Approaches to use coastal marine ecosystems for climate change mitigation Daniel Murdiyarso1, Richard MacKenzie2, and Boone J. Kauffman3 1 Center for International Forestry Research, Jl. CIFOR, Situgede, Bogor 16115 2 Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Pacific Southwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service, 60 Nowelo St. Hilo, HI 96720 3 Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis Oregon USA 97331 Abstract Large carbon stocks in coastal marine ecosystems (CMEs), including mangroves, salt marshes, and seagrass are well documented. Mangrove ecosystems are among the largest carbon store in the tropics. Globally, they store more than 20 Pg C, and 70-80% is kept belowground as organic soil. Their net primary production (NPP) which is higher than most tropical terrestrial ecosystems is also allocated belowground. The near-term benefits of these carbon stocks may be captured by engaging coastal community through well-design mitigation measures while sustaining their local livelihoods. Coastal zone communities are facing multiple stressors generated by the changing climate. These stressors include increased rates of sea level rise that threaten coastal human populations through flooding, erosion of coastline and loss of habitat that support culturally and economically important nearshore finfish species. Conserving and restoring coastal zones would, therefore, enhance their resilience by increasing their ability to adapt to gradual impacts as well as abrupt change due to catastrophic extreme events. Key messages High-carbon reservoirs found Coastal Marine Ecosystems (CMEs), including mangroves offer huge potentials for climate change mitigation. Hence, these should be included in the new climate agreement. Nearshore fisheries that benefit small scale fishing communities are positively influenced by the geomorphology, nutrient availability and net primary production of the high level plants from coastal ecosystems. Climate change and sea level rise (SLR) are among multiple stressors experienced by the coastal zones and the communities whose lives depend on them. Gradual impacts of SLR combined with extreme events such as storm surges are real threats. However, mangroves can increase the resilience of intact coastal zones by maintaining coastal elevations relative to sea level rise through surface accretion. The mitigation potentials of CMEs in developing countries, which are hit-hard by the adverse impacts of climate change, may be bundled with benefits from ecosystem services. Introduction Carbon loss in coastal wetland ecosystem due to land-use change is well documented. The importance of carbon-rich ecosystem, such as that of Coastal Marine Ecosystems (CMEs) has been recently recognized by the UNFCCC secretariat. A SBSTA expert meeting was organized on 24-25 October 2013, following the request of the SB37. The Ad hoc Working Group on Durban Platform (ADP) that met at SB40 on 4-15 June 2014 was informed about the results of the workshop1. The recent release of the 2013 Supplement of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories or Wetlands Supplement signifies the development of scientific understanding for accounting anthropogenic GHG emissions from wetlands. Inventories of GHG emissions due to land-use change and wetland management are now possible to include CMEs. This paper attempts to explore the possibility of using CMEs as mitigation options for climate change and sea level rise. Vegetated CMEs (mangroves, salt marsh, seagrass) are high-carbon reservoirs and mangrove is among the most carbon-rich forests in the tropics (Donato et al. 2011). This could be promoted to mitigate climate change and enhance the resilience of coastal community to sea level rise and livelihood options, as there is a wide range of goods and services provided by intact mangrove ecosystems. Decarbonizing coastal development Carbon metrics. Carbon stocks per unit area in CMEs especially in mangroves are well above 1,000 Mg ha-1 or 3-5 times larger than those found in any terrestrial ecosystem and most of them are stored belowground. This storage is maintained by high NPP, which exceed most of terrestrial ecosystems. Even in small island states like Federation States of Micronesia, with mangrove forests of less than 10,000 hectares, the ecosystem carbon stocks is around 1,100 Mg C ha-1 and slightly lower (800 Mg ha-1) found in the Republic of Palau (Kauffman et al. 2011). Based on the area of mangroves that covers more than 13 Mha, it was estimated that globally mangroves store more than 20 Pg C (Murdiyarso et al. 2013). In the near-term mitigation horizon, managing carbon assets in high-C reservoirs should receive more attention and meaningful incentives. In order to improve the accountability of the managers, the development of reference emission level (REL), by which carbon accounting will be based, is necessary. Historically data is usually adopted while understanding the underlying drivers causing the gain and loss of carbon stocks in the system. In addition, countries would be encouraged to determine their own country-specific emission factors (EFs), the measure of greenhouse gas emissions per unit area per unit time of a certain activity in the vegetated CMEs. However, if they are not prepared, default values may be obtained from the IPCC emission factors database2. At the same time the activity data (AD) should be prepared based on the area of CME involved. 1 FCCC/SBSTA/2014/INF.1. Report on the workshop on technical and scientific aspects of ecosystems with highcarbon reservoirs not covered by other agenda items under the Convention. UNFCCC Secretariat. 1 April 2014. 2 http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/home/wetlands.html Ecosystem services. Incentive mechanisms may be combined with various aquaculture practices despites high pressures of land-use change. Intact vegetated coastal zones are an integral component of near-shore fish communities. Catch, densities, and biomass of many commercial and artisanal important fish and shrimp species have been positively correlated to intact and extent of mangrove forests (Manson et al. 2005, Meynecke et al. 2007, Meynecke et al. 2008) and are often significantly greater in areas adjacent to mangroves than areas without (Primavera 1998, Mumby et al. 2004). The positive association between nearshore fish and mangrove forests is due in part to the provision of refuge from predation as well as abundant food resources. As the incoming tides flood the mangrove forest floor, smaller fish (e.g., juveniles, small adults) can avoid predation by hiding within the small, shaded spaces provided by mangrove roots and trunks (Laegdsgaard and Johnson 2001, Verweij et al. 2006, MacKenzie and Cormier 2012). However, this value can vary with species of mangrove tree and condition of forest (MacKenzie and Cormier 2012). The inundation of mangrove forests also allows species of nearshore fish to access areas where they can feed on smaller fish, invertebrates, algae, and to a degree leaf litter (Demopoulos et al. 2007, Layman 2007, Lin et al. 2007). Mangrove forests may also indirectly influence nearshore fisheries through the provision of particulate and dissolved nutrients. As tidewaters drain mangrove forests, high loads of particulate and dissolved nutrients enter adjacent water (Hemminga et al. 1994 ), where they have been hypothesized to support high levels of nearshore primary and secondary production (Odum and Heald 1975, Lee 1995). The value of mangroves as fisheries habitat has been greatly exploited over the last 30 years and has resulted in the conversion and loss of a substantial amount of mangrove forests (de Graaf and Xuan 1998, FAO 2007). While increased aquaculture has replaced dwindling ocean fish stocks, providing 30% of the total global fisheries production (Primavera 2006), it also continues to threaten the structure and function of intact mangrove forests. More ecologically friendly aquaculture techniques have been recently been suggested that may result in lower ecological impacts to coastal ecosystems (Naylor et al. 2000, Primavera 2006). This includes sylvofisheries that are currently being utilized in Vietnam. Here, shrimp ponds are restored by planting mangrove trees around their borders, providing shade to ponds, lower water temperatures, and producing healthier shrimp stocks with less fertilizer or antibiotics (Broadhead, pers. comm). This is anticipated to have less of an impact to the quality of adjacent bodies of water or mangrove forests. Ecosystem-based approach Mitigation or avoiding emission activities in the CMEs may be bundled with other activities such as coping with sea level rise. Sea level rise is the greatest climate change impact that threatens coastal ecosystems and the many ecosystem services that they provide (Gilman et al. 2008). Fortunately, mangroves have been able to keep up with rising and falling seas for the last millions of years by maintaining their forest floor elevation relative to sea level through accretion. Accretion involves the growth of many fine belowground roots coupled with the accumulation of leaf litter and healthy loads of sediment trapped on the mangrove surface by aboveground roots and trunks (Krauss et al. 2003, Krauss et al. 2014). Mangroves have also been able to migrate inland in the past with rising seas (Semeniuk 1994). Unfortunately, increased rates of deforestation of mangroves inhibits their ability to accrete and thus their ability to keep up with sea level rise. Even the cutting of a few trees can result in the death of belowground roots and collapse of the mangrove forest floor (Krauss et al. 2010). Increased sediment loads to mangroves from upland activities (e.g., poorly built roads, deforestation) can smother mangrove roots, while upstream dams can minimize healthy sediment loads needed by mangroves to keep up with sea level rise. Finally, development and the construction of roads on the inland side of mangrove forests inhibit their ability to migrate inland. Identifying mangroves that are currently keeping up with sea level rise using rod surface elevation tables (Webb et al. 2013) or naturally occurring tracers (MacKenzie unpublished data) and then prioritizing those mangroves for conservation action is one mechanism that has been identified to help mangroves adapt to climate change (McLeod and Salm 2006). Conserving mangroves that are capable of migrating inland is another (McLeod and Salm 2006). Hydroperiod of intertidal zones, defined as seasonal pattern of water level, during which the inundation of the area causing saturation, either permanently or temporarily. The period may be assessed (Nuttle 1997) and will affect species distribution and success in colonizing the area. In many cases coastal wetland restoration fails to consider this situation causing unsuccessful results. 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