2014 Australian Energy Update July 2014 1 BREE 2014, 2014 Australian Energy Update, Canberra, July. © Commonwealth of Australia 2014 This work is copyright, the copyright being owned by the Commonwealth of Australia. The Commonwealth of Australia has, however, decided that, consistent with the need for free and open re-use and adaptation, public sector information should be licensed by agencies under the Creative Commons BY standard as the default position. The material in this publication is available for use according to the Creative Commons BY licensing protocol whereby when a work is copied or redistributed, the Commonwealth of Australia (and any other nominated parties) must be credited and the source linked to by the user. It is recommended that users wishing to make copies from BREE publications contact the Executive Director, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE). 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ISSN (Online): 2203-8337 Postal address: Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics GPO Box 1564 Canberra ACT 2601 Australia Email: info@bree.gov.au Web: www.bree.gov.au Acknowledgements: The 2014 Australian Energy Update and accompanying 2014 Australian Energy Statistics were prepared by Allison Ball, Alex Feng, Caitlin McCluskey, Pam Pham, George Stanwix and Tom Willcock. The authors would like to express their appreciation for the assistance and support provided by colleagues in BREE, Department of Industry, Department of Environment, the Clean Energy Regulator, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, the Australian Energy Market Operator, the Independent Market Operator of Western Australia, Northern Territory Power and Water Corporation and various other state government agencies. Cover image source: Shutterstock 2 Foreword Australia’s energy markets are undergoing significant transformations, through changing patterns of demand and supply, developments in international markets and technological change. To help plan for this future and to make sound policy and investment decisions, Australia needs accurate, comprehensive and readily-accessible energy data. The Australian Energy Statistics is the authoritative and official source of energy data for Australia and forms the basis of Australia’s international energy reporting obligations. It is updated each year and consists of detailed historical energy consumption, production and trade statistics. This edition contains the latest data for 2012–13. I encourage you to use the data that is available at www.bree.gov.au. The latest set of statistics shows that energy production in Australia is continuing to rise, but that most of this growth in production is to support our export markets, with energy commodity exports remaining strong. Domestic energy consumption fell marginally, with growth in the mining and some manufacturing sectors more than offset by a decline in energy used in electricity generation. The majority of our electricity generation continues to be based on coal, but coal-fired generation is falling sharply, in contrast to growth in gas and renewable electricity generation. For the first time this year, BREE has released a Guide to the Australian Energy Statistics. This guide aims to improve user understanding, transparency and accessibility of the dataset. It contains information on the publication tables, definitions and concepts, data sources and methodology, and conversion factors. The guide and accompanying dataset will be further developed in the next few years. BREE welcomes any feedback, which can be provided to energy@bree.gov.au. Wayne Calder Deputy Executive Director Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics July 2014 3 Contents Foreword 3 Summary 5 1. About the Australian Energy Statistics 7 2. Energy consumption 9 By fuel type 9 By industry 11 By region 13 3. Energy production 14 Primary production 14 Electricity generation 15 4. Energy trade 18 Exports 18 Imports 19 Figures Figure 1: Australian energy flows, 2012–13 6 Figure 2: Australian energy intensity 9 Figure 3: Australian energy consumption, by fuel type 10 Figure 4: Australian net energy consumption, by industry 11 Figure 5: Australian energy production, by fuel type 14 Figure 6: Australian electricity generation, by fuel type 16 Figure 7: Australian electricity generation from renewable energy sources 17 Figure 8: Australian energy exports, by fuel type 18 Figure 9: Australian energy imports, by fuel type 19 Tables Table 1: 2014 Australian Energy Statistics tables 7 Table 2: Australian energy consumption, by fuel type 10 Table 3: Australian renewable energy consumption, by fuel type 11 Table 4: Australian net energy consumption, by industry 12 Table 5: Australian total final energy consumption, by industry 13 Table 6: Australian energy consumption, by state and territory 13 Table 7: Australian energy production, by fuel type 14 Table 8: Australian electricity generation, by fuel type 16 Table 9: Australian energy exports, by fuel type 19 Table 10: Australian energy imports, by fuel type 20 4 Summary Energy consumption Australian energy consumption fell marginally in 2012–13, to around 5 884 petajoules, despite continued growth in the Australian economy. Growth in energy consumption in the mining, manufacturing and commercial and services sectors was offset by a fall in energy use for electricity generation. Final energy consumption (energy consumed by end-use sectors excluding energy used in conversion activities such as electricity generation) rose by 2 per cent in 2012–13. Oil remained the largest primary energy source in Australia, at 38 per cent in 2012–13, followed by coal (33 per cent) and natural gas (24 per cent). Renewables accounted for 6 per cent of Australia’s energy mix in 2012–13. Oil and gas consumption increased by 1 per cent and 2 per cent respectively in 2012–13, while use of renewable energy rose by 12 per cent. In contrast, coal consumption fell by 6 per cent. Energy consumption in New South Wales and Victoria continued to fall in 2012–13, although they remained the largest energy using states. Growth in energy use in Western Australia and Queensland remained strong, supported by growth in the mining and manufacturing sectors. Energy production Australian energy production, in energy content terms, rose by 9 per cent to 19 318 petajoules in 2012–13, supported by increases in black coal, uranium oxide and natural gas production. Black coal production increased by 9 per cent, uranium oxide by 18 per cent and natural gas by 14 per cent in 2012–13. Most of this expansion was in projects destined for export markets. Australia’s energy flows in 2012–13, from production to end use, are presented in Figure 1. In contrast, Australian oil production declined by 12 per cent in 2012–13, with new capacity not sufficient to offset the continued decline in ageing fields. Electricity generation Total electricity generation in Australia continued to decline in 2012–13, by 0.3 per cent to 249 terawatt hours (897 petajoules). This reflects the fall in electricity demand in the industrial and residential sectors in recent years in the National Electricity Market, although has been partially offset by continued growth in off-grid generation. Despite a 7 per cent decline in coal-fired generation in 2012–13, coal remained the largest source of electricity generation in Australia at 64 per cent. Natural gas accounted for 20 per cent of the electricity mix in 2012–13, with gas-fired generation rising by 5 per cent. Renewable generation rebounded in 2012–13 to rise by 26 per cent, to comprise 13 per cent of total generation in Australia. Most of this growth is attributable to increased hydro energy generation, although wind and solar energy also continued to grow strongly. Energy trade Energy exports, in energy content terms, rose by 14 per cent to 15 504 petajoules in 2012–13, supported by strong growth in black coal, uranium oxide and liquefied natural gas exports. This is equivalent to around 80 per cent of Australian energy production. Energy imports also increased strongly, by 5 per cent in 2012–13 to 2 310 petajoules. Crude oil and refined products accounted for the majority of Australia’s energy imports. 5 Figure 1: Australian energy flows, 2012–13 Note: Some totals do not add due to statistical discrepancies and rounding. Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table A and H. 6 1. About the Australian Energy Statistics The Australian Energy Statistics (AES) is the authoritative and official source of annual energy data for Australia. It provides information designed to increase the understanding of energy supply and use in Australia, to support decision making in government and industry, and to meet Australia’s annual international energy reporting obligations. This official energy data set also underpins the calculation of Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions from energy use by the Department of Environment. The AES provides detailed energy consumption, production and trade statistics, by state and territory, by energy type, and by industry, in energy content and physical units. The most detailed sub-sectoral coverage is provided in the energy-intensive manufacturing sectors and for Australia as a whole. Where possible, the data is compiled and presented using concepts and definitions intended to align the AES with the framework used by the International Energy Agency (IEA). Key data sources include facility level reporting from the National Greenhouse and Energy Reporting Scheme (NGERS), BREE databases, estimates using statistical techniques, datasets from other Australian and state government agencies, and public company reporting. The AES has been published by BREE (2012 to present) and previously by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resources Economics and Sciences (ABARES) (1989 to 2011), and various former Australian government agencies, since the mid-1970s. The AES dataset is made available through a series of tables in Excel format at www.bree.gov.au. A list of the AES tables available on the BREE website is provided in Table 1. Table 1: 2014 Australian Energy Statistics tables Table A Table B Table C Table D Table E Table F Table G Table H Table I Table J Table K Table L Table M Table N Table O Table P Table Q Australian energy supply and consumption, energy units Australian energy intensity and energy consumption per person, by state, energy units Australian total net energy consumption, by state, by fuel, energy units Australian total net energy consumption, by state, by detailed fuel, energy units Australian total net energy consumption, by state, by industry, energy units Australian energy consumption, by state, by industry, by fuel, energy units Australian energy consumption, by state, by fuel, physical units Australian total final energy consumption, by fuel, by industry, energy units Australian production of primary fuels, by state, physical units Australian energy supply and trade, by fuel type, energy units Australian consumption of petroleum products, by state, physical units Australian consumption of electricity, by state, physical units Australian energy imports, by fuel type, physical units Australian energy exports, by fuel type, physical units Australian electricity generation, by state, by fuel type, physical units Australian consumption and production of coal, by state, physical units Australian consumption and production of natural gas, by state, physical units The AES is accompanied by the Australian Energy Update, a short article highlighting recent trends in Australian energy consumption, production and trade. In 2014, the Guide to the Australian Energy Statistics was released for the first time, to assist users 7 in better understanding the AES and to increase the transparency of the dataset. It contains information on the publication tables, definitions and concepts, data sources and methodology, and conversion factors. 8 2. Energy consumption Energy consumption measures the total amount of energy used within the Australian economy. It is equal to indigenous production plus imports minus exports (and changes in stocks). It includes energy consumed in energy conversion activities, such as electricity generation and petroleum refining, but excludes derived fuels produced domestically to avoid double counting. It can be referred to as total net energy consumption and is also equal to total primary energy supply. Further detail is provided in BREE 2014 Guide to the Australian Energy Statistics. In 2012–13, Australian energy consumption fell marginally compared with the previous year, to 5 884 petajoules. While energy consumption fell, the Australian economy grew by 2.6 per cent in 2012–13. Energy consumption in the mining, manufacturing and commercial and services sectors continued to rise, partially offsetting a decline in energy use in electricity generation. Over the past three decades, growth in energy consumption has generally remained below the rate of economic growth (Figure 2). This indicates a longer term decline in the ratio of energy use to activity of the Australian economy, or energy intensity. This can be attributed to two key factors: improvements in energy efficiency associated with technological advancement; and a shift in industry structure towards less energy-intensive sectors such as commercial and services. In 2012–13, energy intensity, as defined by the ratio of energy consumption to gross domestic product, declined by nearly 3 per cent. Figure 2: Australian energy intensity Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table B. By fuel type Oil, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and refined products, accounted for the largest share of Australian energy consumption, at 38 per cent in 2012–13 (Table 2). Increased consumption of oil in the mining and transport sectors contributed to overall growth of 1 per cent in Australian oil consumption in 2012–13. 9 Table 2: Australian energy consumption, by fuel type 2012-13 Coal Oil Gas Renewables Total PJ 1 946 2 221 1 386 330 5 884 share (%) 33.1 37.7 23.6 5.6 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) -5.9 -1.4 1.3 2.4 2.2 3.3 11.5 1.9 -0.5 1.1 Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table C. Coal remained the second largest primary fuel consumed in 2012–13, but its relative share of total Australian energy consumption has continued to fall (Figure 3). In 2012–13 black and brown coal together accounted for 33 per cent of total energy consumption, its lowest share since the early 1970s. Coal consumption fell by 6 per cent in 2012–13, underpinned by falling coal use in the electricity generation and iron and steel sectors. This reflects not only a decline in output in both these sectors, but also a shift away from use of coal in electricity generation in recent years. Figure 3: Australian energy consumption, by fuel type Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table C. The share of natural gas in Australia’s energy mix has increased in recent years, supported by greater uptake in the electricity generation sector and growth in industrial use, particularly in the nonferrous metals sector. In 2012–13, natural gas accounted for 24 per cent of total energy consumption. Gas consumption rose by 2 per cent in 2012–13, supported by an expansion in alumina output and additional gas-fired electricity generation capacity. Renewable energy sources accounted for the remaining 6 per cent of total energy consumption in 2012–13, with its share of the energy mix increasing compared with the previous year. In 2012–13 renewable energy consumption rose by 12 per cent, with growth in all renewable energy sources except for biogas and biofuels (Table 3). 10 Table 3: Australian renewable energy consumption, by fuel type 2012-13 Biomass Biogas Biofuels Hydro Wind Solar PV Solar hotwater Total PJ 184 14 12 66 26 14 13 330 share (%) 55.9 4.3 3.8 20.0 8.0 4.2 3.9 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) 6.2 -1.1 -5.0 5.4 -3.8 24.2 29.7 1.3 19.9 29.7 49.2 56.4 3.9 19.3 11.5 1.9 Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table D, F and O. Hydro was a significant driver of growth in renewable energy use in 2012–13, increasing by 30 per cent relative to 2011–12, reflecting increased water inflows in south eastern Australia as well as improved relative costs of hydro under the carbon price. Solar PV and wind energy use also grew strongly over the same period, by 49 and 20 per cent, respectively. Consumption of biomass, including wood and bagasse, rose by 6 per cent in 2012–13, primarily driven by increased bagasse consumption for heat in the food, beverage and tobacco sector. This was underpinned by the recovery in sugar cane harvest in 2012–13 from tropical cyclone Yasi the previous year. By industry The electricity supply, transport and manufacturing sectors were the largest energy users in 2012–13 (Figure 4). Together these sectors accounted for around 76 per cent of total Australian net energy consumption. Figure 4: Australian net energy consumption, by industry a Includes ANZSIC Divisions F, G, H, J, K, L, M, N, O, P, Q, R, S and the water supply, sewerage and drainage service industries. b Includes consumption of lubricants and greases, bitumen and solvents, as well as energy consumption in the gas production and distribution, and construction industries. Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table E. The electricity supply sector accounted for the largest share, 28 per cent, of Australia’s total net energy consumption in 2012–13 (Table 4). In 2012–13 energy consumption in this sector (including fuel inputs to electricity generation and own use) declined by 6 per cent, reflecting reduced 11 electricity demand. The transport sector was the second largest net energy consumer, accounting for 26 per cent of the total. In 2012–13, increased energy use in road, rail and air transport resulted in a marginal increase in energy consumption in the transport sector. Table 4: Australian net energy consumption, by industry 2012-13 Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Construction Electricity supply Transport Commercial Residential Other Total PJ 99 486 1 275 25 1 626 1 545 308 454 66 5 884 share (%) 1.7 8.3 21.7 0.4 27.6 26.3 5.2 7.7 1.1 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) 1.1 0.2 8.7 5.7 1.5 1.0 -1.6 -1.1 -5.9 -0.2 0.2 1.8 3.2 1.6 0.3 1.0 -2.4 -2.5 -0.5 1.1 Note: Other includes consumption of lubricants and greases, bitumen and solvents, and energy consumption in the gas production and distribution industries. Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table E. The manufacturing sector accounted for 22 per cent of total net energy consumption in 2012–13. Energy consumption in the manufacturing sector increased by nearly 2 per cent in 2012–13, as growth in energy use in the food, beverage and tobacco and the non-ferrous metals subsectors offset declines in other manufacturing subsectors. In particular, growth in alumina output supported an increase in gas consumption in the non-ferrous metals subsector. In contrast, the closure of the Kurri Kurri aluminium smelter in 2012 reduced electricity consumption in that sector. The closure of the Clyde oil refinery and conversion to an import terminal in 2012 led to a decline in energy use in the petroleum refining sector. Energy consumption in the mining sector continued to grow strongly in 2012–13, by 9 per cent. This reflects the transition from investment to production phase of the mining boom, with significant increases in production across a range of resources and energy commodities. In the year to April 2013, according to BREE’s Resources and Energy Major Projects List, production capacity expanded by 100 million tonnes for iron ore, 22 million tonnes for coal, 4.3 million tonnes for LNG and 2 million tonnes for alumina. Energy use also expanded in the commercial and services and the residential sectors in 2012–13. However, the rate of growth in energy consumption in the residential sector has slowed in recent years. Electricity consumption in the residential sector fell by 2 per cent in 2012–13, in response to higher electricity prices and adoption of more energy efficient practices. Consumption in the residential sector includes own electricity generation from rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. Total final energy consumption is the energy used by the final or ‘end-use’ sectors, and can be seen as a subset of total energy supplied. It includes all energy consumed, except for the consumption of energy that is used to convert or transform primary energy into different forms of energy. For example, refinery feedstock that is used to produce petroleum products and fuels consumed in the generation of electricity are both excluded. Final energy consumption increased by 2 per cent in 2012–13 (Table 5). This growth in end-use energy consumption partially offset the decline in energy conversion sectors such as electricity generation. 12 Table 5: Australian total final energy consumption, by industry 2012-13 PJ 99 486 1 072 25 1 525 308 454 53 4 022 Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Construction Transport Commercial Residential Other Total share (%) 2.5 12.1 26.6 0.6 37.9 7.6 11.3 1.3 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 1.1 8.7 3.3 -1.6 0.1 3.2 0.3 -3.0 2.2 Note: Energy consumption in manufacturing, transport and other differs from Table 4 due to exclusion of energy used in conversion activities. Other includes consumption of lubricants and greases, bitumen and solvents. Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table H. By region New South Wales and Victoria were the largest energy consumers in 2012–13, together accounting for about half of Australia’s energy consumption (Table 6). This was followed by Queensland (23 per cent) and Western Australia (18 per cent). In 2012–13, declining energy consumption in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and the Northern Territory outweighed growth in Queensland, Western Australia and Tasmania. Table 6: Australian energy consumption, by state and territory 2012-13 New South Wales a Victoria Queensland South Australia Western Australia Tasmania Northern Territory Total PJ 1 573 1 413 1 326 330 1 035 110 97 5 884 share (%) 26.7 24.0 22.5 5.6 17.6 1.9 1.7 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) -2.9 0.0 -3.2 0.4 2.0 2.3 -1.7 -1.1 3.8 3.1 4.6 0.7 -0.1 6.0 -0.5 1.1 a Includes Australian Capital Territory. Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table C. In 2012–13 energy consumption in Western Australia and Queensland increased by 4 and 2 per cent, respectively. Increased energy use in the mining, manufacturing and electricity generation sectors underpinned the growth in Western Australia. In Queensland the increase in energy consumption was supported by growth in the manufacturing, transport and mining sectors, which more than offset the decline in energy use in the electricity generation sector. The increase in Tasmanian consumption, by 5 per cent, was the result of the growth in the pulp, paper and printing, and electricity generation sectors. In New South Wales, falling energy consumption in the manufacturing and electricity generation sectors contributed to a 3 per cent decline in total energy consumption. The closure of two large industrial users in 2012—the Kurri Kurri aluminium smelter and the Clyde oil refinery—was a significant contributor to this decline. In Victoria, declines in energy use in the electricity generation sector led to a 3 per cent fall in total consumption in 2012–13. South Australia’s total energy consumption also fell by 2 per cent over the same period. 13 3. Energy production Primary production Energy production is defined as the total amount of primary energy produced in the Australian economy, as measured before consumption or transformation. Forms of renewable energy that produce electricity directly without a thermal component, such as wind, hydro and solar PV, are considered primary energy sources, whereas coal-fired electricity generation is considered secondary energy production as the coal is already accounted for when mined. In 2012–13, Australia produced 19 318 petajoules of primary energy (Figure 5). This was an increase of more than 9 per cent on 2011–12 production levels (Table 7), and is more than three times domestic energy consumption. Australia is a large net energy exporter, particularly of coal, uranium oxide and natural gas. Figure 5: Australian energy production, by fuel type Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. Table 7: Australian energy production, by fuel type Black coal Brown coal Gas Oil and NGL LPG Renewables Uranium Total 2012-13 PJ share (%) 10 790 55.9 647 3.4 2 439 12.6 787 4.1 95 0.5 330 1.7 4 229 21.9 19 318 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) 9.2 4.1 -13.3 -1.3 14.3 5.8 -11.6 -4.0 -7.5 -3.0 11.5 1.9 17.5 -0.7 9.4 2.3 Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. Energy production growth in 2012–13 was mainly a result of development and expansion of projects for export markets. A number of large coal projects in New South Wales’ Hunter Valley and Gunnedah Basin and Queensland’s Bowen Basin commenced production, contributing to a 9 per cent increase in black coal production. The largest project, Rio Tinto/Mitsubishi’s Hunter Valley 14 operations, added 6 million tonnes a year (around 150 petajoules) of new capacity. Narrabri (4.5 million tonnes), Mount Arthur (4 million tonnes) and Bengalla (1.5 million tonnes) in New South Wales, and Burton (2.5 million tonnes) in Queensland also contributed significant additional capacity. Pluto LNG, Australia’s third gas export facility, also started operations in 2012–13, increasing Australia’s gas export capacity by more than 20 per cent. This supported a 14 per cent rise in Australian gas production. Production from coal seam gas accounted for 12 per cent of total gas production in 2012–13 (on an energy content basis), and rose by 3 per cent over the same period. Uranium production also increased significantly at the Ranger mine in the Northern Territory as it returned to full production in the second half of 2012 following flooding earlier in the year. In contrast, brown coal production fell by around 13 per cent in 2012–13, in line with a fall in brown coal-fired electricity generation. Domestic crude oil and LPG production also fell significantly, by around 12 per cent and 7 per cent respectively. While some new projects commenced production during the year, this additional capacity was not sufficient to offset the decline in production from ageing fields in eastern Australia. Renewable energy production rose by 12 per cent in 2012–13 to reach 330 petajoules, due to strong growth in hydroelectricity, wind and solar PV energy. However, renewables continued to only account for 2 per cent of total energy production. Electricity generation Total electricity generation in Australia has been gradually decreasing over the past few years (Figure 6), declining from 253 terawatt hours (around 911 petajoules) in 2010–11 to 249 terawatt hours (897 petajoules) in 2012–13. This reflects lower demand for electricity, caused by increased energy efficiency practices in residential and non-residential sectors, mild weather across much of Australia, a reduction in industrial load, and consumer responses to higher retail electricity prices. Electricity generation includes household rooftop solar PV generation, as well as off-grid generation. In the states that are connected through the National Electricity Market (NEM), generation declined by 1.3 per cent in 2012–13. However, this decline in NEM generation is partially offset by increased generation in Western Australian (6 per cent growth) and Northern Territory (5 per cent growth), associated with the continued expansion in off-grid generation in the mining sector. It is estimated that off-grid electricity generation accounted for around 7 per cent of total generation in 2012–13. Coal continues to be the major fuel source for electricity generation, comprising about 64 per cent of the fuel mix in 2012–13 (Table 8). However, this share has decreased from 77 per cent in 2003–04, accounting for much of the decline in total electricity generation. In 2012–13 coal-fired generation declined across all states in Australia, with black and brown coal-fired generation dropping to their lowest levels since 1997–98. This decline in 2012–13 is most likely due to the increase in the relative costs of coal-fired electricity generation under carbon pricing. In contrast, natural gas-fired generation continued to rise in 2012–13, supported by new capacity coming on line in Victoria. While a relatively small share of the generation fuel mix, oil-fired generation increased significantly in 2012–13, largely in Queensland and Western Australia and may be largely attributed to increased demand for power in remote mining regions. 15 Figure 6: Australian electricity generation, by fuel type a includes oil and multi-fuel fired power plants. b includes wind, hydro, solar PV, bioenergy and geothermal. Source: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics, Table O. Table 8: Australian electricity generation, by fuel type Fossil fuels Black coal Brown coal Gas Oil Other a Renewable energy Bioenergy Wind Hydro Solar PV Geothermal Total 2012-13 GWh share (%) 216 509 86.9 111 491 44.8 47 555 19.1 51 053 20.5 4 464 1.8 1 945 0.8 32 566 13.1 3 151 1.3 7 328 2.9 18 270 7.3 3 817 1.5 1 0.0 249 075 100 average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) -3.4 0.3 -4.4 -0.9 -13.6 -1.7 5.1 5.7 65.2 13.9 78.8 0.8 26.2 6.2 3.5 6.4 19.9 29.7 29.7 1.3 49.2 56.4 0.0 0.0 -0.3 0.9 a includes multi-fuel fired power plants. Source: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics, Table O. The share of renewables in Australian electricity generation has also risen from approximately 8 per cent in 2003–04 to 13 per cent in 2012–13. The strong uptake of renewables has been driven by a range of factors, including Australian and state government policies and programs. Wind and solar PV continued to grow strongly, by 20 per cent and 49 per cent in 2012–13 (Figure 7). However, these fuels accounted for only 3 per cent and 1.5 per cent of total electricity generation in Australia. Wind generation was particularly prevalent in South Australia in 2012–13, making up 25 per cent of the total fuel mix for that state. Most of the growth in renewables was driven by hydro generation, which increased by 30 per cent in 2012–13, after lower water inflows in Australia’s southern regions caused a decline in 2011–12. 16 Figure 7: Australian electricity generation from renewable energy sources Source: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics, Table O. 17 4. Energy trade Exports Australia has long been a large and globally significant net energy exporter. Australia’s energy exports grew by 14 per cent in 2012–13 in energy content terms, to reach 15 504 petajoules, which is equal to around 80 per cent of total energy production. This strong growth was led by Australia’s three largest energy exports: black coal, uranium oxide and liquefied natural gas (LNG) (Figure 8). Figure 8: Australian energy exports, by fuel type Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. Black coal exports increased by more than 11 per cent in 2012–13 to reach 9 485 petajoules (around 336 million tonnes) (Table 9), as production rebounded at existing mines and ramped up at a number of new projects completed in 2012. Coal exports have grown at 5 per cent a year over the past decade as strong global demand (particularly from China) has stimulated investment in numerous expansions and new mine and infrastructure capacity. Uranium oxide exports increased by 21 per cent in 2012–13, to 3 944 petajoules (around 8 391 tonnes). This was largely due to the Ranger mine in the Northern Territory returning to full production in the second half of 2012 following flooding earlier in the year. Despite recent growth, uranium oxide exports have fallen over the last decade, mainly due to Japanese demand plummeting following the Fukushima disaster in March 2011. LNG exports increased by 27 per cent in 2012–13, and reached 1 303 petajoules (around 23.9 million tonnes). The start-up of Pluto LNG in Western Australia in mid-2012 was mainly responsible for this growth as it contributed around 220 petajoules (4.3 million tonnes) of additional production capacity. A tight global LNG market combined with improved plant operations saw North West Shelf (NWS) and Darwin LNG increase exports as well. Over the past decade, two new LNG trains built at NWS (in 2004 and 2008), and the start-up of Darwin LNG in 2006 and Pluto in 2012 have been responsible for sustained LNG export growth of 13 per cent a year. In contrast, crude oil, naturally occurring LPG and refined product exports all fell in 2012–13. Crude oil and LPG exports fell by 8 per cent to 648 petajoules (around 18 147 million litres), in line with declining production from ageing fields. Australia’s domestic refining sector has also been under mounting pressure from international competition. This has reduced Australian refineries’ ability to 18 find export markets for locally produced products as well as increasing competition in the domestic market. Reflecting this, the Clyde oil refinery ceased operations in October 2012 and converted to an import terminal. Refined product exports continued to fall in 2012–13 by 5 per cent to 125 petajoules (around 3 232 million litres). Table 9: Australian energy exports, by fuel type 2012-13 PJ share (%) 9 485 61.2 1 303 8.4 648 4.2 125 0.8 3 944 25.4 15 504 100 Black coal Gas Oil and LPG Refined products Uranium Total Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) 11.4 4.8 26.9 13.1 -7.7 -1.3 -5.4 -3.6 21.3 -0.9 13.8 3.1 Imports Australia’s energy imports also grew in 2012–13, to reach 2 310 petajoules, a 5 per cent increase from 2011–12 (Table 10). Crude oil and refined product imports continue to comprise the majority of imported energy, with gas from the Joint Petroleum Development Area in the Timor Sea (which is liquefied at Darwin before being re-exported) coming in third (Figure 9). Figure 9: Australian energy imports, by fuel type Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. Imports of crude oil and refined products have been growing strongly in recent years. Expansion in international refining capacity, particularly in Singapore, combined with growth in the mining and transport sectors has seen Australian imports of automotive gasoline, diesel fuel and aviation turbine fuel all grow strongly. As discussed above, ageing domestic refineries are finding it difficult to compete with vast and more modern refineries in Asia that hold significant technological and economies-of-scale benefits over Australian refineries. Total refined product imports increased by 8 per cent in 2012–13 to 880 petajoules (around 23 409 million litres). Around 39 per cent of Australia’s consumption of refined products was met by imports in 2012–13, compared with only 11 per cent a decade ago. 19 Crude oil imports have also grown as refineries on the east coast of Australia increasingly use imported oil from Asia, the Middle East and North Africa. Crude oil and LPG imports rose by 1 per cent in 2012–13, to reach 1 185 petajoules (around 30 886 million litres). The relatively high proportion of imports reflects that the majority of Australia’s oil production occurs off the North West coast of Australia, so is mostly exported to the closer Asian refineries than to domestic refineries. In addition, the crude oil grades produced in Australia are generally not as well suited for use by Australian refineries as those from other major producing countries. Table 10: Australian energy imports, by fuel type 2012-13 PJ 1 185 880 244 1 2 310 share (%) 51.3 38.1 10.6 0.1 100 Oil and LPG Refined products Gas Coke Total Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table J. average annual growth 2012-13 (%) 10 years (%) 1.3 2.7 8.4 10.2 12.1 9.7 11.6 5.0 6.6 20