiplexer and other telecommunication equipment. It is a 3G mobile communications system which provides an enhanced range of multimedia services. Unsuccessful calls comprise calls when the line is busy and calls when the recipient does not answer the call. Costs that are directly related to change in volume of services. The Visitor Location Register contains all subscriber data required for call handling and mobility management for mobile subscribers currently located in the area controlled by the VLR. Network element, which executes recording of voice messages for users, who are unable to answer a call. WAP Gateway accesses web content for a mobile. Cost of capital calculated as a weighted cost of borrowed and equity capital. Information system which involves wholesale Usage Detail Records collection, validation, analysis and processing. A standard designed to allow the content of the Internet to be viewed on the screen of a mobile device such as mobile phones, personal organizers and pagers. European Commission Recommendation 2009/396/EC on the Regulatory Treatment of Fixed and Mobile Termination Rates in the EU as of 7 May 2009. 6 2. Table of contents 1. Glossary ............................................................................................................................... 2 2. Table of contents.................................................................................................................. 7 3. Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 9 3.1. Legal background ............................................................................................................. 9 3.2. Document objective ........................................................................................................ 11 4. LRAIC methodology ........................................................................................................... 11 4.1. Network modeling ........................................................................................................... 13 4.2. Increments ...................................................................................................................... 13 4.3. Modeling period .............................................................................................................. 14 4.4. Cost accounting .............................................................................................................. 15 4.5. Cost of capital ................................................................................................................. 15 4.6. Technological background .............................................................................................. 15 4.7. Mark – ups ...................................................................................................................... 16 5. Outline of the modeling principles....................................................................................... 18 5.1. Sub-models .................................................................................................................... 18 5.2. Model scenarios ............................................................................................................. 19 6. Flow of BU-LRAIC modeling............................................................................................... 19 6.1. Network demand ............................................................................................................ 19 6.2. Network dimensioning .................................................................................................... 19 6.3. Network valuation ........................................................................................................... 20 6.4. Service cost calculation .................................................................................................. 20 7. Scope of the model ............................................................................................................ 22 7.1. List of services ................................................................................................................ 22 7.2. List of homogeneous cost categories .............................................................................. 24 7.3. List of network components ............................................................................................ 28 8. Vocabulary of formulas....................................................................................................... 29 9. Demand ............................................................................................................................. 29 9.1. 9.1.1. Conversion of video calls ......................................................................................... 36 9.1.2. Conversion of SMS and MMS .................................................................................. 37 9.1.3. Conversion of GSM packet data .............................................................................. 38 9.1.4. Conversion of UMTS data........................................................................................ 39 9.1.5. Conversion of LTE VoIP calls and packet data ........................................................ 40 9.2. 10. Service demand conversion ............................................................................................ 32 Calculation of total traffic in minutes ............................................................................... 41 Network Dimensioning ....................................................................................................... 44 7 10.1. 10.1.1. Base Transceiver Station ..................................................................................... 45 10.1.2. Transceiver .......................................................................................................... 50 10.1.3. Base Station Controller ........................................................................................ 51 10.1.4. Transcoder Controller .......................................................................................... 51 10.2. Dimensioning of UMTS network .................................................................................. 52 10.2.1. Node B ................................................................................................................. 52 10.2.2. Radio Network Controller ..................................................................................... 56 10.3. Dimensioning of LTE network ..................................................................................... 57 10.3.1. eNode B ............................................................................................................... 57 10.3.2. Evolved Packet Core............................................................................................ 61 10.4. Dimensioning of BSS, RNS and PSS system .............................................................. 62 10.4.1. Base and extension units ..................................................................................... 62 10.4.2. Sites ..................................................................................................................... 65 10.4.3. Packet control unit (PCU) / Serving GPRS support node (SGSN) ........................ 66 10.5. Dimensioning of Network Switching System ................................................................ 68 10.5.1. Mobile Switching Centre....................................................................................... 68 10.5.2. Mobile Switching Centre Server ........................................................................... 72 10.5.3. Media Gateway .................................................................................................... 73 10.5.4. Short messages service center ............................................................................ 77 10.5.5. Multimedia messaging service center (MMSC) .................................................... 78 10.5.6. IP multimedia Sub-System ................................................................................... 78 10.5.7. Voice Mail Service and Home Location Register .................................................. 81 10.5.8. Centralized User Database (CUDB) ..................................................................... 82 10.5.9. Service Control Point (Intelligent Network) ........................................................... 82 10.5.10. Network Functionality ........................................................................................... 83 10.5.11. Other Network ...................................................................................................... 84 10.6. 11. Dimensioning of GSM network .................................................................................... 45 Transmission ............................................................................................................... 84 Network valuation ............................................................................................................... 97 11.1. Cost annualization ....................................................................................................... 97 11.2. Mark-ups ..................................................................................................................... 99 12. Service cost calculation .................................................................................................... 102 12.1. Homogeneous cost categories allocation to Network Components ........................... 102 12.2. Network Component average unit cost ...................................................................... 106 12.3. Service cost .............................................................................................................. 111 13. Annex 1. Second sub-model: cost calculation of Auxillary services for network interconnection ........................................................................................................................... 113 14. Annex 2. Economic depreciation method: analysis and results ........................................ 116 8 3. Introduction This document is based on the mobile BU-LRAIC reference paper originally created in 2008. All of the key changes to the document are marked with grey color – aa. Key changes to the document are presented below: Previous RRT approach Model the costs of an efficient service provider Based on current costs Forward looking BU LRAIC model Comply with the requirements of "technological efficiency” – NGN Take into account 2G and 3G technology Take into account pure incremental costs of call termination in determining the per item cost Take into account development of LTE technology in mobile telecommunications New Recommendation New topic New topic Included Not included Key changes affected these areas of the document: 3. Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 9 3.1. 4. Legal background ............................................................................................................. 9 LRAIC methodology ........................................................................................................... 11 4.2. Increments ...................................................................................................................... 13 4.3. Modeling period .............................................................................................................. 14 7. Scope of the model ............................................................................................................ 22 7.1. List of services ................................................................................................................ 22 7.2. List of homogeneous cost categories .............................................................................. 24 7.3. List of network components ............................................................................................ 28 9. Demand ............................................................................................................................. 29 9.1.5. 10. Conversion of LTE VoIP calls and packet data ........................................................ 40 Network Dimensioning ....................................................................................................... 44 10.3.1. eNode B ............................................................................................................... 57 10.3.2. Evolved Packet Core............................................................................................ 61 10.4. Dimensioning of BSS, RNS and PSS system .............................................................. 62 10.5.6. IP multimedia Sub-System ................................................................................... 78 9 3.1. Legal background Elaboration of a tool for the calculation of cost-based carrier specific interconnection prices of the Lithuanian mobile networks developed by bottom-up method of long-run incremental costs (hereinafter, BU-LRAIC ) method is maintained by these legal regulations: ► European Union Electronic Communications Regulation System (directives); ► Law on Electronic Communications of the Republic of Lithuania; ► Market analysis conducted by the Communications Regulatory Authority of the Republic of Lithuania (hereinafter, RRT); ► Executive orders and decisions of the Director of the RRT; ► European Commission recommendation (2009/396/EC). In 2008 RRT initiated a project to estimate call termination costs for mobile networks. Ernst & Young created a BU-LRAIC cost calculation model for mobile networks according. Taking into account the results of cost calculation, RRT started regulation of call termination prices from 20101. However, in 2009 the European Commission released a new recommendation (2009/396/EC) regarding price regulation of call termination prices on mobile and fixed networks. Therefore and the aim of the project is to update the BU-LRAIC model to calculate costs of call termination in mobile operators’ networks in order to comply with the requirements set out in the Recommendation, in particular the following: ► Model the costs of an efficient service provider; ► Calculations shall be based on current costs; ► Implement a forward looking BU LRAIC model; ► Comply with the requirements of "technological efficiency” – NGN; ► Take into account 2G and 3G technology mix; ► May contain economic depreciation method; ► Take into account the incremental costs (Pure LRAIC) of call termination in determining the per item cost. 1 Orders No 1V-1515, No 1V-1516 and No 1V-1517 of 24 December 2009 of the Director of RRT. 10 3.2. Document objective The objectives of this reference paper (hereinafter, BU-LRAIC model reference paper or MRP) are: ► To present the scope and the detailed principles of the BU-LRAIC modeling (guidelines and concept of the BU-LRAIC model); BU-LRAIC modeling is theoretical and might differ from the real market situation; however, it models mobile network operator operating efficiently in a competitive market. While using BU-LRAIC method, there is a risk that some of the practical aspects will be excluded from the scope of the model. In order to avoid this kind of situation, it is expected that all market players will take an active participation in model implementation. In case there is a lack of data for BU-LRAIC modeling, benchmarks will be used. 4. LRAIC methodology All calculations in the model are based on Forward – Looking Long Run Average Incremental Cost (LRAIC) methodology, assuming Bottom-up approach and efficient operator operating in a fully competitive market. Below is provided a short introduction to the model of BU-LRAIC. The meaning of the definition of BU-LRAIC is as follows: 1. LRAIC costs: There are 3 LRAIC methods of cost calculation: Pure LRAIC, LRAIC+ and LRAIC++. ► Pure LRAIC method – includes only costs related to network components used in the provision of the particular service ► LRAIC+ method – includes only costs related to network components used in the provision of the particular group of services, which allows some shared cost of the group of services to become incremental as well. The group of service could be total voice services and total data services. ► LRAIC++ method – includes costs described in LRAIC+ method description plus common and joint cost. The common and joint cost related to each group of service (total voice services and total data services) are calculated separately for each Network Component using an equally-proportional mark-up (EPMU) mechanism based on the level of incremental cost incurred by each group of service (total voice services and total data services). Approaches in calculating using each method are illustrated in the picture below: 11 Figure 1: Illustration of LRAIC cost allocation methods BU-LRAIC model will have functionality to calculate costs using all three methods. 2. Long run. In the short run incremental costs can split into fixed and variable incremental costs; however, in the long run all costs are variable, which is the principle of LRAIC. Consequently, all input factors (as well as capital) should be included to the forecasted demand for services. 3. Average Incremental. The principle of average incremental costs involves estimating a change in costs which is caused by production (service) increment (or decrease) and allocating estimated costs to one unit of service. Figure 2 illustrates the concepts of incremental and average incremental costs. Costs Incremental costs Average incremental costs Increment Figure 2: Incremental and average incremental costs 12 Output 4. Forward looking. Forward-looking costs are the costs incurred today building a network which has to face future demand and asset prices. In practice this means that if modeling is done in a year X, the cost of services is calculated for the year up to X+10 (e.g. if modeling is done in 2009, service costs are calculated for the years 2010 - 2020). 5. Bottom-up. A bottom-up approach involves the development of engineering-economic models which are used to calculate the costs of network elements which would be used by an efficient operator in providing interconnection services. Bottom-up models perform the following tasks: ► Dimension and revaluate the network. ► Estimate non-network costs. ► Estimate operating maintenance and supporting costs. ► Estimate services costs. In a broader meaning, BU-LRAIC (together with the efficiency assumption) is the approximation of incremental costs, which, according to the economic theory, reflects the economic costs (and the price) of an efficient operator operating in a fully competitive market. As a result, for the purpose of efficient competition, mobile termination rates should come up to the same rates as calculated using the pure BU-LRAIC method. 4.1. Network modeling Current BU-LRAIC network modeling is not constrained by current network design or topology. It is assumed that network is built from scratch with forward-looking technology. Number of network elements and their locations are derived from technological models. Consequently, this approach determines the level of optimization, that closely approximates long-run economic costs of providing interconnection and other services and assures that Operators have incentives to migrate to a more efficient architecture. Following the network modeling principles described above, the detailed calculations of required network elements are provided in section 10. Network dimensioning. 4.2. Increments In LRAIC methodology increments refer to elements that influence costs of objects subject to analysis (objects under analysis are provided in section 7.1 List of services). Calculating the incremental costs of wholesale services in mobile networks using Pure LRAIC method, it is necessary to identify only those fixed and variable costs that would not be incurred if the wholesale 13 services were no longer provided to third-party operators (i.e. the avoidable costs only). The avoidable costs of the wholesale service increment may be calculated by identifying the total longrun cost of an operator providing its full range of services and then identifying the long-run costs of the same operator in the absence of the wholesale service being provided to third parties. This may then be subtracted from the total long-run costs of the business to derive the defined increment. When calculating costs using LRAIC+ method, it is necessary to identify only those fixed and variable costs that would not be incurred if the group of services were no longer provided to thirdparty operators and retail subscribers (i.e. the avoidable costs only). The avoidable costs of the group of services increment may be calculated by identifying the total long-run cost of an operator providing its full range of services and then identifying the long-run costs of the same operator in the absence of the group of services being provided to third parties retail subscribers. This may then be subtracted from the total long-run costs of the business to derive the defined increment. When calculating costs using LRAIC++ additional mark-ups are added on the primarily estimated increments to cover costs of all shared and common elements and activities which are necessary for the provision of all services. Increments of current BU-LRAIC model are: ► Coverage (geographical scope of mobile network); ► Traffic; ► Subscribers. The increment “coverage (geographical scope of mobile network)” effect on costs is assessed respect to costs, which are incurred seeking to accomplish territory coverage obligations, which are stated in the licenses of frequency handling. 4.3. Modeling period In order to get a deeper insight into the mobile network operator cost structure, it is common practice to calculate service costs for at least several periods. BU-LRAIC model will calculate nominal service costs for the years 2010 – 2020. 14 4.4. Cost accounting It has to be noted that BU-LRAIC calculation, as a rule, is based on current cost basis. The objective of the current cost accounting approach is to derive information what it would cost to acquire assets and other required resources now or in the near future. The current cost is calculated by using the current (or the latest) market prices (replacement cost) or adjusting the historical cost for asset specific inflation and therefore getting more realistic values of assets and other resources used in business. In the situation, when fixed assets that are still in use are outdated or no longer available on the market, it may be difficult to assign their current price. In this situation the concept of modern equivalent asset (MEA) has to be adopted. MEA means an asset that would perform the same function as the asset to be replaced and is currently available on the market. Historical costs may also be used as a proxy for current costs when assets have been purchased quite recently and no better source for current costs (including MEA) is available. 4.5. Cost of capital Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is used in BU-LRAIC model for cost of capital estimation. WACC measures a company’s cost of debt and equity financing weighted by the percentage of debt and percentage of equity in a company’s target capital structure. Calculation and elaboration of WACC of Lithuanian mobile network operators will be provided in a separate report. 4.6. Technological background At the moment of the BU-LRAIC modelling, all Operators used GSM and UMTS network technologies to provide services. As there are new tendencies of developing Long term evolution (LTE) mobile network technology, the model will have a functionality of modelling costs using joint GSM / UMTS / LTE network. It is assumed that in the following years voice traffic can be fully accomodated in GSM and UMTS network; nevertheless, modeled network will be capable to provide voice services over LTE. According to the data available as of 31th of December 2011, the total number of mobile network 15 subscribers was 4938.01 thousand, the number of UMTS subsribers was 1201.52 thousand and there were no LTE subscribers reported for that period. Assuming that the majority of new LTE subscribers are going to use LTE network mostly for data services3, LTE voice traffic proportion will be insignificantly small in the total voice traffic. Taking into account operators’ practical experience in Lithuania and abroad, three alternative core network architectures are being evaluated: ► Establishment of Mobile Switching Centres (all voice in MSCs); ► Establishment of Mobile Switching Centre Server and Media Gateways (all voice in MSS and MGW). ► Establishment of Evolved Packet Core and IP multimedia subsystem (all LTE voice in EPC and IMS). BU-LRAIC model has a functionality to model all three scenarios. Dimensioning rules for all network elements are given in the section 10. Network Dimensioning. 4.7. Mark – ups As already discused in section 4.2 Increments a mark-up approach is provided for in the BU-LRAIC model to cover network related operational cost, administration and support operational and capital costs and network management system capital cost. The major driver of network structure and development is service demand. Increasing service demand requires additional network capacity and appropriate network elements. This results in increased network related operational costs (e.g. more designing engineers are needed to built and supervise network). Network related operational cost (headcount) is a driver for administration and support operational and capital costs. Service demand and mark-up relation is illustrated in figure 3: % Network demand Network infrastructure % Network related operational costs Admin/support operational and capital costs Figure 3. Service demand and mark-up relation 2 Report on the electronic communications sector 2011 Quarter IV. www.rrt.lt 3 Based on data provided by Operators 16 A more detailed description of mark-ups usage and allocation is provided in section 11.2 Mark-ups. Referring to the best practices and international experience, mark-ups to cover network related operational cost, administration and support operational and capital costs and network management system capital cost are estimated by collecting data from Operators, further they are adjusted by benchmarks derived from foreign operators’ data. Currently it is assumed that the latest data from the following sources will be adopted for the purpose of mark-up calculation: 1. Questionnaire data provided by Operators. If data provided by the Operators is not sufficient for modeling purposes, the following data sources will be used: 1. Reports published by the Information Society Directorate of the European Commission related to bottom-up costing models used for the interconnection cost calculation in European Union member states. 2. Reports and documents published by the Federal Communication Commission related to bottom-up costing models used for the interconnection cost calculation in the European Union member states; 3. Public reports on LRAIC projects, LRAIC models that are used in other EU member states. 4. EY knowledge of the global telecommunications sector. 17 5. Outline of the modeling principles 5.1. Sub-models BU-LRAIC model consists of two separate sub-models. Each of them includes different services (see Table 1). The sub-models are physically separated into two independent (not inter-linked) MS Excel models. Table 1. Sub-models of the BU-LRAIC model First sub-model – services included Second sub-model – services included Call origination Provision of auxiliary services for network interconnection Call termination Call transit Short messages services (SMS) (initiation, termination, sending on-net SMS) Multimedia messages services (MMS) (initiation, termination, sending on-net MMS) Capacity based services In the First sub-model the following costs are calculated: ► CAPEX related network costs; ► OPEX related network costs; ► CAPEX – administration and support; ► OPEX – administration and support. CAPEX related network costs cover network components listed in section 7.3 List of network components. CAPEX related network management system costs4, OPEX related network costs, OPEX and CAPEX for administration and support, are listed and discussed in section 11.2. Markups. The modeling principles used in the second BU-LRAIC sub-model are presented in Annex 1. 4 Costs of network management system (NMS) are calculated as a mark-up. 18 5.2. Model scenarios First BU-LRAIC sub-model will contain individual model scenarios for each Operator (in total three scenarios). Model for auxiliary services for network interconnection will contain a single scenario for all Operators. 6. Flow of BU-LRAIC modeling The objective of BU-LRAIC method is to measure the costs of services that would be incurred by a efficient operator in a competitive market assuming that network is rebuilt to meet the current and the forward looking demand. Figure 4 illustrates the overall flow of BU-LRAIC methodology. Accordingly, the structure of this reference paper is aligned with the provided flow as well. Network demand Network valuation Network dimensioning Service costs calculation Figure 4: the overall flow of BU-LRAIC methodology. 6.1. Network demand The network demand section of the model is required to translate the relevant portfolio of service demand into the network dimensioning demand. As the dimensioned network should handle the traffic during the peak period, measured service volumes are translated into busy-hour throughput network element demand. No network is built for the current demand. Networks are constructed to meet future demands. In order to reflect this requirement the planning horizon for which networks are designed has to be considered. In principle this is determined on the basis of economic considerations by examining the trade-off between the costs of spare capacity in the short term and the costs of repeatedly augmenting capacity on a just-in-time basis. The detailed explanation of network demand principles is provided in section 9. Demand. 6.2. Network dimensioning Following the identification of demand on a network element basis, the next stage in the process is identification of the necessary network equipment to support the identified level of busy-hour demand. This is achieved through the use of engineering rules, which consider the modular nature of network equipment and hence identify the individual components within each defined network 19 element. This then allows variable cost structures to determine the costs on an element-byelement basis. The detailed explanation of network dimensioning principles is provided in section 10. Network dimensioning. 6.3. Network valuation After all the necessary network equipment is identified, Homogenous Cost Categories (HCC) are derived (physical units of network elements identified are multiplied by current prices and investments calculated later on are annualized). HCC is a set of costs, which have the same driver, the same cost volume relationship (CVR) pattern and the same rate of technology change. HCC values are calculated by multiplying physical units of network elements by current prices. Later on, calculated investments are annualized and mark-ups (both for CAPEX and OPEX costs) are set. HCC list is provided in section 7.2 List of homogeneous cost categories. All mobile network elements identified during network dimensioning must be revalued at Gross Replacement Cost (GRC). On the basis of GRC value its annual cost is calculated. This cost includes both: ► Annualized capital costs (CAPEX); and ► Annual operating expenses (OPEX). CAPEX costs consist of Return on Investment (ROI) and depreciation. OPEX costs consist of salaries (including social insurance), material and costs of external services (external services – transportation, security, utilities, etc). The detailed analysis of methodologies to annualize CAPEX costs is provided in section 11.1. Cost annualization. A detailed explanation of Mark-ups used to recover costs related with CAPEX and OPEX is provided in sections 4.7. Mark-ups and 11.2. Mark-ups. The list of HCCs, Network Components (NCs) and services used in the model is provided in section 7. Scope of the model. 6.4. Service cost calculation The fundamental principle of LRAIC methodology – costs are allocated to network components, network components are mapped with network services and in this way the costs are calculated (see figure 5). 20 Homogeneous cost categories Network components Services Figure 5: Cost allocation principle After HCC are derived they are allocated to a particular Network Component (NC). NCs represent logical elements that are functionally integrated and any services may be modeled by combining those elements. NC list is provided in the section 7.3 List of network components. Later, the total NC costs are calculated by summing up the appropriate HCCs. NC costs are divided by service volumes. Costs of services are calculated on a basis of network component unit costs according to network component usage statistics. The detailed explanation of service cost calculation is provided in secion 9. Service cost calculation. 21 7. Scope of the model The scope of the model is defined with respect to the range of services, network components and homogenous cost categories to be included into the BU-LRAIC model. This determines the modeled network architecture and its granularity level. 7.1. List of services The list of services included in the first BU-LRAIC sub-model comprises: 1. Call origination; 2. Call termination; 3. Call transit: ► Transit of call via network originated and terminated in Lithuania – Transit 1 ► Transit of call via network originated in Lithuania and terminated abroad – Transit 2 ► Transit of call via network originated abroad and terminated in Lithuania – Transit 3 4. Short messages services (SMS): initiation, termination and on-net SMS 5. Multimedia messages services (MMS): initiation, termination and on-net SMS 6. Capacity based services Call origination, call termination and transit services in addition to average cost per unit have peak and off-peak hour perspective. Other services do not have a perspective of peak and off-peak. Average cost of the Provision of auxiliary services for network interconnection is calculated in second BU-LRAIC sub-model. BU-LRAIC model is fitted to estimation of costs of services modeling the provision of services on the ground of GSM (900 MHz), DCS (1800 MHz), LTE (2600 MHz), UMTS (2100 MHz) and HSDPA/HSUPA standards. Referring to the list of services in the first BU-LRAIC sub-model provided above and BU-LRAIC modeling principles covered in this reference paper, respective outcome of the first BU-LRAIC submodel is expected as presented in Table 2. 22 Table 2. Outcome of the first BU-LRAIC sub-model Service Network Tower BTS / Component and NodeB / site eNodeB prepa- voice ration Call transit 1, per minute Call transit 2, per minute Call transit 2, per minute Call origination, per minute Call termination, per minute Initiation of Short messages services (SMS), per unit Termination of SMS, per unit On-net SMS, per unit Initiation of Multimedia messages services (MMS) Termination of MMS, per unit On-net MMS, per unit Capacity based services BSC/ RNC/ EPC voice BTS/ NodeB/ eNodeB data BSC/ MSC/ TX TX / TX RNC/ MSS/ back- aggre- core EPC MGW haul gation voice data voice voice TX backhaul data TX / TX aggre- core gation data data SMSC MMSC SGSN/ SGSN/ EDGE HSDPA WAP HLR Billing IMS Number Total GGSN GGSN porta- costs: voice data bility platform 7.2. List of homogeneous cost categories As mentioned in section 6. Flow of BU-LRAIC modeling, HCC values are calculated by annualizing CAPEX costs calculated in the network dimensioning part of the model and by application of a set of mark-ups (both for CAPEX and OPEX costs). Table 3 indicates the list of homogeneous cost categories (HCC) in BU-LRAIC model. Table 3. List of HCC in BU-LRAIC model HCC name HCC sub-components Site Macro cell: tower and site preparation Micro cell: site preparation Pico cell: site preparation Stand-alone transmission radio link: tower and site preparation BTS Macro cell: equipment (omni sector) Macro cell: equipment (2 sector) Macro cell: equipment (3 sector) Micro cell: equipment Pico cell: equipment Macro cell: TRXs Micro cell: TRXs Pico cell: TRXs Node B Macro cell: equipment (omni sector) Macro cell: equipment (2 sector) Macro cell: equipment (3 sector) Micro cell: equipment Pico cell: equipment eNode B Macro cell: equipment (omni sector) Macro cell: equipment (2 sector) Macro cell: equipment (3 sector) Micro cell: equipment Pico cell: equipment HCC name HCC sub-components EPC PGW: base unit PGW: extension units MME: base unit MME: expansion units SGSN / GGSN PCU: base unit PCU: expansion units (Gb link) SGSN: base unit SGSN: processing expansion GGSN: basic unit and license IMS IMS - Cabinet IMS core - Service frame HSS - Service frame IMS core - Service card - Type 1 - CSCF IMS core - Service card - Type 2 - MGCF IMS core - Service card - Type 3 - VoIP AS IMS core - Service card - Type 4 - MRCF/CCTF IMS core - Service card - Type 5 - MRFP IMS core - Service card - Type 6 - BGCF HSS - Service card - Type 1 - Control card HSS - Service card - Type 2 - Database card IMS - Licenses - Type 1 – subscriber IMS - Licenses - Type 2 – traffic HSS - Licenses Ethernet Radio link Ethernet radio link 10 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radio link 20 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radio link 40 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radio link 100 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radio link 300 Mb/s microwave link 25 HCC name HCC sub-components BSC / RNC BSC: base unit BSC: BS TRX extension TRC: transcoder base unit TRC: transcoder E1 (A interface) extension RNC: basic units RNC: extension units (Iub link) RNC: extension units (sectors) RNC: extension units (sites) MSC / MGW MSC: basic unit and software MSC: processor extension MSC: VLR, EIR extension MSC: SS7 extension MSC: trunk port extension MSC: I/O peripherals MSS: basic unit and software MSS: processor extension MGW: basic unit and software MGW: processor extension MGW: trunk port extension Network Functionality SFH: soft handover (network-wide) SFH: soft handover (MSS extension) SFH: soft handover (RNC extension) SFH: soft handover (NodeB extension) GSM/DCS: control (network-wide) GSM/DCS: control (MSC extension) GSM/DCS: control (BSC extension) GSM/DCS: control (BTS extension) LTE: CS fallback function (eNodeB extension) LTE: CS fallback function (MME extension) SMSC / MMSC SMSC: base unit SMSC: extension MMSC: base unit MMSC: extension 26 HCC name HCC sub-components Other Network SSP: service switching point (network-wide) SCP: service control point - base unit (pre-paid related) SCP: extension - subscribers SCP: extension - tps VMS: base unit VMS: extension HLR: base unit HLR: extension Centralized User Database (CUDB): base unit Centralized User Database (CUDB): extension Billing IC hardware and software Number portability system: hardware and software: License and frequency fee Concession right - GSM 900 MHz (total value) Concession right - GSM 1800 MHz (total value) Concession right - UMTS (total value) Concession right - LTE (total value) Data transmission services Data transmission services aggregation, per link Data transmission services aggregation, per km Data transmission services core, per link Data transmission services core, per km Network management system5 5 - Costs of network management system (NMS) are calculated as a mark-up. See section 8.2 Mark-ups 27 7.3. List of network components List of NC used in BU-LRAIC model is as follows: ► Tower and site preparation ► BTS / Node B / eNode B voice ► BSC / RNC / EPC voice ► BTS / Node B / eNode B data ► BSC / RNC / EPC data ► MSC / MSS / MGW ► TX backhaul voice - transmission between BTS/NodeB/eNodeB and BSC/RNC/EPC ► TX aggregation voice - transmission between BSC/RNC/EPC – MSC/MGW/SGSN/GSSN ► TX core voice - transmission between MSC/MGW/GSSN - MSC/MGW/GSSN ► TX backhaul data - transmission between BTS/NodeB/eNodeB and BSC/RNC/EPC ► TX aggregation data - transmission between BSC/RNC/EPC – MSC/MGW/SGSN/GSSN ► TX core data - transmission between MSC/MGW/GSSN - MSC/MGW/GSSN ► SMSC ► MMSC ► SGSN / GGSN voice ► SGSN / GGSN data ► EDGE ► HSDPA ► WAP ► HLR ► Billing ► IMS ► Number portability platform6 6 Number portability platform is only estimated in the particular modeling scenario, when LTE is not used for handling voice services and consequently, IMS is not dimensioned. 28 8. Vocabulary of formulas In the table below a vocabulary of formulas used to dimension network elements and calculate the demand is described: Abbreviation Explanation N Number of x elements V Volume of x traffic S Number of subscribers/services T Throughput x element HA Headroom allowance Proportion expressed in percentage C Capacity of x element 9. Demand Mobile networks are dimensioned to handle traffic in the peak periods, not the average traffic loads. The average traffic load must therefore be converted into peak loads by the application of traffic distribution factors drawn from the operator’s network management statistics. Consequently, data related to service demand and customer profile in BU-LRAIC model comprises the following type of information: ► Service demand in terms of voice and video call minutes, SMS and MMS quantities, data minutes and bytes; ► Number of subscribers; ► Traffic flows, network element usage factors; ► Service profiles in terms of daily traffic structure, set-up time, rate of unsuccessful call attempts. Demand calculation is also split in two parts according to mobile network technology used: ► LTE network; ► UMTS network; ► GSM network. 29 The load is measured with busy hour Erlangs (BHE). BHE is calculated for services in the network by network element or transmission type between elements. BHE calculation algorithms for services provided by three mobile network technologies analyzed are presented further in this section. The summary of services included in the modeling of each mobile network technology is presented in the table below. Table 4. Services modeled in GSM, UMTS and LTE networks Service GSM network UMTS network LTE network Voice calls7 X X - Video calls - X - SMS X X - X X - X X X MMS Data services 8 Voice calls minutes are analyzed in four groups: ► On-net minutes (call minutes originated and terminated on own mobile network including, calls to short telephone numbers, services for Mobile virtual network operator’s (hereinafter, MVNO) and inbound roaming traffic (calls originated and terminated on the same network); ► Off-net minutes (call minutes originated on own network and terminated on other networks, on international networks, including calls to short telephone numbers, services for MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (calls originated on network but terminated on the other network); ► Incoming minutes (call minutes originated on other networks, international networks, including calls to short telephone numbers, services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (incoming roaming calls) and terminated in own network); ► Transit minutes (traffic, which is neither originated nor terminated in the own network, bridge traffic between different operators). SMS is split into three groups: ► On-net SMS (SMS sent from own mobile network to own mobile network, including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (SMS originated and terminated on the same network); 7 Actual minutes of traffic in the network, not rounded billing system data. 8 Including all retail and wholesale services 30 ► Outgoing SMS (SMS sent from own mobile network to international networks and to other mobile networks including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (SMS originated on own network, but terminated on the other network); ► Incoming SMS (SMS sent from international networks and from other mobile networks including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (SMS originated on the other network but terminated on own network) to own mobile network). MMS is split into three groups: ► On-net MMS (MMS sent from own mobile network to own mobile network, including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (MMS originated and terminated on the same network); ► Outgoing MMS (MMS sent from own mobile network to international networks and to other mobile networks, including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (MMS originated on own network, but terminated on the other network); ► Incoming MMS (MMS sent from international networks and from other mobile networks, including services provided to MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (MMS originated on the other network but terminated on own network) to own mobile network). Packet data traffic volumes comprise yearly total up-link and yearly total down-link traffic loads in MB9. Video calls are split into 3 groups: ► On-net minutes (call minutes originated and terminated in own mobile network including MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (calls originated and terminated on the same network); ► Off-net minutes (call minutes originated in own network and terminated in fixed networks, in international networks and in other mobile networks including MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (video calls originated on network but terminated on the other network); ► Incoming minutes (call minutes originated in fixed networks, international networks and in other mobile networks, including MVNOs and inbound roaming traffic (incoming roaming video calls) and terminated in own network). 9 Volumes also include traffic of roaming data services. 31 9.1. Service demand conversion The average traffic load conversion to peak loads is needed for the evaluation of network (network elements, equipment amounts), which would effectively service the required services demand. Average traffic load conversion to peak loads is done to each network element, i.e. BHE is calculated to each network element. The amount of network elements is calculated according to the estimated BHE. The average traffic load consists of statistic raw service data. Peak loads consist of statistic raw service data evaluated according to routing, inhomogeneity factors other coefficients. The average service demand conversion to BHE will be done in the followings steps: 1. Calculating the number of call attempts (for voice and video calls); 2. Weighting billed traffic volumes by routing factors; 3. Adjusting billed voice and video minutes volumes for unbilled traffic; 4. Converting service volumes to minute equivalent; 5. Traffic volumes (minutes) adjusted by de-averaging factors. The number of call-attempts (NCA, units) is calculated according to the following formula: N CA (1) Tcall CD Where: Tcall – Voice or video calls traffic, minutes; αCD – Average call duration, minutes. Call-attempts in BU-LRAIC reference paper are converted to busy hour call-attempts for each network element. This size is used to estimate the processor part capacity of the mobile switching centre (MSC), mobile switching centre server (MSS), media gateway (MGW), IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) and intelligent network (IN). Busy hour call-attempts per minute are calculated by multiplying the annual number of callattempts (NCA) by routing factors (formula No. (2) is applied and instead of services traffic callattempts are inserted), average traffic to busy hour traffic factors (respectively applying formula No. (16)), unsuccessful compared to successful calls ratio and dividing by the amount of minutes in a year. So, the number of busy hour call-attempts (NBHCA, units) is calculated according to the following formula: 32 N BHCA N CA r f f DA (1 ru ) (2) 365 24 60 Where: NCA – Call-attempts number, units. See formula No. (1) fR – Routing factor for particular service traffic in a particular network element. See table No. 5 fDA – De-averaging factor. See formula No. (18) ru – Ratio of unsuccessful calls compared to successful calls, %. See table No. 6 Division by 365 is year to days conversion, division by 24 is day to hours conversion and division by 60 is hour to minutes conversion. Weighted traffic volumes (TW, minutes, messages or MB) for particular network element by routing factors are calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: TW T f R (3) Where: T – Traffic volume, minutes, messages or MB; fR – Routing factor. Routing factor of traffic for particular service in a particular network element. See table No. 5 Routing factors are given in the Routing factors matrix (see table 5). In this matrix each row represents separate traffic of service type and each column represents a separate element in the network. The routing factor is estimated having in mind traffic nature and shows the minimum number of times a particular service type traffic utilizes a particular network element. For instance, on-net SMS messages service in element BTS routing factor is two, which means on-net SMS in its path from user device to user device steps through BTS element two times on average. 33 Table 5. Routing factors Routing factors 1 Service type BTS/ NodeB/ eNode B 2 3 BSC/ RNC/ EPC MSC/ MGW or SMSC or MMSC or SGSN or GGSN 4 5 6 7 8 TX backhaul TX aggrega tion TX - core MSC/M GW/IM S-IC IMS* Voice traffic (minutes of use) 1 On-net minutes 2,00 2,00 1,20 2,00 2,00 0,20 0,00 1,00 2 Off-net minutes 1,00 1,00 1,50 1,00 1,00 0,50 1,00 1,00 3 Incoming minutes 1,00 1,00 1,50 1,00 1,00 0,50 1,00 1,00 4 Transit 1 minutes 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 1,00 2,00 0,00 5 Transit 2 minutes 0,00 0,00 2,5 0,00 0,00 2,00 2,00 0,00 6 Transit 3 minutes 0,00 0,00 2,5 0,00 0,00 2,00 2,00 0,00 Video traffic (minutes of use) 5 On-net minutes 2,00 2,00 1,20 2,00 2,00 0,20 0,00 1,00 6 Off-net minutes 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 1,00 7 Incoming minutes 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 1,00 SMS traffic (units) 8 On-net SMS messages 2,00 2,00 1,00 2,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 9 Outgoing SMS messages 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 0,00 10 Incoming SMS messages 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 0,00 MMS traffic (units) 11 On-net MMS messages 2,00 2,00 1,00 2,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 12 Outgoing MMS messages 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 0,00 13 Incoming MMS messages 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 0,00 Up-link (GSM subscribers) 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 Down-link (GSM subscribers) 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 data) 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 Up-link (LTE subscribers - data) 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 0,00 1,00 Circuit data traffic (minutes of use) 14 HSCSD/CSD minutes Packet data traffic (Mbytes) Up-link (UMTS subscribers data) 15 Down-link (UMTS subscribers - Down-link (LTE subscribers data) *IMS used instead of MSC/MSS only for LTE voice traffic The adjustment for unbilled traffic in the network applies separately to the following traffic groups: voice calls, video calls. Billed minutes traffic or just billed minutes are defined as call duration from 34 a connection start, when a phone is picked up to a connection end, when a phone is hung up. Performing calculations of billed traffic includes short, emergency, information and similar numbers minutes traffic, i.e. all actual call minutes in the network. Unbilled traffic is related to call set-up duration and unsuccessful calls. Unsuccessful calls comprise calls both when the line is busy and when the recipient does not answer the call. Other services (SMS, MMS and data) are billed as they use the network resources; therefore, the adjustment for unbilled traffic is not needed. Calls traffic (TB+U) (billed plus unbilled traffic) is calculated according to the following formulas: TB U TW (1 f A ) fA (4) Ss S r u u CD 60 CD 60 (5) Where: fA – Adjusting factor; TW – Weighted calls traffic for particular network element, minutes. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (3). Ss – Call set-up duration for successful calls, seconds. See table No. 7 Su – Call set-up duration for unsuccessful calls, seconds. See table No. 7 ru – Ratio of unsuccessful calls compared to successful calls, %. See table No. 7 αCD – Average call duration, seconds. See table No. 7 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute number. Parameters for the calculation of formula No. (4) and No. (5) are provided in the table 6. Table 6. TB+U calculation parameters Parameter Unit Values per total network Call set-up duration for successful calls seconds 8 Call set-up duration for unsuccessful calls seconds 15 Call duration seconds 120 Unsuccessful call attempts as percentage of successful calls % 40 In order to come to homogenous service volume measures, volumes of all non minute services are converted to minute equivalent. This homogenous service volume measure is needed in order to dimension elements, which are used in the network dimensioning generally. The list of converted services is provided below: 35 1. Video calls; 2. SMS (SMS); 3. MMS (MMS); 4. Packet data traffic for GSM network: ► GPRS transmission technology; ► EDGE transmission technology. 5. Packet data traffic for UMTS network: ► UMTS R99 transmission technology; ► HSDPA transmission technology. 6. Packet data traffic and VoIP calls for LTE network: ► LTE transmission technology; Traffic conversion to minute equivalent is done according to the principle given in the following formula: TC TW f C (6) Where: TC – Converted particular service traffic, minutes; TW – Weighted particular service traffic (in this case voice calls traffic is not included), messages or MB. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (3). fC – Refers to a particular service (video calls, SMS, MMS, packet data services) conversion factor. Factors calculations are provided in formulas (7) - (14). Different conversion factors are applied to different types of services. Further in the document conversion factor calculation algorithms are presented. 9.1.1. Conversion of video calls Conversion factor for video call minutes to voice minute equivalent (fvi) is calculated according to the following formula: f vi vi vo (7) Where: 36 ρvi – Video call bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 8 ρvo – Voice call bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 8 Video conversion factor is a proportion of video and voice bit rates, the technical average values of which are given in the table 7. Table 7. Video conversion parameters Parameter Unit Voice call bit rate kbit/s 12.20 Video call bit rate kbit/s 64.00 9.1.2. Values per total network Conversion of SMS and MMS SMS message to minute equivalent conversion factor (fSMS) is calculated according to the following formula: f SMS LSMS ch (8) 8 60 Where: LSMS – Average length of SMS message, B. See table No. 8 ρch – SDCCH channel bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 8 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute number and multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits. MMS message to minute equivalent conversion factor (fMMS) is calculated according to the following formula: f MMS f G LMMS 106 (9) Where: fG – GPRS MB to minute conversion factor. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (10) LMMS – Average length of MMS message, B. Division by 106 is bytes conversion to megabytes. SMS and MMS to minute equivalent conversion is based on SDCCH channel bit rate and the length of a particular message (B), the technical values of which are given in the table No. 8 37 Table 8. SMS/MMS conversion parameters Parameter Unit SDCCH bit rate bit/s Average SMS length B 40.00 Average MMS length B 40,000.00 9.1.3. Values per total network 765.00 Conversion of GSM packet data The packet data traffic conversion factor calculation for GSM network is split in two parts according to the technologies, on which data transmission is based. So, there will be the following conversion factors calculated in GSM network: ► GPRS MB to minute conversion factor; ► EDGE MB to minute conversion factor; ► General GSM MB to minute conversion factor. GPRS/EDGE data traffic conversion factor (fG or fE) in megabytes to minute equivalent is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: f G or E 1000 8 (10) 1 1 60 G or E Where: ρG – GPRS bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 ρE – EDGE bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute, multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. General data traffic conversion factor (fGSM) in GSM network in megabytes to minute equivalent is calculated according to the following formula: f GSM 1000 8 1 1 60 G ( PG PGW ) E ( PE PEW ) Where: PGD – GPRS data traffic proportion in GSM network, %; PGW – GPRS WAP traffic proportion in GSM network, %; PE – EDGE data traffic proportion in GSM network, %; 38 (11) PEW – EDGE WAP traffic proportion in GSM network, %; ρG – GPRS bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 ρE – EDGE bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute, multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. 9.1.4. Conversion of UMTS data Packet data conversion to equivalent minutes in UMTS network is done to estimate networks joint traffic in minutes and allocate for it the network component’s “Tower and site preparation”, which is employed to provide all the costs of services described in this document ,. The packet data traffic conversion factor calculation for UMTS R99 network is split in two parts according to the technologies, on which data transmission is based. So, there will be the following conversion factors calculated in UMTS network: ► UMTS R99 MB to minute conversion factor; ► HSDPA MB to minute conversion factor; ► General UMTS MB to minute conversion factor. UMTS R99 and HSDPA data traffic conversion factor (fumts and fHSDPA) in megabytes to minute equivalent is calculated according to the following formulas: f umts 1000 8 f HSDPA 8 (12) 1 1 60 umts (13) 1 1 60 HSDPA Where: ρumts – UMTS bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 ρHSDPA – HSDPA bit rate, Mbit/s. See table No. 9 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute, multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. General data traffic conversion factor (fUMTS) in UMTS network in megabytes to minute equivalent is calculated according to the following formula: 39 f UMTS 1000 8 (14) 1 1 60 umts Pumts 1000 HSDPA PHSDPA Where: Pumts – UMTS R99 data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; PHSDPA – HSDPA data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; ρumts – UMTS bit rate, kbit/s. See table No. 9 ρHSDPA – HSDPA bit rate, Mbit/s. See table No. 9 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute, multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. 9.1.5. Conversion of LTE VoIP calls and packet data Packet data conversion to equivalent minutes in LTE network is done to estimate the network’s joint traffic in minutes and allocate it to the network component “Tower and site preparation”, which is employed to provide all the costs of services described in this document. LTE data traffic conversion factor (fLTE) in megabytes to minute equivalent is calculated according to the following formula: f LTE 8 (15) 1 1 60 LTE Where: ρLTE – LTE bit rate, Mbit/s. See table No. 8 Division by 60 is second conversion to minute, multiplication by 8 is bytes conversion to bits. Data to minute equivalent conversion factors are based on specific bit rates, the values of which are given in the table 9. Table 9. Data conversion parameters Parameter Unit Values per total network GPRS bit rate (ρG) kbit/s 13,04 EDGE bit rate (ρE) kbit/s 39,12 UMTS bit rate (ρumts) kbit/s optimal throughput according to description provided in point 8.2.1.Node B HSDPA bit rate (ρHSDPA ) Mbit/s optimal throughput according to description provided in point 8.2.1.Node B LTE bit rate (ρLTE) Mbit/s optimal throughput according to description provided in point 8.2.2.eNode B 40 9.2. Calculation of total traffic in minutes To sum up, converted to minute equivalent traffic (TC, minutes) for particular services (video calls, SMS, MMS, data) is calculated according to the following formula: TCj TWj f j (16) Where: TWj – Specific service weighted traffic, video minutes, SMS messages, MMS messages, GSM, UMTS and LTE data transmission). fj – Specific service type conversion factor to minute equivalent. These factors are calculated, respectively, in formulas No. (5), (7), (8), (9), (11), (14), (15) j – Defines a specific service. Particular service traffic (volume), converted to equivalent minutes is used to estimate network components average unit costs in section 12.2 Network Component average unit costs . General GSM and UMTS services and all LTE services traffic converted to equivalent minutes adding GSM and UMTS voice calls traffic is used to calculate the average unit cost of the network component “Tower and site preparation”. In the next step, particular GSM services and video calls equivalent minute traffic (for voice calls – billed and unbilled traffic) is adjusted to busy hour traffic. Differently from GSM services and video calls, UMTS and LTE packet data traffic in megabytes is adjusted to busy hour traffic in megabytes. It is also important to note that every group of network elements has a different traffic aggregation level, so the inhomogeneity factor (see table No. 10) for peak load distribution in time should be applied separately for each network element. The average annual traffic is adjusted to annual busy hour traffic (TBH, minutes or MB) according to the principle given in the following formulas: TBH TC / TB U / TW f DA (17) f DA r BA rW A f H (18) Where: TC/TB+U/TW – Particular GSM service or video calls traffic, converted to minute equivalent (minutes), voice calls traffic (billed and unbilled, minutes) or either UMTS packet data or LTE services weighted traffic, MB. fDA – De-averaging factor; 41 rBA – Busy hour traffic to average hourly traffic ratio. This factor shows proportion of busy and average traffic. Value of this factor is provided in the table No. 10. rWA – Working days traffic to average daily traffic ratio. This factor shows proportion of working day and average daily traffic. Value of this factor is provided the in the table No. 10. fH – Inhomogeneity factor for peak load distribution. This factor shows traffic aggregation level in the network element. Value of this factor is provided in the table No. 11. Table 10. De-averaging parameters Parameter Values per total network Busy hour traffic to average hourly traffic ratio (rBA) 2.00 Working days traffic to average daily traffic ratio (rWA) 1.40 Table 11. Inhomogeneity factors BTS/ NodeB/ eNode B BSC/ RNC/ EPC MSC/ MGW or SMSC or MMSC or SGSN or GGSN BTS/ NodeB/ eNodeBBSC/RNC/ EPC BSC/ RNC/EPCMSC/MGW/IM S MSC/ MGWMSC/MGW MSC/MGW/ IMS-IC 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Finally, annual total traffic is converted to busy hour Erlangs (BHE, BHE). The conversion is made according to formula No. (19). Before the conversion, the following actions are carried out: a) The total traffic in busy hour is weighted by routing factors and adjusted by unbilled traffic (applied for voice only); b) The total traffic of non voice services is converted to minutes equivalents; c) The total traffic in steps a) and b) is converted to busy hour and de-averaged. BHE (19) TBH 365 24 60 Where: TBH – Annual particular GSM services or video calls busy hour traffic, minutes. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (17) Division by 365 is year to day conversion, division by 24 is day to hour conversion and division by 60 is hour to minute conversion. To dimension GSM network, the general demand for GSM (BHEGSM, BHE) network is calculated according to the following formula: 42 BHE GSM BHE i (20) i Where: i – Particular service in GSM network (voice calls or video calls, SMS, MMS, HSCSD/CSD, GPRS, EDGE packet data). Next, to evaluate data transmission equipment in UMTS network, busy hour megabytes traffic (BHMBUMTS, MB) (weighted by routing factors, converted to busy hour and de-averaged) in UMTS network is calculated according to the following formulas: BHMB umts TBH Pumts 365 24 BHMB HSDPA (21) TBH PHSDPA 365 24 (22) BHMB UMTS BHMB umts BHMB HSDPA (23) Where: TBH – Year total busy hour traffic, MB. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (17) Pumts – UMTS R99 data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; PHSDPA – HSDPA data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; Division by 365 is year to day conversion and division by 24 is day to hour conversion. Finally, to calculate data transmission equipment in LTE network, busy hour megabytes traffic (BHMBLTE, MB) (weighted by routing factors, converted to busy hour and de-averaged) in LTE network is calculated according to the following formulas: BHMB LTE TBH 365 24 (24) Where: TBH – Yearly total busy hour traffic, MB. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (17) Division by 365 is year to day conversion and division by 24 is day to hour conversion. 43 10. Network Dimensioning Table 12. List of components used in network dimensioning NSS BSS, RNS, PSS PSS RN S BSS Phases Network architecture GSM UMTS LTE Component Base Transceiver Station (BTS) Transceiver Base Station Controller (BSC) Transcoder Controller (TC) Node B Radio Network Controller (RNC) eNode B Evolved Packet Core (EPC) X Base and extension units (BU) Sites SGSN / GGSN Mobile Switching Centre (MSC) Mobile Switching Centre Server (MSS) Media Gateway (MGW) Short Messages Service Center (SMSC) Multimedia Messages Service Center (MMSC) IP multimedia sub-system (IMS)10 Voice Mail Service and Home Location Register Service Control Point (Intelligent Network) Network Functionality Other Network Transmission X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Having in mind the complexity of network dimensioning, the algorithms are further divided into separate phases according to GSM, UMTS and LTE network architectures, respectively: 1. Base Station System (BSS) for GSM, Radio Network System (RNS) for UMTS and Packet Switching System (PSS) for LTE; 2. Network Switching System (NSS); Elements of BSS, RNS or PSS layer are driven by the traffic demand and coverage of the network that is necessary to provide a given quality of service. Elements of NSS layer are driven by the number of subscribers, traffic demand (as in BSS/RNS/PSS layer) and other parameters (e.g. number of voice mailboxes). 10 IMS component will be included in cost calculation only in case of the presence of Voice over IP (VoIP) service in LTE network. 44 Links of dimensioned components with their network architecture and dimensioning phase are presented in table 12 . 10.1. Dimensioning of GSM network 10.1.1. Base Transceiver Station The first step in dimensioning the Base Station Subsystem (BSS) layer is modeling the Base Transceiver Stations (BTS). The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the number of BTS locations (sites). All of the BTS calculations presented in this section are executed by subdividing the territory of the Republic of Lithuania (for coverage) and traffic (for capacity) into the following geographical areas: 1. Urban – Built up city or large town with large buildings and houses. Building heights above 4 stores (about 10m). As a reference to the Republic of Lithuania, it would be major cities: Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipeda, Siauliai, Panevežys, Alytus, and Marijampolė. If parks, forests fall in this area, they are treated as suburban or rural geographical area. 2. Suburban – Village, highway scattered with trees and houses. Some obstacles near the mobile, but not very congested. As a reference to the Republic of Lithuania, it would be previously not mentioned towns. 3. Rural11 – Open space, forests, no tall trees or building in path. As a reference to the Republic of Lithuania, it would be the rest of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania. Traffic and coverage geographical areas equally correspond with geographical areas definitions when dimensioning the network. Estimation of the minimum number of BTS locations required is a function of requirements to meet coverage and traffic demand. Coverage requirements Si The minimal number of localizations required to satisfy coverage requirements ( N COV , units) are determined by the following formulas: Concepts of geographical areas used in this document are in line with the respective Okumura – Hata model concepts. 11 45 A Si N COV Cc AC (25) ACc 1.5 3 R 2 2.6 R 2 (26) Where: AC – Coverage area in GSM network for a particular geographical area type, km2. This size is calculated multiplying particular geographical area coverage proportion in GSM network (%) with total GSM coverage area. ACc – Coverage area of one cell, km2; R – Maximal cell range, km. The basis of a formula for cell coverage area ( ACc , km2) is a formula to calculate hexagon area. Maximal cell range in every geographical area in the BU-LRAIC model is given below in the list: ► Urban area R = 0.90 km; ► Suburban area R = 3.00 km; ► Rural area R = 9.00 km. Parameters given above are taken as the assumed dimensioning parameters of average effectively utilized BTS in the Republic of Lithuania at a given area to provide the current quality of services in the network. Traffic demand Number of sites required to meet traffic demand are calculated in the following steps: 1. Calculation of spectrum and physical capacity of a sector; 2. Calculation of effective sector capacity; 3. Calculation of a number of sites to meet the traffic demand. Sector capacities are calculated for each type of a cell (macro, micro and pico) as well as single and dual bands. As before, calculations for cells are also split by geographical area types. The traffic is also split by geographical area type. Consequently, the following cell types for sector capacity calculations are used: ► Macro cell – urban area; 46 ► Macro cell – suburban area; ► Macro cell – rural area; ► Micro cell – urban area; ► Micro cell – suburban area; ► Pico cell – urban area; ► Pico cell – suburban area. Spectrum capacity of BTS is a required TRXs number to cover the spectrum specifications. A spectrum capacity (CSs, TRXs) for single band cell is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: N 900 C Ss 0.5 f su TRX (27) Where: N900 – Amount of 900 MHz spectrum, 2 x MHz. This value is calculated according to the public information (permissions to operate radio channels) placed on RRT website and according to information provided by RRT. fsu –- Sector re-use factor for 900 MHz, units; λTRX – Bandwidth of a transceiver, MHz. According to technical transceiver parameters, it is assumed λTRX equals to 0.2 MHz. Similarly, spectrum capacity (CSd, TRXs) of a logical sector for dual band is calculated according to the following formula: N1800 C Sd C Ss f du TRX (28) Where: CSs – Spectrum capacity for single band cell, TRXs. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (27). N1800 –- Amount of 1800 MHz spectrum, 2 x MHz. This value is calculated according to the public information (permissions to operate radio channels) placed on RRT website. fdu –- Sector re-use factor for 1800 MHz, units; λTRX – Bandwidth of a transceiver, MHz. The same assumption is applied as in the formula No. (27). 47 Physical capacity (CP, TRXs) of a logical sector for single and dual band is a technical specification value. Effective sector capacity (CE, TRXs) for macro (urban, suburban and rural), micro, pico cell groups respectively single and dual band frequency is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: C E min( C S ; C P ) (29) Where: CS – Spectrum sector capacity (single CSs or dual band CSd), TRX; CP – Physical (equipment technical limitation) sector capacity (single or dual band12), TRX. This value describes maximal TRX amount, which can be physically installed in mikro, pico or makro cells. It is assumed in BU-LRAIC model, that first TRX in BTS handles 7 traffic channels and each additional TRX in BTS handles 8 traffic channels. TRXs conversion (NTRX, units) to channels (NCH, units) is done according to the following formula: N CH 7 8 N TRX 1 (30) Where: NTRX – Number of TRXs, TRX. See formula No. (39). As the TRXs number is converted to channels, effective sector capacity (CE) for single and dual band (in channels) is translated into BHE ( CEErl ) according to Erlangs table, assuming blocking probability equals to 2%. Se The number of sectors ( N CAP , units) to serve the traffic is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: Se N CAP (31) A BHE GSM C EErl HABTS Where: A BHE GSM – GSM services busy hour traffic part in a particular geographical area, BHE. This size is calculated by multiplying a particular geographical area traffic proportion in GSM network (%) by total GSM traffic. 12 Single or dual band physical capacity. This parameter is included in questionnaire. 48 CEErl – Effective sector capacity of dual or single band (for a particular cell type), BHE. HABTS – Headroom allowance of BTS equipment, %. It is calculated according to the principle given in the formula No. (25) Si The number of sites ( N CAP , units) to serve the traffic is calculated according to the following formulas: N Si CAP Se N CAP N Se / Si (32) 3 N Se / Si i N i 1 Si iSe (33) 3 N i 1 Si iSe Where: Se N CAP – Sectors number to serve the traffic, units; NSe/Si – Average number of sectors per site, units. Si N iSe – i sectored sites in GSM network, units. This size is calculated by multiplying total number of sites with proportions (%) of i sectored sites in the network. i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three). Total amount of GSM sites Si The total amount of BTS sites in a mobile network ( N Total , units) is calculated according to the following formula: Si Si Si N Total Max ( N COV ; N CAP ) (34) Where: Si N COV – Sites to serve the coverage, units; Si N CAP – Sites to serve the traffic, units. It is assumed that each GSM site handles EDGE, single band base stations are present in rural areas and double band base stations are present in suburban and urban areas. 49 10.1.2. Transceiver The second step in dimensioning Base Station Subsystem (BSS) layer is modeling of Transceivers (TRX). The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the number of TRX units. Similarly to BTS modeling case, all of the TRX calculations are executed by subdividing the territory of the Republic of Lithuania into geographical areas defined in section 10.1.1. Base Transceiver Station. Se The next step to estimate TRX number is calculation of traffic load per sector ( BHE GSM , BHE). It is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: BHE Se GSM (35) A BHE GSM Si N Total N Se/Si Where: A BHE GSM – GSM services busy hour traffic part in a particular geographical area, BHE. Si NTotal – Total BTS sites in a mobile network, units. See formula No. (34). NSe/Si – Average number of sectors per site, units (see formula No. (33)). Se Traffic load per sector ( BHE GSM , BHE) is translated into channels per sector ( N CH / Se ) according to Erlangs table with a blocking probability of 2%. Further, the number of TRXs per sector ( N TRX / Se , units) is calculated according to the following formulas for macro, micro and pico cells respectively: N TRX / Se (macro) N CH / Se 7 8 ( N TRX 1) (36) N TRX / Se (micro) N CH / Se 7 8 ( N TRX 1) (37) N TRX / Se ( pico) (38) N CH / Se 7 8 ( N TRX 1) Where: N CH / Se – Channels per sector, units; NTRX – TRX number, TRX. See formula No. (39). 50 γ – TRX utilization adjustment, which equals to 0.5 TRX per sector. Non-uniform allowance is the ½ unit of capacity per sector allowance for the fact that traffic is not evenly distributed (in both time and space) across each area type. The total number of TRXs in a mobile network ( NTRX , units) is calculated according to the following formulas: Se N TRX N TRX / Se N Total (39) N TRX / Se N TRX / Se (macro) N TRX / Se (micro) N TRX / Se ( pico) (40) (41) 3 Se Si N Total i N iSe i 1 Where: N TRX / Se – Average number of TRXs per sector, units. See formula No. (36), (37) and (38). Se – Total amount of sectors in mobile network, units; NTotal Si N iSe – i sectored sites in GSM network, units. This size is calculated by multiplying total number of sites with proportions (%) of i sectored sites in the network. i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three) 10.1.3. Base Station Controller Base station controller comprises two parts: ► Base unit; ► Base station extension (TRXs). The outcome in this section is the amount of base units and the amount of extension units. The dividend variable for both units calculation is the number of TRXs. The total amount of BSC base units and extension units is calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with TRXs as dividend variable for both parts. 10.1.4. Transcoder Controller Transcoder controller (TRC) comprises two parts: ► Base unit; 51 ► Transcoder E1 extension (A interfaces). The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the amount of base units and Transcoder E1 extension (A interfaces) units. Therefore, calculations are described with respect to these parts. The dividend variable for both parts is total 2 Mbit/s link capacity (CL, E1 A interface). The total 2 Mbit/s link capacity is calculated according to the following formula: CL C TH GSM BHE GSM BHE PD Cb BHE GSM (42) Where: THGSM – Throughput in TRC, kbit/s. See formula No. (115). Cb – Basic 2 Mbit/s link capacity, kbit/s. ρC – TRC compression rate, equal to 4; BHEGSM – Demand for GSM network, BHE (see formula No. (20)); BHEPD – Packet data demand for GSM network, BHE. It is calculated according to the principle provided in the formula No. (35). Assumption is made that basic 2 Mbit/s link capacity is 2048 kbit/s. Next, as in BSC calculations, TRC base units and extension units are calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with E1 number (A interface) as dividend variable for both parts. 10.2. Dimensioning of UMTS network 10.2.1. Node B In UMTS network, the first step in dimensioning RNS layer is modeling the Node B element. The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the number of Node B sites. All Node B calculations are divided by geographical area proportions. UMTS macrocell range and sector capacity are calculated separately for different area types. In UMTS system the cell range is dependent on current traffic, the footprint of CDMA cell is dynamically expanding and contradicts according to the number of users. This feature of UMTS is called “cell breathing”. Implemented algorithm calculates optimal UMTS cell range with regard to the cell required capacity (demand). This calculation is performed in four steps: 1). Required UMTS network capacity by cell types 52 In this step the required UMTS network capacity for uplink and downlink channel is calculated based on voice and data traffic demand. The UMTS network capacity is calculated separately for different area type. 2) Traffic BH density per 1km2 In this step traffic BH density per 1km2 is calculated based on the required UMTS network capacity and required coverage of UMTS network. The UMTS traffic BH density per 1 km2 is calculated separately for uplink and downlink channel for each area type. 3) Downlink and uplink calculation In this section implemented algorithm finds the relationship (function) between cell area and cell capacity, separately for uplink and downlink channel and different area type. To find relationship (function) formula algorithm uses two function extremes: 1. x: Maximal UMTS cell range assuming minimal capacity consumption y: Minimal site capacity volume (single data channel) 2. x: Maximal UMTS cell range assuming full capacity consumption y: Maximal site capacity volume Then according to traffic BH density per 1 km2 and found relationship (function) formula, the optimal cell area and sector capacity is calculated separately for different area type. 4) Total In this last step the optimal UMTS macrocell range and sector capacity is calculated separately for uplink and downlink channel and different area type. The values presenting: 1. x: Maximal UMTS cell range assuming minimal capacity consumption y: Minimal site capacity volume (single data channel) 2. x: Maximal UMTS cell range assuming full capacity consumption y: Maximal site capacity volume Values will be gathered from operators and verified based on link budget calculation. 53 Coverage UMTS network area coverage is split by geographical areas defined in section 10.1.1. Base Transceiver Station. SiB The minimal number of Node B sites required to satisfy coverage requirements ( N COV , units) are determined by the following formulas: bA SiB N COV Cc bAC (43) 2 2 bACc 1.5 3 RUMTS 2.6 RUMTS (44) Where: bAC – Coverage area in UMTS network for a particular geographical area type, km 2. This size is calculated multiplying a particular geographical area coverage proportion (%) in UMTS network by total UMTS coverage area. bACc – Coverage area of one Node B cell, km2; RUMTS – Maximal cell range, km. The basis of a formula for cell coverage area is a formula to calculate hexagon area. Traffic demand The capacity required (CUMTS, kbit/s) to handle voice calls, SMS, MMS and the packet data traffic in the UMTS network is calculated according to the following formula: CUMTS BHMBUMTS 8 1000 60 60 (45) Where: BHMBUMTS – Capacity to be handled by UMTS network, MB. It is a busy hour traffic part in a particular geographical area and cell type (macro, micro and pico) in UMTS network (see formula No. (23)). Division by 60 and 60 is hour conversion to seconds, multiplication by 8 is a bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. There is an assumption in the BU-LRAIC modeling that cell capacity in BHT in the UMTS network is utilized by 120%. SeB Sector number ( N CAP , units) to meet capacity requirements is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: 54 C BHE SeB N CAP UMTS ErlV Se CV C min LU (46) Where: CUMTS – Capacity required to handle the traffic in UMTS network, kbit/s. See formula No. (45). Se – Sector capacity in BHT, kbit/s. C min LU – Cell capacity utilization in BHT, %. BU-LRAIC modeling that cell capacity in BHT in the UMTS network is utilized by 120%. SiB The number of UMTS sites ( N CAP , units) to meet capacity requirements is calculated according to the following formulas: 3 SiB SiB N CAP N iSeB (47) i 1 N SiB iSeB SeB N iCAP i (48) Where: SeB N iCAP – Sectors number to meet capacity requirements in UMTS network, distinguished by particular sectorization, units. This size is calculated by multiplying the total number of sectors ( SeB N CAP , see formula No. (46) by respective sectorization proportions (%). SiB N CAP – UMTS sites number to meet capacity requirements, units; Si N iSeB – i sectored sites in UMTS network, units; i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three). Total amount of Node B sites SiB Finally, total number of Node B sites ( N Total , units) is calculated according to the following formulas: 55 SiB SiB N Total N CAP Adj (49) SiB SiB N COV N CAP Adj 2 (50) Where: SiB – Sectors to meet capacity requirements, units (see formula No. (47)). N CAP SiB N COV – Sectors to meet coverage requirements, units (see formula No. (43)). Adj – Adjustments (sites number) for planning assumptions, units. In UMTS network Node Bs number to meet capacity and coverage requirements are correlated figures; therefore, an adjustment is applied to the calculated total Node Bs number, not the maximum value out the two, as it is in GSM BTSs case. It is assumed that each UMTS site handles HSDPA/HSUPA. 10.2.2. Radio Network Controller In UMTS network, the next step in dimensioning BSS layer is modeling the Radio Network Controller (RNC). RNC comprises of the following parts: ► Base unit; ► Extension units: Iub links extension; Sectors extension; Sites extension. The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the amount of base units and extension units. Estimation of the minimum number of RNC base units required is a function of requirements to meet particular number of Iub links, particular number of sectors and sites. Total amount of RNC base units (BURNC, units) is calculated according to the following formulas: 56 BU RNC SeB SiB TH Iub N Total N Total Max ; Se ; Si C Iub C RNC C RNC (51) 3 SeB SiB N Total i N iSe (52) i 1 Where: THIub – Iub link throughput, Mbit/s. The same as UMTS throughput (see formula No. (115)) CIub – RNC maximal operational capacity to satisfy Iub interface throughput, Mbit/s; Calculated according to the principle provided in formula No. (66). SeB N Total – Total number of sectors in UMTS network, units; Se C RNC – RNC maximal operational capacity to satisfy number of sectors, units; Calculated according to the principle provided in formula No. (66). SiB N Total – Total number of Node B sites in UMTS network, units; Si – RNC maximal operational capacity to satisfy number of sites, units; Calculated according C RNC to the principle provided in formula No. (66). SiB N iSe – i sectored sites in UMTS network, units. This parameter is calculated multiplying the total number of sites by appropriate proportion (%) according to number of sectors. i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three). Extension units for RNC - lub links extension, sectors extension and sites extension – are calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units. RNC Iub link throughput, sectors number and Node B sites number are the respective dividend variables. 10.3. Dimensioning of LTE network 10.3.1. eNode B In LTE network, the first step in dimensioning PSS layer is modeling the eNode B element. The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the number of eNode B sites. All eNode B calculations are divided by geographical area proportions. 57 The optimal LTE cell range regarding to the cell required capacity (demand) will be performed in the same way as for NodeBs, taking into account the technical parameters specific for LTE technology. In the model eNode B is dimensioned for handling both data and voice traffic. Since LTE network is a packet based network, all the volume of voice traffic in billed minutes must be converted into packet data traffic (volume of kbps). This calculation consists of the following steps: 1. Calculate the average volume of BHE (Busy Hour Erlangs) for each eNodeB. The volume of BHE determines how many VoIP channels are required to handle the voice traffic in the busy hour. 2. Calculate VoIP cannel bandwidth. This calculation requires to determine some assumptions regarding VoIP (Voice over IP) technology: ► Voice codec used; ► Payload of each network layer protocols: RTP / UDP / IP / Ethernet. The VoIP channel bandwidth is calculated according to the following formula: VoIPbit rate ( IP UDP RTP ETH PLS ) PPS PF 8 1000 (53) Where, IP - IP header (bytes); UDP - UDP header (bytes); RTP - RTP header (bytes); ETH - Ethernet header (bytes); PLS - Voice payload size (bytes) – VoIP codec related value; PPS - Packets per second (packets) – codec bit rate related value; PF - Priority factor. The results of calculation are presented in the table below. Table 13. VoIP codecs and their required channel bandwidth Codec & Bit Rate (Kbps) Bandwidth in Ethernet layer (Kbps) G.711 (64 Kbps) 87.2 Kbps G.729 (8 Kbps) 31.2 Kbps 58 G.723.1 (6.3 Kbps) 21.9 Kbps G.723.1 (5.3 Kbps) 20.8 Kbps G.726 (32 Kbps) 55.2 Kbps G.726 (24 Kbps) 47.2 Kbps G.728 (16 Kbps) 31.5 Kbps G722_64k(64 Kbps) 87.2 Kbps ilbc_mode_20 (15.2Kbps) 38.4Kbps ilbc_mode_30 (13.33Kbps) 28.8 Kbps Source: “Voice Over IP - Per Call Bandwidth Consumption”, Cisco 3. Calculate busy hour voice bandwidth for eNodeB. For eNodeB modeling the busy hour bandwidth will be calculated by multiplying volume of BHE by bandwidth of voice channel. Coverage LTE network area coverage is split by geographical areas defined in section 10.1.1. Base Transceiver Station. SiE The minimal number of eNode B sites required to satisfy coverage requirements ( N COV , units) is determined by the following formulas: eA SiE N COV Cc eAC (54) 2 2 eACc 1.5 3 RLTE 2.6 RLTE (55) Where: eAC – Coverage area in LTE network for a particular geographical area type, km2. This size is calculated multiplying particular geographical area coverage proportion (%) in LTE network with total LTE coverage area. eACc – Coverage area of one eNode B cell, km2; RLTE – Maximal cell range, km. (will be gathered from the operators). The basis of a formula for cell coverage area is a formula to calculate hexagon area. Traffic demand The capacity required (CLTE, kbit/s) to handle the packet data traffic in LTE network is calculated according to the following formula: 59 C LTE BHMB LTE 8 1000 60 60 (56) Where: BHMBLTE – Capacity to be handled by LTE network, MB. It is a busy hour traffic part in a particular geographical area and cell type (macro, micro and pico) in LTE network (see formula No. (24)). Division by 60 and 60 is hour conversion to seconds, multiplication by 8 is a bytes conversion to bits and multiplication by 1000 is megabyte conversion to kilobytes. There is an assumption in the BU-LRAIC modeling that cell capacity in BHT in the LTE network is utilized by 120%. SeB Sector number ( N CAP , units) to meet capacity requirements is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: C SeE N CAP LTE Se C min LU (57) Where: CLTE – Capacity required to handle the traffic in LTE network, kbit/s. See formula No. (66). Se – Sector capacity in BHT, kbit/s. (will be gathered from the operators). LU – Cell capacity C min utilization in BHT, %. In BU-LRAIC modeling it is assumed that cell capacity in BHT in the LTE network is utilized by 120%. SiE The number of LTE sites ( N CAP , units) to meet capacity requirements is calculated according to the following formulas: 3 SiE SiE N CAP N iSeB (58) i 1 SiE N iSeE SeE N iCAP i (59) Where: SiE N iCAP – the number of sectors to meet capacity requirements in LTE network, distinguished by SiE particular sectorization, units. This size is calculated total sectors number ( N CAP , see formula No. 83) multiplying by respective sectorization proportions (%). SiE N CAP – the number of LTE sites to meet capacity requirements, units; 60 Si – i sectored sites in LTE network, units; N iSeB i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three). Total amount of eNode B sites SiE Finally, the total eNode B sites number ( N Total , units) is calculated according to the following formulas: SiE SiE N Total N CAP Adj (60) SiE SiE N COV N CAP Adj 2 (61) Where: SiE – Sectors to meet capacity requirements, units (see formula No. (58)). N CAP SiE N COV – Sectors to meet coverage requirements, units (see formula No. (54)). Adj – Adjustments (sites number) for planning assumptions, units. In LTE network the number of eNode Bs to meet capacity and coverage requirements are correlated figures, therefore adjustment is applied to calculated total eNode Bs number, not the maximum value out the two, as it is in GSM BTSs case. 10.3.2. Evolved Packet Core Evolved packet core (EPC) is dimensioned for the third alternative core network modeling scenario (see section 4.6. Technological background). EPC handles all traffic in LTE network. EPC consists of two main groups of components: Mobility management entity (MME), which handles control functions, and Packet gateway (PGW) which is responsible for the actual transmission of data. The number of MME basic units is calculated as S1-U link number of sessions [BH sessions / sec] divided by maximal capacity of MME physical location. The MME extension unit is calculated according to the formula: CAP( A) OC base BU MME EU MME BU (MME ) OC ext (62) Where: 61 EU(MME) – number of MME extension units BU(MME) – number of MME basic units CAP(A) – S1-MME link number of sessions [BH sessions / sec] OC(base) – base unit operational capacity of MME Estimation of the minimum number of PGW base units required is a function of requirements to meet: 1. Minimal network configurations; 2. Switching capacity (CPU part); 3. Ports number in PGW; C The number of PGW base units ( BU PGW , units) to meet network requirements is calculated as S1- U link throughput [BH packets / sec] divided by maximal capacity of PGW physical location. The PGW extension unit is calculated according to formula: CAP( A) OC base BU PGW EU PGW BU (PGW ) OC ext (63) Where: EU(PGW) – number of PGW extension units BU(PGW) – number of PGW basic units CAP(A) – S1-U link throughput [BH packets / sec] OC(base) – base unit operational capacity of PGW 10.4. Dimensioning of BSS, RNS and PSS system 10.4.1. Base and extension units Having in mind the modular nature of mobile network, the dimensioning of network elements returns amount of base units (BU) and, if applicable, extensions units (EU) for particular network elements. Extension unit is an additional piece in a base unit, which enhances BU capacity. EUs are dimensioned, when there is not enough capacity to serve the traffic with n BUs, but n+1 BUs 62 would lead to over capacity of the resources needed. It is cost effective to install an extension unit in a base unit, then to install an additional base unit as long as the required traffic is served. Algorithms for the calculation of the amounts of BU and EU are general for all network elements analysed in the scope of BU-LRAIC model. Figure 6 represents BU and EU calculation algorithm. Element Operational Capacity Element Technical Capacity Extension unit 1 X Base unit X = Extension unit 2 = Extension unit 1 = Base unit Maximal operational capacity X = Design utilisation factor at planning stage Extension unit 2 X ... Extension unit N ... ... X = X Headroom allowance Maximal technical capacity ... Extension unit N Figure 6: BU and EU calculation algorithm. The amount of network element base units (BU, units) required is generally calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: DV BU C (64) Where: DV – Dividend (demand) variable, measurement unit depends on the network element. DV is a particular traffic demand, on which the BU dimensioning depends directly. Cψ – Maximal operational capacity of network element, measurement unit is the same as for DV. Calculation principle of Cψ is provided in the formula No. (66). Operational capacity of a base unit or extension unit shows what traffic volumes it can maintain. The amount of network element extension units (EU, units) required, if applicable, is generally calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: BU C C BU EU C ES (65) Where: 63 Cψ – Maximal operational capacity of a network element, measurement unit is the same as for DV. Calculation principle of Cψ is provided in the formula No. (66) BU – Base unit, units; – Base unit operational capacity, measurement unit depends on the network element; C BU – Extension step (additional extension unit to BU) operational capacity, measurement unit C ES depends on the network element. Maximal operational capacity (Cψ, BHCA, subscribers, etc.) for a particular network element is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: C C OA (66) Where: C – Maximal technical capacity (including possible extension), measurement unit depends on the element. C shows maximal technical theoretical capacity of a network element in composition of BU and EU. OA – Operational allowance, %. Calculation principle of OA is provided in the formula No. (67). Operational allowance (OA, %) shows both design and future planning utilization of a network equipment, expressed in percents. OA is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: OA HA fU (67) Where: HA – Headroom allowance, %. HA shows what part of BU or EU capacity is reserved for future traffic growth. Calculation principle of HA is provided in formula No. (69). fU – Design utilization factor at a planning stage, %. It is equipment (vendor designated) maximum utilization parameter. This utilization parameter ensures that the equipment in the network is not overloaded by any transient spikes in demand. BU and ES operational capacity ( C i , BHCA, subscribers, etc.) are calculated according to the principle given in the following formula by applying capacity values respectively. Ci Ci HAi (68) Where: 64 Ci – Base unit or extension unit capacity, measurement unit depends on the element. Ci defines technical parameter of BU or EU capacity. HAi – Headroom allowance of BU or EU, %. Calculation principle of HA is provided in the formula No. (69). i – Specifies BU or EU. Operational allowance and capacity calculations depend on the headroom allowance figure (HA, %). Headroom allowance is calculated according to the principle given in the following formula: HA 1 (69) rSDG Where: rSDG – Service demand growth ratio. rSDG determines the level of under-utilisation in the network, as a function of equipment planning periods and expected demand. Planning period shows the time it takes to make all the necessary preparations to bring new equipment online. This period can be from weeks to years. Consequently, traffic volumes by groups (demand aggregates given below) are planned according to the service demand growth. The service demand growth ratio is calculated for each one of the following demand aggregates: ► Total subscribers number; ► CCS traffic, which comprises of voice, circuit data and converted to minute equivalent video traffic; ► Air interface traffic, which comprises of converted to minute equivalent SMS, MMS and packet data traffic. Packet data traffic in this case means GSM, UMTS and LTE traffic sum of up-link or down-link traffic subject to greater value. A particular demand growth ratio is assigned to a particular network element’s equipment. 10.4.2. Sites In BU-LRAIC model, to build a mobile network for UMTS, GSM and LTE, a minimal number of sites is calculated to serve traffic. Sites are distinguished by particular types given in the following list: ► Urban macro cells (omni sector); ► Urban macro cells (2 sector); ► Urban macro cells (3 sector); 65 ► Suburban macro cell (omni sector); ► Suburban macro cell (2 sector); ► Suburban macro cell (3 sector); ► Rural macro cell (omni sector); ► Rural macro cell (2 sector); ► Rural macro cell (3 sector); ► All micro cells; ► All pico cells. The total number of sites (NSI, units) in the mobile network is calculated according to the following formula: N SI Max ( N iSi ; N iSiB ; N iSiC ) (70) i Where: N iSi – Particular i type sites in GSM network, units; N iSib – Particular i type sites in UMTS network, units. N iSic – Particular i type sites in LTE network, units. i – Defines number of sectors in the site (one, two or three). 10.4.3. Packet control unit (PCU) / Serving GPRS support node (SGSN) In this section the PCU basic and extension units is calculated. The number of PCU basic units (BUPCU) is calculated as follows: TH BU PCU max Gb ; BU RNC BU BSC C PCU (71) Where: THGb – Gb link throughput [Mbps] CPCU – Maximal operational capacity of PCU [Mbps] BURNC – number of RNC base units 66 BUBSC – number of BSC base units Gb link throughput [Mbps] is calculated as follows: TH Gb 1 max( TGSMu ; TGSMd ) 60 f GSM (72) Where: TGSMu – Total minute equivalent for up-link packet data megabytes in the GSM network element per minute in busy hour TGSMd – Total minute equivalent for down-link packet data megabytes in the GSM network element per minute in busy hours fGSM – GSM data traffic to minute equivalent conversion factor The PCU extension unit is calculated according to formula: CAP( A) OC base BU PCU EU PCU BU (PCU) OC ext (73) Where: EU(PCU) – number of PCU extension units BU(PCU) – number of PCU basic units CAP(A) – Gb link throughput [BH packets / sec] OC(base) – base unit operational capacity of PCU OC(ext) – extension step operational capacity of PCU Later in this section the SGSN basic and extension units is calculated. The number SGSN basic units is calculated as Gb link throughput [BH packets / sec] divided by maximal capacity of SGSN physical location. The SGSN extension unit is calculated according to the formula: CAP( A) OC base BU SGSN EU SGSN BU (SGSN ) OC ext Where: 67 (74) EU(SGSN) – number of SGSN extension units BU(SGSN) – number of SGSN basic units CAP(A) – Gb link throughput [BH packets / sec] OC(base) – base unit operational capacity of SGSN 10.5. Dimensioning of Network Switching System 10.5.1. Mobile Switching Centre Mobile Switching Centre (MSC) is dimensioned for the first alternative core network modeling scenario (see section 4.6. Technological background). All voice services traffic is handled by MSC and comprises the following parts: ► Base unit and software; ► MSC extensions: Processor extension; VLR, EIR extension; SS7 extension; Trunk port extension; Input/Output peripherals. Estimation of the minimum number of MSC base units required is a function of requirements to meet: 1. Minimal network configurations; 2. Switching capacity (CPU part); 3. Ports number in MSC; 4. Subscribers number (VLR, EIR part). In each component’s case calculation algorithms are described below. For the requirements to meet minimal network configuration demand there is an assumption adopted in BU-LRAIC model that the minimal number of MSCs in a mobile network is two. This requirement is for the security reasons; in case one MSC does not work, another will maintain the traffic. 68 C The number of MSC base units ( BU MSC , units) to meet switching capacity requirements (central processing unit (CPU) case) are calculated according to the following formulas: N BHCA CCPU (75) CCPU CMSC,s N CPU / MSC (76) C BU MSC Where: NBHCA – Call attempts in BHT, BHCA. Look at formula No. (2). C MSC, s – Maximal MSC operational capacity, BHCA (see formula No. (66)); CCPU – CPU capacity of MSC, BHCA; NCPU/MSC – CPUs per MSC, units. Default MSC’s configuration in a most usual case gives one PCU per MSC, consequently, it is assumed that there is one CPU per MSC. p The number of MSC base units ( BU MSC , units) to meet port number requirements is calculated according to the following formula: p BU MSC Np (77) C MSC, p Where: Np – Total ports required, units; CMSC, p – Maximal MSC operational capacity to satisfy the number of ports (see formula No. (66)). The total number of ports required (Np, units) is calculated according to the following formula: N p p BSC p ic p is (78) Where: pBSC – BSC-facing ports, units; pic – Interconnect-facing ports, units. See formula No. (79). pis – Inter-switch 2 Mbit/s ports, units. See formula No. (81). The number of BSC-facing ports is the same number as total 2 Mbit/s link capacity, E1 A interfaces, which is calculated in section 10.1.4. Transcoder Controller (see formula No. (42)). 69 The number of interconnect-facing ports (pic, units) is calculated according to the following formula: pic Tic 1 1 0.7 31 (79) Where: Tic – Interconnect traffic, BHE. Division by 0.7 is BHE conversion to channels number and division by 31 is channels conversion to 2 Mbit ports number. Interconnect traffic (Tic, BHE) is calculated according to the following formula: Tic M Total SMSTotal (80) Where: MTotal – Total call minutes between MSC and point of interconnection, BHE; SMSTotal – Total SMS messages between MSC and point of interconnection, BHE. The number of inter-switch 2 Mbit/s ports (pis, units) is calculated according to the following formula: pis Tis 1 1 0.7 31 (81) Where: Tis – Inter-switch traffic, BHE (see formula No. (82)). Division by 0.7 is BHE conversion to channels number and division by 31 is channels conversion to 2 Mbit ports number. Inter-switch traffic (Tis, BHE) is calculated according to the following formula: Tic M ON SMS ON (82) Where: MON – Total on-net minutes in MSC, BHE; SMSON – Total on-net SMS messages in MSC, BHE. S The number of MSC base units ( BU MSC , units) to meet subscribers’ requirements (visitor location register (VLR, EIR) case) is calculated according to the following formula: 70 S BU MSC GSM N Sub CMSC, sub (83) Where: GSM – GSM network subscribers, units; N Sub CMSC,sub – Maximal MSC operational capacity to satisfy number subscribers, subscribers (see formula No. (66)). So, the total amount of MSC base units (BUMSC, units) is calculated according to the following formula: C p S BU MSC Max BU MSC ; BU MSC ; BU MSC (84) Where: C BU MSC – Number of MSC base units to meet switching capacity requirements, units (see formula No. (75)). p BU MSC – Number of MSC base units to meet port number requirements, units (see formula No. (77)). S BU MSC – Number of MSC base units to meet subscribers’ requirements, units (see formula No. (83)). The number of extension units is calculated for: ► Processor; ► VLR, EIR; ► Signaling System (SS7); ► Trunk ports. The dividend variable of a processor part is the number of BHCA, VLR, EIR – number of subscribers, SS7 – number of SS7 links, trunk ports – the total number of ports required in MSC. The number of SS7 links is calculated according to the following formula: N SS 7 pis pic N p / SS 7 (85) Where: pis – Inter-switch 2 Mbit/s ports, units (see formula No. (81)). 71 pic – Interconnect-facing ports, units (see formula No. (79)). Np/SS7 – Trunks per SS7 link, units. It is assumed that there are 16 trunks per SS7 link. As Input/Output peripherals number in MSC is a part of MSC configuration, it equals to the number of MSCs base units. The amount of MSC extension units for each, processor, VLR, EIR, trunk port and SS7 is calculated according to algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with number of BHCA, number of subscribers, number of SS7 links, total number of ports required in MSC as dividend variables respectively. 10.5.2. Mobile Switching Centre Server Mobile Switching Centre Server (MSS) is dimensioned for the second alternative core network modeling scenario (see section 4.6. Technological background). MSS handles video calls and voice services traffic. As MSS is a processing unit of the core network and it does not handle the traffic, its calculations are based only on the amount of busy hour call attempts. The outcome of the algorithms presented in this section is the amount of MSS base and extension units. Estimation of the minimum number of MSS base units required is a function of requirements to meet minimal network configurations and switching capacity (CPU part). For the requirements to meet the minimal network configuration demand there is an assumption adopted in BU-LRAIC model that the minimal number of MSS in a mobile network is two. C The number of MSS base units ( BU MSS , units) to meet switching capacity requirements (central processing unit (CPU) case) are calculated according to the following formulas: N BHCA CCPU (86) CCPU CMSS,s N CPU / MSS (87) C BU MSS Where: N BHCA – Call attempts in BHT, BHCA (see formula No. (2)). 72 CMSS,s – Maximal MSS operational capacity to satisfy call attempts in BHT, BHCA (see formula No. (66)). CCPU – CPU capacity of MSS, BHCA; NCPU/MSS – CPUs per MSS, units. Default MSS’s configuration in most usual case gives one PCU per MSS, consequently it is assumed there is one CPU per MSS. So total amount of MSS base units (BUMSS, units) is calculated according to the following formula: min c BU MSS Max BU MSS ; BU MSS (88) Where: min – Number of MSS base units to meet minimal requirements of the network, units. This BU MSS number is assumption equals to 2 units. C – Number of MSS base units to meet switching capacity requirements, units (see formula BU MSS No. (86)). The amount of MSS extension units is calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with number of BHCA as dividend variable. 10.5.3. Media Gateway Similarly to MSS, Media Gateway (MG) is dimensioned for the second alternative core network modeling scenario (see section 4.6. Technological background). MGW handles video calls and voice services traffic. MGW comprises of the following parts: ► Base unit and software; ► MGW extensions: Processor extension; Trunk port extension; Estimation of the minimum number of MGW base units required is a function of requirements to meet: 1. Minimal network configurations; 73 2. Switching capacity (CPU part); 3. Ports number in MGW; In each component’s case calculation algorithms are described below. For the requirements to meet the minimal network configuration demand there is an assumption adopted in BU-LRAIC model that the minimal number of MGWs in a mobile network is two. C The number of MGW base units ( BU MGW , units) to meet switching capacity requirements (central processing unit (CPU) case) are calculated according to the following formulas: N BHCA CCPU (89) CCPU CMGW ,s N CPU / MGW (90) C BU MGW Where: NBHCA – Call attempts in BHT, BHCA. See formula No. (2). CMGW , s – Maximal MGW operational capacity to satisfy call attempts in BHT, BHCA (see formula No. (66)). CCPU – CPU capacity of MGW, BHCA; NCPU/MGW – CPUs per MGW, units. Default MGW’s configuration in the most usual case gives one PCU per MGW, consequently it is assumed there is one CPU per MGW. p The number of MGW base units ( BU MGW , units) to meet the ports number requirements is calculated according to the following formula: p BU MGW (91) p N MGW CMGW , p Where: p N MGW – Total ports required in MGW, units. See formula No. (92). CMGW , p – Maximal MGW operational capacity to satisfy number ports, ports. See formula No. (66). p Total number of ports required ( N MGW , units) in MGW is calculated according to the following formula: 74 p N MGW p RNC picmgw pismgw (92) Where: pRNC – RNC-facing ports in MGW, units. See formula No. (93). picmgw – Interconnect-facing ports in MGW, units. See formula No. (95). p ismgw – Inter-switch 2 Mbit/s ports in MGW, units. See formula No. (97). Number of RNC-facing ports (pRNC, units) is calculated according to the following formula: p RNC TRNC (93) 1 1 0.7 31 Where: TRNC – RNC-MGW traffic, BHE. Division by 0.7 is BHE conversion to channels number and division by 31 is channels conversion to 2 Mbit ports number. RNC-MGW traffic (TRNC, BHE) is calculated according to the following formula: TRNC M Total VM Total SMS Total MMS Total (94) Where: MTotal – Total voice minutes traffic in RNC, BHE; VMTotal – Total video minutes traffic in RNC, BHE; SMSTotal – Total SMS messages traffic in RNC, BHE. MMSTotal - Total MMS messages traffic in RNC, BHE. The number of interconnect-facing ports ( picmgw , units) in MGW is calculated according to the following formula: picmgw Ticmgw (95) 1 1 0.7 31 Where: Ticmgw – Interconnect traffic in MGW, BHE. Division by 0.7 is BHE conversion to channels number and division by 31 is channels conversion to 2 Mbit ports number. 75 Interconnect traffic ( Ticmgw , BHE) in MGW is calculated according to the following formula: Tic M Total MVTotal SMSTotal MMSTotal (96) Where: MTotal – Total call minutes between MGW and point of interconnection, BHE. VMTotal - Total video call minutes between MGW and point of interconnection, BHE. SMSTotal – Total SMS messages between MGW and point of interconnection, BHE. MMSTotal – Total MMS messages between MGW and point of interconnection, BHE; Number of inter-switch 2 Mbit/s ports ( p ismgw , units) in MGW is calculated according to the following formula: pismgw Tismgw 1 1 0.7 31 (97) Where: Tismgw – Inter-switch traffic in MGW, BHE. Division by 0.7 is BHE conversion to channels number and division by 31 is channels conversion to 2 Mbit ports number. Inter-switch traffic ( Tismgw , BHE) in MGW is calculated according to the following formula: Tismgw M ON VM ON SMS ON MMS ON (98) Where: MON – Total on-net voice minutes traffic in MGW, BHE; SMSON – Total on-net SMS messages traffic in MGW, BHE; VMON – Total on-net video minutes traffic in MGW, BHE; MMSON – Total on-net MMS messages traffic in MGW, BHE; So, total amount of MGW base units (BUMGW, units) is calculated according to the following formula: min C p BU MGW Max BU MGW ; BU MGW ; BU MGW (99) Where: 76 min BU MGW – Number of MGW base units to meet minimal network requirements, units. Value of this parameter is assumption provided at the beginning of this section. C BU MGW – Number of MGW base units to meet switching capacity requirements, units (see formula No. (89)). p – Number of MGW base units to meet port number requirements, units (see formula (91)). BU MGW The amount of MGW extension units for both processor and ports part is calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with the number of BHCA and the total number of ports required in MGW as dividend variables respectively. 10.5.4. Short messages service center The fourth step in dimensioning NSS layer is modeling the SMSC. Each SMSC comprises two parts: ► Base unit; ► Extension units. The outcome of the algorithm presented in this section is the number of base unit and extension unit for SMSC. SMSC in BU-LRAIC are dimensioned according to the same engineering rules, so one algorithm for both network elements is provided. The dividend variable for both parts is the number of busy hour messages (SMS messages) per second (MMS/s, messages/s) and is calculated according to the following formula: N MS / s 1 TMS 60 f MS (100) Where: fMS – Message to minute equivalent conversion factor. They are calculated in the formulas No. (8) and (9). TMS – Total minute equivalent for messages in the network element per minute in busy hour, minutes. Amount of SMSC base units and extension units is calculated according to algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with busy hour SMS messages as dividend variable. 77 10.5.5. Multimedia messaging service center (MMSC) The next step in dimensioning NSS layer is modeling the MMSC. During this step basic and extension units of MMSC are calculated. The number MMSC basic unit is calculated as the number of BH MMS per second divided by maximal capacity of MMSC physical location. The MMSC extension unit is calculated according to the formula: CAP( A) OC base BU MMSC EU MMSC BU (MMSC) OC ext (101) Where: EU(MMSC) – number of MMSC extension units BU(MMSC) – number of MMSC basic units CAP(A) – number of BH MMS per second OC(base) – base unit operational capacity of MMSC OC(ext) – extension step operational capacity of MMSC 10.5.6. IP multimedia Sub-System IMS is dimensioned for the third alternative core network modeling scenario (see section 4.6. Technological background). It is responsible for handling the point of interconnection traffic and control of local traffic and services. 1. Volume of BHCA for whole network is calculated. The total BHCA for the network is calculated using the following formula: Vr rBHT / AVG (1 Rr ) 365 24 Rl BHCA HA (102) Where, BHCA - Total busy hour call attempts in the network; Vr - Total realized services volume; rBHT / AVG - Busy Hour to Average Hour traffic ratio; 78 Rr Rl - Ratio of unsuccessful call attempts to total call attempts; - Average call length; HA - Headroom allowance for IMS voice processing elements. 2. the total volume of Busy hour erlangs is calculated using the following formula: BHE IMS mERL AN N l total 1000 HA (103) Where, BHE IMS - Busy hour erlangs; mERLAN - Average throughput; N l total - Total amount of voice lines in network; HA - Headroom allowance for IMS voice processing elements. 3. the following formula is used to calculate the total amount of voice services: S total N l total HA (104) Where, Stotal - Total amount of voice services in the network; N l total - Total amount of voice lines in network; HA - Headroom allowance for IMS subscriber serving elements. 4. For each IMS element determine the main unit (chassis) type based on the volume of supported volume BHE, volume of BHCA and volume of subscribers. The number of IMS cabinets needed is determined using the following formula: 79 N N HSF N IMS c ISF CCSFC (105) Where, N IMS c - Number of IMS cabinets required to serve the network. The number is rounded up to the nearest integer; CCSFC - IMS cabinet’s capacity of service frames; N HSF - Number of required service frames in EPC; N ISF - Number of required service frames in IMS core. The required service frames are calculated using the following formula: N ISF 6 IMS ( N Type x ) i2 (C ICSC 2) (106) Where, C ICSC - IMS core service frame’s card capacity; IMS N Type x - Number of x type IMS service cards. The required amount of each type of cards is dimensioned according to the network specifics; 5. For each IMS element volumes of expansion cards (TDM processing, VoIP processing) are calculated. Formulas, according to which volume of each expansion card is calculated, are presented below. The number of required Type 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 cards is calculated using the following formula: IMS N Type x Vz C x capacity 2 (107) Where, C x capacity -Type x IMS service card handling capacity; 80 V z - Total network volume z handled by x type of component; z - Total network volume of BHE or BHCA or Stotal ; x - IMS service card Type: 2 or 3 or 5 or 6. N HSF - Number of required service frames in HSS core. The amount is calculated using the following formula: N HSF 2 HSS ( N Type x ) i 1 C HSCC (108) Where, C HSCC - HSS service frame’s card capacity; HSS N Type x - Number of x Type HSS service cards. There are two types of HSS service cards and their required amount is calculated using the following formula: S total HSS N Type 2 1 / 2 HA C x capacity (109) Where, Stotal - Total amount of voice subscribers in the network; HA - Headroom allowance for IMS subscriber processing elements; C x capacity - Type x HSS service card handling capacity; x - Type of the service card. There are two types in total. 10.5.7. Voice Mail Service and Home Location Register Each Voice mail service (VMS) and Home location register (HLR) comprises two parts: ► Base unit; 81 ► Extension units. The outcome of the algorithm presented in this section is the number of base units and extension units for VMS and HLR. The dividend variable for VMS is measured by mailboxes and HLR by the number of subscribers’. The amount of VMS and HLR base units and extension units is calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with mailboxes and the number of subscribers as dividend variables. 10.5.8. Centralized User Database (CUDB) Each Centralized User Database (CUDB) comprises two parts: ► Base unit; ► Extension units. The outcome of the algorithm presented in this section is the number of base units and extension units for CUDB. The dividend variable for CUDB is measured by the number of subscribers. Amount of CUDB base units and extension units is calculated according to algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with mailboxes and subscribers number as dividend variables. 10.5.9. Service Control Point (Intelligent Network) Service Control Point (SCP) is the network element, which services pre-paid subscribers. SCP comprises two parts: ► Base unit (pre - paid related); ► Extension: Subscribers part; Transactions part. Estimation of the minimum number of SCP base units required is a function of requirements to meet the subscribers and traffic demand. In each component’s case calculation algorithms are described below. 82 The total amount of SCP base units (BUSCP, units) is calculated according to the following formulas: N N BU SCP Max pre ; Tr / s C SCP ,sub C SCP ,Tr N Tr / s N pre N TSub (110) N BHCA t /c 60 (111) Where: Npre – Pre-paid subscribers, units; NTr/s – Busy hour transactions per second, units; CSCP,sub – Maximal operational capacity to satisfy number of subscribers (see formula No. (66)); CSCP,Tr – Maximal operational capacity to satisfy number of transactions, BH transactions/s (see formula No. (66)); NTSub – GSM, UMTS and LTE subscribers, units; NBHCA – Call attempts in BHT, BHCA (see formula No. (2)). αt/c- Average number of IN transactions per one pre-paid subscriber call (on-net and off-net). Assumption is made that αt/c is 8 transactions per call. The amount of SCP extension units for subscribers and transactions part is calculated according to the algorithm provided in section 10.4.1. Base and extension units with the number of subscribers and BH transactions per second dividend variables. 10.5.10. Network Functionality Network functionality (NF) elements in BU-LRAIC comprise the following elements: ► Soft handover (SFH); ► GSM/DCS control; BU-LRAIC model assumes that the amount of NE elements is equal to the amount of other NE according to the table 14. 83 Table 14. Amount of NE elements HCC name Total amount of units SFH: soft handover (network-wide) One unit in a mobile network SFH: soft handover (RNC extension) Equal to a number RNC base units SFH: soft handover (NodeB extension) Equal to a number of Node Bs GSM/DCS: control (network-wide) One unit in a mobile network GSM/DCS: control (MSC extension) Equal to a number of MSC base units GSM/DCS: control (BSC extension) Equal to a number of BSC base units GSM/DCS: control (BTS extension) Equal to a number of dual band BTS sites LTE: CS fallback function (eNodeB extension) Equal to a number of eNodeB LTE: CS fallback function (MME extension Equal to a number of MME 10.5.11. Other Network It is assumed that in BU-LRAIC model there is one billing system (hardware and software). 10.6. Transmission Transmission network connects physically separated nodes in a mobile network (BTSs/Node B/eNode B, BSCs/RNC/EPC, MSCs or MSS/MGWs or SGGSN/GGSN) and allows transmission of communication signals over far distances. Transmission network, according to the mobile network topology in BU-LRAIC model, is split into the following hierarchical levels: ► Backhaul transmission: BTS/Node B/eNode B – BSC/RNC/EPC; ► Core transmission: BSC/RNC – MSC, BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC – GGSN transmission; MSC – MSC, MGW – MGW or MGW- GGSN transmission. BU – LRAIC model also assumes two different transmission technologies: ► Ethernet technology in backhaul transmission 84 ► Ethernet technology in core transmission. Data transmission services are modeled in core transmission as well. The following sections provide algorithms for calculating transmission network capacity in each hierarchical level of the mobile network. Backhaul transmission Backhaul transmission connects BTSs with BSCs (GSM network), Node Bs with RNCs (UMTS network) or eNode Bs to EPC. Ethernet technology is used to transport data between the mentioned nodes of mobile network. Ethernet comprise the following transmission modes: ► Ethernet radio link 10 Mbit/s microwave link; ► Ethernet radio link 20 Mbit/s microwave link; ► Ethernet radio link 40 Mbit/s microwave link; ► Ethernet radio link 100 Mbit/s microwave link. To calculate backhaul transmission costs the proportion of each using Ethernet radio link needs to be estimated. Consequently, essential assumption in backhaul transmission is made that BTSs/Node Bs/eNode Bs are linked to one transmission line. Then, the proportion of each Ethernet radio link is set depending on: ► The number of sites (BTS/Node B/eNode B) per transmission line which connects BSC/RNC/EPC and the furthest BTS/Node B/eNode B; ► Average throughput per site. Figure 7 illustrates the principal transmission scheme between BTSs/Node Bs and BSCs/RNCs. N1 N2 T1=N1 N3 T2=T1+N2 T3=T2+N3 BSC/RNC/ EPC BTS/Node B/eNode B BTS/Node B/eNode B BTS/Node B/eNode B N1=N2=N3 - Average throughput per site in (kbit/s) Figure 7: Calculating proportions of each Ethernet radio link. 85 Key characteristics for backhaul transmission modeling are13: ► Transmission network equipment is built with minimal capacity level to assure BTS/Node B/ eNode B – BSC/RNC/EPC transmission on the level sufficient to serve the traffic demand. ► Each BTS/Node B/eNode B that belongs to a particular transmission line put additional volume of data to the transmission line. It results in higher loading of the transmission line coming up to BSC/Node B/eNode B and lower loading moving backwards. ► Assumption that the average number of sites per transmission line is three is set. Below, the algorithm of Ethernet radio links number calculation by different transmission modes (10Mbit/s; 20 Mbit/s; 40 Mbit/s; 100 Mbit/s) is provided. As all Ethernet radio link modes are calculated with reference to one algorithm, a common Ethernet radio link number calculation algorithm is provided. At first, the average throughput per site (αTH, kbit/s) is calculated according to the following formula: TH TH UMTS TH GSM TH LTE N SI (112) Where: THUMTS – Total throughput per UMTS sites taking in account all type of cells, sub-areas and sectors, kbit/s; THGSM – Total throughput per GSM sites taking in account all type of cells, sub-areas and sectors, kbit/s; THLTE – Total throughput per LTE sites taking in account all type of cells, sub-areas and sectors, kbit/s; NSI – Total number of sites (GSM, UMTS and LTE networks), units (calculated in formula No. (70)). THUMTS is calculated according to the following formula: TH UMTS TH UMTS i , j ,k N iUMTS , j ,k (113) i , j ,k Where: TH iUMTS , j , k – Throughput per UMTS site, kbit/s. See formula No. (114). 13 When network is built in a ring structure data traffic is going through the shortest way. This is the reason why these characteristics are accepted. 86 – Number of UMTS sites, units; N iUMTS , j ,k i – Type of area; j – Type of cell; k – Type of sector. TH iUMTS , j , k is calculated according to the following formula: TH UMTS i , j ,k SeB Se Se N CAP ( PUMTS C min PHSDPA C HSDPA ) i Si N iSeB (114) Where: SeB N CAP - Number of sectors to meet capacity requirements in all types of area and cell, calculated in formula No. (46), units; PUMTS – UMTS data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; PHSDPA – HSDPA data traffic proportion in UMTS network, %; Se – Sector capacity in BHT in all types of area and cell, kbit/s. Assumptions for this value are C min provided in the beginning of section 10.2.1. Node B. Se C HSDPA - Sector capacity – HSDPA, in BHT in all types of area and cell, kbit/s. Assumptions for this value are provided in the beginning of section 10.2.1. Node B. Si N iSeB – i sectored sites in UMTS network, calculated in formula No. (48), units; i - 1, 2 or 3, respectively to omni sector, 2 sector or 3 sector. THGSM is calculated according to the following formula: TH GSM TH GSM i , j ,k N iGSM , j ,k (115) i , j ,k Where: TH iGSM , j , k - Throughput per GSM site, kbit/s; N iGSM , j , k - Number of GSM sites, units; i – Type of area; j – Type of cell; k – Type of sector. 87 TH iGSM , j , k is calculated according to the following formula: (116) Se TH iGSM i , j , k N TRX / Se TH Where: N TRX / Se - Number of TRXs per sector (taking in account all types of area and cell), calculated in formulas No. (36), (37), (38), units; THSe – Throughput per TRX, kbit/s; as there are 8 channels in one TRX and it is assumed that throughput per one channel equals 16 kbit/s, throughput per TRX is calculated multiplying 8 (channels) by 16 (throughput per one channel); i - 1, 2 or 3, respectively to omni sector, 2 sector or 3 sector. Further, link capacity of transmission modes ( Cil , circuits) is calculated according to the following formula: Cil Cb OA N ilc (117) Where: Cb – Basic 2 Mbit/s link capacity, kbit/s; Mbit/s will be translated into kbit/s using 1000 multiple. OA – Operational allowance, %; Algorithm of operational allowance is provided in formula No. (67) (calculated according to Ethernet equipment). N ilc – Number, which multiplies basic 2 Mbit/s link capacity; i – Ethernet links at 10 Mbit/s, 20 Mbit/s, 40 Mbit/s, and 100 Mbit/s. N ilc values are: ► Ethernet radio link 10 Mbit/s microwave link – 5; ► Ethernet radio link 20 Mbit/s microwave link – 10; ► Ethernetradio link 40 Mbit/s microwave link – 20; ► Ethernet radio link 100 Mbit/s microwave link – 50. The maximum number of transmission modes sections per transmission line ( N iMAX ,sec , units) is calculated according to the following formula: 88 Cl N iMAX ,sec i TH (118) Where: Cil – Particular link capacity of transmission modes, kbit/s; αTH – average throughput per site, kbit/s. Calculation of this dimension is provided in formula No. (112). The number of transmission modes sections per transmission line is calculated with different algorithms for different types of Ethernet radio links. The number of 10 Mbit/s sections per transmission line ( N 5sec , units) is calculated according to the following formula: N10sec MIN ( N 10MAX ,sec ; BTS ) (119) Where: N 10MAX ,sec – Maximum number of 10 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units (see formula No. (118)). BTS – Average number of BTS sites per transmission line, units. Assumption is provided in page 86. sec The number of 20 Mbit/s sections per transmission line ( N 20 , units) is calculated according to the following formula: sec MAX ,sec sec N 20 MIN ( N 20 ; BTS ) N 10 (120) Where: MAX ,sec N 20 – Maximum number of 20 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. (see formula No. (118)). BTS – Average number of BTS sites per transmission line, units. Assumption is provided on page 86. sec – Number of 10 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. Look at formula No. (119). N 10 sec The number of 40 Mbit/s sections per transmission line ( N 40 , units) is calculated according to the following formula: 89 sec MAX ,sec sec sec N 40 MIN ( N 40 ; BTS ) N 20 N 10 (121) Where: MAX ,sec – Maximum number of 40 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. (see formula No. N 40 (118)). BTS – Average number of BTS sites per transmission line, units. Assumption is provided on page 86. sec – Number of 10 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units (see formula No. (119)) N 10 sec N 20 – Number of 20 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units (see formula No. (120)). sec The number of 100 Mbit/s sections per transmission line ( N 100 , units) is calculated according to the following formula: sec MAX ,sec sec sec sec N 100 MIN ( N 100 ; BTS ) N 40 N 20 N 10 (122) Where: MAX ,sec – Maximum number of 100 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units (see formula No. N 100 (118)) BTS – Average number of BTS sites per transmission line, units. Assumption is provided in page 86. sec – Number of 10 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. Look at formula No. (119). N 10 sec N 20 – Number of 20 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. Look at formula No. (120). sec N 40 – Number of 40 Mbit/s sections per transmission line, units. Look at formula No. (121). Share of transmission modes sections per transmission line ( Pi sec , %) is calculated according to the following formula: Pi sec (123) N isec MIN ( BTS ; N sec ) Where: N isec – Number of transmission mode sections per transmission line, units. Look at formulas (119) – (122). 90 i – Ethernet10 Mbit/s, 20 Mbit/s, 40 Mbit/s, 100 Mbit/s; BTS – Average number of BTS sites per transmission line, units. Assumption is provided in page 86. Nsec – Total number of transmission modes sections per transmission line, units. Calculated summing up the results of formulas No. (119) – (122). Finally, Ethernetradio links number by different transmission modes ( N iETH , units) is calculated according to the following formula: Si N iETH Pi sec N Total (124) Where: Pi sec – Share of transmission modes sections per transmission line, %; i – 10 Mb/s, 20 Mb/s, 40 Mb/s, 100 Mb/s; Si NTotal – Total number of sites in mobile network, units. This number is calculated in formula No. (70). Core transmission As mentioned before, core transmission connects BSCs/RNCs/EPC and MSCs or MGWs or GGSNs and for core transmission modeling data transmission services are modeled. First of all, the number of Ethernet radio links in BSC/RNC – MSC, BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC GGSN hierarchy level is calculated. Below, the calculation algorithm is provided. The number of sec BSC/RNC-MSC, BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC - GGSN sections to meet capacity demand ( N SDH , units) is calculated according to the following formula: DC sec N ETH N BR C ETH (125) Where: DC – BSC/RNC-MSC, BSC/RNC-MGW or EPC - GGSN total demand for capacity covered by radio links, 2Mbit/s; NBR – Number of BSCs, RNCs and EPC (calculated in sections 10.1.3. Base station controller and 10.2.2. Radio Network Controller), units; 91 C ETH – Maximal operational capacity of Ethernet radio link, E1 (calculated according principles provided in formula No. (66)). The total number of Ethernet links (NETH, units) is calculated according to the following formula: sec N ETH N BR Pmt BSC N ETH (126) Where: NBR – Number of BSCs, RNCs and EPC (calculated in sections 10.1.3. Base Station Controller, 10.2.2. Radio Network Controller and 10.3.2. Evolved Packet Core), units; Pmt – Share of transmission covered by microwave links, %; αBSC – Average number of BSC sites per link (Ethernet radio links), units; sec – Number of BSC/RNC-MSC BSC/RNC-MGW or EPC - GGSN sections to meet capacity N PDH requirements, units. If NETH is not an integer number, it is rounded to integer. There is an assumption adopted that the average number of BSC sites per transmission line is two. Alternative technology for transporting data in BSC/RNC – MSC,BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC GGSN hierarchy level is data transmission services. Kilometers as additional measure besides pieces of data transmission services are calculated, as the costs of data transmission services increase together with the increasing distance between BSC/RNC and MSC/MGW or EPC and GGSN. Having in mind the pricing model the suppliers are using (access part is usually shorter but more expensive comparing with core network), Operators have to provide weighted (access and core network) average price of data transmission services for 1 km. The number of data transmission services BSC/RNC-MSC, BSC/RNC-MGW or EPC - GGSN ( l N BSC MSC / MGW , units) is calculated according to the following formula: l t N BSC MSC / MGW N BR PL (127) Where: NBR – Number of BSCs RNCs and EPC, (calculated in sections 10.1.3. Base station controller and 10.2.2. Radio Network Controller), units. PLt – Share of transmission covered by data transmission services, %. The total length of data transmission services in BSC/RNC – MSC, BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC GGSN (LBSC-MSC/MGW , km) is calculated according to the following formula: 92 l l LBSC MSC / MGW N BSC MSC / MGW BSC MSC / MGW (128) Where: l N BSC MSC / MGW – Number of data transmission services BSC/RNC-MSC, BSC/RNC – MGW or EPC - GGSN units (see formula No. (127)). l BSC MSC / MGW – Average distance of leased line between BSC/RNC/EPC and MSC or MGW or GGSN, km. The average distance of leased line between BSC/RNC/EPC and MSC or MGW or GGSN ( l BSC MSC / MGW , km) is calculated according to the following formula: l BSC MSC / MGW (129) R 2 Where: R – Radial distance of hexagon, km. The area of hexagon equals to Area of Republic of Lithuania divided by the number of MSC or MGW. l BSC MSC / MGW is shown in the figure 8. l BSC MSC / MGW R BSC MSC or MGW S1 S2 Figure 8. Average distance between BSC and MSC/MGW. l Further algorithm how BSC MSC / MGW is calculated is provided below. 93 S2 2, S1 3 3 R2 2 3 3 l 2 ( BSC MSC / MGW ) 2 l 2 , BSC MSC / MGW R 2 . Where: S1 – Area of smaller hexagon, km2; S2 – Area of bigger hexagon, km2. In MSC-MSC, MGW – MGW or GGSN - GGSN hierarchy level two types of measure of data transmission services are calculated as well. The number of data transmission services MSCl MSC, MGW – MGW or GGSN - GGSN ( N MSC MSC / MGW MGW , units), assuming each MSC/MGW/GGSN is connected with each of the rest of MSC/MGW/GGSN, is calculated according to the following formula: l N MSC MSC / MGW MGW BU MSC / MGW ( BU MSC / MGW 1) (130) Where: BUMSC / MGW – Number of MSC/MGW/GGSN (see formula No. (99), (74), (84)), units. The total length of data transmission services MSC-MSC, MGW – MGW or GGSN - GGSN (LMSCMSC/MGW-MGW , units) is calculated according to the following formula: l l LMSC MSC / MGW MGW N MSC MSC / MGW MGW MSC MSC / MGW MGW (131) Where: l N MSC MSC / MGW MGW – Number of data transmission services MSC/MSS/MGW/GGSN- MSC/MSS/MGW/GGSN, units; l MSC MSC / MGW MGW – Average distance of data transmission services between MSCs/MGWs/GGSN, km. The average distance of data transmission services between MSCs/MGWs/GGSNs ( l MSC MSC / MGW MGW , km) is calculated according to the following formula: l MSC MSC / MGW MGW (132) RMSC / MGW 2 94 Where: RMSC/MGW – Radial distance of hexagon, km The area of hexagon is equal to the area of the Republic of Lithuania. An assumption is adopted that the area of the Republic of Lithuania is one hexagon. Stand-alone transmission radio link: tower and site preparation As the total number of Ethernet is calculated, it is assumed that additional (to traffic and coverage) towers and sites are needed for transmission. These radio links are further referred to as standalone transmission radio links. The total number of stand-alone transmission radio link ( N St A , units) is calculated according to the following formula: N St A N BS A N CS A (133) Where: N BS A – Number of stand-alone microwave sites in backhaul transmission, units; N CS A – Number of stand-alone microwave sites in core transmission, units. N BS A is calculated according to the following formulas: N BS A N ETH PSETH A (134) N ETH N iETH (135) i Where: NETH – Total number of Ethernet radio links in BTS/NodeB/eNodeB–BSC/RNC/EPC transmission, units; PSETH A – Percent of stand-alone Ethernet radio links, %. Data related to stand-alone Ethernet radio links will be gathered from Operators. N iETH – 10 Mbit/s, 20 Mbit/s, 40 Mbit/s, 100 Mbit/s Ethernet radio links. N CS A is calculated according to the following formula: 95 N CS A N ETH PSETH A (136) Where: NETH – Total number of Ethernet radio links (calculated in formula No. (126)), units; PSETH A – Percent of stand-alone Ethernet radio links, %. Data related to stand-alone Ethernet radio links will be gathered from Operators. 96 11. Network valuation 11.1. Cost annualization All mobile network elements identified during network dimensioning are revalued at Gross Replacement Cost (GRC). On the basis of GRC value, its annual CAPEX cost is being further calculated. In BU-LRAIC model there are four alternative methods that are used to calculate annual CAPEX costs: ► Straight-line method; ► Annuity method; ► Tilted Annuity method; ► Economic depreciation method. Algorithms to calculate annual CAPEX cost using straight-line, annuity, tilted annuity and economic depreciation methods are described in the following sections. Straight-line method The annual CAPEX costs under straight-line method are calculated according to the following formula: C CD HG ROI (137) Where: ► CD GRC - current depreciation (l – useful life of an asset (data will be gathered from l Operators); GRC –gross replacement cost of an asset); ► HG NBV GRC index , holding gain (loss); GBV ► ROI NBV GRC WACC - cost of capital; GBV ► Index - price index change (data will be gathered from Operators); ► NBV – net book value; ► GBV – gross book value; ► WACC - weighted average cost of capital. 97 Annuity method The annual CAPEX costs under annuity method are calculated according to the following formula: C GRC WACC 1 1 1 WACC l (138) Tilted annuity method The annual CAPEX costs under tilted annuity method are calculated according to the following formula: C GRC WACC index 1 index 1 1 WACC l (139) Economic depreciation Economic depreciation algorithm involves a cash-flow analysis to answer the question: what timeseries of prices, consistent with the trends in the underlying costs of production (e.g. utilization of the network, price change of asset elements), yield expected net present value equal zero (i.e. normal profit). Economic depreciation requires to forecast key variables: ► Cost of capital ► Changes in the price of Modern Equivalent Asset ► Changes in operating cost over time ► Utilization profile The impact of key variables on depreciation, is as follows: ► The lower the cost of capital, the lower the cost of investment that needs to be recovered in any year ► The greater the future MEA price reductions, the more depreciation needs to be front- loaded ► The deprecation should be brought forward, according to the increase in the operating cost of an asset 98 Economic depreciation is a method to calculate annual costs based on a forecasted revenue distribution during the useful asset lifetime. This is the main reason why this method is favored in theory. However, in the current BU-LRAIC model the use of economic depreciation is excluded from modeling scope due to some reasons. Firstly, results from this method are highly dependable on various forecast assumptions. Forecasted revenue, cost of capital, changes in the price of Modern Equivalent Asset, changes in operating cost over time, utilization profile are essential for calculations, though having in mind the dynamic nature of the telecommunications market, forecasts may be subjective. Secondly, changing the depreciation method14 during the regulated period would result in different service cost results and could affect the general business case for the operators. Finally, using alternative depreciation and annualization methods, such as straightline, annuity or tilted annuity, enables to reach comparable results. A detailed analysis of straight-line, annuity, tilted annuity and economic depreciation and annualization methods is presented in Annex No. 2. Recommendation allows using a different depreciation method than economic depreciation if feasible. The tilted annuity method will be used as the main method to calculate annual CAPEX costs due to simplicity and a fact that it generates a depreciation profile similar to that of economic depreciation – method recommended by Recommendation. The comparison of those methods is presented in Annex 2. It is worth mentioning that the model will have a possibility to calculate annual CAPEX using straight line, annuity and tilted annuity methods. 11.2. Mark-ups BU-LRAIC model includes the network related operational cost, administration and support operational and capital costs and network management system capital cost as a percentage of the network costs. In the current BU-LRAIC model the following mark-ups are calculated: Table 15. Mark-ups in BU-LRAIC modeling Parameter name Activities and equipments included Mark ups on GRC Mark-ups of operational costs on network cost: Site infrastructure OPEX. Operational costs of planning, BSS and RNS infrastructure, eNode B management, on—site visits, inspections, 14 Currently applied depreciation method is “straight line”. 99 Parameter name Activities and equipments included Transmission configuration and maintenance works, for MSC/MGW/EPC-GGSN particular network elements. Mark-ups of network management system on network costs: BSS and RNS infrastructure, eNode B Transmission CAPEX of network management system equipment. MSC/MGW/EPC-GGSN Mark-ups on operational costs Mark-ups of administration and support operational cost: Total network infrastructure OPEX. Operational cost of general administration, finance, human resources, information technology management and other administration and support activities (salaries, materials, services). Mark-ups of administration and support capital cost Total network infrastructure CAPEX of general administration, finance, human resources, information technology management and other administration and support activities (buildings, vehicles, computers, etc.). General table of detailed mark-ups that would be used in calculations are provided in table 16. Mark-ups are calculated based on the principles described in section 4.7. Mark-ups. 100 Table 16. Mark-ups to cover network related costs Mark-ups of operational costs on network cost Mark-ups of network management system on network cost Mark-ups of administration and support operational Mark-ups of administration and support capital cost cost Site All sub- Site infrastructure components (% on HCC GRC value) - Total network Total network infrastructure infrastructure (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) Total network Total network infrastructure infrastructure (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) Total network Total network infrastructure infrastructure (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) Total network Total network infrastructure infrastructure (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) Total network Total network infrastructure infrastructure (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) BTS All subcomponents BSS infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) BSS infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) Node B / eNode B All subcomponents BSS infrastructure BSS infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) (% on HCC GRC value) Ethernet radio link All subcomponents BSC/RNC/EPC All subcomponents Transmission (% on HCC GRC value) BSS infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) Transmission (% on HCC GRC value) BSS infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) MSC/MSS/MGW MSC/MGW and other MSC/MGW and other Total network Total network network network infrastructure infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) (% on HCC GRC value) (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) MSC/MGW and other Total network Total network network infrastructure infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) (% on HCC GRC value) (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) MSC/MGW and other MSC/MGW and other Total network Total network network network infrastructure infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) Other Network / IMS MSC/MGW and other All subnetwork components (% on HCC GRC value) (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) MSC/MGW and other Total network Total network network infrastructure infrastructure (% on HCC GRC value) (% on HCC GRC value) (% on network OPEX) (% on network OPEX) All subcomponents Network functionality MSC/MGW and other All subnetwork components SMSC All subcomponents (network-wide) 101 12. Service cost calculation After major costs with the help of engineering model are established, service cost calculation stage follows. The flow in figure 8 and explanation of processes are provided below. As the figure 9 shows, after network HCC1 elements are established, HCCs are HCC2 allocated to NCs (see section 12.1 HCC HCC3 allocation to NC). Further total Network … Components costs are calculated by summing appropriate HCCs. Total Network Components costs are divided HCCn by NC1 NCn NC2 NC3 NCn volumes NCn unit costs Service usage service volumes and Network Component unit costs are calculated. And finally Network Component unit costs are multiplied by service usage factor and service costs are calculated (see table 19. Service matrix). Service costs Figure 9. Service cost calclation flow 12.1. Homogeneous cost categories allocation to Network Components Essential part of LRAIC methodology is allocation of Homogenous Cost Categories on Network Components. Network Components represent logical elements that are functionally integrated and from combining which services may be established. An example of Network Component is a logical meaning of BTS which includes the annual cost of BTS’s along with all mark up costs resulting from maintenance, localization and supporting activities (e.g. administration, accounting etc.). HCCs to NC allocation matrix is presented in table 17. 102 Table 17. HCC allocation to NC. HCC name Allocation on Network Components NC1 NC2 Tower and BTS / Node site prepa- B / eNode B ration voice NC3 BSC / RNC / EPC voice NC4 NC5 NC6 NC7 BTS / Node BSC / RNC / TX B / eNode B EPC MSC / MSS / backhaul data data MGW voice NC8 NC9 NC10 NC11 TX / BSCMSC voice TX interswit ch voice TX backhaul data TX / BSCMSC data Site Macrocell: tower and site preparation X Microcell: site preparation X Picocell: site preparation Stand-alone transmission radiolink: tower and site preparation X X BTS - GSM Macrocell: equipment (omni sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (2 sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (3 sector) X X Microcell: equipment X X Picocell: equipment X X Macrocell: TRXs X X Microcell: TRXs X X Picocell: TRXs X X Macrocell: equipment (omni sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (2 sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (3 sector) X X Microcell: equipment X X Picocell: equipment X X Macrocell: equipment (omni sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (2 sector) X X Macrocell: equipment (3 sector) X X Microcell: equipment X X Picocell: equipment X X NodeB - UMTS eNodeB - LTE Ethernet Radiolink Ethernet radiolink 10 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radiolink 20 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radiolink 40 Mb/s microwave link Ethernet radiolink 100 Mb/s microwave link X X X X X X X Ethernet radiolink 300 Mb/s X X X BSC/RNC BSC: base unit X X BSC: BS TRX expansion X X TRC: transcoder base unit TRC: transcoder E1 (A interface) expansion X X X X RNC: basic units X X RNC: extension units (Iub link) X X RNC: extension units (sectors) X X RNC: extension units (sites) X X EPC PGW: base unit X X PGW: extension units X X MME: base unit X X 103 NC12 NC13 TX interswitch data SMSC NC14 NC15 NC16 MMSC SGSN / GGSN voice SGSN / GGSN data NC17 EDGE NC18 HSDPA NC19 WAP NC20 HLR NC21 Billing NC22 NC23 IMS Number portability platform HCC name Allocation on Network Components NC1 NC2 Tower and BTS / Node site prepa- B / eNode B ration voice MME: expansion units NC3 BSC / RNC / EPC voice X NC4 NC5 NC6 NC7 BTS / Node BSC / RNC / TX B / eNode B EPC MSC / MSS / backhaul data data MGW voice X NC8 NC9 NC10 NC11 TX / BSCMSC voice TX interswit ch voice TX backhaul data TX / BSCMSC data NC12 NC13 TX interswitch data SMSC NC14 NC15 NC16 MMSC SGSN / GGSN voice SGSN / GGSN data NC17 EDGE NC18 HSDPA NC19 WAP NC20 HLR NC21 Billing NC22 NC23 IMS Number portability platform MSC MSC: basic unit and software X MSC: processor expansion X MSC: VLR, EIR expansion X MSC: SS7 expansion X MSC: trunk port expansion X MSC: I/O peripherials X MSS: basic unit and software X MSS: processor expansion X MGW: basic unit and software X MGW: processor expansion X MGW: trunk port expansion X Network Functionality SFH: soft frequency hopping (networkwide) SFH: soft frequency hopping (MSS expansion) SFH: soft frequency hopping (RNC expansion) SFH: soft frequency hopping (NodeB expansion) X X X X X X X X GSM/DCS: control (network-wide) X X GSM/DCS: control (MSC expansion) X X GSM/DCS: control (BSC expansion) X X GSM/DCS: control (BTS expansion) X X Data Network EDGE: data transfer (network-wide) X EDGE: data transfer (MSC expansion) X EDGE: data transfer (BSC expansion) X EDGE: data transfer (BTS expansion) X HSPDA: data transfer (network-wide) X HSPDA: data transfer (MSS expansion) X HSPDA: data transfer (RNC expansion) HSPDA: data transfer (NodeB expansion) X X PCU: base unit X X PCU: expansion units (Gb link) X X SGSN: base unit X X SGSN: processing expansion X X GGSN: basic unit and licence X X WAP: gateway X SMSC/MMSC SMSC: base unit X SMSC: expansion X MMSC: base unit X MMSC: expansion X IP multimedia sub-system IMS X Other Network SSP: service switching point (networkwide) X 104 HCC name Allocation on Network Components NC1 NC2 Tower and BTS / Node site prepa- B / eNode B ration voice NC3 BSC / RNC / EPC voice NC4 NC5 NC6 NC7 BTS / Node BSC / RNC / TX B / eNode B EPC MSC / MSS / backhaul data data MGW voice NC8 NC9 NC10 NC11 TX / BSCMSC voice TX interswit ch voice TX backhaul data TX / BSCMSC data NC12 NC13 TX interswitch data SMSC SCP: service control point - base unit (pre-paid related) NC14 NC15 NC16 MMSC SGSN / GGSN voice SGSN / GGSN data NC17 EDGE NC18 HSDPA NC19 WAP NC20 HLR Billing NC22 NC23 IMS Number portability platform X SCP: expansion - subscribers X SCP: expansion - tps X VMS: base unit X VMS: expansion X HLR: base unit X HLR: expansion X Billing IC hardware and software Number portability system hardware and software X X License and frequency fee Concession right - GSM 900 MHz (total value) Concession right - GSM 1800 MHz (total value) X X X X Concession right - UMTS (total value) X X Concession right - LTE (total value) Data transmission services Data transmission services BSC-MSC (fixed) Data transmission services BSC-MSC (variable) Data transmission services MSC-MSC (fixed) Data transmission services MSC-MSC (variable) NC21 X X X X 105 X X X X 12.2. Network Component average unit cost After deriving the total costs of each Network Component, the average unit costs of those Network Components are derived. Unit costs (UC, Lt) are derived by dividing the total cost of each Network Component by yearly traffic utilizing that Network Component as the formula shows: UC TNCC Volume (140) Where: TNCC – Total Network Component costs, LTL; Volume – Annual traffic15 utilizing appropriate Network Component. Below, table 16 is provided which explains how the appropriate volume is calculated. As described in section 4. LRAIC methodology, model will have a functionality of calculating costs of any service included in the economic model according each of Pure LRAIC, LRAIC+ and LRAIC++ principles. Based on these methods, different calculation algorithms of TNCC costs are applied (more information provided in section 4. LRAIC methodology): ► Pure LRAIC method – includes only costs related to network components used in the provision of the particular service ► LRAIC+ method – includes only costs related to network components used in the provision of the particular group of services, which allows some shared cost of the group of services to become incremental as well. The group of service could be total voice services and total data services. ► LRAIC++ method – includes costs described in LRAIC+ method description plus common and joint cost. . The common and joint cost related to each group of service (total voice services and total data services) are calculated separately for each Network Component using an equally-proportional mark-up (EPMU) mechanism based on the level of incremental cost incurred by each group of service (total voice services and total data services). Detailed explanation of links between mark-ups and HCC are provided in Table 16. Mark-ups to cover network related operational cost, administration and support operational and capital costs and network management system capital cost. It also has to be noted, that according to the 15 Only successful calls are included in this parameter. 106 Recommendation provided in the legal background, all voice services will have to be calculated using Pure LRAIC approach. Table 18. Traffic utilizing Network Components. Network Component Tower and site preparation Unit Traffic included Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes (conversion Video traffic is not applied to voice traffic) SMS traffic MMS traffic Circuit data traffic Packet data traffic BTS Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes (conversion SMS traffic is not applied to voice traffic) MMS traffic Circuit data traffic Packet data traffic (Mbytes): BSC o Up-link (GSM subscribers) o Down-link (GSM subscribers) Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic (minutes of use) equivalent minutes (conversion Video traffic (minutes of use) is not applied to voice traffic) SMS traffic (pieces) MMS traffic (pieces) Circuit data traffic (minutes of use) Packet data traffic (Mbytes): 107 o Up-link (GSM subscribers) o Down-link (GSM subscribers) Network Component Node B Unit Traffic included Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes (conversion Video traffic is not applied to voice traffic) SMS traffic MMS traffic Packet data traffic (Mbytes): RNC o Up-link (UMTS subscribers) o Down-link (UMTS subscribers) Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes Video traffic SMS traffic MMS traffic Weighted data traffic volume in megabytes eNode B o Up-link (UMTS subscribers) o Down-link (UMTS subscribers) Weighted service volumes in Packet data traffic (Mbytes): equivalent minutes EPC Packet data traffic (Mbytes): o Up-link (LTE subscribers) o Down-link (LTE subscribers) Weighted service volumes in Packet data traffic (Mbytes): equivalent minutes o Up-link (LTE subscribers) Weighted sessions volume o Down-link (LTE subscribers) Data services (sessions) MSC/MSS/MGW Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes 108 Video traffic Network Component TX - backhaul Unit Traffic included Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes Video traffic SMS traffic Weighted data traffic volume in MMS traffic megabytes Circuit data traffic Packet data traffic TX - aggregation Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes Video traffic SMS traffic MMS traffic Weighted data traffic volume in Circuit data traffic megabytes Packet data traffic TX - core Weighted service volumes in Voice traffic equivalent minutes Video traffic SMS traffic MMS traffic Weighted data traffic volume in Circuit data traffic megabytes Packet data traffic SMSC Weighted service volumes SMS traffic MMSC Weighted service volumes MMS traffic SGSN / GGSN Weighted data traffic volume in Packet data traffic (Mbytes): megabytes 109 o Up-link (GSM/UMTS/LTE subscribers) o Down-link (GSM/UMTS/LTE subscribers) Network Component EDGE HSDPA WAP HLR Unit Traffic included Weighted data traffic volume in EDGE data traffic in GSM network: megabytes o Year total up-link (GSM subscribers) o Year total down-link (GSM subscribers) Weighted data traffic volume in HSDPA data traffic in UMTS network: megabytes o Year total up-link (UMTS subscribers) o Year total down-link (UMTS subscribers) Weighted data traffic volume in WAP data traffic in GSM network: megabytes Number of users16 o Year total up-link (GSM subscribers) o Year total down-link (GSM subscribers) Year end mobile subscribers (GSM post-paid) Year end mobile subscribers (GSM pre-paid) Year end mobile subscribers (UMTS post-paid) Year end mobile subscribers (UMTS pre-paid) Year end mobile subscribers (LTE post-paid) Year end mobile subscribers (LTE pre-paid) User is defined as active subscriber according to the document “General terms and conditions for engaging in electronic communications activities” (Žin., 2005, No 49-1641; 2006, No 131-4976; 2007, No431670). 16 110 Network Component Billing IMS Unit Weighted voice traffic volume Voice traffic: o Incoming o Transit Weighted sessions volume Data services (sessions) Weighted SMS volume SMS (messages) Weighted MMS volume MMS (messages) Weighted voice traffic volume Packet data traffic (Mbytes): Weighted SMS volume Weighted MMS volume Number portability platform Traffic included Weighted voice traffic volume o Up-link (LTE subscribers) o Down-link (LTE subscribers) Voice traffic (call attempts): o On-net o Incoming Weighted sessions volume Data services (sessions) Weighted SMS volume SMS (messages) Weighted MMS volume MMS (messages) 12.3. Service cost In order to calculate the total service cost, average service usage factors by each network component involved in a service are needed. Average service usage factors refer to the quantity of a particular network component involved in a service (e.g. average number of base stations, switches and transmission links involved in termination service). Service matrix with service usage factors is provided in table 19. 111 Tower and site preparation BTS BSC NodeB RNC eNode B EPC MSC/MGW TX - backhaul TX - aggregation TX - core SMSC MMSC SGSN - GGSN EDGE HSDPA WAP HLR Billing IMS Number portability platform Table 19. Service matrix Call Transit 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - f R1,1 - Call Transit 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - f R2,1 - Call Transit 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - f R3,1 - Call origination f R4,1 f R4, 2 f R4,3 f R4, 4 f R4,5 - - f R4, 6 f R4, 7 f R4,8 f R4,9 - - - - - - - 1 - - Call termination f R5,1 f R5, 2 f R5,3 f R5, 4 f R5,5 - - f R5,6 f R5,7 f R5,8 f R5,9 - - - - - - - 1 - 1 SMS termination f R6,1 * f SMS f R6, 2 * f SMS f R6,3 * f SMS f R6, 4 * f SMS f R6,5 * f SMS - - f R6,8 * f SMS - f R6 / 9 - - - - - - 1 - 1 f R7 ,1 * f MMS f R7 , 2 * f MMS f R7,3 * f MMS f R7 , 4 * f MMS f R7,5 * f MMS - - f R7 , 6 * f MMS f R7 , 7 * f MMS - - f R7 / 8 Lmms/106 - - - - 1 - 1 f R6,6 * f SMS f R6, 7 * f SMS SMS origination On-net SMS MMS termination - MMS origination On-net MMS Where: fR – Appropriate routing factor (Network element routing factors are provided in section 9.1 Service demand conversion in table 5); fx,y– x – Number of row in table 5; y – number of column in table 5. fG,E,GSM,umts,HSDPA,SMS,MMS – Appropriate conversion factor (Network element conversion factors are provided in section 9.1 Service demand conversion); αH - Average number of channels used for HSCDS is adopted as assumption and equals to two; Lmms - Average MMS length, bytes; When the average routes of particular types of services are established, service cost (SC) of any service is calculated according to the following formula: SC f usei UCi n (141) i 1 Where: n – From 1 to 23 number of Network Component; f usei – Average service usage factor, provided in the service matrix. See table 19. UCi – Unit Network Component cost, Lt (see formula No. (138), (140)). The capacity based services unit cost will be calculated based on average utilization of IC ports, which will be provided by the Operators modeled. Based on the average utilization of IC ports, the monthly volume of the wholesale voice services (termination, origination and transit) provided over one IC port will be calculated. The cost of the capacity based services will be calculated by multiplying the unit cost of each type of the wholesale voice service by the proper monthly volume of the service provided over one IC port. 112 13. Annex 1. Second sub-model: cost calculation of Auxiliary services for network interconnection In this annex, principles of the second sub-model are provided. There are lots of alternatives for network interconnection. Sometimes networks are interconnected at the premises of one operator near switches or alternative network elements, but for security and network management reasons networks may be interconnected at some remote premises (Point of Presence, PoP). In current regulatory practice of call termination services, RRT has imposed that network elements required for network interconnection have to be implemented by interconnecting operators themselves and no charge shall be applied for these elements. RRT has also imposed that interconnecting link shall be installed by party able to implement such link in cheapest way and costs related with link that connects networks shall be equally split. Network elements from switches of a particular operator to PoP might be implemented and maintained by that operator. Access to these network elements might be forbidden for security reasons or particular charges might me applied for access to premises and network elements that could be used for other interconnecting party to install a link from PoP to switches. Access to network elements from PoP to switches might also be used for installation of a link not only for call termination services, but also for origination and transit services. The objective of this model is to calculate long run average incremental costs of access to network elements for installation of a link from PoP to the network equipment, where networks can be interconnected for call termination, initiation and transit services. In general access to these network elements could be called Auxiliary services. The scheme of Auxiliary service for network interconnection is provided below. 113 B A 1 Point of Presence Operat or B Operat or A Inside the cabinet 2 Networ k elements 3 Cable ladder s 4 Cabinet 3 2 net work element s of operat or, providing auxiliary services, where net works are physically int erconnect ed Cables Net work element s of alt ernat ive operat or 1 1 4 Figure 10. General scheme of auxiliary services. In Table 20, definitions of the second sub-model services are provided. Table 20. Service definitions. Service name Service definition Access to Providing access to network elements in Access auxiliary order to install an interconnecting link in Point infrastructure or other network services for of Presence from network elements of one elements for installation of a network operator to network elements of the other link. interconnection operator where Measure networks can to physical be interconnected. Depending on the type of agreement between the alternative operator and the provider of auxiliary services, two types of activities involved in the PoP implementation will be modeled: 1. Lease of full installed equipment in the premises of the provider of auxiliary services; 2. Lease of the technical infrastructure of the provider of auxiliary services. First modeling scenario: One-off costs of services One-off costs are related to first modeling scenario. In this scenario the amount of hours (A hr) required by technical staff to install and set auxiliary services is calculated. Installation process consists of cable arrangement and installation with cable ledges, mounting cabinet to the fixed location. 114 One-off costs ( COPOP ) are calculated according to the following formula: COPOP t off MH (142) Where: toff - Total time (A hr) required for one-off activities, man-hours; αMH – Average activity man-hour costs (of required qualification), currency. Periodical costs of services In first modeling scenario, periodical costs of services include both costs related to network equipment and costs related to periodical specific activities. While calculating the equipment related costs, following equipment is required: 1. One unit of cabinet; 2. Optional: security equipment (sensor and cable); 3. Certain length of cable ladders; The cost of this service should represent incurred capital cost (CAPEX) together with mark-ups of: 1. Operational costs (OPEX) on network cost; 2. Network management system (CAPEX); 3. Administration and support (OPEX and CAPEX). Periodical equipment related annual costs are calculated according to the same principles and using the same mark-ups as described for transmission in section 11.2 Mark - ups. Second modeling scenario: In second modeling scenario, periodical costs related to the rent of the technical infrastructure of the provider of auxiliary services will be calculated according to the following formula: RE POP S i k (143) Where: Si – total space required for the installation ladders and other PoP equipment in the premises of the provider of auxiliary service, square meters; αk – average rate of rent of property for one square meter, currency. 115 14. Annex 2. Economic depreciation method: analysis and results Depreciation can be defined as the systematic allocation of the depreciable amount of an asset over its useful life. The depreciable amount is the initial cost of an asset less its residual value estimated at the date of acquisition. Thus depreciation reflects the recovery of invested capital over the asset’s economic life. It can also be defined as a measure of reduction in the economic life of an asset from the usage, passage of time and technological or market changes. There are two main approaches to depreciation, which are commonly used in bottom-up models: straight-line and annuity (standard or tilted). Under the straight-line method of depreciation, an asset’s cost is allocated in equal portions over its useful life, taking into account the changes of prices over the whole period of depreciation as well as cost of capital: 𝐶 = 𝐶𝐷 − 𝐻𝐺 + 𝑅𝑂𝐼 Where: 𝐶𝐷 = 𝐺𝑅𝐶 𝑢𝑙 – Current Depreciation 𝐻𝐺 = 𝑁𝐵𝑉 𝐺𝐵𝑉 × 𝐺𝑅𝐶 × 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 – Holding Gain 𝑅𝑂𝐼 = 𝑁𝐵𝑉 𝐺𝐵𝑉 × 𝐺𝑅𝐶 × 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 – Cost of Capital 𝐺𝑅𝐶 – Gross Replacement Cost 𝑢𝑙 – useful life of an element 𝑁𝐵𝑉 – Net Book Value 𝐺𝐵𝑉 – Gross Book Value 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 – price change index 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 – Weighted Average Cost of Capital The first part of the equation reflects the assumption that an asset’s economic benefits are consumed in equal proportions over its useful life, while the latter is proportional to price changes and cost of capital. Standard annuity calculates recurring capital payments for a given number of periods as a sum of total economic depreciation and capital costs: 116 𝐶 = 𝐺𝑅𝐶 × 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 𝑢𝑙 1 1−( 1 + 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 ) It is also possible to reflect economic value of an asset using the tilted annuity method. The aim of tilted annuity is to: ► Smooth the unit costs by calculating equal charge of capital cost and depreciation over the whole period of cost recovery; ► Adjust the level of cost recovery to the changes of Modern Equivalent Asset prices in year of calculation. The annual CAPEX costs under the tilted annuity method are calculated according to the following formula: C = GRC × WACC − index 1 + index ul 1−( 1 + WACC) The major advantage of tilted annuity over standard annuity is that it takes into account the adjustment of prices of MEA in all years of calculation. In comparison to standard annuity, this method results in higher capital payments if the price of an asset decreases and lower capital payments if the price of an assets grows. Almost exclusively, in telecommunication industry, the prices of assets have decreasing trend. It is also possible to reflect the economic value of an asset using economic depreciation methodology. The aim of calculation of economic depreciation is to: ► reflect an ongoing character of investments and “smooth” costs for the whole period of cost recovery; ► smooth the unit costs in regard to changing infrastructure utilization over the whole period of cost recovery; ► adjust the level of cost recovery to the changes of Modern Equivalent Asset prices in all periods of cost recovery separately in such manner that the sum of the present value of all incurred capital investments is equal to the sum of the present value of all recovered costs. 117 The major benefit of the calculation of economic depreciation is that it takes into consideration changing infrastructure utilization and mitigates its impact by spreading it over the whole period of cost recovery. This could be important if the utilization of the network changes considerably from year to year due to network roll-out that is not effectively utilized by the increase of the traffic demand in short term. In such case, the justified cost of lower utilization would be back loaded and recovered in equal charge over whole period of cost recovery. Moreover, development of an economic depreciation model requires much more input data and assumptions (that have to be provided by the operators) than other depreciation methods. This is due to the fact that economic depreciation calculation is based on the whole period of cost recovery (30 or more years) and each year of calculation requires an assumption on the profile of price changes and service volume. Another drawback of economic depreciation is that it requires a consideration of the entire lifespan of the network and, due to the increasing with time discount factor applied to each cost, the calculation will place considerable emphasis on historic events. If a hypothetical operator made less efficient business decisions in early years, those decisions may have larger impact on the calculated depreciation in the following years. Because of the practical as well as theoretical difficulties with the calculation of economic depreciation more simple approaches are preferred. Tilted annuity approach generates a depreciation profile similar to that of economic depreciation assuming lack of considerable changes in the utilization of the network from year to year and requires much less input data from operators and estimates to be made. Charts 1 and 2 present an exemplary comparison of profiles of economic depreciation and tilted annuity depreciation. 118 Chart 2: Economic depreciation and tilted annuity depreciation under the assumption of increasing volume of services and decreasing prices of MEA. 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.95 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.85 Unit costs Unit costs Chart 1: Economic depreciation and tilted annuity depreciation under the assumption of constant volume of services and decreasing prices of MEA. 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.65 0.60 0.60 0.55 0.55 0.50 0.50 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Year Year Tilted annuity Economic depreciation Tilted annuity Economic depreciation The table below presents the main assumptions used to present comparison of profiles of economic depreciation and tilted annuity depreciation. Parameter Period of analysis Chart 1 30 years Chart 2 30 years Asset lifetime 10 years 10 years Price change -1% -1% Services volume change 0% 1% WACC 12% 12% The situation presented on Chart 2 is based on the assumption that the increasing volume of services will cause additional investments in some period of time, after which level of infrastructure utilization is lower than the most efficient. The “smoothing” of “volatile” level of utilization is included in the economic depreciation, while the tilted annuity method does not take it into consideration. Considering all the above, BU LRAIC model will include straight-line and annuity (standard or tilted) methods where the tilted annuity approach generates a depreciation profile which is most similar to that of economic depreciation. 119