Analysing the effects of the introduction of the new Project Maths syllabus on beginning undergraduates’ performance of basic mathematical skills in Ireland Páraic Treacy1 & Fiona Faulkner2 1 College of Education, University of Derby & 2Dublin Institute of Technology P.Treacy@derby.ac.uk & Fiona.Faulkner@dit.ie Abstract The mathematical under-preparedness of students entering universities in Ireland, UK, Australia and the US has been widely reported with beginning undergraduates displaying a lack of basic mathematical skills, as well as fragmented understanding, inadequate concept knowledge, and inability to successfully solve mathematical problems (O’Donoghue 2004, Gill et al. 2010, Lawson 2003). This issue has been of particular concern in Ireland recently, with beginning undergraduates’ performance of basic mathematical skills showing signs of significant decline over the last 10 years (Treacy & Faulkner 2015). New mathematics syllabi, commonly referred to as ‘Project Maths’, were gradually introduced into Senior Cycle and Junior Cycle of the Irish secondary school education system from 2010 onwards to address some of the criticisms of the approach to teaching mathematics that existed in Ireland. These new syllabi aim to place greater emphasis on student understanding of mathematical concepts, enabling students to relate mathematics to everyday scenarios with increased use of contexts and applications. This study analyses, through mathematics diagnostic test data gathered between 2008 and 2014, the effects that the introduction of the new Senior Cycle syllabus has had on beginning undergraduates’ basic mathematical skills. Introduction The mathematical under-preparedness of students entering universities in Ireland has been reported recently, with significant declines in the execution of basic mathematical skills observed (Treacy & Faulkner 2015). This phenomenon in which students are under prepared for the mathematical demands of their undergraduate courses is regularly referred to as the ‘Maths Problem’ (Lawson & Croft 2012). The ‘Maths Problem’, characterised by student deficiencies such as a lack of basic mathematical skills, fragmented understanding, inadequate concept knowledge, and inability to successfully solve mathematical problems, has been an issue of concern in the Ireland, UK, Australia, and the US (O’Donoghue 2004, Gill et al. 2010, Lawson 2003). Allied to this documented decline in basic mathematical skills among beginning undergraduates, concerns arise from the finding that over four-fifths of school leavers in Ireland reported significant differences in approaches to teaching and learning between secondary level and further/higher education (McCoy et al. 2014). Low retention rates in higher education STEM courses have been attributed to students’ shortcomings in mathematics (Bourn 2007) which would lead one to consider that these reported issues in Ireland will have a similarly negative effect in the near future. In Ireland, steps have been taken to address deficiencies in secondary level students’ mathematics capabilities. Junior Cycle (years 1-3 of secondary level) and Senior Cycle (years 5-6 of secondary level) secondary mathematics curricula have been overhauled with the introduction of the ‘Project Maths’ syllabi. The aim of these new syllabi is to place greater emphasis on student understanding of mathematical concepts with increased use of contexts and applications of mathematics in real world scenarios. The new Project Maths syllabi intend to encourage a greater focus on problem solving skills while aligning assessment with these revised classroom practices (Project Maths Team 2010, DES 2010). The introduction of new mathematics curricula at secondary level is not the only focus of change in Irish secondary mathematics education. Focus has also been placed on the qualifications of practicing secondary mathematics teachers in the country also. In a 2009 study, 48% of teachers in Ireland assigned to teach secondary level mathematics were found to be ‘out-of-field’ i.e. teaching a subject which does not match their training or education (Ní Ríordáin & Hannigan 2009). These findings prompted the introduction of the Professional Diploma in Mathematics for Teaching (Part-time) so that these teachers could upskill and ensure they became fully qualified to teach secondary mathematics. This 2-year part-time blended learning programme was implemented nationwide in 2012. The first cohort of approximately 300 teachers graduated in January 2015 while two further cohorts are working towards this goal at present with another cohort due to commence studies in September 2015. As mathematics is the strongest predictor of successful student progression through tertiary level education in Ireland (Mooney et al. 2010) and has been proven to play an important role in a country’s economic success (EGFSN 2008), this focus on enhancing the quality of teaching and learning within the subject is not surprising. The effects of these efforts on student performance in mathematics should prove to be of great national interest over the coming years. This study aims to offer early indications of some elements of these effects, particularly the effects on student performance of basic mathematical skills and algorithms. The findings outlined in this paper will track changes in beginning undergraduate students’ mathematics competencies in specific topics between 2008 and 2014. The means by which these students’ performance of basic mathematical skills was determined will be outlined along with a general profile of the students’ mathematical backgrounds. Furthermore, a detailed analysis of the trends related to student performance on the UL mathematics diagnostic test will be charted. Mathematical Background of Irish Students The vast majority (>99%) of students who leave secondary level education to enter tertiary level education in Ireland have studied mathematics throughout primary and secondary school. Mathematics is one of three subjects that students must complete in the Leaving Certificate examinations which act as their final examinations at secondary level. Typically at age 17 or 18, students sit the Leaving Certificate mathematics examination at one of three levels – higher, ordinary, or foundation. Changes in how these students have been assessed in mathematics at Leaving Certificate have occurred since 2011 with the introduction of the Project Maths syllabus. This syllabus was phased in to the Senior Cycle – the final two years of secondary education – in all Irish secondary schools, starting in September 2010 and eventually fully rolled out by September 2013 (Project Maths Team 2010). Elements of the Project Maths syllabus were thus incorporated into the Leaving Certificate mathematics examinations in June 2011, with gradually more added in June 2012, and June 2013. The first examination to be completely based on the new syllabus in all Irish secondary schools took place in June 2014. This timeline was important when determining the data to explore through this research. The years 2008 to 2014 were selected so that a pattern could be observed in the years before the phased introduction of the new syllabus, as well as the years in which the new syllabus was gradually introduced, and the first year (2014) in which the new syllabus was fully implemented within the Leaving Certificate examinations. In November 2013, an early assessment of the impact of the Project Maths syllabus was published which concluded that there did not appear to be any link between the new syllabus and any overall decline or progression in students’ achievement in mathematics (Jeffes et al. 2013). The analysis outlined in this paper will examine these claims and provide further evidence of the effects this transition has had on student performance in mathematics in specific topics. The importance of the effects of this change in curriculum can be linked, among other factors, to the fact that results in the Leaving Certificate examinations determine whether or not a student transitions directly from secondary level education to their chosen course of study at tertiary level in Ireland. Points are awarded to students based on the grades achieved in the Leaving Certificate examinations. The number of points achieved by a student determines the tertiary level courses to which he/she may gain entry. To boost the numbers of students opting to study mathematics at Higher Level for the Leaving Certificate, 25 bonus points were awarded to students who achieved a grade D3 or above in the Higher Level Leaving Certificate mathematics examination. This measure, introduced in 2012, has had a noticeable effect on the proportion of students opting to study Higher Level mathematics at Leaving Certificate. This phenomenon will be discussed later. The Diagnostic Test and Methodology Students entering first year service mathematics modules for science based and technology based undergraduate degree courses at UL have been given a 40 question mathematics diagnostic test. This test aims to assess the application of basic mathematical skills and understanding in selected mathematical topics. These topics are arithmetic (13 questions), algebra (8 questions), geometry (4 questions), trigonometry (3 questions), co-ordinate geometry (4 questions), complex numbers (2 questions), differentiation (3 questions), integration (2 questions), and modelling (1 question). Of the forty questions, thirty four are set at a Leaving Certificate Ordinary Level standard or below. The remaining six questions are set at a Leaving Certificate Higher Level standard. Students who score 18/40 or less are considered to be at risk of failing their service mathematics module thus they are deemed to be ‘at risk’. Research by Faulkner (2012) objectively proved that setting this as the cut-off point for terming students to be ‘at risk’ would be an accurate prediction of their likely performance based on retrospective data. Students who are termed ‘at risk’ are encouraged to take advantage of mathematics support services available at the University of Limerick in a timely and regular manner to address any gaps in their mathematical knowledge and skills. The UL diagnostic test was designed specifically to suit the mathematical level of the students in each of the targeted service mathematics modules. The design of the UL diagnostic test was carried out through analysis and adjustment of an initial list of 70 questions by a team of experienced service mathematics lecturers as they reduced this to the final 40 question version used from 1998 to the present day. The UL diagnostic test was piloted in Irish secondary schools and compared with the European Society for Engineering Education (SEFI) Core Level Zero syllabus for engineers, the Irish Junior Certificate mathematics syllabus, the Irish Leaving Certificate mathematics syllabus, and further diagnostic tests to ensure validity of this research tool (Gill et al. 2010). At this point it is worth noting that the documented change to the Leaving Certificate syllabus may place some limitations on the relevance of the UL diagnostic test in assessing the basic mathematical skills of beginning undergraduates. The new Leaving Certificate mathematics syllabus aims to place greater focus on problem solving and the application of mathematics in varying contexts in contrast to the old syllabus which placed greater emphasis on the execution of procedure and algorithms (DES 2010, Project Maths Team 2010). Having stated that, the basic mathematical skills required to successfully answer the forty questions of the UL diagnostic test are still part of the new syllabus thus students would need to be proficient in these skills in order to apply their understanding in different contexts. Data on the cohort of beginning undergraduate students in science based and technology based degree courses who sat this diagnostic test have been collected each year between 1998 and 2014. The same diagnostic test was used in each of these years to ensure reliability. The UL database, which contains data from these diagnostic tests, currently holds information on over 10,700 students. This paper will focus on data from 2008 to 2014 so that clear trends in the period before, during, and just after the phased introduction of the Project Maths syllabus to the Leaving Certificate mathematics examinations can be observed and analysed. Analysis of this data was carried out in an attempt to aid the authors in answering the following research questions: What level of performance are beginning undergraduates in UL service mathematics modules displaying with regard to basic mathematical skills in each of the topics examined by the UL diagnostic test? What are the trends in performance of basic mathematical skills of students entering first year service mathematics modules at UL as the Leaving Certificate commenced and completed the phased introduction of the Project Maths syllabi? Is there any evidence of grade dilution in Leaving Certificate mathematics in the period 2008-2014? Background of students Analysis of the achievements in Leaving Certificate mathematics will give an insight into the typical profile of students entering service mathematics modules at UL. The majority of students who completed the diagnostic test from 2008 to 2013 had studied mathematics at ordinary level in the Leaving Certificate with the (between 50.4% and 60.8%). However, from 2012 onwards, the proportion of students who had studied at Ordinary Level began to fall while the proportion of students who had studied mathematics at Higher Level was increasing. By 2014, the proportion of students with a Higher Level Leaving Certificate mathematics background (51.2%) was greater than the proportion of students with an Ordinary Level Leaving Certificate background (43%). This significant change may be explained in part by the offer of 25 bonus points in the Leaving Certificate for students who obtain a grade D3 or better in the Higher Level mathematics examination. This initiative commenced in 2012 and was continued in 2013 and 2014. Since the introduction of these bonus points, there has been a noticeable increase in the proportion of students opting for Higher Level mathematics at Leaving Certificate in Ireland, improving from 16% in 2011 to 22% in 2012, 25.6% in 2013 and 27% in 2014 (State Examination Commission 2014). This change has been reflected in the data recorded in the UL database. Students that completed their secondary level studies outside Ireland, did not sit their Leaving Certificate in the previous 10 years, or did not sit a Leaving Certificate mathematics examination at all were termed as ‘Other/Missing’ in the database. These students typically accounted for a small percentage of each cohort i.e. between 2.4% and 12.4%, with no pattern of note to this variation. 45 40 35 2008 30 2009 25 2010 20 2011 2012 15 2013 10 2014 5 0 HA HB HC HD NS OA OB OC OD Figure 1. Percentage of students entering UL service mathematics modules that achieved specific Leaving Certificate mathematics grades. Analysis of students’ performance in mathematics at Leaving Certificate (see Figure 1) would indicate that students have achieved similar grades in Leaving Certificate examinations in the timeframe explored (2008-2014). There are, however, some differences in the years 2012, 2013, and 2014 when compared to the years previous as the proportion of students achieving Ordinary Level A grades (OA) declined while the proportion of those achieving Higher Level C grades (HC) and Higher Level D grades (HD) increased in each of the years from 2012 to 2014. This change could be explained by the introduction of bonus points during that period – those that typically would have been expected to achieve Ordinary Level A grades in 2012, 2013, and 2014 may have opted to study Leaving Certificate mathematics at Higher Level to attempt to take advantage of the bonus points on offer and achieved Higher Level C and D grades. Treacy & Faulkner (2015) have previously reported on the proportion of students assessed through the UL diagnostic test who were deemed to be ‘at risk’ of failing their service mathematics final exam for the period 2003-2013. This figure had increased significantly in that period: from 30.6% in 2003 and 25.6% in 2004 to 53.7% in 2012 and 48.7% in 2013. Similar figures of students ‘at risk’ have been observed in the 2014 cohort, with 48.6% at risk. As such, an increase in the proportion of students studying Higher Level mathematics at Leaving Certificate has not coincided with an increase in overall performance by students in the UL diagnostic test. Results Changes in performance by students transitioning from secondary to tertiary level education were analysed in the nine mathematical topics examined through the UL diagnostic test. When mean scores in arithmetic, algebra, geometry, trigonometry, complex numbers, and differentiation are compared for the years 2008 and 2014, a statically significant decline (p < 0.05) is observed. Conversely, mean scores for coordinate geometry and integration indicated a statistically significant increase when data from 2008 and 2014 are compared. These findings are interesting as they provide insight into the effects the introduction of Project Maths has had on performance of basic mathematical skills in each of these topics. However, as observed previously, the grade profile of these students is noticeably different when students from 2008 are compared to students from 2014. So, to ensure that a balanced analysis of the data is performed, comparisons will be drawn between students who achieved similar Leaving Certificate mathematics grades so that conclusions can be confidently drawn concerning the level of improvement or decline in performance of basic mathematical skills by students during the period 2008 to 2014. 80 70 60 Arithmetic Algebra 50 Geometry Trigonometry 40 CoordinateGeometry ComplexNos 30 Differentiation Integration 20 Modelling 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Figure 2: Overall diagnostic test performance by topic 2008-2014. The grades which will be considered will be higher level B, C, and D grades. The number of students in the database with higher level A grades was not sufficient enough to carry out reliable statistical analysis thus it will not be outlined here. Also, the additional volume of data that would need to be displayed to properly discuss the trends observed amongst students from an Ordinary Level mathematics Leaving Certificate background was such that these students could not be included in the analysis carried out for this paper. Students who achieved Leaving Certificate Higher Level B grades in the 2008 cohort performed similarly in most topics to those who achieved Leaving Certificate Higher Level B grades in the 2014 cohort. Statistically significant changes (p < 0.05) were observed in some topics with improvements occurring in coordinate geometry and modelling, and a decline in performance in differentiation. Comparison of 2009 and 2014 produced similar results with statistically significant (p < 0.05) improvement in geometry and declines in algebra, geometry, and differentiation. Comparison of students who achieved higher level C grades in Leaving Certificate mathematics in 2008 and 2014 produces a greater range of discrepancies. Statistically significant (p < 0.05) declines in performance are evident in six of the nine topics: arithmetic, algebra, geometry, trigonometry, complex numbers, and differentiation. The latter three of these topics displayed particularly pronounced declines (p = 0.000) in mean performance by students in 2014 compared to 2008 at this grade level. One topic, coordinate geometry, showed statistically significant improvement. Comparing performance in 2009 to 2014 also produces statistically significant (p < 0.05) declines in the same six topics and improvement once again in coordinate geometry. When mean performance in the specific categories of the diagnostic test of students who achieved higher level D grades in the Leaving Certificate are compared for 2008 and 2014, there are statistically significant (p < 0.05) declines in seven of the nine topics. These topics are arithmetic, algebra, geometry, trigonometry, complex numbers, differentiation, and integration. The first four topics stated here had clearly significant declines (p = 0.000). There is no topic in which performance has increased significantly. Table 1: Summary of statistically significant changes in beginning undergraduates’ mean performance of basic mathematical skills by topics and by Leaving Certificate grades achieved. Topic Higher Level B Higher Level C Higher Level D Arithmetic – – Algebra – – Geometry – – Trigonometry – – Co-ordinate Geom. Complex Numbers Differentiation + – – – – – – Integration Modelling + + + = Statistically significant increase in performance when data from 2008 and 2014 are compared. – = Statistically significant decline in performance when data from 2008 and 2014 are compared. Discussion The comparisons drawn above between mean scores at each individual mathematical topic by students who achieved Higher Level Leaving Certificate grades B, C, or D highlight declines in basic mathematical skills of students who achieve those grades. Statistically significant declines in mean performance for arithmetic algebra, geometry, trigonometry, complex numbers and differentiation at both higher level C and D grades indicate that the basic skills inherent in these topics are in decline amongst students entering university with these Leaving Certificate mathematics grades. As 2014 was also the first year that the fully implemented ‘Project Maths’ curriculum was examined through the Leaving Certificate, this also raises questions concerning how this new syllabus affects the performance of basic mathematical skills by students studying this syllabus. The shift in focus from emphasis on the execution of procedure and algorithms in the previous Senior Cycle mathematics syllabus to applications of mathematics and problem solving in the new Project Maths syllabus would, according to this data, appear to be negatively affecting students’ execution of basic mathematical skills. Such a change may be expected and does not necessarily indicate a decline in overall mathematical ability of these students. It has been documented that, in some instances, secondary students appear to be successfully drawing together their knowledge across different mathematical topics thus indicating that they are beginning to acquire a deeper understanding of mathematics and how it can be applied (Jeffes et al., 2013). However, the observed declines outlined in this paper is an indicator that execution of the basic mathematical skills may be an emerging issue that needs to be strongly considered so that deficiencies in this element of students’ mathematical abilities can be addressed. On a positive note, it is interesting to note that performance in the modelling question of students who achieved higher level B grades in the Leaving Certificate in the diagnostic test show significant improvement between 2008 and 2014 (see Table 1). The aforementioned shift in focus to application of mathematics in different contexts would appear to be aiding the modelling capabilities of the students who experienced the ‘Project Maths’ syllabus at secondary level. Analysis of student performance when Leaving Certificate grades are controlled (see Table 1) would indicate that there are a greater number of statistically significant declines in mean performance of students within the individual mathematical topics the lower the grade achieved at Higher Level by the student. This could be an indicator that the basic mathematical skills required to achieve a grade C or a grade D in higher level Leaving Certificate mathematics in 2014 are below that which was required in 2008. Grade dilution must be considered in light of these findings as it is clear that the basic mathematical skills required to achieve Higher Level C and D grades in mathematics at Leaving Certificate in 2014 are below that which were required in 2008. Grade dilution can only be definitively determined through further research specific to this issue on a national scale but the indicators present in the data analysed suggest such a study is warranted. Conclusion The phased introduction of the new Project Maths Senior Cycle syllabus in Ireland aims to place greater emphasis on student understanding of mathematical concepts with increased use of contexts and applications of mathematics in real world scenarios (DES 2010, Project Maths Team 2010). Allied to that, the introduction of bonus points awarded to students who pass mathematics at Higher Level in the Leaving Certificate has been put in place to encourage study of the subject at this level in secondary education. The bonus points measure has been successful as there has been a marked increase in the proportions of students studying Higher Level mathematics at Leaving Certificate. However, it would appear that this measure and the new syllabus have not had a positive effect on performance of basic mathematical skills among beginning undergraduate students entering UL from Irish secondary education. Significant declines in beginning undergraduates’ performance of basic mathematical skills are evident, particularly among students who have achieved Higher Level C grades and Higher Level D grades. These declines are especially noticeable in topics such as arithmetic, algebra, geometry, trigonometry, complex numbers and differentiation. This fall off in performance does not bode well for successful transition to study of service mathematics modules at tertiary level and, given that mathematics is the strongest predictor of successful student progression through tertiary level education in Ireland (Mooney et al. 2010), this is an issue which needs to be addressed sooner rather than later. References Bourn, J. (2007). 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