EIS Mini Project Bottled Water Macarena Herrera Rodrigo Guillen David Leal 1. Bottled Water Introduction and Value Proposition Bottled water has been around a long time in various forms. Bottled water in America predates the country’s independence, with records of water bottled and sold from Jackson’s Spa in Boston in 1767. The bottled water industry really took off in the beginning of the nineteenth century when new glass technologies made the cost of a bottle affordable and practical for mass production and consumption. By 1856, over 7 million bottles were being produced annually at Saratoga Springs, one of the most popular early bottled water sources, and selling for up to $1.75 per pint. Early bottled water’s popularity was motivated largely by health concerns to the extent that consumers in the mid-1800s believed that bottled spring water had health benefits that bordered on the medicinal. This early value proposition is still valid today as modern consumers in the developed world are increasingly health-conscious. Also like today, the historical popularity of bottled water has been due to an associated image and status, as bottled water was sold at hundreds or thousands of times the price of normal drinking water. Today, however, the marketing campaigns promoting water develop an image of bottled water focusing on sex appeal, with models increasingly used in campaigns. More recently, water in a bottle has been seen as offering convenience to consumers for its portability and relatively low cost when compared to carbonated beverages. Tourists purchase bottled water on the street when they get thirsty, carry their bottle as they drink it, then dispose of it very easily. Motorists can buy water at convenience stores to quench their thirst as they fill up their gas tank. In the developing world today, bottled water is seen as safe in places where water from municipal sources is not potable. There is also an element of convenience to bottled water in the developing world as it reduces the amount of work required to drink water by eliminating the need to boil or treat water in the home. Bottled water went out of style and need in the early twentieth century, when the advent of chlorination in municipal drinking water supplies made public water consistently healthy and safe to drink. But the allure of health and image fueled a bottled water comeback in 1977, when Perrier launched a $5 million marketing campaign in the United States for its imported water. Perrier’s marketing and timing were perfect, as it took advantage of concerns about pollution and poor-quality tap water, and it caught the wave of health-conscious young professionals just as they were beginning to flex their consumer muscle. After the success of Perrier, many large beverage companies followed with their own bottled water products, including Coca Cola with Dasani and PepsiCo with Aquafina. Today, bottled water is the second best-selling beverage option, second only to the global carbonated beverage industry. In 2010 bottled water’s overall share of the liquid refreshment beverages marketplace grew slightly to 30 percent globally. In the U.S. bottled water’s market share grew to 15% in 2010 compared to 23% for the carbonated beverage market as consumer interest in 1 healthy, calorie-free beverages increased. U.S. per-capita consumption was up 2.6% in 2010, with every person in America now drinking an average of 28.3 gallons of bottled water. Bottled water has clearly been a success in the marketplace in the last few decades and this success was dependent on the different actors in the bottled water ecosystem being incented in a way that allowed this product to penetrate the beverage market. 2. Bottled Water Ecosystem Environmental Groups Bottle Supplier Water Source Bottler Distributor Retailer Consumer FDA Exhibit 1: Bottled Water Ecosystem The bottled water ecosystem, as shown in Exhibit 1, consists of a series of actors that begins with the water source and terminates at the end consumer. The water source is typically a natural spring that is usually leased by the beverage company in a contract that pays the owner of the spring a fee per unit volume or an upfront cash payment for unlimited use. More recently, however, some beverage companies, such as Coca Cola in their Dasani brand water, have used purified water as the contents of bottled water, in which case, a municipality provides tap water directly to the bottler. In general spring water has been marketed as being of premium quality and, thus, is relatively more expensive than purified water, which can be positioned as a lower-cost option. 2 Next, the bottler takes the water and lives up to its name by bottling the water. Large beverage companies such as Coca Cola and Pepsi own their water bottlers while smaller beverage companies outsource the bottling operations. The bottlers are generally less profitable and more capital-intensive than the beverage companies they serve and frequently face operational challenges. However, vertically integrating gives companies more control over their long-term strategy, which is the main impetus for the trend where large beverage companies consolidate the supply chain. The FDA regulates the safety of bottled water beverages in the U.S. The FDA monitors and inspects bottled water products and bottlers under its food safety program. When the FDA inspects bottlers, the agency verifies that the bottler’s product and water supply are obtained from an approved source. It also inspects washing and sanitizing procedures and determines whether the companies analyze their water source and product water for contaminants. The FDA requires that each brand of bottled water be labeled according to type (standards of identity). For example, Dasani and Aquafina are required to state that their water source is a municipal water source, while spring water brands are required to state the location and name of the spring. The bottled water industry has come under criticism from environmental groups for having more lax standards than those of municipal sources. The EPA requires testing for more substances and requires more stringent standards before the water source is approved. Recently, the bottled water industry has come under fire from environmental groups for contributing to waste production through the plastic bottles it uses. These environmental groups have been successful to the extent that bottled water sales have tapered off recently after years of consistent growth. In response, beverage companies have made an effort to become more green and appeal to the powerful environmental groups by offering bottles that are partially made from plant material and, thus, more environmentally friendly. Because of environmental groups growing power, we believe they should be considered partners in the bottled water ecosystem. Bottle suppliers are a supplier to the bottling companies and hold little power in the ecosystem as providers of commodity products. These bottles are mostly made out of petroleum derivatives and are usually sold to bottlers under fixed-price contracts that are renewed periodically. Changes in prices are mostly tied to input prices such as crude oil. Distributors are the next actor in the ecosystem. Distributors buy the bottled water from the bottling facilities and sell, market, and distribute it to retail channels. Most distributors are independent of the beverage companies and bottling companies although some large beverage companies own distributing companies in important markets. Distributors are powerful actors in the ecosystem in that many of them have local monopolies and are the ones who choose what products get distributed to large retailers. Retailers buy bottled water from distributors and sell it to end consumers. Large retailers such as Wal-Mart wield a great deal of power and can negotiate for prices that provide thin margins for beverage companies and distributors. Smaller retailers such as convenience 3 stores have less purchasing power than supermarket chains but have equal or better margins due to the premium charged for convenience. Retailers also have significant power since they ultimately choose the contents of their shelf space that is made available to the end consumer. End consumers are the last actor in the ecosystem and are the ones who ultimately make the purchasing decision. As such, beverage companies dedicate a great deal of marketing resources toward convincing consumers to purchase their products. Because there are many competitors in the bottled water industry, consumers have many choices and choose based on preferences ranging from prestige and the perceived quality of the brand to lowest priced product. 3. Bottled Water Strategy Any innovation should take into consideration the risks involved in the innovation’s ecosystem. That is, firms should consider not only risks related to the product itself (initiative risk) but also those related to its partners and complements (integration risks). The risks of the initiative refer to aspects such as the feasibility of the product, likely benefits to customers, and relevant competition. In other words, in order to define a winning strategy it is first important to understand one’s strengths and weaknesses while considering the aforementioned aspects. In the case of bottled water, one of the most important benefits it offers the consumer is that it is convenience. As opposed to tap water, bottled water is an “on the go” product which is easy to carry, safe, and inexpensive compared to other “on the go” drinks like soft drinks and juices. A second significant advantage is that it is a healthy option because it does not have caffeine or any other substance that can be harmful to the human body, unlike most of its competitors (e.g. soft drinks). Consumers are growing increasingly health conscious and are more careful of their drinking habits. Bottled water can be viewed as an ideal substitute for the unhealthy beverages that the health conscious consumers are attempting to avoid. Additionally, bottled water is the only natural zero-calorie beverage, which makes it an attractive option for people who are worried about losing weight while serving as an option in the very public against obesity, which is a major problem in the U.S and in many countries. Moreover, awareness about potential positive side effects of mineral water is growing among consumers, causing the demand for this category of bottled water to increase. Another important strength of bottled water is that it is cost-attractive for consumers relative to traditional beverages such as soft drinks and juices. Bottled water has equivalent or lower retail pricing, which allows it to compete as a substitute at the point of sale. Although the soft drink (carbonated beverages) industry has fierce competition and financially powerful brands behind it, the barriers to entry into the bottled water industry are relatively low. For example, a 100-bottle per hour automatic bottling machine with washer, filler, capper costs $15,500 compared to carbonated beverage equipment, which requires multiples of capital expenditures. Additionally, bottled water does not require R&D expenses other than a purifying system (distillation, reverse osmosis, de-ionization or filtration). Thus, it 4 is an easy-to-enter business for small companies, creating new brands, rising competition and reducing the product’s price for consumers and allowing the product to make a successful entrance in the market. Nonetheless, bottled water as a market also has some weaknesses that need to be considered while defining a strategy. One of the main weaknesses of bottled water is that it is much more expensive than tap water. This becomes important as fifty percent of bottled water sales use purified tap water as its source even though it sells for hundreds of times more per unit volume than municipal tap water. Additionally, tap water is usually as clean as bottled purified water, which makes some consumers wonder why they are paying a much higher price for an equally safe product. Moreover, many people object to the sale of bottled tap water because they believe that municipal water is publicly owned and should not be privately exploited for profit. This weakness is usually addressed through marketing by presenting bottled purified water as a better-tasting alternative to tap water. Energy used and environmental pollution are another weakness of this industry. According to National Geographic, 17 million barrels of crude oil per year are used to manufacture the 29 billion water bottles sold in the U.S. alone. This amount of oil is equivalent to that used by a million cars for twelve months. Besides this amount of energy used to manufacture water bottles, water bottle recycling has not become efficient enough to avoid considerable environmental pollution. With an annual recycling rate remaining around 25%, the remaining 75% are sent to landfills or end up as litter where hundreds of years have to pass in order to make those bottles to degrade and break down into smaller pieces, causing water bottles to pile up as mountains of waste. However, as mentioned earlier, the success of a product does not depend only on the efforts of the manufacturer, but also on its adoption by the rest of the players in the ecosystem. No one in the ecosystem will adopt the innovation if its benefits are not greater than its cost. Therefore, in order to make sure that the rest of the players in the ecosystem are aligned it is important to consider what are their benefits and costs of adopting the innovation. For the water source (tap water or spring water), the benefit of bottled water is the money that they get from selling the water to the manufacturer. In the case of the owner of the spring the alternative is to extract and bottle the water himself or sell it to someone else, so offering the right price is the way to get this player on board. However, in the case of tap water, the price paid by the manufacturer is not necessarily a benefit since that water would probably be sold to the end consumer directly as tap water instead. In this case, selling the water to a bottled water company could actually be a cost to municipalities because bottled water will compete with tap water and bottlers will try to convince the end consumer that bottled water is healthier and safer than tap water. In order to be able to sell bottled tap water, bottlers need to convince the government to give them permission to sell this water. Additionally, bottlers will probably have to offer a higher price than what the end consumer would pay for that water if it were distributed as tap water. 5 In the case of the retailers, the benefit of bottled water is the profit earned by selling it, but the opportunity costs of carrying bottled water are also very high since it is a product that occupies a lot of shelf-space which is the retailers’ most valuable asset. Another cost for retailers of offering bottled water is the space that they occupy in the warehouse and because it is a high-volume but low-price product it may not as profitable as other products that they can offer. Another cost to retailers of selling bottled water is the cannibalization of other products like soft drinks that might have greater margins. For consumers the benefits of bottled water are the convenience and health factors mentioned earlier: zero calories and a healthy product at a reasonable cost compared to other beverages such as soft drinks and juices. However, there are also some costs for consumers. For example, paying a lot more for bottled water than what they pay for tap water and the negative externalities that all consumer bear, with 75% of water bottles not being recycled. Taking into consideration the benefits and costs of adoption for each player in the ecosystem we can assess the integration risks of the initiative. This assessment involves analyzing the probability that those who need to adopt the concept before the consumer can end up not adopting it. In order to do this it is very important to understand who the key players in the ecosystem are as well as what their most critical needs are. In the bottled water ecosystem it is clear that the retailer and the consumer are the most critical players and each of these has different critical needs. For consumers, their most critical needs are health and convenience whereas the retailers’ most precious asset is its shelfspace. Understanding these risks and every player’s critical needs is crucial in order to be able to develop a strategy that will align everyone towards the success of the product. Failing to understand the costs and benefits to each player will cause them to not adopt the product, which means the product is not sent down the line. The most important thing to retailers is managing their shelf-space in a way that allows them to obtain the highest profit possible. Retailers care not only about the profit per volume of the product but also about its turnover. Therefore, in order to convince retailers to carry bottled water, bottlers and distributors had to demonstrate how bottled water can be profitable even though it is a high-volume, low-price product. Some things that beverage companies and distributors had to emphasize in order to convince retailers to carry their products were the following. First, beverage companies and distributors had to convince retailers that water would be a high-demand product with a high turnover rate. Beverage companies and distributors had to show retailers that consumers’ health awareness was growing and that their consumption of soft drinks would start slowly decreasing, which meant that if retailers did not carry a substitute to these products, lost sales would ensue. In order to convince retailers, beverage companies and distributors showed retailers the benefits that bottled water offered consumers (convenience, health and a reasonable price) and all the reasons why consumers would gradually start buying less soft drinks and more water. 6 Second, bottlers needed to sell their product at a price that would allow retailers to get a higher margin for the product than they made with other competing products such as soft drinks. Since soft drinks also occupy a lot of shelf-space, bottlers needed to show retailers why they believed that bottled water would be a growing category and would end up increasing the retailers’ margins compared to soft drinks. Selling their own private label brand, for example, was an attractive option for large retailers since they could get the water at even lower prices, thus obtaining higher margins. Finally, beverage companies and distributors had to help retailers come up with ideas of how to make the most of the store’s capacity. For example, displaying bottled water on the floor at the entrance either inside or outside the store or against the walls at the back of the store were ways of not taking up shelf-space but still offering the product. Another important way to improve sales is to have consumers understand the benefits and advantages that water brings to their diets. As a measure to boost sales, Britain’s biggest water bottlers (Nestlé, DANONE, Highland Spring, Evian and Buxton) created in 2007 the National Hydration Council (NHC), an industry organization dedicated to researching the science and communicating the facts about natural bottled water. Another important measure taken by this council was to promote campaigns (e.g. DANONE’s “six to eight daily glasses of water”) to increase consumer awareness about the importance and health benefits of drinking water. A well informed consumer can make better choices when comparing benefits and tradeoffs especially between drinking water and drinking other types of soft drinks, so research turned into advertisements and campaigns showing why drinking water is healthier than any other soft drink helped bottled water improve its communication with consumers to improve sales. Also, campaigns focusing on the bottled water convenience, reliability and water origin (especially for high-end brands) can help consumers understand the difference and price premium that bottled water has compared with tap water. Although environmental issues and consumer trends might determine future sales of the bottled water industry, a well-positioned product in the retail floor together with strong marketing and awareness campaigns targeted at consumers can continue to help bottled water sales improve. To address the environmental issues, it is very important for the bottled water industry to actively participate with the community and government institutions with campaigns towards recycling and proper waste reduction. We also believe that the industry will have major consolidation and acquisitions of regional brands from large competitors in order to reduce competition and acquire more sources of spring water, especially with large competitors such as Coke and Pepsi try to grow their footprint in this market. Finally, the rise of new bottled “enhanced water” in the market poses a new growth opportunity for the bottled water industry that all current participants should analyze as a new innovation strategy. 7 REFERENCES: The Daily Green. “Almost Half of All Bottled Water Comes from the Tap, but Costs You Much More”. http://www.thedailygreen.com/environmental-news/latest/bottledwater-47091001#ixzz1aObKYqgw National Hydration Council. http://www.naturalhydrationcouncil.org.uk/ Brand Channel. “Bottled Water Floods the Market”. http://www.brandchannel.com/features_effect.asp?pf_id=88 Intuit. “5 Marketing Lessons from the Bottled Water Industry”. http://blog.intuit.com/marketing/5-marketing-lessons-from-the-bottled-waterindustry/ National Geographic. “Drinking Water: Bottled or From the Tap?”. http://kids.nationalgeographic.com/kids/stories/spacescience/water-bottle-pollution/ Food and Water Watch. 2010. Bottling Our Cities’ Tap Water. 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