GIS Assignment 7 My project will explore how immigration patterns across villages in the Tahoua department of Niger correlate with proximity to markets and paved roads. Does access to markets promote local development and thus dissuade immigration? Or does proximity to major roads and markets facilitate opportunities to find work elsewhere? Additionally, using data on Nigerien immigrants returning from conflict in Libya, I will assess how these geographic characteristics correlate with forced migration. These maps could help demonstrate infrastructure projects’ impact on migration flows in times of peace and crisis. Human Sciences Research Council. (2006). Migration in south and southern Africa: dynamics and determinants. Cape Town: HSRC Press. Migration in south and southern Africa provides a useful appendix on how GIS can be used as a tool in migration research, both in terms of mapping the flow and concentration of migrants. In the appendix, the editors highlight how they applied GIS software to assess whether social mobility is the dominant reason for inter-provincial migration in South Africa. Their research found, counter-intuitively, a surprising proportion South Africans actually migrant out of urban, more economically successful provinces and into the periphery. This source was a great primer on the different ways (flow vs. concentration) to map migration patterns. Van der Geest, K., Vrieling, A., & Dietz, T. (2010). Migration and Enviroment in Ghana: A Cross-District Analysis of Human Mobility and Vegetation Dynamics. Enviroment and Urbanization, 22(107). This research analyzes how environmental factors (farming opportunities, environmental degradation) shape internal migration in Ghana. The authors argue that rural population density and thus access to resources has a greater influence on migration flows than the proximity or abundance of that natural resource. This research aggregated household survey data on to a departmental level. Using this data, they produced a useful map of Ghana (112) that highlights both the concentration of migrants per department, as well as arrows indicating the flow of migrants from one department to other. Not surprisingly, the capital Accra had the highest share of migrants. Though my data is on the village level, I liked how they captured net migration (whether positive or negative) per department using a darkening color scheme in addition to listing the percentage change in parenthesis. Brown, S. (2003). Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Issues: Gender and GIS in Nepal. International Mountain Society, 23(4), 338 – 344. This study assessed how Nepalese women’s proximity to watersheds, markets and other geographic variables correlates with levels of gender inequality and socioeconomic activity in their household. The authors collected household survey data and mapped socioeconomic indicators (women’s literacy rates, ect) in relation to geographic indicators. One of their maps looks into how distance from markets and roads relates to gender inequality (figures 3 and 4). I am interested in how those two variables relate to village level migration activity. These maps did a good job presenting the survey data – a surveyed house was given a symbol depending on a level of gender inequality. However, because so many households were surveyed, they cluttered the maps, making it hard to process any geographic correlations with household gender inequality. Aker, J., Boumnijel, R., McClelland, A., & Tierney, N. (2011). Zap It to Me: The Short-Term Impacts of a Mobile Cash Transfer Program (Working Paper No. 268). Center for Global Development. All of my project’s survey data stems from Professor Jenny Aker’s working paper. Dr. Aker wanted to measure the economic impact of mobile money platforms on households and villages in the Tahoua department of Niger. Figure 1 illustrates the location and density of the surveyed villages. This will be a useful guide when I map these villages. Aker’s research also provides information on the three nearest markets to each village. Combined, I can use this survey data to assess how proximity to markets correlates with migration levels. Layers, key attribute Surveyed Villages Markets Format Source Date Tabular Prof. Aker’s survey data Tabular Prof. Aker’s survey data May, 2011 May, Data Format Major Roads Nigerien Departme nts (Level II) 2011 Shapefile Michael Bauer Research, Publish Environmental Systems ed Research Institute, ESRI Data 2011, Maps, accurat Scale: 1:250,000. e as of 2007 Shapefile GfK Marktforschung, Publish http://www.gfked geomarketing.com/en/digita 2011, l_maps/niger.html accurat e as of 1996 Vector Vector 4. Data Processing: I. II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. Use survey data on excel spreadsheet to aggregate household data on to the village level. Calculate a) migrants as percent of village population b) change in reported Nigerien migrant population in Libya from time I (January, 2011) to time II ( after NATO’s intervention in Libya, May, 2011) using Excel functions. This second calculation represents forced migration. It will be interesting to see whether Nigerien migrants in Libya returned to their home villages or travelled elsewhere. “Oceans” base map will be imported. All labels will be turned off. Data frame properties and layers will be projected on to : WGS_1984_UTM_Zone_31N, with a linear unit of 1 meter. The Nigerien department layer will be uploaded. a. Tahoua district will be selected by attributes, and then be made into a separate “Tahoua” layer. The Major Roads layer will be uploaded. a. Clip roads that lie in the Tahoua district layer. This will create a new layer titled “Tahoua Major Roads.” Map the surveyed villages and markets using their X – Y coordinates from the survey data. Create a village layer and a market layer. VIII. For the village layer set, apply symbology of graduated symbols (circles) for two variables: a. Migrants as a percentage of total household population b. Percentage change in migrant population in Libya from time I (January) and time II (May). c. Once these symbols are mapped, their size and classification will be adjusted according to what appears most accurate. IX. Apply 5, 10 and 15 km buffers to market points on market layer. This will create a buffer layer that will help categorize which villages are closest to markets. More research must be conducted to verify that these 5km buffer intervals are valid categorizations of accessibility. X. Use the Euclidean distance tool to create a raster grid from the “Tahoua Major Road” layer. I will classify each distance grid based on five break values with the first break value at 3 km and the last break value at greater than 15 km. The first break will be given a “1” rank and values above 15 km will be given a “5” rank. More research will be conducted to determine whether this classification is valid in determining the ease of access to major roads. The scale of each raster cell is yet to be determined. XI. If time permits, I could create a “Market” raster grid and overlay it with the “Tahoua Major Road” raster grid. I will create the “Tahoa Major Road” raster as the snap raster and snap the “Market” raster grid on top of it. The “Market” raster grid would also contain five break values with less than 3 km given a “1” rank and values above 15 km will be given a “5” rank. I still need to research an appropriate scale size for reach raster cell in the “Market” raster grid. I would then use the raster calculator to add the “Market” and “Tahoua Major Road” variables together. Locations with high values would be far from both markets and major roads. This suitability map will examine how migration rates differ between villages that have access to both markets and major roads, villages with access to one of those resources and villages with access to neither. XII. In sum, this research could produce up to six maps. Three maps (market buffer, roads, market - roads combined) relating to migration levels per village and three maps pertaining to the change in levels of Nigerien migrants in Libya. Products I hope to include on my poster: I. Maps: 1. Surveyed villages in the Tahoua department of Niger 2. Migration Concentration 1. In relation to proximity to markets 2. In relation to proximity to roads 3. In relation to preference grid of markets and roads. 3. Forced Migration – Niger 1. In relation to proximity to markets 2. In relation to proximity to roads 3. In relation to preference grid of markets and roads. II. Table of Tahoua villages with highest concentration of migrants III. Table of Tahoua villages with greatest change in flow of Nigerien migrants in Libya.