Integrated management of river basins Practical work 2 Integrated modelling of a watershed. Sensitivity testing to management practices (land use and point discharges). IST, academic year 2014/15 Context Integrated watershed management requires the use of integrative tools able to describe the functioning of the basin in the current situation and to assess the impact arising from changes due to management measures or to inter-annual climate variability or as a result of changes in the climate itself (so-called climate change). These tools need predictive capacity and therefore have to be based on models. Deterministic models are based on the simulation of physical and biogeochemical processes and are therefore the most convenient to make predictions of evolution due to profound changes that modify the basin sufficiently to withdraw the data values measured before this change. The watershed has spatial variability due to a panoply of reasons, which include topographical characteristics, soil properties and land use, geology and climate, whose exhaustive description is impossible, whether by lack of information or inability to process information. As a consequence the deterministic models also rely on statistical information for its implementation. The amount of empirical information increases together with the simplicity of basin processes representation. Basin models are usually grouped into 3 broad categories, of increasing complexity: (1) integral models, (2) semi-distributed models and (3) distributed models. Integral models aim to describe the quantity and quality of water at the basin (or subbasin) discharge point. Semi-distributed models divide the basin in sub-basins of more or less homogeneous characteristics and analyze them separately, being the properties at the point of discharge the result of the sum of the contributions of the various sub-basins. Distributed models use a mesh to describe the basin and solve fundamental equations using this mesh. The models distributed are pedagogically most interesting because explicitly integrate the knowledge acquired by students in basic disciplines where are presented the knowledge of physics, biology and chemistry involved in the processes that determine the functioning of the watersheds. Purpose of the job The work aims to implement a general basin model and create sensitivity to the potential for their use and for the causes of uncertainty associated with the results and how to overcome them. The specific objectives are: Analyze the model implementation process, Analyze the consequences of land use change. Easily could tests be made to the parameters of the model, soil properties, climate, agricultural practices or point discharges, but the time available did not permit it. Methodology The work will be based on the model MOHID Land and uses knowledge gained in the discipline of Environmental Modeling. In this subject students have acquired knowledge of numerical methods, biogeochemical processes and modeling of transport processes and made a MOHID Water model application in an estuary using the graphical user interface MOHID Studio, which is common to models MOHID Land and MOHID Water. In this discipline the case study will be the Sorraia River basin where the model is applied using a mesh with step of spatial 500 meters to describe the basin and a one-dimensional network to describe the hydrographic network. The sensitivity studies referred above shall be carried out by changing the data files. Each simulation must consume a couple of hours of CPU on a computer medium. Structure of the report The report shall present maps with basin basic data (topography, hydrographic network, soil and land use) and climate data (annual average rainfall and temperatures). The results should be presented in the form in which the interface of the model produces them in order to save effort. The report must include comparison of river discharge time series in both scenarios and a time series of nitrate (if the simulation was possible in student’s computers). Examples of spatial distributions of soil moisture and nitrate for one day (or contrasting days, e.g. raining and dry seasons). The time series at the point of discharge of the basin should be presented for the two scenarios of land use. It is suggested that the second scenario situation is the pristine basin condition admitting that in this situation, the soil is covered with forest. Calendar The implementation of the model will be made during the lectures and the report shall be delivered no later than November 16. Simulations carried out Students must simulate the present situation and a second land use scenario (e.g. pristine situation). Water quality simulations can be performed for a short period (e.g. one month) because of computing power limitations. Results of a longer simulation will be provided to the students for their analyses. Simulations with point sources discharged directly into the River would be easily performed but are not mandatory, again for a matter of time.