Classification: Biological Sciences – Applied Biological Sciences Role for Stromal Heterogeneity in Prostate Tumorigenesis Maria A. Kiskowski,1* Roger S. Jackson 2nd,2,3* Jheelam Banerjee,2,3 Minchul Kang,5 Omar E. Franco,2,3 Simon W. Hayward,2,3,4 and Neil A. Bhowmick2,3,4** 1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL 36688. 2 Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Departments of 3Urologic Surgery, 4Cancer Biology, and 5 Molecular Physiology and Biophysics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN 37232. * Both authors contributed equally. **Address correspondence to: Neil A. Bhowmick Department of Urologic Surgery, A-1302 Medical Center North 1161 21st Avenue South Nashville, TN 37232-2765 Tel.; 615-343-7140 Fax: 615-322-5869 neil.bhowmick@vanderbilt.edu Manuscript Information: # Text pages = 6, # Figures = 5 ABSTRACT Targeted knockout of the type II TGF-ß receptor in mouse prostate stroma is known to yield prostatic intra-epithelial neoplasia, a non-invasive pre-malignant phenotype. A mathematical model was developed to elucidate the counterintuitive experimental result that the receptor knockout stroma resulted in more advanced invasive tumors when mixed with normal healthy stromal cells in tissue recombination allografts. The computational model investigates a hypothetical mechanism in which invasion develops in two independent tumorigenic steps. Each step is facilitated by a different stromal component resulting in stromal heterogeneity generating the maximal tumorigenesis. This mechanism can be generalized for other contexts in which a morphogen may be abundant in healthy tissue, but is identified as tumorigenic in transformed tissue. The computational model is biologically intuitive, extremely flexible, and has been refined by successive input of biological data. Complex spatial relationships, environmental context, and cell differentiation can be incorporated into the model at the level of experimental detail. Further, simulation response variables can be measured in ways that are analogous to experimental protocols. Informed by biological parameters, the computational model implicates a role for stromal heterogeneity in prostate tumorigenesis. 2 INTRODUCTION Organ development and epithelial tumor progression are the result of stromalepithelial interactions that are both reciprocal and sequential. Organ development is the result of the interaction of multiple tissue groups and often depends on the prior state of the tissue (1). Prostate cancer (PCa), the most common non-cutaneous cancer in men, is initiated by the transformation of luminal epithelial cells that line the prostatic ducts. These cells begin dividing abnormally and result in carcinoma in situ [or prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN)] (2). The transformed epithelia can further lose their polarity and invade through the basement membrane into the surrounding prostatic stroma. The sequential progression of epithelial differentiation to adenocarcinoma is dictated by its intrinsic genetic stability as well as the microenvironment (3-5). Tgfbr2fspKO mice, with a conditional knockout of the TGF-ß type II receptor (TßRII) in stromal fibroblasts, develop PIN lesions and subsequently prostate adenocarcinoma (6, 7). Human PCa is analogously associated with the loss of TßRII expression in the stromal compartment (7, 8). We used a flexible, biologically intuitive, hybrid computational model to investigate mechanisms for cell-cell communication in stromal and epithelial compartments on tumor initiation and progression. Hybrid mathematical modeling has developed into a means of explaining biologic mechanisms that span a range of spatial scales (for example, macro-scale cellular interactions with micro-scale morphogen diffusion). Cancer invasion and angiogenesis are important elements of tumorigenesis and have been modeled using hybrid approaches (9-11). Cell-based models in which individual cells are explicitly represented are well-suited to modeling cancer since they 3 describe individual cell behaviors and easily account for spatial cell heterogeneity (12, 13). Hybrid models combine explicit representation of cells with continuum descriptions, for example, of nutrient and waste diffusion (11, 14-16). Our hybrid model combines a discrete model for the differentiation of individual cells with a continuum model of morphogen diffusion. In vivo tissue recombination, in vitro biological models, and mathematical modeling together test and support hypotheses for inter-cellular signaling within a heterogeneous stromal compartment and cancer progression. Biological and computational modeling data indicate the role of stromal heterogeneity in the development of prostate adenocarcinoma. RESULTS AND ANALYSIS Stromal heterogeneity: a two-step mechanism for paracrine signaling-mediated tumor progression. Previous studies have suggested CD90 to be a marker heterogeneously expressed in PCa associated stromal cells (17). To further explore the role of stromal TGF-ß signaling in PCa progression, we co-localized CD90 and phosphorylated-Smad2 expression by immunofluorescence in human PCa associated and non-cancer associated stromal fibroblastic cells. Interestingly, CD90 and phosphorylated-Smad2 expression was heterogeneous in the stromal cells of human PCa tissues (Fig 1A). CD90 expression was generally limited to cancer associated stromal cells compartments lacking associated phosphorylated-Smad2 with benign expression. epithelia However, expressed both stromal CD90 and phosphorylated-Smad2. Tgfbr2fspKO mice were also found to have a heterogeneous loss of downstream Smad2 activation in stromal fibroblasts (Fig. 1B). 4 To determine the biological ramification of the observed stromal heterogeneity in TGF-ß signaling, tissue recombination allografting experiments were conducted. Prostatic stromal cells from control Tgfbr2floxE2/floxE2 mice (Tgfbr2-flox), and those from Tgfbr2fspKO (Tgfbr2-KO) were cultured. The culturing of prostatic stromal cells from Tgfbr2fspKO mice beyond six passages results in Tgfbr2 knockout in 100% of the cells, as the knockout cells proliferate much more rapidly (18). The recombination of wild-type (WT) prostatic epithelial organoids with Tgfbr2-flox stroma under the renal capsule of syngeneic mice for 12 weeks yielded recombinants with morphologically normal prostatic growth (Fig. 2). In contrast, recombination of WT prostatic epithelial organoids with Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells resulted in PIN development in the same time period. However, prostatic recombinants resulting from the equal mixture of Tgfbr2-KO and Tgfbr2-flox stromal cells resulted in prostatic adenocarcinoma. This striking observation suggested that a) Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells contribute to initiating epithelial transformation and b) the progression to a more aggressive phenotype (invasion) was the result of the addition of the Tgfbr2-flox stroma. Thus, we hypothesized that the normal (TGF-ß responsive) stroma contributed to cancer progression. This in vivo stromal heterogeneity experiment supporting cancer progression yielded a two-step paracrine model of tumorigenesis. In step 1, Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells produce a diffusive signal, morphogen-1 (M1), which causes epithelial cells to transform from normal to proliferative. And in step 2, Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells produce a diffusive signal, morphogen-2 (M2), which supports the progression of proliferative epithelial cells to invade through the ductal basement membrane. 5 Tumorigenesis computational model. A spatially explicit mathematic model that describes morphogenetic interactions of the epithelial and stromal fibroblastic cells was developed to test and simulate the proposed hypothetical mechanism for tumor progression. We modeled the transformation of epithelial cells in response to steadystate concentrations of morphogens secreted by stromal cells. The model was spatially explicit, based on tissue geometry of a histologic section of mouse prostate, where epithelial cells line the ducts and stromal cells are scattered at a lower density in the region between ducts. Although the experimental system is 3-dimensional (3-D), as a first approximation we modeled a 2-dimensional (2-D) cross-section of the allograft (SI Fig. 1A). Stromal cells located at discrete locations were randomly labeled as point sources (SI Figure 1B) for either morphogen M1 or M2 with probabilities depending upon the fraction of Tgfbr2-KO and Tgfbr2-WT stromal fibroblasts, respectively. Morphogen diffusion of stromal products occurred throughout a domain defined as the area between and around the ducts (such that the basement membrane limited random diffusion). Epithelial cells, initially non-transformed, responded to (steady-state) morphogen levels by transforming if they were coincident with threshold morphogen levels. Epithelial cells transformed from normal to proliferative at threshold levels of M1 (secreted by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells), and transformed from proliferative to invasive at threshold levels of M2 (secreted by Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells). Cell division, cell apoptosis, and cell movement were not simulated. In particular, the model is not explicitly time resolved as we consider the response of cells to steady state morphogen concentrations. This was reasonable, as steady state morphogen concentrations establish at time scales that are fast compared to cell responses (19, 20). 6 Implementation of the two-step mechanism in a computational model yielded results that reproduced experimental observations. In simulations, the ratio of Tgfbr2KO and Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells was varied from 0 to 1. The measured response variable for all simulations was the fraction of epithelial cells that transformed (step 1 proliferative or step 2 invasive). The fraction of transformed epithelial cells for a typical set of simulation parameters is shown in (Fig. 3A). For 100% Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells (fraction altered stroma, FAS=0.00), there were no associated proliferative or invasive epithelial cells. For 100% Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells (FAS=1.00), there were only proliferative epithelia (Step 1). The computational model yielded the greatest invasion at heterogeneous mixtures of stromal cells. Key model parameters could be varied to tune the fraction of epithelial cells that became proliferative or invasive; however, all parameters yielded results that were either identically zero (no proliferative or invasive epithelial cells) or qualitatively similar to those shown in Fig. 3A, in which the fraction of proliferative epithelial cells increased monotonically from zero with the fraction of Tgfbr2-KO stroma (Step 1) and the fraction of invasive epithelia was non-zero only for intermediate fractions of Tgfbr2-KO stroma (Step 2). Key simulation parameters (see Methods for details) included: the diffusion length L of each morphogen, defined as the average distance diffused by a morphogen in its lifetime; the abundance A of each morphogen, defined as the total steady state amount of morphogen contributed by a single stromal cell; and the threshold level T at which an epithelial cell responds and transforms to each morphogen. By varying these parameters, we found three distinct simulation outcomes: 1) no epithelial cells became proliferative or invasive, 2) some epithelial cells became proliferative but none became 7 invasive, or 3) some epithelial cells became proliferative and some subset of the proliferative cells also became invasive; for example, as a function of the abundance A of each morphogen (Fig. 3B). The morphogen abundance was normalized by the threshold level TM1 and TM2 required for epithelial response to M1 and M2. For low abundance levels of M1 (e.g., for A1/T1 < 200) no epithelial transformation occurred. For higher M1 abundance, cells became proliferative. Finally, cells became invasive only if both M1 and M2 abundance levels were sufficiently high. It was experimentally observed that at a 1:1 Tgfbr2-KO:Tgfbr2-WT stromal fibroblastic cell ratio, the majority of epithelial cells became proliferative while a minority of epithelial cells became invasive. Model parameters could be tuned to match experimental epithelial transformation rates. Since increasing the diffusion length L, increasing the abundance A, and decreasing the threshold level T all had the effect of increasing the fraction of cells that transform; this tuning was non-unique. In the Supplemental Information (SI), we describe how we tuned the parameters to find a nonunique set that generated and matched experimental results for the fraction of proliferative and invasive epithelial cells (SI Figure S2-S3), and that the model predicted tissue morphology and stromal cell density influence upon epithelial progression toward cancer (SI Figure S4). Computational Model Accommodation of Experimentally Measured Production of Putative Morphogens. In vitro experiments were performed to test the biologic viability of the modeling assumption that each stromal cell type uniquely produces a morphogen that acts on the other cell type. Candidate secreted factors dominantly expressed by 8 stromal cells that support proliferation and/or invasive cancer progression, include Wnt3a and SDF1, respectively (7, 18, 21, 22). Initially, Tgfbr2-WT and Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells were grown in co-culture and analyzed as a mixture. SDF1 mRNA levels decreased in a linear manner with increasing percentage of Tgfbr2-KO prostate stromal cells in the mixture (SI Figure S5). Together with previously published Wnt-3a data, this suggested that Tgfbr2-KO stroma were dominant producers of Wnt-3a and the Tgfbr2WT cells were the dominant producers of SDF1 (7, 23). Notably, non-dominant production of morphogen was not negligible as was assumed initially in the model. The production of Wnt-3a by Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells was 20% that of Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells (7), and the production of SDF1 by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells was 25% that of Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells (SI Figure S5). In our original computational model of tumorigenesis, there was no production of M1 by Tgfbr2-WT stromal fibroblasts and no production of M2 by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells. Here, we modified the computational model to reflect the measured levels of Wnt-3a and SDF1 as putative morphogens M1 and M2, respectively. The first step of tumorigenesis is independent of the second step. Our computational model was first modified to reflect the measured levels of Wnt-3a as a putative morphogen M1. In the modified model, Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells produced M1 at basal levels that were one fifth the level produced by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells and we interrogated whether model parameters could be found for M1 (diffusion rate, decay rate, and thresholds for transformation) such that 80% of the epithelial cells would become proliferative at the 50/50 mixture of stromal cell types but 0% would become proliferative when the stromal cells are 100% normal. We found that over a large 9 parameter range (e.g., diffusion lengths 5000 m), the model could not accommodate this level of M1 production by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells. This was demonstrated (SI Figure 6A) by the observation for any diffusion length L 800 m, a threshold cannot be found such that 80% of epithelial cells would become proliferative at the 50/50 mixture but 0% of epithelial cells would become proliferative at 100% Tgfbr2-WT stroma. This was not surprising, as a straightforward calculation showed that at 0% Tgfbr2-KO stroma the levels of M1 in the tissue due to basal production by Tgfbr2-WT cells would be equal to 40% of the levels of M1 in the mixed state (SI Table 1). Secondly, our computational model was modified to reflect the measured levels of SDF1 as putative morphogen M2. In the modified model, Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells produced M2 at basal levels that were one fourth the level produced by Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells. We found that for diffusion lengths greater than 24 m (SI Figure 6A), a threshold can be found (gray region, SI Figure 6B) for which at least 20% of the epithelial cells became invasive in the mixed stromal case but no epithelial cells became invasive in the 100% Tgfbr2-KO stromal case. Cooperativity of Morphogen M2. To quantify the expression of SDF1 by the individual cell types cultured in a mixture, stromal cells were co-cultured, followed by FACS sorting based on CMFDA (green) dye labeling of the Tgfbr2-KO cells. The co-cultures were designed at the previously described ratios of Tgfbr2-KO and Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells (see Fig. 2). SDF1 expression of the sorted cells was measured by qRT-PCR. As before, SDF1 mRNA levels for Tgfbr2-WT prostate stromal cells were 4-fold greater than Tgfbr2-KO prostate stromal cells when grown alone in culture (Fig. 4B). However, 10 FACS sorting of Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells grown in 75%:25% and 50%:50% co-culture with Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells revealed an approximately 8-fold increase in SDF1 mRNA expression compared to Tgfbr2-KO cells grown alone. Interestingly, SDF1 mRNA levels of the Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells were elevated 2-fold as a result of co-culture over Tgfbr2KO cells grown alone. The results suggested that both Tgfbr2-WT and Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells may cooperatively induce production of one or more factors resulting in increased SDF1 mRNA expression. Inputting the experimentally measured relative production rates of SDF-1 for the production levels of morphogen M2 in the computational model results in the experimentally observed rate of epithelial transformation (SI Figure S7). The up-regulation of SDF1 by Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells in the case of a mixed stromal cell population indicates that the presence of Tgfbr2-KO cells is communicated in some way to the Tgfbr2-WT cells, suggesting, for example, that there is a morphogen secreted by the Tgfbr2-KO cells that Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells respond to by upregulating SDF1 expression. Simulations tested the hypothesis that an M3 could result in the cooperativity of SDF1 (Fig. 4B). In these simulations, we assumed a geometry of cells in which stromal cells were confluent and arranged on a 2-D plate, as in the the coculture experiments. We modeled the production and diffusion of an M3 expressed by Tgfbr2-KO cells that would cause the up-regulation of SDF1 in Tgfbr2-WT cells at threshold levels. We identified rates of up-regulation and threshold levels that would result in experimentally measured production rates of SDF1 for 0%, 25%, and 50% fraction of Tgfbr2-KO stroma. While we were able to find a fit within simulation error for the lowest fractions of Tgfbr2-KO stroma (gray line, Fig. 4B), these model assumptions 11 could not account for the decrease in SDF1 production for higher levels of Tgfbr2-KO stroma. In the same way the increase in SDF1 in the heterogeneous stromal mixtures logically argued for a threshold response to a factor produced by the Tgfbr2-KO stroma, the subsequent decreases in SDF1 production for higher fraction of Tgfbr2-KO cells suggested a threshold response to a factor produced by the Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells. Assuming that SDF1 was up-regulated in response to simultaneous threshold levels of an additional M3 secreted by the Tgfbr2-KO stroma and even an M4 secreted by the Tgfbr2-WT stroma allowed finding a set of parameters that resulted in SDF1 production levels that exactly matched experimentally measured levels within simulation error (dashed black line, Fig. 4B). Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells were cultured with a candidate M3, based on previous reports on factors that induce SDF1 and additionally found to be expressed by Tgfbr2KO stroma. Those Tgfbr2-KO stromal-derived factors that could up regulate SDF1, included IL-1, IL-1ß, and IL-6 (24-26). Therefore, we tested the expression of SDF1 by Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells when cultured in the presence of these factors. IL-1ß increased SDF1 expression over untreated Tgfbr2-WT cells by two-fold (Fig. 5A). Treatment of Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells with IL-1ß increased SDF1 mRNA levels nine-fold by qRTPCR. Thus, IL-1ß can be a candidate M3 in the mechanism of cooperativity between heterogeneous TGF-ß responsive prostate stromal cells. CONCLUDING DISCUSSION 12 Stromal cells underlying epithelia provide instructive paracrine signals to promote proper epithelial development and maintain homeostasis (5). The step-wise nature of progression for human carcinomas is widely recognized since the proposal of the Knudson “Two Hit Hypothesis” (27). Recent work by several labs support that alterations in the stroma alone, independent of genetic events in the epithelium, can promote progression of neighboring epithelium to cancer (6, 28-32). Paracrine- mediated cancer initiation and progression likely involves at least two distinct steps perpetuated by two or more morphogens produced by at least two independent cell types. Among the multiple prostatic stromal cell lineages, at least two sub-populations of fibroblastic stromal cells could be distinguished by CD90 expression (17). Interestingly, CD90 expression coincided with heterogeneous loss of Tgfbr2 expression in human PCa associated stroma. Similar stromal heterogeneity occurs in Tgfbr2 fspKO mouse prostates and is likely functionally essential for the ensuing cancer progression. A computational model was established based on tissue recombinant allograft results indicating a dual requirement for the presence of Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells, capable of inducing PIN lesions, and Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells to promote progression to adenocarcinoma. A two-step stromal instructed mechanism for prostate carcinogenesis, where Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells locally secrete a morphogen (M1) and the Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells produce a different morphogen (M2) was postulated. While the respective candidate morphogens (Wnt-3a and SDF1) helped to provide biologic relevance to the model, the model was independent of specific morphogen production. The cooperation or synergism of morphogen production by stromal cells was predicted by the pattern of SDF1 mRNA expression from co-cultured Tgfbr2-WT and Tgfbr2-KO 13 stromal cells, and SDF1 with this cooperativity was confirmed through modeling to be consistent with being a M2 morphogen. This potential cooperativity was tested biologically for Tgfbr2-KO stroma produced factor(s) that act in either an autocrine or a juxtacrine manner upon neighboring Tgfbr2-WT stroma (morphogen M3). It is possible that Tgfbr2-WT stroma also produce one or more secreted factors that can act upon the KO stroma (morphogen M4). Wnt-3a was not consistent with being a morphogen M1 according to the assumptions of the computational model that morphogen M1 is a single diffusing chemical that causes epithelial cells to become proliferative at threshold levels. While experimental data suggests that Wnt-3a is involved in step 1 epithelial transformation, the modeling suggests that the interaction is more complex than postulated in the computation model. For example, multiple diffusing signals may be required simultaneously for epithelial transformation or there might be additional mechanisms involved including cell positional information and (anything else you want to throw in?). Extension of the model from a 2-D to 3-D representation of prostatic tissue, inclusion of bi-directional stromal-epithelial signaling, and addition of data regarding yet to be elucidated aspects of stromal-stromal juxtacrine signaling will allow for future refinement of this computational model of prostatic cancer progression. The ubiquitous growth factor, TGF-ß, has often been characterized to be tumor suppressive in un-initiated epithelial cells, yet supports tumor invasion as carcinogenesis progresses. TGF-ß is tumor suppressive in Tgfbr2-WT stromal cells since it represses the secretion of Wnt-3a (and other paracrine factors) (6, 7, 33). Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells produce Wnt-3a as a result of the knockout of TGF-ß 14 responsiveness, promoting epithelial proliferation (18). Fascinatingly, once the system has reached this state, TGF-ß becomes cancer promoting as it a) stimulates WT stromal cells to produce SDF1 driving initiated epithelial cells towards primary invasion and b) TGF-ß promotes the expression of the cognate SDF1 receptor, CXCR4, in epithelial cells (34). The Tgfbr2-KO stroma further contribute to a cooperative induction of SDF1 by the expression of IL-1ß (M3). Such TGF-ß responsive stromal juxtacrine and stromal-epithelial paracrine signaling would support the onset and progression of prostate cancer (Fig. 5B). The data from our computational modeling, as well as biological experiments used to confirm and extend the model, delineate the necessity for stromal heterogeneity for the progression from benign lesions to prostate adenocarcinoma. Within a heterogeneous stromal compartment, stromal cells communicate with each other and can cooperate in stromal-epithelial signals to initiate and promote epithelial tumor progression. While previous studies have emphasized the critical role of carcinomaassociated fibroblasts, our data suggest that WT stroma are not merely benign witnesses but contribute to pro-carcinogenic stromal cues to initiated epithelia and the establishment of a stromal field effect (35). Cooperativity of paracrine signaling within a heterogenous stromal compartment would provide a mechanism whereby one could explain the multi-focal and polyclonal progression of PCa (35, 36). This can be envisioned where an initiating event in a particular duct confined prostatic epithelial cell causes a change in the neighboring stroma and in turn potentiating initiating change(s) in the adjacent epithelia at a somewhat distant ductal site(s). 15 MATERIALS & METHODS Computational Hybrid Model. Our computational model couples a discrete, stochastic description of cells at the macroscopic scale with a continuous, deterministic description of morphogen diffusion at the microscopic scale. The (x,y) position of stromal cell centers are locations for morphogen point sources. In cases of mixed morphogen production, the labeling of stromal cells as Tgfbr2-WT or Tgfbr2-KO was determined stochastically. Diffusion occurs in a diffusive region between and surrounding the prostate ducts. Boundary conditions for the diffusive lattice area are reflective, so that morphogen could not diffuse beyond the duct boundary. Epithelial cells respond to morphogen by transforming if they are co-local with threshold steady state levels. Morphogen production, diffusion and response, steady state analyses and the numerical scheme are described in Supplemental Methods. Quasi-steady state morphogen levels were solved using the finite element method using the MATLAB PDE toolbox. Defining cell positions and diffusive region. Our computational model approximates a section of mouse prostate in which morphogen interactions are occurring as a finite, rectangular 2-D region. The diffusion region and cell positions were defined using a 250 m x 400 m experimental image (SI Figure 1A). Cell and duct positions in this experimental figure determined cell and duct positions in silico. 209 epithelial cells and 44 stromal cells were identified by hand in the experimental figure depending upon the intensity of blue and red dye, respectively, and ducts were identified using an image 16 processing algorithm that identified the ductal boundary. Identified cells and ducts are shown in (SI Figure 1B). Correspondence of Model and Physical Parameters. The PDE model generates steady state morphogen levels as a function of the diffusion rates D1, D2, production rates k1, k2 and decay rates kd1, kd2 of each morphogen. In this manuscript, we equivalently describe these parameters in more physically useful terms as the diffusion rates D1, D2, diffusion lengths L1, L2 and abundance A1, A2. The diffusion length L is defined from the diffusion rate D (m2/s) and the decay rate kd (s-1) as L 4D . kd Physically, it corresponds to the average distance diffused by a morphogen during its average lifetime. Here, it is more useful than the decay rate it replaces because it does not depend explicitly on time. The total abundance of each morphogen produced per source (per cell) is defined from the production rate k (s-1) and the decay rate kd (s-1) as A k . Physically, it corresponds to the average steady state amount of morphogen kd contributed by a single morphogen-producing cell. Here, it is again more useful than the production rate it replaces because it does not depend explicitly on time. In all simulations, the diffusion rate was fixed at D = 0.19 m2/s and in all simulations where the production was not explicitly varied, we fixed the abundance for both morphogens at A=10,000 morphogen units by varying the production P as a function of the decay rate (A=P/kd). 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A) Immunofluorescent staining demonstrating focal areas of increased stromal CD90 expression in human PCa concurrent with loss of stromal phosphorylated Smad2 expression as compared to benign prostate (BPH) tissue samples. B) Reduction in phospho-Smad2 staining in stroma (S) associated with adenocarcinoma in Tgfbr2-KO versus Tgfbr2-flox control mouse prostate. Figure 2. Percentage of WT and KO stroma in prostate tissue recombinant allografts promotes cancer progression. A) Normal glandular architecture observed by H&E of graft of WT prostatic epithelial organoids recombined with 100% normal Tgfbr2-flox prostate stromal cells. B) Progression to adenocarcinoma in grafts of WT prostatic epithelial organoids recombined with a 50/50 mixture of Tgfbr2-flox and Tgfbr2-KO prostate stromal cells. C) Only PIN lesions developed in grafts of WT prostatic epithelial organoids recombined with 100% Tgfbr2-KO prostate stromal cells. Figure 3. Prostate epithelial progression to adenocarcinoma is dependent on morphogen production and response thresholds. A) Simulation results indicated that stromal heterogeneity alters the proliferative and invasive potential of the prostate epithelial cells, where greatest invasion occured at heterogeneous mixtures of stromal cells and the extent of epithelial proliferation and invasion depends on the ratio of morphogen production and threshold response. The number of cells that became proliferative (Step 1, dashed line) and invasive (Step 2, solid line) when the morphogen diffusion lengths of M1 and M2 were 200 m and 300 m, respectively, and the threshold T required for transformation in response to M1 and M2 were 0.0453 and 0.3432 morphogen units, respectively. The total abundance of each morphogen produced per source (per cell) was fixed at A=10,000 morphogen units. Error bars indicate the standard error of 100 simulations. B) The phase diagram shows the final tissue classification as a function of M1 production by Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells (y-axis) and M2 production by normal stromal cells (x-axis) in a tissue that is a 50/50 mix of Tgfbr2-WT and Tgfbr2-KO stroma. If the production rate of both morphogens is low relative to the threshold needed for transformation, the cells remain normal. Morphogen diffusion lengths and thresholds for M1 and M2 are as in 3B. Figure 4: Computational modeling predicts cooperativity of morphogen M2 production. A) Expression of mRNA for SDF1, a candidate M2 morphogen, was measured by qRT-PCR (normalized to ß-actin) from FACS sorted unlabeled Tgfbr2-flox and CMFDA (green) dye labeled Tgfbr2-KO prostate stromal cell co-cultures. B) Simulation of SDF1 production cooperativity using assumptions of morphogens M3 and M4 in a confluent array of Tgfbr2-WT and Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells. First, best fit parameters were found to match data (4A) assuming morphogen M3 secretion by the Tgfbr2-KO stroma that results in SDF1 induction by Tgfbr2-WT cells (gray line). Tgfbr2WT cells increased SDF1 production by 1.8 fold in response to threshold M3 levels (6.5 units), and were assumed to produce SDF1 in the absence of Tgfbr2-KO stroma at 4.8 fold greater than Tgfbr2-KO cells (per data in 4A). Second, best fit parameters were found to match data (4A) with the added assumption of morphogen M4 secretion by the 22 Tgfbr2-WT stroma that is required for Tgfbr2-KO cells to respond to M3 (dashed black line). Tgfbr2-WT cells increased their SDF1 production by 1.7 fold and 3.1 fold, respectively, in response to threshold M4 level (6.75 units) and simultaneous threshold levels of M3 and M4 (6.5, 6.75 units). SDF1 production by Tgfbr2-WT cells in the absence of Tgfbr2-KO stromal cells was assumed to be 2.8 times greater than that of Tgfbr2-KO cells, as this resulted in the best fit of all the data points. For all simulations, the diffusion length was 10 m and the decay rate was 0.02. Figure 5. Paracrine signaling between stromal sub-types drives carcinogenesis. A) Assessment of SDF1 mRNA expression by WT and KO prostate stromal cells in response to treatment with the candidate M3 morphogen, IL-1ß. B) Revised model of TGF-ß signaling in driving prostate carcinogenesis. Loss of stromal responsiveness to TGF-ß, results in increased production of TGF-ß and Wnt-3a by the stroma. While increased Wnt-3a paracrine signaling promotes epithelial proliferation, the increase in TGF-ß in the microenvironment results in induction of CXCR4 expression by the epithelium, subsequently increasing its sensitivity to SDF1. WT and KO stroma cooperate by paracrine signaling to produce increased levels of SDF1, driving the vicious cycle of prostatic carcinogenesis. 23