2016 GSV Betting Program [use Betting Program Template 2016] [Update Feb 2016]
Race Day
1. Get Scratches, if any; Make changes in rankings if it affects the betting selections: Sire
Ranking from 1-4; Dam Rankings from 1-4 and Sire Rankings from 1-5.
2. Check to see if the qualifiers will fall within Odds ranges given below
Rules
1) Wagers in order of preference: Green over Brown, Brown over Blue, Blue over Purple
2) Both Green and Brown bets require at least 8 betting interests in the race
3) Blue and Purple bets require at least 6 betting interests in the race
4) Maiden Special Weight races are evaluated differently than all other races [see rule X]
5) Minimum/Maximum Odds range [strength of each]
A. Green Bet 20/65 [decent sire, high DamGSV, highly ranked, SW or $100,000+ dam]
B. Brown Bet 13/51 [good pedigree, well balanced]
C. Blue Bet 6/65 [high SireGSV, average to good dam, Dam high class runner]
D. Purple Bet 8/51 [solid pedigree]
6) Single qualifiers rank higher than multiple qualifiers in order of above preferences.
7) If there is only one Green and it is singled, then you may also use one other singled color
with preference to Brown then Blue then lastly purple.
8) Two Green selections in the race cancel each other out and are not bet regardless what other
qualifiers they may carry, if any.
9) If the Green selection in a race is also a Brown Selection then this horse becomes a bet and if
another horse has a singled Blue it also becomes a bet in the same racem but not if there are
two singled blues. You may also use a single purple if there is no single blue.
10) A Brown selection that is also a Purple selection is basically counted as a single Purple
bet because these bets differ basically only in the number of betting interests in the race [8
for Brown and 6 for Purple]. Therefore, if a Brown is coupled with Purple and the only
other potential bet is a Purple you may use both as bets in that race. If another horse in the
race is a Blue single bet, it becomes the only bet as Blue has preference over purple.
11) A Single Blue selection is given preference over a Blue coupled with a Purple because
singles rank higher than multiple selections with the exception of a Green, Brown.
12) If there are two single blues, use neither as they cancel each other out like 2 Green.
13) If there are two singe purples, use the one with the highest Sire GSV score.
14) In Maiden Special Weight races, Only single Green, Brown, Blue and Purple selections
can be played in that order and no more than the top two highest single betting preferences.
If there are no single selections you the skip the race except if there is only one multiple
selection bet, which then becomes the only bet in the race.
Example of a big GSV race card hit using the rules above
There are three playable bets in this race below: Air Squadron, Giant Cat and Poco Man. Two of the horses are
out of SW dams [or earned over $100,000] [Orange background]; Giant Cat and Bluegrass Jam. After checking
the scratches, the #6 horse is out, but his scores and rankings are so low as to not change the bets by moving
other horses into a playable bet.
Gulfstream Park, December 12, race 2 before scratches and odds
RACE 2 - CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $15,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123
lbs. Non-winners of a race at a mile or over since November 12 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races where entered for $5,000
or less not considered in allowances). (12:35 PM) (14)
PP
1
Horse
Houston Bull
S
G
Age
8
Sire
56.11
R1
14
Dam
65.19
R2
6
GSV
60.65
R3
11
SPly
No
DPly
No
RT
31
HPly
No
2
Air Squadron
G
5
68.89
3
73.41
2
71.15
2
No
YES
7
No
3
Giant Cat
G
4
73.68
1
67.91
4
70.79
3
No
No
8
No
4
Storm Warnings
G
7
60.39
11
55.69
13
58.04
13
No
No
37
No
5
6
Peter Castleboy
Goodnewswithatwist
G
G
5
4
62.77
61.29
8
9
66.05
61.01
5
10
64.41
61.15
6
9
No
No
No
No
19
28
No
No
7
8
Garabato
C D Gold
G
G
4
5
63.88
60.79
7
10
62.69
56.41
8
12
63.29
58.60
8
12
No
No
No
No
23
34
No
No
9
Bluegrass Jam
G
7
70.03
2
68.43
3
69.23
4
No
No
9
No
10
11
Penitant Prayers
Strongbow
G
G
8
4
59.80
68.43
13
4
62.17
64.90
9
7
60.98
66.67
10
5
No
No
No
No
32
16
No
No
12
Ludicrous Speed
H
6
66.93
6
60.11
11
63.52
7
No
No
24
No
13
Poco Man
G
5
67.40
5
75.39
1
71.40
1
No
YES
7
No
14
Bea Wildcat
G
5
60.31
12
46.48
14
53.39
14
No
No
40
No
As the betting proceeded, Air Squadron became the favorite and therefore was never going to be above 6/1, the
minimum odds to have a betting play. At the same time Poco Man was sitting 3/1 and eventually went off at
3.80/1 so he was never a play. This leaves us with only Giant Cat who for a long time ranged between 30 and
40/1, well under his upper limit. As it turns out he almost went off at too high of odds for me to bet him. The
65/1 was chosen before the test run of this program was set as horses that go off at higher odds are extremely
unlikely to win.
How the race looked at the time of making the bet. [After putting ~ odds in the template]
RACE 2 - CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $15,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123
lbs. Non-winners of a race at a mile or over since November 12 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races where entered for $5,000
or less not considered in allowances). (12:35 PM) (14)
PP
S
Age
Sire
R1
Dam
R2
GSV
R3
SPly
DPly
RT
HPly
1
2
Houston Bull
Air Squadron
Horse
G
G
8
5
56.11
68.89
14
3
65.19
73.41
6
2
60.65
71.15
11
2
No
No
No
YES
31
7
No
No
3
Giant Cat
G
4
73.68
1
67.91
4
70.79
3
No
No
8
No
4
5
Storm Warnings
Peter Castleboy
G
G
7
5
60.39
62.77
11
8
55.69
66.05
13
5
58.04
64.41
13
6
No
No
No
No
37
19
No
No
6
7
Goodnewswithatwist
Garabato
G
G
4
4
63.88
7
62.69
8
63.29
8
No
No
23
No
8
C D Gold
G
5
60.79
10
56.41
12
58.60
12
No
No
34
No
9
Bluegrass Jam
G
7
70.03
2
68.43
3
69.23
4
No
No
9
No
10
Penitant Prayers
G
8
59.80
13
62.17
9
60.98
10
No
No
32
No
11
12
Strongbow
Ludicrous Speed
G
H
4
6
68.43
66.93
4
6
64.90
60.11
7
11
66.67
63.52
5
7
No
No
No
No
16
24
No
No
13
14
Poco Man
Bea Wildcat
G
G
5
5
67.40
60.31
5
12
75.39
46.48
1
14
71.40
53.39
1
14
No
No
YES
No
7
40
No
No
1
$ 131.60
Giant Cat won the race and paid $131.60 for a $2 win bet. He fit the criteria for the Blue bet because his Sire
score was greater than 71 and between 62 and 74.75 for the Dam score; his dam was a SW or earner of more
than $100,000, which you can tell from the template as the Orange background in the Sex and Age cells. When
I bet my $5 to win with 3 minutes to go, Giant Cat’s odds were only 50/1 and so I thought he would easily fit
within the criteria. Please note, however, that horses with odds of 50/1 a few minutes from post often can go off
at odds higher than the allowable range so it pays to pay attention to last minute betting as the extra money
almost always comes in on the shorter priced horses.