The Effects of Climate Change on Vegetation in the California Study Area STORE Lesson 5 Name: ___________________ Period: ___________________ Date: ____________________ Introduction After completing Lesson 1 and Lesson 2 it was clear to see that the temperature and the amount of precipitation are projected to change in the future. This lesson analyzes how the climate change projections for the year 2050 and 2099 will affect the biomes in those years. Students will use Google Earth to compare recent years spatial distributions of vegetation communities to the spatial distributions in year 2050 and year 2099. This lesson focuses on the two vegetation communities: deciduous and evergreen forests. Objective To visualize impact on vegetation the projected change in precipitation and temperature within the California Study Area located in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Data Set up – Use your copy of the Google Earth file from STORE Lesson 1 or 2. If you don’t have it follow the directions below. 1. Use this path by double clicking the following folders to get your data. X:drive, High School, Earth Science, Store Data. 2. Once the Store Data folder is open, look for the file called NYCalStoreData.kmz. Right click on this file and click copy. Open your H-Drive and paste the file. Double click the file name to open Google Earth Part 1 – Determining the elevation of the five California weather stations. 1. Open the CA Weather Stations folder in the Places panel. Double click on San Jose. A pop-up table will appear and the map will automatically zoom into a closer view of this weather station. 1 2. Record the elevation (in meters) in column 1 of the table on the report sheet. 3. Repeat steps 1 and 2 for the rest of the California weather stations. Part 2 - Analysis of location and range of deciduous and evergreen forests in the Sierra Nevada Mountain range based on projected temperature changes. 4. Open the Recent Predominating Types of Land Cover folder within the Places panel. Now open the Broad Predominating Types of Land Cover folder and turn on the Deciduous Forest layer 5. Open the 2050 Land Cover Projections folder. Turn on the 2050 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. 6. Study the changes in the deciduous forest range from recent years to 2050 by changing the transparency of the 2050 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. Ask for help if you don’t know how to do this. 7. Record the changes you see by filling in the information asked for in the Part 2 Data Table on the report sheet. Use the information below to help record your observations. Describe changes to size of the forest type range – did it get smaller, larger or about the same size. Describe the movement of the forest type range – did it move towards the east, west or no change. Describe the changes to elevation of the forest type range – did it increase, decrease or no change. Did the range (low to high) of elevation change. 8. Repeat steps 6 and 7 using the 2099 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. You will find this in the 2099 Land Cover Projections folder. Make sure you leave the recent deciduous forest layer on and turn off the 2050 layer. 9. Turn off the deciduous forest layers. 10. Open the Recent Predominating Types of Land Cover folder within the Places panel. Now open the Broad Predominating Types of Land Cover folder and 2 turn on the Evergreen Forest layer. 11. Open the 2050 Land Cover Projections folder. Turn on the 2050 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. 12. Study the changes in the evergreen forest range from recent years to 2050 by changing the transparency of the 2050 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. Ask for help if you don’t know how to do this. 13. Record the changes you see by filling in the information asked for in the Part 2 Data Table on the report sheet. Use the information below to help record your observations. Describe changes to size of the forest type range – did it get smaller, larger or about the same size. Describe the movement of the forest type range – did it move towards the east, west or no change. Describe the changes to elevation of the forest type range – did it increase, decrease or no change. Did the range (low to high) of elevation change. 14. Repeat steps 12 and 13 using the 2099 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected temperature layer. You will find this in the 2099 Land Cover Projections folder. Make sure you leave the recent evergreen forest layer on and turn off the 2050 layer. Part 3 - Analysis of location and range of deciduous and evergreen forests in the Sierra Nevada Mountain range based on projected precipitation changes. 1. Open the Recent Predominating Types of Land Cover folder within the Places panel. Now open the Broad Predominating Types of Land Cover folder and turn on the Deciduous Forest layer 2. Open the 2050 Land Cover Projections folder. Turn on the 2050 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. 3. Study the changes in the deciduous forest range from recent years to 2050 by changing the transparency of the 2050 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. Ask for help if you don’t know how to do this. 3 4. Record the changes you see by filling in the information asked for in the Part 3 Data Table on the report sheet. Use the information below to help record your observations. Describe changes to size of the forest type range – did it get smaller, larger or about the same size. Describe the movement of the forest type range – did it move towards the east, west or no change. Describe the changes to elevation of the forest type range – did it increase, decrease or no change. Did the range (low to high) of elevation change. 5. Repeat steps 3 and 4 using the 2099 Deciduous Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. You will find this in the 2099 Land Cover Projections folder. Make sure you leave the recent deciduous forest layer on and turn off the 2050 layer. 6. Turn off the deciduous forest layers. 7. Open the Recent Predominating Types of Land Cover folder within the Places panel. Now open the Broad Predominating Types of Land Cover folder and turn on the Evergreen Forest layer. 8. Open the 2050 Land Cover Projections folder. Turn on the 2050 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. 9. Study the changes in the evergreen forest range from recent years to 2050 by changing the transparency of the 2050 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. Ask for help if you don’t know how to do this. 10. Record the changes you see by filling in the information asked for in the Part 3 Data Table on the report sheet. Use the information below to help record your observations. Describe changes to size of the forest type range – did it get smaller, larger or about the same size. Describe the movement of the forest type range – did it move towards the east, west or no change. Describe the changes to elevation of the forest type range – did it increase, decrease or no change. Did the range (low to high) of elevation change. 4 11. Repeat steps 9 and 10 using the 2099 Evergreen Forest Range based on projected precipitation layer. You will find this in the 2099 Land Cover Projections folder. Make sure you leave the recent evergreen forest layer on and turn off the 2050 layer. 12. Use your data and Google Earth to help answer the questions on the Report Sheet. 5 Name Date Block Partner Lesson 5 Report Sheet: The Effects of Climate Change on Vegetation Part 1 – Elevation Data Column 1 Elevation (meters) Weather Station San Jose Use this information to help record your observations for the Part 2 and Part 3 Data Tables. Modesto CityCounty AP Describe changes to size of the forest type range – did it get smaller, larger or about the same size. Sonora RS Describe the movement of the forest type range – did it move towards the east, west or no change. Mount Hamilton Describe the changes to elevation of the forest type range – did it increase, decrease or no change. Did the range (low to high) of elevation change. Twin Lakes Part 2 Data Table – Changes Based on Projected Temperature Forest Type Year of Projected Temperature 2050 Deciduous 2099 2050 Evergreen 2099 6 Describe changes to size of Forest Type Range Describe movement of Range (eastward, westward) Describe changes to elevation of Forest Type Range Part 3 Data Table – Changes Based on Projected Precipitation Forest Type Year of Projected Precipitation Describe changes to size of Forest Type Range Describe movement of Range (eastward, westward) Describe changes to elevation of Forest Type Range 2050 Deciduous 2099 2050 Evergreen 2099 Questions – Answer the following questions in the space provided. 1. How did the range of the deciduous forest change from recent time until 2099? Use specific values from your data or Google Earth to answer this question. 2. How did the range of the evergreen forest change from recent time until 2099? Use specific values from your data or Google Earth to answer this question. 7 3. Upon completing your investigation, explain whether the projected temperature or precipitation had the greatest influence on range of the forest type. Please use examples from the data you collected and Google Earth to support your explanation. 4. Is there a region of New York that similar changes to the range of forest types might be taking place? Identify one region and list several reasons to justify your selection. NO is not an acceptable answer. 5. How did the elevation of the weather station play a role in the change of the forest type range? 8 6. Using the data table below and Google Earth, estimate the new range for these forest types in 2099 and describe which part of the range (low, middle or high elevation) will be effected the most by global climate change. Elevation Ranges for Land Cover Types within the California Study Area Land Cover Elevation Range (meters) Deciduous Forest 100-2800 Evergreen Forest 100-3200 9