18 March 2015 UNICEF Office of Research—Innocenti Terms of Reference Consultancy for International Academic Partner (IAP) to support design and implementation of mixed-methods impact evaluation of Ghana LEAP 1000 1. Background: The UNICEF Office of Research—Innocenti (OoR) undertakes research- and study- related activities to ensure that high quality research contributes to evidence-informed policy making within UNICEF activity programming as well as to evidence informed policy design by its partners. To this end, the Office of Research is carrying out research on the impact of national government social cash transfers in Africa under the Transfer Project (http://www.cpc.unc.edu/projects/transfer). Areas of interest include impacts on household consumption and food security, resilience, young child health and nutrition. In collaboration with UNICEF Ghana Country Office, the Office of Research—Innocenti is managing the impact evaluation (IE) activities around Ghana’s Livelihood Empowerment Against Poverty 1000 program (LEAP 1000). The LEAP programme is Ghana’s flagship social protection program and is implemented by the Ministry of Gender, Children and Social Protection (MGCSP). Developed in 2007, the LEAP is a cash transfer programme currently reaching approximately 75,000 households and designed to empower extremely poor populations in the country to exit poverty. Initial evaluations have demonstrated considerable impacts on educational outcomes and access to health care. In its commitment to poverty reduction and social protection, MGCSP aims to expand LEAP programming to include a new set of beneficiaries previously missed out on by existing targeting schemes, namely households with small children and pregnant women (LEAP 1000). A motivation for expanding eligibility to this group is to prevent stunting and malnutrition, which are largely determined in the critical period of birth to two years. The LEAP 1000 pilot intervention will run for three years, and the evaluation will serve as a learning tool to understand the determinants of child health and nutrition in Ghana, and the role of combination interventions such as cash, health insurance and other public health interventions in reducing stunting 2. Objective(s) This consultancy is to support the impact evaluation of the Ghana LEAP 1000 social protection programme described above. The aim of this consultancy is twofold. 1) The selected International Academic Partner (IAP) will design and implement the qualitative component of the impact evaluation in collaboration with the Ghanaian research partner. The proposed qualitative evaluation design will be an embedded longitudinal qualitative study. This entails selecting a set of families (between 10-16, exact numbers to be proposed by IAP from the baseline quantitative sample (note: the quantitative impact evaluation is being carried out by OoR) and conduct in-depth interviews with caregivers 1 at baseline, and then following these same families three more times over the next two years to see how they respond to the cash transfer. Since the sample is ‘embedded’ the full range of information from the household survey would also be available for these households and their responses and challenges as reported in the in-depth interviews can be compared to the quantitative data collected from them to understand the relationship between the two. OoR will participate in the selection of the local partner who will conduct the in-depth interviews. 2) The IAP will also provide technical support to the quantitative component of the evaluation which will be led by OoR. This will include technical advice on design and sampling, support to questionnaire design, training, data analysis and report writing. At the end of the consultancy, UNICEF and the Government of Ghana should have an improved understanding of how LEAP 1000 can impact target households and young children. 3. Specific activities to be completed to achieve the objectives: The assignment is divided in five phases. Phase I: The objective of the first phase is for the contractor, in consultation with UNICEF, to work together to craft research questions informed by the overall impact evaluation’s conceptual model and hypothesized pathways through which social cash transfers impact child health and nutrition. Phase II: Propose a study protocol and develop study instruments. Phase III: The objective of the third phase is to train interviewers, implement baseline and two rounds of qualitative follow-up in-depth interviews (IDIs) data collection, and report on findings (one report per wave of data collection). After the protocol is agreed in Phase II, the contractor will travel to the field to help train the local firm to conduct interviews (for each wave of data collection), including overseeing pilot interviews if necessary. Once data are collected and translated into English where needed by the local firm, the contractor will analyse the data and write reports for each wave. For the quantitative work, the IAP investigator will provide inputs as described below for baseline and one 24-month follow-up survey. The PI and co-Investigator will contribute to inputs (largely impact reports) for the dissemination workshops. The PI will attend the baseline dissemination workshop, and both the PI and co-Investigator will attend the 24 month follow-up workshop. Phase IV: The contractor in consultation with UNICEF will work on publications for refereed journals. Manuscripts will include at least one mixed-method paper combining evidence from qualitative and quantitative surveys, and possibly one or more qualitative papers. Early results based only on the qualitative study are envisioned. The contractor will respond to all queries and recommendations from UNICEF and from the peer reviewers. Phase V: Based on the findings, the contractor in consultation with UNICEF will produce a short (3-5 pages) policy note on program impacts on child health and well-being (Qualitative objective 5). The note will outline the main findings of the evaluation and make recommendations for the design of scale up to achieve maximum results related to child health and nutrition. 2 Below is a description of activities by component. Qualitative 1. Develop research questions for qualitative impact evaluation related to pathways through which LEAP 1000 impacts child nutrition, including but not limited to, economic well-being, food security, caring practices, women’s empowerment and household bargaining, access to health care, improved social networks, as well as possible unintended effects (Phase I). 2. Design qualitative study methodology, including semi-structured questionnaire design, methods for household selection and data collection, and analytic plan (Phase II). 3. Train local interviewers and oversee data collection in collaboration with local partner (Phase III). 4. Analysis of qualitative data, working closely with OoR to ensure coordination of quantitative and qualitative impact evaluation components and feedback loops for informing mutual analysis and conclusions (Phase III). 5. To provide evidence and recommendations for policy-makers and programme managers to draw on when designing next stages of program scale-up, if applicable (Phase IV). 6. To provide recommendations for the next steps in research (Phase IV). Quantitative (support to OoR) 1. Develop research questions based on a theory of change on how LEAP1000 can affect young child health and nutrition, including potential pathways. Based on these research questions, assist in designing survey instruments (Phase I). 2. Provide technical guidance on overarching design (identification strategy) and sampling for household survey (Phase II). 3. Attend training and/or field work to ensure quality control in data collection (baseline and follow-up) (Phase III). 4. In collaboration with OoR, develop analysis plan and estimation strategy, and conduct statistical analysis (baseline and follow-up) (Phase III). 5. Provide written inputs (analysis) to baseline and follow-up evaluation reports; attend national dissemination workshops (Phase III). Travel A number of trips are foreseen to be carried out by the Principal Investigator and/or the co-investigator for the field work and to attend to the dissemination workshops. Proposed Trips Purpose Design of qualitative study (PI) Field work – qualitative (PI) Field work – quantitative (Co-I) Baseline workshop – (PI) 1st follow-up field work – qualitative (PI) Qualitative impacts workshop (PI) 2nd follow-up – qualitative (PI) 2nd follow-up quantitative (Co-I) Final evaluation workshop (PI & Co-I) Approximate Date and duration May 2015 (6 days) July (14 days) July (14 days) November 2015 (4 days) January or July 2016 TBD (14 days) May or October 2016 TBD (4 days) July 2017 (14 days) July 2017 (14 days) November 2017 (4 days x 2 persons) 3 The workshops will be organized by UNICEF Ghana Country Office. 4. Specific outputs/products/results with specific delivery dates: The contractor is to deliver: 1. An inception report that details the timeline, evaluation strategy, major activities and dates and key intermediate deliverables (i.e. survey instruments, ethics approvals) for the qualitative study: 31 May 2015 2. A study protocol for the evaluation (qualitative component only) including survey instruments and other relevant documentation; additional documentation required for ethical approval and eventual ethical approval certification (outlining the research questions, sampling and analysis methodology, timelines, etc.; see Phase II above): draft 15 June 2015, final 25 June 2015 3. A baseline report summarizing methodology and baseline results. This report should include a comprehensive description of the research questions, study design, concepts and items covered in the field guides, and findings from baseline interviews (see Phase III above): draft 6 November 2015, final 15 January 2016 4. Baseline report (quantitative): The IAP will provide statistical analysis and written inputs into the baseline quantitative evaluation report: draft 6 November 2015, final 15 January 2016 5. First follow-up report. This report will describe results from the first follow-up IDIs on the impact of the program on recipient families: draft 1 April 2016, final 30 May 2016 6. Second follow-up report. This report will describe results from the second follow-up wave of qualitative data collection. This report will report the results from the final qualitative field work, and ideally be incorporated into the quantitative evaluation report to provide a holistic picture of the impact of LEAP 1000 on women and children: draft Sept. 2017, Final December 2017 7. Comprehensive report. This report will synthesize the impacts of LEAP 1000 based on all qualitative surveys, pulling out trends over time and other aspects of the dynamics of LEAP 1000 impacts: draft 15 January 2018, final 31 January 2018. 8. 24-month follow-up report (quantitative). The IAP will provide statistical analysis and written inputs into the follow-up quantitative evaluation report: draft 15 November 2017, final 15 December 2017 9. A 4-5 page policy note on pathways through which social cash transfers impacted child health and nutrition and other relevant outcomes, outlining the main findings of the evaluation (qualitative and quantitative)and making recommendations on how to scale up effective interventions to achieve improved health and well-being (see Phase V above): 15 February 2018, final 28 February 2018. The IAP will report to the OoR, who has oversight of the overall evaluation activities. The IAP will work with OoR to adjust and sharpen the research question, objectives and parameters of the impact evaluation in order to conduct a holistic impact evaluation of LEAP 1000 on child health and well-being. All deliverables are to be produced in English. 4 Project timeline* Planned activities Date Contractor contracted 1 May 2015 Consultation with UNICEF to develop the research questions and approach to deliverable 1, inception report, study protocol 10 May 2015 Travel for design of qualitative study May 2015 Inception report (deliverable 1) 31 May 2015 Draft 1 of qualitative study protocol (deliverable 2) 15 June 2015 Final qualitative study protocol (deliverable 2 finalised) 25 June 2015 Invoice 1 25 June 2015 Travel for baseline field work (qualitative) July 2015 Draft qualitative baseline report (deliverable 3) 6 November 2015 Draft quantitative baseline report (deliverable 4) 6 November 2015 Dissemination workshop – Baseline November 2015 Final qualitative baseline report (deliverable 3 finalised) 15 January 2016 Final quantitative baseline report (deliverable 4 finalised) 15 January 2016 Invoice 2 15 January 2016 Travel for first follow-up field work - qualitative January or July 2016 TBD First follow-up qualitative report draft (deliverable 5) April or September 2016 TBD Dissemination workshop qualitative May or October 2016 TBD First follow-up qualitative report finalised (deliverable 5 finalised) June or November 2016 TBD Invoice 3 June or November 2016 TBD Travel for second follow-up qualitative July 2017 Travel for second follow-up quantitative June 2017 Second follow-up qualitative report draft (deliverable 6) September 2017 5 Planned activities Date 24-month quantitative report draft (deliverable 8) 15 November 2017 Final dissemination workshop November 2017 24-month quantitative report draft finalised (deliverable 8 finalised) 15 December 2017 Second follow-up qualitative report finalised (deliverable 6 finalised) 15 December 2017 Invoice 4 16 December 2017 Comprehensive qualitative report draft (deliverable 7) 15 January 2018 Comprehensive qualitative report draft finalised (deliverable 7 finalised) 31 January 2018 4-5 page policy note draft finalised (deliverable 9) 15 February 2018 4-5 page policy note draft (deliverable 9 finalised) 28 February 2018 Invoice 5 28 February 2018 Contract finalized 28 February 2018 *Project timelines may change upon agreement between the contractor and UNICEF. The contractor is responsible for meeting all deliverables outlined in section 4.2 on time. All work must be original and follow the highest research and ethics standards. The contractor must meet all deliverable deadlines unless otherwise agreed with UNICEF. Should the contractor not be able to meet a particular deadline they must advise UNICEF in writing at least two weeks in advance. The contractor must respond to all requests made by UNICEF during the drafting process and ensure that all work is of a high standard. 5. Qualifications and/or specialized knowledge/experience required and desirable for undertaking the assignment The institution must be a University with an international reputation for research excellence, particularly in the areas of health, nutrition and public policy, hereafter referred to as ‘the contractor’. 6 Requirements for the contracted team: The contractor team should be made up of a lead PI for the qualitative component and a co-investigator for the quantitative component, a data manager programmer (initial handling of data, quality and consistency checks and validation/cleaning) and a research assistant. 1) Principal investigator (PI), qualitative - Advanced degree (PhD) in relevant disciplines such as Public Health, Economics, Public Policy, Sociology or related disciplines. - Seven to ten years of worldwide experience on qualitative research (impact evaluation) including experience in the African context (this was in the agreement signed with Ghana CO), a publication record commensurate with her/his years of experience and field of expertise, with significant work in low and middle income countries. - Sound knowledge of qualitative and quantitative methods. - Substantive knowledge of health, nutrition and poverty in Africa, and ideally have first-hand experience evaluating large-scale social programs in developing countries. - Strong English report writing skills and a track record of producing high quality publications. The team leader will be the PI for the qualitative component. 2) Co-investigator (quantitative) - Advanced degree (PhD) in relevant disciplines such as Public Health, Economics, Public Policy, Sociology or related disciplines. - Seven to ten years of experience and a publication record commensurate with her/his years of experience and field of expertise, with significant work in low and middle income countries. - Sound knowledge of quantitative methods. - Sound experience in designing and implementing evaluation studies. - Substantive knowledge of health, nutrition and poverty in Africa, and ideally have first-hand experience evaluating large-scale social programs in developing countries. - Expertise in child health and nutrition and interventions to improve these outcomes, particularly in Africa. - Strong English report writing skills and a track record of producing high quality publications. 3) Data management programmer - Master’s degree in relevant disciplines such as Public Health, Economics, Public Policy, Sociology or related disciplines. - Sound experience managing large datasets - Sound knowledge of Stata and quantitative data analysis methods 4) Research Assistant (RA) - Graduate student (Master’s or PhD level) in relevant disciplines such as Public Health, Economics, Public Policy, Sociology or related disciplines. - Background in theory of qualitative analysis - Sound experience coding and analysing qualitative data 7 6. Duration of the consultancy The consultancy will last for the duration of the evaluation. Start date is approximately May 1, 2015 for 34 months, until 28 February 2018. 7. Supervision and work arrangements: The assignment will be supervised by Tia Palermo, Social Policy Specialist, UNICEF Office of Research – Innocenti, with indirect reporting to the Chief of Social and Economic Policy. The contractor will be required to respond to all questions and suggestions made by the consultancy supervisor and advisory board. The contractor is to direct all queries, ideas, drafts and other deliverables to Dr. Palermo, who will share them with relevant stakeholders and provide feedback to the contractor. The contractor will work from its own location with field visits to Ghana as necessary related to data collection efforts, and team members are not expected to visit the Office of Research – Innocenti in Florence, Italy. All submissions will be made electronically unless other means are needed (e.g. voluminous documents, technical problems). Communication with the Office of Research – Innocenti is to take place over email, the phone or Skype. 8 The Technical Proposal will be evaluated against the criteria in the table below. The Technical Proposals will be evaluated against the following: REF CATEGORY POINTS 1. The proposed team: 30 a. Research team holds advanced university degrees (PhD) in the Social Sciences, Economics, Public Health, Research Methods and/or related disciplines. b. A team leader with a minimum of 5 years of established research credibility and publication record in maternal and child health, nutrition, women’s empowerment, and/or social protection in low and middle income countries. c. Sound experience in designing and implementing qualitative studies. d. Good understanding of child health and nutrition issues in Africa. e. Strong English report writing skills and a track record of producing high quality reports. f. Strong publication record on maternal and child health, gender, and program intervention (at least one team member). g. Communication and writing skills in English. 2. Expertise in child health and nutrition and interventions to improve these outcomes. 10 a. Publication record in peer-reviewed journals on relevant topics and recognition in the field. 3. Expertise in impact evaluations more specifically 10 a. Experience and knowledge of health and social protection interventions. 4. Proposed approach to meeting the deliverables: 10 a. Description of potential pathways through which LEAP 1000 can affect families and children, and implications for research questions (qualitative and quantitative). b. Description of specific survey questions (topics or questions) given conceptual framework in (a) for qualitative and quantitative components. c. Description of approach to field work, quality assurance and data analysis. d. Descriptions are clear, detailed, and realistic and proposed work plan and staffing is sufficient to meet Request for Proposal requirements. 9 5. Corporate profile: e. Financial administration capacity f. Experience in conducting similar types of research projects. 6. 5 Risk assessment: g. Specification of an approach or any measures the research team will be taking to minimize negative unintended consequences and to maximize positive outcomes. h. Specification of quality assurance processes for research human 2.5 subjects risks and oversight. 7. Overall response: i. Understanding of, and responsiveness to, UNICEF requirements. j. Understanding of scope, objectives and completeness of response. k. Overall concord between UNICEF requirements and the proposals. Total Technical 2.5 70 Only proposals which receive a minimum of 50 points will be considered further. 10