USA-NPN Research Coordination Network Workshop Overview University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee May 22-24, 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________ Workshop Goal: To identify key strategies for moving the field of phenology forward, while building upon the work of previous RCN workshops. In doing so, we aspire to bolster the science and data-oriented goals of the USA-National Phenology Network as a mechanism for supporting the long-term relevance and sustainability of the Network and the field of phenology at-large. Specifically, we will harness the collective intellectual capacity of workshop participants (e.g., environmental scientists, resource managers, and members of the Network’s Advisory Committee) to identify tangible, strategic actions for near-term implementation. Workshop Objectives: Engage all participants in identification of grand challenges related to phenology research and applications relevant to decision-making at the national scale. Engage all participants in contributing to developing a catalogue of data products and developing plans for the strategic growth of the National Phenology Database (NPDb). Members of the AC participate in the working groups and RCN gatherings; members also attend a one-day meeting with National Coordinating Office (NCO) executive and senior staff to facilitate advancement of newly revised USA-NPN Strategic Plan. Working Session 1: Grand Challenges in Phenology Research & Applications As stated by the USA-NPN Implementation Team on March 23, 2006 in Tucson, Arizona: Phenology is a far-reaching component of environmental science but is poorly understood. Critical questions (or, grand challenges) include how environmental factors affect seasonal timing in different organisms, and how those factors vary in importance on different spatial and temporal scales and across managed and unmanaged ecosystems in different parts of the U.S. Moreover, we need to know how phenological variations and change affect the growth, abundance, distribution and diversity of organisms, their ecological functions and trophic interactions in the environment, and their effects on fluxes in water, energy, and chemical elements at various scales. With sufficient observations and understanding, phenology can drive ecological forecast models with both scientific and practical application, can be used as an indicator and predictor for other processes and variables of societal importance at the national scale, and can inform policy, planning and management in an uncertain and changing world. The first interactive session of the RCN workshop will focus on further developing grand challenges. A major strategic goal of the USA-NPN is to optimize the National Phenology Database (NPDb) to ensure that the Network remains valuable and useful to scientists and to resource managers by addressing critical scientific and management challenges and by producing high priority data products now and in the future. To accomplish this, a sufficient density of observations across space and time must be available in the NPDb. Furthermore, the nature of the database inquiries will depend on the goals and objectives of the individuals and partners posing the questions. Two RCN working groups were organized during Spring 2012 to begin addressing the issues of strategically growing the database in order to generate research and management-relevant data products (Figure 1). The second and third interactive sessions of the RCN workshop will build on the work of these working groups and engage participants in identifying how the USA-NPN can begin to meet these needs. Figure 1. Conceptual diagram of goals and inter-relationships between the USA-NPN’s RCN workshop sessions. Working Session 2: Identifying Data Products The USA-NPN aims to generate, host and disseminate a wide range of information on phenology to the public, researchers, land managers and policy makers. Some of this information will be in the form of data products derived from the USA-NPN’s NPDb, established cloned plant networks, and from external data sources. Data are already available from the USA-NPN’s website in a raw form but we would like to provide refined products with value to a range of users, in which the data provided are accompanied by measures of uncertainty, contextual information (metadata) and the justification for the methods used to generate the data product. Examples include the Schwartz et al. (2006)1 suite of Spring Indices or another gridded analysis of the NPDb data. USA-NPN has limited support for personnel and thus needs a relatively short list of high-priority products that the organization can produce in a timely fashion. In light of this limitation, the Data Products working group aimed to (1) create a list of potentially useful data products that USA-NPN might be able to produce and or help to disseminate, (2) indicate which stakeholders or interested parties might find these products useful, (3) estimate how much time and effort it would take to produce these products, and (4) prioritize a short list of products which will later be described in the form of a data products catalogue. 1 Schwartz, M. D., R. Ahas, and A. Aasa. 2006. Onset of spring starting earlier across the northern hemisphere. Global Change Biology 12:343-351. At the RCN workshop, participants will break into three, thematic (e.g., bioclimate, community ecology, and wildlife management) groups (not necessarily by specific expertise). First, groups will review the preliminary list of data products provided by the working group and add any additional products that they can describe and justify as high-priority. Participants will then link the identified data products to ‘grand challenges’ and to more specific research and management questions in order to identify their clear value to the community. To facilitate prioritization, participants will also identify products that serve several goals and subsequently describe the highest priority products in terms of its potential use, spatial and temporal resolution, and general mode of calculation. Ideally, each break-out group in this session will identify 1-2 high priority products that can potentially be produced with data in the NPDb. This exercise will guide the subsequent RCN workshop session focused on identifying and describing the NPDb data specifications required to generate the products. Working Session 3: Strategic Growth of the Database Ideally, the USA-NPN database and suite of derived products will be sufficiently flexible to address the demands of many partners and user groups and to address scientific questions representing multiple ecological, spatial, and temporal levels. To facilitate the development of these products, the Strategic Growth of the Database working group (SGDb-WG) developed a simple decision framework as an approach for identifying descriptions of the data needed to produce a range of high priority data products. During the SGDb session, participants in three break-out groups will test this decision framework; group themes will follow the morning session. In turn, groups will generate descriptions of the data required to generate the high priority data products identified in the morning workshop session. To facilitate the generation of data descriptions, each high priority data product will have an associated data use “scenario” or narrative that describes the research question and justification behind the product. Participants review and clarify details such as the goals and objectives of the requesting organization or agency, the spatial and temporal scale of interest, and the scientific questions they hope to address. NPDb data requirements then will be defined in terms of the following attributes: phenophases, functional groups, and approximate spatial and temporal density of observation sites (Figure 2). Figure 2. Flow diagram of RCN workshop session focused on strategic growth of the National Phenology Database. We aim to produce one data requirement scenario per data product (with both optimum & minimum descriptions) relative to database attributes. Participants will be discouraged from focusing on discussions relative to the composition of the species list itself, and from making plans for how data not currently in the NPDb will be gathered. Post-workshop, the resultant data descriptions will be verified, refined, and implemented. This will lead to the production of a series of priority data products designed to meet the needs of partners and data end-users. Ultimately, identification of such data requirements will inform future National Coordinating Office (NCO) observer recruitment and retention efforts (e.g., campaigns, calls-to-action, etc.). Outcomes and Next Steps By the end of the RCN workshop, we seek to have a number of tangible outcomes from the three working sessions (Table 1). Ideally, these will serve as launching points for moving the field of phenology forward; the collective capacity of the USA-NPN will catalyze this process. Over the course of Summer 2012, we will prepare a workshop report that will be distributed to participants and partners. In doing so, the NCO will evaluate outcomes of the working sessions and develop a plan for implementing recommendations arising from the RCN workshop. Table 1. Overview of workshop outcomes and next steps. SESSION 1. Grand Challenges in Phenology LEAD Julio Betancourt & Geoff Henebry OUTCOMES Identification of Top 3-5 priorities for research and management NEXT STEPS Short white paper entitled “Toward a phenology research agenda for the next decade” 2. USA-NPN Data Products Dave Moore 3-6 high priority data products Refinement and development of a data product catalogue 3. Strategic Growth of the Database NCO Science Staff 3-6 preliminary scenarios for developing database in support of product development Refinement and implementation of data recommendations