Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School Index: Page Numbers: On-Case: 1NC Solvency 1NC Harms (Environment) 2 3-4 Responses to Add-On (only if read by 1AC): 1NC Harms Add-On Advantage (Water Treatment) 5 Off-Case – suggested for stronger readers or Varsity: Mexico Jobs Disadvantage 1NC 2NC/1NR Mexico Jobs Disadvantage Link Extensions Varsity- only Capitalism Link (use with Barton’s Kritik) 6-8 9 10 1 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School 1NC SOLVENCY: 1. NANOTECHNOLOGY IS IMPOSSIBLE TO REGULATE VAUGHAN 2012 [Steven Vaughan, SET Lecturer in Obligations at the Law School, Cardiff University and a former associate with Latham & Watkins and Freshfields, “Laying down the law on nanotechnology”, The Guardian, 11 June 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/law/2012/jun/11/law-nanotechnology-regulation] Regulating nanotechnology is difficult because of the myriad [multiple] ways in which nanomaterials can be used and due to their global impact - the fact that product X made in the US can travel via Europe and be sold in China. There is also a real issue in knowing when and how to regulate: with hindsight it may be too little, too late or too much, too soon. 2. COMPANIES SHOULD REGULATE THEIR OWN NANOTECHNOLOGY, NOT GOVERNMENTS LIN 2006 [Patrick Lin, director of the Ethics + Emerging Sciences Group, based at California Polytechnic State University, “Nanotechnology Bound: Evaluating the Case for More Regulation” Nanoethics 31 March 2007, pg. SpringerLink, 105-122] This position opposes more governmental regulation as a way to mitigate Environment, Health, and Safety risks. Rather, it advocates self-regulation as an alternative, such that if any additional regulation is needed, it should be left up to the industry to decide what measures are appropriate. There are several reasons why this view is attractive to many [27]. First, it promotes a smaller governmental footprint in business and individual lives, so it instantly appeals to libertarians and some conservatives. Also, it may make more sense for the nanotechnology industry, that presumably knows its field the better than lawmakers do and have a real stake in its workprocesses, to devise and implement any regulations, rather than some distant bureaucracy whose edicts are inevitably borne from political compromise. By monitoring one’s own work, self-regulation fosters a sense of responsibility within the industry. Further, self-regulation seems to work, as evidenced by any number of professional code of ethics. 2 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School 1NC HARMS - ENVIRONMENT: 1. NANOTECHNOLOGY REGULATIONS CAN’T MEASURE ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS ACCURATELY – COMPANIES WILL CHEAT SOLIMAN 2012 (Agricultural economist, attorney, and researcher focused on legal and economic issues in the Agriculture, Resource and Food sectors (Adam, “The Need for Stronger Nanotechnology Regulation”, Food Safety News, 10/16/2012, http://www.foodsafetynews.com/2012/10/why-we-should-have-more-regulations-on-nanotechnology/#.UfV_zI21F6I) Legislation governing the use of nanoparticles is limited around the world, particularly in the U.S. In 2007, a report released by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Nanotechnology Task Force 33 stated that despite the ‘special properties’ of nanomaterials, no further regulation is needed (3). This report was opposed by environmental group Friends of the Earth and the International Center for Technology Assessment. The organizations filed a petition with FDA urging it to take action to highlight the risks associated with nanotechnology (4). As a result, the federal Nanotechnology Research and Development Act was passed in 2003. The Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA) was also developed to assess the risk posed by substances, and to provide authority to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in regulating them (5). The TSCA set out provisions to protect living systems against unknown risks of new or engineered substances by regulating and testing new and existing chemicals. However, the EPA does not hold much sway in the American political sphere. In fact, the U.S. legislature does not even require pre-market approval of consumer goods; the FDA relies solely on manufacturers to ensure product safety (6). Moreover, only evidence of a very specific harm associated with a product can elicit legal restrictions, and nanoparticles have not yet been tested for such specific risks. The EU organization Strategy for Nanotechnology asserts that nanotechnology has the potential to enhance quality of life and industrial competitiveness, and therefore lobbies aggressively for minimal legislation on nanotechnology. Current laws state that anyone producing or importing nanomaterials into Europe is required to provide written notification to public authorities; this notification requires the manufacturer to conduct research illustrating the properties and dangers of the product (7). However, this research is not monitored, making the data difficult to validate and allowing manufacturers to exaggerate, forge or omit crucial information. In Hong Kong, the Centre for Food Safety has referred to the World Health Organization’s (WHO) requirement for risk assessment on nano-scale materials for assessing nanoparticles before they can be used in food (8). Additionally, the Public Health and Municipal Services Ordinance requires all food sold in Hong Kong to be fit for human consumption. But consumer goods lack specific legislation monitoring nanotechnology’s expanding applications. Furthermore, no comprehensive and compulsory [mandatory] danger assessment scheme has been introduced to manage the potential risks posed by nanoparticles to public and environmental health. 3 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School 1NC HARMS - ENVIRONMENT: 2. MEXICO DOESN’T HAVE THE SCIENTISTS NECESSARY TO PRODUCE NANOTECHNOLOGY FOLADORI, 2005 Professor at Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas; Invernizzi-Senior associate at the Wilson Center (Guillermo, Noela, “Nanotechnology and the Developing World:¶ Will Nanotechnology Overcome Poverty or¶ Widen Disparities?”, 2005, Vol. 2, Issue 3, Article 11, http://estudiosdeldesarrollo.net/administracion/docentes/documentos_personales/11947LBJ.pdf) Third, nanotechnology’s development in much of the world will do little to help the developing world due to the difficulty in finding qualified workers. A country’s ability to foster and support technological careers requires a social context that supplies the necessary equipment and human capital in the long term. It will be difficult for many Third World countries to find the staff necessary to work interdisciplinarily in nanotechnology. Mexico, for instance, the thirteenth largest exporting power in the world, only has eleven research teams in three universities and two research centers in nanotechnology, with a total of ninety researchers and no official support program for field research. 3. NANOTECHNOLOGY IS IMPOSSIBLE, IT’S SCIENCE FICTION LOVY 2003 (Howard, “Settle a little bet for me,” http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_10_26_nanobot_archive.html#106746603743656518) Here we are, through the looking glass, where we ponder the impact of molecular nanotechnology upon the ethical fiber of our society, when we have yet to settle a cosmic bar bet on whether it's possible at all. Let me explain: The U.S. government is paying for a University of South Carolina effort to study the societal and ethical implications of nanotechnology. The university is jumping enthusiastically into the project and will examine issues like what exactly our culture thinks of when it pictures "nanotechnology." It's going to hold what sounds like a fascinating conference in March to explore how nanotech images in the movies, visual arts and other media influence public understanding, and they'll look at how "self-replication (self-copying) and cascading effects" (translation: "gray goo") is becoming an immovable feature of that image. As we saw from early 20th-century images of space travel, reality and popular myth often diverge in entertaining ways. In today's mythology, molecular manufacturing is often given a biological analogy, even though it's more likely that an exponentially growing nanosystem – whose individual components would lack the sophistication of a biological molecule – would be easier to predict and control than any mythical monster we've created. Great stuff. All worthy of study. One problem. One … big … problem: We're told that true molecular manufacturing is impossible. That's what eminent scientists have told Congress, anyway, and that's the focus of many spirited debates among the nanorati. The National Science Foundation can't seem to make up its mind, labeling large-scale self-replication (self-copying) "very speculative, more like science fiction," yet also part of its vision for the future. 4 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School ANSWERS TO: WATER TREATMENT HARMS ADD-ON ADVANTAGE 1. NANOTECH DOESN’T SOLVE FOR CLEAN WATER THAT PEOPLE IN MEXICO CAN AFFORD TO USE SCHUMMER 2007 (Joachim, Department of Philosophy, University of Darmstadt, “The Impact of Nanotechnologies on Developing Countries” http://joachimschummer.net/papers/2007_Nano-Developing-Countries_Althoff-et-al.pdf) Against the background of the real problems and their existent efficient solutions, one needs to be careful with media reports announcing nanotechnology’s solution to the drinking water problems of the developing world. There is no doubt that micro- and nanoporous filter development can lead to improved removal of microbes and other pollutants from water, and that desalination plants can open up new water sources. However, these filters and plants will hardly be affordable and manageable by the neediest in the foreseeable future. One should also note that filters based on zeolites and ceramics, which are nowadays subsumed under nanotechnology, have been produced since many decades,without meeting the needs of developing countries. And the latest approach, the use of the extremely expensive carbon nanotubes in water filters, is a project by the US military that, rather than helping developing countries, should provide “water pure enough to use for medical purposes right on the battlefield”. 2. MEXICO IS INVESTING IN WATER TREATMENT PLANTS FOX NEWS LATINO, 2011 http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2011/10/16/us-looks-to-mexico-for-more-water/ Mexico may start sending water north as four major U.S. water districts help plan one of two huge desalination plant proposals in Playas de Rosarito, about 15 miles south of San Diego. Combined, they would produce 150 million gallons a day, enough to supply more than 300,000 homes on both sides of the border. 5 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School MEXICO JOBS DISADVANTAGE 1NC (1/3) A. UNIQUENESS: MEXICO’S ECONOMY IS STRONG NOW DUE TO MANUFACTURING WALLSTREET JOURNAL 2013 (Timothy Aeppel, Wall Street Journal, “Mexico Manufacturing Looks to Gain Competitive Edge on China” http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/06/28/mexico-manufacturing-looks-to-gain-competitive-edge-on-china/) That’s the assessment of the Boston Consulting Group, which in a new report estimates Mexican factory wages will be nearly 30% lower than China’s by 2015, when adjusted for productivity differences. Mexican workers typically produce more per hour than their Chinese counterparts. By that same measure, Mexico already last year became a less expensive place than China to make some products, according to BCG’s estimates. Mexico’s strengthening factory sector is helping boost that nation’s economy. BCG estimates that within five years, Mexico’s factories will churn out up to $60 billion a year more in goods — much of it destined for export. About two-thirds of Mexico’s exports currently go to the U.S. “We know there’s a lot of work leaving China for Mexico, because it’s cheaper,” says Harold L. Sirkin, a BCG senior partner. He says Mexico’s gains will help U.S. manufacturers as well, “since products made in Mexico contain four times as many U.S.-made parts, on average, as those made in China.” Mr. Sirkin says four industries in particular are getting a boost: electronics, automobiles, appliances, and machinery. Besides having relatively low wages, Mexico is also benefiting from its close proximity to the U.S. and low energy costs. Mexico also has more free trade agreements — 44 — than any other country. That makes it an attractive place to make goods destined for many markets. 6 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School MEXICO JOBS DISADVANTAGE 1NC (2/3) B. LINK – NANOTECH HURTS MEXICAN ECONOMY BY REPLACING EXISTING TECHNOLOGY AND MANUFACTURING JOBS FOLADORI 2006 (Professor in the Doctoral Program on Development Studies, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, México, Guillermo, “Nanotechnology in Latin America at the Crossroads,” http://www.estudiosdeldesarrollo.net/administracion/docentes/documentos_personales/193983_2_International_138[1].pdf) Another problem concerning the disruptive nature of nanotechnologies is their impact on commerce. It is likely that raw materials will become cheaper as a consequence of their being substituted by nanotechnologies and a fall in demand. The publication of the Action Group on Erosion, Technology and Concentration (“ETC Group”), The Potential Impacts of Nano-Scale Technologies on Commodity Markets: The Implications for Commodity Dependent Developing Countries, studies the cases of the markets for rubber, platinum and copper. There are nanotechnological procedures that will substantially improve the durability of automobile tires, the main market for rubber, and this could significantly reduce the worldwide demand for the product. Carbon nanotubes could become an effective competitor for copper cables, greatly affecting worldwide demand for this product. Platinum could be replaced by nanotechnology as a catalyst in converters, batteries, and other products. These are some examples of the pressure that countries which sell these raw materials will face when they begin to be substituted by nanotechnology products. The publication concludes as follows: Without critical planning and assessment, commodity dependent developing countries are more likely to be on the receiving end of nanotech’s potentially adverse impacts—rather than active participants in shaping nanotech’s role in society.49 There is also the matter of unemployment. The latest report of the work group on science and technology of the United Nations Millennium Program considers nanotechnology to be more important to the developing world because, among other things, it means reduced work, land, and maintenance.50 However, the possibility of an increase in unemployment has not been considered by proponents of nanotechnology initiatives. 7 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School MEXICO JOBS DISADVANTAGE 1NC (3/3) C. IMPACT – MEXICO KEY TO GLOBAL ECONOMY RANGEL, 1995 (Enrique Rangel, fellow at the Monterrey Bureau, “Pressure on the Peso,” November 28th, 1995, from The Dallas Morning News, lexis) All year long, thousands of foreign investors have nervously watched Mexico’s volatile financial markets as the Clinton administration and congressional leaders debated the pros and cons of bailing out a battered currency. With the exception of 1982 - when Mexico defaulted on its foreign debt and a handful of giant New York banks worried they would lose billions of dollars in loans - few people abroad ever cared about a weak peso. But now it’s different, experts say. This time, the world is keeping a close eye on Mexico’s unfolding financial crisis for one simple reason: Mexico is a major international player. If its economy were to collapse, it would drag down a few other countries and thousands of foreign investors. If recovery is prolonged, the world economy will feel the slowdown. “It took a peso devaluation so that other countries could notice the key role that Mexico plays in today’s global economy,” said economist Victor Lopez Villafane of the Monterrey Institute of Technology. “I hate to say it, but if Mexico were to default on its debts, that would trigger an international financial collapse” not seen since the Great Depression, said Dr. Lopez, who has conducted comparative studies of the Mexican economy and the economies of some Asian and Latin American countries. “That’s why it’s in the best interests of the United States and the industrialized world to help Mexico weather its economic crisis,” he said. The crisis began last December when the Mexican government devalued the currency. Last March, after weeks of debate, President Clinton, the International Monetary Fund and a handful of other countries and international agencies put together a $ 53 billion rescue package for Mexico. But despite the help - $ 20 billion in guarantee loans from the United States - Mexico’s financial markets have been volatile for most of the year. The peso is now trading at about 7.70 to the dollar, after falling to an all-time low of 8.30 to the dollar Nov. 9. The road has been bumpy, and that has made many - particularly U.S. investors nervous. No country understands better the importance of Mexico to the global economy than the United States, said Jorge Gonzalez Davila, an economist at Trinity University in San Antonio. “Despite the rhetoric that you hear in Washington, I think that most people agree - even those who oppose any aid to Mexico - that when Mexico sneezes, everybody catches a cold,” Mr. Gonzalez said. “That’s why nowadays any talk of aid to Mexico or trade with Mexico gets a lot of attention,” he said. Most economists, analysts and business leaders on both sides of the border agree that the biggest impact abroad of a prolonged Mexican fiscal crisis may be on the U.S. economy, especially in Texas and in cities bordering Mexico. 8 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School 2NC/1NR ECONOMY DISAD LINK EXTENSIONS: NANOTECH HURTS ECON NANOTECH CAUSES ECONOMIC MELTDOWN CENTER FOR RESPONSIBLE NANOTECHNOLOGY 2004 (4/19 “Disaster Scenarios,” http://crnano.typepad.com/crnblog/2004/07/disaster_scenar.html) Subquestion B: Economic meltdown? Preliminary answer: It's easy to imagine a nanofactory package that allows completely self-sufficient living, off grid and without money, while retaining modern first-world comfort levels. However, a modest amount of advertising would make this unattractive to most people. As discussed elsewhere, we can expect a large fraction of jobs in a wide range of areas related to manufacturing, extraction, and supply to disappear. This problem is already appearing with increased automation and efficiency, but could rapidly get worse. The factors that lead to economic meltdown also provide increased selfsufficiency, so it ought to be survivable in the absence of oppressive policy (maintaining artificial scarcity while removing sources of income). Secondary effects from social disruption may be problematic but ought to be survivable. Attempts to subsidize dead-end jobs will probably be harmful in the long run. Some amount of economic disruption should be expected. NANOTECH DESTROYS INDUSTRIES AND MAKES JOBS OBSOLETE TREDER 2005 (Mike Treder, Executive Director of The Center for Responsible Nanotechnology professional writer, speaker, and activist with a background in technology and communications company management, 2005, “War, Interdependence, Nanotechnology,” http://www.futurebrief.com/miketrederwar002.asp) We also must consider the potential negative impacts of advanced nanotechnology on our current socio-economic structure. Low-cost local manufacturing and duplication of designs could lead to monetary upheaval, as major economic sectors contract or even collapse. For example, the global steel industry is worth over $700 billion. What will happen to the millions of jobs associated with that industry—and to the capital supporting it—when materials many times stronger than steel can be produced quickly and cheaply wherever (and whenever) they are needed? Productive nanosystems could make storable solar power a realistic and preferable alternative to traditional energy sources. Around the world, individual energy consumers pay over $600 billion a year for utility bills and fuel supplies. Commercial and industrial uses drive the figures higher still. When much of this spending can be permanently replaced with off-grid solar energy, many more jobs will be displaced. The worldwide semiconductor industry produces annual billings of over $150 billion. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the industry employs a domestic workforce of nearly 300,000 people. Additionally, U.S. retail distribution of electronics products amounts to almost $300 billion annually. All of these areas will be impacted significantly if customized electronics products can be produced at home for about a dollar a pound, the likely cost of raw materials. If any individual can make products containing computing power a million times greater than today’s PCs, where will those jobs go? 9 Minnesota Urban Debate League Nanotechnology Negative Middle School (VARSITY ONLY) CAPITALISM KRITIK LINKS: NANOTECH PROMOTES CAPITALISM NANOTECHNOLOGY IS A PRODUCT OF GLOBAL CAPITALISM THAT OVERWHELMS OUR SOCIETY NARDI, PROFESSOR AT UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, 2001 (Bonnie, PhD, UC Irvine, Anthropology, http://www.darrouzet-nardi.net/bonnie/nanosciencestatement.html, 12/30) Brown and Duguid suggest that Bill Joy's concerns about nanotechnology are distorted by technological tunnel vision. But Joy is far from oblivious to the social. He situates the development of nanotechnology very realistically as a product of "global capitalism and its manifold [multiple] financial incentives and competitive pressures." Capitalism is a social force more powerful than the "government, courts, formal and informal organizations, social movements, professional networks, local communities, and market institutions" enumerated by Brown and Duguid. Indeed many of these social forms are deeply implicated [involved] in capitalism, not outside of it. Forces that can "redirect the raw power of technologies," as Brown and Duguid say, come up against the "manifold [multiple] financial and competitive pressures" of which Joy speaks. Some parts of government and certain social movements do exist as reactive forces trying to slow and restrain rampant capitalism. However, I believe such forces should be primary generative [productive] stimuli of planned societal progress, not catch-up rearguard actions. Joy's fear of "undirected growth" is one to take seriously. 10