Proposal: Urban Informatics for Sustainability and Resilience (UrbInSuRe) Center 8/16/2014 UrbInSuRe Center aims to envision the future city that is both smarter and more livable, and create the knowledge and technologies to enable today’s cities to move towards that vision. Over half of the world’s population currently lives in urban areas, a number predicted to grow to 60 percent by 2030. Urban areas face unprecedented and growing challenges that endanger both human and ecosystem health, such as: inner-city food deserts, health problems, and poverty; urban sprawl and inefficient transport leading to chronic pollution problems; increased flooding, droughts, sea level rise, and severe storms from climate change; and a lack of knowledge and technologies to address these complex problems involving “systems of systems”. Cities are recognizing that the increasing stream of data and information (“Big Data”) (Figure 1) and modeling can support rapid advances on these challenges. Cities are responding by investing in improved technology infrastructure, but lack the culture of open innovation and leading-edge technology that a university can provide. The objective of UrbInSuRe is to partner university researchers with city planners, policy makers, engineers, and others to address these challenges using a transformative technology platform and collaborative process. Specifically, UrbInSuRe will: Figure 1: The “Big Data” stream. Source: VentureBeat.com 1. Foster multi-disciplinary interaction and collaboration on urban challenges using data-driven modeling and systems-based methods. 2. Provide shared resources (funds, space, staff, and cyberinfrastructure) to incentivize and support collaborative urban research, education, and public engagement. 3. Support education and training needed for teams of faculty, staff, and students from multiple disciplines, as well as their urban collaborators, to contribute to these activities. 4. Raise the national and international profile of data-driven urban research, education, and engagement to enhance Illinois’ reputation and secure major external funding. Initial Focus. The center will focus on sustainable and resilient design of urban infrastructure, defined in its broadest sense to include transportation, water, food, and other human systems that support cities. Designing these systems to be sustainable and resilient requires consideration of both their mutual interconnections and their interactions with energy, social, economic, and environmental systems. Novel methods for synthesizing data from the Web and community partners, low-cost sensing and robotics, and social computing Figure 2: Data-driven synthesis, modeling, and decision support. 1 will be combined with data-driven modeling at multiple spatial and temporal scales to support adaptive, information-based, and smart decisions (Figure 2). We will create long-term partnerships with a diverse set of city partners across the world, building opportunistically from existing collaborations. These collaborations could include Chicago, working with the Metropolitan Water Reclamation District, the College of Engineering’s UI Labs, and Argonne’s Urban Center for Computation and Data; Champaign-Urbana; Chennai; Beijing; and 5 cities (Phoenix, Portland, Baltimore, Chicago, and Durham) engaged in a national green infrastructure working group funded by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC). UrbInSuRe Activities. UrbInSuRe will create a lifecycle pipeline for multidisciplinary, data-driven projects (Figure 3). The pipeline is an innovative model that combines successful elements of National Science Foundation-funded synthesis centers, such as the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS) and SESYNC, with National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA) and Illinois Information Institute (I3) technologies, programs, and expertise. The pipeline will enable new ideas to emerge and coalesce in synthesis workshops and working groups that bring together multi-disciplinary teams with external partners from industry, government agencies, non-governmental organizations, and academia. Working groups meet for intensive retreats and collaborate remotely between retreats, led by faculty and supported by PhD fellows and staff. Each working group will regularly share knowledge and ideas with the other groups to ensure cross-fertilization. Below are four proposed working group topics and initial interested faculty and staff (key gaps will be filled after funding),1 along with a list of potential funding Figure 3: Informatics and synthesis pipeline. opportunities that could continue to support these topics in the future: 1. Data-Driven Urban Informatics and Technologies (Co-Chairs: Jong Lee, NCSA, and Jana Diesner, GSLIS; Initial participants: Jon Gant, GSLIS; Nora El-Gohary CEE and Joshua Peschel, CEE; Mei-Po Kwan and Shaowen Wang, Geography; Scott Poole, Communications) Grand Challenge: Big Data algorithms and cyberinfrastructure (CI) that provide insights on urban grand challenges from heterogeneous data and models. Research Questions: What methods and computational solutions can best address Big Data challenges of variety, volume, and velocity, as well as spatiotemporal integration? How can technology be used to better define, measure, and advance urban sustainability and resilience? 1 Unit abbreviations are: ABE (Agricultural & Biological Engineering), ACE (Agricultural & Consumer Economics) CEE (Civil & Environmental Engineering), GSLIS (Graduate School of Library and Information Sciences), INHS (Illinois Natural History Survey), LA (Landscape Architecture), NCSA (National Center for Supercomputing Applications), PRI (Prairie Research Institute), URP (Urban and Regional Planning), VetMed (Veterinary Medicine). 2 What types of visualizations of scientific findings would best enable informed decision making by diverse stakeholders? What types and scales of computational models are most accurate in predicting behavior of “systems of systems” in urban settings? Funding Opportunities: National Science Foundation (NSF), Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Department of Energy (DOE), Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Office of Naval Research (ONR), industry 2. Risk and Resilience of Coastal Cities (Co-Chairs: Gary Miller, PRI, and Paolo Gardoni, CEE; Initial Participants: Barbara Minsker, CEE; Jesse Ribot and Ryan Sriver, Geography; Brian Anderson, INHS; Arden Rowell, Law; and Colleen Murphy, Philosophy) Grand Challenges: Reducing risks and increasing resilience to climate change (e.g., changes in lake or sea levels, precipitation), natural and human-made disasters (e.g., Hurricane Katrina, Fukoshima disaster, Gulf of Mexico oil spill), and rapid urban growth in coastal regions, where half the world’s population resides and rapid growth is occurring. Risk is defined broadly to include fatalities, economic impairment, damage to infrastructure and other critical services, loss of biodiversity and cultural diversity, introduction of invasive species, impairment of human health and wellbeing, and loss of outdoor recreational opportunity. Research Questions: How can coastal risk mitigation measures be designed to optimize economic, ecological, and societal outcomes, in both the short and long term? How can we develop resilient strategies that evolve and adapt with changing risks, while catalyzing economic activity and human and ecosystem wellbeing? How can coastal risks be assessed and effectively and rapidly communicated? How do policies and governance affect risk mitigation and how can barriers to effective management be overcome? Funding Opportunities: NSF, U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), NASA, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), insurance companies, counties and municipalities, foundations 3. Rural and Urban Interfaces (Co-Chairs: Luis Rodriguez, ABE, and Anna-Maria Marshall, Sociology; Initial Participants: Craig Gunderson, ACE; Daniel Work and Bill Buttlar, CEE; Sam Wortman, Crop Sciences; Jong Lee, NCSA; Shaowen Wang, Geography; Brian Anderson, INHS; Jim Miller, NRES; Gary Miller, PRI; Bev Wilson and Bumsoo Lee, URP) Grand Challenges: Addressing chronic problems that bridge urban and rural areas, such as pollution (e.g., hypoxia in regions downstream of urban areas), water resource conflicts, and traffic congestion problems. Research Questions: How can the costs of goods and services provided in urban centers reflect the full environmental and social costs of production and delivery? What would be the impacts of such an approach on urban and rural communities? What are the trade-offs between urban pollutant sources (e.g., traffic and wastewater treatment emissions, urban runoff) versus rural sources (e.g., agricultural runoff), and how would they be affected by a life cycle costing approach? Funding Opportunities: NSF, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), state and regional government agencies, foundations 4. Healthy Urban Living: Improving Human and Ecosystem Wellbeing in the Urban Environment (CoChairs: Mei-Po Kwan, Geography, and Barbara Minsker, CEE; Initial participants: Craig Gunderson, ACE; Nora El-Gohary, CEE; William Sullivan, LA; Scott Poole, Communications; Luis Rodriguez, ABE; 3 Kate Williams, GSLIS; Jim Miller, NRES; Bev Wilson and Bumsoo Lee, URP; Julie Cidell, Geography; Marilyn O’Hara, VetMed) Grand Challenges: Identifying trends and causes, and evaluating solutions, to chronic human and ecosystem health problems in urban areas (e.g., asthma, diabetes, obesity, loss of species diversity and types). Research Questions: What data, models, technologies, designs, strategies, or policies would most effectively improve understanding and solution of complex human and ecosystem health problems? What would a healthy, sustainable, and resilient city look like, and how can we measure progress towards such a goal? Funding Opportunities: NSF Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability (SEES); EPA; National Institutes of Health (NIH); NASA; state, local, and regional government agencies; foundations. The working groups will deploy a unique synthesis structure proposed by the Water Science Software Institute conceptualization team (Figure 4) to advance both domain research and informatics methods and cyberinfrastructure. The groups would create high-profile publications, new methods and technologies, and new project proposals. Workshops, working groups, and projects will be supported by an advanced cyberinfrastructure that will build from existing technologies to create a state-ofFigure 4: Open community engagement process through synthesis the-art community service platform and working groups. Source: NSF Water Science Software Institute conceptualization data/information from partner cities team, 2011. (Figure 5). The platform will support a collaborative process for seamlessly linking and sharing data acquisition and analysis, models, and workflows (sequences of analytical and modeling steps), as shown in Figure 6. These tools will be accessible through user-friendly, yet computationally powerful, Web applications for knowledge creation and decision support. This framework will Figure 5: Technology and city platform for informatics support adaptive research and decision research. making to rapidly identify and advance new data and technology needs. The platform will be made available to campus and external users for open research, education, and engagement; users will be invited to contribute to advancing its capabilities through an open-source community. 4 Why Illinois? Given our significant strengths in Big Data and expertise on urban infrastructure, as well as informatics and cyberinfrastructure expertise, methods, and tools at NCSA and other units across campus, Illinois is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the growing stream of data from all sectors in advancing progress on these societal grand Figure 6: Cyberinfrastructure for urban Big Data challenges, which involve all six of the analytics and modeling. Illinois Visioning Future Excellence themes (energy and the environment, social equality and cultural understanding, economic development, health and wellness, education, and information and technology). UrbInSuRe will provide a model synthesis structure that could be expanded across campus in the future to enable Illinois faculty, staff, and students to be world leaders in data-driven scholarship and public engagement. 5 Quarte r 2014 Tasks, Outcomes, and Timing 3 4 Quarter 2015 1 2 3 4 Quarter 2016 1 2 3 4 Quarter 2017 1 2 0: Select working group leadership and student fellows. 1: Refine center focus and research tasks. 1.1 Working groups’ membership finalized and kickoff workshop. Outcomes: Updated white paper on center mission, working group themes and research questions. 1.2: Literature review and detailed research task scoping completed, including selection of testbed cities, models, and informatics approaches. Outcomes: Literature review, updated work plan. 2: Raise center profile and pursue external funding opportunities. 2.1 Web site and marketing materials created. Outcomes: Web site and brochure on center mission, working group themes, personnel. 2.2 Initial visits to potential partner cities to explore collaboration and funding opportunities. 2.3 Follow up on promising leads, prepare proposals. Outcomes: At least 6 proposals per year. 4: Complete pilot research projects. 4.1 Urban data gathered and initial modeling and analyses completed and reviewed at annual workshop. Outcomes: Presentation slides on initial findings, updated work plan. 4.2 Modeling and analyses revised based on feedback. Outcomes: Three conference papers. 4.3 Further modeling and analysis completed. Outcomes: Three journal/conference papers. 4.4 Follow-on modeling and analyses completed. Outcomes: Three journal/conference papers. 6