Quiz Bowl Formatted Question On Binomial And Geometric Distributions 1. Setup: McDonald’s Happy Meals come with a Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle in each meal. Emma has collected seven of the eight different toys and begs for her mother to buy more happy meals so that she can get Raphael, the only Ninja not in her collection. If every meal has a toy, and the toys are distributed randomly among the meals: Q: How many meals do you expect her mother will have to buy in order to get the missing toy? Q: Find the probability that she will get Raphael before the sixth meal is bought. Q: Find the probability that she will not get Raphael until after she has already bought 5 meals. Q: Find the probability that she will get Raphael in her first Happy Meal. 2. Setup: A distribution is binomial with n = 16 and p = .1 . Q: Describe the distribution. Q. Would a normal distribution be a good model for this? 3. Setup: A distribution is binomial with n = 4 and p = .8 . Q: Describe the distribution. Q. Would a normal distribution be a good model for this? 4. Setup: A distribution is binomial with n = 25 and p = .3. Q: Describe the distribution. Q. Would a normal distribution be a good model for this? 5. Setup: A distribution is binomial with n = 30 and p = .6 , Q: Describe the distribution. Q. Would a normal distribution be a good model for this? 6. Setup: According to Martha White in Time magazine, http://business.time.com/2012/04/12/college-students-are-credit-card-dunces/ 70% of undergraduate students have credit cards, and of those, only 10% pay their balances in full each month, thereby avoiding paying interest and fees. A random sample of 500 cardholders is selected. Of interest is the variable X, which is the number of students in sample who pay in full each month. Q: What is the mean of X? Q: What is the standard deviation of X? Q. What is the probability that fewer than 50 students pay in full each month? Q. What is the probability that more than 50 students pay in full each month? 7. Setup: Jack is trying to get help with an AP chemistry question as he sits with a group of AP math student friends. He randomly asks students if they have taken AP chemistry and 60% of this student population have. He will stop asking when he finds a student who has taken AP chem. Q: What is the probability that the first student who has taken AP chem is the 2nd student he asks? Q: How likely is it that will ask 4 or fewer students until he finds one who has taken AP chem? Q: What is the probability that he will have to ask more than 3 students to find one who has taken AP chem? 8. Setup: An experiment was conducted to investigate whether a handwriting analyst could distinguish a normal person’s handwriting from that of a serial killer. A well-known expert was given 10 files, each containing handwriting samples from a normal person and a known serial killer. The analyst was asked to identify the serial killer’s handwriting. The analyst was right 6 out of 10 trials. We would like to know whether the analyst has the ability to distinguish the handwriting of serial killers and normal persons. Q: What is the probability of guessing correctly 6 out of 10 times if the probability of a correct guess is .5? Q: What is the probability of guessing correctly 6 or more out of 10 times if the probability of a correct guess is .5? Q: What is the probability of guessing correctly 6 or more out of 10 times if the probability is .8?