1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Observing and Measuring Ocean Changes for Improved Stewardship Jeff Adkins1, Mary Glackin2, Jamie Kruse3, Tracy Rouleau3, Suzanne Skelley1, Zdenka Willis1 1 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Deputy Under Secretary 3 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Program Planning and Integration 2 Overview Understanding ocean and atmospheric change continues to be a significant challenge in ocean Contributio to our natio 13 and science policy. Our oceans are important as they deliver significant social and economic 14 value.Pressures resulting from demographic dynamics combined with climate variability and 15 climate change draw attention to the need to observe and monitor our oceans. Sustained 16 observing and monitoring capacities are the foundation to research to improve our understanding 17 and to the development of tools to inform decision making in order to attain improved 18 economic, public health and safety and quality of life outcomes. Linking and leveraging the 19 observing systems that span the measurements of natural environment with the growing 20 understanding of socio economic observations and then harnessing that information to be easily 21 used by scientists, decision makers, and the public to influence our actions remains our ultimate 22 goal.The National Ocean Policy of July 2010establishes a priority area for observations and 23 establishes the framework for increased collaboration across Federal, state, regional, local, of this 24 tribal, non-governmental organizations and private sector entities. Further observations provide per em 25 the foundation for 6 of the 9 themes and without this information Coastal and Marine Spatial 26 Planning can not be done. The National Ocean Policy also sets forth a Coastal and Marine 27 Spatial Planning (CMSP) framework, and within the first 6-9 months must provide guidance 28 regarding the development of a national information management system. 29 125 th (1.5% 2.3 mi total) $63.9 total) $138 b (1.2% Touris single accoun emplo GDP.H contrib emplo other i The m Comm seafoo wholes seafoo suppor part-tim billion in inco In 200 million 30 U.S. w 31 This theme will explore how observations, data, and the tools to disseminate that information fishing 32 can provide a critical foundation to inform decision-making, leading to improved stewardship of angler 33 our global ocean resources. trips an related 34 35 contrib to the Significance of our Oceans to Healthy Communities and Economies billion suppor 1 36 37 Our oceans deliver significant social and economic value and the attachment we have to our 38 oceans and Great Lakes can’t be valued monetarily. See side box for statistics. Expressed as a 39 percentage of the total economy, the ocean-related economy seems small, but employment in this 40 sector is twice the number directly engaged in agriculture. 41 42 Nonmarket Values 43 Many of the natural amenities that make the coast an attractive place to livework and play can be 44 enjoyed at no cost. For this reason, some of the value created by the ocean and Great Lakes is 45 completely missing from the standard “market” data (e.g., jobs and wages). However, economic 46 studies have been conducted to estimate the “nonmarket” contributions of the oceans and Great 47 Lakes to our nation’s economy. One recent study estimated the nonmarket value of ocean and 48 coastal resources exceeds $100 billion annually1. 49 50 Citizens visiting our nation's beaches, for example, usually do not pay admission. The nonmarket 51 value of this experience can be described as the amount these citizens would be willing to pay to 52 visit these beaches. One study estimates this value at $11.98 to $84.49 per trip to North Carolina 53 beaches. Likewise, views of and access to coastal and ocean environments can be a source of 54 nonmarket value. Homes with unobstructed ocean and bay views can be sold for a price 70 55 percent to 200 percent higher than those without views2. 56 57 In addition, there is increasing recognition that coastal and ocean environments provide a wide 58 range of “ecosystem services.” For example, wetlands provide coastal storm protection, water 59 filtration, and spawning grounds for commercially important fish. The value of wetland services 60 in Louisiana has been estimated at $8,437 to $15,763 per acre3. 61 1 "Nonmarket Value of the Coast." NOAA's State of the Coast. NOAA National Ocean Service, 24 Aug 2010. Web. 2 Sep 2010. <http://stateofthecoast.noaa.gov/coastal_economy/nonmarket 2 Ibid. 3 Ibid. 2 62 While our current state of knowledge is incomplete, individual studies demonstrate significant 63 monetary nonmarket value associated with coastal and ocean resources. For this reason, 64 nonmarket values must be included in associated policy- and decision-making processes4 65 66 Coastal Infrastructure at Risk [Jamie, can you add content here? Bullets indicate the thoughts, 67 for benefit of others, that I think are intended for inclusion here; though, I defer to you, Jamie.] 68 69 70 In addition to the value delivered by the oceans, another perspective is to examine the value of the infrastructure built along our coasts. 71 72 This infrastructure is threatened by coastal hazards: inundation from storms, storm surge and sea level rise. 73 To mitigate the risk of these coastal hazards, we need to sustain existing monitoring 74 systems and add new measurements to understand ocean conditions and their coastal 75 impacts. We need these measurements incorporated into tools and information 76 appropriate for citizens and public policy decision-makers so that they are informed about 77 choices regarding how we live, work and enjoy our coasts. 78 With the changing conditions of our oceans, we need adequate baselines and the ability to 79 monitor changes in human systems and the physical systems they depend on in order to 80 exercise effective stewardship of our oceans, coasts and the ecosystem services they 81 deliver. 82 83 Observation systems strengthen connections between humans and the environment. 84 85 86 87 88 89 The National Policy calls for communities to strength their resiliency and their abilities to adapt to climate change. The Policy calls out the Arctic as a special place and to enhance the water quality. Observations underpin each of these priority areas and following vignettes underscore this point. 90 Inundation of our coastal communities and ecosystems is a significant risk, independent of its 91 cause: inland precipitation events, coastal storms, hurricane storm surge, coastal subsidence, 92 rising sea level due to climate change or a combination of these phenomena. All sectors of our Coastal Inundation 4 Ibid. 3 93 society have a stake in impacts due to climate change. Regional alliances of state governors are 94 tackling impacts to their jurisdictions. Corporations are investing in risk assessments and strategy 95 development. Local and state governments are collaborating with non-governmental 96 organizations (NGOs) and federal government agencies to understand the potential impacts and 97 devise mitigation and adaptation strategies. Tools such as the Coastal County Snapshots, under 98 Digital Coast, combine information about vulnerable populations, critical infrastructure and land 99 converted to development within floodplains at the county level. This information is then used to 100 assess how many people and buildings are at risk from flooding and the land’s capacity to 101 continue to protect these facilities and populations from too much water. 102 103 104 Place holder picture, we can pick any location and we can determine that for geographic balance 105 A Tale of Oysters and Ocean Acidification 106 Shellfish and finfish industry representatives across the nation are increasingly concerned with 107 what appear to be large-scale changes in our ecosystems with respect to water conditions. The 108 west coast industry has been leading the way in trying to uncover the roots of the problem. 109 Many in the industry are finding high correlations between mortality of oyster larvae and lower 110 pH levels. They are also finding correlations between mortality and higher partial pressure of 111 CO2 (pCO2) levels in coastal waters. In 2005 along the west coast of the U.S., hatcheries and 112 growers started noticing lower success rates for larval and adult oysters. The Pacific Shellfish 113 Growers Association statistics show a 22% decline in production and 13% decline in gross sales 114 of total shellfish (oysters, clams, geoduck, and mussels) produced on the west coast from 2005 to 115 2009. Shellfish contribute about 50% of total commercial fishery dockside revenue in Oregon 116 and Washington, and about 60% in California. Aquaculture shellfish production accounts for 4 117 3,000+ jobs in coastal communities. So how can observing help this issue. The IOOS partner 118 CenCOOS has developed indicates for growing conditions which are being consulted daily by 119 local oyster growers. 120 121 122 Challenges Present in Alaska – The United States’ Footprint in the Arctic 123 124 Critical national issues are emerging in the Arctic, from environmental threats to economic 125 opportunities to national security. Within the region, some economic sectors such as shipping, 126 tourism, fishing, mining, and energy development potentially stand to gain from increased access 127 to the Arctic due to loss of sea ice, even on a seasonal basis. However, these activities may 128 compete with each other, conflict with existing uses, or place additional stresses on the 129 environment. 130 The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Science 131 Foundation (NSF)currently observe the Arctic atmosphere and cryosphere from manned 132 observatories at Barrow, Alaska, and Summit, Greenland. The United States also have 133 operations in conjunction with many of our international partners in Canada, Norway, and 134 Russia. NOAA performs weekly sampling at many locations to monitor global and high-latitude 135 greenhouse gases to better understand the roles of clouds, aerosol, and radiation in controlling 136 the Arctic climate. Satellites also monitor the Arctic, and now provide a nearly 30-year record of 137 atmospheric temperature, humidity, clouds and surface properties. Satellite-based passive 138 microwave, visible, infrared, and commercial Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images help to 139 track the extent of the Arctic ice cover. The U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS®) 5 140 regional partner - Arctic Ocean Observing System provides observation systems along the 141 coastal Alaskan waters. In addition to weather and sea ice forecasts, NOAA has long been 142 responsible for providing the Nation with nautical charts and oceanographic information for 143 marine transportation, accurate positioning infrastructure, models, and tools that benefit all 144 modes of transportation, and satellite search and rescue services. 145 So are we prepared to support operations in the Arctic? No! Current observation and monitoring 146 efforts are too coarse to sufficiently meet user requirements and guide Arctic management 147 decisions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors provide the best sensing capability within the 148 Arctic. Currently a combination of international and commercial sensors SAR satellites are 149 available. While they are great for analyzing the ice extent, they are limited in measuring sea ice 150 thickness. As the Arctic becomes ice-free, increasing resolution of remote sensed observations 151 will be needed to determine if the waters are truly ice-free or nearly ice-free. Higher resolution 152 regional models are needed for guidance on climate change at scales important for planning, 153 mitigating, and adapting. Finally, there are large gaps in tidal datum and tidal current prediction 154 coverage, primarily due to lack of physical support infrastructure.Many ocean ecosystems 155 variables are ready for sustained observations (e.g. nutrients, chlorophyll, oxygen, chemical 156 tracers, plankton, benthos) while others (e.g. marine mammal populations and productivity) 157 require further research to determine optimal observation approaches5 158 5 Willis, Calder, An Integrated International Approach to Arctic Ocean Observations for Society, MAST Conference Oct 2009 6 159 160 Picture of Arctic Observing 161 162 Innovation to Address Harmful Algal Blooms 163 Many of our coastal communities are affected by blooms of harmful algal blooms or HABs. The 164 occurrence, causes and research to forecast occurrence in order to more proactively warn about 165 conditions conducive to HABs has been well documented for coastal areas in New England, 166 along the Gulf of Mexico coast, along the US west coast, and in the Great Lakes. 6Over 20 167 different diatoms, dinoflagellates and cyanobacteria are known to have adverse impacts to 168 human and marine ecosystems. Since the instigator organisms have different lifecycle behaviors 169 and are detected by different means, each one must be studied and appropriate detection methods 170 developed. For example, blooms of Karenia brevis, responsible for neurotoxic shellfish 171 poisoning in the Gulf of Mexico, can be remotely sensed by satellite with in situ measurements 172 to determine extent and to inform daily and 3-day forecasts. However, blooms of Alexandrium 173 fundyense, responsible for paralytic shellfish poisoning in the Gulf of Maine, cannot be detected 174 by satellite remote sensing. Instead, new technologies and observing platforms are being 175 developed. The Environmental Sample Processor (ESP) is one such technology, which permits 176 near-real time automated detection of abundance of Alexandrium.One of these sensors was 177 recently acquired by the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute (WHOI) HAB group to work with 6 Integrated Ocean Observing System in Support of Forecasting Harmful Algal Blooms, Ann Jochens et al, Marine Technology Society Journal, Special Ocean Observing edition Nov/Dec 2010, submitted. 7 178 the regional IOOS partner, Northeastern Regional Association for Coastal Ocean Observation 179 System (NERACOOS) through funds from the Environmental Protection Agency and IOOS 180 Program in NOAA. Through a NSF award to WHOI, five additional ESP sensors and the 181 specialized moorings (with the necessary power, communication band width, and instrument 182 stability) will also be available for deployment in the region.7 Understanding and responding to 183 HABs and their impacts requires innovation and adaptive practices across the United States. 184 185 How do we Measure and Monitor? 186 187 In meeting the ocean information needs of users, the available types of data collection have 188 resolution constraints, both spatial and temporal. Remote sensing by satellite provides global 189 spatial coverage (multiple times per day) but is limited to surface observations through one of 190 three means: thermal, visible and radar. In situ measurements using moored or fixed platforms 191 provide near-continuous monitoring but only over limited spatial ranges. In situ mobile 192 platforms, like gliders and autonomous underwater vehicles, offer the advantage of sampling 193 over broader geographic ranges, in the water column, using sampling profiles which can be 194 adjusted on a dynamic basis. All observing systems are costly, which is significant in a resource- 195 limited environment, but advances in technology are making some observing technologies more 196 affordable and are expanding the parameters we are able to measure. 197 198 Observing Systems 199 200 The National Ocean Policy defined observing, mapping and infrastructure as an emphasis area. 201 This area also included an important point when it outlines the emphasis to integrate Federal and 202 non-Federal observations into a National and International system. 203 204 IOOS® is an end-to-end system that includes in situ and remote-sensing platforms, as well as 205 other collection methods such as trawl surveys, undersea imagery, mobile sub-surface platforms 206 and laboratory analysis of field samples and has the mandate to integrate the data from these 207 disparate sources. The idea for a national integrated ocean observing system began with the 7 Ibid. 8 208 passage of the Oceans Act of 2000. The Act created the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy, 209 which in 2004 recommended the establishment of the IOOS, which was authorized by the law, 210 the Integrated Coastal and Ocean Observation System Act of 2009 (P.L. 111-11). Participants 211 in IOOS span sectors of Fed government, state, local & tribal government, academia, industry 212 and NGOs and this community strongly believes that the new National Ocean Policy 213 recommendation endorses the IOOS efforts over the past 9 years. 214 215 The Ocean Observatory Initiative (OOI) of the NSF, fully funded last year, is working to 216 advance the ocean sciences by developing the infrastructure for sustained ocean observations at 217 key coastal and open ocean locations. Two coastal arrays, four global arrays in the deep ocean, a 218 cabled observatory over the Juan de Fuca tectonic plate, and asophisticated cyberinfrastructure 219 comprise the effort. 220 221 Projects such as Digital Coast Launched in 2008, is used to address timely coastal issues, 222 including land use, coastal conservation, hazards, marine spatial planning, and climate change. 223 This partnership network is building not only a website, but also a strong collaboration of coastal 224 professionals intent on addressing coastal resource management needs. 225 226 The National Water Quality Monitoring Network is an integrated approach toaddressing a range 227 of resourceissues, from upland watersheds tooffshore waters. 228 229 Exploring new technology horizons 230 In 1989 Hank Stommel published an article where he dreamed of fleets of unmanned gliders. 231 While we have not gotten to the fleet stage we have in fact embarked on a path to get us to his 232 vision. Today, many of the IOOS Regions and academic partners are beginning to make Glider 233 operations routine. For example, long-endurance, autonomous gliders developed at the Applied 234 Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, have seen successful operation in an ice-covered 235 environment, occupying a section across the wintertime Davis Strait. In 2009 Rutgers flew a 236 glider across the Atlantic. Spending 7 months at sea, themission served as a major advancement 237 for ocean data collection technology, allowing critical data collection in the middle of the ocean 238 at lower cost and risk to human life than ever before. Scientists correlate these data with those 9 239 from satellite imagery and altimetry and the data sent back directly improved the global 240 oceanographic circulation model by showing that the model was predicting conditions that did 241 not exist. Along the west coast of the United States, IOOS partners in California are using 242 gliders to track spatial and temporal patterns of algal blooms and forecasting conditions of La 243 Nina conditions. In the IOOS Mid-Atlantic Regional the gliders have been conducting regional 244 surveys of the Mid-Atlantic Bight (MAB) and in the past three years the glider fleet has 245 conducted 22 missions spanning10,867 kilometers and collecting 62,824 vertical profiles of 246 data.During the response to the Deepwater Horizon MC-252 spill, up to nine underwater gliders 247 were routinely providing data about conditions in the water column to 1,000 meters for up to 100 248 days without interruption. The United States Navy awarded a contract to Teledyne Webb 249 Research in 2009 to purchase 150 gliders which they will begin operating in the upcoming year. 250 251 We also exploring how to use animals as platforms for ocean sensors to help scientists better 252 understand the organisms and the ocean environment. Animals can travel to regions and depths 253 of the oceans we can’t necessarily get to, either physically or with equipment. By using animals 254 to collect data, we can see their habitats through their eyes and get a more accurate picture about 255 an animal’s behavior, foraging ‘hotspots’, key migration routes, and how these organisms 256 interact with their ocean habitat. 257 258 A whole new class of wave gliders that use waves to power them on the ocean’s surface and new 259 classes of unmanned vehicles leaves us the water’s edge to realize Hank Stommel’s vision. 260 261 The National Ocean Policy can lead to lasting solutions 262 So are we there yet, no! The vignettes provided in this article and the respective end to end 263 observing systems such as IOOS, OOI, and NWQMN have all put into place the foundation for 264 meeting the needs outlined in the National Ocean Policy. All of these systems have set up a 265 means to obtain observations, integrate data and provide solutions for decision makers. These 266 systems are national in nature and bring together the Federal and Non-Federal partners outlined 267 in the National Ocean Policy. Projects such as Digital Coast focus on a specific issue and bring 268 together some of the same groups to the table but extend to yet another set of non-Federal 269 partners. 10 270 271 Many of the same players are involved in the observing systems outline above and work is 272 ongoing to linking all of these efforts but this requires constant attention to make this 273 collaboration work.In its capacity as the lead federal agency, the IOOS program in NOAA has 274 made incremental investments in data management services, specifically a registry, catalog and 275 viewer, with the result of expanding access to and use of data from Federal and non-Federal 276 sources to a wider set of users. While IOOS has a broad mandate to integrate and delivery 277 information across a broad spectrum of mission areas, the OOI and NWQMN are more focused 278 in answering specific science questions and dealing with the issue of water quality, not the less 279 all 3 programs have agreed to work together to bring a full observing capacity across the Federal 280 and non-Federal partnership. Projects such as Digital Coast are meeting the needs of a group of 281 stakeholders and is one of the first projects that brings together the socio economic information 282 with the natural environment a critical linage. The intent between the program managers is there 283 but realities of managing large projects with many resource sponsors and stakeholders make this 284 difficult. 285 286 287 The Final Recommendations of the Interagency Ocean Policy Task Force, adopted by the 288 President by Executive Order on July 19, 2010, form the basis of the Obama Administration’s 289 National Ocean Policy. Calling out the need to integrate observations, mapping and 290 infrastructure across Federal and non-Federal system gives us the opportunity to make real 291 progress in monitoring our Oceans, Coasts and Great Lakes. 292 293 Further, the integration of disparate information is not easy nor is it exciting but it must be done 294 if we want to be able to truly plan along our coasts we are going to have to ensure we do not start 295 again and not build off the foundation of the observing systems that are in place. The observing 296 systems can not perform all the functions called out in CMPS but they certainly have set up data 297 standards and protocols that can underpin the National Information System. Secondly each of 298 these systems/projects have brought together State, Local, Tribal governments, academia and 299 industry to focus on our issues along our Oceans, Coasts and Great Lakes. Systems such as 11 300 IOOS, OOI, NWQNM and projects such as Digital Coasts should be recognized by the new 301 National Ocean Council. 302 303 We should not squander the opportunity that the National Ocean Policy and the momentum it is 304 generating to really bring together the community focused on the problems we face at our 305 Oceans, Coasts and Great Lakes. 306 12