DRAFT Strategic Service Delivery Plan for out of hospital care delivery NHS WEST LONDON CCG Edition: Governing Body draft Date: 13-03-14 Approved Page 1 Version Control Document Details Programme Out of Hospital Hubs Outline Business Case Status / Version V1.3 Document Approval Criteria Name & Role Signature Date Author Author Reviewer Approver Document Summary This is the Strategic Services Delivery Plan (SSDP) for West London CCG. It is a predecessor to the Outline Business Case for Out of Hospital Hubs in NHS NWL. Version Control Details Version Status Date Author Description of Change(s) 1.1 1st Draft 21.02.13 SARAH MCDONNELL Draft version 1.2 2nd draft 03-03-14 SARAH MCDONNELL Draft amendments 1.3 3rd Draft 13-03-14 Kemi Ayorinde Draft version Page 2 Purpose of the SSDP This Strategic Service Delivery Plan (SSDP) is the next step in West London CCG’s (WL CCG) response to the unprecedented challenges it faces to ensure a sustainable and effective healthcare system. It builds on the previously published WL CCG Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy. It details West London CCG’s new model of out of hospital care and outlines the implications of this model, focusing in particular on the implications for estates, workforce and informatics. Part 1 makes clear the scale of the challenge in West London and contextualises the CCGs response. Part 1 of the SSDP outlines the local context and the wider (regional and national) strategic context. These directly influence the likely increase of demand in out of hospital settings and the local response to this (the proposed model of out of hospital care presented in chapter 4). Part 2 describes the infrastructure implications – focusing in detail on the estate implications - arising from the proposed new model of out of hospital care. Accommodating an increased volume of activity in primary and community settings and ensuring the primary and community care estate meets quality standards and enables new ways of working is a major task. It is likely to require major change in three main areas workforce, informatics and estate. Part 2 presents a summary of the implications for each of these areas but focuses most heavily on the implications for the estate in West London which will need to be of sufficient quality and have sufficient capacity to successfully deliver the new model of out of hospital care. In Part 2 we examine the estimated service activity levels for out of hospital care and the resulting space requirements. This SSDP identifies how we might transform our existing estate to ensure its effective use and where we might need to invest in our estate. We focus in particular on the additional space requirements and the case for the development of locality-based hubs. We briefly outline the plans being developed for the GP estate before looking in detail at the associated idea of hubs. Hubs are a key setting for the delivery of out of hospital services in WL CCG’s new model of care. They will help localise and integrate the most common services people need for everyday illnesses and provide the additional capacity needed in the primary and community sector to enable a shift away from the acute sector. We present the methodology used in the identification of potential hub sites and the evaluation of the site options. Activity and estates modelling supports the development of conclusions about the way in which we might use and upgrade our existing estate, the additional space required to support hub activity. As part of the SSDP process, we evaluate a list of potential sites within the CCG that could deliver hub services and evaluate these sites against a set of threshold and prioritisation criteria. By the end of this process we will have a detailed understanding of the pipeline for the proposed hub estate. These will be carried forward to Outline Business Case (OBC) stage for further evaluation. Page 3 Part 1 Page 4 1. An introduction to the NHS in West London West London CCG (WL CCG) covers a small but densely populated area in west London. WL CCG commissions services on behalf of approximately 230,000 patients living predominantly in the Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea and the North of Westminster (Queen’s Park and Paddington)1 as well as those visiting and working in the area. The population is highly mobile making the commissioning and delivery of planned, proactive, coordinated care more of a challenge. The local NHS delivers primary, community and acute care commissioned by NHS England and West London CCG. Data from the Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea (RBKC) Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA) shows the population is unusual as it has a large proportion of older working age residents (the 8th highest proportion of older working age residents and 12th highest of retirement age) and 15.4% of children (which is the second smallest in London). It also has high levels of international migration with 50% of residents born abroad (2011 Census) with only 28% saying their main language in English. The CCG is also culturally diverse: four in ten of the population is classify themselves as ‘white British’, about a third of the population classify themselves as from ‘other white’ backgrounds (31%), with American, French, Italian and Spanish communities among the more prominent. Nearly a third (29%) of the population is from a Black and minority ethnic group, up from 21% in 20012. The local housing stock is primarily made up of flats – 83% compared to half in London. This means households in the area have limited outdoor space and access can be difficult for those with mobility issues. 34% of residents live in private rented housing – the 4th highest proportion in London. Only 37% are owner occupiers – the 10th lowest in London. One quarter (25%) of resident live in social housing - similar to London averages. Kensington and Chelsea has the highest percentage of one person households in the country (47%). One in ten households is a lone pensioner household with almost half of older people (43%) in the borough live alone. This puts them at increased risk of social isolation and reducing the likelihood of them being able to self-care. Pressure on social housing stock and property prices in London has also resulted in overcrowding3. The area is also economically diverse with rich and poor living side by side particularly in the north of the borough4. Consequently, West London CCG commissions services for some of the most deprived wards in London, as well as some of the most affluent. Our northern wards are generally more deprived, with more residents living in social housing, poorer lifestyles and higher rates of chronic disease5. 28% of the CCG (which includes the St. Charles ward) fall into the 20% most deprived wards nationally and four wards (St Charles - 130, Notting Barns, Queens Park and Harrow Road) fall into the 20% highest premature death rates nationwide. In contrast, the Borough of Kensington and Chelsea was ranked the 103rd most deprived in the country according to the index of multiple deprivation 2010. The north of the area covered by West London CCG has correspondingly worse health outcomes. The wards falling into the worst 20% in London for self-reported bad/very bad health, self-reported limiting long-term illness (LLTI) and self-reported working age LLTI are Golborne, St Charles, Notting Barns and Cremorne. The area also has worse than London and England rates of injuries due to falls in people aged 65 and over and emergency readmissions within 30 days of discharge from hospital.6 Life expectancy is also different in 1 2 3 West London CCG Commissioning Intentions 2013/14 Royal Borough of Kensington an Chelsea JSNA Highlights Report 2013 Ibid 4 Ibid 5 St Charles Centre for Health and Wellbeing Strategic Outline Case July 2013 6 Ibid Page 5 3 Sttrategic Overview O 3.1 Stt Charles, Northern Hub b – Strategicc Need Section 3.6.5 of the Wesst London CCG Commissioninng Intentions deetails the develo opment of 2 neew provider hubbs for the Westt the mortality rates across the CCG with residents people in the most northerly wards twice London locality – St Chaarles, north of the t borough, annd Earl’s Courtt, south of the borough. The ddevelopment of o each hub (ass as likely to die before age 75 as those in the South Kensington. Heart disease, stroke, cancer stated in thhe CCG’s commissioning intentions) will co-oordinate providers ‘to deliver integrated care and provide a range of out off and respiratory diseases contribute most to the life expectancy gap between rich and poor. hospital seervices in line with the health needs n of the loccal population.’ Figure 1 belowwshows the deprivation (left) and mortality rates (right) mapped by council ward. In reviewinng the CCG’s leevels of deprivaation and undeer 75 mortality rates r (as taken from the West London CCG Commissioning C g Intentions)) it is evidentt that a local solution is reequired to ad ddress the inc creasing healtth inequalitiess between thee Reducing health inequalities is a real challenge for our local healthf system. It is thus evident northern and southern regions, speccifically the heealth needs off the northern locality (detaailed further in figure 1). Both h that a local solution is required to address the increasing health inequalities that exist across Shaping a Healthier Futture and the Out O of Hospitall Strategy prop pose 2 new hubs for West Loondon - 1 in th he North of thee 7. the CCG Borough and 1 in the South S of the Borough, in lig ht of the contrasting health needs for Weest London thee clinical casee for a Soutthern Hub, maay require review. Figure 1 b elow identifies the index of de eprivation for W West London (m map on left) andd the under 75 mortality rattes for the West London localitty from 2006-20010 (map on rig ght); Figure 1: Deprivation (left) and mortality rates (right) mapped by council ward Figure 1 Wesst London Index off Deprivation (Map Left) L and Under 755 Mortality Rates (M Map Right) The population inhealth West London is mostly densely concentrated and frequently exceeds Both maps s identify the staark inequalities betweeCCG n the northern and southern parts of the CCG G area. 28% of the CCG the upper quintile range (16,067 – 218,551 people per square mile) in most areas. The (which includes the St. Charles ward) fall into the 20% most deprived wards nationally and four ward rds (St Charles - 130, Notting CCG’s population is served by about 54 GP practices. Practices in the north of the CCG Barns, Queens Park and Harrow Road) fall into the 20% % highest prem mature death rattes nationwide. Those living inn St Charles, area in particular, generally commission services from the same acute and community health Queen’s P Park or Harrow Road wards aree more than tw wice as likely to die before the age a of 75, than those in the Soouth providers as their counterparts in the north ofneeds ourfoorneighbouring CCG (Central London CCG) Kensington area. Therefoore, a local solution that will address the health h the northernn wards is requ uired. as these patients have similar demographic, cultural and socio-economic characteristics. The CCG has formed a collaborative with four other neighbouring CCGs (Hammersmith & Fulham, Central London, Hounslow and Ealing).8. A significant amount of NHS care of patients in West London is provided outside of the hospital setting with services provided by a range of providers including GPs and GP out of 122 hours services, Acute Trusts, Mental Health Trusts, Community providers and third sector groups. Social Care services are provided by Westminster City Council. Acute providers include: the Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, the Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and the University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust. Other providers include There is also the Central London Community Healthcare NHS Trust who provide community services, the Central and North West London Mental Health Trust and the West London Mental Health Trust who provide Mental Health services in the CCG. The map below shows the locations from which these services are currently delivered. Figure 2: West London – all estates9 7 8 9 Ibid St Charles Centre for Health and Wellbeing Strategic Outline Case July 2013 See appendix 1 for labelled list of sites Page 6 Page 7 2. The case for change We must ensure the NHS in West London can effectively service the needs of today’s local population and ensure the NHS in West London is sustainable and fit to meet future needs. This will mean addressing significant demographic and non-demographic pressures that exist on the system. The specific drivers of change are described below. 2.1 Demographic and non-demographic drivers of change in West London 2.1.1 Growing health challenges Longer life expectancy, chronic disease and inconsistencies in patient experience, alongside an increasingly expensive treatments and technologies, are making our current model of healthcare unsustainable. The continued growth of our over 65 year old population means that, by 2015, the prevalence of dementia will rise by a third and the number of people surviving a stroke will increase by a quarter. We must find ways of addressing these health inequalities and long term conditions. About 1 in 5 patients in the CCG area is living with at least one long-term condition. Of these, more than 25% have two or more such long-term conditions. High prevalence and early death from these diseases are much more common in the northern wards where the greatest level of deprivation in the CCG exists. Chronic disease prevalence is influenced by a set of preventable risk factors, including smoking, alcohol, poor diet and lack of exercise. More than 1 in 6 people in the area still smoke – this could be mitigated with improved access to health information and care. Heart disease, stroke, cancer and respiratory diseases contribute most to the gap in life expectancy between rich and poor10. Mental health is also an issue with a very high prevalence of severe and enduring mental illness. Approximately 3200 of the patients known to primary care have a severe and enduring mental health problem, putting the West London CCG area within the top five prevalence rates of areas nationally. Kensington and Chelsea also has the 12th highest rates of acute sexually transmitted infection (STI) diagnosis in England11. 2.1.2 Increasing demand The health needs of residents are changing as the general population ages and people live longer with more chronic and lifestyle-related diseases. In 2030, women aged 65 in West London will live for four years with a disability, compared to three years in 2010. The number of stroke survivors will rise by 26% in the next 15 years. Mental health is the biggest burden in terms of reduced quality of life years 12. 2.1.3 Financial constraints West London CCG faces the continued financial challenge to deliver more with less resource. Our healthcare system is becoming financially unsustainable as demand and costs continue to rise. In addition, we must make our contribution to the NHS efficiency savings required by Government. In West London we must find a sustainable way of securing a QIPP saving of £25.4m by 2017/18, and delivering 24/7 services for our patients within a low growth context. We need a model of care that can deliver high quality services in the most suitable, cost-efficient settings13. 10 St Charles Centre for Health and Wellbeing Strategic Outline Case July 2013 11 Ibid 12 West London CCG Better Care Closer to Home 13 West London CCG Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy 2013 Page 8 2.1.4 Variability in access and quality of care Whilst people’s experience of GPs in West London is positive, more must be done to improve people’s experience of primary care access. Although 91% of West London patients have confidence in their GP, only 16% of patients feel they have access to another health professional other than their GP, and only 6% believe they can access a walk-in service14. Patients across London also report feeling less able to book appointments or order repeat prescriptions online, or make next day appointments with their GP. 2.1 5 Poor quality estate Improving the quality of the primary care estate so that it is an acceptable standard for healthcare provision is essential to delivering an integrated model of care that provides care of a high standard to patients. Estate quality will also be a major focus for the Care Quality Commission over the next few years. It is their intention that by 2016, every GP practice will have been inspected and its quality rated. In some cases, the quality of estate will have to be improved to avoid closure. The shift of activity out of hospital and into a range of primary care and community settings puts additional pressure on the existing estate, as these will have to meet these quality standards as well as having the space requirements to meet the activity demands of the future. 7% of the existing primary care estate in West London has been assessed as unacceptable and either not capable of being improved or requiring major redevelopment (DDA ratings of CX) with approximately 77% being graded as a C (not satisfactory) or D (unacceptable), 2.1.5 Patient expectations and feedback Feedback from West London patients tells us they want local health and care services to deliver better quality, more accessible and more co-ordinated healthcare in and out of hospital. Their feedback directly informs our development of plans for out of hospital care. Our patients tell us they would like: Effective sign-posting to treatment and services in the community to avoid patients from being confused when discharged. Our patients are not always made aware about the best alternatives for treatment or follow up available to them or even what is in their own care plan. Timely referrals to specialist care when needed, to ensure conditions do not deteriorate while patients wait. Better knowledge and treatment of mental health problems in primary care15. Engagement of patients across NW London16 has identified ten priorities; 7 out of 10 related to access17. These priorities can be grouped across three domains: Improved quality and reduced variation - having access to appropriate appointment times, skilled GPs, compassionate staff and consistently good services; Better integrated services - smooth and co-ordinated pathways, with access to specialists and a good range of tests and services. A continuing, trusted relationship with their registered GP was at the centre of this, and; Flexible access - Patients expect to easily reach someone on the phone and get an emergency appointment when they need one. 14 North West London General Practice Priorities, February 2013 West London CCG Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy 2013 16 Survey of 1,040 patients 17 Ref Challenge Fund 15 Page 9 These reflect and align with the national expectation for better integration and co-ordination of all care; National Voices (a coalition of health and social care charities in England) has defined good co-ordinated care from the perspective of the service user as: “I can plan my care with people who work together to understand me and my carer(s), allow me control, and bring together services to achieve the outcomes important to me” This definition has been adopted by NHS England, Public Health England, Monitor and local authority bodies and must inform everything we do. The characteristics central to this model include: patients setting their own goals and outcomes; shared decision-making; effective transitions between services; good communication across the system; information sharing, and; improved care planning. Page 10 3. National and regional responses to these drivers The ways in which the system should respond to these pressures has already been considered at national, regional and local levels. All stakeholders are clear that transformative change is required. WL CCG’s local plans represent a good strategic fit with associated national and regional responses. 3.1 National response At the national level, NHS England clearly stated their requirements in A Call to Action18, a document which calls for substantial change in the way health services are organised and delivered in order to ensure NHS services remain free at the point of access. The changes to healthcare required by A Call to Action include: A greater focus on preventative rather than reactive care Services matched more closely to individuals’ circumstances (instead of a ‘one size fits all’ approach) People better equipped to manage their own health and healthcare (particularly those with long term conditions) A reduction in inappropriate admissions to hospital and avoidable re-admissions (particularly amongst older people) In A Call to Action, NHS England makes clear that whilst structural change is important and will be required, structural change alone will be insufficient. In order to meet the extensive challenges facing the healthcare system, fundamental transformation of the way primary, secondary and community care is delivered and used, is required at local level. A Call to Action reflects a range of nationally published evidence, all of which makes clear that healthcare needs to shift away from reactive, episodic treatment of patients, to coordinated, patient-centred care. This puts the patient in the centre with services organised around them. The patient’s GP will operate as the central point in the system ensuring primary and community services are organised around the patient and delivered as close to home as possible helping improve both quality and access. This will be the organising principle for both health and social care in the future. In addition, the integration of health and social care (both commissioning and provision) is being driven nationally. In A Call to Action, NHS England attribute rising demand in part to the effect of poorly joined up care. They note: New thinking about how to provide integrated services in the future is needed in order to give individuals the care and support they require in the most efficient and appropriate care settings, across health and social care, and in a safe timescale19. We know from existing efforts to integrate health and care services (for example, the national Integrated Care Pilots) that there are clear benefits to this approach: patients feel more involved in their care, professionals are able to develop a more sophisticated understanding of their patients and undertake peer review where appropriate and the local healthcare system is better able to anticipate and manage demand. The system will need to be better coordinated and integrated for patients and services users – particularly those with complex or long term conditions. This will mean a new way of working for health and social care professionals. All health and care professionals will be 18 The NHS belongs to the people: a call to action, cited http://www.england.nhs.uk/wpcontent/uploads/2013/07/nhs_belongs.pdf 19 Ibid: p8 Page 11 expected to collaborate and work across traditional boundaries. Multi-disciplinary working will become the new norm, helping smooth patient journeys and prevent escalation of need and avoidable hospital admissions. Health and social care professionals will work across localities as part of a network of providers. CCGs are already organised into localities. Localities represent clusters of the local population against which the CCG analyses need and commissions services. Within each locality, GP practices are coming together to form and work as a network. Networks will offer a blend of localism and scale – they are sufficiently local to ensure GPs and other providers maintain a link with individual patients and of sufficient scale to ensure we can deliver sophisticated services to local populations. The networks will be developed so they give patients access to a range of out of hospital services in convenient settings, providing patient’s access to local services above and beyond what is currently available in general practice. Networks will enable GP practices to provide the additional capacity, flexibility, limited specialisation and economy of scale to deliver the new model of care in a sustainable way. Networks are taking shape across the country – in many cases they are based on existing relationships to ensure trust, cooperation and effective transformation. 3.2 Regional response At the regional level health partners from across North West London have been working together on the Shaping a Healthier Future (SaHF) programme. Led by clinicians, the SaHF programme has developed proposals that will improve both primary and emergency care. Following a significant programme of consultation with patients, carers, members of the public and professionals across NW London, the SaHF Decision Making Business Case (DMBC) was signed off. In this document, it was agreed that improving care in NW London so it displays the characteristics described above means three things – localising, centralising and integrating. Each one is described in more detail below: Localising o Reducing admissions with better local management of care o Improving support for patients with LTCs and mental health problems o Improving patient experience and satisfaction o Improving carer experience Centralising o Achieving better clinical outcomes including reduced morbidity and mortality o Reducing readmissions o Reducing lengths of stay o Increasing staff training, skills and job satisfaction Integrating o Increased multidisciplinary working – improving coordination o Improving access to information - leading to better patient care o Reducing unnecessary investigations and duplication of assessments o Improving efficiency and pathways Delivering the clinical vision and required standards laid out in Shaping a Healthier Future, means services will need to be provided across a range of care settings in NW London. This will give NW London residents access to better quality care in specialist, major and elective hospital settings. The range of care settings available to patients and the availability of these providers is summarised in the diagram below. Page 12 Figure 3: Shaping a Healthier Future – care settings20 Changes to primary and community care setting as well as acute care settings are being prepared. In NW London, the integration of health and social care systems is being driven nationally and the associated ways of working, will be extended to all care pathways as part of a move to Whole Systems Integrated Care21. Whole Systems Integrated Care will underpin change across the local healthcare system. Care will be organised around the patient with local GP practices and other relevant health and care organisations providing care through local networks. Whole Systems Integrated Care is underpinned by three key principles: 1. People and their carers and families will be empowered to take control of their own care and receive the care they need in their own homes or in their local community. We will work together to promote the long term, sustainable wellbeing of the whole person. 2. GPs will be at the centre, organising and coordinating people’s care and acting as the people’s champion, ensuring people receive high quality integrated care that helps them achieve their own goals. GPs will work with other providers in integrated networks and will be able to draw upon all the services and resource they need to meet people’s care goals. Whilst not all care or coordination has to be delivered by individual GPs, the GP’s patient register will be the organising principle that guides how care is co-ordinated between agencies. 3. Systems will enable and not hinder the provision of integrated care. The financial model will pay for people’s health and social care needs on a basis that rewards outcomes not contacts. Commissioning budgets will also be pooled where this would be beneficial for the population. To enable seamless delivery, information about people’s care will be shared with them and, with their permission, across the organisations that are responsible for providing their care. Leaders will no longer accept ways of working that are silo-based and do not consider the needs of people beyond their own part of the pathway of care. Providers will be responsible for taking joint accountability for achieving a person’s outcomes and goals and will be required to show how this delivers efficiencies across the system. 20 SaHF 28 November Joint Workforce Workshop 21 NHS North West London Page 13 In summary we want to move healthcare delivery closer to home, enable GPs to organise and coordinate care in collaboration with patients and carers. We also want to integrate health and social care delivery to ensure efficient use of resource and improve service user outcomes. This will require major change to the way health and care services are organised and provided. To ensure this can happen, care will have to be organised differently. In the future localities and networks will become crucial organising principles. This will help us deliver services to patients which respond to three challenges – the need for urgent care (same day emergency consultations (including home visits) for those that need it), convenient care (appointments at a time and place and in a medium convenient to the patient) and continuity of care (consistent appointments with a named, trusted clinician, with appointment length tailored to patient need) 22. As part of the SaHF process, clinical standards for out of hospital care were developed, consulted upon and revised. These standards are crucial because it is important that all stakeholders - patients, their carers, commissioners and providers - are clear about what is expected of out of hospital services. Six standards for out of hospital care were agreed as part of the Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy. These set the benchmark for the improvement of care in a consistent manner across the eight CCGs in NW London. These standards were directly informed by - and explicitly capture - feedback from patients and carers23. Figure 4: Out of Hospital clinical standards OOH Standards Domain A Individual Empowerment & Self Care B Access convenience and responsiveness C Care planning and multi-disciplinary care delivery D Information and communications E Population- and prevention-oriented F Safe and high quality ▪ Individuals will be provided with up-to-date, evidence-based and accessible information to support them in taking personal responsibility when making decisions about their own health, care and wellbeing ▪ Individuals will have access to telephone advice and triage provided 24 hours a day, seven days a week. As a result of this triage: Cases assessed as urgent will be given a timed appointment or visit within 4 hours of the time of calling For cases assessed as not urgent and that cannot be resolved by phone, individuals will be offered the choice of an appointment within 24 hours or an appointment to see a GP in their own practice within 48 hours ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ All individuals who would benefit from a care plan will have one. Everyone who has a care plan will have a named ‘care coordinator’ who will work with them to coordinate care across health and social care GPs will work within multi-disciplinary groups to manage care delivery, incorporating input from primary, community, social care, mental health and specialists With the individual’s consent, relevant information will be visible to health and care professionals involved in providing care Any previous or planned contact with a healthcare professional should be visible to all relevant community health and care providers Following admission to hospital, the patient's GP and relevant providers will be actively involved in coordinating an individual’s discharge plan ▪ The provider has a responsibility to pro-actively support the health and wellness of the local population. This includes prevention (e.g. immunisation, smoking cessation, healthy living), case-finding (e.g. diabetes, COPD, cancer) and pro-active identification and support for patients from hard to reach groups ▪ Patients experience high quality, evidence-based care and clinical decisions are informed by peer support and review. Clinical data are shared to inform quality assurance and improvement 22 Cited from Challenge Fund application 23 Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy West London CCG Page 14 4 Local response - transforming out of hospital care in West London Cumulatively, the challenges outlined above are driving major change to the way we organise and deliver health and care services in West London. If we are to meet the rising demands on health and care services, remain financially sustainable, and ensure high quality accessible services that meet patient expectations, then we will need to make extensive changes to the way current health and care services are organised and delivered. Significant change will need to take place locally, driven and reinforced by change (strategic and operational) at regional and national levels. The cumulative impact of these drivers of change on West London is shown in the graph below. This shows how demand on local out of hospital services will change over the next five years. It shows a significant shift to the delivery of care in out of hospital settings and what this means. Each of the three drivers of demand in the graph below will contribute to a rise in the demand for out of hospital care. It is worthwhile to note that this SSDP does not reflect the corresponding effect (on the acute hospital sector) of bringing services out of hospital. Figure 5: Percentage increase in demand for out of hospital care in West London 140 120 12 3 100 9 80 125 60 100 40 20 0 Out of hospital demand 12/13 Demographic pressures Non-demographic pressures Shift in care to OOH settings Out of hospital demand 17/18 The cumulative effect of these three factors is an increase in demand for out of hospital care of approximately one third (25-30%) across the West London CCG area compared with 2012/13 levels. This translates into a corresponding increase in required capacity in out of hospital settings, to manage this increase in activity. As well as delivering more care, out of hospital providers will be delivering more effective out of hospital care – care that is patient centred, integrated and coordinated across networks and localities. 4.1 West London’s new model of out of hospital care 4.1.1 Requirements of the model Page 15 A simple increase in capacity in traditional primary and community care settings is neither achievable financially nor adequate to meet requirements for improved quality and reduced variation. Delivering more of the same will also fail to achieve the objectives for out of hospital care outlined in chapter 3. There is a significant body of evidence that says a more radical transformation is needed. West London needs a local model of out of hospital care which: Equips people to self-care and self-manage Improves access and quality and reduces variability Delivers integrated and coordinated care for individual patients Integrates and coordinates care across networks and localities Delivers patient-centred care to better match services to people’s individual circumstances and improve people’s experience Reduces waste, overlap and duplication by making the most efficient use of resources across health and care. Improves outcomes by delivering the right care, in the right place, at the right time 4.1.2 Vision WL CCG has outlined the local strategy for transformed out of hospital care in Better Care, Closer to Home. This takes into account the national, regional and local challenges impacting the health and care systems in West London and provides a detailed strategy for how to deliver coordinated, high quality care in the future. It describes how the delivery of care can be improved so that patients and carers benefit from a better experience and outcome. The strategy has five main elements to it which, taken together, summarise the vision for West London: There will be easy access to high quality, responsive primary care There will be simplified planned care pathways There will be rapid response to urgent needs so that fewer patients need to access hospital emergency care Providers (social and health) will work together, with the patient at the centre Patients will spend an appropriate amount of time in hospital when they are admitted 24 The new model is not just about delivering more care in out of hospital settings. It is also about delivering care differently as a ‘lift and shift’ of activity away from the acute sector will not enable us to adequately respond to the pressures on the system. Achieving this will require significant transformation (redesign and redevelopment) of the existing health and care system in West London. It will mean changing the way health and care professionals organise themselves (new roles) and work together (new ways of working for example multidisciplinary teams) and the training and development of the workforce more broadly. It will mean better health informatics and effective use of existing and new systems for data and information sharing. It will mean driving activity out of the acute sector and delivering more care in out of hospital settings and this will require us to invest in and develop out of hospital estate. These implications are expanded upon in part 2. 4.1.3 Delivery plans The Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy develops this new model by further outlining: what out of hospital services need to be provided locally, the settings in which they will be available, how West London’s out of hospital provision will deliver what patients want, how West London’s out of hospital provision will meet rigorous quality standards and what the local infrastructure (workforce, informatics and estate) will need to look like to deliver the 24 Better Care Closer to Home NHS West London Clinical Commissioning Group 2012 - 2015 Page 16 planned model of care. The Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy also outlines progress already made as WL CCG work towards this vision. Progress since 2012 includes: Establishing Putting People First aligned with the Integrated Care Pilot, to deliver a care planning and case management approach Restructuring community nursing to support care planning and the delivery of case management based on need. Community nursing teams to be reconfigured to align more closely with GP practices Improving the specification for the Community Independence Service, including rapid response, to better meet the needs of local patients Procuring community care pathways such as musculoskeletal and dermatology to deliver improved community based services across West London Developing the case for an older person’s consultant to support network-based delivery of care for older people Further work will be done as WL CCG continue to work towards a model of out of hospital care which is accessible, proactive and coordinated and able to offer urgent access, continuity of access (where relevant) and convenient access. Services will be available to patients at GP practices, network, locality and borough-wide level. Accessible The WL CCG model focuses on interventions in two areas: supporting patients to selfmanage and providing individuals with a simple, convenient point of entry into the out of hospital system. We expand upon each below. Ensuring patients can self-manage wherever possible is central to the WL CCG future model of care. We know many service users want to play a role in the management of their own care but that the current system does not provide patients with the information, advice and support they need to self-manage. In the new model of OOH care patients, carers and their families will be supported to manage their care in a variety of ways: Patients (and where appropriate their carers) will be equipped with up-to-date information appropriate to their condition, as well as in relation to their health and wellbeing (e.g. on smoking cessation, alcohol, diet and exercise). Trained patient educators will provide this advice, as well as connecting patients to voluntary sector programmes where they can learn how to self-manage, and get advice and support from other service users. We will work with patients to understand how they engage with local services and make decisions about their care to help us ensure that we design a health and social care system that meets their needs and behavioural preferences. Other health professionals such as community pharmacists can support this. Patients will also receive online information, screening programmes and education through community teams. Informatics systems will also allow patients to access their own records online. Where patients do need access to a professional, this will be made as easy as possible through a simple, convenient point of entry. Practices remain the centre for most routine primary care. Every practice will continue to offer core GP services, as well as working with other practices in their locality to provide additional services. We will explore how appointment lengths can be varied according to the need, offering patients with long-term and/or complex needs longer appointments. Patients with non-urgent care needs will be able to contact GP practices and be offered triage on the telephone before appointments are made ensuring care is appropriate. WL CCG will also explore how patients could better access consultations by Skype, e-mail or telephone. Page 17 WL CCG will ensure a number of practices are open from 8:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m, 7 days a week. For patients with episodic needs, appointment choices will be broadened to the network level. They will be offered a choice of convenient appointments across all the practices in their network. This will enhance the flexibility and accessibility of primary care. Proactive Many simple procedures, diagnostic tests and specialist therapies currently require patients to attend a hospital outpatient appointment. This forces patients to make trips into hospital at potentially inconvenient times to receive care that could be provided more cheaply and effectively in an out of hospital setting. Patients have little control over when, where and by whom their care is provided. In line with the Shaping a healthier future reconfiguration programme, we will move a significant proportion of planned care services into an out of hospital setting. Broadly, two types of service will be affected: Simple diagnostic tests (e.g. phlebotomy) Specialist services that could be provided more effectively in the community (e.g. enhanced primary care diabetes services) Individual GPs will retain responsibility for referring patients to specialist services and are expected to ensure that all referrals are clinically necessary and appropriate to patient need. To support this, referrals will first be directed to a single Referral Management Service (RMS) responsible for triaging patients, validating the original referral and passing on approved referrals to the appropriate service. GPs will also receive training on the recommended criteria for using diagnostics test (such as MRI) to avoid unnecessary or duplicate tests. Re-designed planned care pathways will empower patients to make decisions about their care. A higher proportion of planned care will be delivered closer to patients’ homes via community facilities and enhanced GP practices, rather than in hospital locations. Services will be provided by a variety of organisations from a range of locations in the borough, providing patients with increased choice and flexibility. Networks will utilise the skills and expertise of their member practices to offer a wider range of services than single practices including: minor surgery, wound care, contraceptive services, children’s services, anticoagulation, continence services and foot care. West London CCG is currently redesigning care pathways e.g. musculoskeletal services to move care from hospitals into community settings. Hubs will be centres for planned care in the community. Within our hubs, GPs, consultants and other health professionals (including nurses and therapists) will provide outpatient clinics across a wide range of specialties supported by relevant diagnostic equipment and facilities including MRI and X-ray, supported by clear referral guidelines to avoid unnecessary tests. The combination of expert staffing and appropriate diagnostics means that we can ensure that, wherever possible, patients are assessed and treated in a single visit to a hub. Co-ordinated Across West London, patients will receive co-ordinated care through the implementation of the Putting Patients First (PPF) framework. This will include the provision of proactive person centred co-ordinated care that is delivered closer to home and results in the avoidance of unnecessary non-elective hospital spells for high intensity user patients where clinically appropriate. Patients will be risk stratified to identify patients at risk of hospital admission so that they can be proactively managed. Patients with long term conditions (LTCs), co-morbidities or complex needs will receive coordinated and holistic care, with a single point of access into the system. PPF will support Page 18 patients to self-manage where possible by focusing on empowerment and community support. Patients and their carers will be fully involved in the development of integrated care plans, which capture the full range of their health and care needs. GPs will work with a range of other professionals to implement and monitor care plans for those patients that need them; these will be reviewed at least annually. This care plan will include primary care, community care (including community nursing), social care and acute care. In addition, the GP will be responsible for identifying and appointing a named case manager. The case manager will work with the GP to draw in relevant professionals and co-ordinate the care plan, helping patients navigate the range of services they are receiving, and responding to any crises. Networks will further develop the management of patients with long-term care and/or complex needs, for example in West London where we have developed a dedicated end of life centre which provides providing holistic palliative support to support patients in the community. The centre will offer 24 hour support from a dedicated palliative care service, including access to a specialist consultant. Delivering care in a coordinated manner through multi-disciplinary working of health and social care professions will transform the way that patients are supported and help them live more independently in the community. 4.1.4 Organising principles In our new model of out of hospital care, the system is organised at four different levels – the GP practice, the Network, the Locality and CCG wide. Each level offers a different combination of accessibility and scale – important because different types of services require different user-population sizes. Three of the levels at which the system is organised - GP Practices, Localities and CCG-wide – are already actively used. However to ensure we meet the need for additional capacity and for coordinated and integrated care, GPs will also form (and work together in) Networks. The CCG will continue to capture local needs and commission high quality, cost effective health services on behalf of its local population. GP Practices will remain at the centre of the provision of primary care; indeed they will play a more significant role in the new model as GP’s will be enabled to take on a wide range of service delivery, including primary care services, planned care services, and care co-ordination and management. Localities are critical to the integration of out of hospital care - forming a bridge between the services available at an individual GP practice and those available CCG-wide. Localities are also the area across which networks of GPs will be working together to deliver care. Networks bring groups of local GP practices together to help them offer services and manage patient care. They offer the opportunity to realise the following objectives - extended hours, more GP appointments, shared skills, an enhanced primary care offer and a wider range of planned care services in community settings. Patients will also have access to a single point of contact that enables patients to coordinate and integrate the care they receive. Networks will play a central role providing co-ordinated care and ensuring that primary care can realise the benefits of scale. The number of localities and networks will vary by area – in West London CCG, practices have organised into two networks under the two CCG localities (North and South). 4.1.5 Care settings Organising out of hospital care into four levels supports planning and commissioning processes, but it is important to be clear about the actual settings in which patients will receive out of hospital services and the type of services which will be delivered in each setting. Services will be provided by a variety of organisations and from a range of locations across West London, providing patients with increased choice and flexibility. Delivering our vision for out of hospital care will require changes to how we operate – there will be a growing role for GPs who will have to work together to organise patient care and a Page 19 requirement for all health and care professionals to work more closely together in multidisciplinary teams . The new model needs to balance the continuity of care important for some patients, with the rapid access important for others, using differentiated models of care. Not all planned care services can be delivered from GP practices so we will also introduce hubs – one hub per locality where there is sufficient out of hospital activity to do so. So in the new model of OOH care, the four locations in or from which services will be delivered are: • • • • At home In GP practices In a designated GP Practice (as a result of an inter-practice referral to another GP practice in the network) In a hub. Services will also continue to be delivered across the CCG as a whole for example the 111 service, 24 hour Urgent Care Centres, secondary care and specialist community-based care. Home For many patients, particularly frail elderly patients, care in the home is essential to improving the quality and experience of their care. Supporting people to live and be cared for in their own homes is also an important contributor to reducing unnecessary admissions to the acute setting, reducing bed stays, or to care homes. Care in the home must be underpinned by a supporting infrastructure of out of hospital care provided by multidisciplinary teams and rapid response teams. In GP Practices General practice is at the heart of our proposals for out of hospital care. It provides the central point of access and co-ordination around which the rest of our proposals are built. All West London GP practices will continue to provide core primary care services for all of their registered patients. Patients will be able to book both routine and urgent appointments with their practice during working hours. Core standards of both equity of access and quality of provision will be assured across the CCG population. Practices will work across locality networks to manage requirements for extended access and opening hours (national requirements for access 8am – 8 pm seven days a week). In a designated GP practice Practices will work together in their networks to provide care during evenings and weekends, with one or more practice providing extended hours access and urgent appointments on behalf of each network. Patients requiring care at these times will be signposted to another local practice in their network, or to the hub serving their locality (see below for more on hubs). GPs working together in Networks will play a central role in providing improved coordinated care, and in ensuring that primary care can realise the benefits of scale. In a Hub The hubs are a key component of our new model of out of hospital care providing local services to patients above and beyond what is currently available in general practice and wider primary and community care settings. Hubs will enable us to develop and improve out of hospital care and give the new model of care three major advantages over the existing model: they will provide access to a range of out of hospital services in convenient settings; the additional space needed to meet demand being redirected from the acute sector, and a site in which health and care staff can be collocated, supporting whole-systems integrated care and multi-disciplinary working. Page 20 Hubs will both deliver services on-site and be used by clinicians and other professionals as base from which to deliver services in the community. They will be a shared resource across localities supporting the collocation of clinicians and other professionals and ultimately the delivery of integrated care to patients. Differences between the north and south regions of the CCG necessitate a local solution in each area. Establishing two hubs- one in each locality – is a step towards delivering these local solutions. Figure 6: Proposed Hub sites For patients, the delineation of north and south will be less clear as the hubs will offer consolidated services and be accessible to local people from both localities. They will support out of hospital delivery by providing a facility to carry out outpatient appointments, deliver integrated care pathways and provide space for joint working by multi-disciplinary teams. They will deliver planned care services, supported by appropriate diagnostic facilities. Some of the tests currently provided in hospital, will be moved out of hospital and made available in hubs. The hubs will offer outpatient appointments, deliver integrated care and provide space for multi- disciplinary teams. West London CCG is currently redesigning care pathways to move care away from hospitals into community settings; Hubs will be used as centres for planned care in the community, delivering high quality care closer to patients’ homes. Wherever possible, patients will be assessed and treated in a single visit to a hub. Also within the hubs will be community voluntary services whose work is complementary to the health services being provided in the hubs. The hubs will be supported by trained staff and accessible during extended hours. Where appropriate, GPs or the 111 service will be able to refer patients directly to the hub for tests. In addition WL CCG’s hubs will offer a range of planned and anticipatory care support for people with long-term conditions and patient education and carer support programmes to support patients to self-care. These will provide patients with up-to-date information about their health and care, and about the range of services which are available to support them. They will also ensure we can provide carers with the support they need, including in relation Page 21 to their own health and wellbeing. The range of services to be provided at a hub is expected to include: Paediatric services Musculoskeletal services Dermatology services Cardiology services Diagnostic services Diabetes services Respiratory services Establishing hubs will provide the facilities and setting necessary to achieve our out of hospital standards and help us deliver against QIPP and support a system-wide shift in resources, from the acute sector to community and primary care providing services in more local and lower cost settings. The table below summarises the care that will be delivered by each of the four settings described above: Figure 7: Care to be delivered at each setting in the new model 4.1.6 How this will look to patients and carers If we successfully deliver against our new model of out of hospital care, it will make a real difference to the way patients experience our services, the quality of their care and ultimately, to patient outcomes. When we pull together all of the developments at local, regional and national levels, we arrive at a transformed system of care which delivers more services out of hospital, in settings as close to the patient’s home as possible. The care patients with the most complex needs and those suffering from long term conditions receive is well integrated and coordinated - the different professionals involved work across health and care systems to Page 22 ensure proactive and coordinated care. Patients have better access to primary care and to their GP (urgency of access, continuity of access, convenience of access) whom they work with to develop and manage their care plans. GPs support each other to deliver this service by working across networks. The system we hope to create is represented by the diagram below. All the changes being made respond to patient feedback and help enable West London’s new model of care. Figure 8: The transformed system25 Shaping a Healthier Future More health services available out of hospital, in settings closer to patients’ homes seven days a week. Whole Systems Integrated Care Patients with complex needs receive high quality multi-disciplinary care close to home, with a named GP acting as care co-ordinator. GP as lead for patient care Community hubs Primary Care Transformation Patients have access to General Practice services at times, locations and via channels that suit them seven days a week. Patient + Urgent appointments + Supported to self manage More local diagnostic equipment Convenient appointments Time available for care plans More specialised hospital care GP network Continuity appointments MDT meetings led by GP Acute reconfiguration + Information systems and record sharing Capitated budgets Less inappropriate time in hospital We have developed some patient stories below that bring to life our vision and new model of care. Example 1: Jack Jack is 8 years old and lives with his mother and two sisters in Chelsea. Jack has severe asthma. He uses three inhalers and has had recurrent short stays in hospital as a result of his condition. Two years ago he was admitted to hospital with his asthma four times over a short space of time and as a result missed several weeks at school. Jack’s mum used to panic when his asthma flared up; she used to be frightened that he might die from his asthma and became very scared if his condition deteriorated. She believed that A&E was the only place that could help and would turn up there if she felt things were getting bad. She also used to worry that at some stage his wider life (for example his schooling) would be disrupted again for a significant period of time because of his health. But last year local services were redesigned and things have changed. Jack now has an 25 Challenge fund Page 23 integrated care plan that includes an asthma self-management plan on his Mum's mobile phone. This helps her to spot when his condition is deteriorating, helps the family deal with a severe flare up, helps Jack’s Mum adjust his medication and lets her know when to schedule an appointment for him at their GP practice. Mum also now knows how to access information about asthma care though the web and has spent time with a local mum who also has a child with severe asthma, talking about their experiences and exchanging ideas. Jack’s GP and practice nurse work closely with the support of hub services and specialist advice and guidance. Jack's integrated care plan was devised and agreed with his Mum, their GP and Practice Nurse, Paediatric Consultant and School Nurse and it is shared electronically by all the local agencies. Jack's care co-ordinator is a GP from his registered practice and his Mum knows to contact her if there is a problem. Professionals caring for Jack operate as one virtual team, working in an integrated way to co-ordinate his care, share information and ensure effective access and proactive control of his condition. Shared electronic records and exemplary communication between different staff groups – each of whom understands their contribution to Jack’s care – ensure an excellent patient experience. Example 2: Rita and John Rita is 73 and John is 79. They are an elderly couple with complex needs who live in Ladbroke Grove. John has dementia with significant memory impairment - he sometimes becomes aggressive and has a tendency to wander. Rita has become frail of late and is finding it increasingly hard to cope. Their son had suggested that they might consider moving to a care home, but the couple would prefer to continue to live in their own home. Rita and John access care and support from a range of different health professionals and care agencies. They used to get confused about which organisation they should go to for what support and found themselves having to tell different health and care professionals the same story over and over again. No one seemed to have a clear understanding of their situation and Rita was never quite sure who was supposed to be doing what, or who to call if there was a problem. But since 2015, the organisations and professionals that help Rita and John have begun to join up their services. Access to support is simpler and the coordination of these services has improved considerably. As John's main carer Rita feels better supported and is more confident that the team of professionals involved in their care are working to the same care plan are able to access the information they need, with each person clearly understanding their role in John’s care. Rita knows to contact their Care Coordinator if she has a question or a new problem arises. She also has a handwritten copy of John’s Integrated Care Plan which details John’s physical health, social care and mental health problems and gives her the details of key contacts. John suffered a fall last week but after assessment by their GP he was able to stay at home. Rita was glad John didn’t have to go into hospital as a stay away from home tends to exacerbate John’s condition making him much more confused. To help prevent any further incidents, Rita was given some advice on reducing the likelihood of John falling again. John and Rita’s flat has been adapted to ensure John stays safe as he sometimes used to try and leave the property late at night in a state of confusion causing Rita to lay awake listening for the front door. Their door looks have been adapted to prevent this happening, giving Rita some peace of mind. John also now wears a watch that triggers an alarm if he wanders too far from the house at any time of day or night. Rita also gets support from a local voluntary service. They provide a carer for John for two hours every Wednesday afternoon so Rita can run errands or visit her friend for a coffee. Rita feels more confident in her ability to remain at home with John and care for him. Page 24 Key points: West London’s new model of out of hospital care will ensure care is accessible, proactive and coordinated. It will be organised across GP practices, networks of GP practices, localities and CCG wide. Care will be delivered from 4 main out of hospital settings – home, GP practice, designated GP practice (part of a network) and a hub. Hubs are a new addition and a key component of WL CCGs new model of out of hospital care. Each WL CCG locality will have access to one of the hubs. Patients will see a transformed model of care in West London with more services available out of hospital and closer to home, better access to primary care supported by 7 day working, high quality care, multidisciplinary working and better coordinated care (particularly for those with complex needs). The new model will require changes to workforce, informatics and estate- expanded upon in section 2 of this SSDP. Page 25 Part 2 Page 26 5 Delivery implications - workforce, informatics, estate The WL CCG new model of care is not just about delivering more care in out of hospital settings; it is also about delivering care differently. We are confident our new model of care can achieve a patient-centred and integrated system of accessible, proactive and coordinated care. However, to do this we will have to make major changes to the existing health and care infrastructure as the way systems and services are currently configured will not enable us to deliver our model. In chapter 4 we noted the particular impact on three specific areas: Workforce Informatics Estate Significant work is underway to help us understand the scale of transformation required in each of these three areas. In the sub-sections below we touch upon each area in turn, outlining what WL CCG’s new model of care will mean for the local health and care infrastructure. We first discuss workforce, this includes the new roles, skills and ways of working that will be required to support self-management, primary care transformation and whole systems integrated care and the associated education and training requirements. We then discuss informatics and the role this will play in the achievement of accessible, coordinated and integrated care, for individual patients and across localities. We then discuss out of hospital estate. Transformed out of hospital estate is necessary to meet demand and achieve WL CCGs new model of care. The estate must be high quality, offer good patient access, support coordinated and integrated working, help the CCG achieve its QIPP savings, and ensure primary and community care can manage increased demand as a result of activity moving out of the acute sector. This SSDP focuses most heavily (from chapter 6 onwards) on how West London’s estate will achieve these objectives. 5.1 Implications for the workforce All aspects of our future model of care will have significant implications for the health and care workforce. These are explored below. 5.1.1 Patients and Carers being supported to self-manage Supporting patients to self-care, and the increasing involvement of patients, their families and carers in their care (including, but not limited to, care planning), will have significant implications for the workforce. Aside from the cultural shift, there are implications in two main areas: Patients and carers as ‘part of the workforce’: In the new model of care patients will be supported to self-manage and contribute to the design of their care plans. Care plans will be co-designed with patients and carers. Coupled with an outcomes driven approach to managing care, this ensures that patients and carers have a key role to play in the improving their own health and well-being. Alongside this, many services, such as Telecare require the patients to administer parts of their own care. As care is transformed and co-production becomes a reality, patients and carers become effectively part of the workforce. To do this, they will require advice, information and support, and in some cases (such self-administering telecare) formal training. We will need to put in place a range of programmes including: patient and carer education programmes; carer support programmes Page 27 Empowering patients and carers - professional roles and skills: We will also need to ensure that health and care professionals have the skills, competencies and time to support and empower patients and carers in their new role, and that their interactions with patients reinforce, rather than undermine, patient empowerment. Staff will require training to enable and support service users to self-manage. While some staff will have these capabilities already (such as motivational interviewing), there is a need to specify clear technical standards and train staff to them, specifically to delivery evidence-based selfmanagement. Such skills will be important for the full range of community-based staff, including those providing ‘instant’ access and advice (such as community pharmacists) as well as those providing planned and long-term care. To bring about these required workforce changes we will need to: develop patient and carer education and support programmes - these will require suitable funding, staffing and space for programme sessions to take place, and; develop staff training courses to ensure that staff have the skills and competencies to support self-care and co-design - staff will require the time, funding and cover to attend these courses. In the longer-term, it is hoped these changes will help reduce demand for services as low-level needs are met through self-care. This will have implications for the primary and community care workforce, in terms of both numbers and skills. 5.1.2 Primary care transformation Our proposals for transforming primary care, including providing an increasing range of services through networks, providing differentiated appointments and increasing access to care to seven days a week, will have wide-ranging implications for the primary care workforce. We will need to develop new workforce roles, adapt existing roles and ensure people learn new skills, and work together (across settings, organisations and professional groups) in new ways. New Roles: The development of Primary Care Navigators (PCNs) gives us a significant opportunity to ensure all primary care practices have access to specialist skills in community settings. Examples of new roles include Care Navigators (acting as the first point of contact for care and care planning between the GP and providers ensuring coordinated and joined-up care); Case managers (which may be a GP or another professional) acting as the first point of contact for care and care planning with patients a higher risk of hospital admission, and; Patient educators offer help and support for patients to self-care. Community-based professionals will also form links with secondary care clinicians, through our Network Learning Forums allowing them access to specialist expertise across a network which would not be possible for individual practices. Additionally, business and operational management will be a key aspect of unlocking the operational benefits and efficiencies of running a network. Networks will be considering how best to organise their management arrangements as they evolve. New skills: Our transformation of primary care will require existing primary care professionals to both increase their skills and become more specialised. For example: o o o GPs focussing on patients with long-term conditions (on behalf of their network) will require specialist skills and training relevant to LTC management. These skills will vary depending on local need. Practice nurses, with appropriate training, will provide an increased range of care, particularly for episodic needs where continuity of care is not required. Again, specific training requirements will reflect local needs All staff will have the opportunity to work more flexibly and increase their skills. For example, ANPs taking on repeat prescriptions, health care assistants administering vaccines, and receptionists triaging patients and taking blood samples. Page 28 Importantly, in providing scope for practitioners (from all professional groups) to increase their skills, networks will also increase the career progression and satisfaction of those who work in them, and make general practice (and North West London) a more attractive place to work. This is essential in ensuring that we have sufficient, high quality staff to realise our future ambitions. New ways of working: The formation of primary care networks will require a complete transformation in how primary care professionals work together. Realising the full benefits of networks will require high levels of trust between constituent organisations and, importantly, between professional groups. These new ways of working include: o o o Working in multi-disciplinary teams: Primary care networks will host multidisciplinary teams of aligned professionals who will be able to contribute directly to care at a practice level. Networks will also manage episodic demand, enabling GPs to spend more time with LTC patients. Sharing skills across practices. Practices working together in networks will allow patients to be referred to GPs and other health professionals, including GPs with a special interest and specialist nurses, in other practices in their network. This will therefore break the exclusive relationship between patients and the practice (or individual GP) at which they are registered. Sharing skills therefore has the potential to provide significant benefits to patients, but will also require a very high level of trust between professionals that ‘their’ patients are getting the care they need from others. Centralising HR management and workforce planning across the network: Back office centralisation, integrated telephony / appointment booking / staff rotas; Practices giving up some autonomy in exchange for greatly increase efficiency. Our vision for the transformation of primary care therefore has a significant number of implications for the workforce. There are therefore a number of essential actions to ensure that the future workforce will be available to realise our ambitions, these include: implementing community learning networks (CLNs) to ensure all staff have the skills they need to support integrated care and other service transformations, and; developing a programme to make primary care careers more attractive, and to increase the attractiveness of GP training, across North West London, to ensure we can recruit and train the high-quality staff we need to support service transformations. 5.1.3 Whole systems transformation – delivering whole systems integrated care As well as our proposals for transforming primary care, our model of whole systems integrated care will have significant and wide-ranging implications for the workforce. It will require the development of new roles, the development of new skills and the development of new ways of working. Each of these is discussed in turn below: New Roles: transforming our services and the ways we work will require us to develop new roles. These were outlined in the workforce strategy for North West London, From Good to Great and are being developed further by each CCG. New skills: our proposals will require existing healthcare professionals to work differently in the future. Specialist, community and district nurses and other health professionals will provide a greater range of care in the community and in patients’ homes for example face to face assessments, rapid interventions at home, the provision of on-going care and monitoring, re-ablement support and home or community based care for patients at the end of life. Staff will have to draw on colleagues within their multi-disciplinary team as appropriate. Specialist Consultants will facilitate the shift to out of hospital care (for example by providing clinics in hubs), ensuring patients receive all the care they need in a community setting. Moving diagnostics, outpatient clinics and planned care procedures out of hospitals will require an increase in staffing, and/or the movement of some staff out Page 29 of hospital settings. In addition we will make greater use of the third sector to support selfmanagement and we will ensure our Primary Care Navigators are fully embedded New ways of working: Integrating care will require professional teams to come together around the needs of patients, rather than organisational silos. This will have profound implications for how health and care professionals work together. Integration around patient needs will only be possible within an environment of inter-professional trust and respect. Professionals will require an understanding of each other’s’ roles in delivering care along the patient pathway, and trust they that will deliver that care effectively. Building this trust will mean breaking down barriers between current organisations, including within healthcare as well as between health and social care. For multidisciplinary teams to be able to communicate effectively there is a need for a shared language – and therefore a shared understanding of patient needs - across health and social care. This suggests a shared core syllabus of skills across all professionals and providers, to ensure that everyone has the skills they need to make multi-professional collaboration and integrated care work effectively. Co-design and co-production: WL CCG will need contributions from all partners in order to extend the range of community services and ensure integrated, coordinated care for our patients. Partners and providers from across health, local government and the community and voluntary sector will co-design and produce services and care. The transformation of primary care – which underpins the new model of OOH care – will only be possible if professionals, patients and carers understand the new model, its rationale and the benefits it will bring. 5.1.4 Education and training All of our proposals depend on staff having the right skills and competencies to deliver highquality, appropriate care, and many of our proposed changes will require staff to change and increase their skills. If we are to achieve this, we must ensure that a suitable training infrastructure is in place, so that all staff who would benefit from training can access it. Education and training should be provided as close to the relevant setting of care as possible to ensure it can, at all times, remain relevant and focussed on patient needs. Therefore, as more care is delivered out of hospitals, there will be more rotations through non-acute settings for not only pre-registration students, but also for qualified professionals, as part of their continuous professional development. Figure 9: Implications for workforce Implications for the workforce... Primary care Patient / self-care New roles New skills New ways of working The ‘empowered patient’ and ‘empowered carer’ are equal partners in care planning. Staff skills to support selfcare e.g. motivational interviewing. Physician’s assistants support seven-day access. Differentiated appointments GPs at the heart of multirequire GPs to develop disciplinary teams. specialist skills for patient groups. Referral between GPs requires increased trust Practice nurses are able to between practices and provide an increased range staff. of care. Centralisation of workforce New skills requirements for planning and HR processes non-clinical staff (e.g. across a practice network. network management, triage) Workforce numbers Care is ‘co-designed’ by patients and professionals. Numbers increased by new roles. Workforce increases (across professions) as care moves from hospitals to community settings. Page 30 Acute care Integrated care Case Managers provide first point of contact for complex LTC patients. PCNs provide support for non-clinical elements of care Specialist staff to support community diagnostics (e.g. audiology, radiography) Specialist staff move from acute to community settings. Community and district nurses provide an increasing range of interventions. Specialist skills support shift of procedures from acute to community settings. Care provided by multidisciplinary teams. Numbers increased by new roles. A common language across health and social care. Workforce increases (across professions) as care moves from hospitals to community settings. 5.2 Implications for our informatics Delivering transformed out of hospital care relies on more effective use of existing and new informatics systems. These systems must provide the ability to share data, information and knowledge across organisational and geographical boundaries. The West London health care system will move towards a single system (SystmOne) to ensure effective communication and joint working across localities and integrated, coordinated care. This will be aligned with our community and other providers, who will be able to share patient information, including test results26. In addition, a shared informatics strategy for NW London has been developed. The strategy outlines how sharing data across Health and Social care will increase patient care, experience and access to information and improve operational efficiency, commissioning and planning. This integrated approach will deliver: Better care for service users through systems and information that empower them to access services and inform their care and choices Better informed and supported professionals having accurate and timely information available to make better decisions, and technology to support ways of working that deliver higher quality care more efficiently Better outcomes through optimising use of systems and technology; providing access to information to allow commissioners to make more effective procurement and commissioning decisions. This will be supported by professional design, delivery and governance throughout the Informatics estate. To deliver this, a common set of design principles are being used across North West London: Figure 10: NWL informatics design principles 26 Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy West London CCG Page 31 These design principles will have a different effect across the CCGs in North West London. In West London, , three major elements will be delivered to support transformed out of hospital care: interoperability to enable joined-up and co-ordinated care provision; developing our 111 service into a telemedicine service (or an alternative solution); using informatics to improve patient access. Each of these systems and approaches are expanded upon below. 5.2.1 Interoperability to enable joined-up and co-ordinated care provision This is about using information technology to enable joined-up and co-ordinated care. This will mean developing an integrated, shared, electronic health record across the CCG to deliver high quality clinical information safely, where and when it is needed and in a way that demonstrates effective information governance Integration can only be achieved if we transform the way in which we share relevant care information between settings and providers. There is a clear goal of developing an integrated, shared electronic care record across the CCG that delivers high quality clinical information where and when it is needed, subject to appropriate information governance, enabling a “whole system” approach. Future architecture will allow GP practices, hubs and the 111 service to share patient information seamlessly and confidentially, ensuring that services can be co-ordinated around the patient. Patients will benefit from better information being available to support the clinical decisions being taken about their care with faster communication and turn-round times. It will also help improve staff working lives, improve resource utilisation and potentially save costs by avoiding unnecessary tasks such as telephoning and faxing providers for information that has not yet been received; and better information for management and governance. Most importantly, patients will receive better care because clinicians will be better informed about their conditions. [ Phase 1 - GP to GP information, data sharing and systems GP systems are largely fit for purpose to facilitate more integrated out of hospital care and as such they will remain in use for the foreseeable future. The focus on GP systems is therefore on ensuring that practices use them in the most effective and efficient way to deliver care to patients; and on supporting practices when changes are required, for example new pathways or protocols, or reporting requirements. Alongside this GP systems will continue to be integrated with central NHS systems, including: o Choose and Book: where the CCG will work with practices and local providers to improve the rate of electronic referrals. Page 32 o E-Referrals: Procurement for a new e-Referrals system to replace C&B is in progress, implementation of which is due to start in 2014. o GP2GP: A central facility which supports patients who move from one practice to another by transferring their records electronically between GP systems. Plans to address some limitations are in progress. o Electronic Prescription Service (EPS2): Initial work, such as ensuring that pharmacies have the required network connections and nhs.net access will be carried out as a prelude to fuller planning on ESP2. GPs also use additional local systems which are not integrated with their systems and these will be improved: o The WLCCG Extranet: a repository for information used by GPs - for example pathway and protocol documentation and standard referral forms. o The North-West London GP Portal: operated by the CSU - this gives access to a variety of clinical data. o Risk stratification tools: risk stratification is fundamental to the strategic goal of driving care to the patients by whom it is most needed. It is likely that future systems (potentially aligned with care data) will be more closely integrated with GP systems, further increasing the focus on data quality. Currently the BIRT2 tool is being rolled out to GPs from the CSU although this is fed by extracted SUS data rather than directly from GP systems. In the longer term it is expected that GP systems will evolve from their current functions of record keeping and communicating, to give greater support to clinical decision-making. Examples of “intelligent” decision support tools already available include pathway selection (e.g. Map of Medicine or NICE) Phase 2: GP to core out-of-hospital services data WLCCG’s overall aim is to drive towards an integrated, shared electronic health record across West London that delivers high quality clinical information where and when it is needed to deliver care, subject to appropriate information governance, enabling a “whole system” approach. The information to be shared includes the following: o Interoperability to shared care plans and information: Interoperability and brokering technology will information in the GP record that may be useful to a clinician in another care setting, e.g. an out of hours doctor or in the Urgent Care Centre, e.g. an out of hours doctor or in the Urgent Care Centre, such as those held as part of the Integrated Care Pathway. In some cases where the GP system may be extended into out-of-hospital services further expand the scope of requesting tasks and establishing automated workflows between partners. This would also include information about the patient’s preferred end-of-life option, recorded in the Co-ordinate My Care system. o Clinical Correspondence from providers: sent to GPs to inform them about episodes of care: a typical example is a discharge letter when a patient leaves hospital. Correspondence received by GPs spans acute hospitals, community healthcare and mental health, out of hours and 111 services, urgent care and walk-in centres and social services, plus potentially other organisations that may emerge under the Any Qualified Provider principle. This will also need to be joined up with the role of care co-ordinators. o Diagnostic Cloud information: the results of pathology or radiology investigations requested by the GP or performed during an acute hospital episode. o Shared Clinical Records: information in the GP record that may be useful to a clinician in another care setting, e.g. an out of hours doctor or in the Urgent Care Centre, e.g. an out of hours doctor or in the Urgent Care Centre, such as those held as part of the Integrated Care Pathway. This would also include information Page 33 about the patient’s preferred end-of-life option, recorded in the Co-ordinate My Care system. Phase 3: Whole-systems information sharing Sharing information across health and social care systems to ensure patients receive coordinated, integrated care will require two major changes: o Interoperability between health and social care: This will be extension of the interoperability architecture required for sharing information between Healthcare providers. Historically information sharing between health and social care has been limited and fragmented. There are some key enablers through the better care fund that will support the foundations for sharing including the adoption of the NHS number as the universal identifier. Care-place system for social care will also offer real options to share sensibly data between health and social. o Whole-system Integrated Care - data warehouse: The proposal for a partnership data warehouse for WSIC that will develop, mobilise, manage and delivery integrated care for the future. Data from various health and social care providers will be collected, assembled and linked to provide valuable information to determine population & outcomes, contracting and financial planning and actively support the delivery and monitoring of integrated care. Phase 4: Sharing information with patients and service-users WL CCG will work with partners to consider approaches to actively sharing information with patients and service-users that achieve the following outcomes: o Accessible and convenient: Accessible and convenient care through online booking services. o Improve service utilisation: Improve service utilisation using reminders and alerts. o Empower patients through access to timely, relevant information: Empower patients through access to timely, relevant information about their care and support with self-management. 5.2.2 Developing our 111 service The use of 111 is a single point of access to the health system is a real opportunity for helping to transform out of hospital care. Without IT integration 111’s ability to deliver to its full potential will be limited. The policy direction for 111 indicates two potential future developments: the development of direct booking from 111 into other services, and the 111 service having access to patient records. Special Patient Notes and Co-ordinate My Care are already accessible by the 111 service, and in the future there is potential for the service (and the GP out of hours service) to have access to the patient’s GP record (with appropriate information governance protocols in place). This would inform the decision-making of 111 and GP out of hours clinicians and support the appropriate direction of patients around the urgent care system. The implementation of direct booking from 111 into other services, such as Urgent Care Centres, primary care core hours or weekend opening service, or community services, would enhance the patient journey through the urgent care system and would reduce the need for duplication and hand-offs. 5.2.3 Using informatics to improve patient access and engagement Patient and public engagement is at the centre of Out of Hospital implementation, it is vital that patients are fully involved. Communication with patients about the services they receive from GPs and other out of hospital providers, and the provision of health information in Page 34 general is currently achieved through a number of channels. The main electronic means of communication include information websites and health portals operated by GP practices, the CCG, providers and the Department of Health. These are perceived as adequate, but in future patients will expect much greater capabilities from digital channels. Expected developments might include the following: o Social media communication channels o Health information portals, both public and private – including potentially dashboards ranking the performance of various healthcare providers o Technology that makes it easier for patients to self-manage, particularly for long-term conditions o Greater use of mobile technologies such as smartphone apps, to help patients gain a greater understanding of their own conditions, particularly younger patients o Consultation on proposed changes to local and national healthcare delivery, for example service reconfigurations o Feedback channels to allow patients to comment on the quality of service they have received from the healthcare system (note: GPs will be measured using the Friends & Family criteria already applied to acute care – “would you be happy for your friends and family to receive care in this organisation?” by the end of 2014/15). In addition patients are able to feedback at practice level through their Patient Participation Groups and patient experience feedback forms at practice level. The following table further outlines how this will happen: Our Commitment How we will deliver Patients will be involved Ensure patient representation on key committees and decision making bodies, including the Governing Body Work with Healthwatch and other key partners to ensure a board range of patients and public are consulted with Patients will be Be pro-active in explaining service change and outlined informed reasons for change through regular updates Use of clear concise language and work with partners to ensure a consistent message Shaping services Use national and locally collected patient experience data to inform decision making Commission services with evidence of listening to patient and public views Pro-active engagement to enable input into existing and future plans Feedback Explain how patient and public input has informed decision making. Demonstrate how services have reacted to patient and public feedback 5.3 Implications for our estate 5.3.1 The need for estate transformation in West London Page 35 West London’s new model of out of hospital care is being driven by both the need to meet rising demand and the need to ensure a financially sustainable health system. It reshapes the local health and care system to ensure these challenges can be met. The top down QIPP savings which WL CCG must meet in order to deliver a balanced health economy by 17/18, and the bottom up objectives for WL CCG’s new model of care, lead to a desired volume of activity to be delivered in an out of hospital setting in the future. This has implications for the capacity and configuration of the local out of hospital estate and transformation of the estate will be required. The amount of activity likely to move out of the acute sector (or be re-provided in an alternative way in an out of hospital setting) represents around a 25% increase in demand. This is a combination of demographic pressures (more people), non-demographic pressures (people using existing services more), and new OOH activity pressures (services being redesigned to move activity away from an acute setting. The amount of activity delivered by primary and community care providers will need to increase significantly for there to be an associated reduction in the volume of care delivered in acute settings. The way in which this care is provided will also need to change to ensure care is more accessible, proactive and coordinated which implies the need for physical space capable of delivering this model of care. An increase in the volume of care being delivered in out of hospital settings will have two major implications for the local estate infrastructure: Pressure on existing estate as GPs have to manage a greater volume of activity and ensure the buildings they deliver care from are well utilised, and meet required standards (which some currently do not). Pressure for additional estate to accommodate the increase in the volume of care delivered in out of hospital settings, and the delivery of more specialist care locally. West London’s new model of care also requires local estate infrastructure that is high quality, offers good patient access, supports patient centred care, enables proactive and coordinated working and facilitates whole systems integrated care and the realisation of the benefits of collocation. In West London’s new model, the response to these requirements is to appropriately (re)develop the existing GP estate, and to manage remaining requirements through the development of locality hubs. These hubs will: Manage the increased demand that cannot be met by the existing GP estate. Provide an appropriate and flexible base from which those delivering services key to the new model can work - e.g. care navigators and case managers Provide space for equipment and services moving into out of hospital settings - e.g. diagnostic equipment, space for consultant clinics, space for planned care procedures, accessible space for patient and carer education and self-care support programmes. Hubs will help localise and integrate the most common services people need for everyday illnesses providing the additional capacity needed to deliver out of hospital care and enabling a shift away from the acute sector. A service specification has been identified based on the Whole Systems Integrated Care model and Service Delivery Plan. A draft service specification for the proposed Hubs can be found in appendix 2. The list of services to be delivered by hubs has been developed through engagement with the Senior Management Team and is supported by detailed pathway redesign plans, Commissioning Intentions and strategies. So in our new model, our estate will be configured in the following way: Figure 11: Estate configuration Page 36 Without estate transformation in West London, it will be extremely difficult to deliver a successful model of out of hospital care. With estate transformation we believe we can achieve the following objectives: Deliver a greater volume of care in out of hospital settings: through a well utilised, high quality GP estate and the development of locality-based hubs. Achieve whole systems integrated care: health and care professionals working together with access to appropriate shared space from which to plan and deliver integrated, patient centred care. Deliver accessible care: better access to primary care, with facilities open at appropriate times and well utilised across networks. This will support seven-day services in health and social care, support patient discharge and prevent unnecessary admissions at weekends Deliver proactive care: simple procedures and planned care services including diagnostics and testing available out of hospital in hubs. Deliver coordinated care: a joint approach to assessment and care planning with the involvement of relevant professionals and a real role for patients. Key points: Estate transformation is being driven by The need to increase capacity to meet the anticipated 25-30% increase in demand for out of hospital care - our current estate does not have sufficient space or capacity to accommodate the anticipated levels of increased activity. The need to deliver West London’s new model of out of hospital care – the new model is not just about delivering more care in out of hospital settings, it is also about delivering care differently. A ‘lift and shift’ of activity away from the acute sector, will not enable us to adequately respond to the pressures on the system. We need estate within which we can collocate services to facilitate whole-systems integrated care The need to improve the quality of the GP estate in some areas in order to meet standards - we need to ensure our estate is of sufficient quality - and it is currently of poor quality in places. Our estate needs to conform to CQC and NHS England Page 37 expectations around the safety and suitability of premises and the quality of provision. 5.3.2 The principles underpinning estate transformation In the Out of Hospital Delivery Plan we noted the impact of OOH delivery will be felt at two levels in West London: GP practices, as GPs deliver more care in their practice on behalf of themselves and their network. Hubs (one in the north locality and one in the south locality), as services are centralised locally to deliver more specialist care and we need convenient locations to deliver this. We also agreed we would transform our estate so it meets future requirements by firstly improving the utilisation of the existing estate and secondly effectively targeting strategic investment in new estate. In some cases local estate may be enhanced, moved or rebuilt, but for this to be considered a viable option the estate in question must meet our estate requirements, be able to meet standards and facilitate delivery of our new model of care. Investment in new estate will be considered where suitable existing premises cannot be identified. To guide the estate transformation process we have developed a set of strategic criteria against which all estates options will be assessed. These criteria will guide the estates investment strategy over the medium term and ensure: investment plans meet a minimum threshold; investment plans are prioritised appropriately, and; expectations of out of hospital providers are consistently articulated across the NHS NWL landscape. The criteria have been developed in conjunction with the Collaboration Board and were signed off on 12th December (full details of the criteria are in appendix 3). The strategic criteria that will be applied are summarised below. 1 Threshold criteria Proposed criteria Commitment to space utilisation: Plans for estate make maximum use of spare capacity, and additional investment is only considered when all spare space is used. Affordability and value for money: Plans are affordable, with funding available from suitable sources. minimum threshold, ensuring sufficient patient through-put. Condition of estate: Estate meets, or can be improved to meet, minimum condition and access standards. Scope for expansion: Proposed estate can accommodate new services. 2 Prioritisation criteria Meeting local needs (hubs only): Catchment area meets Commitment to space utilisation: Plans with flexible estates solutions are prioritised, including rooms that are multifunctional and can be re-purposed Condition of estate: Plans that improve the overall suitability of the borough estate, by reducing the number of premises not meeting requirements are prioritised Affordability and value for money: Plans are prioritised based on their value for money Meeting local needs : Plans with more accessible premises (e.g., proximity to public transport) are prioritised. Meeting local needs : Plans affecting larger populations are prioritised Achieving our OOH strategy: Plans that make a larger contribution to the delivery of the OOH strategy will be prioritised. 3 Expectations of service providers Meeting local needs : Areas with higher levels of deprivation are prioritised Commitment to space utilisation: Providers commit to full space utilisation, including maintaining use of space and sharing rooms where appropriate Alignment with OOH strategy: Providers commit to integrated ways of working, including shared systems, network working, integration with other services, and inter-referral. Alignment with OOH strategy: Providers commit to relevant access / opening hours expectations, including telephone/virtual access to consultations and extended opening hours. Page 38 Figure 12: Strategic criteria guiding estates development The next step is to develop detailed estate plans. In transforming our estate we have agreed the following actions are a priority: Finding a home for additional out of hospital activity and integrating the delivery of services (wherever it makes sense to do so). Moving GP’s providing high quality services, into high quality premises. Managing the impact of moving or dispersing patient lists belonging to GP practices delivering a poor quality service. Demonstrating the benefits of collocation to whole-systems integrated care. Final decisions about the transformation of the existing GP estate are yet to be made. Decisions about the development of hub estate are being made by WL CCG and NHS England who are working together to agree the final programme of work with decisions based on the availability of capital and alternative estate locally. We cannot predict the exact amount of estate we will need over the next decade to deliver our new model of care, but we can apply rigorous modelling techniques to existing data and estimates of predicted activity, to understand how significant our estate transformation needs are and what might be the most appropriate way to meet these needs. 5.3.3 Approach to activity and estates modelling Building on the Out of Hospital Delivery Strategy, a process is being undertaken to model the type and volume of activity that WL CCG will take out of hospital settings over the next 5 years. In the new model care, activity will be distributed between settings in a different way with each setting in the new model being apportioned a certain volume of activity until the predicted 25-30% increase in demand is accommodated. Our approach to activity and estates modelling is shown in figure 13 below: Figure 13: Activity and estates methodology Page 39 Case for change and new model of care - activity moving into OOH settings Activity modelling distribution of activity between 4 OOH settings (by 17/18) Estates modelling – analysing the existing estate and developing estate plans and hub pipeline Total space required > existing estate baseline Apply Threshold criteria > long list of potential hub sites Apply Prioritisation criteria > Hub Pipeline and £ implications Hubs Assumption: 15-20% GP volume into hubs Total space required > existing estate baseline 25-30% increase in demand Increase in activity: GP & Network and Hub settings Condition and utilisation analysis Estate plans: As Is; Refurbish; Reprovide; Collocate GP Practices and Networks Clinicians and officers from across WL CCG and NHS NW London have been engaged in the process shown above. In particular, stakeholder involvement has been necessary in the development of the key assumptions which has been applied in the activity and estates modelling. The assumptions help ensure the modelling accurately reflects the local environment and WL CCG new model of out of hospital care. Whilst all NWL CCGs are moving in a consistent direction to support the Shaping a Healthier Future agenda, we need to incorporate local demographics and initiatives into the modelling to ensure assumptions within specific OOH service areas match the reality of WL CCG’s approach. The key assumptions for West London are summarised below: Page 40 Figure 14: Key assumptions WL CCG Service Assumption Value TOTAL GIA (North and South locality) GIA (Primary Care) List size 12/13 GP appts per patient per annum PC Nursing/AHP appts per patient per annum 4,124 2,088 226,419 4.4 2.9 % GP practice to go into hub setting 20% % network activity to be done in a hub 50% % GP core &Ext/nursing activity in hubs 0% Out of hours activity - % out of hours activity in hubs 0% GIA 12/13 SUS baseline activity 464 153,150 CCG QIPP baseline activity FAM baseline activity OP 165,977 Reduction from referral management 7% Reduction from FA:FU ratio improvement 0% Activity reduction (ICP) 0% OP activity to be re-provisioned 54,562 % requiring high level of diagnostics 50% % low diagnostic OP activity in hubs 100% % high diagnostic OP activity in hubs 100% GIA Number of GPs Minor surgery - 58 137 % of GPs performing minor surgical procedures 25% % of msps in hubs 60% Day case minor surgery activity 2012/13 14,142 % of day case in PC setting 0% % of day cases in hubs 100% Page 41 Service Mental health Reactive intervention Proactive intervention Integrated nursing Assumption Value GIA 116 Community Mental Health contacts 12/13 5,531 Assumed shift to primary care 50% % shifting settings activity in hubs 80% IAPT 12/13 Population Demographic 20,604 % IAPT activity in hubs 50% Memory service activity 12/13 1,474 Scaling factor to include other dementia services 0% % memory service activity in hubs 100% Community - 1ST CAMHS - Community - FUP CAMHS - % CAMHS activity in hubs 0% GIA - Total 17/18 reactive intervention wtes - % reactive interventions wtes office based 0% GIA 296 17/18 LA/H&WB headcount 313 Total specialist nurse WTEs 75 Total district nurse WTEs - Total school nurse WTEs - CCG specific activity 1 Rehab GIA 46 CCG specific activity 2 Physio GIA 46 CCG specific activity 3 AHP GIA 139 CCG specific activity 4 Other (CCG specific) - GIA Teach/Education GIA 418 CCG specific activity 5 Pharmacy GIA 139 CCG specific activity 6 Dentist GIA - CCG specific activity 7 blank7 GIA - CCG specific activity 8 blank8 GIA - Page 42 Figure 15 below summarises the activity modelling for West London. It shows how we expect the volume of out of hospital activity to change and the distribution of this activity across each out of hospital setting by 2017/18. In our modelling a significant proportion of out of hospital activity is delivered by new hub settings by 2017/18. The activity assumptions underpinning this rich picture, also underpin our estates analysis. Figure 15: Volume of out of hospital activity and distribution across out of hospital settings NOW + FUTURE (17/18) + + + OUTPATIENT + Pathway Redesign Outpatient reprovision PRIMARY CARE Pathway redesign to bring outpatients into primary care along with outpatient reprovision in out of hospital setting Hub based GP practices 270,000 LIST Networked Services PROACTIVE - ICP Existing GP practices Early Discharge Rapid Response INTEGRATED Reactive intervention including Rapid Response, Intermediate Care, Step up/down, Early Discharge teams, NURSING Proactive appointments Care Planning Proactive appointments MDTs Case Management base Proactive interventions including Care Planning, Case Management, LTC/ ACSCs, Falls prevention, Risk Stratification, MDT meetings and Integrated Care REACTIVE INTERVENTIONS Core/Extended Primary Care including LES/DES/LIS services & Practice Nursing. Some practices (~20% to be relocated into hubs), and some services to be shared across networks. Self Care Care Planning Rapid Response Intermediate Care (Specialist Nursing) (Practice Nursing) (District Nursing) COMMUNITY Integrated nursing, combining and growing nursing role beyond practice/district/specialist/rapid response % Physio % Therapies % Podiatry Involved in MDTs AHPs such as Physio, Therapies, Podiatry to be bought into MDTs for LTC and proactive care. Some community based services relocated into hub settings MH Services remain in community setting Shifting settings of care brings some MH patients back into primary care setting (with GP or PCLN). Also more access to IAPT via hubs/networks. Shifting Settings, IAPT IAPT Shifting Settings, IAPT The local estate requires sufficient and suitable space at each setting to accommodate this activity. It is recognised that additional out of hospital activity might require additional space so, given the lead in time for estate development, an early focus is being given to the estimation of future space requirements. In this document, we concentrate on ascertaining the space requirements for GP practices and Hubs. Detailed estates modelling has then been undertaken to generate activity estimates which are then translated into space requirements. A number of assumptions were developed and signed off by NHS PS to support estates space modelling, including: Page 43 Standard rooms sizes for a variety of rooms types, based on Department of Health guidance; Scaling factors to add an appropriate amount of supporting space (reception and waiting areas etc.) to the different treatment/workforce room types; A scaling factor of 1.45 to convert net internal areas into gross internal areas (including engineering, communications and circulation); Appointment lengths for different service types to enable the “throughput” of a given space to be estimated; and Guideline targets of 80% utilisation during core hours (weekdays 9-5) and 50% during extended hours (weekdays 8-9 & 5-8, weekends 9-5), which translate into an expected 76 hours of patient treatment time per room per week. This work has been completed as two separate workstreams with one workstream evaluating the GP estate and the other, hub estates. The existing GP estate has been examined to determine how much (if any) of the additional activity this estate can absorb. The modelling activity in this stream support the development of conclusions about the way in which existing estate might be used or upgraded. In a parallel workstream, we have been modelling hub estate requirements to ascertain whether there is existing NHS estate that can meet this requirement, whether additional hub space is required and at which potential sites we might develop hub space. A key aim of the Out of Hospital Strategy is to bring Better Care, Closer to home, so the space estimates for hubs have been split into locality requirements based on population size and the prevalent care needs in each locality. This will also help ensure that Hubs are provided at a scale appropriate to each locality. The activity and estates modelling will interrogate the suitability of the two proposed site. By the end of this process, we will have a detailed understanding of the proposals for the existing GP estate and the pipeline for the proposed hub estate. Current proposals to develop a hub in St Mary’s will likely to have implications for the north locality hub. The proximity of the proposed north hubs to St Marys means there is a potential for overlapping catchment areas, and a significant price differential for the delivery of similar services. The service specification for St Mary and the activity volumes which will be estimates based on the outputs of the activity modelling being undertaken across the OOH Hub Programme will have to be considered within the context of the north locality hubs in West London CCG. Work is ongoing to understand the St Mary’s hub requirements. The next step will be to produce a PID and Outline Business Case for each of these sites. This process will include more detailed analysis (of financial affordability and accessibility) and the development of service specifications that are relevant to local needs and can demonstrate a beneficial model of care. Page 44 6. Existing estate evaluation – West London 6.1. The need to examine the existing estate The existing GP estate has been examined to determine how much (if any) of the additional activity this estate can absorb. This leads to conclusions about the way in which existing estate might be used or upgraded. It also helps us understand if (and if so where) additional estate is required – some of which could be provided by hubs. West London CCG has gathered estates data for publicly owned buildings (across the NHS, its providers and local authorities) across the CCG / borough area. This data covers the size, location and assessment of condition and utilisation for all existing clinical and office premises. There are 69 buildings in the estates baseline for CL CCG comprising: 54 GP practices; and 31 other properties.27 There are three main drivers behind the development of the local GP estate: The need to deliver West London’s new model of out of hospital care - enhanced out of hospital services delivered as Whole Systems Integrated Care; The need to meet increasing expectations of quality in primary care – patient expectations, NHS England expectations, CQC expectations, and; The need to improve the quality of GP estate, which is currently poor in some areas. The figure below expands upon each of these in turn. Figure16: Drivers of estates development Transformations needed to deliver OOH CCGs’ Out of Hospital Delivery Strategies are clear about the growing role for general practice in delivering both accessible and integrated care This includes national moves towards 7-day a week working and the changes required to deliver whole systems integrated care This will entail transformations in primary care, which can be supported by investment plans Increasing expectations of quality in primary care NHS England are planning to improve the quality of primary care in London through targeted interventions in the bottom 10% of practices This will be based on a combination of GPOS, estates, prescribing, complaints and other data After support has been provided, the process may end in the dispersal of poorly performing practices This means CCGs and NHSE need to manage this process Higher requirements of the quality of practice estate Where practices are housed in poor quality buildings, or buildings not accessible to disabled patients (DDA access), CQC may not register them This will result in NHS England terminating the practice contract, unless a solution can be found to rehouse the practice This means CCGs could work to support practices in poor buildings, if this supports the wider transformations they are seeking These drivers have four principal implications for the GP estate: 27 Including NHS, LA/PS, potential hub sites and other - health centres, head office and community provider owned estates, Page 45 Increased activity in out of hospital settings – creating the need for additional space which will need to be accommodated in existing and extended GP practices. Practices may be managed by NHS England for quality reasons – at which point a practice patient list and delivery activity may need to be re-distributed to existing and extended GP practices. In some cases the quality of the estate will fall below the standards expected therefore the condition of this estate will need to be improved. This will mean refurbishing some of the existing estate, creating a financial challenge (as opposed to a capacity challenge). In some cases improving the existing estate will not achieve our objectives or represent best value. This will mean we need to re-house practices in estate that cannot be improved in hubs or in new estate. 6.2 Approach to estates evaluation The process we have gone through has four key stages – estimating the additional volume of activity in primary care as a result of the new model of care, estimating the gross space requirement, quantifying the existing space available and estimating the new space needed. We are focusing on the use of existing space wherever possible and only when this is fully utilised, on increasing the capacity of the estate in West London. At this stage, we have focused on ensuring there is capacity for OOH services and that the estate is fit-for-purpose, as the quality expectations of NHS England are still being developed. In developing our plans we have adhered to the same principles as those used in the development of plans for hub estate - we will ensure that space is well used and configured in a way that supports the effective transformation of out of hospital care. We have also where relevant – applied the same assumptions as those used by the hub workstream for example opening hours, ways of working, GPs offering OOH services. The approach is outlined in Figure 17 below: Figure 17: Approach to estates evaluation Gross space requirement Volume • Additional OOH activity Practices in poor quality estate needing re-furbishment Practices in poor quality estate needing re-housing 6.3 Volume of OOH activity to be delivered in primary care Includes core primary care, minor surgery, integrated care, and MH • • • Practices surveyed as condition D (needing improvement) • Practices surveyed as condition CX or DX (necessary improvements not possible) • Existing space available Gross space requirement Assumptions about room size and utilisation consistent with hub development • • Current size of practices needing re-housing • N/A – space already exists Net space needed Spare capacity is based on current capacity below target utilisation rate Activity accommodated in spare capacity if possible • Activity that cannot be accommodated in existing estate • N/A • N/A • Hubs offer space for assumed number of practices Practices needing rehousing accommodated in hubs if possible • Activity that cannot be accommodated in existing estate • • Analysis of the existing estate in West London Page 46 The condition, capabilities and utilisation of the existing estate in West London is mixed, with surveys suggesting that some buildings do not each relevant standards, but also that there is some capacity for the existing estate to absorb increased demand and to deliver the CCG’s new model of care. The sections below outline the physical condition, accessibility, utilisation and scale of the non-acute estate in West London, compared with the relevant standards. It is split into primary care estate (for delivery of GP services) and all other out of hospital estate. 6.3.1 Standards for estate The expectations of our estate are based on ensuring that we have fit-for-purpose buildings that are well utilised, in line with our standards of care and expectations of development across out of hospital care. This means: Buildings must be of an acceptable physical condition. Buildings must offer acceptable accessibility, especially for disabled patients. Buildings must be well-utilised, defined at being occupied 80% of the time during core hours and 50% of the time during non-core hours (evenings and weekends). 6.3.2 Condition of existing GP estate Physical condition We have surveyed 44 of the 54 practices in West London for condition. Extrapolating to all the practices in West London, we estimate 28–49 have a physical condition rating of A, B or C. Approximately 2–7 are rated D (unacceptable), meaning they require refurbishment. In addition, 3–19 are rated CX or DX, meaning improvement of the current building is not possible; these practices need re-building or re-housing elsewhere. This means that due to their condition, 2–7 practices may need re-furbishing, and 3–19 may need re-housing. Accessibility We have surveyed 18 of the 54 practices in West London for accessibility. Extrapolating to all the practices in West London, we estimate 36–47 have a rating of A, B or C for accessibility. Between 1 and 4 are rated D (unacceptable), meaning they require adaptations; in addition, 6–14 are rated CX or DX, requiring re-building or re-housing elsewhere. This means that due to their accessibility, 1–4 practices may need adaptations and improvements, and 6–14 may need re-housing. Utilisation Across West London, utilisation of the primary care estate is good, averaging 58% (compared with a North West London average of 55%). However, this is below the target utilisation of 66% (80% during core hours and 50% during extended hours). This suggests that additional capacity may be released if practices improve their utilisation. Page 47 6.3.3 Other out of hospital estate The non-GP estate in West London includes health centres, hospital sites, local authority sites and other clinics. Physical condition We have surveyed 15 of the 31 buildings in West London for condition. All 15 had a condition rating of A, B or C, meaning all are suitable for delivering some out of hospital services. These are not necessarily hub sites: this is discussed further below. Accessibility We have surveyed three of the buildings in West London for accessibility. These are all rated DX, meaning it requires significant re-building. Utilisation Across West London, utilisation of the estate is good, averaging 57% (compared with a North West London average of 55%). However, the estate does fall below the target utilisation of 66% (80% during core hours and 50% during extended hours). This suggests that additional capacity may be released if buildings improve their utilisation. 6.4 Absorbing out of hospital activity in primary care As described above, GP estate in West London will need development in order to support the delivery of transformed care. Our plans for out of hospital care suggest that up to 420,000 appointments will be moved into primary care and networks over the next five years (excluding activity moved to hubs). The additional volume from new services may mean that up to 2,700 m2 of space may be required across West London. Based on the utilisation assumptions outlined above, our analysis of the current GP estate suggests there is approximately 1,500 m2 of spare capacity across West London that could be released if primary care operated the level of utilisation expected across North West London. This would accommodate most OOH activity. There is a remaining requirement for 1,200 m2 to be developed, which will form the basis of further planning for the non-hub estate. Page 48 Figure 18: Approach to estates evaluation Space required, ‘000 m2 1 420k OOH appts in primary care1 2,700 m2 2.7 2 Capacity from improved utilisation2 1,500 m2 3 Additional space needed for OOH 1,200 m2 1.5 1.2 Space requirement for OOH care Spare GP capacity Space requirement for re-housing / rebuilding existing practices Source: S&T analysis. SSDP activity model, NWL estates surveys 1 GP element of assumed OOH activity (primarily integrated care services), which is split between GPs and hubs. 2 Space within a locality available for OOH activity if utilisation increases to 80% during core hours and 50% during non-core hours 6.5 Improving the condition of general practice estate In developing the estate, we are focusing on the estate that is not of adequate condition or accessibility; the quality of individual practitioners is the domain of NHS England. As described above, we have a number of practices that require re-housing or re-building. This means we need to re-provide space for 8–12 practices, or 1,000–1,500 m2.28 This will replace existing, poor quality, estate. In addition, 2–4 practices (200–500 m2) will been refurbishing or adapting to meet standards. In addition, our plans for hubs include 1,300 m2 of space for practices to move in, which will be able to accommodate some of those practices currently in premises that do not meet estates standards. These practices will be able to work within a holistic health and care facility, and benefit from co-location with experts and supporting equipment. Initial estimates suggest that 5–8 of the practices needing re-housing may be close enough to a hub to consider using it, meaning we may be able to use 600–1,000 m2 for such practices. Accommodating the remaining activity will require expansion of key, strategic practices and other buildings. We will invest in these to re-provide 400–600 m2 across West London. In addition, 200–500 m2 will need to be refurbished or changed to meet standards. The approximate implications of this are outlined below, but will be subject to more detailed business case development for each site. 28 Based on practices moving to the same size as expected of practices in hubs, with 30 m2 per 1,000 list size. Page 49 Figure 19: Space requirement in West London Space required, ‘000 m2 1 8–12 practices need re-housing / re-building 1,000 – 1,500 m2 2 Hub space for rehousing1 600 – 1,000 m2 5 Additional space needed 400 – 600 m2 2–4 practices need refurbishing 200 – 500 m2 0.6 – 1.0 1.0 – 1.5 Space requirement for re-housing / rebuilding existing practices Hub capacity for re-housing 0.4 – 0.6 0.2 – 0.5 Additional space needed Space needing re-furbishing Source: S&T analysis. SSDP activity model, NWL estates surveys 1 Space available near practices needing re-housing The estates analysis has implications for wider NHS England investment in the primary care estate, both for GP practices and hubs. Significant investment is necessary to bring the premises in West London that need improvement up to a suitable standard and the NHS in NW London has committed to capital investment. Some of this investment will be considered in business cases for hubs, but wider investment in the GP estate will be addressed through the primary care development work within the Shaping a healthier future programme. In addition some consolidation will be necessary with the aim of delivering, over time, fewer higher quality practice sites in higher quality premises. Some of this can be achieved by the development of out of hospital hubs which provide an opportunity for improved premises and consolidation. Further analysis will develop these plans further, to show how we can maximise the benefit of estate changes through co-location and other new ways of working. However, all estate that receives investment or development will adhere to the same ways of working as all other providers. This means: Integrated ways of working, including shared systems, network working, integration with other services, and inter-referral. Provision of relevant access and opening hours, including telephone/virtual access to consultations and extended opening hours. * An updated capital estimate is being prepared Refurbishment or re-building of practices may also have revenue implications; where practices move or have their estate refurbished there is the potential for rent increases, which could also impact rent reimbursement arrangements. The financial implications will need to be calculated on a practice-by-practice basis; however, we have agreed with NHS England that this rent reimbursement may be jointly funded. NHS England will retain responsibility for rental increases associated with bringing buildings up to the minimum statutory standards. CCGs may need to contribute where their decisions about practice moves (e.g., co-locations in a hub) create additional rental pressures. To minimise the impact on NHS England, we will seek to ensure space is fully used and shared between providers. Where there is a significant impact, this will be discussed on a case-by-case basis with NHS England to agree an equitable settlement. Page 50 In the coming months, these plans will be developed further, with detailed analysis of the requirements within each locality to provide an understanding of which practice could be colocated, which can be re-housed, which need re-furbishing and which might move to hubs. Page 51 7. Hub space requirements – West London The process that we have gone through to develop detailed estate plans for the hubs has been developed working closely with NHS Property Services and WL CCG officers and Executive Management Team. The assumptions implicit in the process are: o o o There will be one hub per locality unless the activity analysis suggests another approach is sensible Existing sites will be utilised before building any new sites NHS property will be prioritised above other public sector or commercial properties 7.1 Activity modelling To estimate the scale of future activity in hubs, assumptions have been made for each service likely to be delivered in or from a hub. These assumptions are underpinned by data on existing and planned arrangements for care delivery. The following were identified through discussion with the CCG as providing significant activity or space requirements for out of hospital care and in particular hubs: Figure 20: Activity modelling, key service categories Themes to model Information required Outpatient Re-provision Top Down and Bottom Up QIPP plans for the volume of Outpatient activity to move to community setting Primary Care Primary Care Estates strategy: % of premises to receive investment, % of estates to move to hubs Minor Surgery Clarification on levels of Minor Surgery to be provided in hub setting and likely volumes Proactive Integrated Teams Current activity levels and the future vision of the following: Putting Patients First, Case Management, ACSC conditions, Falls Prevention, Whole Systems Reactive Integrated Teams Current activity levels and the future vision of the following: Rapid Response, Intermediate Care beds, Early Discharge, Rehabilitation & Re-ablement Mental health – shifting settings of care % of activity likely to move from Community Health Care into Primary Care, Dementia pathways, current mental health estates strategy. Moving existing Community Services e.g. Physiotherapy, OT, to be co-located, or based in more suitable premises Moving existing Mental Health Services e.g. CAHMS to be co-located, or based in more suitable premises Training & Education Total activity expected (i.e. user of rooms) and distribution across Hubs. Potential to share space. Community voluntary services e.g. Open Age, WAND, Living Well Commercial space e.g. Pharmacy Local Authority Shared working space as part of Integrated working Page 52 Activity is driven by GP appointments, outpatient appointments and community services (long term conditions and elderly care) in particular. Many services are assumed to be equally distributed across the CCG, although some localities have a specific focus because of their commissioning arrangements or prevalence data. A summary of the methodology for activity modelling can be found in appendix 4. The figure below summarises the volume of activity to be delivered within or from hubs broken down by service and locality. The change in the volume of activity from the current 2013/14 baseline is also shown. Figure 21: OOH Activity Split for Hubs and Localities WEST LONDON - ACTIVITY (List size: 226,419) Activity moving into Hub Type 17/18 activity North South Total Hub 245,000 178,000 423,000 Primary care appts 1,841,000 Outpatients appts 55,000 26,000 29,000 55,000 Minor surgery procs 3,000 1,000 1,000 2,000 Mental health appts 20,000 7,000 5,000 12,000 Reactive intervention 0 0 0 0 Proactive intervention 0 0 0 0 Integrated nursing 0 0 0 0 Diagnostics 0 0 0 0 Additional (CCG specific) 0 0 0 0 2,121,000 352,000 254,000 605,000 * The additional activity category includes rehabilitation teams, rehab teams, pharmacy and space for teaching/education 7.2 Hub space requirements It is expected that hubs will need to provide space for both community services and primary care (GP) services. We have therefore incorporated these space requirements into our analysis acknowledging that some of the GPs moving into hubs will be moving from another practice elsewhere in the borough. Data on the activity and workforce requirements in each locality has been translated into a space requirement in terms of the gross internal floor area (GIFA m2) that we estimate will be required. Detailed of the methodology for translating activity into space requirement are included in appendix 5. Assumptions are derived from estimated appointment numbers based on the total West London list size as we will not know until the latter stages of this process, which surgeries will be moving into hubs. Similarly, assumptions about the total space community services will Page 53 require in hubs is based on both services currently delivered and new services, and may require in some instances that community services to move from another location in the borough to be more integrated in a hub. A key aim of the Out of Hospital Strategy is to bring Better Care, Closer to home, so the space estimates have been split into locality requirements based on population size and the prevalence of different care needs. This ensures that Hubs are provided at a scale appropriate to each locality. Figure 22: Hub activity and space requirement for West London CCG WEST LONDON - SPACE (GIA/m2) Activity moving into Hub Type North South Total m2 Total # rooms Primary care appts 1,211 877 2,088 36 Outpatients appts 218 246 464 8 Minor surgery procs 34 24 58 1 Mental health appts 65 51 116 5 Reactive intervention - - - - Proactive intervention 198 98 296 8 Integrated nursing 197 117 313 3 Diagnostics - - - 1 Additional (CCG specific) 467 322 789 2,389 1,735 4,124 13 75 As a result, it is estimated that in total, West London CCG will require approximately 4,124m2 of space for hub services across localities in West London (including GP and existing community provided services). The next section will focus on these Hub space requirements, considering how any underutilised space in existing Health Centres may be better used and evaluating the range of possible sites for the additional Hub space required. Key points: Taking a range of plus or minus 10%, hub space of between 3,700 and 4,500 m2 is required across West London. Proportionally splitting the requirements (using population and prevalence data) results in space requirements in the region of 2,389m2 in the North Locality and 1,735m2 in the South Locality. When finding suitable estates that can accommodate this space, space estimates are used: 2,000-3,000m2 in the north locality and 1,4002,000m2 in the south locality. Page 54 8 Estates modelling This chapter describes the threshold and prioritisation criteria agreed by the NWL Collaboration Board to assess the relative merits of different options for hubs across the different localities. It describes how these criteria were applied to the options and the relative assessment of each option. As two hubs are required for the North and South locality of West London, the analysis for both hubs will be done and reported separately in this SSDP. 8.1 Application of threshold criteria The NWL Collaboration Board has agreed threshold and prioritisation criteria to support the selection of appropriate Hub sites. Firstly, sites must pass the minimum “threshold” criteria: A minimum size of 500m2 (gross internal floor area), based on an assessment of the minimum possible size of a Hub given the proposed model Sufficient evidence of out of hospital activity demand and patient catchment and Sufficient available or under-utilised space to accommodate the space requirements identified 8.1.1 Minimum size of 500m2 A review of the West London estates baseline revealed that, in the 10 of the estates in the North locality had a gross internal floor area (GIFA) of greater than 500 m2. To ensure that a wide range of existing and potential estates within the CCG were evaluated, pipeline developments within the 2017/18 timescales were also added to the long list. It should be noted that although capacity analysis is based on data from surveys, some of this is old data (from 2007) and therefore, NHS PS has in some cases made an assessment as to capacity and condition rating based on up to date working knowledge. Estates in the north and south locality which met the minimum size of 500m2 are listed below. Full details of properties considered in this assessment are in appendix 6. A number of pipeline estates were also considered for the north and south locality hubs. In theory, these estates could be considered candidates for the hub sites many of these would potentially meet the hub space requirement. However, all estates in the pipeline are in the order of 3-5 years away from completion which means they do not provide an imminent solution for the provision of out of hospital services. As such, none of the pipeline developments will be taken into the threshold criteria at this stage. The list of pipeline estates considered is also in appendix 6. Figure 23 – Long list of possible hub estate with GIFA >=500 m2 North locality Postcode Name W10 4LY Queen Park Health Centre – 3 GP practices W2 5EH Fluxman Harrow Road Health Centre W2 1NR West Two Health Centre Tenure GIFA (m2) CLCH F/H 842 n/a 945 Owned 802 Page 55 W11 1PA Colville Health Centre - 2 GP practices CLCH - LH > 500 W10 6PU Kingsbridge Road LDU* NHS PS FH 593 W10 6DZ St Charles Centre for Health and Wellbeing NHS PS - W10 6NX St Quintin Avenue Health Centre (includes North Kensington Medical Centre) W10 4RE Half Penny Steps Health Centre W10 6DL Princess Louise Nursing Home W9 3RN Flats A, B AND C 291 Harrow Road 19,487 FH NHS PS FH 545 501 n/a NHS PS 2577 NHS PS FH 621 South locality Postcode Name Tenure GIFA (m2) Part Leased 581 NHSPS Leased 550 SW5 9AD Earls Court Medical Centre W14 8HW Kensington Park Medical Centre SW5 0PT Earls Court Health and Wellbeing Centre NHS PS LH 728 SW7 4HJ Emperor’s Gate Health Centre NHS PS LH 810 SW3 5RR Violet Melchett Health Centre CLCH - LH 1848 SW10 0UD Worlds End Health Centre CLCH - FH 1073 The Abingdon Health Centre NHSPS Leased 643 SW10 9EL Chelsea Chambers CNWL 510* SW3 2EE Chelsea Town Hall LA n/a Niddry Lodge, Kensington Town Hall LA 1,971 New Marlborough School LA 3,000 W8 6EG W8 7NX SW3 3AP The expected future demand for each locality has been calculated and used to generate the size requirement for each locality hub. In the North locality, it is estimated that 2,0003,000m2 of space is required for hub activity. In the South locality, is estimated that a hub space of 1,400-2,000m2 is required. Estates that had met the minimum size criteria were then matched against the space requirements for each locality. Where estates did not currently meet the space requirement, we considered the potential for the estate to be expanded to meet the requirement. Estates that were considered to either currently meet the space requirement for the locality hub or that could potentially be expanded to meet the hub space were taken into the threshold criteria exercise. Page 56 Four estates each in the North and South were taken into the threshold criteria exercise: North locality potential hubs St Charles’ Centre for Health and Wellbeing Princess Louise Nursing Home Queens Park Health Centre St Quintin Avenue Health Centre South locality potential hubs Violet Melchett Health Centre Worlds End Health Centre Chelsea Town Hall Niddry Lodge, Kensington Town Hall New Marlborough School 8.1.2 Sufficient Demand The first threshold criteria assessed whether there was sufficient demand level in each locality to support the proposed development of a hub. The activity modelling is designed based on 80% utilisation in core hours and 40% utilisation in non-core hours as agreed with NHS Property Services. Sensitivity analysis data on the data shows that 10% less utilisation would translate into approximately 250m2 more space requirement. The activity modelling thus shows that there is sufficient activity in both the north and south locality to support a hub in each area. As such, all potential hub options will be considered to pass this criterion. 8.1.3 Commitment to space utilisation This criterion assesses where the proposed overall configuration fully makes use of all spare capacity across the CCG before committing to additional investment. To apply this criterion, we will be looking to prioritise NHS and LA estates over commercial properties. In the north locality, all four potential hub sites are owned either by NHS PS or CLCH and as such will all pass this criterion. In the south locality, all potential estates are either owned by CLCH or the local authority and as such would be considered to pass this criterion. 8.1.4 Condition of estate This criterion assesses whether the estate under consideration either meets or can be improved to meet minimum standard. Estates with a physical conditions rating below C (that is CX, D or DX) will be deemed to fail this criterion. In the north locality, none of the potential hub estates had a physical condition rating that was lower than a C and therefore all passed this criterion. Of the fiver estates in the south locality, two had ratings that were above a C and as such passed the criterion. The remaining three estates, Niddry Lodge, Chelsea Town hall and New Marlborough School did not have physical condition ratings allocated to them in the estates survey. Niddry Lodge has anecdotally been assigned a C rating based on the fact that the estate has recently been refurbished and will at the minimum have a C-grade rating. New Marlborough School will be a new development and will also be in good condition. Chelsea Town Hall has also been anecdotally assigned a C rating based on knowledge of the estate. On this basis, all estates in the south locality will be deemed to pass this criterion. Page 57 Figure 24 – Six facet ratings of short listed estates (north and south locality) North locality 6-FACET RATING Postcode W10 4LY W10 6DZ W10 6NX W10 6DL Name Tenure GIFA (m2) Queens Park Health Centre CLCH 842 – 3 GP F/H practices St Charles Centre for NHS PS 19487 Health and FH Wellbeing St Quintin Avenue Health Centre (includes NHS PS 545 North FH Kensington Medical Centre) Princess Louise NHS 2577 Nursing PS Home 1) Physical 2) Statutory 4) 6) Condition 3) Space 5) compliance Functional Environmental Rating utilisation Quality rating (H&S Suitability management (Fabric & rating rating / Fire) Rating rating M&E) Pass/Fail B B F B B B Pass B B U B B C Pass B B U C B C Pass B B F B B B Pass South locality 6 – FACET RATING Postcode SW3 5RR SW10 0UD SW3 2EE W8 7NX SW3 3AP Name Tenure Violet Melchett Health Centre Worlds End Health Centre Chelsea Town Hall Niddry Lodge, Kensington Town Hall New Marlborough School CLCH LH CLCH FH GIFA (m2) 1) Physical 2) Statutory 4) Condition 3) Space 5) 6) Environmental Pass/Fail compliance Functional Rating utilisation Quality management rating (H&S Suitability (Fabric & rating rating rating / Fire) Rating M&E) 1848 C B F B B C Pass 1073 B B F B B B Pass LA TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC Pass LA 1,971 n/a* n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Pass LA 3,000 LA 3,000 n/a n/a n/a Pass n/a 8.1.5 Scope for expansion Estates will be considered to pass this criterion if the estate being either currently or potentially capable of accommodating additional services either through expansion or improve utilisation. In the north locality, the St Quintin and Queens Park estates fall below the hub space requirement and will need to be expanded to meet the required space for a hub. Of the two, St Quintin is currently underutilised (based on space utilisation ratings) which means that a smaller amount of space will need to be built to meet this hub space. From the space utilisation ratings, Queens Park is fully utilised. However, as some of the services being delivered in the health centre will be delivered in the hub, this will also reduce the amount of additional space to be developed. Page 58 In the case of Princess Louise Nursing Home, whilst the estate falls within the required hub space, the space utilisation rating indicates the building is fully utilised. Freeing up space for the hub will involve re-commissioning of nursing home services which will be extremely difficult. As such, this property will be considered to fail on this criterion. To this end, three estates in the north locality will be taken into the prioritisation exercise: St Charles’ Centre for Health and Wellbeing Queens Park Health Centre St Quintin Avenue Health Centre In the south locality, three of the five estates currently meet the space requirement for hubs. The World’s End Health Centre has additional land space in the car park and can thus be expanded to increase the current size and meet the space requirement for the southern hub. The Chelsea Town Hall is a Grade 1/2 listed building and as such there might be limitations to the extent of structural changes that can be made to the building to support the delivery of modern medical services. The Chelsea Town Hall will consequently be considered to fail this criterion and will not be taken into the prioritisation exercise. Three estates in the south locality will be taken into the prioritisation exercise: Violet Melchett Health Centre Worlds End Health Centre Niddry Lodge, Kensington Town Hall New Marlborough School 8.2 Application of prioritisation criteria The NWL Collaboration Board also agreed “prioritisation criteria” to support the selection of appropriate Hub sites. The West London sites have been assessed against the prioritisation criteria (public transport accessibility and geographical proximity to areas of high population density and deprivation). Initial results indicate that two of the proposed hub sites in the south locality score highly and should be considered as suitable sites to enable the delivery of Better Care, Closer to Home. In the north locality, the St Charles Centre for Health and Well Being is emerging as the preferred site with St Quintin Health Centre site following closely as the 2nd option for a hub site. Below we show the results against the prioritisation criteria. Full details of the prioritisation exercise can be found in Appendix 7. 8.2.1 Achieving our Out of Hospital Strategy This criterion judges whether a site fits with the Out of Hospital Delivery. Estates where hub type services were such as GP services were currently being provided were scored more highly than others. All potential hubs scored positively on this criterion. In the north locality, St Charles scored the highest score (++) of the three potential sites as this estate currently provides services that are closest to what a hub will be expected to deliver. In the south locality, all sites except Niddry Lodge and New Marlborough School were given a ‘+’ score as they provide GP services. Niddry Lodge and New Marlborough School were given a neutral score as it is currently an office space that will need to be re-configured to deliver primary care services. 8.2.2 Value for money Page 59 This criterion judges whether the proposed capital and revenue expenditure on the proposed hub site are affordable to all parties affected (including providers, CCG and NHSE. Estates that required lower levels of investment were scored higher than those that required higher levels of investment to deliver hub services. Estimates for the cost of various levels of refurbishments and new builds were supplied by NHS Property Services and Turner and Townsend to support the quantification of estate investment required. In the north locality, both Queens Park Health Centre and St Quintin Avenue Health Centre would require higher investments to deliver hub services than St Charles Centre for Health and Wellbeing. In the south locality, both the Violet Melchett Health Centre and the World End Health Centre required more investment of the three options. In the case of Violet Melchett, this is because a proportion of current services delivered in the estate will have to be re-provisioned to free up the space for hub services. For World’s End, additional space will need to be built up on the site (this land is available to do this) to co-locate current services with new hub services that will be delivered from that site. 8.2.3 Accessibility This criterion evaluates the accessibility of the site by public transport and how well the site meets DDA requirements. Accessibility by public transport has been assessed using a method used in UK transport planning to assess the access level of geographical areas to public transport – the public transport accessibility level (PTAL). A PTAL score of 1a indicates extremely poor access to the location by public transport, and a PTAL of 6b indicates excellent access by public transport. The Disability Discrimination Act rating from the estates baseline is used as a measure of access by persons with a disability. In the north locality, all three sites have similar PTAL scores and as such have been allocated a neutral score across the three estates. For the DDA rating, St Quintin and St Charles both having DDA ratings of B with the Queen Park site having a C rating. In the south locality, Niddry Lodge and New Marlborough School have the best accessibility of the three potential estates as they are both relatively new estates, whilst Violet Melchett Health Centre has the least favourable DDA rating of the three potential sites. 8.2.4 Commitment to space utilisation Based on a qualitative assessment by NHS PS, estates are ranked based on their flexibility to be adapted for different purposes. The tenure of the estate is also considered based on the expectation that NHS estates will be utilised in favour of other public sector estates and commercial spaces (to be considered only as a last option). All estates in the north and south are considered flexible although the lease for Violet Melchett expires in 2017 with no guarantee of renewal. In the north locality, St Charles and St Quintin have the highest scores for tenure as they are both NHS PS estates. In the south locality, Niddry Lodge and New Marlborough School both have the lowest tenure score as although they are a local authority property, both estates are available at commercial rates. 8.2.5 Condition of estate The suitability of an option is scored based on the number of poor quality GP premises (C or below) that are within 0.5 miles of the hub and which could move into the potential hub is considered here. It is assumed that it is preferred to not move GP premises with a physical condition rating of B or above into a hub so that will score negatively. In the north locality, potential hubs are mostly surrounded by B rated GP premises though Queen’s Park Health Centre and St Charles have one C grade estate within their catchment area. The same is broadly true in the south locality with potential hubs being mostly surrounded by B grade GP premises. Violet Melchett Health Centre is however surrounded Page 60 by two GP premises rated C. New Marlborough School is also surrounded by four GP premises rated C. 8.2.6 Population The population density in the area surrounding the proposed hub is considered with hubs that cover larger populations being prioritised. Also considered is the percentage of the population that are over 65 in the locality with a high percentage of older population scored highly. The CCG is fairly dense populated with the northern wards being more uniformly densely populated than the south. Although dense, the population in the south is less uniformly distributed across the area. The areas around all sites however are densely and as such, all sites in the north and south locality have been allocated a ‘++’ score for population density. The areas around also St Charles and St Quintin have a high percentage of people aged over 65. In the south, all four proposed sites are equally populated, with Violet Melchett also having the highest percentage of over 65s of the three sites. 8.2.7 Deprivation This criterion prioritises hub sites that are in areas that are more deprived. All three north locality sites score highly for deprivation. Deprivation in the southern locality is relatively less than in the northern wards, however of the three southern sites, the level of deprivation in the area surrounding the World’s End site is comparable to the northern locality. 8.2.8 Overview of prioritisation scores Below is a summary of the prioritisation scores that have been allocated to each of the sites for each prioritisation criterion. Figure 25 – Summary of prioritisation scores for north and south locality Locality North South OOH DS VFM Queen's Park + - St Charles ++ St Quintin + - Violet Melchett + - + World’s End + - + + ++ + ++ Site Niddry Lodge New Marlb School Access DDA score Space (Flex) Space (Tenure) GPs Pop. + + + ++ + + ++ + ++ + + ++ - -- + + + + + Over 65s Depriv. Total ++ 8+ 1- + ++ 12 + ++ + + 9+ 2- ++ ++ + + 10 + 3- + - ++ - + 7+ 3- + - - ++ - 7+ 3- + - ++ ++ Page 61 9+ 1- 8.3 Site selection The prioritisation exercise supports the identification of priority sites in each locality for further exploration in each locality. The viability of the selected sites will be explored in further detail in the Outline Business Case which will subsequently be developed. Subject to agreement by the CCG, the following sites will be taken into the OBC: In the North, we will take St Charles as our preferred option but also take St Quintin into the OBC In the South, we will take the Violet Melchett, World’s End Health Centre and the New Marlborough School into the OBC Page 62 9 West London - Hub pipeline and financial implications 9.1 Hub pipeline The pipeline for Hubs in West London is well developed with a number of section 106 opportunities on the horizon in both the north and south locality (see Appendix XX). In the northern hub, the St Charles site is an existing estate which emerging as the preferred hub and will, with a moderate amount of refurbishment, enable the delivery of the Out of Hospital Strategy (the site currently delivers services that are consistent with the hub service specification). In the south locality, the Earls Court site is considered as the preferred estate for the southern hub. However, as this development will not be completed for another 5 years, an interim solution in the south locality will be developed in the shorter term. The selected south hub site will be developed to deliver hub services pending the completion of the Earls Court development site. The figure below illustrates the hub pipeline for West London CCG. Figure 26: Hub pipeline and estimated capital costs (ECC) In place 2014/15 Earls Court Centre for Health and Wellbeing and St Charles ECC £0m 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19+ St Charles ECC £4-5m South Hub (tbc) ECC £~2m Hub – Earls Court/Local Authority pipeline ECC £ tbc (S106 funding) ECC: Estimated Capital Cost 9.2 Total Capital Cost of the West London CCG Pipeline = £~6-7m Financial implications 9.2.1. Financing the hubs High level capital estimates are outlined in figure 26 above. The financial case for out of hospital hubs will be developed in greater detail at OBC stage. This financial case will include a process whereby we will work through current and future service settings adopting high Page 63 level assumptions around savings and test these. This approach is summarised in the diagram below. Figure 27: Developing the financial case for hubs For Hub schemes… Other hub services Cost for equivalent list at A rated premises Hub services (excluding PC): CCG top-up or identify funding e.g. SIFT GP Services for Out of Hospital Care Increase in GP rent (C/CX /D /DX premises): NHSE increase Current NHSE GP reimbursement (including service charges) Current GP Costs Future Hub costs Determined by m2 split between core GP and OOH Draft Methodology • Compare current rent of given “C/CX/D/DX” GP premises to existing “A/B” rated premises in the CCG areas on the basis of £m2 and £ per patient • Include DV uplift to regularise historic rates to expected current rates and compare the DV view on an “A” rated new build in the CCG area • The difference between current rent at the “C/CX/D/DX” and the “A” rating for a given CCG area would be paid for by NHS England (in proportion to Primary Care space). • As plans progress through the process this will become the actual costs • For hubs, the cost of GP services for non-primary care would be covered by the CCG • For GP only schemes, the remainder would need to be covered by the GP For GP only estate… Cost for equivalent list at new build premises Cost for equivalent list B at rated premises Increase in GP rent (non C/ CX /D /DX premises): GP top-up Increase in GP rent (C/CX /D /DX premises): NHSE increase Current NHSE GP reimbursement (including service charges) Current GP Costs Future GP costs West London CCG is estimating its capital requirement for 2014/15 and a capital return to be sent to NHS E is now being prepared. This outlines for the financial years 14/15 and 15/16 the proposed capital estate investments by CCGs For the avoidance of doubt, although this return has been made naming specific out of hospital hubs and GP premises, subject to the successful development and approval of this SSDP by the CCG, then the PIDs, OBCs and FBCs by NHS England. It is indeed possible that different specific out of hospital HUBs and GP premises will be introduced as a result of that process. We expect that hub proposals are unlikely to be constrained by capital affordability provided the revenue is available to cover the annual costs of the hubs. This is because providing that there is revenue to fund it, there are a number of alternative funding routes. These are set out below. Page 64 Figure 28: NHS Capital Routes Building owner - NHS PS Building owner - GP Building owner - NHS Trust Building owner - Council Building owner - 3rd Party Landlord (incl. LIFT and PFI) Nature of investment New Build NHS PS customer capital from DH (note - landlord capital is for maintaining not enhancing) NHSE capital grants to pass through to GPs – potentially limited to 66%* NHST funds using own capital, loans, PDC – TDA involvement* NHSE capital grants or Council sourced capital that will be recouped via a rental charge* NHSE grants will require a legal charge to be attached to the resultant asset. Capital investment to be sourced by landlord and recouped through rental charge* Nature of investment Refurb/Fit Out NHS PS customer capital from DH (note - landlord capital is for maintaining not enhancing) NHSE capital grants to pass through to GPs – potentially limited to 66%* NHST funds using own capital, loans, PDC – TDA involvement* NHSE capital grants or NHS PS customer capital or Council sourced capital – both NHS PS and council sourced capital will be recouped via a rental charge* Nature of investment Movable Fittings NHSE** Nature of investment Equipment NHSE** – s.t. admin IT where CSU NHSE** NHSE** – s.t. GP IT and admin IT where CSU NHSE** – for HUB or GP on NHST site NHSE** – s.t. admin IT where CSU NHSE** NHSE** – s.t. admin IT where CSU Potential for NHS PS NHSE** customer capital or capital investment to be sourced by landlord and recouped through a rental charge* NHSE** – s.t. admin IT where CSU There are a wide range of financial interdependencies, including those that result from the funds flow within the health system, which we will need to consider at OBC stage. Savings will largely arise from: 9.2.2 The same delivery of services as in acute, but delivered at a cheaper price point (i.e. through lower overheads in a community setting) A new delivery model where efficiencies are made through economies of scale e.g. combining multiple appointments Prevention and demand management reducing the long term cost of care through intervening earlier, or differently; Better access provides an economic benefit for patients in saving them time (however, there are also risks around rising costs if access to care is easier or care is higher quality, as demand may increase). Rent Reimbursement There is likely to be an increase in rent for GP premises as a result of investment in primary care estates. Any increase in the expectation on NHS England will need to be supported by and agreed by the NHS England London Region Primary Care Team. Rent is determined by a formula which is primarily driven by the assessment of the District Valuer. There are 3 possible reasons for rent to increase: Properties in poor condition being improved Leases coming to an end List size inflation The rent reimbursement implications will need to be calculated on a scheme by scheme basis; however, we have discussed with NHS England the principle of their funding increases in rent reimbursement where existing premises do not meet the minimum required standard. CCGs may need to contribute where GP involvement is part of the Out of Hospital strategy resulting in additional rental pressures. To guide this process, we have agreed a series of principles: Page 65 NHS England will fund increases in rent due to the rising rental costs (i.e. if we do nothing but rents on GP premised increase due to market prices) NHS England will fund increases in rent due to the improvement of premises from “C” rating to an acceptable condition for the delivery of primary care. Note: Properties rated CX or below are not suitable for investment Where relocation to improved premises is required or is proposed as the most favourable option, NHS England will fund a proportion of increase cost equivalent to improving the existing premises PIDs will need to demonstrate NHS England’s support for the proposals and OBCs will need to demonstrate that the proposals are sustainable for the in terms of rent re-imbursement. 9.2.3 Commercial and management implications Commercial and management considerations will be explored at the OBC stage. These are likely to include: How services will be procured; Which providers will provide services, and for how long; What contractual mechanisms will be in place between commissioners and providers (in an integrated model there may be several commissioners and providers from across the public and private sectors); What payment mechanisms are in place between commissioners and providers; Detailed plans on how governance will work and the confidence that there is an achievable plan and appropriate resources are in place for successful delivery. Page 66 10 Next steps This chapter describes the next steps for the development of out of hospital hubs, which will begin with the development of a Project Initiation Document and Outline Business Case for the priority site. Figure 29: The Process to Develop the Out of Hospital Hub Model Developing the OOH Model of Care Out of Hospital Out of Hospital Strategic Project Initiation Document Outline Business Case Delivery Strategy Service Delivery Plan (Locality Hub specific) (Locality Hub specific) (WLCCG Wide) (WLCCG Wide) Setting out the locality Hub Making the case for capital Setting out the strategic Quantifying the shift in OOH requirements, the options to investment and any increase Content and approach to care and understanding the meet the need, the preferred in rent reimbursement OOH care in West London. workforce and ICT implications option, the proposed service of the new model. Setting out specification and financial the space requirements and implications Full Business Case (Locality Hub specific) Setting out the detailed service plan, financial arrangements, management and Implementation plan potential Hub sites Supporting Analysis As demonstrated in the above diagram, this SSDP further develops the model and quantifies the requirements, but does not conclude the process. There is now an evidence base to support the need for additional Hub space to enable the wider model of out of hospital care to be implemented in West London, but project initiation documents and business cases need to be developed for each locality hub to persuade key stakeholders including NHS England to support these proposals. The next stages in the process will involve further analysis including activity modelling, space estimation, financial modelling and transport accessibility assessments. This will underpin the continuing development of the model of care, including service specifications and simplified patient pathways that benefit the populations that we serve. Page 67 11 Appendices Appendix 1: List of West London estate as labelled in figure 2 Type Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Other NHS Hospital Hospital Hospital NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre NHS Health Centre LA (Pipeline) LA (Pipeline) LA (Pipeline) LA (Pipeline) Other NHS (Pipeline) LA (Pipeline) Potential Hub Site - NHS Potential Hub Site - NHS Label 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Name 133/134 KENSAL ROAD 306 KENSAL ROAD ALISON HOUSE ATHLONE NURSING HOME BARNARD LODGE ELMFIELD WAY FLATS A, B AND C 291 HARROW ROAD FLOREY LODGE MILNE HOUSE 14 - 18 NEWTON ROAD EMPERORS GATE HEALTH CENTRE GERTRUDE STREET KINGSBRIDGE ROAD LDU PRINCESS LOUISE NURSING HOME BARLBY ROAD CLINIC EARLS COURT HEALTH AND WELLBEING CENTRE St Mary's Charring Cross Hospital Chelsea & Westminster 20 ABINGDON HEALTH CENTRE 21 COLVILLE HEALTH CENTRE 22 KENSINGTON HIGH STREET 127 23 KENSINGTON PARK MEDICAL CENTRE 24 KNIGHTSBRIDGE MEDICAL CENTRE 25 ROSARY GADENS MEDICAL CENTRE 26 THE LIGHTHOUSE MEDICAL CENTRE 27 WALMER ROAD HEALTH CENTRE 28 KENSINGTON PARK MEDICAL CENTRE 29 SCARSDALE MEDICAL CENTRE 30 HALLFIELD CLINIC 31 HEALTH AT THE STOWE 32 33 34 35 CHELSEA TOWN HALL THAMES BROOK NURSING HOME WARWICK AVENUE PEMBROKE ROAD DEVELOPMENT 36 WORLDS END HC 37 ROYAL BROMPTON 38 QUEENS PARK HEALTH CENTRE 39 VIOLET MELCHETT HEALTH CENTRE Page 68 Potential Hub Site - NHS Potential Hub Site - NHS Potential Hub Site - NHS Potential Hub Site - NHS Potential Hub Site - LA (Pipeline) 40 WOODFIELD ROAD MEDICAL CENTRE 41 WORLDS END HEALTH CENTRE 42 ST CHARLES CENTRE FOR HEALTH AND WELLBEING 43 ST QUINTIN HEALTH CENTRE 44 EARLS COURT RE-DEVELOPMENT Appendix 2: Draft service specification for West London hubs Service Category Associated Functions GP Services (Core) and enhanced (list size) GP Appointments Nurse Appointments Minor Surgery (Levels 1&2) Diagnostics Plain X-ray Ultrasound ECG Phlebotomy Echo Spirometry Older Adults Older Adults team Older peoples assessment Falls Proactive Integrated Teams Reactive Integrated Teams Patients with Term Conditions Cardiology Respiratory Diabetes Urgent care Urgent Care Centre 7 Day GP access Primary Care Mental Health Children’s Services Psychological Therapies Sexual Health Pharmacy Sexual health services Community Pharmacy CNWL Central Pharmacy Community OP and Treatment Services End of Life Care Inpatient Beds Day care Education and Support Primary Care & Community Staff Training and development Staff hub for key community staff Other GP based Out reach Learning together Allergy and other diagnostic clinics MSK Dermatology Ophthalmology Gynaecology Diabetes Health visiting Immunisation Sickle Cell Dental Podiatry Dietetics/Nutrition/SWM Page 69 North locality examples Community Voluntary Services Open Age WAND Living Well Smartworks Gay Men’s Project The Women’s Trust Public Meeting Space South locality examples TBD Page 70 Appendix 3: Out of hospital evaluation criteria Three main stakeholder groups have suggested a range of principles for prioritising investment in hubs and GP premises: CCGs delivery strategies and strategic service delivery plans make clear that providers will work differently, and that investment needs to drive this improvement. NHSE has clear expectations about the affordability of business cases and is prioritising its limited funding carefully. NHSPS is focused on ensuring space is utilised effectively, and will only support business cases that deliver this. Suggested principles Alignment with OOH strategy: All OOH providers will adhere (i) to a consistent set of OOH standards, agreed in CCGs’ OOH strategies and the DMBC, and (ii) to delivery expectations from the CCGs’ OOH delivery strategies and strategic services delivery plans. Meeting local needs: Investment will meet the needs of as many local people are possible, and help address variations in need and access. For hubs (including premises hosting more than one practice), services will be located to ensure sufficient geographic coverage and range of patients. Affordability and value for money: Plans will offer good value for money and be affordable to all stakeholders. Commitment to space utilisation: Existing estate will be utilised as fully as possible. All OOH delivery space (new or existing) will be configured as flexibly as possible to ensure high utilisation. Condition of estate: Estate used will meet relevant condition requirements and be able to house an additional services. In their application, the principles outlined above translate into three domains of criteria: 1 Threshold criteria Reflect minimum standards for plans and business cases, covering estates, finance and scale requirements. Enables CCGs to reduce the number of potential plans to a manageable number before prioritising. Applied while developing SSDP and maintained throughout OBC development. Principles 2 Prioritisation criteria Multiple criteria offering CCGs a mechanism for prioritising competing plans and business cases, ensuring funding is allocated in the most effective way to deliver out of hospital plans. Applied while developing SSDP and OBCs. 3 Expectations of service providers Clear expectations for any provider involved in the delivery of OOH services to ensure our standards are met and care in delivered in line with CCG delivery strategies. Defined during development of delivery strategies and SSDP, and then maintained throughout delivery. The proposed criteria within each domain are based on the principles and would be applied during the development process: Page 71 1 Threshold criteria Proposed criteria Commitment to space utilisation: Plans for estate make maximum use of spare capacity, and additional investment is only considered when all spare space is used. Affordability and value for money: Plans are affordable, with funding available from suitable sources. minimum threshold, ensuring sufficient patient through-put. Condition of estate: Estate meets, or can be improved to meet, minimum condition and access standards. Scope for expansion: Proposed estate can accommodate new services. 2 Prioritisation criteria Meeting local needs (hubs only): Catchment area meets Commitment to space utilisation: Plans with flexible estates solutions are prioritised, including rooms that are multifunctional and can be re-purposed Condition of estate: Plans that improve the overall suitability of the borough estate, by reducing the number of premises not meeting requirements are prioritised Affordability and value for money: Plans are prioritised based on their value for money Meeting local needs : Plans with more accessible premises (e.g., proximity to public transport) are prioritised. Meeting local needs : Plans affecting larger populations are prioritised Achieving our OOH strategy: Plans that make a larger contribution to the delivery of the OOH strategy will be prioritised. 3 Expectations of service providers Meeting local needs : Areas with higher levels of deprivation are prioritised Commitment to space utilisation: Providers commit to full space utilisation, including maintaining use of space and sharing rooms where appropriate Alignment with OOH strategy: Providers commit to integrated ways of working, including shared systems, network working, integration with other services, and inter-referral. Alignment with OOH strategy: Providers commit to relevant access / opening hours expectations, including telephone/virtual access to consultations and extended opening hours. Criteria will be used to test proposals in this SSDP, and to evaluate options in the OBC options appraisal for each proposed hub. Page 72 Page 73 Appendix 4: Methodology for activity modelling The total primary care activity estimation which will move into hub settings breaks down into 3 main sources of activity: baseline GP (core + enhanced), additional activity generated by the ICP initiative, and additional activity generated by the shifting setting of mental health into primary care. In order to calculate the baseline primary care activity we applied an assumption on the number of primary care appointments per patient (forecast out to 2018/19 levels). The number of average appointments per person has been calculated by using the NHS average attendances by age cohort (The Health and Social Care Information Centre, Trends in Consultation Rates in General Practice 1995 to 2008: Analysis of the QResearch® database and applying it to the age profile of Hounslow. Average for 2018 (core and enhanced) is 7.3 appts, 60% of the total appointments have been assumed to take place with GPs and the remaining 40% with nurses (programme-wide assumption). We have modelled the additional activity generated by ICP across 3 areas – care planning, multi-disciplinary team meetings and additional regular primary care appointments – and across 3 cohorts of patients (representing 0.5%, 4.5% and 15% of the total list size). For care planning we have assumed that all 20% of the high risk patients will require a care plan to be written, and that those plans will be completed over a 4 year span. For MDTs it is assumed that 0.5% of the population requires 2 MDT reviews and 4.5% requires 0.5 MDT reviews per year, with the allocation of MDT meetings to GP vs. Network vs. Hub varying across CCGs, for Hounslow it is assumed that 100% of MDTs will take place in hubs. Page 74 Finally for additional regular primary care appointments we have assumed that the population within the highest risk cohort (0.5%) will need an appointment per month, alternating between GP, nurse and AHP, while population within the second risk cohort (4.5%) will need an appointment quarterly. 50% of all GP and nurses appointments will be picked up by GP practices. Within Heston these appointments are assumed to be 30 minutes in length (rather than the normal average 12 minute primary care appointment). ICP additional appointments % of population requiring additional appts 0.5% 4.5% 15% # additional GP appts per patient per annum 4 1 0 # additional nurse appts per patient per annum 4 1 0 # additional AHP appts per patient per annum 4 1 0 Total 12 3 0 Outpatient re-provision The services to be moved out of Hospitals and into hubs vary significantly across the CCGs. For WL the Outpatient re-provision target 2017/2018 was 59,000, 35% of the total Outpatient activity in 2012/13. 7% reduction of Outpatient activity from referral management in the next five years was assumed (Programme-wide assumption based on average of current QIPP RMS) and 100% of the resulting re-provisioned Outpatient activity was assumed to move into Hub settings (SaHF assumption). Mental Health For the shifting settings of care activity we have agreed programme-wide assumptions developed with various MH CCG leads: 50% of Community Mental Health shifts to Primary Care (excluding CAMHS, Mother & Baby community, Specialist teams and Memory services). 20% of MH appointments will be picked up by GP practices. This number is added to the primary care baseline activity. For IAPT services we have used the NHSE national target that 15% of the total IAPT demographic will be seen (Talking Therapies: A four-year plan of action), along with programme-wide assumptions developed with various MH CCG leads: The IAPT demographic is approximately 9% of the total list size. Each person seen for IAPT will require 4 appointments on average. 50% of all IAPT appts will take place in hubs and 50% in networks. All dementia appointments will take place in hubs. Page 75 Minor Surgery Two different methods have been used to estimate the total number of LES / DES procedures that will shift to community settings, and the average of the two was taken: The total number of day case procedures has been derived from SLAM (Service Level Activity Monitoring) data. After consulting with each individual CCG, the percentage of day cases that will shift to a PC setting has been identified. The total number of LES / DES procedures and day cases has then been allocated to GPs, Networks and Hubs accordingly using the following Programme-wide assumptions: Allocation of Minor surgery GP Network Hub LES/DES 40% 0% 60% Day cases 0% 0% 100% Nursing and Reactive Intervention A generic programme-wide assumption has been made that Nursing and Reactive Intervention activity will take place in the community, and not in hubs. Reactive intervention activity comprises: Intermediate care, Rapid response and Early discharge. Specialist nursing staff will only undertake activity of administrative nature in hubs. For WL we have made the assumption therefore that a group room per hub (ie.2 rooms) + an extra room for St Mary’s will be needed to allow hot-desking/meeting space for those staff on the occasions they are based from the hub for the day. Additional CCG specific activity A programme-wide assumption has been made that 50% of Rehabilitation, Physiotherapy and AHP activity will move into a Hub setting while the remaining activity will stay within the community. This assumption can be flexed depending on the individual CCG. Other additional activity, specific to each CCG, such as Pharmacy, Teaching/Education and Dentist activity has been taken into account following discussions with the individual CCGs and space has been allocated as necessary. For WL we have assumed that six 50-people rooms Page 76 will be needed to provide a training/ education room suitable for all staff and there will be commercial space for two pharmacies. Growth assumptions In order to account for forecast demographic and non-demographic growth in activity over the next 5 years we have taken assumptions from QIPP modelling and the latest MTMF plans to estimate the yearly activity growth in the following categories: Demographic (1.5% annually) Non-demographic: o Primary Care (3%) o Mental Health (2%) o Outpatients (3%) o Community (Physiotherapy, AHP, Rehabilitation) (1%) Page 77 Appendix 5: Methodology for translating activity into space estimation Once the activity levels within the hub have been forecast we need to convert these figures into an assessment of the amount of space which will be needed to deliver each service. This is calculated in 3 steps: convert activity to a number of treatment rooms, convert treatment rooms to net internal area (NIA) and finally convert net internal area into gross internal area (GIA) which includes all corridors, heating/ventilation space etc. Converting activity into numbers of treatment rooms In order to calculate the number of rooms required for a given amount of activity we need 3 key sets of assumptions: the opening hours of the service, how much of the time within these opening hours will be utilised for patient treatment and how long each appointment will be. Combining the first two allows us to calculate the total annual patient facing time, and dividing through by the average appointment length gives us a number of appointment slots available per room per year. Opening hours vary depending on the individual CCG’s service delivery plan (with the move towards 7 day working in mind, but the utilisation of space for treatment within these opening hours is based on programme wide assumptions agreed with NHSPS and with clinical input. Similarly appointment lengths are standard assumptions with input from clinicians. Page 78 Converting number of treatment rooms into NIA In order to calculate this step we have applied standard ratios (calculated based on best practice examples of other similar NHS estate) of the size of a treatment room to the combined size of all of the support areas (utility areas, recovery rooms, waiting areas etc.) needed. The size of the treatment rooms were largely taken from the DH health building notes. Page 79 And the ratios of treatment to support room space were based on analysis of the DH health building note examples, as well as analysis of other buildings across NWL. The table below summarises these (the ratio figures should be read as ‘for every 1m2 of treatment room space, a further xm2 of support space is needed’). Page 80 Converting NIA to GIA Finally we take into account all of the other areas needed for a functional building including circulation (corridors, stairs etc.), engineering and communications spaces. Again we were guided by the DH health building notes, although at the request of NHS property services we scaled down the total uplift slightly in accordance with their experience and in line with analysis of other health buildings in the area. Testing and validating our methodology In order to ensure the accuracy of our methodology we applied it to a number of test cases and checked against the actual building size. Page 81 Appendix 6: Estates baseline for north and south locality property and rationale for exclusion from the process North locality sites List Size Property Age Space utilisation Tenure W10 4LY AHMED N QUEENS PARK HEALTH CENTRE 2322 1976-1997 F CLCH F/H W10 6DZ BARLBY SURGERY 7371 Pre 1919 F NHSPS F/H W2 3QA 7825 Postcode Name BAYSWATER MEDICAL CENTRE GIFA (m2) 842 (all 3 surgeries) Reason for exclusion Consolidated under QPMC 360 Below 500m 255 Below 500m 2 2 W11 1PA COLVILLE HEALTH CENTRE 3924 1976-1997 F CLCH L/H 155 ???? W10 6NX NORTH KENSINGTON MEDICAL CENTRE 4504 1976-1997 O NHSPS F/H 200 Below 500m W11 2SE WESTBOURNE GROVE MEDICAL CENTRE 7253 Pre 1919 F Rented 232 Below 500m W2 6HF 4571 1946-1975 F PCT - leased 338 Below 500m 8663 Pre 1919 F Owned ??? Below 500m (practice also relocating to town hall) SHIRLAND ROAD MEDICAL CENTRE 3643 n/a n/a n/a 194 Below 500m W10 5NY THE GOLBORNE MEDICAL CENTRE 4967 n/a O Rented 283 Below 500m W10 5NT MEANWHILE GARDEN MEDICAL CENTRE 3025 n/a F Owned 386 Below 500m W11 4LA PORTLAND ROAD PRACTICE 7508 1946-1975 F Rented 348 Below 500m W9 3QT ELGIN CLINIC 4936 n/a n/a n/a 314 Below 500m W11 1QT THE PRACTICE BEACON 1624 1976-1997 F NHSPS L/H 143 Below 500m W10 4LY NAGARAJAN QUEENS PARK HEALTH CENTRE 3235 1976-1997 F CLCH F/H 842 Consolidated under QPMC W11 3EP THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY 9872 Pre 1919 F Part leased 277 Below 500m W11 2EH THE NOTTING HILL MEDICAL CENTRE 3113 470 Below 500m W2 1RU MILNE HOUSE MEDICAL CENTRE 3147 Pre 1919 F NHSPS Leased 206 Below 500m W2 5EH FLUXMAN HARROW ROAD HEALTH CENTRE 4368 n/a n/a n/a 945 W8 6PR THE SURGERY 2283 F Owned 74 Below 500m W2 1NR WEST TWO HEALTH CENTRE 3112 1976-1997 Owned 802 For sale/sold W11 4ES THE FORELAND MEDICAL CENTRE 3943 n/a n/a 159 Below 500m W9 2AF 4972 Post 1997 Leased 213 Below 500m THE GARWAY MEDICAL PRACTICE W11 3SL HOLLAND PARK SURGERY W9 3JJ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 NEW ELGIN PRACTICE F Page 82 Below 500m and north hub space requirement - not expandable 2 2 2 Postcode Name W11 4EG THE SURGERY List Size Property Age Space utilisation Tenure GIFA (m2) Reason for exclusion 1711 n/a F Owned 150 Below 500m 2 2 W11 4NH THE SURGERY 2344 n/a O Owned 74 Below 500m W10 6DZ EXMOOR SURGERY 3166 Pre 1919 F NHSPS F/H 247 Below 500m 1410 1976-1997 F CLCH F/H 842 Consolidated under QPMC W10 4NJ SRIKRISHNAMURTHY HARROW ROAD SURGERY 2291 n/a F n/a 233 Below 500m W11 2EH PORTOBELLO MEDICAL CENTRE 1744 n/a F Rented 470 Below 500m n/a n/a n/a Small list size suggests size below 500m W10 4LY W2 3ET W2 5ES LAI CHUNG FONG QUEENS PARK HEALTH CENTRE LANCASTER GATE MEDICAL CENTRE 2552 THE WESTBOURNE GREEN SURGERY 3948 W10 4RE HALF PENNY STEPS HEALTH CENTRE 4008 Post 1997 60% PCT 97 Below 500m 2 2 2 2 2 Taken to prioritisation stage 2 W10 5GW 133/134 KENSAL ROAD n/a 1976-1997 0% NHS PS - LH 173 Below 500m W10 5BE 306 KENSAL ROAD n/a 1976-1997 60% CLCH - LH 365 Below 500m W9 3RN FLATS A, B AND C 291 HARROW ROAD n/a 1976-1997 60% NHS PS - FH 621 Above 500m but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement W2 6HF HALLFIELD CLINIC n/a 1946-1975 40% NHS PS - LH 327 Below 500m W2 1RU MILNE HOUSE n/a 1976-1997 60% CLCH - LH 205 Below 500m 2 2 2 2 W10 4LD QUEENS PARK HEALTH CENTRE n/a 1976-1997 60% CLCH - FH 787 Taken to prioritisation W10 6AZ BARLBY ROAD CLINIC n/a 1976-1997 E NHS PS - LH 283 Below 500m W11 1PA COLVILLE HEALTH CENTRE n/a 1976-1997 F CLCH - LH 1221 Above 500m but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement n/a 1946-1975 U NHS PS - LH 299 Below 500m W10 6PU KINGSBRIDGE ROAD LDU n/a 1946-1975 F NHS PS - FH 593 Above 500m but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement W10 6DL PRINCESS LOUISE NURSING HOME n/a Post 1997 F NHS PS - FH 2577 Taken into prioritisation stage n/a Pre 1919 U NHS PS - FH 19487 Taken to prioritisation stage W10 6NX ST QUINTIN HEALTH CENTRE n/a 1976-1997 U NHS PS - FH 545 Taken to prioritisation – scope for expansion to meet space requirement W11 1QT THE LIGHTHOUSE MEDICAL CENTRE n/a 1976-1997 F NHS PS - LH 143 Below 500m W11 4ET WALMER ROAD HEALTH CENTRE n/a 1946-1975 F NHS PS - LH 418 Below 500m 2 2 W8 5SF KENSINGTON HIGH STREET 127 2 2 ST CHARLES CENTRE FOR HEALTH AND W10 6DZ WELLBEING Page 83 2 2 South locality sites Postcode SW5 0EA Name Property Age Branch of Brompton Rd surgery (E87746) Tenure GIFA (m2) Reason for exclusion 2 n/a Rented n/a Small – less than 500m (anecdotal) n/a SW5 0EA SW3 3JD Brompton Road Medical Centre Dr Rose’s Practice Rented Owned n/a Small list size (2341) suggests small practice Pre 1919 205 Less than 500m SW5 9AD Earls Court Medical Centre Pre 1919 Part Leased 581 Above 500m but property is old office in tube station. Restricted in extension possible SW10 9DT SW7 5RB The Redcliffe Surgery Stanhope Mews Surgery Pre 1919 Pre 1919 Owned Rented 302 n/a Below 500m ???? 2 2 2 2 SW7 4HJ Emperor’s Gate Centre for Health n/a NHSPS Leased 810 Above 500m but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement. In a converted church in a residential property SW7 4NQ Rosary Garden Surgery n/a HA Leased n/a Small list size (2341) suggests small practice (anecdotal suggests small building) SW5 9JZ SW10 0UD The Surgery Kings Road Medical Centre n/a n/a Small list size – likely to be small GIFA (<500m ) 1946-1975 n/a n/a 121 Below 500m SW7 2SU SW3 5RR The Surgery The Chelsea Practice n/a 1920-1945 Owned NHSPS Leased 2 2 Small list size (2331) suggests small practice 133 Below 500m 2 2 W8 6EG The Abingdon Health Centre n/a NHSPS Leased 643 SW7 4QS The Surgery n/a Owned n/a SW3 4SR Royal Hospital Chelsea W8 5SX SW3 6PX Scarsdale Medical Centre The Surgery Pre 1919 Above 500m but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement as it is a terrace in a parade which will have to be expanded to 3x current size to meet space requirement Residential property, small. Small list size (1468)also suggests small practice 138 Below 500m 2 2 1976-1997 NHSPS Leased 243 Below 500m n/a Owned n/a Residential property, small. Relatively small list size (3196) suggests small property (less than 500m”) Page 84 Postcode Name Property Age Tenure GIFA (m2) Reason for exclusion W14 8HW Kensington Park Medical Centre 1976-1997 NHSPS Leased 550 Above 500m2 but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement. Ground floor practice in a residential property. Unlikely to be able to expand to meet space requirement SW1X 0ET Knightsbridge Medical Centre 1920-1945 NHSPS Leased 426 Less than 500m2 The Surgery n/a n/a n/a Old converted house. Small list size(1663) suggest small practice SW10 0LR The Good Practice n/a Rented n/a Relatively small list size (3344) suggest small practice. No spare capacity SW5 0PT Earls Court Health and Wellbeing Centre 1920 - 1945 NHS PS - LH 728 Above 500m2 but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement. Ground floor practice in a residential property. Unlikely to be able to expand to meet space requirement SW10 0JN Gertrude Street 1946-1975 CLCH - LH 173 Less than 500m2 SW5 9JA SW1X 0ET Knightsbridge Medical Centre SW7 4NQ Rosary Gardens Medical Centre W8 5SX Scarsdale Medical Centre SW3 5RR Violet Melchett Health Centre SW10 0UD Worlds End Health Centre 1976-1997 NHS PS - LH 501 Above 500m2 but cannot be expanded to meet space requirement. Ground floor practice in a residential property. Unlikely to be able to expand to meet space requirement (will have to expand to 3 times current size) n/a NHS PS - LH 170 Less than 500m2 1976-1997 NHS PS - LH 317 Less than 500m2 CLCH - LH 1848 Potential to meet space requirement if commissioning adjustments are made. Taken to prioritisation stage CLCH - FH 1073 Potential to push estate to meet space requirement if expanded into car park 1976-1997 Page 85 SW10 9EL Chelsea Chambers n/a CNWL 510* Building is spread over four floors but has no lift facilities currently, which severely restricts use of the upper floors. The lease has 8 years to run so it may be possible to install a lift (subject to site survey) although this would need significant investment and landlord approval. Also looking at the floor plans and wall thicknesses shown on the drawings it looks like any adaptation to suit specific need might be limited. Pipeline estates Status of pipeline estates in the south locality Estate Approximate time to completion Status Planning application approved. Notified that there may be more residential units than initially thought, creating space for some space or revenue Warwick Avenue contribution. Follow up to understand the nature of changes and implications for the CCG Potential regeneration underway with a potential for space to become Royal Brompton Hospital available. Thamesbrook Nursing Development of this estate is at least 5 years away (same timeline as Earls Home Court) Development of this estate is at least 5 years away. Earl Court Redevelopment Guaranteed size as part of s106 agreement Pembroke Road Re-development programme is about 10+ years away Redevelopment New Marlborough School 2 Approximately 3000m of space will be available through this LA development (SW3 3AP) Page 86 > 3 years > 3 years ≥ 5 years ≥ 5 years ≥ 10 years 2016 Sources of Estates The data has been collected from a number of sources, to populate the estates baseline across GP, NHS and Local Authority estates: GP estate information (6-facet, property age, tenure, GIFA, use of premises) is sourced from Drivers Jonas Deloitte (DJD) between 2007 and 2013. GP DDA rating and capacity analysis was completed by DJD in 2012/3 (brief surveys from September 2012 – January 2013) for a third of GP surgeries in West London. Note that where this information is available, this is more recent and accurate than the 6-facet condition rating Where 6-facet data are not available or are deemed to be out of date (some of data were from 2007), NHS PS has advised Premises Sub-group as to a qualitative assessment of capacity and condition; Data on health centres and pipeline buildings has been generated through meetings with NHS PS Local Authority (LA) information has been collated from meetings with both the LAs and NHS PS, who have advised on Section 106 opportunities, disposal LA sites and development opportunity within the CCGs; Data has been reviewed by NHS PS and where available the CCGs to validate information obtained. Page 87 Appendix 7: Prioritisation Exercise for Shortlisted Estates 1. Achieving our OOH Strategy ● ● This criterion scores hubs/sites as to whether they are able to deliver West London’s Out-of-Hospital Delivery Strategy All hubs should score positively on this criterion 2. Value for money – high level cost if site ● ● High level capital cost to be attached to project based on whether it is a light, medium or heavy refurbishment or a new build. Costs estimates supplied by NHS Property Services and Turner & Townsend*. Not adjusted for optimism bias. The following space requirement have been assumed based on the activity modelling: ● 1200m² GP space and 1,200m² other OOH (north) ● 900m² GP space and 900m² other OOH (south) Scoring notes 2 2 * New build construction costs estimates £2,500-£2,700m (NHSPS) and £2,600-£2,900.m (Turner and Townsend) ** Violet Melchett is currently fully utilised and as such services will need to be recommissioned to create space for hub services (not possible to co-locate full hub space with existing services) Page 88 *** World’s End can be expanded to provide the additional space required for the hub services. Scope for additional space means it is possible to co-locate hub alongside existing services being provided **** Size of new build reflects the fact that extra space will be needed to accommodate 2 services that will be taken out of VM to accommodate the hub (it is expected that 800m of 2 GP space is needed and 875m for OOH activities assuming 50% of current OOH needs to be moved out) 3. Accessibility The public transport accessibility level (PTAL) is a method used in UK transport planning to assess the access level of geographical areas to public transport PTAL is a simple, easily calculated approach that hinges on the distance from any point to the nearest public transport stop, and service frequency at those stops (bus, underground and rail) Population density will also have a significant impact on accessibility, so these two factors should be considered together A PTAL score of 1a indicates extremely poor access to the location by public transport, and a PTAL of 6b indicates excellent access by public transport The DDA rating of the estate will also be assessed using outputs from the Estates Baseline Survey Page 89 Scoring notes * Distance from VM to tube (Sloane Sq.) is 14 mins by foot and 10 mins (by bus). Distance from WE to tube (Fulham Broadway) is 13 mins walk and 8 mins by tube. Based on the PTAL scoring algorithm, WE has a higher PTAL score than VM as VM is just outside the 12 mins time boundary. However, in this exercise, we have adjusted for VM so that it matches WE as both places are similarly accessible ** Based on Niddry Lodge brochure which says building is ‘DDA compliant 4. Commitment to space utilisation Judgement from NHSPS as to the potential future flexible use of the site once developed. Both sites would be developed with this in mind so both score positively. Commitment to NHS estate utilisation favours existing sites/land owned or leased by the NHS Scoring note * The lease for Violet Melchett expires in~2017 with no guarantee of being able to renew the lease, making it less flexible than other options. The lease has an in perpetuity element to the lease which creates opportunities for s106 re-provision. Page 90 5. Condition of estate This suitability of an option is scored based on the number of poor quality GP premises (C or below) are within 0.5 miles of the hub and which could move into the potential hub. Assume that it is preferred to not move B premises into a hub so that will score negatively. Scoring notes * Shirland Surgery/Srikrishnamurthy Surgery ** 2 Surgeries in St Quintin’s Health Centre, Practice Beacon, © - Golborne *** Exmoor Surgery and the Practice Beacon **** “Cs – Dr Rose’s Surgery, Royal Hospital Chelsea, 1B – The Surgery ***** 2Bs – Redcliffe Practice and The Good Practice ****** 3Cs – Scarsdale Surgery, The Surgery, Abingdon Health ******* 2Bs – The Surgery, The Surgery, 3Cs – Royal Hospital Chelsea, The Surgery, Chelsea Practice, Dr Rose’s Practice 6. Population Population density from 2011 census was used, with more densely populated areas scored highly. Also considered is the percentage of the population that are over 65 in the locality with a high percentage of older population scored highly. West London-specific quintiles were used, with sites being scored on the basis of the predominant local quintile colour. Page 91 Population density (total population) data for West London CCG Source: 2011 Census data Page 92 Population density (over 65s) data for West London CCG 7. Deprivation Index of deprivation from 2011 census was used, with more deprived areas scored highly. West London-specific quintiles were used, with sites being scored on the basis of the predominant local quintile colour. Page 93 Deprivation data for West London CCG Page 94 Appendix 8: Section 106 opportunities in West London Location Description Imperial West H&F/Westway Primary care facility identified circa 1000m2 Primary care facility identified circa 1000m2 Edenham Way/Trellick Tower Primary care facility identified no size confirmed Earls Court Old Oak Elkestone Road 4 Phase development circa 3255m2 total Multi-storey development including Primary care provision Capital Value NK Revenue impact/(cost pressure) NK NK NK NK NK £8,805,000 NK NK Anticipated Funding Capital Fit with CCG Vision Short/Medium/Long term Likelihood of Delivery £744,000 Sec 106 Yes- improved access to primary care Long Med-S106 in place £500,000 Sec 106 TBC (social infrastructure grant) TBC (social infrastructure grant) Yes- improved access to primary care Long S106 in place Relocation of premises Long RBKC led- Yes- improved access to primary care Long Potential S106 Brompton Hospital SPD stage only NK NK Potential S106 Notting Hill SPD stage only NK NK Potential S107 Provision of improved premises and potential for enhanced list sizes Provision of improved premises and potential for enhanced list sizes/ OOH delivery Provision of improved premises and potential for enhanced list sizes Page 95 Medium Medium/Long Medium/Long High- Developer pushing for CCG response/requirement Medium-planning process only just commenced Medium-planning process only just commenced