ACRIS Dust Product Update 2006-2010 Updated information to that provided in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse Gary Bastin, ACRIS Management Unit CSIRO, PO Box 2111, Alice Springs NT 0871 (email: Gary.Bastin@csiro.au) This project is supported by Ninti One Limited, through funding from the Australian Government's Caring for our Country. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Australian Government or the Minister for Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities. While reasonable efforts have been made to ensure that the contents of this publication are factually correct, the Commonwealth does not accept responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the contents, and shall not be liable for any loss or damage that may be occasioned directly or indirectly through the use of, or reliance on, the contents of this publication. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 2 The level of dust in the air is a useful indicator of wind erosion rate, although the amount of dust observed is influenced by several factors (actual weather conditions, soil type, vegetation type and ground cover etc). In Australia, a Dust Storm Index (DSI) is calculated from visibility records made by Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) observers. The DSI provides a measure of the frequency and intensity of wind erosion activity at continental scale. It is a composite measure of the contributions of: local dust events, moderate dust storms and severe dust storms using weightings for each event type, based upon dust concentrations inferred from reduced visibility during each of these event types. ACRIS reported spatial patterns and trend in the Dust Storm Index between 1992 and 2005 in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse (Bastin et al. 2008). This reporting was based on information provided to ACRIS in McTainsh et al. (2007). Grant McTainsh and colleagues at Griffith University have updated their reporting for ACRIS (see McTainsh et al. 2011). Highlights from that report are summarised here. Readers should access the complete report (i.e. McTainsh et al. 2011) for further explanation and more comprehensive information about recent dust activity. Changed Methods Methods for calculating DSI have changed since dust activity was last reported in Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse. Manual observation frequency (MOF) is now standardised such that there must be a continuous record between 1992 and 2010 for the data from a recording station to be included. This reduces the risk of generating erroneously high or low mean DSI values for particular areas where a station has a discontinuous recording history. Another change (of lesser importance) is using inverse distance weighting to spatially interpolate DSI values between recording stations. This method affords more control over the spread of values away from data points (BoM recording stations) than did the previously used ‘natural neighbour’ method. Key Points Recent change in dust activity for rangeland bioregions is presented in two ways: (i) By comparing mean DSI values for 1992-2005 with those for the extended 1992-2010 period. (ii) By comparing change for recent years where there has been dramatic change. When interpreting DSI maps, readers should refer to the accompanying maps of manual observation frequency (MOF) as an indicator of DSI reliability. A higher spatial density of BoM recording ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 3 stations with a higher recording frequency provides the most reliable data for calculating DSI values. Mean DSI for 1992-2010 showed that the Simpson-Strzelecki Dunefields and Channel Country bioregions were the most active wind erosion regions (Fig. 1a & 1b, numbered regions 19 and 21). This high wind erosion zone centred on the Lake Eyre Basin extended west into the MacDonnell Ranges (47), north into the Mitchell Grass Downs (41) and Mount Isa Inlier (38), east and south-east into the Mulga Lands (18) and Riverina (8), and south into the Gawler bioregion (31). Western Australia was generally less active. The most notable change since the Rangelands 2008 – Taking the pulse report was the spread of wind erosion eastwards in Queensland from the Mulga Lands (18) and Darling River Plains (17) into the cropping and grazing areas around St George and Goondiwindi. There was a significant decrease in the number of stations with a high MOF (80-100%) between the 1992-2005 and 1992-2010 reporting periods (Fig. 2a & 2b). High MOF is now primarily limited to coastal stations and capital cities. This rationalisation of BoM stations is unfortunate from a wind erosion monitoring perspective, as it is degrading the DSI record. Comparing amongst recent years, the most dramatic changes in regional DSI occurred between 2009 and 2010 (Fig. 3, see Fig. 4 for corresponding maps of manual observation frequency). (i) DSI values between 2006 and 2008 were broadly similar to those shown in Fig. 1b. (ii) Dust activity in 2009 was at its highest level since 1992 (Fig. 3a). The pre-existing high erosion zone centred on the Lake Eyre Basin extended east into the western Murray Darling Basin, increasing to an area of approximately 1 million km2. Northsouth, it extended from the Channel Country (21) to the Flinders Lofty Block (36) and Broken Hill Complex (25). The Stony Plains (30) bounded the western extent with the Mulga Lands (18) forming the eastern boundary. There were secondary regions of high wind erosion in the Cobar Peneplain (24) and further east beyond the rangelands boundary. (iii) There were moderate DSI values in the western desert region (Gibson Desert [59], Little Sandy Desert [63], Great Victoria Desert [32]) in 2009. These DSI values largely resulted from spatial data interpolation as there are very few observations from this area (Fig. 4a). Moderate DSI values in the Gulf Fall and Uplands (46) and Gulf Coastal (72) also result from observations external to each region. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 4 (iv) In stark contrast, 2010 had the lowest wind erosion in the ACRIS reporting period (Fig. 3b), and at least as far back as 1974. The only stations to record wind erosion activity were Quilpie in the Mulga Lands (18) region of Queensland, as well as Tibooburra and Broken Hill in NSW. Remarkably, the Birdsville meteorological station, which had seen dust activity every year since it started operating, did not record a single dust code (not even haze) for the entire 2010 calendar year. In WA, the only wind erosion was recorded in the northern Murchison (65) and eastern Carnarvon (54) region. Vastly improved seasonal quality in eastern and central Australia between 2009 and 2010 likely contributed to reduced dust observations and associated wind erosion activity in 2010 (Fig. 5). By contrast, 2006 was a very dry year in the south eastern rangelands and may have had a lagged effect on high wind erosion activity in 2009. References Bastin, G. & the ACRIS Management Committee (2008). Rangelands 2008 – Taking the Pulse. Published on behalf of the ACRIS Management Committee by the National Land and Water Resources Audit, Canberra. Available at: http://www.environment.gov.au/land/rangelands/acris/index.html McTainsh, G.H., Tews, K., Leys, J.F. and Bastin, G.N. (2007). Spatial and temporal trends in wind erosion of Australian rangelands during 1960 to 2005 using the Dust Storm Index (DSI). Final Report to the Australian Collaborative Rangeland Information System, October 2007. Available at http://www.environment.gov.au/land/rangelands/acris/index.html McTainsh, G.H., O’Loingsigh, T. and Strong, C. (2011). Update of Dust Storm Index (DSI) maps for 2005 to 2010 and re-analysis and mapping of DSI for 1992-2005, 1992-2008 and 1992-2010 for the Australian Collaborative Rangeland Information System (ACRIS). Available at http://www.environment.gov.au/land/rangelands/acris/index.html ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 5 Region (a) (b) 1 8 17 18 19 21 22 24 25 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 36 38 39 40 41 44 45 46 47 48 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 58 59 60 63 65 66 68 71 72 73 75 76 77 79 81 82 84 IBRA name Murray Darling Depression Riverina Darling Riverine Plains Mulga Lands Simpson Strzelecki Dunefields Channel Country Brigalow Belt North Cobar Peneplain Broken Hill Complex Central Ranges Finke Stony Plains Gawler Great Victoria Desert Nullarbor Hampton Flinders Lofty Block Mount Isa Inlier Gulf Plains Cape York Peninsula Mitchell Grass Downs Einasleigh Uplands Desert Uplands Gulf Fall and Uplands MacDonnell Ranges Burt Plain Sturt Plateau Ord Victoria Plains Victoria Bonaparte Gascoyne Carnarvon Central Kimberley Coolgardie Dampierland Gibson Desert Great Sandy Desert Little Sandy Desert Murchison Northern Kimberley Pilbara Yalgoo Gulf Coastal Daly Basin Pine Creek Brigalow Belt South Central Arnhem Darwin Coastal Arnhem Coast Arnhem Plateau Davenport Murchison Ranges Figure 1. Mean DSI values for the 1992-2005 (a) and 1992-2010 (b) periods. The dots show BoM recording stations. Bioregions are mapped and numbered for the extent of the rangelands (numbers refer to bioregion names listed to the right of the maps). Data source: McTainsh et al. (2011). Figure compiled by the ACRIS-MU. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 6 Region (a) (b) 1 8 17 18 19 21 22 24 25 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 36 38 39 40 41 44 45 46 47 48 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 58 59 60 63 65 66 68 71 72 73 75 76 77 79 81 82 84 IBRA name Murray Darling Depression Riverina Darling Riverine Plains Mulga Lands Simpson Strzelecki Dunefields Channel Country Brigalow Belt North Cobar Peneplain Broken Hill Complex Central Ranges Finke Stony Plains Gawler Great Victoria Desert Nullarbor Hampton Flinders Lofty Block Mount Isa Inlier Gulf Plains Cape York Peninsula Mitchell Grass Downs Einasleigh Uplands Desert Uplands Gulf Fall and Uplands MacDonnell Ranges Burt Plain Sturt Plateau Ord Victoria Plains Victoria Bonaparte Gascoyne Carnarvon Central Kimberley Coolgardie Dampierland Gibson Desert Great Sandy Desert Little Sandy Desert Murchison Northern Kimberley Pilbara Yalgoo Gulf Coastal Daly Basin Pine Creek Brigalow Belt South Central Arnhem Darwin Coastal Arnhem Coast Arnhem Plateau Davenport Murchison Ranges Figure 2. Manual observation frequencies for the 1992-2005 (a) and 1992-2010 (b) periods. Circles show BoM recording stations with the size and colour of the circle representing observation frequency. Bioregions are mapped and numbered for the extent of the rangelands (numbers refer to bioregion names listed to the right of the maps). Data source: McTainsh et al. (2011). Figure compiled by the ACRIS-MU. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 7 (a) (b) Figure 3. DSI values in 2009 (a) and 2010 (b). The dots show BoM recording stations. See Figure 1 for numbered bioregions. Data source: McTainsh et al. (2011). Figure compiled by the ACRIS-MU. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 8 (a) (b) Figure 4. Manual observation frequency for 2009 (a) and 2010 (b). Circles show BoM recording stations with the size and colour of the circle representing observation frequency. See Figure 1 for numbered bioregions. Data source: McTainsh et al. (2011). Figure compiled by the ACRIS-MU. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 9 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Figure 5. Annual maps of spatially-averaged decile rainfall for rangeland bioregions. Data source: Bureau of Meteorology. Maps compiled by the ACRIS-MU. ACRIS update, Results – Dust – Final Version, November 2011 10