1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 An appraisal of the accuracy of operational soil moisture estimates from SMOS MIRAS using validated in-situ observations acquired in a Mediterranean environment George Petropoulos1,*, Gareth Ireland1, Prashant K. Srivastava2,3 and Pavlos Ioannou-Katidis1 1Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, University of Aberystwyth, UK Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA 3Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, Maryland, USA 2NASA Acquiring information on the spatio-temporal variability of soil moisture is of key importance in extending our capability to understand Earth’s system physical processes, and is also required in many practical applications. To this end, Earth Observation (EO) provides today a promising avenue, with a number of products even distributed at present operationally. Validation of such products at a range of climate and environmental conditions across continents is a fundamental step related to their practical use. Various in-situ soil moisture ground observational networks have been established globally providing suitable data for evaluating the accuracy of EO-based Soil Moisture products. This study aimed at evaluating the accuracy of soil moisture estimates provided from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity Mission (SMOS) global operational product at test sites from the REMEDHUS International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN) in Spain. For this purpose validated observations from in-situ ground observations acquired nearly concurrent to SMOS overpass were utilised. In overall, results showed a generally reasonable agreement between the SMOS product and the in-situ soil moisture measurements in the 0-5 cm soil moisture layer (Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 0.116 m3 m-3). A clear improvement in product accuracy for the overall comparison was shown when days of high Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) were filtered out (RMSE = 0.110 m3 m-3). Seasonal analysis showed highest agreement during autumn, followed by summer, winter and spring seasons. A systematic soil moisture underestimation was also found for the overall comparison and during the four seasons. In overall, the result provides supportive evidence of the potential value of this operational product for meso-scale studies and practical applications. KEYWORDS: SMOS, soil moisture, operational products, ISMN, REMEDHUS *Corresponding author. Email: gep9@aber.ac.uk 1. Introduction Developing an understanding of the interactions and extreme complexities of Earth's natural processes has been identified today as one of the most urgent and important research priorities of the global scientific community (Battrick et al., 2006; Petropoulos et al., 2014). The spatio-temporal distribution of terrestrial soil moisture is an important parameter that controls several hydrological and atmospheric 2 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 processes, and is a key variable in controlling the energy and mass exchanges at the land surface/ atmosphere interface (Schlenz et al., 2012; Srivastava et al. 2013a). Thus, frequent and global soil moisture observations are crucial to many environmental disciplines and crosscutting scientific applications. For example, soil moisture is an essential variable in improving meteorological modeling (Nandintsetseg and Shinoda, 2011), hydrological forecasting (Milzow et al., 2011), forecasting of agricultural prospects (Deutsch et al., 2010), and natural disasters prediction such as flood and drought (Camici et al., 2011), amongst other bio-geophysical applications. Therefore, it is very important to accurately monitor and estimate the spatial variations of soil moisture over various time scales and terrain types (Srivastava et al., 2013a). 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 In view of the importance of information on the spatial distribution of soil moisture, various methods have been developed for directly measuring this parameter in the field (see recent methods’ review by Petropoulos et al., 2013). The use of ground instrumentation has certain advantages, such as a relatively direct measurement, instrument portability, easy installation operation and maintenance, the ability to provide measurement at different depths and also the relative maturity of the methods. Yet, the use of traditional soil moisture observation techniques is very difficult. This is due to the large spatial and temporal variability of soil moisture, and its variation within the vertical soil profile (Al-Shrafany et al., 2012a; Al-Shrafany et al., 2012b; Petropoulos et al., 2013). 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Advances in Earth Observation (EO) technology over the last two decades or so have resulted to the development of different methods in extracting information on the spatio-temporal variation of soil moisture, at different observational scales, using sensors operating in all regions of the electromagnetic spectrum (Wagner et al., 2007; Draper et al., 2012; Barrett & Petropoulos, 2013). During the last three decades or so a number of researchers have shown that near surface soil moisture can be estimated by optical and thermal infrared (Sandholt et al., 2002; Carlson, 2007; Mallick et al., 2009), as well as passive and active microwave remote sensing techniques (Jackson, 1993; Owe et al., 2001; Scott and Bastiaanssen, 2003). Notably, microwave sensors are the most utilised platform for soil moisture estimation in recent years. This is largely due to the direct relationship between soil moisture and the soil dielectric constant. However, the majority of microwave sensors operate within higher frequencies (>5GHz), whereas generally the protected microwave range of 1-2GHz (L-band) is more relevant to soil moisture estimation. This is due to its high sensitivity to soil moisture and the robustness of the sensor to surface roughness, the presence of vegetation canopies and atmospheric effects (Peischl et al., 2014). 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 Furthermore, several EO sensors have recently been designed specifically to sense soil moisture, including the European Space Agency’s Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission, the Meteorological Operational satellite programme (MetOpA) Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) mission and NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, planned to launch in 2014. The use of these satellite-derived soil moisture estimates for scientific and operational geophysical applications is advancing rapidly due to improvements in sensor technology, and retrieval algorithms, and the relative usability of the data (Su et al., 2013). However, validation is important for any satellite–based remote sensing product including soil moisture. This will assist in appraising not only the actual accuracy of the delivered soil moisture estimates but also the magnitude and spatial structure of the uncertainties of any new satellite– based remote sensing product before operational application (Wanders et al., 2012). Downloaded by [Aberystwyth University] at 08:26 20 March 2014 3 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 Numerous studies have been dedicated to assessing the accuracy of the SMOS soil moisture product by comparing the estimations against ground measurements from monitoring networks around the world, e.g., in South America (Escorihuela et al., 2012), Europe (Lacava et al., 2012; Schlenz et al., 2012), Australia (Panciera et al., 2011) and the United States (Al Bitar et al., 2012; Jackson et al., 2012). However, to our knowledge, there is limited research focusing in evaluating the accuracy of the product on a European setting, particularly so in the Mediterranean region where water can be an important limiting consideration. 112 113 114 115 116 117 In purview of the above, the specific objectives of this study were to: (1) explore the SMOS soil moisture product accuracy at selected Mediterranean sites belonging to a global in-situ monitoring network; and (2) investigate the effect of different parameters that may be influencing the accuracy of the soil moisture estimates from the operational product, including seasonality and Radio Frequency Interference (RFI). 118 2. Data and analysis methods 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 In-situ measurements were acquired from selected sites belonging to the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN) ground operational network (Dorigo et al., 2011a). ISMN is an international cooperation to establish and maintain a global insitu soil moisture database. ISMN was developed with the purpose of establishing and maintaining a database of harmonized global in-situ soil moisture, and promoting scientific studies on calibration and validation of satellite-based and modelled soil moisture products (Dorigo et al., 2011b; Petropoulos et al., 2013). Eighteen sites representative of different biophysical conditions from the ISMN REMEDHUS network in Spain were utilised in this study (Table 1). These stations are located in a central semiarid region of the Duero basin that is nearly flat (slopes of less than 10%), with elevation ranging from 700 to 900 m above sea level. It is a continental semi-arid Mediterranean climate that has an average annual precipitation of 385 mm and a mean temperature of 12 °C. The land use is mainly agricultural, with rain-fed cereals grown in winter and spring, irrigated crops in summer, with the remaining area inclusive of vineyards and areas of forest and pasture (Zhang et al., 2014). Data from in-situ observations of soil moisture measured from the top 5 cm of the surface layer within those sites were collected from selected days during 2011. 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 Satellite soil moisture was performed using the SMOS satellite. SMOS is a part of ESA's Living Planet Programme. It’smain aim is to provide measurements of the changes in the land surface wetness and ocean salinity by observing variations in the natural microwave emission coming up off the surface of the planet. The satellite was launched in November 2009 to a nearly circular orbit of 763 km with a 6 am ascending and 6 pm descending equator crossing time. SMOS platform main instrument is the Microwave Imaging Radiometer with Aperture Synthesis (MIRAS), which records emitted energy from the Earth's surface in the microwave L-band (1.4 GHz). It is designed to provide near-surface soil moisture estimates with global coverage, a revisit time of three days at the equator, and nearly daily at the poles, and spatial resolution of around 40 Km. The target accuracy of the SMOS product is 4% (0.04 m3 m-3), which should be achievable over relatively uniform areas (Panciera et al., 2011). A total of 45 SMOS SMC (Soil Moisture Content) product version (v05) image granules 4 151 152 were acquired from the Eoli-SA portal for the Spanish sites at different overpass dates during 2011. 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 ISMN REMEDHUS in-situ measurements (Martınez-Fernandez and Ceballos, 2005) were then extracted from each of the selected test sites for dates and times concurrent to the SMOS satellite overpass times, to allow for the direct comparison of both datasets. The quality of the in-situ data was first evaluated through information acquired from the in-situ data providers where only quality-passed data such as those free from drying out, ponding effect, and instrumentation error were selected and used in further analysis. The pre-processed in-situ soil moisture values that corresponded to the date/time of the satellite overpass were extracted (Excel MacroVBA), and assigned to point shapefiles of the test sites (tabular join in ArcMap 10.1). The shapefiles were imported on top of pre-processed SMOS image pixels in the BEAM VISAT and SMOS toolbox. Using the BEAM correlation tool, the in-situ soil moisture was matched against the SMOS soil moisture unit of the pixel containing the site point. 166 167 3. Performance assessment 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 To quantify the level of agreement between the SMOS-predicted soil moisture and the in-situ measurements from the ground observational network, a series of statistical measures were computed, using the statistical terms suggested by Wilmott (1982), including the standard deviation () of the observed and modelled values, the root mean square error (RMSE), the bias, the scatter and the mean absolute error (MAE). Table 2 summarises the formulas that express the statistical terms used, a detailed description of which can be found for example in Silk (1979), Burt and Barber (1996) and Wilmott (1982). 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 Agreement between the reference and the SMOS-predicted soil moisture was initially examined for all days of comparison. Subsequently, additional comparisons were performed to assess the effect of RFI on overall product accuracy, where the methods were repeated for the common days between the in-situ data and the SMOS satellite data that exhibited low RFI only (<0.2). In addition, agreement between the soil moisture predicted by SMOS and the in-situ measurements was examined by season, and the effect of RFI on seasonal results was also examined similar to previous studies (Albergel et al., 2012; Rötzer et al., 2012, Srivastava et al., 2013b, Sanchez-Ruiz et al., 2014). RFI fraction in particular was the parameter which was computed from the N_RFIX and N_RFI_Y as well as the M_AVAO bands following the equation: 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 [ N _ RFI _ X N _ RFI _ Y ] M _ AVAO (1) Where N_RFI_X is the RFI detected in L2 test X polarization (the count of deleted views), N_RFI_Y is the RFI detected in L2 test Y polarization (again, the count of deleted views), and M_AVAO is the total number of views available (SMOS ATBD, 2010). Radiometer signals received in the L- band are particularly susceptible to man-made RFI. Unwanted emissions from active services operating in neighbouring bands and unauthorised emissions within the protected passive band cause unnatural and focalised emission, well above the grounds expected radiation,. Areas affected by RFIs 5 194 195 196 197 198 199 might thus lead to data loss or to underestimation of soil moisture and salinity retrievals by the SMOS product (Oliva et al., 2012). SMOS images for which it was not possible to compute RFI fraction, or RFI Fraction was higher than 0.2, were omitted from further analysis. Analysis was conducted for all days together but also further analysis was conducted by season given that SMOS images had been acquired at different times throughout the year. 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 Statistical scores for the agreement between the SMOS and in-situ reference soil moisture measurements from the ISMN REMEDHUS network for all days were determined and the main results are presented in Table 3 and Figure 1. Generally, as indicated from the statistical metrics computed for the case of comparisons for all days, a relatively good agreement between the two compared datasets was reported (RMSE = 0.116 m3 m-3, bias = -0.068 m3 m-3, scatter = 0.094 m3 m-3). A further analysis was conducted using only the days for which SMOS images were of low RFI fraction (i.e. value of <0.2). Evidently, a further improvement in the agreement between the two compared datasets was observed after filtering out the days of high RFI fraction (RMSE = 0.110 m3 m-3, bias = -0.064 m3 m-3, scatter = 0.090 m3 m-3). 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 A further analysis was conducted examining the agreement between the compared datasets by season (Table 3 and Figure 2). The lowest RMSE was found for the comparisons within the autumn period (0.100 m 3 m-3), which also included the lowest scatter results (0.074 m 3 m-3). However, the higher accuracy of these herein preliminary results could be associated with the smaller sample size in comparison to that of the other seasons (Table 3). Thus, a further analysis using a larger sample for the different seasons could be a step for further investigation. Agreement was lowest during the spring period, which displayed the highest RMSE, closely followed by winter (spring/winter = 0.133 m3 m-3/0.119 m3 m-3). Similar to the results of the all days comparison a systematic soil moisture underestimation was found for the four seasons (Table 3), especially during the spring months (bias = -0.088 m3 m-3). All the four seasons exhibited a better product performance when RFI was filtered out. However, days that exhibited high RFI during the summer period were unavailable for this study; thus product accuracy results were comparable for both filtered and unfiltered days. Spring and winter displayed a decrease in RMSE, with autumn showing the greatest improvement in product accuracy (RMSE decreased from 0.100 to 0.098m3 m-3). This can be in part attributed to the possibility of lesser fractional vegetation cover than other seasons. Scatter and bias also showed an improvement during these periods. Some decrease in performance could be due to a number of factors such as the retrieved SMOS soil moisture data is observed at a depth of 0 cm to 5 cm whereas in situ sensors observe at 5 cm. Thus the corresponding faster and stronger response to wetting and drying periods at shallower depth could be a plausible explanation for discrepancies in agreement. Spatial scaling can also constitute a significant issue, where a too small amount or not representative set of in-situ measurements can easily provoke a bias when aggregated at larger scales (Lacave et al., 2012; Bircher et al., 2013). 240 With respect to the SMOS soil retrieval target accuracy of 0.04 m 3 m-3, these 3. Results Downloaded by [Aberystwyth University] at 08:26 20 March 2014 6 241 242 243 initial results comparable with other studies of similar scale test sites in Europe using in-situ measurements other than those from CarboEurope (Lacava et al., 2012; Parrens et al., 2012; Schlenz et al., 2012; Bircher et al., 2013). 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 The noticeable increase in the agreement between the SMOS-predicted soil moisture and the corresponding in-situ measurements after excluding the high RFI value days is also in agreement to previous analogous studies examining this effect in similar studies conducted in different environments (Albergel et al., 2011; Montzka et al., 2011; Zribi et al., 2011). The RFI can be defined as the disturbance that affects an electromagnetic radiation emitted from an external source (Murray, 2013). This is a major problem in SMOS soil moisture retrieval, which decreases the efficiency of retrieved soil moisture (Jackson et al., 1999). These disturbances generally degrade or limit the quality of data and sometime lead to a total loss of data. Hence, localizing and eliminating point sources of signal contamination, specifically in the L-band; thus at present on-going challenges in Europe and several other parts in the world (Kerr et al., 2012; Olivia, et al., 2012; Daganzo-Eusebio et al., 2013). 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 Results from this study, although perhaps limited by the relatively small and arbitrarily chosen sample size, suggest that agreement of the soil moisture estimates are driven to a certain extent by the seasonal cycle. The latter can be potentially ascribed to the phenological changes of vegetation throughout the year. Spring and summer theoretically have denser plant canopies compared to autumn and thus higher signal attenuation hampers satellite sensing, resulting in poorer soil moisture retrieval. Furthermore, dew has a significant effect on passive microwave observations by increasing horizontal brightness, and is most prominent during summer, spring and autumn respectively (de Jeu et al., 2005; Du et al., 2012). In agreement with other validation studies of SMOS product conducted independently (Albergel et al., 2012; Sanchez-Ruiz et al., 2014), product accuracy performed poorly during winter. This should be noted, because, as long as there is no snow or soil frost during autumn/winter season, the retrieval of soil moisture should work better than in other seasons due to less sources of attenuation associated with the inactivity of vegetation during this period (Rötzer et al., 2012; Srivastava et al., 2013c). The effect of snow and frozen soil could cause a decline in product accuracy and these factors should be suggested as possible flag information in future applications (Rötzer et al., 2012). In future, the integration of numerical weather models, meteorological variables, local hydrological models and information on land cover could also be utilised to more accurately analyse the effect of seasonality on soil moisture estimation as already demonstrated in other studies (Srivastava et al., 2013b). 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 4. Conclusions SMOS is the latest major satellite remote sensing mission utilised for soil moisture estimation from space. However, as with any operational product, before using it for various applications its accuracy should be assessed and validated for different application areas, so that data providers and users can understand the uncertainties associated with the data. SMOS data may have different performance results dependent on terrain type, seasonality and geographical locations. This study explores the performance of SMOS (v05) data in comparison to in-situ observations from the ISMN REMEDHUS network to understand and validate its accuracy in a 7 289 typical Mediterranean setting in 2011. 290 291 292 It has been found that the direct comparison of SMOS operational product with in-situ observations indicated a moderate performance of the product within these sites. The main findings of this study can be summarised as follows: 293 294 295 296 297 (1) the overall comparisons showed a generally reasonable agreement between the SMOS product and the in-situ measurements of SMC in the 0-5 cm soil moisture layer. The results were largely comparable to previous analogous validation studies of the product, suggesting SMOS soil moisture products potential value at meso-scale studies (Table 3 and Figure 1). 298 299 300 301 (2) a seasonal cycle is observed in regards to the agreement between the in-situ observed and product soil moisture estimations, where the autumn period exhibited lowest error. Winter and spring displayed highest error possibly ascribed to snow/soil frost and high vegetation attenuation respectively (Table 3 and Figure 2). 302 303 304 (3) as expected, in agreement with other studies, after filtering out the RFI contaminated pixels results were much improved as indicated by the superior product accuracy for days of RFI below 0.2 (Table 3). 305 306 307 308 309 310 Hence, eliminating sources of RFI pollution is an on-going challenge in Europe. The result of this study emphasises how essential it is to validate the magnitude and spatial structure of the uncertainties of any new satellite–based EO product before its use in operational applications. Work is ongoing in expanding the SMOS SMC operational product validation at a wide range of settings, including inter-comparisons to other similar products. 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 Acknowledgements Dr. Petropoulos gratefully acknowledges the European Space Agency (ESA) for providing the financial means that assisted to this study materialization. Authors wish to thank ISMN and the site managers for the provision of the in-situ data used in this study. The views expressed here are those of the authors solely and do not constitute a statement of policy, decision, or position on behalf of NASA or the authors’ affiliated institutions. 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