EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin I) Value Proposition Femtocells are small cellular base stations that act as miniature cell phone towers by boosting cell phone reception in areas where traditional cell phone towers are unable to provide service, either because of a remote location or because the airwaves are oversaturated by dense city populations. They can provide “5-bar” coverage in areas where there is no existing signal or poor coverage, but only for a select number of users whose phone numbers are specially registered in association with the femtocell. A typical femtocell can support three to eight mobile phone numbers over a range of 40 feet from the device. Femtocells are primarily marketed to home and small business users living in small towns such as Hanover, New Hampshire as well as users in crowded cities such as Los Angeles, California. While these locations are fairly different in demographics and population density, both are in need of enhanced signal strength and capacity. Cellular phone carriers such as AT&T and Sprint are now offering femtocells directly to their customers for a retail price of $150 to 200 per unit. For users who require dependable cell phone reception, this one-time cost may be worthwhile compared to the alternative of frequently dropped calls or inadequate reception. With better connectivity, users may also be able to divest themselves of the costs of a landline, saving roughly $10 per month, without sacrificing dependability. Page 1 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin While this innovation is still in the early stages of deployment, cell phone carriers are also offering femtocells for free to certain customers. Highly dissatisfied, irate customers who call their carriers complaining about poor service and threatening to switch carriers may sometimes receive a complimentary femtocell from their carrier. From the carriers’ perspective, it may be more cost-effective to appease the minority 1-2% of their customer base by sending them a free femtocell than to install additional cell phone towers, which cost between $250k and $1 million to build, depending on the location and coverage capacity. Eventually, we expect cell phone carriers to stop offering complimentary femtocells to customers once their uses have been discovered by the mainstream public. When femtocells were first developed in 2009, they were a niche product that less than 600,000 users purchased. Their user base grew to 1.9 million in 2010, largely due to targeted test market deployments by Sprint, Verizon, and AT&T, but still flew under-the-radar. As the test deployments were well-received, the number of femtocells sold in the world is expected to surge to 40 million users by 2013, according to market research firm iSuppli. Page 2 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin II) Ecosystem The femtocell ecosystem involves several different types of value partners. The femtocell was developed by specialist design companies Uniquisys, ip.access, and Airvana. These companies partnered with specialist manufacturing companies such as Samsung Electronics to build their designs, which they brought to the attention of the major cell phone carriers (a.k.a. Mobile Network Operators, or MNOs), including AT&T, Sprint, and Verizon. The MNOs then needed to buy off on integrating femtocells with their own network infrastructure and operations. Once committed, the MNOs were then largely responsible for the deployment of femtocells to the end customer: the mobile phone user. Femtocell Design Companies, e.g. Uniquisys, ip.access, Aivana Femtocell Manufacturing Co’s, e.g. Cisco Systems, Samsung Electronics Mobile Network Operators, e.g. AT&T, Sprint, Verizon End Customer: Mobile Phone User Page 3 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin The challenge that the femtocell innovators initially faced was to convince the MNOs to adopt their product instead of pursuing improvements in traditional cell phone towers. If traditional cellular equipment manufacturers such as Alcatel-Lucent and Huawei could innovate their own products so that towers were less costly to install, they could make a compelling case to the MNOs since their towers are able to improve service for a larger population than femtocells could. Luckily, innovations in the cell phone tower space did not emerge – either due to a lack of technological improvements or because the MNOs decided it would be more profitable to sell femtocells to a sub-segment of their customer base. There was still considerable adoption chain risk associated with the femtocell. The first hurdle was getting the MNOs to buy off on their innovation of dependable signal strength for users who were (eventually) willing to pay extra for it. The second was to convince the MNOs that the femtocell value proposition outweighed any potential risks to the MNOs’ pre-existing relationships with the cellular tower manufacturers AND any loss of revenue in their landline business. AT&T provides both mobile telephony and fixed landline telephony. If the femtocell provided users with suitably reliable mobile phone service, it could make landlines obsolete. From a consumer standpoint, this was a favorable proposition – individual and small business cellular customers could effectively kill two birds with one stone, using their mobile phones both on the go and in the comfort of their homes or businesses, without the risk of dropping important calls. Page 4 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin Co-Innovation Risk: Cheaper/Better Cell Phone Towers Innovation Strategy: Dependable Signal Strength Execution Risk: Cooperation of Players, End User Willingness to Pay Informed Expectations: Longer-term Investment to Satisfy Disgruntled Users Adoption Chain Risk: Integration with MNOs, Threat to existing MNO relationships & operations Ultimately, the benefits of the femtocell outweighed the costs for all of the key value partners in the ecosystem. For the MNOs, the benefits of femtocells were in the cost savings they could afford and the increase in customer satisfaction they could provide for a niche segment of their customer population: the demanding user. By targeting a sub-segment of the population, femtocells could both be viewed as substitutes and complements to traditional cell phone towers. They are substitutes in remote areas where the low population density makes it unlikely that a MNO will ever install a large tower. They are complements in densely-populated areas where cell phone service is often unreliable. The potential loss of landline business is a relatively small dollar value compared with the sizable upside of increased consumer satisfaction and therefore customer retention. Femtocells are a unique innovation in that they do not make traditional cell phone towers obsolete, but rather enhance their capacity and coverage in a non-threatening way. Page 5 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin Mainstream cellular equipment manufacturers such as Alcatel-Lucent and Huawei are now embracing femtocell technology and have started producing their own femtocells. III) Strategy While mobile carriers are able to bring in revenue by selling femtocells to their consumers in-store and online, some carriers have taken a different approach to using the femtocell as a means of increasing customer satisfaction with the quality of service the carriers provide. Cell phone carriers have been able to use femtocells as a customer relations tool by offering complimentary femtocells to consumers who call in to complain about shoddy service at their homes or businesses. Even though offering the equipment for free represents a onetime cost to a cell phone carrier, the carrier is better positioned to retain a previouslyunsatisfied consumer – a relationship whose lifetime value greatly outweighs the expense of purchasing and shipping a single femtocell. Some cellular service providers, such as French company SFR and Japanese company SoftBank Mobile, are taking a proactive step and offering free femtocells to all customers. SFR uses Ubiquisys’ femtocell technology, a partnership that has benefits to both parties and highlights how the femtocell ecosystem is one in which the interests of multiple actors can easily align. As Chris Gilbert, CEO of Ubiquisys, said, “We are delighted that SFR, a major European operator, is offering free femtocells to its entire customer base. More than ever, operators are chosen for the overall quality of their service. Offering all customers a premium Page 6 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin mobile experience is great for customers and great for business." SFR’s partnership with Ubiquisys, meanwhile, is beneficial to the former in terms of the message it sends to consumers about SFR’s dependability and commitment to service relative to its competitors. Before such strategic partnerships could be solidified, however, MNOs needed to be certain that femtocells technology was an appropriate use of their resources. Among cell phone carriers, the early players in the femtocell market in the United States were Sprint Nextel, Verizon, and AT&T. An important step taken by these carriers in launching femtocell technology was to set up test markets to determine the feasibility of a widescale market before broadening femtocell availability nationwide. During the third quarter of 2007, Sprint introduced its Airave femtocell, put out by Samsung Electronics, in Denver and Indianapolis. In August 2008, following the success of this model in the test markets, Sprint expanded availability of the Airave, which is compatible with any Sprint cell phone, throughout the United States. Verizon followed suit in January of 2009, when it introduced its Wireless Network Extender, with AT&T joining the nationwide femtocell market with its own 3G MicroCell in April 2010. AT&T’s offering was released following late-2009 trials done in markets including Georgia, North and South Carolina, and San Diego, with Las Vegas tested in early 2010. AT&T’s femtocell product was created by Cisco Systems and ip.access and was the first femtocell to support a 3G network. While AT&T’s product was the last of the big players’ to reach the market, AT&T differentiated itself from the Sprint and Verizon models because it offered the Page 7 of 8 EIS Mini Project: Femtocell Kat O’Leary and Judy Lin only 3G femtocell and benefited from the immense popularity of Apple’s iPhone, which had until February 2010 been offered only to AT&T customers (with Verizon added during that month). AT&T’s introduction of 3G technology into the femtocell market created an impetus for Verizon and Sprint to upgrade their own femtocell offerings, and by the end of 2010, both of AT&T’s major competitors had introduced their own 3G femtocells. Additionally, what had been a disadvantage for AT&T – namely, its reputation for shoddy cell phone service in urban centers (both voice and data), driven by network oversaturation by iPhone users – represented a positive driver of sales for AT&T’s femtocell. The test markets not only established that femtocells were an important step forward for MNOs, but also served as a trial for strategic partnerships between major MNO players and femtocell designers/manufacturers. They also ensured that there was indeed a market for this new technology, and that consumers understood the value proposition of this fairly expensive piece of equipment – especially when the need it fulfills is something many consumers may feel should be automatically provided by their cellular carriers. IV) Sources http://lteworld.org/news/sfr-offers-free-femtocell-france http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Femtocell http://news.cnet.com/8301-30685_3-20001242-264.html http://cnet.phonedog.com/cell-phone-research/blog/at-t-to-soft-launch-femtocell-nextweek.aspx http://www.thinkfemtocell.com/FAQs/manufacturers.html http://www.fiercewireless.com/story/t-adds-another-femtocell-test-market/2010-03-02 Page 8 of 8