CHAPTER – 41 GLOBAL WARMING Beginning with the Industrial Revolution, we have relied on the energy stored in the fossil fuels. As we burn the fossil fuels in the power plants, factories, and cars, we release CO2 into the atmosphere. Since 1850, the CO2 content of the atmosphere has increased from 280 parts per million to 370 ppm, or more than 30%, creating the highest CO2 concentration in more than 410,000 years. That increase is continuing at the rate of 1.5 ppm yearly. Burning fossil fuels accounts for 80-85% of the CO2 added to the atmosphere each year. A second source of added atmospheric CO2, is deforestation which eliminates tens of millions of forested acres annually. It accounts for 15-20% of CO2 emissions. Deforestations is principally occurring in the tropics, where rainforests are rapidly being converted to marginal agricultural land. The carbon stored in the massive trees in these forests returns to the atmosphere (primarily through burning) after they are cut. GREENHOUSE GASES TRAP HEAT IN THE ATMOSPHERE Carbon dioxide represents only a tiny fraction of Earth’s atmosphere. Atmospheric CO2 allows solar energy to enter, then absorbs and holds that energy once it has been converted into heat. Several other greenhouse gases share this property, including methane, chlorflurocarbons (CFCs), water vapor, and nitrous oxide. The greenhouse effect, the ability of greenhouse gases to trap the sun’s energy in a planet’s atmosphere as heat, is a natural process. By keeping the atmosphere relatively warm, it allows life on Earth. There is complete consensus among atmospheric scientists that human activities have amplified the natural greenhouse effect, producing a phenomenon called global warming. Since the middle of the 19th century, human agriculture and industrialization have dispensed an enormous quantity of these green house gases into the atmosphere, where these have trapped enough heat to begin climate change. According to the United Nations, there has been a rise of about 0.6 degrees Celsius during the past century. More warming is expected to occur in the coming decades The main reasons for the emission of gases that are a cause of green house effect are burning of fossil fuel like coal in the power plants for the purpose of generation of electricity. Fossil fuel burning leads to high emissions of carbon dioxide gas. Another green house gas is methane. Methane is more than 20 times as effectual as CO2 at entrapping heat in the atmosphere. Methane is obtained from resources such as rice paddies, bovine flatulence, bacteria in bogs and fossil fuel manufacture. Almost in all parts of the world, rice is grown on flooded fields. When fields are flooded, anaerobic situation build up and the organic matter in the soil decays, releasing methane to the atmosphere. Nitrous oxide, which is a colorless gas with a sweet odor, is also a green house gas. The main sources of nitrous oxide include nylon and nitric acid production, cars with catalytic converters, the use of fertilizers in agriculture and the burning of organic matter. A greater emission of nitrous oxides in the recent decades is leading global warming. Another jump in the category of green house gases is in the name of hydroflourocarbons and perflourocarbons, man made chemicals initiated as a substitute to other chemicals that deplete the atmosphere's protective ozone layer. In the last 100 years, average temperatures have risen about 10F. The 1980s were the warmest decade on record, until their record was topped by the 1990s; thus far, 2001, 2002, and 2003 have been the three hottest years on record. Many factors, such as increases in cloud cover caused by increased evaporation, possible increase in net primary productivity due to increased CO2, and the uncertain capacity of the ocean to absorb CO2, make future climate prediction difficult. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which consists of hundreds of scientists throughout the world recently reported that “there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities”. If greenhouse gases are not curtailed, the IPCC predicts an increase of between 2.5 to 10.40F (1.4 to 5.80C) in average world surface temperatures from 1990 to 2100, with temperature rising more rapidly than in the past 10,000 years. This rapid rise is of particular concern because it is likely to exceed the rate at which natural selection can allow organisms to adapt. The temperature change will not be distributed evenly worldwide; U.S. temperatures are predicted to increase considerably faster than the global average. CONSEQUENCES OF GLOBAL WARMING Health One of the most serious effects of Global Warming that humans have to think about are the effects on the health of individuals, nations and therefore civilizations. The rise in temperature due to Global Warming is known to be supportive to various viral diseases like the west nile virus and malaria. This will result in economic as well as health effects on human beings. For example, Global Warming will increase the incidence of such diseases in poorer countries where these diseases exist. Global Warming will also cause countries who have eradicated these diseases to spend more on vaccinations and other ways of eradication like pesticides, etc. The IPCC notes that global warming will increase the range of tropical disease-carrying organisms, such as malaria-transmitting mosquitoes, with negative consequences for human health. Global Warming results in a drastic rise in temperature. This rise in temperature will finally result in an increase in the mortality rate of people. A higher temperature causes problems to people with cardiovascular problems. In extreme cases, people are known to have died of heatstroke. People may also have heat exhaustion problems. Respiratory problems are also known to arise out of a high temperature. High temperature also causes the concentration of ozone in the lower atmosphere. Ozone is a harmful pollutant and causes respiratory problems Ozone is also known to damage lung tissues and therefore cause more complications for people with asthma. These are some of the health effects of Global Warming. The glacier covering Mr. Everest has retreated three miles in the last 50 years. As polar ice caps and glaciers melt and ocean water expand in response to atmospheric warming, seal levels will rise, threatening coastal cities and flooding coastal wetlands. Global warming is also predicted to increase the intensity of hurricanes, posing a further threat to coastal regions. Even small temperature changes can dramatically alter the paths of major air and ocean currents, altering precipitation patterns in unpredictable ways. Some land might become too hot and dry for agriculture, while other areas might become warmer, wetter, and more productive. Agriculture Overall, U.S. crop productivity might increase. As the world warms, however, experts predict longer, more severe droughts and more extremes in rainfall, leading to more frequent crop failure and flooding. Agricultural disruption could be disastrous for some nations that are already barely able to feed themselves. The impact of global warming on forests could be profound. While overall forest growth in the U.S. may increase, species distributions will change. Coral reefs, already stressed by human activities, are likely to suffer further damage from warmer waters. WHAT CAN WE DO TO REDUCE GLOBAL WARMING? The total greenhouse gas emissions produced by the U.S amount to 6.6 tons per person each year, more than any other country on Earth. With less than 5% of the world’s population, the U.S. is responsible for more than 20% of world’s greenhouse emissions. We can substantially reduce emissions of CO2 by using fuel-efficient vehicles, carpools, and public transportation. As electricity is generated in fossil fuel fired power plants, so are tremendous quantities of CO2, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen oxides. We can support the use of renewable energy such as wind and solar power. To conserve electricity, we can purchase more efficient appliances, turn off unused computers and lights, and place incandescent lighting with fluorescent light bulbs. Insulating and weatherproofing our homes, incorporating solar energy features into new homes, and planting deciduous trees near our houses to provide summer shade and winter sun will significantly reduce fuel consumption while cutting back on heating and air conditioning Recycling is also tremendous energy saver. We can also support reforestation efforts to replace trees both in tropical forests and in our communities. Although continued global warming is inevitable, its rate can be reduced by human decisions. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJAbATJCugs GLOBAL WARMING