Fajardo & McIntire, Treeline dynamics and climate change 1 1 Supplementary Material Journal of Ecology 2 3 “Reversal of multi–century tree growth improvements and loss of synchrony at mountain treelines point to changes in key drivers” by Alex Fajardo and Eliot J.B. McIntire 4 5 Table S1 Analysis of variance table (using type III sums of squares, i.e., marginal tests) for linear models of year of recruitment. Covariate Sum squares Degrees of freedom F–value Pr(>F) 416996992 54355 41611 5857 12683 38673 43451 32817 1 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 14400 6.26 14.4 2.02 4.38 4.45 5.00 3.78 <0.00001 0.0003858 0.000179 0.1558323 0.0371046 0.0044048 0.0020989 0.0108965 intercept site elevation elevation2 elevation3 site:elevation site:elevation2 site:elevation3 6 7 8 Table S2 Analysis of variance table (using type III sums of squares, i.e., marginal tests) for GAMM linear model for growth. Covariate year elevation site year2 year3 year:elevation year:site elevation:site elevation:year2 site:year2 elevation:year3 site:year3 year:elevation:site elevation:site:year2 elevation:site:year3 9 10 Degrees of freedom F–value Pr(>F) 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 3 1 3 1 3 3 3 3 151.689 6.249 2.469 11.731 114.532 12 38.05 8.185 72.752 15.6 2.782 28.923 49.464 67.489 18.712 <0.00001 0.012427 0.06004 0.000615 <0.00001 0.000533 <0.00001 <0.00001 <0.00001 <0.00001 0.095325 <0.00001 <0.00001 <0.00001 <0.00001 Fajardo & McIntire, Treeline dynamics and climate change 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2 Figure S1 GAMM transformation of age and basal area in relation to growth. Solid black line indicates the transformation of age (top) and basal area (bottom) to smoothed, centered age and basal area that occurred, thereby removing the effect of age and basal area in the growth models. Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence interval on the transformations. In the basal area graph, we include the 1:1 line (dashed) for reference to show that there is indeed a non-linear effect of basal area on growth.