KNOSSOS1 POLICY BRIEFINGS: GREEN ECONOMY Discussion Paper GREEN ECONOMY AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT An historical account of the discourse around sustainable development and green economy By Axel Volkery and Sonia Rouabhi With support from Patrick ten Brink and Doreen Fedrigo-Fazio Summary The green economy concept is not new, given that the debate about the needs for changing course of economic growth and finding an alternative socio-economic model has assumed different approaches and discourses throughout the last 40 years. A strong focus on environmental limits and the needs for preserving living conditions were the original starting point of the discussion in the 1970s and 1980s. Much of the political sustainability discussion in the 1990s and 2000s turned to aligning economic, social and environmental concerns. This ‘three-pillar-model’ understanding led to new alliances and repositioned the environment discourse to reform discussions in other policy fields, particularly economic and fiscal policy. But it also created a hyper-complexity of approaches that are difficult to absorb and manage by political systems. In the early 2000s, many Member States prepared national sustainability strategies. An EU Sustainable Development Strategy was also created. However, the strategy process was fraught by its unclear and contentious relationship with the ‘Lisbon Strategy’, leading again to an unclear link between the growth and the sustainability agendas. The early discussion in the 1970s about ‘limits to growth’ (availability of finite resources) is re-entering the political agenda, but with a different focus on ‘growth within limits’: The critical state of many of the planet’s ecosystems and the threat of losing key life-supporting functions is creating new limits that need to be reflected. Sustainable development has been institutionalised at EU level in the form of a strategy and several high-level political commitments. When measured against the overall rationale and ambitions of the sustainable development discussion, EU level action towards sustainability has experienced serious shortcomings. The discussion has considerably distanced itself from its original starting point, about meeting needs within clear limits, the latter being defined by the environment. Our growing understanding about bio-physical boundaries that should not be crossed in connection with the world economic and financial crisis is moving the overall discussion back towards growth within limits. Activities on the green economy and green growth open the door for wider discussion about fundamental objectives. Our environment defines the operating space for our daily interactions. The advent of modern industrial society and market forces led to ruptures in the fabric of social life that had previously been embedded in the natural environment. The economy, which had been defined among others by the 1 The KNOSSOS Project is funded by the EU 7th Framework Programme. 1 conditions of the natural environment, was released from that link. The green economy offers the potential for a mainstream discussion to create political commitment to recreate that link. 1 Introduction This policy briefing focuses on the green economy and its relationship to sustainable development, taking a historical perspective. It should be read in conjunction with the other policy briefings that have been developed on the green economy. ‘Ecological modernisation’, ‘Sustainable development’(SD), ‘green economy’(GE), the debate about the needs for changing course of economic growth and finding an alternative socio-economic model has assumed different approaches and discourses throughout the last 40 years. The concept of the ‘green economy’, which is currently receiving a lot of attention and momentum since the 2008 global financial crisis and in the run-up to the Rio+20 Summit, is not new. And it is building in many ways on previous discourses, particularly about ecological modernisation. In order to gauge the potential for steering needed changes ahead it is helpful to take a look at some of the past developments in the debate and lessons learnt. Greening the economy cannot be an end in itself because it is relative to wider societal and environmental constraints, where clear, absolute objectives can be articulated. It needs to be understood as a critical means to achieve a healthy environment as the key end, a precondition for human well-being. Here, the discussion about a ‘green economy’ offers a useful hook to reposition the discussion about ‘sustainability’ as a key guiding principle, which is in urgent need of repositioning. Ecological (or planetary) boundaries (at global, national, regional and local levels) need to be given much greater priority and emphasis. A strong focus on environmental limits and the needs for preserving living conditions were the original starting point of the discussion in the 1970s and 1980s. Also Our Common Future, the United Nations report (also called ‘the Brundtland Report’1) clearly accounts for thresholds that cannot be crossed without endangering the whole natural system, in spite of its compromise language on aligning economic and environmental interests. Much of the political sustainability discussion in the 1990s and 2000s turned to embracing and aligning economic, social and environmental concerns. This ‘three-pillar-model’ understanding has led to new alliances and repositioned the environment discourse to reform discussions in other policy fields, particularly economic and fiscal policy. But it has also created a hyper-complexity of approaches that are difficult to absorb and manage by political systems. Moreover, sustainability has become a catch-all-concept. It is used in different places to describe different things, for example in the market-place to describe robustness of economic operations (return on investment, steady accumulation of wealth). By now, sustainability as a guiding principle means different things to different people. It is no wonder that the sustainability discourse has lost a lot of political momentum, particularly on the European Union (EU) level. Yet is should not be discarded, but rather re-coined. Recent scientific research shows that critical ecological boundaries are in fact being approached or might have been already passed, in many local and regional contexts. It also highlights the economic costs attached. The early discussion in the 1970s about ‘limits to growth’ (availability of finite resources) is re-entering the political agenda, but with a different focus on ‘growth within limits’: The critical state of many of the planet’s ecosystems and the threat of losing key life-supporting functions is creating new limits that need to be reflected. In this context, the potential and limits of a ‘green growth’ or ‘green economy’ approach need to be carefully assessed. In its essence, the concept of the ‘green economy’ rests on decoupling of 2 resource use and environmental impacts from economic growth by means of radical technological innovation. An efficiency approach can take us a long way down the road. However, rebound effects (where efficiency gains are lost due to increased consumption of the same product or other products or services, for example efficiency gains from more efficient vehicles are lost due to more car ownership and longer distances travelled) are real and well documented. In the end, an efficiency approach needs to be complemented by a sufficiency approach, past experience tells us. Life-style changes and sustainable consumption need to be part of a discussion about a green economy to help avoiding the rebound effect. 2 Starting the debate: Environmental limits and ecological modernisation Sustainability emerged in the 1970s and became more popular in the 1980s. It was implicitly dealt with in two to the most important books in the 1970s, the ‘limits to growth’ report from the Club of Rome2 and Herman Daly’s ‘Toward a steady state economy’3. In 1980, IUCN published its world conservation strategy, along with UNEP and WWF4 with a focus on preserving environment in the self-interest of humans (ecological sustainability). It was linked to discussions about concepts of ‘qualitative growth’ or ‘de- or non-growth’. At the same time, ecological modernisation developed as a strategic discourse, mainly in a few western European countries, where scholars looked into options to decouple economic growth and environmental degradation (see Box 1 below for various definitions of sustainable development). Ecological modernisation was an attempt to point to the positive links between environment and economy, by stating the huge potential for efficiency gains in energy and materials use and their positive competiveness effects (win-win solutions). The late 1980s saw an upswing in the sustainable development discussion on the international level, particularly fed by the UN sponsored report ‘Our Common Future’. It coined the understanding of sustainable development as “meeting present needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”, linking two main concepts, namely ‘needs’ and ‘limits’ and thus bringing together the discussion about environment and poverty reduction. Balancing developed and developing countries interests it stressed that while economic growth cannot stop it needs to change course to adhere to the planet’s ecological limits, giving primacy to the need for long-term preservation of living conditions following principles on intra and inter-generational fairness. Needs should be met within limits, the latter being defined through the environment. At the EU level, sustainable development was mentioned for the first time in a high-level document in the Rhodes European Council Presidency conclusions in December 1988, with the ‘Declaration on the environment’ annexed to the Presidency conclusions. The text starts off by stating that solutions to environmental problems must be found ‘in the interests of sustained growth and a better quality of life’5. Sustainability is introduced in conjunction with the principle of integration: ‘Within the Community, it is essential to increase efforts to protect environment directly and also to ensure that such protection becomes an integral component of other policies. Sustainable development must be one of the overriding objectives of all Community policies’6. Already here one can see how ‘sustained growth’ and ‘sustainable development’ wavered, already revealing the ambivalence towards the new concept. Box 1: Definitions of sustainable development and green economy and growth The Our Common Future (otherwise known as ‘the Brundtland report’) definition of sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. It contains within it two key concepts: the concept of 'needs', in particular the essential needs of the world's poor, to which overriding priority should be given; and the idea of limitations imposed by the state of technology and social organisation on the 3 environment's ability to meet present and future needs. Ecological modernisation is a theory set out in the 1980s suggesting that the environment and the economy, if properly managed, are mutually reinforcing; and are supportive of and supported by technological innovation”. Green economy is “one that results in improved human well-being and social equity, while significantly reducing environmental risks and ecological scarcities” (UNEP). Green growth means “fostering economic growth and development, while ensuring that natural assets continue to provide the resources and environmental services on which our well-being relies” (OECD). Rebound effect refers to the behavioural or other systemic responses to the introduction of new technologies that increase the efficiency of resource use. These responses tend to offset the beneficial effects of the new technology or other measures taken. The rebound effect is generally expressed as a ratio of the lost benefit compared to the expected environmental benefit when holding consumption constant . For instance, if a 5% improvement in vehicle fuel efficiency results in only a 2% drop in fuel use, there is a 60% rebound effect. 3 The sustainability discussion in the 1990s Interestingly though, the next major EU summit on the issue, in Dublin in 19907, was far more ambitious and linked sustainability to principles of precautionary and preventive action, calling for considerable acceleration of efforts to ensure that the completion of the internal market and related economic growth is promoted in a ‘sustainable and environmental sound manner’. This discussion reflected the strong international dynamics around the notion of sustainable development in the run-up to the 1992 UN Earth summit in Rio de Janeiro (for more details see Supporting Briefing #1: Green economy in the context of Rio+20). The principles of sustainable development underpinned the Rio Earth Summit, which adopted major international conventions (UNCBD, UNFCCC, and UNCCD), two statements of principles and a major action agenda for worldwide sustainable development (‘Agenda 21’). The Rio Earth Summit was in many ways a successful summit, creating a strong momentum for the environmental agenda and (re)invigorating many policy developments at the national level. However, with sustainability entering mainstream politics, unresolved political questions were raised and conflicting interpretations became more frequent. These ambiguities resulted from the absence of a detailed framework to help individual countries turn these broad principles into practical policy measures, but also from the fact that tensions between the growth and environment agenda were covered, but not solved. This problem became clearly visible in the efforts to translate the sustainability principle into political practice on an EU level. Notwithstanding the political momentum from Rio and the ambitious language of the 1990 Dublin Council, Member States could not agree on integrating sustainable development as an objective in the Treaties in 1992. The Maastricht Treaty simply noted sustainability as embedded in concepts of ‘economic and social progress which is balanced and sustainable’ or ‘sustainable and non-inflationary growth respecting the environment’.8 ‘Sustainable growth’ ended up as the compromise formula, with the qualifier ‘respecting the environment’ being added to appease Member States supporting a stronger sustainability positioning. Though sustainability failed to gain full legal recognition, the concept nevertheless continued to make headway in the political discourse, most notably in the 5th Environment Action Programme of the EU, which has sustainability as its core guiding principle and theme. In fact, it can be regarded as the EU’s first sustainable development strategy, although it was not named like that. At the same time, an increasing number of Member States tried to set up long-term and target-led approaches to 4 environmental policy, including national environmental planning or sustainable development strategies. Ten years after the publication of Our Common Future, with the Treaty of Amsterdam9, sustainable development was legally recognised in the Treaties as an objective of both the European Union and the European Commission. From that time, it also started attracting high-level political attention and regularly featured on the agenda of the European Council. In that sense sustainability has been a useful concept, as it opens doors to mainstream politics. Nonetheless, the sustainability discussion lost a lot of its environmental connotation in this context, as the discussion increasingly was about economic, social and sustainability aspects. The conceptual discussion advanced with a proliferation of concepts and suggestions how to equally balance economic, environmental and social concerns (the three-pillar model), sometimes including cultural concerns (four pillar model), leaving many politicians, researchers and the public alike confused about what sustainability was really all about. More narrowly, the discussions about greening the economy, or ecological modernisation, continued to get renewed impetus from different sides, particularly through the Kyoto Protocol process which pushed Member States to act on climate change and energy issues. It helped discussions around the greater use of market-based mechanisms, at both Member States and EU levels, helped to put forward the European Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) and prepared in many ways the ground for the later successful adoption of the ‘20/20/20’ Climate Change and Energy Package. Ecological modernisation was also pushed to a certain extent by the ‘Cardiff Process of Environmental Policy Integration’10, where several Council formations were asked to develop sectoral integration strategies. This requirement forced several Council formations to better account for environmental policy needs, although the appraisal of the real policy changes remains controversial. 4. The sustainability discussion in the 2000s In the first half of the 2000s, sustainability strategies were en vogue in Member States, linking different reform policies under one banner. But the broad connotation of sustainability often lead to a hyper-complexity that was difficult to digest for political systems and their decision-making processes. Again the discussion on the EU level is illustrative. In view of the limited effects of the Cardiff Process and as a consequence of international commitments, the European Council decided to start the initiative for an EU Sustainable Development Strategy11. However, from the beginning the strategy process was fraught by its unclear and contentious relationship with the other major strategy processes on the EU level, namely the ‘Lisbon Strategy for Economic Growth and Competitiveness’, where the Sustainable Development Strategy was meant to provide for the environmental component, leading again to an unclear link between the growth and the sustainability agendas. It is noteworthy that the Gothenburg Council failed to adopt the Commission proposal for an EU sustainable development strategy in 2001, but only adopted ‘basic contours’ of a strategy as part of the Council conclusions, leaving considerable uncertainty about the political weight and relevance of this initiative. It becomes a ‘forgotten issue’ until 2005, when the revision was due. This led, under pressure from various sides, to the development of a new strategy which was adopted in 2006. The new strategy contained useful elements, but failed to meet overall expectations with regard to a target-led process to push for a new basis of socio-economic development in the EU. 5 The follow-up to the Rio Earth Summit, the 2002 Johannesburg Summit, suffered from a similar fate. While it attracted a lot of preparatory work, it failed to reinvigorate the political momentum for the sustainability discussion globally. A greater part of this was due to a lack of political commitment, but part of this was also due to the fact that the concept had become so multi-facetted and multipurpose that it was difficult to organise a targeted dialogue around it. However, the meeting ended with the production of the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, containing a number of ‘Millennium Development Goals’ (MDGs) which focus on reducing or eliminating the worst elements of poverty. A very recent celebration of the meeting of one of the MDGs, that of halving the number of people not having access to clean drinking water by 2015, shows that the MDGs do carry political weight that results in achieving targets. The sustainability discourse on the EU level helped, however, to balance the internal Impact Assessment (IA) procedure of the Commission which has become obligatory for EU legislation and major political initiatives. Environmental policy proposals were increasingly attacked for being unsustainable in the middle of the last decade when incurring larger economic costs or when concerns of economic competitiveness were raised. Sustainability thus gained a strong economic and financial connotation, and the internal IA procedure was feared by many environmentalists to be a key tool for sidelining environmental concerns. However, the past years show that such a sidelining has not systematically happened and that the IA procedure rather helped to spur processes of policy learning and better consideration of environmental concerns and trade-offs with economic and social concerns. The increasing connotation of sustainability as “economic” or “financial” sustainability led to calls for a “greening of sustainability” as claimed for by the Network of European Economic Advisory Councils. However, the discussion rather lost momentum. Since 2006, the EU Sustainable Development Strategy process has largely failed to provide overall strategic direction in substantive terms. It was initially to be implemented by a process of annual stocktaking with all three dimensions of sustainable development reviewed at the annual Spring European Council. But the criticisms abounded: insufficient coordination, not adequately addressing key concerns, and a lack of solid obligation and commitments across the EU institutions. It is also noteworthy that the Cardiff Process of Policy Integration came to a still-stand during the first half of the 2000s. Much greater policy momentum came from the policy integration angle, however not in a systematic manner as envisioned under the Cardiff Process but rather as a consequence of the successful implementation of the Climate Change and Energy Package, which built on its own logic of driving factors. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment12 turned discussion upside down and refocused on the environmental limits of a planet with constrained ecosystems. The planetary boundaries discussion is an attempt to reconnect to the “old” discussion of the 1980s that tried to distil global long-term environmental limits for economic development, but coming from a much deeper understanding of the inter-linkages and increased speed and scope of global changes. Discussions around the concept of green economy go back to the discussion around ecological modernisations that have evolved since the 1980s, but remained in academic circles and never reached the political mainstream. In short, there was a brief upsurge in political attention for sustainable development in the wake of the Johannesburg Summit, but the 2000s also symbolised a renewed EU emphasis on competitiveness, growth and employment, dedicated to the ‘re-launch’ of the Lisbon strategy (political priority eclipsed the Sustainable Development Strategy). Sustainable development is no longer considered as a whole, and there is no attempt to provide an overall strategic direction in 6 substantive terms. There are, however, a range of initiatives that are making discrete contributions to developing a new momentum and direction for progress. Particularly since the global financial crisis that began in 2008, there has been a range of new initiatives creating (foundations for) new momentum around sustainability – the Green New Deal discussions in response to the global financial crisis, UNEP’s Green Economy Initiative work13, the OECD’s green growth work and the work on the value of nature – The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB)14. Similarly initiatives around the measurement of progress, true wealth and wellbeing of nations (e.g. Beyond GDP initiative15, the OECD’s Global Project on Measuring the Progress of Societies’, the Stiglitz–Sen–Fitoussi Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress, as well as the United Nations work on the system of integrated environmental and economic accounting) are offering discrete tools, developing partnerships, indicating ways forward and creating momentum to improve sustainability measurement and hence help operationalise some aspects of sustainable development. 4 Outlook Sustainable development has been institutionalised on an EU level in the form of a strategy and several high-level political commitments. Some merits can be attributed to procedural gains, particularly with regard to balancing off the internal IA procedure. However, when measured against the overall rationale and ambitions of the sustainable development discussion, EU level action towards sustainability has experienced serious shortcomings, and has evolved into a very complicated, unclear and ambiguous discussion that is of little real concern to policy makers at the moment. The discussion has considerably distanced itself from its original starting point in the 1980s, which was about meeting needs within clear limits, the latter being defined by the environment. Our growing understanding about biophysical boundaries that should not be crossed in connection with the world economic and financial crisis that has been unfolding since 2008 is moving the overall discussion back into this direction. Activities on the green economy and green growth open the door for wider discussion about fundamental objectives. What should we perceive as a final safe “operating space” (Rockström) for humanity – where are the bio-physical boundaries that need to shape a green economy? How can we translate this scientific discussion into concrete policy measures? Part of this decision-making requires setting up a process for better operationalising environmental limits based on our growing understanding of ecosystems, their services and their overall value for humankind. This new valuation needs to feed into a new approach towards better participative dialogue with civil society and relevant stakeholders about priorities ahead. It is important to stress that a discussion about the green economy is not reduced to a simple articulation of technological win-win measures. These are tremendously important and the EU, as other regions, has only started to embrace the full potential that radical technological innovation already available would bring in terms of system change and decoupling of resource use and environmental impacts from growth. But a green economy discussion needs to remain a key means to an important end, namely to provide a safe environment, where degradation of ecosystems is no longer affecting key lifesupporting services. In addition, the green economy concept is seen differently according to the national situation: the elimination of poverty, a wider use of appropriate technologies, development of markets, resource efficiency and developing or safeguarding of natural capital and nature more widely etc. in the end, 7 the discussion about a green economy inevitably leads to a discussion about the overall growth model in modern capitalist societies, and needs for changes. Can we refine market forces to be aligned with overall bio-physical boundaries and transform the growth imperative towards activities that are both beneficial to the environment and human needs? Or does this need an altogether different growth model? What is clear is that efficiency and sufficiency concerns need to be aligned. But the lack of clarification is obvious. We lack a list of measurable criteria against which it would be possible to judge progress towards a green economy, or ecological sustainability. ‘Better to have clarity and risk losing a few unwanted adherents, than retain a vacuous 'anything goes' approach. Policy-makers would also benefit from a clear technical definition to help them implement sustainable development’16. The advantage of a “green economy discussion” over the somehow broader, but also more unclear “sustainability discourse” lies in a much clearer picture of what is at stake. The discussion should avoid the mistakes made in earlier years, namely to assume that there is a possibility to align economic, social and environmental concerns at equal terms. While it is clear that trade-offs need to be accepted towards all sides depending on the specific circumstances, it is also clear that the risks associated with crossing key life supporting bio-physical boundaries on a planetary level are so high that they cannot be really accepted, but that mitigating threshold passing needs to be given overriding concern. Our environment defines the operating space for our daily interactions. As Karl Polanyi has shown a long time ago in his seminal book on the “great transformation”17 (1944), the advent of modern industrial society and market forces led to ruptures in the fabric of social life that had been embedded in the natural environment up to that moment. Economy, which had been defined among others by the conditions of the natural environment, was released from that link. Green economy offers the potential for a mainstream discussion to create political commitment to recreate that link. 8 References 1 Our Common Future, Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development, World Commission on Environment and Development, 1987. 2 Meadows, Donella, J. Randers and D. Meadows. Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books, 1972. 3 Ed. by Daly, Herman E., Economics, Ecology, Ethics, Essays toward a Steady State Economy; W. H. Freeman & Co., San Francisco, 1980. 4 IUCN, UNEP, WWF; World Conservation Strategy :Living Resource Conservation for Sustainable Development; 5 Declaration on the Environment, Annex I, par.1. 6 Ibid, par.2. 7 For Presidency Conclusions of Dublin European Council 1990, see http://www.europarl.europa.eu/summits/dublin/du1_en.pdf and http://www.europarl.europa.eu/summits/dublin/du2_en.pdf. 8 Pallemaerts 2009 9 For text on the Treaty of Amsterdam, see http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/institutional_affairs/treaties/amsterdam_treaty/index_en.htm. 10 For more details on the Cardiff Process of environmental policy integration, see http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/environment/sustainable_development/l28075_en.htm. 11 For more information on the EU Sustainable Development Strategy, see http://ec.europa.eu/environment/eussd/. 12 Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystem and Human Well-Being: Biodiversity Synthesis, World Resource Institute, Washington DB. www.milleniumassessment.org 13 Add ref 14 Add ref: re UNEP … TEEB (2011) The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity in National and International Policy Making. Edited by Patrick ten Brink. Earthscan, London. See also www.teebweb.org 15 www.beyond-gdp.eu 16 Carter, Neil ‘The politics of the environment: ideas, activism, policy’, Cambridge University Press, p.202. 17 Polanyi, Karl. The Great Transformation. Beacon Press, Boston, 1944. 9