ACRIS Kangaroo Density Update 2009-2012 Updated information to that provided in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse Gary Bastin, ACRIS Management Unit CSIRO, PO Box 2111, Alice Springs NT 0871 (email: Gary.Bastin@csiro.au) This project is supported by Ninti One Limited, through funding from the Australian Government. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Australian Government. While reasonable efforts have been made to ensure that the contents of this publication are factually correct, the Commonwealth does not accept responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the contents, and shall not be liable for any loss or damage that may be occasioned directly or indirectly through the use of, or reliance on, the contents of this publication. 2 ACRIS Kangaroo Density Update 2009-2012 Gary Bastin, ACRIS Management Unit CSIRO, PO Box 2111, Alice Springs NT 0871 (email: Gary.Bastin@csiro.au) Change in kangaroo densities between 1993 and 2003 was reported for the New South Wales rangelands and parts of Queensland and South Australia in the ‘Total grazing pressure’ section of Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse (Bastin et al. 2008) (see pages 64-67). An account of more recent change (2004-2008 and including part of the WA rangelands) is available at http://www.environment.gov.au/land/publications/acris/acris-kangaroo-update.html This brief report updates changes in kangaroo density between 2009 and 2012. Key points Systematic surveys of kangaroo numbers continue across the NSW rangelands, much of western Queensland, the predominantly sheep-grazed pastoral tenure of SA and in the southern and western parts of the WA rangelands. The latest survey data (2009-2012) show that: The combined density of kangaroo species in WA (reds and western greys) remains much lower than the combined density of species in eastern states (including SA). Kangaroo densities (reds plus greys) have increased in most Queensland and NSW rangeland bioregions in recent years but have not reached the densities present between 1993 and 2003. (Densities are converted to dry sheep equivalents (DSE) as a standardised way of reporting the contribution of kangaroos to total grazing pressure. Recent lower densities [in terms of DSE] are partly attributable to a lower factor [0.35] now used to convert kangaroo numbers.) Kangaroo densities also increased in SA bioregions between 2009 and 2012 but not to the same extent as in Queensland and NSW. More recent changes in the density of red and grey kangaroo species were less strongly related to prior seasonal quality than in years past. Relative densities fluctuated in most bioregions but did not increase appreciably following recent years of generally above-average rainfall. Euros / common wallaroos contribute appreciably to macropod density in some Queensland and South Australian rangeland bioregions. 3 Annual monitoring of kangaroo populations Kangaroos are harvested in Queensland, NSW, SA and WA within quotas set by each state and based on populations estimated by surveys. Harvested species are: red kangaroos (Macropus rufus), all states; eastern grey kangaroos (M. giganteus), Queensland and NSW; western grey kangaroos (M. fuliginosus), NSW, SA and WA; and euro/common wallaroo (M. robustus), Queensland, NSW (outside of the rangelands) and SA. Each state monitors its kangaroo populations on a one to three year basis using either fixed-wing aircraft or helicopters flown along set transects. Kangaroo density data for NSW data are available at www.environment.nsw.gov.au/resources/nature/kmp/130142KMP2013QR.pdf (accessed 13 May 2013). Density data for Queensland were extracted from the report 2013-quota-submissionmacropods.pdf available at www.ehp.qld.gov.au/wildlife/permitslicences/kangaroo_harvesting.html (accessed 27 May 2013). Updated data for SA and WA were obtained from the SA Department of Environment, Water and Natural Resources and the WA Department of Environment and Conservation respectively, Kangaroo density data for Queensland, NSW and SA are reported by kangaroo management zones (alternatively, harvest zones). The WA data were aggregated to 1o blocks along flight lines shown in Figure 1. These data were then concorded to corresponding densities for those bioregions predominantly covered by each management zone (Figure 1) and reported as dry sheep equivalents (DSE) using a factor of 0.35. This factor is based on studies of the field metabolic rate (i.e. energy requirements) of both red kangaroos and merino sheep (Munn et al. 2008). This allows direct comparison with domestic stocking densities. Figure 1. Regions surveyed for kangaroo numbers. Map compiled by the ACRIS Management Unit from shape files provided by Queensland, NSW and SA agencies contributing to ACRIS 4 As for Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse, two sets of maps are used to report more recent change: (i) (ii) change in kangaroo densities by bioregion for each year between 2009 and 2012, and the percentage change in densities of red and grey kangaroos between 1994 and 2012 relative to the average of the preceding 1984-1993 period. The average for 1984 to 1993 is used as a base to indicate relative change in regional populations. Previously, ACRIS reported absolute and relative changes in the density of red and grey kangaroos. The bioregional densities of euros / common wallaroos are included this time but because the monitoring record does not extend back to 1984 in all regions where this species occurs, it is not possible to report relative change as for red and grey kangaroos. Change in kangaroo density Red and grey kangaroos The combined density of red, eastern grey and western grey kangaroos remained higher in the eastern states (particularly in parts of NSW and Queensland) compared with WA (Figure 2, bioregional data for all macropods in Appendix 1). Densities in WA bioregions were considerably less than one DSE km-2 apart from the Nullarbor Plain sub-IBRA (1.3 DSE km-2). The density data for the Yalgoo bioregion should be interpreted cautiously. This area was surveyed in October 2012 rather than the winter months as for other surveys. Temperatures were warmer than usual in that month and the low density reflects both survey conditions and population dynamics. ACRIS reports kangaroo densities as DSE km-2 as a standardised way of representing their contribution to total grazing pressure. The density of red and grey kangaroos has increased in most Queensland and NSW rangeland bioregions in recent years (Figure 2) but has not reached those densities reported between 1993 and 2003 in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse. (The current lower densities are partly due a smaller factor [0.35] now used to convert kangaroo densities to DSE as an indicator of total grazing pressure.) Note that scaling for the equivalent density map in that report (Figure 3.33, page 66) was between <2 and >20 DSE km-2 (compare 0 to >5 DSE km-2 in Figure 2). Kangaroo densities also increased in SA bioregions between 2009 and 2012 but not to the same extent as in Queensland and NSW. Figure 3 further illustrates that the combined density of red and grey kangaroos in most bioregions was below the 1984-1993 average at the start of this reporting period (i.e. 2009) and increased in most eastern and southern bioregions by 2012. (The average density for the 1984-1993 period provides a base to compare relative population change for each bioregion.) Compared with the end of the previous reporting period (2008), relative densities increased marginally in NSW bioregions, considerably in Queensland (particularly in the Mulga Lands), by a smaller amount in SA and were largely unchanged in WA. 5 2008 (2007-2009 for WA) 2009 (2007-2009 for WA) 2010 (2010-2012 for WA) 2011 (2010-2012 for WA) 2012 (2010-2012 for WA) Figure 2. Combined densities of three kangaroo species (red, eastern grey, western grey) in eastern, southern and western rangeland bioregions between 2008 and 2012. Note that WA densities are for three-year blocks, Map compiled by the ACRIS Management Unit using data supplied by Queensland, NSW, SA and WA. 6 2008 (2007-2009 for WA) 2009 (2007-2009 for WA) 2010 (2010-2012 for WA) 2011 (2010-2012 for WA) 2012 (2010-2012 for WA) Figure 3. The percentage change in density of red and grey kangaroos between 2008 and 2012 relative to the mean density for the 1984-1993 period. Values above 100 indicate yearly densities above the base (i.e. increased density) and values less than 100 mean a decline. Map compiled by the ACRIS Management Unit using data supplied by Queensland, NSW, SA and WA. 7 Note that the scaling in Figure 3 is the same as for Figure 3.34 (page 66) in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse but the base period has been adjusted slightly to better accommodate available WA data. (The base period for the 2008 report was 1984-91 compared with 1984-93 used here.) Recent relative changes in density of red and grey kangaroos are graphed for selected bioregions in Figure 4. % Change in Kangaroo Density (DSE) - 1984-1993 base 200 NSW Broken Hill Complex 180 QLD Mitchell Grass Downs SA Gawler 160 WA Murchison 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Figure 4. Percentage changes in the combined density of red and grey kangaroo species between 1994 and 2012 for an example bioregion in each rangeland state. Note that the WA data are aggregated into three-year blocks. Change is expressed relative to the average density for each region for 1984 to 1993. Graph compiled by the ACRIS Management Unit using data supplied by Queensland, NSW, SA and WA. Relative changes in bioregional densities of red and grey kangaroos based on the 1984-1993 average are tabulated in Appendix 2. All macropod species (red, eastern and western greys, euros / common wallaroos) Including euros / common wallaroos (Figure 5) increased bioregional kangaroo densities (based on DSE) by: more than 50% in the Queensland Mitchell Grass Downs 8 up to two times in the South Australian portion of the Broken Hill Complex a factor of three in that part of the Flinders Lofty Block in the rangelands greater than one third in the Gawler bioregion. There were lesser proportional increases in the Queensland Darling Riverine Plains and Mulga Lands bioregions but total densities were much higher than in other bioregions between 2005 and 2012 (Figure 5). Note that densities of euros for South Australian bioregions were not available in 2012. Wallaroos are only currently harvested (and thus surveyed) in the Northern Tablelands of NSW. The same factor (0.35) is used to convert the density of euros / common wallaroos to DSE. This may be a little excessive because of their smaller size but is used in the absence of a more precise estimate. Kangaroo density and rainfall Examples of changes in kangaroo density and seasonal quality were provided in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse (Figure 3.36, page 67). More recent examples are provided here (Figure 6). In the NSW Broken Hill Complex bioregion, the combined density of red and grey kangaroos decreased sharply between 2001 and 2003 (compared to the average for 1984 to 1993) following much below median rainfall. Kangaroo density then increased slowly to 2008 with variable seasonal quality and has fluctuated at around 50 to 60 percent of the base population in the recent past. It is notable that densities did not increase appreciably with excellent seasonal conditions (based on rainfall) in 2010 and 2011. There was a similar rapid decrease in the density of red and grey kangaroo species with drier years between 2001 and 2003 in both the Queensland Mitchell Grass Downs and SA Gawler bioregions. This reduced density then held until 2007 in both bioregions despite some better seasons in the Gawler and progressively increasing rainfall in the Mitchell Grass Downs bioregions. The density of red and grey kangaroos has increased, but in a fluctuating manner, with recent better seasonal conditions (until 2012) in the Mitchell Grass Downs. Densities fluctuated at 70 to 80 percent of the base density between 2008 and 2011 in the Gawler bioregion with above-average seasonal quality and then, as a lag effect, the density increased (to approximate the 1984-93 average) despite a dry year in 2012. The seasonal trends were less apparent for the Murchison bioregion in WA. Kangaroo density declined between 1998-2000 and 2004-2006 with some drier years. There was a subsequent small increase in density in 2007-2009 with above-median rainfall and a further decline throughout 20102012 despite above-average rainfall in 2010 and 2011. 9 14 red+grey 13 all species 12 Kangaroo density (DSE km-2) 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Queensland Darling Riverine Plains Queensland Mitchell Grass Downs 14 red+grey 13 all species 12 Kangaroo density (DSE km-2) 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 SA Broken Hill Complex Queensland Mulga Lands 14 red+grey 13 all species 12 Kangaroo density (DSE km-2) 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 SA Flinders Lofty Block 2010 2011 SA Gawler Figure 5. Densities of red and grey kangaroos, and all macropods, in selected rangeland bioregions. 10 10 180 decile rainfall kangaroo density 9 160 8 Seasonal quality (decile rainfall) 120 6 5 100 4 80 3 % of 1984-93 base kangaroo density 140 7 60 2 40 1 0 20 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 Queensland – Mitchell Grass Downs bioregion NSW – Broken Hill Complex bioregion 10 180 decile rainfall kangaroo density 9 160 8 Seasonal quality (decile rainfall) 120 6 5 100 4 80 3 % of 1984-93 base kangaroo density 140 7 60 2 40 1 0 20 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 SA – Gawler bioregion WA – Murchison bioregion Figure 6. Relative changes in density of red and grey kangaroo species in relation to seasonal quality indicated by decile rainfall for four example bioregions between 1992 and 2012. Note that the WA kangaroo data are aggregated into three-year blocks. Change is expressed relative to the average density for each region for 1984 to 1993. Map: the ACRIS Management Unit. Data sources: rainfall, Bureau of Meteorology; kangaroo density, data supplied by Queensland, NSW, SA and WA kangaroo management agencies contributing to ACRIS. References Bastin, G. & the ACRIS Management Committee (2008). Rangelands 2008 – Taking the Pulse. Published on behalf of the ACRIS Management Committee by the National Land and Water Resources Audit, Canberra. Available at: http://www.environment.gov.au/land/rangelands/acris/index.html Munn, A. J., Dawson, T. J., McLeod, S. R., Croft, D. B., Thompson, M. B. and Dickman, C. R. (2008). Field metabolic rate and water turnover of red kangaroos and sheep in an arid rangeland: an empirically derived dry-sheep-equivalent for kangaroos. Australian Journal of Zoology, 57, 23-28. 11 Appendix 1. Combined densities of kangaroo species (as DSE km-2) between 1994 and 2012 for bioregions in each rangeland state. Note that the WA data are aggregated into three-year blocks. Figures in normal font are the combined density of red and grey kangaroos. Italicised figures are the total for all macropods (red, eastern and western greys plus euros / common wallaroos). Macropod data cover 2005-2012 for Queensland and 2005-2011 for South Australia. New South Wales Bioregion 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Brigalow Belt South 7.40 6.03 2.63 5.08 12.03 7.31 12.85 10.94 13.94 5.84 2.84 1.05 3.36 4.36 3.40 3.39 6.31 9.36 8.61 Broken Hill Complex 6.78 10.35 7.00 10.37 8.73 7.67 6.59 8.73 7.87 3.26 4.43 2.92 3.52 5.06 6.08 4.47 4.21 4.76 5.35 Channel Country Cobar Peneplain 8.06 7.87 7.40 12.41 12.30 7.27 7.25 10.39 6.01 3.15 3.58 4.34 2.69 3.19 4.48 4.16 4.28 4.28 6.42 6.62 7.39 6.81 6.99 8.08 8.48 7.68 9.40 10.73 5.74 4.25 4.31 3.34 3.15 3.58 2.85 3.64 4.31 5.45 Darling Riverine Plains 7.72 8.08 5.57 7.79 10.55 8.81 10.22 11.27 14.58 6.91 4.78 2.71 4.06 4.04 3.83 3.85 5.58 7.44 8.17 Mulga Lands 6.85 6.64 6.02 8.50 8.16 7.35 7.46 10.16 9.04 3.16 3.54 3.09 2.76 3.17 3.67 3.25 3.40 4.12 5.72 Murray Darling Depression 8.08 8.84 6.54 7.94 6.81 7.27 5.44 6.86 7.43 3.71 3.64 2.92 2.76 3.61 4.69 3.21 3.30 3.16 4.20 Riverina 6.87 6.15 6.68 5.87 5.70 6.45 5.07 5.21 6.50 3.89 3.28 3.10 2.92 3.05 3.43 2.21 2.86 3.36 3.71 Simpson Strzelecki Dunefields 7.92 8.16 7.36 12.17 11.89 7.32 7.17 10.20 6.22 3.16 3.68 4.17 2.79 3.40 4.67 4.20 4.27 4.35 6.27 12 Queensland Bioregion 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 South Australia Bioregion 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Darling Riverine Plains 4.88 4.21 5.72 5.17 8.11 8.89 9.03 11.58 15.53 8.55 8.01 9.11 / 9.97 8.63 / 9.89 8.56 / 9.90 8.07 / 8.86 9.03 / 9.51 8.87 / 9.58 11.46 / 11.79 13.61 / 13.91 Mitchell Grass Downs 4.28 2.51 3.43 2.19 4.17 4.51 5.62 4.80 4.74 4.09 2.51 2.41 / 5.10 2.88 / 5.55 2.41 / 6.10 3.09 / 7.08 4.05 / 7.35 2.63 / 4.34 3.95 / 5.92 4.39 / 6.42 Broken Hill Complex Flinders Lofty Block Gawler 7.24 9.00 9.00 8.49 9.68 6.40 6.17 7.99 4.88 4.18 5.36 5.63 4.55 5.30 3.96 3.90 4.77 3.60 3.70 5.54 4.83 3.25 4.12 4.62 4.61 3.45 3.47 Mulga Lands 3.57 3.31 4.44 4.61 6.12 7.63 8.09 10.30 11.31 6.17 4.00 5.10 / 6.05 4.10 / 5.61 4.42 / 5.92 4.71 / 6.09 5.48 / 6.52 5.02 / 6.41 9.44 / 10.84 9.77 / 11.08 Murray Darling Depression 4.06 5.02 5.57 3.78 3.28 2.66 2.58 2.21 3.95 Stony Plains (south of Dog Fence) 2.80 4.50 4.24 2.29 2.94 2.87 4.01 3.22 3.36 13 2003 2004 2005 3.59 3.40 2.77 7.62 2.64 8.23 3.05 9.07 3.01 8.57 3.68 7.65 2.96 6.62 3.84 9.37 4.85 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Western Australia Bioregion 1995-1997 1998-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2009 2010-2012 Carnarvon 0.18 0.85 0.56 0.56 0.80 0.57 2.53 3.08 2.70 11.23 2.69 11.71 2.62 9.83 2.83 12.34 2.75 10.75 2.40 9.39 3.67 12.11 4.35 Coolgardie (Eastern Goldfield subIBRA) 0.12 0.48 0.27 0.20 0.17 0.09 2.44 2.42 2.12 3.29 2.41 3.60 1.74 2.77 2.50 3.76 2.14 3.00 2.62 3.46 2.24 3.18 3.13 3.01 2.77 1.66 2.24 1.88 2.35 3.36 4.08 2.98 3.53 2.76 3.07 2.48 2.77 2.12 3.59 2.55 Gascoyne Murchison Nullarbor (Nullarbor Plains subIBRA) 0.57 1.46 0.99 0.33 0.42 0.13 0.47 1.05 0.91 0.46 0.53 0.14 1.30 1.31 1.60 2.06 1.54 1.26 2.08 2.12 1.90 2.78 1.92 2.86 1.14 1.84 1.30 2.18 1.43 2.11 1.67 2.14 1.71 2.22 1.87 Pilbara Yalgoo 0.11 0.85 0.14 0.07 0.05 0.07 0.22 0.50 0.23 0.18 0.41 0.16 14 Appendix 2. Percentage changes in the combined density of red and grey kangaroos between 1994 and 2012 for bioregions in each rangeland state. Note that the WA data are aggregated into three-year blocks. Change is expressed relative to the average density for each region between 1984 and 1993. New South Wales Bioregion Brigalow Belt South 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Queensland Bioregion 1994 1995 1996 83 69 30 59 143 86 151 126 160 66 33 14 39 49 39 38 72 106 98 Broken Hill Complex 74 111 76 114 95 84 71 96 84 36 49 33 39 56 67 49 46 52 59 Channel Country 86 84 78 131 129 76 76 110 63 33 38 46 29 34 48 44 46 46 69 Cobar Peneplain 92 102 95 97 113 119 107 130 149 80 60 60 47 44 51 40 51 60 77 Darling Riverine Plains 51 44 60 Darling Riverine Plains 78 82 56 80 110 91 106 115 148 70 49 28 42 41 40 39 57 76 83 Mulga Lands 81 79 72 102 98 87 88 120 107 38 43 38 34 39 45 39 41 50 69 Mitchell Grass Downs 115 67 94 Murray Darling Depression 105 114 86 105 90 95 71 90 97 48 48 38 37 48 62 42 43 42 55 Riverina 122 108 119 104 100 115 89 93 115 69 58 55 52 55 61 39 51 60 66 Simpson Strzelecki Dunefields 84 87 78 129 126 77 76 108 65 34 39 45 30 36 50 45 46 47 67 Mulga Lands 63 58 79 15 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 South Australia Bioregion 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 54 84 93 94 121 161 89 83 95 91 90 85 94 92 119 141 59 113 123 152 128 124 107 66 65 77 65 83 104 68 102 113 Broken Hill Complex Flinders Lofty Block Gawler 103 127 128 117 138 91 88 113 69 50 48 39 37 43 90 116 122 97 115 86 84 103 77 54 66 58 58 56 115 171 150 99 126 141 144 107 107 75 75 66 76 55 80 10 13 14 17 19 10 68 88 71 77 84 95 87 16 17 Murray Darling Depression 121 150 171 114 101 79 79 66 120 90 84 51 56 102 Stony Plains (south of Dog Fence) 85 13 12 70 89 87 12 98 10 63 65 58 58 35 16 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Western Australia Bioregion 1995-1997 1998-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2009 2010-2012 42 53 43 55 70 Carnarvon 27 125 83 83 118 85 61 60 52 80 95 Coolgardie (Eastern Goldfield subIBRA) 56 206 118 94 74 41 79 67 82 70 98 89 85 76 65 78 Gascoyne Murchison Nullarbor (Nullarbor Plains subIBRA) 53 135 92 30 39 12 51 115 100 50 59 16 61 64 74 95 70 60 39 43 51 52 57 Pilbara Yalgoo 36 279 46 22 15 24 51 118 55 40 98 37 17