Brief answers to problems and questions for review 1. Not every market transaction is included in GDP. The items excluded from the calculation of GDP include all of the intermediate goods produced in the country for use as inputs into the production of final goods and services. In addition, nonmarket transactions and illegal transactions are excluded. 2. Although GDP uses current prices as a measure of market value, current prices can distort our measure of real output. A rise in GDP does not mean there is an increase in the quantity of goods and services that the economy produces. To distinguish increases in the quantity of goods and services from increases in their prices, countries construct real GDP. Nominal GDP is the value of final output measured in current prices and real GDP is the value of final output measured in constant prices. When calculating real GDP the market value of goods and services produced in a year is adjusted to account for changing prices. 3. GDP is composed of four components: (1) consumption by the public (C); (2) gross private domestic investment (I); (3) government spending on goods and services (G); and (4) net exports [exports (X) minus imports (M)]. 4. In a closed economy, firms must use any final good or service that individuals do not consume or the government does not purchase to produce new plant and equipment. The easiest way to express this for a closed economy is: Y=C+I+G Y or GDP equals the sum of consumption, investment, and government spending. This equation holds in a closed economy because we have assumed that the public, the government, or the business sector consumed or invested all output. The equation for an open economy is: Y = C + I + G + (X – M) This equation shows that GDP in an open economy is equal to the sum of consumption, investment, government spending, and the trade balance. Since the trade balance is equal to the sum of exports and imports there are three possibilities. It is possible that exports and imports would exactly match and GDP would equal domestic spending. When a country’s exports are greater than its imports, the country has a trade surplus and GDP is greater than domestic spending. When a country’s imports are greater than its exports, the country has a trade deficit and GDP is less than domestic spending. 5. To illustrate this, we can rearrange the open-economy equation to yield: X-M=Y–C–I–G The equation shows that exports minus imports are equal to GDP minus consumption, investment, and government spending. This equation illustrates that a country’s trade deficit or surplus is essentially a residual of what is produced and consumed in the © 2015 W. Charles Sawyer and Richard L. Sprinkle domestic economy. This shows that with GDP of $10 trillion and the sum of C, I, and G of $9 trillion, then by definition the trade balance must have a surplus of $1 trillion. 6. Although a country’s total income equals GDP, not all income flows are immediately spent on goods and services. Some income is temporarily withdrawn from this circular flow. This income is referred to as leakages of income. There are three sources of leakage: savings, taxes, and imports. However, these outflows of income do not disappear from the economy. Businesses, government, and foreigners engage in activities that inject money back into the circular flow. There are three sources of injections: investment, government spending, and exports. For any economy the sum of the outflows of income must equal the sum of the injections of spending so that: S+T+M=G+I+X 7. The relationship between a country’s trade balance and the other leakages and injections of income can be shown with the following equation: X–M=S–I+T–G This illustrates that the trade balance becomes the mismatch between private saving (S), government saving (T – G), and investment (I). When the leakages (S + T) are greater than the injections (G + I), then the trade balance (X – M) will be positive. When the sum of saving and taxes is less than the sum of government spending and investment; the trade balance (X – M) will be negative. Examining trade imbalances (X – M) in this manner gives us another way of looking at what causes them. For example, consider a country with a trade deficit. A trade deficit indicates that the country’s economy has an excess of domestic spending compared to domestic production. 8. The relationship between a country’s trade balance and the other outflows and injections of income can be shown with the following equation: X–M=S–I+T–G Assuming that S, I, G, and T were equal to 10, 20, 30, and 40, respectively, then the value of X – M would be 0. 9. If S + T is 150 and G + I is 100, then given the following equation: X – M = S +T – (I + G) the country would have a trade balance of 50 or a trade surplus. 10. Recall that the trade balance, X – M, is equal to S+T – G – I. If savings (S) were equal to almost half of GDP, then it would be quite likely that X – M would be a positive number. 11. If a country is running a trade deficit then it is currently consuming more than it is producing or in other words Y < C + I + G. However, in order to do this it must borrow from the rest of the world. Presumably at some point this borrowing will have © 2015 W. Charles Sawyer and Richard L. Sprinkle to be paid back. In order to do this, at some point in the future domestic production must be larger than consumption. A trade deficit today equals a trade surplus in the future. It is in this sense that a country running a trade deficit is trading present consumption for future consumption. 12. The balance of payments is a summary of all the international transactions of a country’s residents with the rest of the world during a given period of time, usually one year. 13. Purchases of goods, services, and financial and real assets by foreigners create an inflow of dollars as they buy US goods, services and assets. Purchases of goods, services, and financial and real assets by US citizens create an outflow of dollars as US residents buy foreign goods, services and assets. 14. A merchandise trade deficit means that imports of goods by a country are greater than its exports of goods. A balance on services deficit means that imports of services by a country are greater than its exports of services. A balance on goods and services deficit means that imports of goods and services by a country are greater than its exports of goods and services. A balance on investment income deficit means that domestic income paid to foreigners is greater that foreign income received from abroad. A balance on goods, services and income deficit means that imports of goods, services and income paid to foreigners by a country are greater than its exports of goods, services and income received from foreigners. A balance on current account deficit means that imports of goods, services, income paid to foreigners, and unilateral transfers by a country are greater than its exports of goods, services and income received from foreigners. A balance on financial account deficit means that imports of financial and real assets by a country are greater than its exports of financial and real assets. 15. Suppose that a country had a balance on current account equal to a positive $100 million and a merchandise trade deficit of $90 million. This means that the country had a surplus of $190 million in services, income earned abroad, and unilateral transfers. 16. a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. 17. merchandise trade balance $100 balance on services $50 balance on goods and services $150 balance on investment income –$50 balance on goods, services and income $100 unilateral transfers –$10 balance on current account $90 balance on capital and financial account –$100 statistical discrepancy $10. If we examine the different stages of the balance of payments that follows a country’s development from poor to rich, we find that a poor country usually has abundant labor and scarce capital. To raise its GDP per capita, the country must increase the amount of capital per worker. A solution is to import foreign capital in the form of foreign direct investment. This creates a capital account surplus and © 2015 W. Charles Sawyer and Richard L. Sprinkle a current account deficit. Over time, the foreign direct investment may lead to an increase in exports that creates a trade surplus. However, investment income may be negative, as the return to the foreign investors must be paid. As the debt is paid, the country shifts to a current account surplus and a capital account deficit. This capital account deficit may eventually lead to a surplus in investment income. If the investment income surplus becomes large enough, then the trade balance may shift into a deficit that is offset by a positive investment income. © 2015 W. Charles Sawyer and Richard L. Sprinkle