9th Meeting of the GWSP Scientific Steering Committee SSC 9-II-5 DOC DRAFT Concept for the 2013 GWSP science conference „ Challenges for Science and Governance: Indicators, Thresholds and Uncertainty of the Global Water System“ Or “Global Water System: Science and governance to secure sustainability” 1. Background During the GWSP decade (2004-2014) the three leading questions “What are the magnitudes of anthropogenic and environmental changes in the global water system and what are the key mechanisms by which they are induced?”, “What are the main linkages and feedbacks within the earth system arising from changes in the global water system?”, “How resilient and adaptable is the global water system to change, and what are sustainable water management strategies?” have been addressed with GWSP specific foci and within GWSP specific niches. GWSP research focuses on the global water cycle and its potential interactions with environmental change and anthropogenic drivers. It is specific in its global perspective that draws from regional and basin wide case studies, its integrative and interdisciplinary research and the consideration of past-present and future time domains. Furthermore GWSP research is science driven but policy relevant and focuses on freshwater rather than marine systems though considering the transitional zones (deltas and the coast). Relating to this background, three integrated study areas have been defined as a mediumterm strategy in 2007: the Global scale initiative (GSI) ranking the threats to the Global Water System and investigating the states and trajectories of change; the global catchment initiative (GCI) bringing the global perspective to river basin research and management; and the global water needs initiative (GWNI) investigating the needs of humans and nature with respect to water flows. Governance and adaptation strategies, and climate, but also socioeconomic and political changes are the important cross cutting themes that are central to GWSP. During the 2013 GWSP science conference GWSP and other research groups working on related problems at comparable scales will present their results to the international scientific community. This conference is conceived to summarize the decade-long efforts and present the achievements of GWSP, allow for discussion and evaluation and most importantly be a forum to conceptualize and potentially serve as a kick-off event for future global water system research. Scientific gaps and challenges as well as challenges for society, policy, management and governance will be identified. Funding and institutional frameworks required to close these gaps and to address these challenges will be discussed. 2. Objectives and scope The aim of the conference is to review the state-of-the art research, advance understanding and foster dialogue with professionals and policy makers concerning the knowledge of the global water system with regard to achieving sustainability, reducing poverty, maintaining biodiversity and environmental flows. This is essential to address the Belmont Challenge “to deliver knowledge needed for action to mitigate and adapt to detrimental environmental change and extreme hazardous events”. The Belmont challenge as well as the grand challenges for sustainability research identified by the ICSU visioning process, demonstrate the need for inter- and transdisciplinary research and the need to acknowledge and to address the coupling of natural, social and economic systems. Consequently the inclusion of the governance perspective next to the integration of biophysical processes, economic and the social aspects is a must. We are changing the global water system in significant ways, without adequate knowledge of the system and how it responds to change. This central tenet of GWSP remains as actual as it was in 2004 when this statement was coined. With respect to water, the Belmont challenge as well as the grand challenges in global sustainability research (ICSU Vision) have to be addressed at global scale since for example a high biofuel demand on one continent of the globe likely has impact on e.g. water use, water quality and biodiversity in those parts of the world where biofuels are grown. Besides global interconnectedness through the hydrological cycle, water is traded globally as virtual part of manufactured goods, food and feed. This conference aims at emphasizing this global perspective. Throughout the first three sessions, the conference will illuminate those areas of research where the Belmont challenge and the grand challenges in global sustainability research (ICSU Vision) – that is forecasting (improve the usefulness of forecasts of future environmental conditions and their consequences for people), observing (develop, enhance and integrate the observation systems needed to manage global and regional environmental change), confining (determine how to anticipate, avoid and manage disruptive global environmental change), responding (determine what institutional, economic and behavioural changes can enable effective steps toward global sustainability), and innovating (encourage innovation in developing technological, policy and social responses to achieve global sustainability) - have already been and are currently addressed with respect to the global water system. The last session will then highlight how the grand challenges can and should be addressed in the immediate future. Interconnected securities, like the water-energyfood nexus, strong emphasis on water quality, the freshwater-ocean interaction and the already cultivated water-biodiversity and governance dimensions can be envisaged as emerging foci for future research. 3. Sessions and panel discussions Sessions will be organized around the three GWSP initiatives, the Global Scale Initiative (GSI), the Global Catchment Initiative (GCI) and the Global Water Needs Initiative (GWNI). The cross-cutting themes climate change, governance and adaptation strategies will be an important part of all three sessions. A fourth session will address the future of global water system research. Each of the plenary sessions 1-3 consists of two invited (keynote) presentations à 45 min (35min + 10min discussion). There are several time slots reserved for parallel sessions hosting a series of short talks (12 min + 3 min discussion). In each of those time slots there will be at least three parallel sessions: one referring to the topic of plenary 1, one to the topic of plenary 2 and one to the topic of plenary 3. Further sessions e.g. referring to governance, virtual water or other topics are possible. These parallel sessions may be organized by invited conveners. Furthermore there will be two poster sessions (5min presentation of posters) relating to the topics of the plenary sessions 1-3. Plenary session 4 (future of global water system research) will feature a series of short (invited) talks. During the time slots of the parallel sessions preceding and succeeding the 4th plenary there will be two workshops focusing on the future of global water system science. 1st Plenary session: The Global Water System: current state and future perspectives - Ecological state: threats and adaptation Social and governance perspective: threats and adaptation Methods/observation systems needed to anticipate, monitor and manage global and regional change of the GWS 2nd Plenary session: The global dimensions of change in river basins - River basins, their interconnectivities and linkages to the Global Water System (virtual water) River basins and Global Change (land use change, climate change) Societal, governance and management perspectives 3rd Plenary session: Environmental Flow Requirements - Methods and concepts to determine environmental flow requirements (various scales) Human demands and ecosystem demands – a conflict? Societal, governance and management perspectives 4th Plenary session: The future of global water system research - Scientific gaps and challenges Challenges for society, policy, management and governance Funding and institutional frameworks: What do we need and where can we contribute? Closing plenary session - rapporteurs report from their session respectively workshop and from the panel discussions (10min per session and discussion) Summary, outlook and closing remarks There will be two panel discussions: 1st Panel discussion: Science meets practice and politics - Water sustainability versus water security: conceptual difference or two sides of the same coin? 2nd Panel discussion: Quo vadis international water science? - Current knowledge gaps / future water challenges o natural scientist’s perspective, social scientist’s perspective, policy maker’s perspective, donor’s perspective o from the point of view of IGBP, DIVERSITAS, WCRP, IHDP, ESSP 4. Funding Different funding concepts are possible: a) Funding by GWSP donor(s) or other funding agencies b) Financing through charging high conference fees c) Mix of options a) and b) 5. Venue Will depend on who organizes the conference as well as on who funds it. 6. Time schedule (feasibility check): Monday 08:00 08:30 09:00 09:30 10:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 17:00 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 Wednesday Thursday Opening Plenary Session 1: two talks à 45 min including questions 3rd Plenary Session two talks à 45 min including questions) Coffee Parallel sessions with short talks (12min + 3min for questions) Coffee Parallel sessions with short talks (12min + 3min for questions) respectively workshop on the future of global water system research Lunch Parallel sessions with short talks (12min + 3min for questions) respectively workshop on the future of global water system research Coffee Closing Plenary Session: Report of rapporteurs from parallel sessions, panels and workshops. Closing summary. Registration 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 Tuesday Lunch Registration, Delivery of slide show presentations, fixing of posters Icebreaker 2nd plenary session: Two talks à 45 min including questions 4th Plenary Session: series of short talks à 15 min including questions Coffee First Panel Discussion (4 talks à 15min) 1st Poster Session (5 min presentations) Coffee 2nd Panel Discussion (4 talks à 15min) Time for informal group discussions 2nd Poster Session (5 min presentations) Conference Dinner Lunch