Ecosystem Services: Landscapes and Biodiversity Draft Goals and Indicators Sustainability Goals (Outcomes we wish to see in NJ): New Jersey’s mosaic of natural, agricultural, and developed landscapes: 1) supports their full complement of biodiversity and 2) provides essential ecosystem services. In this context, the term ‘landscape’ refers to terrestrial, aquatic or marine environments and the natural resources they contain. ‘Natural’ landscapes are those that remain largely unaltered by human activity, or have been restored to such condition. Managed forests and tree farms are here included under the mantle of agriculture, as interrelated elements of ‘working landscapes.’ Indicators specific to agriculture are to be found listed under that dimension/outcome. Forestry and fisheries are included here. The ‘complement of biodiversity’ refers to native species and ecological communities (habitats) plus valued species that occur locally due to human management or that may migrate into the state in response to climate change. Ecosystem services embrace “all contributions of ecosystems to human wellbeing.” They include material outputs (e.g., food, water, timber), regulating services (e.g., flood control, carbon storage, soil fertility), maintenance of genetic diversity, and upholding of cultural and quality-of-life values (aesthetics, recreation, spiritual solace) (TEEB 2010). Moreover, the species with which we share our state (and planet) have an intrinsic value that is not reducible to their service to humans. TEEB (2010), The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity Ecological and Economic Foundations. Edited by Pushpam Kumar. Earthscan, London and Washington. Secondary objectives, addressing crosscutting principles: 3) At any given time, a sufficient area of land, coast, and sea is maintained in a configuration and management status adequate to provide permanent, seasonal or transient habitat for New Jersey’s species to survive in place, migrate, and, over the long term, to evolve. This addresses crosscutting climate mitigation (carbon storage) and adaptation [resilience] objectives. 4) All NJ residents benefit from the ecosystem services provided across the natural, working and developed landscapes of the state. In addition to the essentials of clean air and water (see Outcomes x & y), these services include the provision of recreational opportunities and qualityof-life values. Thus, All NJ residents enjoy a flourishing municipal tree canopy and all enjoy proximity and access to green spaces (i.e., primarily vegetated public or private open space). This addresses crosscutting equity objective. 1 POTENTIAL INDICATORS Primary goals: 1.0 Species diversity Population trends of selected key, representative species o Target = ?? For discussion: the ranges of some species will shift due to climate change – some will go locally extinct and new species will arrive. (Source: NJDEP: Natural Heritage Program and Endangered and Nongame Species Program.) 2.0 Ecosystem services: watershed integrity Healthy watersheds produce the regulated flows of clean water is essential to both human and nonhuman species. The indicators for Water Quality and Supply [Outcome x] capture withdrawals for human needs; biological indicators of adequate flows of clean water left behind in the ecosystem are captured here. Increase in impervious cover is a proxy for development impact via loss of forest, wetland, and farm, and at the same time a measure of watershed integrity. *% of sites in Ambient Biomonitoring Network (AMNET) per Watershed Management Area for which health of in-stream benthic macroinvertebrates is rated ‘good’ or ‘excellent.’ (Source: NJDEP) Cross-links with Water outcomes. number and % of watersheds (HUC 14) that are significantly impaired, i.e. >= 30% impervious surface. (Source: Hasse and Lathrop 2010 and subsequent.) , or: % impervious surface cover statewide, or per watershed (HUC 11 [or WMA]), total, mean, and trend. Cross-links with Water and Built Environment outcomes. The healthy functioning of related ecosystem services other than water provision and regulation depends on land management practices (reflected in indicators for goal 2), and also is reflected in other sustainability outcomes (e.g., agriculture, health, air quality). Secondary objectives, addressing crosscutting principles: 2.0 Extent, configuration and management status of ecosystems 2.1 Measure of extent and (indirect) management status (also climate mitigation indicator): trend in live tree biomass (carbon storage; indirect measure of forest extent, productivity and health)1 &/OR acreage, %, and trend of forest area and wetland total area2 1 USDA Forest Service RPA Tables 38a & 38b (2007 & 2012) [I have these]. 2 NJDEP’s Land Use/Land Cover digital datasets have been released every five years, followed by published analytical reports (Hasse and Lathrop 2001, 2001, 2010). The reports track changes in land cover in broad classes: urban/developed, forest, agriculture, wetland and barren. 2 Percent of total catch in NJ Exclusive Economic Zone that is comprised of fish species listed as overexploited or collapsed 2.2 Measure of configuration: Core habitat (defined as contiguous area minus 100 m edge) as %, and trend, of forest area (Hasse and Lathrop (2010) report this indicator for forest only (expansion to other ecosystems highly desirable). It reflects the shape and layout of managed areas, and thus serves as an indirect measure of habitat connectivity and its converse, fragmentation. Minimum habitat size and migration corridors are essential for climate adaptation. Note that these indicators do not directly track the quality of the habitat. Adaptation to the pressures of climate change and other disruptions (invasive species, fragmentation) requires active, adaptive management. The outcomes of management practices will eventually be reflected in the primary indicators (1.0). These secondary indicators of landscape features are of value in themselves, because they are timely, predictive, and provide for climate resilience as well as human access and appreciation. 3.0 Equity: access to natural areas and quality of the urban and community ‘forest’ Equity of benefit from the essential ecosystem services that provide clean water and clean air and maintain human health will be tracked by the indicators specified under those sustainability outcomes [x y & z]. Trees, open space, and other elements of the green infrastructure woven into the landscape of towns and cities provide water, air, related health services, as well as recreational, aesthetic, and other non-material benefits essential to individual and community well-being. Unequal access to these benefits is thus an important indicator of social inequity. Open space as an average and lowest % of municipal land area [population weighted]; trend (NJDEP Recreational and Open Space inventory3 http://www.state.nj.us/dep/greenacres/openspace.html) Urban tree canopy cover as % of urban land [population weighted] statewide, average and lowest per municipality; trend. (Source: USDA Forest Inventory Analysis).4 Tree cover in municipalities5 with different median income levels and different demographics can be compared to a national or regional benchmark or target and/or to each other to give an indication of disparities associated with urban residence/density, class, and race or ethnicity. -------------------------------------------------------------- 3 This database includes municipal, county and nonprofit parkland encumbered by the Green Acres Program only. It does not include state land. Public access to these lands varies and not all are vegetated. 4 Urban and community forests of the Mid-Atlantic region: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Nowak, David J.; Greenfield, Eric J. 2009. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-47. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/9740 5 Unequal access to urban trees and associated benefits would be better assessed at the neighborhood level, and the strength of the relationship across the state could be tested. (Analysis could be done using i-Tree, www.iTreetools.org, a USFS tool, but the accuracy may not be adequate). 3 Alternative potential indicators: *Number, and trend in number, of threatened and endangered species (net of species that have been delisted due to recovery) per major grouping (mammals, plants, etc.). Management status (2.3): protected* natural area as % of state, and as % of each major ecosystem type from baseline year (NJDEP New Jersey Natural Heritage Program). (‘Protected’ is defined as legally protected from development or commercial harvest, including parks, land under conservation easements, and the like (IUCN classifications I-V)). Target: = ?% terrestrial and 1% of coast and marine EEZ. (NJDEP New Jersey Natural Heritage Program for terrestrial data; as of yet there is no network or program for marine protected areas in NJ) 2.1 [potential future indicators (currently a knowledge gap): o acreage, %, and trend of area per major habitat types (Level II or III) and trend (rate of loss or conversion)]6 o acreage, % and trend change in threatened and endangered wildlife habitat values7] adaptive management: acreage, %, trend of natural areas, managed forests, and [[urban and] community forest and open space ] with evidence of ongoing monitoring and pro-active intervention in anticipation of climate and other environmental change: e.g., species migration corridors and assistance, controlling invasives, controlled burning to reduce fuel loads, slowing coastal erosion). [These data are not currently collected]. acreage, %, trend of managed forest [, plantation, and [urban and] community] acres certified under various programs, e.g., by DEP under NJ Forestry Stewardship Bill, Forest Stewardship Council, American Tree Farm system, Tree City USA, NJ Community Forestry Assistance Act, or equivalent. [Note that these certification programs have different purposes and degrees of rigor – should be screened.] for private forest land: participation in state and fed. cost-share and incentive programs* number/% of communities with an approved community forest management plan by NJDEP in place and active number/% of communities with active Shade Tree Commission forest health (regeneration, stand structure, pests, fire) net wetland area and trend (WMQA for mitigated wetlands) loss of endangered and threatened species habitat (rank 3, 4, or 5) per year and trend Plant stewardship index (being developed by Bowman’s Hill) #spp. on Invasive Species Strike Force watch list; (better, if only data were available): area occupied by invasives, as a % of state, or by watershed deer per acre in forested areas, deer browse index % unarmored shoreline nutrient loads/eutrophication/algal blooms in near-shore waters, particularly bays % shellfish habitat open for harvesting as indicator of marine water quality 6 While the GIS data are available (deathstar.rutgers.edu), and more specific land use and habitat change studies cover some time periods (Lathrop 2000) and regions (Highlands, Pinelands, Barnegat Bay), there is no comprehensive, periodically updated data source for this indicator at present. It should be a priority. 7 Nile and Lathrop white paper (2014). If funded and institutionalized, this would prove a powerful outcome-based indicator of the net impact of development, climate change, and other stressors. 4 Explore EPA’s EnviroAtlas; Natureserve *Federal Forest Incentive programs: Forest Stewardship Program Environmental Quality Incentives Program Forest Land Enhancement Program Forest Legacy Program Wildlife Habitat Incentives Program Wetlands Reserve Program Private: NJ Tree Farm Program Statewide forest trust: NJ Conservation Foundation Key/indicator Spp listed on DEP Environmental Trends: Wildlife Populations: American Shad Wildlife Populations: Bald Eagle Wildlife Populations: Canada Goose Wildlife Populations: Colonial-nesting Waterbirds Wildlife Populations: Horseshoe Crab Wildlife Populations: Marine Fisheries Wildlife Populations: Ospreys Wildlife Populations: Passerines (Perching birds) Wildlife Populations: Peregrine Falcon Wildlife Populations: Red Knot Wildlife Populations: White-tailed Deer Wildlife Populations: Wood Duck October 2011 May 2011 October 2011 August 2012 January 2012 September 2014 August 2012 March 2010 September 2007 July 2012 October 2011 May 2011 Endangered plants: & by category: extant, historic and extirpated populations from Natural Heritage At the time of this writing (December 2012), 817 rare plant species were tracked in the Natural Heritage Database, or 39% of the state’s flora. The Endangered Plant Species List (List), which was last amended in 1999, categorized 339 of these vascular and non-vascular plants, or 16%, as state endangered. Following adoption of List amendments, the updated List will codify 356 plant species, or 17% of the state’s flora, as state endangered. An additional 37 endangered plants will be added to the List, while 20 plant species will be removed. 5