Part 4 - Vulnerability

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Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

ASSESSING VULNERABIL ITY

OVERVIEW

An overview of the planning area’s vulnerability is a summary of the hazard’s impact on the community and its vulnerable structures. To determine what populations or properties could be lost to a particular hazard event, the hazard locations discussed in the hazard profiles section are classified below. Some hazards do have defined risk areas, i.e. they will only occur in certain places, while other hazards could affect the entire town, or any smaller portion of the town.

Hazards with well-defined risk areas with risk of structural damage:

Flash Flood, River Flood, Expansive Soils, Landslide

The majority of these areas have been identified as best as currently possible within the hazard profiles. People living, working, or otherwise being present inside these risk areas, as well as structures inside these risk areas, are most vulnerable to the effects of these hazards. While these hazards may have an extremely detrimental impact on lives and property in their path, the typical occurrences of these hazards will not impact other people or property within the jurisdiction, except when a critical facility is impacted. An example of this would be flooding of the sewer plants, which could be caused by flash flooding, riverine flooding or a dam failure, which would in-turn impact larger areas of town outside of the defined hazard area.

Hazards with well defined risk areas and little to no risk of structural damage:

Waterway or Water Body Incident

A waterway or water body incident, as applicable to the types of water craft located in the planning area, would likely be a very isolated incident involving only the people experiencing duress and those responding to the incident. Structural damage is very unlikely to occur, although property damage, such as damage to a boat or a vehicle running off the road into the waterway could be the causal factor in this type of hazard.

Hazards with specific areas of elevated risk with risk of structural damage:

Wildfire, Landslide, Highway Transportation Incident, Transportation Hazardous Materials Incident, Fixed

Hazardous Materials Incident, Pipeline Incident,

Hazards with specific areas of elevated risk are those that are more likely to occur in a certain identified location.

However they are not guaranteed to be limited to that location. Wildfires normally only impact areas with enough vegetative fuel and slopes such to sustain the fire. Other factors may impact the spread of a wildfire, such as materials stored in specific areas that may ignite and spread a fire over a greater area than might have been predicted by vegetation and terrain alone. Landslides are again typically seen in areas of steep slopes, unstable soil types and vegetation lacking substantial root systems. All of these factors can be mapped to provide an overview of where landslides are most likely to occur. However, weather factors and human development can significantly change land stability, and cause landslides to occur in areas outside of where they would normally be expected. Transportation events as well as hazardous materials events can almost always be expected to occur in specific areas: transportation events will likely originate on or near roadways, railroads or other transportation infrastructure; many hazardous materials sights are well known to first responders and have federal and state reporting requirements. However, it is difficult to predict the magnitude of any specific event because these types

246

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures of events are accidental, and thus the circumstances surrounding these events will impact the extent of damage or injuries that occur.

Hazards without defined areas of elevated risk with risk of structural damage:

Thunderstorms and Lightning, Severe Winter Storm, Hailstorm, Tornado, Windstorm, Earthquake, Structural

Failure, Structural Fire, Enemy Attack or Terrorism, Air Transportation Incident.

These hazards have no defined area in which they are known to occur, and could occur in either limited sections of the jurisdiction or over the entire jurisdiction at once. These hazards are also able to directly cause substantial structural losses, and potentially loss of life.

Hazards without defined areas of elevated risk, without high risk of structural damage:

Energy failure, Communications Failure, Public Disorder, Extreme Heat, Drought, Animal-Plant-Crop Disease

Epidemic.

These types of hazards are those that could occur anywhere within the jurisdiction, or could occur throughout the entire jurisdiction and for which it is not possible to determine beforehand where the hazard is most likely to occur. Additionally, any of these hazards could occur without causing damage to the structures in the jurisdiction.

While this does not indicate that any of these events could not be combined with other hazards or circumstances to create property damage, rather they were determined to be least likely to directly cause structural damage.

However, these hazards will still create losses, which are likely to be economic, either due to a disruption in the provision of an essential service or to a loss of some type of product such as crop failure.

Table 94: Overall Summary of Vulnerability by Jurisdiction

Hazard Identified

Air Transportation Incident

Animal / Plant / Crop Disease

Communications Failure

Cyber Terrorism

Dam Failure

Drought

Earthquake

Enemy Attack

L M L M H L M L M M

H L L M L L L L M L

M M M M M M M M M M

L M L M M L M L M M

L M L L H L L L L L

H L L M L L L L L M

L L L L L L L L L L

L L L L L L L L L L

247

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Energy failure

Expansive Soils

Extreme Heat

Fixed Hazardous Materials Incident

Fixed Radiological Materials Incident

Flood (Flash, Riverine)

Hailstorm

Highway Transportation Incident

Human Disease Epidemic

Landslide

Pipeline Incident

Public Disorder

Severe Winter Storm

Structural Failure

Structural Fire

Terrorism (Radiological, Chemical,

Conventional or Biological)

Thunderstorm and Lightning

Windstorm or Tornado

Transportation Hazardous Materials

Incident

Transportation Radiological Incident

Waterway or Waterbody Incident

Wild fire

Key:

L

M

H

H

M

H

M

H

L

L

M

H

H

L

M

M

H

H

L

H

L

H H

L

L

L

L

L

H

M M

M M

H H

M

L

L

M

H

L

M

M

H

H

L

H

L

H

L

M

M

H

M

L

L

L

H

M

M

M

H

M

L

M

M

H

L

M

M

H

M

L

L

L

= Low to no risk; little damage potential

= Medium risk; moderate damage potential or infrequent occurrence

= High risk; significant risk or major damage potential or frequent hazard occurrence

H

L

M

M

H

M

L

M

M

H

M

M

L M L H M L H L M H

L L L L L L L L L L

M H L L H H H L H H

M M M M M M M M M M

L H M M H M M M M M

L H M M H M M M M M

M M L L M L L L L L

L M L M M L M L M M

L L L L L L L L L L

H H H H H H H H H H

L M M M M M M M M M

M M M M M M M M M M

L L L L L L L L L L

M

H

M

L

L

M

248

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

REPETITIVE LOSS PROPERTIES

Repetitive loss properties are those for which two or more looses of at least $1,000 each have been paid under the

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) within any 10-year period since 1978. Local governments may obtain information on repetitive loss properties within their jurisdiction by contacting their State NFIP Coordinator. Use of the flood insurance claim and disaster assistance information is subject to The Privacy Act of 1974, as amended, which prohibits public release of the names of policy holders or recipients of financial assistance and the amount of the claim payment or assistance. However, maps showing areas where claims have been made can be made public, and are encouraged to be placed in mitigation plans.

For the purposes of preparing this plan, the consultant requested information from the Iowa Department of

Homeland Security and Emergency Management about repetitive loss structures in Jones County. Officials at the department report that there is only one repetitive loss property in Jones County. Due to privacy issues they could not provide the address, but they did state that it is a residential property within the corporate city limits of the

City of Monticello.

IDENTIFYING STRUCTURES

Hazard mitigation plans should describe vulnerability in terms of the types and numbers of existing and future buildings, infrastructure and critical facilities located in the identified hazard areas. Thus, the next step in the planning process was to determine who and what is at risk in the event that any of the selected hazards do occur.

To determine this, the consultant provided an overview of the potential property losses by assessment classification to provide a sense of what property could be lost in addition to the populations detailed in the community profile.

BUILDING STOCK

This data represents the 2014 assessed values and 2012 population estimate based on where people live rather than where they work (or attend school). This source for this data is the Jones County Assessor’s data attached to the GIS parcel layer for Jones County. The 2012 population estimate comes from the US Census. Values for taxexempt structures are not available. Additional, more specific building type classifications are also not available.

When interpreting the data above to provide loss estimates for the jurisdiction in a worst-case scenario event, it is also useful to keep in mind that the assessed value of the property is presented, which may not directly correlate to the fair market or replacement value of that property. A common method used in Iowa to adjust from assessed value to fair market value is to increase the assessed value by 110%, however every property is unique and this may not be accurate in all cases.

As previously discussed in the vulnerability overview section, only certain hazards have well defined risk areas, and only some of those hazards pose a risk of structural losses. Thus, the hazards of riverine flooding, flash flooding, expansive soils and landslide are the only hazards examined in this document where it is possible to identify the structures that are at risk should one of these hazards occur. For the purpose of reviewing riverine and flash flooding, the two hazards were combined and properties were reviewed for overlap with the boundaries of the identified special flood hazard area. As with the previously presented property valuations, these figures reflect the

249

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

2014 County assessments and the 2012 Census estimates. Information for this section was provided by the Jones

County Assessor’s Office and Jones County GIS using information from the Iowa DNR and SSURGO maps.

All Properties

Table95: Potential Structural Losses, Unincorporated Jones County

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value Total Value Population

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

11,841

192

390

10

3159

$73,055 $676,914,350 $48,972,930 $139,154,480 $865,041,760

$172,969

N/A

$209,071

$9,644,990

N/A

$549,500

$97,090 $60,976,030

$20,836,700

N/A

$1,541,210

$0

$0

N/A

$0

$245,731,940

$30,481,690

N/A

$2,090,710

$306,707,970

Total 15,592 $77,240 $748,084,870 $70,450,840 $394,886,420 $1,204,322,130

Table 96: Potential Structural Losses, Anamosa

5993

0

0

0

2860

8853

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

17

240

149

4

1606

$24,985

N/A

$485,082

$424,750

$163,256 $7,292,340

N/A

$182,350

$94,227 $24,522,210

Total 2016 $87,365 $32,421,650

Table 97: Potential Structural Losses, Center Junction

$0

$31,888,790

N/A

$1,757,980

$33,646,770

$0

$0

N/A

$0

$126,806,620

Total Value

$424,750

$39,181,130

N/A

$1,940,330

$0 $126,806,620 $151,328,830

$192,875,040

Population

0

0

0

0

5625

5625

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

13

9

14

0

81

117

$33,250

$36,547

N/A

$0

$35,598

$616,690

$37,380

N/A

$0

$496,120

$32,856 $1,150,190

$15,070

$291,540

N/A

$0

$0

$306,610

$0

$0

N/A

$0

$2,387,330

$2,387,330

Total Value Population

$631,760

$328,920

N/A

$0

$2,883,450

$3,844,130

0

110

0

0

0

110

250

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Table 98 Potential Structural Losses, Martelle

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

7

19

21

0

154

$41,573

$80,695

N/A

$291,010

$124,730

N/A

$0 $0

$65,449 $1,036,570

Total 201 $59,221 $1,452,310

Table 99: Potential Structural Losses, Monticello

Building Value Dwelling Value Total Value Population

$0

$1,408,480

N/A

$0

$0

$1,408,480

$0

$0

$9,042,510

$291,090

$0 $1,533,210

N/A N/A

$0

$9,042,510 $10,079,080

$11,903,380

0

254

0

0

0

254

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

112

248

115

21

1510

Average Value Land Value Building Value

$35,138 $3,777,050

$139,860

N/A

$462,835

$87,225

$5,771,550

N/A

$989,520

$23,127,790

Total 2006 $89,775 $33,665,919

Table 100: Potential Structural Losses, Morley

$116,210

$28,913,770

N/A

$8,730,010

$0

$37,759,990

Dwelling Value Total Value Population

$42,220 $3,935,480

$0 $34,685,320

N/A N/A

$0 $9,719,530

$108,581,270 $131,709,060

$108,623,490 $180,048,920

0

3794

3

0

0

3797

Use Type Properties Average Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

8

7

10

0

66

91

$17,554

$14,129

N/A

0

$29,659

$24,013

Land Value Building Value

$58,290

$17,610

N/A

0

$278,200

$354,100

$82,140

$81,290

N/A

0

$0

$163,430

Dwelling Value

$0

$0

N/A

00

$1,678,630

$1,678,630

Total Value Population

$140,430

$98,900

N/A

0

$1,945,830

$2,185,160

0

0

0

0

114

114

251

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Table 101: Potential Structural Losses, Olin

Use Type Properties Average Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

22

41

57

2

343

$36,330

$31,670

N/A

$201,120

$56,066

Total 465 $46,733

Table 102: Potential Structural Losses, Onslow

Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value Total Value Population

$750,480

$214,740

N/A

$41,440

$2,696,930

$3,703,590

$48,770

$1,083,700

N/A

$360,800

$0

$1,493,270

$0 $799,250

$0 $1,298,480

N/A N/A

$0 $402,240

$16,533,870 $19,230,800

$16,533,870 $21,730,770

0

690

0

0

0

690

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value Building Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

5

28

15

0

116

$24,260

$14,809

N/A

$0

$45,905

$107,210

$65,970

N/A

$0

$666,890

Total 164 $35,737

Table 13: Potential Structural Losses, Oxford Junction

$840,070

$14,090

$348,670

N/A

$0

$0

$362,760

Dwelling Value

$0

$0

N/A

$00

$4,658,050

$4,658,050

Total Value Population

$121,300

$414,640

N/A

$0

$5,324,940

$5,860,880

0

0

0

0

196

196

Use Type Properties Average Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

24

35

37

1

269

366

$26,248

$17,021

N/A

$61,800

$31,121

$30,850

Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value Total Value Population

$505,820

$129,660

N/A

$21,500

$1,631,880

$2,288,860

$116,720

$466,060

N/A

$40,300

$0

$623,080

$7,410

$0

N/A

$0

$629,950

$595,720

N/A

$61,800

$8,371,610 $10,003,490

$8,379,020 $11,290,960

0

0

3

0

487

490

252

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Table 104: Potential Structural Losses, Wyoming

Use Type Properties Average Value Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

1

71

46

0

332

450

$16,780

$38,277

N/A

$16,780

$347,450

N/A

$ $0

$48,914 $2,660,240

$42,614 $3,024,470

Table 2: Potential Structural Losses; All Structures Combined

$0

$2,370,200

N/A

$0

$0

$2,370,200

$0

$0

N/A

$0 $0

$13,579,310 $16,239,550

$13,579,310

Total Value

$16,780

$2,717,650

N/A

$18,973,980

Population

0

510

0

0

0

510

Use Type Properties Average Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Flood

12,050

890

854

38

7,636

21,468

Land Value Building Value Dwelling Value

$72,368 $683,462,430 $49,365,930 $139,204,110 $872,032,470

$125,096 $23,646,420 $87,689,200 $ $111,355,620

N/A

$37,407

N/A N/A

$1,784,310 $12,430,300

$85,827 $118,092,860 $0

N/A

$

$537,371,140

N/A

$14,214,610

$655,464,000

$77,001 $826,986,020 $149,485,430 $676,575,250 $1,653,066,700

Table106: Potential 100 Year Flood Losses, Unincorporated Jones County

Total Value Population

5,999

0

0

0

9,015

15,014

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

3388

53

153

3

313

3,910

% in Hazard Area

29%

28%

39%

30%

10%

25%

Total Value

$219,424,860

$8,168,410

N/A

$535,010

$26,226,110

$254,354,390

Population %Population

1,771

0

0

0

354

2125

20%

0%

0%

0%

4%

24%

253

Risk Assessment

Table 3: Potential 500 Year Flood Losses, Unincorporated Jones County

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

0

2

3

0

7

12

Table 408: Potential 100 year flood Losses, Anamosa

% in Hazard Area

0

.2%

0

1

.8

.08%

Total Value

0

$154,420

N/A

0

$807,490

$961,919

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

5

12

30

1

71

119

29%

5%

20%

25%

4%

6%

No Data Available for Potential 500 Year Flood Losses in Anamosa

Table 1095: Potential 100 year Flood Losses, Center Junction

Total Value

$350,070

$1,861,080

N/A

$242,240

$7,872,110

$10,325,500

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

5

0

0

0

0

5

% in Hazard Area

38%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

Total Value

$402,920

$0

$0

$0

$0

$402,920

Identifying Structures

Population %Population

0

21

0

0

0

21

0

0%

0%

0%

.2%

.2%

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

225

225

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

4%

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

0

0

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

254

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Martelle

Martelle is a mapped community with No Special Flood Hazard Areas (NSFHA) Identified

Table 610: Potential 100 year Flood Losses, Monticello

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

42

34

30

3

47

Total 156

Table 711: Potential 500 year Flood Losses, Monticello

38%

14%

26%

14%

3%

8%

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

14

25

19

Industrial

Residential

2

105

Total 165

Table 112: Potential 100 year Flood Losses, Morley

% in Hazard Area

13%

10%

17%

10%

7%

8%

Total Value

$1,358,690

$6,757,000

N/A

$

$4,323,120

$12,438,810

Total Value

$407,540

$1,525,100

N/A

$2,347,060

$9,715,440

$13,995,140

Population %Population

0

89

0

0

0

89

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

3%

Population %Population

0

89

89

0

0

0

0%

3%

3%

0%

0%

0%

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

8

7

10

0

66

Total 91 100%

No Data Available for Potential 500 Year Flood Losses in Morley

100%

100%

100%

0%

100%

Total Value

$140,430

$98,900

N/A

0

$,1945,630

$2,185,160

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

114

114

2%

0%

0%

0%

100%

100%

255

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Table 113: Potential 100 year Flood Losses, Olin

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area Total Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

16

10

27

1

128

73%

24%

47%

100%

37%

$721,070

$298,400

N/A

$402,240

$5,546,080

Total I82 39% $6,967,790

Onslow

Onslow is a mapped community with No Special Flood Hazard Areas (NSFHA) Identified

Table 114: Potential 100 Year Flood Losses, Oxford Junction

Population %Population

0

255

0

0

0

255

0%

0%

0%

0%

37%

37%

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area Total Value

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

18

6

11

0

70

75%

17%

30%

0%

26%

$577,220

$148,380

N/A

0

$2,041,160

Total 105 29%

No Data Available for Potential 500 Year Flood Losses in Oxford Junction

$2,766,760

Table 115: Potential Flood Losses, Wyoming

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

0

18

10

0

18

Total 45 10%

No Data Available for Potential 500 Year Flood Losses in Wyoming

0%

25%

21%

0%

5%

Total Value

$0

$764,980

N/A

$0

$430,640

$1,195,620

Population %Population

0

127

4

0

0

131

1%

0%

0%

0%

26%

27%

Population

0

0

0

0

26

26

%Population

0%

0%

0%

0%

5%

5%

256

Risk Assessment

Expansive Soils

Table 116: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Unincorporated County

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

10,105

91

201

Industrial

Residential

4

1673

Total 6150

Table 117: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Anamosa

% in Hazard Area

%

37%

4%

10%

27%

38%

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

10

59

39

3

223

Total 334

Table118: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Center Junction

% in Hazard Area

59%

25%

26%

75%

14%

17%

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

13

4

7

0

36

60

% in Hazard Area

76%

44%

50%

0%

44%

51%

Total Value

$797,633,050

$15,590,390

N/A

$1,353,520

$182,966,630

$997,543,590

Population %Population

4924

0

0

0

1687

6611

83%

0%

0%

0%

59%

38%

Total Value

$363,020

$14,896,940

N/A

$1,931,780

$26,220,420

$43,412,160

Total Value

$631,760

$105,740

N/A

$0

$1,189,580

$1,927,080

Identifying Structures

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

788

788

0%

0%

0%

0%

14%

14%

Population %Population

0

51

0

0

0

51

0%

0%

0%

0%

44%

44%

257

Risk Assessment

Table 119: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Martelle

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

7

19

21

0

149

196

Table 120: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Monticello

% in Hazard Area

100%

100%

100%

0%

97%

97%

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

63

19

20

2

148

Total 252

Table 121: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Morley

% in Hazard Area

56%

8%

17%

10%

10%

13%

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

6

6

8

0

64

84

% in Hazard Area

75%

86%

80%

0%

97%

92%

Total Value

$291,010

$1,533,201

N/A

$0

$9,617,850

$11,442,061

Total Value

$2,949,870

$9,245,344

N/A

$3,207,340

$15,170,470

$30,573,024

Total Value

$62,950

$91,030

N/A

$0

$1,928,760

$2,082,740

Identifying Structures

Population %Population

0

246

0

0

0

246

0%

0%

0%

0%

97%

97%

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

151

151

0%

0%

0%

0%

10%

10%

Population %Population

8

0

0

0

111

111

1%

0%

0%

0%

97%

97%

258

Risk Assessment

Table 122: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Olin

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

17

5

18

0

47

Total 87

Table 123: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Onslow

% in Hazard Area

77%

12%

32%

0%

14%

19%

Use Type Properties % in Hazard Area

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

4

27

15

0

116

Total 162

Table 124: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Oxford Junction

80%

96%

100%

0%

100%

99%

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

10

4

10

0

54

78

% in Hazard Area

42%

11%

27%

0%

20%

20%

Identifying Structures

Total Value

$736,890

$227,240

N/A

$0

$2,393,139

$3,357,260

Population %Population

0

97

0

0

0

97

0%

0%

0%

0%

14%

14%

Total Value

$118,470

$512,240

N/A

$0

$5.345,410

$5,976,120

Population %Population

0

0

0

0

196

196

0%

0%

0%

0%

100%

100%

Total Value

$501,130

$41,910

$0

$0

$

$1,945,590

Population %Population

0

0

3

0

54

57

100%

0%

0%

0%

11%

12%

259

Risk Assessment

Table 125: Potential Expansive Soils Losses, Wyoming

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

1

24

17

0

154

197

% in Hazard Area

100%

34%

37%

0%

46%

44%

Landslide

Table 126: Potential Landslide Losses, Unincorporated County

Total Value

$16,780

$1,359,510

N/A

$0

$8,854,410

$10,230,700

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

5453

36

179

0

1385

Total 7953

Table 127: Potential Landslide Losses, Anamosa

% in Hazard Area

46%

19%

46%

0%

44%

51 %

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

8

1

18

0

226

253

% in Hazard Area

47%

.4%

12%

0%

14%

13%

Total Value

$268,545,880

$5,313,710

N/A

$0

$125,556,540

$399,416,130

Total Value

$141,600

$5,601,610

N/A

$0

$24,114,110

$29,857,320

Identifying Structures

Population

0

235

0

0

0

235

%Population

0%

0%

0%

0%

46%

46%

Population %Population

2937

0

0

0

1141

4,078

49%

0%

0%

0%

40%

46%

Population %Population

0

788

0

0

0

788

0%

0%

0%

0%

14%

14%

260

Risk Assessment

Table 128: Potential Landslide Losses, Center Junction

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Martelle

No Potential Landslide Losses in Martelle

Table129: Potential Landslide Losses, Monticello

0

19

6

0

2

27

% in Hazard Area

46%

0%

14%

0%

23%

23%

Use Type Properties

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

1

124

155

23

4

3

Morley

No Potential Landslide Losses in Morley

Olin

No Potential Landslide Losses in Olin

Onslow

No Potential Landslide Losses in Onslow

Oxford Junction

No Potential Landslide Losses in Oxford Junction

% in Hazard Area

21%

2%

3%

5%

8%

8%

Total Value

$851,210

$1,056,700

N/A

$533,670

$12,771,830

$15,213,440

Total Value

$218,850

$0

N/A

$0

$728,240

$947,090

Identifying Structures

Population %Population

0

25

1

0

0

25

0%

0%

0%

0%

23%

23%

Population %Population

0

303

303

0

0

0

0%

8%

8%

0%

0%

0%

261

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Table130: Potential Landslide Losses, Wyoming

Use Type

Agricultural

Commercial

Exempt

Industrial

Residential

Total

Properties

0

34

0

3

5

42

% in Hazard Area

%

4%

11%

0%

10%

9%

Total Value

$0

$244,140

$0

$0

$,1537,370

$1,781,510

Population

0

51

0

0

0

51

%Population

0%

0%

0%

0%

10%

10%

CRITICAL FACILITIES

Critical Facilities are essential to the health and welfare of the whole population and are especially important following hazard events. Since vulnerability is based on service losses as well as building structure integrity and contents value, loss of the following structures would have an unusually large effect on the community. For purposes of this mitigation planning guidance, critical facilities may include emergency service facilities such as hospitals and other medical facilities, jails, police and fire stations, emergency operations centers, police and fire stations, public works facilities, evacuation shelters, schools, other centers that house special needs populations, and facilities that provide necessary services, such as provision of food, or pharmaceutical supplies.

Facilities critical to the unincorporated areas or Jones County as a whole, as identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

262

Risk Assessment

Figure 115: Jones County Critical Facilities

Identifying Structures

263

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Figure 116: Jones County Conservation and Recreation Areas, Source: Jones County Conservation

The map above shows conservation and recreation areas in Jones County that are maintained by the Jones County

Conservation department. Because Jones County is located in an area of the country where tornado risk is fairly high, people in these locations may be at an elevated risk in the event of a tornado or high wind event because of a lack of shelter. As the locations identified on the map above are all publically owned, they are all viable locations for a FEMA 361 compliant tornado safe room, and are thus considered critical facilities from that regard.

264

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Figure 117: Critical Outdoor Facilities

The facilities identified above are additional outdoor facilities that are commonly used for recreational purposes.

As noted, some are County owned, some are owned by the DNR, and a few are either private or owned by cities or school districts. Most of these locations could be viable sites for safe rooms.

Table 131: Jones County Sites on National Register of Historic Places

Property Address City Date

Listed

Antioch School

Anamosa Main Street

Historic District

Anamosa Public

Library

Caulkins Dr. Martin H.

House and Office

Corbett's/Eby's Mill

Bridge

IA 64, 4 miles East of Anamosa

200-300 block W. Main St., 100 block

E. Main St., 100 block N. and S. Ford

St., 100 block N. Garnavillo St.

100 E. 1st Street

Washington and Main Streets.

Spans Maquoketa River Scotch Grove

Township

Green John A. Estate W of Anamosa off U.S. 151

Hale Bridge Wapsipinicon River, near the mouth of

Iowa Men's

Reformatory Cemetery

Dutch Creek

Co. Trunk Hwy. E28 W of Buffalo

Creek

N. High Street Iowa Men's

Reformatory Historic

District

Jones County

Courthouse

500 W. Main Street

Anamosa vicinity

Anamosa

Anamosa

Wyoming

Scotch Grove

Ely's Stone Bridge

Farm No. 1 Iowa Men's

Reformatory

Farwell S. S. House

NW of Monticello at Hardscrabble Rd.

Co. Trunk Hwy. E28 W of Buffalo

Creek

301 N. Chestnut Street

Fremont Mill Bridge Pedestrian path over small pond in

Central Park

Monticello

Anamosa

Monticello

Anamosa vicinity

Anamosa

Anamosa vicinity

Anamosa

Anamosa

Anamosa

01/16/2001

01/29/09

05/23/1983

03/05/1982

04/11/1985

03/07/1979

12/18/1992

04/27/1979

5/15/98

08/31/1978

6/04/08

12/18/1992

12/18/1992

08/28/2003

Lower Road Bridge Buffalo Rd. over branch of

Wapsipinicon River

Moore's Ford Bridge 25th Ave. over White Water Creek

Anamosa vicinity

Monticello

City vicinity

05/15/98

05/15/98

265

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Odd Fellows Hall

Rick's Brewery

203 W. 1st Street

12412 Buffalo Rd.

Shaw Col. William T. and Elizabeth C. House

St. Joseph's Roman

Catholic Church

St. Luke's Methodist

Church

State Quarry

Stone City Historic

District

509 S. Oak Street

12472 Jones County Road X28

211 N. Sycamore

Iowa Men's Reformatory Unnamed rd. along E side of Buffalo Creek NW of

Anamosa

12828-12573 Stone City Rd., 12392-

12340 Dearborn Rd.

Figure 118: Iowa Critical Infrastructure/Key Resources

Monticello

Anamosa vicinity

Anamosa

Stone City

Monticello

Anamosa

Anamosa vicinity

06/27/1985

3/12/99

11/27/1992

08/24/2005

1/17/2002

12/18/1992

According to the map above, taken from the State of Iowa 2013 Mitigation Plan, Jones County has between 5 and

15 sites that are identified as Critical Infrastructure/Key Resource Facilities. The exact names and locations of these

266

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures facilities are not generally released for security purposes. HSEMD has identified 17 Critical Infrastructure Sectors in

Iowa, so the sites in Jones County would fall into one of the following categories: Agriculture, Commercial

Facilities, Dams, Event Venues & Icons, Education, Community Organizations, Water, Public Health, Emergency

Services, Government, Defense Industrial Base, Information and Telecommunications, Energy, Transportation,

Banking and Finance, Chemical Industry, Postal and Shipping

267

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Critical facilities in Anamosa identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 119: Anamosa Critical Facilities

Critical facilities in Center Junction identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

268

Risk Assessment

Figure 120: Center Junction Critical Facilities

Identifying Structures

Critical facilities in Martelle identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

269

Risk Assessment

Figure 121: Martelle Critical Facilities

Identifying Structures

270

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Critical facilities in Monticello identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure122: Monticello Critical Facilities

Critical facilities in Morley identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 123: Critical Facilities, Morley

Critical facilities in Olin identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 124: Critical Facilities, Olin

Critical facilities in Onslow identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 125: Onslow Critical Facilities

Critical facilities in Oxford Junction identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 126: Oxford Junction Critical Facilities

271

Risk Assessment Identifying Structures

Critical facilities in Wyoming Junction identified at the time this plan was created include, but are not limited to, the following locations.

Figure 127: Wyoming Critical Facilities

272

Risk Assessment

TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

Figure 228: Critical Transportation Systems

Identifying Structures

273

Risk Assessment

LIFELINE UTILITY SYSTEMS

Figure 39: Critical Utility Systems

Identifying Structures

274

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES

Describing vulnerability in terms of dollar losses provides the communities and the State with a common framework in which to measure the effects of hazards on vulnerable structures. Plans are encouraged to include an estimate of losses for the identified vulnerable structures. This is intended to be a monetary estimate for each hazard including the value of the structure, contents and loss of function to present a full picture of the total loss for each asset.

As a guide, the planning “Blue Book” recommends that structure loss is defined as a percentage of the

Replacement Value x Percentage of Damage. Content loss is defined as a percentage of the Replacement Value x

Percentage of Damage. Functional Losses are indirect effects that usually involve interruptions in asset operations.

Because the majority of mitigation projects fundable under the Stafford Act require a detailed Benefit Cost

Analysis (BCA), FEMA does have standard values available for calculating replacement value of contents and functional losses based on the type and use of the structure in question.

Where data are limited, the guidance allows planning teams to select the most likely event for each hazard and estimate the potential losses for that event. Because detailed historical records of loss values associated with many hazards were unavailable, loss estimations have only been performed for the natural hazards identified in this plan.

In addition to data collected during the planning process, this plan also references the loss estimations completed for the 2013 Iowa Hazard Mitigation Plan. The State’s plan contains loss estimations completed by HSEMD for the

5 most common natural hazards: flooding, tornados, windstorms, hailstorms and winter storms. These loss estimates were categorized by type of damage where data was available. The primary source of data relating to weather patterns was the NCDC, and data associated with flooding primarily came from the the previous plan and information provided by the Iowa DNR..

Also of note is the high number of state owned buildings in Jones County. According to the 2013 Iowa Hazard

Mitigation Plan, of 896 state buildings identified totaling $2,414,703,272 in replacement value, 82 (9.2%) of these buildings were located in Jones County. Only Boone, Lee and Mills Counties have more state owned buildings than

Jones County. The replacement cost of these 82 buildings was listed as $325,716,092, or 13.5% of the total replacement value of state owned buildings. The unusually high number of state owned buildings in Jones County is likely due, in large part, to the presence of the State Penitentiary in Anamosa.

FLOODING

According to the 2013 Iowa Hazard Mitigation plan, annual losses from flooding in Jones County are estimated at

$9,124,000 or $442 per person (2012 Census estimate). Due to changes in data collection methodology, no comparative data could be found.

For values of property located in identified flood hazard areas broken down by jurisdiction, please see the tables in the section Assessing Vulnerability: Building Stock: Flood, pages 253-256. Additionally, multiple jurisdictions reported loss of wastewater service during flood events due to floodwaters inundating sewer plants. Based on the current FEMA BCA loss of service values of $45/person/day for the population of each community, the following economic losses could apply on a per-day basis for disruption of wastewater services:

275

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

Table 132: Economic Impact of Loss of Wastewater Services

Anamosa $253,125

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

$4,950

$11,430

$170,865

*Morley

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

$5,130

$31,050

$8,820

$22,050

Wyoming

*Unincorporated

$22,950

$398,385

In the city of Morley and the rural and un-incorporated areas of Jones County the residents rely on private septic systems for wastewater treatment. Flooding is not likely to create the disruption of services in these areas as it will in the communities that use municipal wastewater systems. Additionally, flooding will likely not influence every rural resident of the county.

An additional statistic that can be looked at to estimate potential flood losses is flood insurance that is in force.

The following table summarizes flood insurance policies in force in Jones County.

Table 133: Jones County Flood Insurance in Force

JONES COUNTY FLOOD INSURANCE IN FORCE

10/31/2014

As provided by FEMA

Anamosa

Jones County

Monticello

Morley

Olin

OXFORD JUNCTION

WYOMING

Policies in Force Insurance in Force Written Premium in

Force

38 $6,885,000 $23,527

47

19

7

$6,753,200

$10,356,500

$279,000

$44,531

$42,445

$3,585

26

18

6

$2,411,000

$1,137,300

$373,600

$14,486

$5,145

$2,814

276

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

EXTREME HEAT

According to NOAA, there have been 4 excessive heat incidents which impacted Jones County from July 1995 through July 2012. The most damaging extreme heat event on record for the area occurred in July of 1995, causing

$3.8 million in property damage state wide. Three deaths were also attributed to the heat, though none occurred in Jones County. Livestock damages were estimated at $31 million statewide for 1995, comprising the deaths of an estimated 4,000 cattle, 370 hogs, 1,250,000 chickens and 250,000 turkeys. Little crop damage was reported.

Although statewide damages are difficult to scale appropriately to the planning area, dividing the totals reported equally by county would yield property damages of approximately $40,000 and agricultural losses of $50,000 to

$60,000 for an extreme heat event. This information was taken from the 2013 State of Iowa Hazard Mitigation

Plan, the most up-to-date information that could be found.

Planning committees also noted that extreme heat often results in high use of electricity, which can occasionally cause outages or brownouts. Based on the current FEMA BCA loss of service values of $131/person/day for the population of each community, the following economic losses could apply on a per-day basis for disruption of electrical services:.

Table 134: Economic Impact of Loss of Electrical Services

Anamosa $736,875

Center Junction

Martelle

$14,410

$33,274

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

$497,407

$14,934

$90,390

$25,676

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

$64,190

$66,810

Unincorporated $1,159,743

A disruption of electrical services may not affect an entire community or all of the rural area and may be isolated to areas with aged or inadequate electrical infrastructure that is more vulnerable to the influence of extreme heat.

Certain populations, the young and old in particular, are more vulnerable to the effects of extreme heat. Those populations in Jones County are as follows:

277

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

Table135: Vulnerable populations of Jones County

Area

Anamosa

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Unincorporated

Jones County Total

Iowa

48

118

118

924

39

167

<18

1103

17

39

2,591

4417

7716011

2010

%

24

34

24

207

15

15

24

24

23

29

21

24

>64

36

110

105

829

18

120

968

27

44

2,321

3715

466169

%

17

24

17

22

16

17

18

22

20

26

18

15

No record of the value of structural losses could be located. Losses to structures such as buildings are highly unlikely in an extreme heat event. However, transportation infrastructure can be damaged by extreme heat conditions, especially when combined with very wet conditions. Roadways can buckle and pop during the heat, and the result of this would be costs associated with fixing the road, as well as potential travel delays and possible damage to vehicles if motorists drive over damaged roadways or if vehicles are hit by debris in the road.

HAILSTORMS

According to NCDC records, Jones County experienced 47 recorded hail events over the 16 year period between

1997 and 2013. Total reported property damages attributed to these storms comes to $350,100 and reported crop damages of $53,000. The most damaging event occurred in Wyoming in July of 2003, causing $250,000 in property damage and $10,000 in crop damage when 1.75” hail was reported. As hailstorms are typically limited in size, this is likely to be close to the highest amount of property damage that may be expected on a normal basis. To translate this impact to other communities in the planning area, the $250,000 in damage was divided across the

$15,949,510 in total assessed structural value (dwellings and buildings) in Wyoming, for a damage percentage of

1.6%. Thus, if a similar storm occurred in any of the other communities, the expected damage totals could be as follows: Anamosa, $2,568,349; Center Junction, $43,103; Martelle, $167,216; Monticello, $2,342,135; Morley,

278

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

$29,473, Olin, $288,434; Onslow, $80,333; Oxford Junction, $144,037. Because the unincorporated areas of the county are much less densely populated, applying the damage rate found in Wyoming to the total value of structures in the unincorporated areas would not provide an accurate picture of possible damages. Instead, a more likely scenario is that damages in the unincorporated areas would occur in a localized area not the entire county and would approximate those found in one of the smaller cities such as Martelle or Oxford Junction.

According to the 2013 Iowa Hazard Mitigation Plan, the annual expected hailstorm related losses in Jones County are $24,000. This equates to $1.16 per person per year in hail related damages.

The largest hail stone reported was 3 inches on 9/20/2001 at Monticello. By location, hail storms were reported to

NOAA as follows: Unincorporated (16), Anamosa (14), Center Junction (1), Martelle (7), Monticello (11), Morley (1),

Olin (8), Oxford Junction (10), Onslow (1), and Wyoming (9).

GRASS OR WILDFIRE

Wildfires in Iowa are tracked through the NFIRS reporting system maintained by the State of Iowa Fire Marshall’s

Office. Due to terrain and vegetation features, wildfires in Iowa generally are not as severe as those experienced in western states, though when dry or windy conditions prevail, wildfires that burn several hundred acres can occur.

The major threat of a wildfire is spread to structures as evidenced by a 7/23/2006 wildfire involving crops in

Anamosa that caused structural damages of $40,000.

In Jones County wildfires reported to the State of Iowa Fire Marshall’s Office by Jones County fire departments include 13 in 2013 that caused $20,000 in losses and burned 37 acres; 36 in 2012 that caused $513in losses and burned 78 acres; 7 in 2011 that caused $8,000 in losses and burned 7 acres; 6 in 2010 that burned 2 acres and 11 in 2009 that burned 2 acres. All totaled, this is 73 wildfires that caused $33,000 in fire loss and burned 126 acres.

Based on this data, the average wildfire that does not involve a structure in Jones County will cause $452 in damages and will burn 1.7 acres.

For the State of Iowa, according to information in the 2013 State Mitigation Plan, the average number of acres burned per wildfire is 18.2. The plan does not provide any information on $ losses.

SEVERE WINTER STORM

According to the 2007 Iowa Hazard Mitigation Plan, annual losses associated with severe winter storms in Jones

County amount to $88,164, or $4 per person, which is also the median per-person value figured by county in the state. The most recent Iowa Hazard Mitigation Plan (2013) does not contain any information about the annual losses associated with winter storms for Jones County.

NCDC records indicate there were 45 winter storm events and 7 ice storm events recorded by NOAA between

1/16/1996 and 12/21/2013 that included Jones County: All events were documented as county-wide. There were no deaths, injuries; property or crop damages attributed to the winter storms. The 7 ice storm events recorded by

NOAA occurred between 12/15/2000 and 12/21/2013 in Jones County. Only one ice storm on 2/24/2007 had any recorded damages. Damage from that storm was $208,000 countywide. This equates to $10.07 in losses per county resident.

One of the hazardous aspects of a severe winter storm is the disruption in travel. The planning committees determined that power outages and traffic accidents were the two most common problematic events resulting

279

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses from a severe winter storm event. According to the DOT, the following winter weather related traffic accidents occurred in Jones County from 2009 to 2013:

Table136: 2009-2013 Icy, Snowy, or Slushy Surface Condition-Related Crash History

These figures show an average of $5,957 in property losses per incident, an injury in an average of one out of every three incidents and one death in every 148 incidents.

Electrical outages are also a common result of severe winter storms. According to the current FEMA standard value for economic loss associated with loss of electric power of $126 per person per day, each day of electrical failure would result in the following economic losses in the participating communities:

Planning committees also noted that severe winter storms often results in loss of electricity, which can occasionally cause outages or brownouts. Based on the current FEMA BCA loss of service values of

$131/person/day for the population of each community, the following economic losses could apply on a per-day basis for disruption of electrical services:.

Table 137: Economic Impact of Loss of Electrical Services

Anamosa $736,875

Center Junction

Martelle

$14,410

$33,274

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

$497,407

$14,934

$90,390

$25,676

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Unincorporated

$64,190

$66,810

$1,159,743

280

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

A disruption of electrical services may not affect an entire community or all of the rural area and may be isolated to areas with aged or inadequate electrical infrastructure that is more vulnerable to the influence of severe winter storms.

Certain populations, the young and old in particular, are more vulnerable to the effects of cold weather that accompanies severe winter storms. Those populations in Jones County are as follows:

Table 138: Vulnerable populations of Jones County

Area

Anamosa

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Unincorporated

Jones County Total

Iowa

167

48

118

118

2,591

4417

7716011

<18

1103

17

39

924

39

2010

23

29

21

24

24

24

24

15

24

34

%

207

15

120

36

110

105

2,321

3715

466169

44

829

18

>64

968

27

20

26

18

17

18

22

15

17

22

16

%

17

24

DROUGHT

The monetary values of losses that could be associated with a severe drought are difficult to estimate. According to the State of Iowa Hazard Mitigation Plan, the National Climactic Data Center (NCDC) lists 23 periods of drought in Iowa from 1995-2011. During that period there was $2.010 billion in crop damages resulting from drought periods and over $645 million in property damage. In 2012 alone crop damages from drought were $4.992 billion.

Only limited data on a smaller scale could be retrieved. The NCDC lists 15 droughts as having impacted Jones

County between 2003 and 2013. A drought in the summer of 2003 is shown as causing $14.880 million in crop

281

Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses damages in the county and a drought in the summer of 2005 is shown as causing $11.100 million in crop damages in the county.

According to the Iowa DNR, all of the public water sources in Jones County are groundwater (rather than surface water from a river, or similar). Generally, groundwater sources experience less fluctuation in levels associated with climate than would a surface water source. If a drought were to occur that affected a drinking water source, it would likely initially be on a well-by-well basis, then escalating into exhaustion of sections of aquifers. The following water systems are located in Jones County, and loss of service cost indicates the economic impact of a loss of drinking on a per-day basis at a rate of $103 per person per day as per FEMA guidelines. The listing of water systems was provided by the Iowa DNR.

Table 139: Public Water Systems of Jones County

Water System Name Loss of Service Cost Type of System

ANAMOSA MUNICIPAL WATER SUPPLY

ANAMOSA STATE PENITENTIARY

BACON ADDITION

EDINBURGH MANOR

MARTELLE WATER WORKS

MONTI-VIEW MOBILE HOME PARK

MONTICELLO WATER SUPPLY

OXFORD JUNCTION WATER SUPPLY

WYOMING WATER SYSTEM

ANAMOSA TRAVELMART

APOSTOLIC CHURCH

CAMP COURAGEOUS OF IOWA

CAMP WYOMING

CENTRAL PARK - JONES CONSERVATION

COONHUNTERS

FAWN CREEK COUNTRY CLUB

HALE TAP

PICTURED ROCKS METHODIST CAMP

SAINTS PETER & PAUL LUTHERAN

CHURCH

SCOOTERS

STONE CITY GENERAL STORE PUB

TEMPLE HILL CATHOLIC CHURCH

THE HEIGHTS

WAGON WHEEL

WALNUT ACRES CAMPGROUND

WALNUT ACRES CAMPGROUND II

WAPSIPINICON COUNTRY CLUB

WAPSIPINICON ST PARK - DUTCH CREEK

LODGE

Population

Served

4,283

1725

81

35

255

60

3796

496

515

1,117

200

100

191

103

52

50

54

56

45

55

108

53

59

106

50

50

85

50

$441,149 Community

$177,675 Community

$8,240 Community

$3,255 Community

$26,265 Community

$6,180 Community

$401,288 Community

$51,088 Community

$53,045 Community

$115,051 Non-Community

$20,600 Non-Community

$9,300 Non-Community

$17,763 Non-Community

$10,609 Non-Community

$5,256 Non-Community

$4,650 Non-Community

$5,562 Non-Community

$5,768 Non-Community

$4,185 Non-Community

$5,115 Non-Community

$10,044 Non-Community

$6,077 Non-Community

$5,487 Non-Community

$9,858 Non-Community

$5,150 Non-Community

$5,150 Non-Community

$8,755 Non-Community

$4,650 Non-Community

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Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

WAPSIPINICON STATE PARK

WAYNE ZION LUTHERAN CHURCH

Carlson College of Massage

Morley Municipal Water

Center Junction Water Department

Olin Water Supply

Onslow Water Supply

St. John’s Lutheran Church

Teddy’s Bar and Grill

The Grove

Wildwood Acres Association

Fairview Terrace Mobile Home Park

Re-conserve of Iowa

150

52

N/A

115

111

698

197

157

N/A

N/A

N/A

70

50

$15,450 Non-Community

$5,356 Non-Community

Non-Community

$11,845 Community

$11,433 Community

$71,894 Community

$20,291

$16,171 Non-Community

Non-Community

Non-Community

Non-Community

$7,210 Community

$6,180 Non-Community

In addition to the above populations, numerous homes and properties in the rural and unincorporated areas have private wells. However the exact number of people utilizing the private wells could not be determined. Based on census data and data provided by Jones County GIS and the Jones County Auditor as identified previously in this section, the number of private wells that could be in operation at residential properties in Jones County is 3,159. A loss of drinking water to the unincorporated residents would result in an economic impact of $325,377 per day according to FEMA’s standard values. Data collected shows that with all properties considered, including agricultural, commercial, industrial and exempt properties, the number of wells could be as high as 15,592 which equates to an economic impact of $1,605,976 per day for loss of water supply according to FEMA’s standard values.

EARTHQUAKES

Due to the historical infrequency of earthquakes in this area, no historical losses and minimal research indicating the probability of an earthquake could be located, and thus no loss estimate has been prepared for this hazard.

During an update of this document, another effort should be made to produce a loss estimate for this hazard.

LANDSLIDE

No database of historical landslide losses for Jones County could be located, so the following values reflect the total property and population that could be lost due to landslide, rather than one particular landslide event.

Table 140: Landslide Potential Property and Population Effected

Location

Anamosa

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

Morley

Number of

Properties

253

27

0

155

0

Total

Value

$29,857,320

$947,090

0

$15,213,440

0

Average

Value

$118,013

$35,077

0

$98,151

0

Total

Population

788

25

0

303

0

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Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Unincorporated

0

0

0

42

7,953

0

0

0

$1,781,510

$399,416

0

0

0

$42,417

$97,944

0

0

0

42

4,078

EXPANSIVE SOILS

No database of historical expansive soils related losses for Jones County could be located. As such, the following values reflect the total property and population that could be affected by expansive soils, rather than one particular event triggered by expansive soils activity.

Table 141: Expansive Soils Potential Property and Population Effected

Location

Anamosa

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Unincorporated

Number of

Properties

334

60

196

252

84

87

162

78

197

6,150

Total

Value

$43,412,160

$1,927,080

$11,442,061

$30,573,024

$2,082,740

$3,357,260

$5,976,120

$1,945,590

$10,230,700

$997,543,590

Average

Value

$32,118

$58,378

$24,794

$38,598

$36,890

$24,943

$51,932

$129,977

$121,322

$162,202

Total

Population

788

51

246

151

111

97

196

57

235

6,610

DAM FAILURE

All of the dams located within Jones County (locations discussed in more detail in the hazard profile for dam failure) are low hazard dams, which, according to FEMA 333, are dams where failure or mis-operation would result in no probable loss of human life and low economic and/or environmental Losses. Losses are primarily limited to the owner’s property. This represents the smallest risk category of the following identified categories:

Table 18: Dam Risk Categories

Hazard Potential Classification

Low

Loss of Human Life

None expected

Significant

High

None expected

Economic, Environmental, Lifeline Losses

Low and generally limited to owner

Yes

Probable. One or more expected Yes (but not necessary for this classification)

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Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

Based on this data, the failure of a dam located in Jones County would only likely yield losses in the value of the dam itself. Based on information provided by the Iowa DNR the replacement cost of the dams located in Jones

County were unavailable at the time this plan was written, but could be added in an update of this document.

Additionally, no inundation maps for any of the dams located in Jones County could be located so no analysis of potential losses could be determined.

The dam of most concern to Jones County was located outside of the planning area. Conventionally referred to as the Lake Delhi Dam, the Hartwick Lake Dam, as it is officially known, was located upstream of Monticello near the city of Manchester in Delaware County. The Hartwick Lake Dam was listed as a significant hazard dam, meaning that property damage could occur as the result of a dam failure, but loss of life is unlikely. The dam was 750 feet long and 55 feet high, with a maximum storage of 9,920 cubic acres and a normal storage of 3790 cubic acres, with a normal surface area of 440 square acres. The dam was completed in 1922, and provided hydroelectric power until 1974. The dam did in fact fail on July 24, 2010. Flood waters from the failure caused damages ranging from minor to severe to 45 residential structures in the rural unincorporated areas of Jones County along the

Maquoketa River and in the City of Monticello. There was also $413,000 in damages to infrastructure from the failure. Reconstruction of the dam began on April 24, 2014. Refilling of the reservoir is slated to begin in the spring of 2016. Potential property damages from a failure of the new dam will need to be addressed in future revisions to this plan.

THUNDERSTORM AND LIGHTNING

Thunderstorm and lightning events are quite common throughout the summer months in the planning area, yet do not normally cause reportable damage. When damage does occur, it may be caused by high winds, heavy rainfall or lightning striking an object. The damaging effects of heavy rainfall typically results in flash flooding, a hazard that is addressed separately.

Thunderstorms can vary substantially in scale, which means that losses associated with thunderstorms are also variable. The largest loss reported from a thunderstorm that affected Jones County caused $1.5 million in

Monticello on 7/27/of 1995. The property damage associated with this storm was 1.1% of the total property value of the city at that time. Applying the same level of loss when applied to the properties in Jones County jurisdictions using current property values would yield the following potential losses:

Table 143: Thunderstorm loss Estimates

Anamosa $2,121,625

Center Junction

Martelle

$42,285

$130,937

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

$1,980,538

$24,037

$239,038

$64,470

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Risk Assessment Estimating Potential Losses

Jurisdiction

Unincorporated

Anamosa

Center Junction

Martelle

Monticello

Morley

Olin

Onslow

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

Oxford Junction

Wyoming

$124,200

$208,714

This method of calculating losses in a city does not translate well to the unincorporated areas where densities are much lower. In the unincorporated areas, crop losses would become a greater concern. The largest crop loss associated with a thunderstorm in Jones County to date occurred in September of 2000. Damage was widespread and variable, but in some areas losses were reported as high as 10% of the corn crop, which translated to approximately $300,000 in damages.

Damage associated with lightning occurs much less frequently than damage from high winds. Only one damaging lightning event is recorded by the NCDC as having occurred in Jones County. This event took place in Anamosa in

July of 1995, and caused $15,000 in property damage. A review of lightning events recorded in neighboring counties revealed that damages in the $10,000 to $20,000 range are common when lightning does not cause a fire, and only damages the electrical system of the affected building. However, when a fire does occur, damages are much higher, and records show that the complete loss of one building has occurred multiple times, and in some cases neighboring structures were also damaged. Based on average property values in the participating communities, and the FEMA standard contents value of a home as 50% of the total building replacement value, the following losses could be expected if lightning were to cause a structural fire:

Table 149: Lightning Loss Estimates

Property

$97,060

$94,227

$35,598

$65,449

$87,225

$29,659

$56,066

$45,905

$31,121

$48,914

Contents

$48,530

$47,144

$17,799

$32,725

$43,613

$14,930

$28,033

$22,953

$15,561

$24,467

Total

$145,590

$141,341

$53,397

$98,174

$130,838

$44,489

$84,099

$68,858

$46,682

$73,371

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

ANALYZING DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

As detailed in FEMA’s guidance, hazard mitigation plans should provide a general overview of land uses and types of development occurring within each community participating in the plan. This can include existing land uses and development densities in the identified hazard areas, as well as any anticipated future/proposed land uses, including anticipated new development, and redevelopment, and anticipated annexation areas. This information is recommended for mitigation plans because an analysis of development trends provides a basis for making decisions on the type of mitigation approaches to consider, and the locations where these approaches can be implemented. This information can also be used to influence decisions regarding future development in hazard areas.

FEMA suggests consideration of the following areas when analyzing development trends, and where possible, relevant data was presented in the same order for each of the participating jurisdictions listed below.

 Development trends, described both by amount and location of development

 Differentiation of distinct land uses with unique densities

 Location of future development

 Expected growth

Resources used in developing this analysis included the 2012 Jones County Comprehensive Land Use Plan, Jones

County 2012-2015 Strategic Plan, information from City-data.com, interviews with city and county officials and information provided by the Jones County office of Economic Development.

Jones County has seen modest population growth since the 1950’s. Most recently, according to the U.S. Census,

Jones County realized a 2% population growth from 2010 to 2010, bringing the total population to 20,638. Most of this growth occurred in the rural unincorporated area of the county where the population increased 4.61% while the incorporated areas grew by only .2%. The Jones County Comprehensive plan projects that the county will continue to grow at a rate of 2% every decade. This places the population at 21,051 in 2020 and 21,472 in 2030.

The majority of this growth is projected to occur in the rural unincorporated areas. The plan also projects that the county will need an additional 138 housing units to accommodate the increased population by 2030. This will increase the total housing units in the county to 9,049.

As documented in the Jones County Comprehensive Plan, a significant trend occurring in the Jones County population is that it is aging at a rate that is higher than the average for Iowa. The county’s median age had increased from 38.5 in 2000 to 42.7 in 2010. This trend is projected to continue. This will require more resources to assist elderly people in extreme heat and extreme cold weather situations.

Unincorporated

Growth in the unincorporated areas occurs mostly on the outskirts of the cities and in unincorporated villages.

Jones County has a number of unincorporated villages that have been platted:

1) Amber, as per the recorded plats named: Blue Cut; First Addition to Blue Cut

2) Canton, as per the recorded plat named: Canton

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

3) Fairview, as per the recorded plat named: Fairview; Addition to Fairview (also known as Baker and

Sandusky’s Addition); Wilcox’s Addition to the Town of Fairview

4) Hale, as per the recorded plats named: Hale Village; Preston’s Addition to Hale.

5) Langworthy, as per the recorded plats named: Langworthy; Preservation Acres

6) Oxford Mills, as per the recorded plats named: Oxford; Francis Lathrop’s Addition to Oxford Mills; Milo

Lathrop’s Addition to Oxford; S.F. McDonald’s 1 st Addition to the Town of Oxford

7) Scotch Grove, as per the recorded plat named: Scotch Grove.

In addition to the above listed seven unincorporated communities, Stone City is another unincorporated village in

Jones County, located not far from Anamosa. Where residential lots exist in the platted villages, growth could occur. Growth could also occur near cities as cities are allowed by state code to conduct extraterritorial planning within two-miles of their corporate limits.

Additionally, there are some small pockets of cabin development along the banks of the Wapsipinicon and

Maquoketa Rivers. Riverfront development can be desirable for its scenic and recreational value and, in some cases (particularly prior to the adoption/enforcement of NFIP regulations), development could occur more easily in these areas because land along rivers typically has a low Corn Suitability Rating (CSR) and is not protected from development as prime farm land would be. However, there are obvious flooding risks that are associated with building in these areas, and a number of the SRL properties in Jones County are located in unincorporated riverfront cabin areas.

As previously discussed, according to the Jones County Comprehensive Plan, the rural unincorporated areas of the county are projected to sustain the majority of the projected growth in the county up through 2030. Inevitably the majority of the projected 138 residential structures that will need to be built to accommodate the increased population will be constructed in rural areas. Jones County has a Flood Plain Ordinance regulating construction in the flood plain areas of the county. Some of these rural residential structures may, however, ne constructed in areas with expansive soils (38% of the rural area) or areas where landslides may occur (51% of the rural area).

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Risk Assessment

Anamosa

Figure 40: Anamosa in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure 531: Anamosa in 2011

Anamosa in 2011

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

Anamosa has experienced the most residential growth of any area in Jones County:

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

1996: 6 buildings, average cost: $77,500

1997: 6 buildings, average cost: $91,800

1998: 9 buildings, average cost: $72,800

1999: 15 buildings, average cost: $68,200

2000: 9 buildings, average cost: $142,300

2001: 5 buildings, average cost: $133,000

2002: 9 buildings, average cost: $150,600

2003: 9 buildings, average cost: $111,100

2004: 27 buildings, average cost: $108,300

Figure 632: Anamosa Growth Areas

2005: 22 buildings, average cost: $136,600

2006: 28 buildings, average cost: $152,600

2007: 11 buildings, average cost: $111,700

2008: 9 buildings, average cost: $181,100

2009: 9 buildings, average cost: $216,700

2010: 9 buildings, average cost: $189,400

2011: 4 buildings, average cost: $129,300

2012: 6 buildings, average cost: $153,300

Anamosa completed an annexation study in 2009 with the assistance of ECICOG. The map shown above is the result of that study. Immediate growth was split into Phase 1.1 and Phase 1.2; with the City annexing Phase 1.1 prior to initiating annexation of Phase 1.2. Phase 2 represents a longer term growth area that should be large enough to provide land for the City’s growth over the next 20 years or more. These annexation areas bring some already developed areas inside the corporate limits (in keeping with the City services these areas already receive) and will provide additional land for the expected growth. Additionally, a goal of this process was to fill in gaps in the City’s boundary lines. Growth was only identified in areas to the east and north because the southwestern

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends edge of town is a sensitive natural resource area, where development would not be feasible. As of 2014 the

Anamosa City Council had not followed through with implementing any portions of this study.

Anamosa’s population increased by 125 people from census years 2000 to 2010. As documented above, there has a number of new homes built over the last 15 years. The construction peaked in 2004-2005. City officials state that nearly all of this construction has been on east side of the city, an area that is not prone to natural hazards such as flooding.

Center Junction

Figure 7: Center Junction in 2011

Center Junction in 2011

There has not been any new residential or commercial construction in Center Junction for 20 years and the city’s population has decreased by 91 people, or 45% of the city’s 1960 population, in the last 50 years. Center Junction does not lie in a flood plain and has no potential for flood losses. The potential for structural damage does exist due to 51% of the city in having areas with expansive soils and 24% of the city being areas with landslide potential.

There are no plans for annexation of land to the City of Center Junction and city officials do not anticipate any significant increase in housing or business development.

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Risk Assessment

Martelle

Figure 8: Martelle in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure 935: Martelle in 2011

Martelle in 2011

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

1996: 1 building, cost: $81,200

1997: 1 building, cost: $80,000

1998: 0 buildings

1999: 0 buildings

2000: 0 buildings

2001: 0 buildings

2002: 0 buildings

2003: 0 buildings

2004: 0 buildings

2005: 1 building, cost: $60,000

2006: 1 building, cost: $70,000

2007: 0 buildings

2008: 0 buildings

2009: 0 buildings

2010: 0 buildings

2011: 0 buildings

2012: 0 buildings

As detailed in the aerial imagery, Martell has experienced some residential growth to the south of town, and what appears to be some industrial or agricultural infill in the northern and central portions of town. There has not been any new construction in the city since 2006 and the city’s population has decreased steadily since 1970 from 341 to 255. The city does not cover a large land area, and density appears fairly uniform throughout the community, regardless of land use. Based on the population trends discussed in the community profile and the trends in new home construction detailed above, it is unlikely that Martelle will need to annex any additional land in the future, as the community is not experiencing much growth, either in population or in construction.

Martelle is also not considered to be a flood prone community and has no identified flood hazard area; thus any future development should not experience flood risk unless the properties are poorly developed or maintained, and thus flooding due to improper stormwater management techniques could become an issue. Based on the analysis performed in the hazard profile section of this document, it does appear that Martelle has unusually high clay content in the soils, as compared to the rest of Jones County. While the planning committee did not believe expansive soils had caused documented damage in the past, it is possible that expansive soils damage could occur in the future. Contributing factors could again be improper stormwater management or certain construction techniques.

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Risk Assessment

Monticello

Figure 1036: Monticello in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure137: Monticello in 2011

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

1996: 11 buildings, average cost: $105,000

1997: 18 buildings, average cost: $139,600

1998: 8 buildings, average cost: $86,800

1999: 9 buildings, average cost: $135,900

2000: 16 buildings, average cost: $54,400

2001: 5 buildings, average cost: $120,000

2002: 5 buildings, average cost: $120,000

2003: 10 buildings, average cost: $105,400

2004: 11 buildings, average cost: $115,600

2005: 16 buildings, average cost: $111,000

2006: 12 buildings, average cost: $157,300

2007: 9 buildings, average cost: $174,200

2008: 4 buildings, average cost: $178,300

2009: 7 buildings, average cost: $125,800

2010: 8 buildings, average cost: $147,600

2011: 9 buildings, average cost: $168,800

2012: 4 buildings, average cost: $172,100

Monticello has experienced a variety of growth over the past decades, including an increase in population by nearly 200 people from census years 2000 to 2010. As detailed in the new residential construction figures shown above, Monticello has experienced quite a bit of new single family home construction, and the cost of these homes has increased substantially over the past two decades. Prior to 2010 Monticello annexed land around Highway 151 to accommodate commercial, agricultural and manufacturing growth in these areas. The city also has a densely built mixed use commercial and residential core, which is the built area shown on the 1950s aerial photograph.

This area includes most of the City offices, a Main Street style area with multi-story buildings and first floor commercial use. Adjacent to this area are older residential neighborhoods and newer, lower density businesses such as fast food establishments and gas stations.

Areas where the majority of new construction has occurred includes the North Ridge Estates in the northwest corner of the city, the Willow Ridge Addition on the southwest edge of the city and commercial development in the commercial and industrial area on the south side of the city.

There does not appear to be any growth in areas that are prone to natural hazards. Most of the floodplain near the town is in areas that are either already constructed or not likely to experience additional growth because of the location of the floodplain behind many commercial or industrial use buildings.

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Risk Assessment

Morley

Figure 11: Morley in 2011

Morley in 2011

Analyzing Development Trends

The City of Morley’s population has dropped from 124 in 1960 to 105 in 2010. As documented in a previous section, the entire city is in a flood plain and subjected to flooding. Nearly all of the city (92%) is built on expansive soils, though there is no potential for landslide. There is no place in the city limits or adjacent land to construct homes on that would not be subject to flooding. There are no plans for annexation of land to the City of Morley and city officials do not anticipate any significant increase in housing or business development.

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Risk Assessment

Olin

Figure 139: Olin in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure140: Olin in 2011

Olin in 2011

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

1996: 2 buildings, average cost: $43,500

1997: 3 buildings, average cost: $53,300

1998: 0 buildings

1999: 1 building, cost: $95,000

2000: 1 building, cost: $60,000

2001: 0 buildings

2002: 0 buildings

2003: 1 building, cost: $100,000

2004: 3 buildings, average cost: $50,000

2005: 1 building, cost: $100,000

2006: 3 buildings, average cost: $100,000

2007: 0 buildings

2008: 1 building, cost: $100,000

2009: 0 buildings

2010: 0 buildings

2011: 0 buildings

2012: 0 buildings

The population of Olin in 2010 was exactly the same as it was in 1960 at 703 people. As detailed in the 2009 aerial photography, an area to the southeast of the old portion of town used to be a field next to the elementary school and has since become a new residential neighborhood. Land uses in this area are at a slightly lower density than in the older portions of town, and include single family homes and a school surrounded by athletic fields. The older section of town includes a mixed use main street area that runs north to south, where there are City offices, a tavern, gas station and a few businesses. Residential development is located on both sides of the main road through town. As detailed in the information above, since 2006 there has only been one new home built in Olin.

The City’s lagoon was relocated, shown on the 2009 map in the far eastern portion of town, frequently experiences flood damage and is in the process of being relocated.

The city experiences flooding both from the north and east (along the Wapsipinicon River) and from drainage ways throughout town that back up when the river level rises, so much of the land in and around the city is prone to flooding of some type, making development difficult. In 2009 the city’s sewage lagoon, which flooded often, was relocated to place that does not flood. Since 2010 with federal and state buyout funds, 12 residencies that were located in the flood plane were relocated. However, 12 other residencies located in the flood plain chose to remain. The city has also enacted ordinances that ban any new construction in flood plain areas.

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Risk Assessment

Onslow

Figure 141: Onslow in 2011

Analyzing Development Trends

1997: 0 buildings

1998: 2 buildings, average cost: $112,500

1999: 0 buildings

2000: 0 buildings

2001: 0 buildings

2002: 1 building, cost: $100,000

2003: 0 buildings

2004: 0 buildings

2005: 0 buildings

2006: 0 buildings

2007: 1 building, cost: $115,000

2008: 0 buildings

2009: 0 buildings

2010: 0 buildings

2011: 0 buildings

2012: 0 buildings

There have only been 4 new residential constructions in Onslow since 1996, with the most recent occurring in

2007. The city’s population has decreased steadily since 1960 when it stood at 261 to 197 in 2010. Onslow does not lie in a flood plain and has no potential for flood losses. Likewise, the city has no potential of having a landslide within the city limits. The potential for structural damage does from expansive soils as 99% of the land within city limits is shown as having soils of this type.

There are no plans for annexation of land to the City of Onslow and city officials do not anticipate any significant increase in housing or business development.

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Risk Assessment

Oxford Junction

Figure142: Oxford Junction in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure 143: Oxford Junction in 2011

Oxford Junction in 2011

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

1996: 0 buildings

1997: 1 building, cost: $75,000

1998: 0 buildings

1999: 0 buildings

2000: 0 buildings

2001: 0 buildings

2002: 0 buildings

2003: 0 buildings

2004: 0 buildings

2005: 0 buildings

2006: 0 buildings

2007: 0 buildings

2008: 0 buildings

2009: 0 buildings

2010: 0 buildings

2011: 0 buildings

2012: 0 buildings

Oxford Junction has not experienced any growth since 1970 when the city’s population peaked at 725. In 2010 the city’s population stood at 490, a 32% decline. The last new residential construction that occurred in the city was a home built in 1997. Because of the location near the Wapsipinicon River, the southern portions of the town, including the sewage lagoons, can flood. Newer development would be best suited to occur toward the northern portions of town, and these areas generally do not appear to be at elevated areas of risk for any other hazards.

However, based on growth trends, it is unlikely that Oxford Junction would need to annex land in the foreseeable future.

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Risk Assessment

Wyoming

Figure144: Wyoming in the 1950s

Analyzing Development Trends

Figure145: Wyoming in 2011

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

Single-family new house construction (www.city-data.com):

1996: 2 buildings, average cost: $90,500

1997: 1 building, cost: $90,000

1998: 1 building, cost: $175,000

1999: 0 buildings

2000: 3 buildings, average cost: $78,300

2001: 2 buildings, average cost: $119,000

2002: 1 building, cost: $148,000

2003: 1 building, cost: $52,000

2004: 1 building, cost: $150,000

2005: 0 buildings

2006: 1 building, cost: $95,000

2007: 1 building, cost: $125,000

2008: 0 buildings

2009: 0 buildings

2010: 0 buildings

2011: 1 building, cost: $60,000

2012: 1 building, cost: $200,000

Since 1960, the population of Wyoming has been in a relatively steady state of decline. The city’s 2010 population of 515 is 65% of what it was in 1960 (797). There have been 15 residential constructions in Wyoming since 1996 the frequency of new construction is decreasing. City officials report there is no consistent area where new construction is occurring, it is scattered throughout the city.

In the northeast corner of the 2009 aerial photograph, the school’s ball fields and the fairgrounds can be seen. To the south of this area, development is also denser. The planning committee noted that these areas do experience some problems with flooding, particularly flash flooding associated with field runoff and poor storm water management. Wyoming also has a well-developed main street area along the highway that runs through town, with mainly residential uses to the north and a mix of uses to the south.

There has not been any annexation in recent years to the City of Wyoming and due to the declining population, city officials see no need for expanding the city.

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Risk Assessment Analyzing Development Trends

PAST DISASTERS

Table 145: HISTORY OF PRESIDENTIAL DECLARED DISASTERS FOR JONES COUNTY, IOWA.

Declaration

DR-4187

DR-4135

DR-4126

DR-4119

DR-1930

DR-1763

DR-1737

DR-1688

DR-1518

DR-1420

DR-1282

DR-1277

DR-996

DR-879

DR-868

DR-443

Date Declared

August 5, 2014

July 31, 2013

July 2, 2013

May 31, 2013

July 29, 2010

Straight-line Winds, and

Flooding

June 21, 2013 to June 28, 2013 Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and

Flooding

May 19, 2013 to June 15, 2013 Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and

Flooding

April 17, 2013 to April 30, 2013 Severe Storms, Straight-line

Winds, and Flooding

June 1, 2010 to August 31, 2010 Severe Storms, Flooding, and

Tornadoes

May 27, 2008

May 25, 2004

January 4, 2008

March 14, 2007

May 25, 2008 to August 13,

2008

December 10, 2007 to

December 11, 2007

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and

Flooding

Severe Winter Storm

February 23, 2007 to March 2,

2007

Severe Winter Storms

May 19, 2004 to June 24, 2004 Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and

Flooding

June 19, 2002

July 22, 1999

May 21, 1999

July 9, 1993

June 3, 2002 to June 25, 2002 Severe Storms and Flooding

July 2, 1999 to August 10, 1999 Severe Storms and Flooding

May 16, 1999 to May 29, 1999 Severe Storms, Flooding and

Tornadoes

April 13, 1993 to October 1,

1993

Flooding, Severe Storm

September 6, 1990 July 25, 1990 to August 31, 1990 Flooding, Severe Storm

May 26, 1990 May 18, 1990 to July 6, 1990 Flooding, Severe Storm

June 24, 1974 June 24, 1974 Severe Storms, Flooding

August 14, 1969

Incident Period

June 26, 2014 to July 7, 2014

August 14, 1969

Type

Severe Storms, Tornadoes,

Heavy Rains, Flooding DR-269

Source:

https://www.fema.gov/disasters?field_state_tid=65&field_disaster_type_term_tid=All&field_disaster_d eclaration_type_value=DR&items_per_page=40&=GO

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