Analyzing Public Support for Fracking in the U.S. Charles Davis Jonathan Fisk Department of Political Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 Charles.davis@colostate.edu This paper provides an analysis of public attitudes toward fracking use and policies with an eye toward factors that help us account for differing levels of support. Using data from a national survey of American adults, we found that women and people residing in urban areas are slightly more inclined to oppose fracking and to favor more regulation in terms of drilling operations and company chemical disclosure requirements than men or people living in rural areas. But our key findings are that opposition to fracking and support for current or increased levels of regulation are strongly related to Democratic party identification and to pro-environmental policy attitudes. We conclude by suggesting that a tendency for people to view fracking as an environmental rather than an energy issue has potentially important implications for the implementation of locally based regulatory requirements. Introduction U.S. energy companies have increasingly utilized hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) as a means of extracting natural gas and oil from shale formations located deep underground. While the use of this technology has proven to be a game changer for increasing the domestic production of oil and gas (and jobs) over the past few years, it has become increasingly controversial because of rising public concerns about drilling-related impacts on environmental quality, local government infrastructure and public health. Consequently, greater media attention has been devoted to both the economic and environmental aspects of fracking policy issues. And state policymakers have attempted to reconcile newer oil and gas drilling practices with oil and gas statutes that were enacted before the emergence of environmental policy concerns. How are fracking policies perceived by members of the general public? To what extent are they aware of fracking as a policy issue? Are they inclined to offer support because of its contributions to energy supply and jobs? Or is it more likely to be viewed skeptically by survey respondents as an environmental problem that adversely affects water or air quality? How people respond to these questions may have important implications for their subsequent reactions to the development and implementation of fracking policies, particularly within the realm of state and local political institutions. Put simply, if the issue is perceived through the lens of environmental protection rather than developmental opportunities, it seems plausible to assume that decisions to issue drilling permits will be more closely scrutinized or even opposed by area residents. Our research goal is to analyze public attitudes toward fracking use and policies with an eye toward factors that help us account for differing levels of support; i.e., demographic attributes, partisan orientation, and public policy values pertaining to economic growth and environmental protection. 1 We begin by discussing how fracking has evolved as a policy issue over the past few years in terms of both media attention and polls. Next, scholarly works dealing with U.S. energy and environmental attitudes are summarized and a number of research expectations are put forward. Third, a general overview of public support for fracking and policies regulating its use is presented. Fourth, statistical relationships between demographic characteristics, partisan orientation, public policy values and support for fracking use and policies are examined. We conclude by evaluating our empirical findings in relation to those found by previous analysts and by suggesting implications for both theory and policy. Fracking as a Policy Issue Natural gas began to capture the attention of industry and government officials in a major way in 2009 thanks to a number of developments. First, a number of policymakers, industry officials, and environmental groups directed attention to the importance of fracking as a new and major source of domestic energy production. When used in combination with horizontal drilling, industry and U.S. government scientists suggested that shale gas reserves were likely to provide energy for the next 100 years (IHS Global Insight, 2009). Moreover, environmentalists and policymakers viewed natural gas as a cleaner burning alternative to coal and as a “bridge fuel” that moved the U.S. in a positive way to a less carbon intensive energy economy. Additional benefits included the creation of well-paying jobs, royalty payments for less affluent landowners, and the ancillary economic boost to communities offered through secondary services linked to fracking operations and the payment of severance taxes or impact fees to local governments for reimbursement costs (Wiseman, 2009). Despite the benefits linked to the “shale gale,” stakeholders such as local governments, homeowners, public health groups, and environmental groups activists were wary because of continuing concerns about the contamination of water sources and other environmental impacts. Public awareness about fracking was fueled by increasing media attention (Davis, 2012) as well as the controversy stirred by the release of Gasland, a documentary revealing the negative impacts associated with its use. Case examples involving grassroots political activity have been reported in Colorado (Lustgarter, 2009) and within rural areas of New York and Pennsylvania (Wilber 2012). Consequently, many people are quite ambivalent about fracking. Evidence of public concern about fracking is also revealed in the results of polls taken over the past few years. A 2010 national survey conducted by the Infogroup/Opinion Research Corporation for the Civil Society Institute.indicated that 45% of Americans were at least somewhat aware of fracking controversies and many of those responding were worried about threats to drinking water quality. The study also concluded that most respondents would support disclosure requirements and further research dealing with potential health and environmental impacts. In addition, these results revealed that concerns were not based on partisan orientation; i.e., regulatory restrictions were supported by a majority of Republicans, Independents, and Democrats. More recent polls conducted by Bloomberg News (Efstathiou, 2012) and Quinnipiac University (2012) conclude that people want to retain the economic benefits associated with fracking but remain concerned about its health and environmental impacts (Mufson 2012). This suggests that oil and gas companies can continue to expand drilling operations into states barring reports of major spills or other accidents that can be transformed into a catalyst for policy changes. 2 Literature Review on Energy and Environmental Attitudes Extant literature on public opinion relative to energy and the environment can be seen as addressing three major areas. First, some studies adopt a more longitudinal focus and trace public opinion over a specific time period (Bolsen and Cook 2008; Farfar 1994; Nisbet and Myers 2007). A second category commonly examines public opinion in the context of a fairly broad ‘support for environmental issues versus economic priorities’ theme (Michaud et al. 2008; Truelove 2012). Much ink has also been spent to study the public’s opinion when energy tradeoffs are presented. In a related category, but sufficiently dissimilar for the present purposes, are those projects that examine public opinion in a very specific context such as hazardous waste, wind development, climate change or nuclear power (Ansolabehere 2007; Bolsen and Cook 2008; Borick 2010; Bord and O’Connor 1997; Jacquet 2012; Jenkins-Smith 2001; McCright and Dunlap 2011). While, the literature certainly has identified broad attitudinal trends and has captured the sometimes fickle nature of attitudes the public’s holds towards energy and the environment, we place this analysis firmly in the camp that examines opinions in a specific energy medium. As such, this review is split into two parts. First, we offer a cursory review of the literature that considers energy attitudes over time and when specific environmental/energy tradeoffs are presented. The second and more substantive portion provides an overview of what previous research has found on specific energy types, with a special emphasis natural gas. In one of the more widely cited longitudinal studies, Bolsen and Cook (2008) followed public opinion on ‘energy’ from the mid 1970s through 2006. The work identified that energy price and the presence of focusing event as critical and recurring shapers of public opinion. A latter portion of the study examined the public’s opinion relative to drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR). And, much like the pattern noted above, opinion tended to follow energy prices and focusing events. In fact, from early 1990s through the mid 2000s, the public firmly opposed ANWR drilling except during periods of extraordinarily high prices (at the time) – in July 2005, for example, when oil peaked to over $60/barrel. Other longitudinal studies tracked attitudes throughout a project’s lifespan and have typically found that attitudes follow a fairly common pattern. Negativity typically peaks during the height of development and once the project has entered the post-development period, attitudes uptick but do not return to their predevelopment levels, which are typically more positive (Brown et al. 2005). A long line of research also exists that explores the relationship between social, demographic and ideological and energy opinions. In brief, there appears to be a fairly strong consensus that individuals who identify as Democrats and liberals express stronger environmental attitudes than do Republicans and conservatives (Smith, 2002; Duffy 2003; Dunlap, Xiao, and McCright 2001). Moreover, younger, wealthier and more educated individuals also tend to be more receptive to pro-environmental attitudes than do older, less educated and poorer segments (Finucane et al. 2000; Konisky, Milyo and Richardson 2008; Kwan 2012; Semenza et al. 2008; Xiao and Dunlap 2007). Education, it should be noted, also affects the perceived and actual ability to understand energy issues (Southwell et al. 2012). Research performed by Konisky, Milyo and Richardson (2008) detected that contextual and demographic factors affected respondents’ feelings towards energy policy varied based on the type of governmental action, ideology and party and across energy types.1 Again, the strongest predictors, the authors argue, of environmental policy preferences are political attributes. Specifically, Republicans and conservatives, even when the authors controlled for their trust in 1 The survey asked of a 1,000-person nationally representative sample of U.S. adults. 3 government, are substantially more skeptical of additional governmental action to address environmental issues. Other research centers on the roles that gender, race, and religious beliefs play in determining environmental concern. In terms of gender, women are generally seen to have stronger environmental sympathies as compared to men (Xiao and Dunlap 2007). In terms of race, recent research demonstrated few, if any, systematic differences between whites and African Americans on environmental policy issues (Konisky, Milyo and Richardson 2008; Mohai and Bryant 1998). However, Greenberg (2009) did find differences based on race with 31% of white females increasing reliance on coal, which is ten and thirteen percentage points lower than Hispanic and African American females, respectively. Perhaps Ansolabehere and Konisky (2009, 571) summarized this literature best, when they described it as showing a mixed and inconclusive relationship between demographic and even some political characteristics and environmental opinions. One of the more prolific outlets to study the public’s opinion on energy is the MIT Energy Initiative. The survey gauges how individuals perceive the economic costs and environmental harms associated with each type of fuel used to generate electricity within the United States.2 The survey, conducted almost annually since 2002, reveals some interesting patterns. First, Americans have consistently reported differences in the environmental dangers associated with traditional and alternative fuels. In general, traditional fuel sources (Coal, Oil and Nuclear Power) are seen as more harmful to the environment when compared to renewable energies. Natural gas is also seen as harmful to the environment but relative to oil, it is viewed as a safer and slightly less expensive alternative. Compared to coal, natural gas is also seen as a desirable environmental alternative as the data showed the public believes it to be cleaner and but more expensive. Finally, natural gas also enjoys a perceptible advantage relative nuclear power – as it is viewed as cleaner and cheaper. Yet, when compared to wind and solar, the public views natural gas as somewhat more harmful and more expensive (Ansolabehere and Konisky 2009; Konisky and Ansolabehere 2012). Echoing the research done by) and reaffirming the earlier work by Ansolabehere (2007), Truelove (2012) also found that natural gas occupied a middle ground between dirtier fossil fuels and cleaner renewables. Both Truelove and Ansolabehere and Konisky (2012), expand up the ‘tradeoff’ category by soliciting opinions on the siting of a production facilities near the respondent’s home . The pattern mirrors how the public perceives the costs and benefits of each energy type. Large majorities of the public, for example, supported the building of a wind power facility near their home. The opposite was true for the building of a coal-fired or nuclear plant. For natural gas, respondents were less polarized as only a slight majority would oppose a natural gas facility if one were to be built near their home.3 Konisky and Ansolabehere (2009) also analyzed the results in an effort to ascertain whether demographic, economic, and political characteristics had on uneven effect on responses. Respondents, who viewed themselves as Democrats, were more likely to oppose the construction of a nearby natural gas or coal fired plant. Women and minorities also expressed greater opposition to the construction of any new plant except in the case of nuclear, which elicited strong opposition from nearly all population segments. Older respondents were more inclined to support the construction of natural gas and These surveys, conducted in 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2009 and 2010, were among the first to compare public perceptions of and attitudes about the major fuel sources. 3 Konisky and Ansolabehere (2009) used data from a 2008 a web-based MIT survey, which solicited responses from a 1,430 sample of U.S. residents. 2 4 nuclear plants while those living in suburban communities tended to report higher levels of opposition to coal and wind power facilities (See also Greenberg 2009). Feelings towards utilities and energy companies also shaped perceptions. Those individuals who reported feeling a greater sense of trust in the aforementioned organizations expressed less opposition to the siting of nearby plants.4 While, the literature does provide some evidence of how the public views natural gas development, there are relatively few reports that examine the public’s opinion on fracking specifically. Of the few that exist, one of the more comprehensive projects surveyed the views of a representative sample of 525 Pennsylvania residents.5 Importantly, the report solicited opinions after the discovery and fracking of the Marcellus Shale play. The results suggest that Pennsylvanians vary widely in how much attention they are paying to fracking. Nonetheless, a plurality of residents believed that fracking produces greater benefits than costs for the state (41 to 33 percent). The percentage jumped to an even stronger majority (50 to 32 percent) when respondents were asked to consider future impacts. Yet, despite being fairly positive about fracking’s economic impact, residents did report considerable environmental concerns. For example, by a 60 to 28 percent majority, respondents believed that fracking poses a threat to the state’s water quality (Rabe and Borick 2011). Pennsylvanians were also questioned about their beliefs on potential governmental action relative to fracking. Approximately 33 percent were troubled by the prospect of regulation, however, strong majorities did not share such a concern (58 percent in the case of regulation and 51 percent in the case of taxation) (Rabe and Borick 2011). Although, the survey did not include a wide array of questions seeking opinions on potential regulatory actions, the instrument did ask whether companies should be required to disclose the chemicals used in drilling. Interestingly, over 90 percent of respondents reported that firms should be required to disclose their fracking chemical cocktails. It is also noteworthy that the survey included a follow up question that addressed whether companies should not be required to disclose information. Again, over 83 percent of residents answered that they somewhat or strongly disagreed with this statement, suggesting that information disclosure enjoys strong popular support (Rabe and Borick 2011, 7). Greenberg’s (2009) study on risk perception and geography also sheds light on how natural gas is perceived by the public.6 The author noted key differences between locations/regions, which he attributed to how residents understand and evaluated risk. The Idaho ‘site’ provided the strongest support for nuclear power and much less enthusiasm for coal, oil, natural gas and hydroelectric sources, according to Greenberg was likely influenced by its unique energy mix. In 2009, when the survey was conducted, the state of Idaho had no coal plants that supplied residential power. It also had no electrical generation from oil and only a few natural gas fired plants. Moreover, while its electrical portfolio did not include a nuclear plant, it did include a U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Environmental Management facility, which tests and evaluates new plant designs. A similar dynamic was observed for the Oak Ridge and South Texas regions. Both report an inventory consisting of coal, oil, natural gas and nuclear facilities, which Greenberg argues is likely reflected in the region’s support for these energy types. In all The survey prompt read: “How would you feel if a new natural gas-fired power plant were built within 25 miles of your home and was asked in reference to coal, nuclear, natural gas and a large wind power facility. 5 The phone survey was completed by the Muhlenberg Institute of Public Opinion, in cooperation with the University of Michigan’s Center for Local, State, and Urban Policy. 6 The 2008 survey consisted of 2701 residents of the United States, of which, 2101 lived within 50 miles of 11 major existing nuclear power, waste management or laboratory facilities. 4 5 three regions, it is likely that respondents support familiar technology and often do not perceive the associated risks (Greenberg 2009; Kahan et al. (2007) . Jacquet (2012) also examined natural gas and wind survey data, however, his work focused on the attitudes of landowners rather than the public as a whole. And much like earlier research, the public held more favorable views of wind power as compared to natural gas. Interestingly, prior to development, survey respondents held equally positive views towards both energy types. However, after development began, attitudes began to diverge with opinions on natural gas drilling becoming more negative while attitudes towards wind becoming more positive. Natural gas was also more polarizing than wind power. In short, while large segments of the sample were fairly indifferent towards wind farm development, natural gas development evoked much stronger reactions. Finally, opinions on wind/natural gas development were fairly stable. In other words, for both types of development, those respondents who began with negative views were likely to become more pessimistic over time. Conversely, respondents who held positive views were also more likely to become more enthusiastic over time. Upon review of the scholarly literature and/or a brief review of a Sunday paper is many U.S. states, it is clear that hydraulic fracturing is becoming increasingly contested. Much of this controversy centers around questions about fracking’s environmental impacts (air and water), the impact on municipal and county infrastructure and potential economic benefits (Davis 2012). Often as a response to these concerns, policymakers are implementing a variety of new policies ranging from new disclosure requirements to altering the structure of state oil and gas commissions. Of the fracking literature, much of it examines aspects of the policy process in a specific context or contexts rather than opinion determinants (Boersma and Johnson 2012; Davis 2012; Davis and Hoffer 2012; Rabe and Borick 2012). And, while much of this research does examine fracking perceptions, it involves mainly elites’ perception, which limits their generalizability to the broader public (Anderson and Theodori 2009; Brasier et al. 2011) Findings Our examination of public attitudes toward fracking is based on an analysis of survey data from a nationwide energy policy poll developed by researchers at the McCombs School of Business’ Energy Management and Innovation Center at the University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll during March, 2012.* Nearly 2,400 adult Americans over 16 were interviewed and the data were subsequently weighted using U.S. Census Bureau figures to better reflect the actual U.S. population. The database for this paper consists of a subset of approximately 765 individuals or 32% of the original sample who answered affirmatively to a filter question asking whether the respondent was aware of hydraulic fracturing or fracking. Consequently our findings are somewhat more representative of those within the attentive public that are more likely to be knowledgeable about issues and more inclined to express policy values and/or preferences. We begin by providing a general overview of what people think about fracking as a means of obtaining greater amounts of oil and gas as well as efforts to regulate how it is used. As Table 1 indicates, people are quite divided in terms of their support for fracking operations. Respondents are slightly more likely to favor than oppose its use. Only 15% of people surveyed are undecided about the issue. Table 1 here 6 How do people feel about the regulatory aspects of the issue? Since a sizeable minority of our respondents express opposition to the use of fracking in natural gas drilling operations, it is not surprising that many favor some degree of regulatory oversight. We find that people are equally divided in terms of preferring more regulation (45%) versus maintaining existing levels of regulatory activities (43%). Relatively few (12%) are comfortable with the option of reducing regulatory requirements for energy companies engaged in fracking operations. On the other hand, survey respondents are largely in agreement when queried about the importance of rules requiring company disclosure of chemicals used in fracking operations. A substantial majority (83%) agree that disclosure rules are important. A lesser number (15%) are undecided about the need for such rules and only a tiny fraction of those surveyed do not agree that chemical disclosure regulations are important. Next, we consider whether a number of demographic factors commonly found to be related to support for energy or environmental programs are associated with support for fracking use and policies. In general, the data presented in Table 2 indicate that demographic characteristics are not strongly linked to fracking attitudes. We did find that gender is weakly related to our measures of use and regulatory preference. Women are somewhat more likely than men to oppose fracking use altogether and are only slightly more likely to report a preference for more regulation and for the promulgation of chemical disclosure rules. This is consistent with results from other studies that find women are more inclined to express support for environmental issues or policies. Table 2 here While African Americans are only slightly more predisposed to oppose fracking use, there are no statistically significant relationships between respondents classified as black and nonblack and regulatory preferences. Other demographic attributes such as age, unemployment, income, and educational attainment are unrelated to any of the fracking measures. We did expect residential factors to play a larger role in conditioning how people think about fracking. Four factors were isolated – residency in urban, suburban, and rural areas as well as in states with current fracking operations. Did these indicators offer any sort of bellweather about how people felt about fracking? Again, the data suggest that residency is weakly related at best to any of the policy indicators. We were surprised to find that living in a state with ongoing fracking activities is not associated with attitudes toward use or regulation. In like fashion, suburban residency is not correlated with any of our measures. However, we did find that survey respondents residing in urban and rural areas react to fracking issues in the expected direction although the strength of the correlations is fairly modest. Those residing in urban areas are slightly more likely to oppose fracking use and to prefer more regulation of drilling operations and company disclosure of chemicals used while rural residents tend to be more favorably predisposed toward use and less supportive of regulatory actions, also by a slender margin. This offers some corroboration of prior research indicating that jobs and increased economic activity associated with natural gas drilling may be more welcome in rural areas where economic recovery is often occurring at a slower pace. We also decided to examine whether factors such as party identification and respondent attitudes toward environmental and economic policy values issues are useful in helping us to account for differences in fracking-related attitudes (see Table 3). The results dovetail nicely with our research expectations drawn from the literature on environmental values and policy 7 attitudes. As expected, party identification provides a clear means of differentiating between respondents supporting or opposing fracking. Democrats are significantly more skeptical of its practical uses than Republicans and equally more likely to favor regulations for energy company drilling activities and the need to disclose the chemical composition of fracking fluids. Table 3 here Two policy-related questions were also examined in relation to fracking. One addresses self placement on a scale ranging from a strong preference for environmental protection to a strong preference for economic development. This turns out to be the most useful indicator in our paper; i.e., those selecting a pro-environmental policy stance are significantly more like to oppose fracking uses and to prefer more regulation and chemical disclosure rules. Similarly, there is a moderately strong and statistically significant relationship between respondents’ willingness to pay for environmental protection and our fracking use and regulatory measures. Once again, the explanatory importance of party identification and environmental policy preferences in relation to fracking-related attitudes is consistent with much of the attitudinal literature cited earlier. Conclusions Our initial research goal in this paper was to analyze support among national survey respondents for energy industry use of hydraulic fracturing technology as well as their attitudes toward the regulation of fracking practices and rules requiring company disclosure of chemicals used in fracking processes. We found that members of the general public are divided on the question of use – a small plurality express support. However, a majority of our respondents favor regulatory actions to ensure that health and environmental concerns are not sacrificed. Further analysis revealed that most demographic attributes of people surveyed are largely unrelated to fracking-related attitudes. We did find a few indicators that warrant mention in our efforts to account for attitudinal differences. Women and people residing in urban areas are slightly more inclined to oppose fracking and to favor more regulation in terms of drilling operations and company chemical disclosure requirements than men or people living in rural areas. But our key findings are that opposition to fracking and support for current or increased levels of regulation are strongly related to Democratic party identification and to pro-environmental policy attitudes. These results are consistent with prior studies dealing with public reaction to environmental and energy issues and policies. Our findings also reinforce a trend identified by Lowry (2008) concerning the decreasing distance between the politics of energy development and environmental protection. While older policies dealing with traditional energy sources like natural gas and oil were historically depicted as uncontroversial, low conflict, and distributive in nature, public perception of newer energy policies such as fracking suggests that policy issues are just as likely to be viewed through the lens of environmental protection (i.e., regulatory policy) as economic development policymaking. A perceptual shift of this sort also may have important policy implications. How might increasingly contentious attitudes toward fracking affect the implementation of policy decisions such as setback requirements for natural gas drilling operations or company disclosure requirements for fracking fluids? First, as Ajzen (1991) has suggested, an individual’s beliefs partially 8 shape his or her future behavior, which, in the case of fracking, would likely include the willingness to support new and existing forms of regulation and enforcement. Second, research by a number of environmental policy scholars points to important relationships between public attitudes, policy change and implementation (Baumgartner and Jones 2009; Borick 2010; McCright 2009; Sheberle 2004). It may be useful to consider additional research along these lines that more directly considers the link between someone’s policy values, partisan orientation and specific types of behavior ranging from expressing policy preferences through communication with social or other media sources, testimony at public meetings, voting, or direct action. It is also important to think about how attitudes might interact with different types of focusing events such as a major gas leak or a hotly contested ballot initiative in ways that can trigger or activate political actions. 9 References Ajzen, Icek. 1991. “The Theory of Planned Behavior.” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 50, 179-210. Anderson, Brooklynn. J. and Gene.L. 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Fordham Environmental Law Review 20 (115), 1-55. 13 Table 1 Public Support for Fracking Use and Policies % N Support Use of Fracking for Oil And Gas Production? Oppose Undecided Support Total 40 15 45 100 (300) (110) (339) (749) Feelings about the Regulation of Fracking Operations? More regulation Keep existing level of regulation Less regulation Total 45 43 12 100 (311) (293) ( 84) (688) Importance of Rules Requiring Company Disclosure of Chemicals used in Fracking? Not important Undecided Important Total 5 12 83 100 ( 40) ( 91) (633) (764) Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, March, 2012 14 Table 2 Relationships between Demographic Characteristics and Fracking Use/Policies Support Fracking Use? ra N Regulate Fracking? r N Age .06 -.05 Gender -.21** (749) -.10** (688) .12** (764) African American -.10** (749) -.09 (688) .05 (764) Income .06 (749) .02 (688) -.04 (764) -.03 (749) .01 (688) -.01 (764) Education .00 (749) -.02 (688) -.01 (764) Urban resident b -.12** (749) .00 (688) .08* (764) .02 (764) Unemployed (749) Regulate Disclosure of Fracking Chemicals? r N (688) Suburban resident b .02 (749) -.06 (688) Rural resident b .10** (749) .07 (688) Fracking state resident b .00 .00 (688) (749) Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, March, 2012 ** Statistically significant at the .01 level (2 tail test) * Statistically significant at the .05 level (2 tail test) a Pearson’s correlation coefficient b Coded as “2,” all others coded as “1” or missing 15 .02 (764) -.10** (764) .00 (764) Table 3 Relationships between Partisan Orientation, Policy Attitudes and Fracking Use/Policies Support Fracking Use? ra N Regulate Fracking? r N Regulate Disclosure of Fracking Chemicals? r N Partisan orientationb .45** (669) .46** (618) -.35** (684) Priority given to environmental protection vs economic growthc .58** (749) .48** (688) -.47** (764) Willingness to pay for -.37** (749) environmental protection -.34** (688) .38** (764) Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, March, 2012 ** Statistically significant at the .01 level (2 tail test) a Pearson’s correlation coefficient b Ranges from “1” (strong Democrat) to “4” (independent) and to “7” (strong Republican). Respondents choosing another party were excluded from the analysis. c Ranges from “1” (environmental protection priority) to “5” (economic growth priority). 16