民主政府の政治経済 2012年度夏学期 法学政治学研究科・総合法政専攻 総合文化研究科・国際社会専攻 水曜3限 社会科学研究所 樋渡展洋 hiwatari@iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp 現代の代表民主政では、選挙結果が、政党の対立・妥協や委員会審議、議会運営を媒介に、立法活 動や政策転換を齎し、その評価を政府は選挙で受ける。この過程で中位投票者の政策選好はどのよう な経緯で、どの程度、時系列的に代表されるのであろうか。 代表民主政のこの根本問題を探究するため、本講では、議員・候補者を分析単位に、再選・役 職・政策の3目標を持つ合理的政治家の戦略的行動の結果として、選挙変動や多数党交代、立 法活動を通し、民意がどのように政策に反映されるかを説明・実証するアメリカ政治学の研究 を中心に、その比較政治や国際政治へ応用を含めて概観・検討する。 アメリカの代表民主制度(議会・政党)研究は V. O. Key, Schattschneider, Fenno, Kingdon など の詳細な事例記述を端緒に、Shepsle, Weingast, Krehbiel, McCubbins 等の数理モデル化を経て、両 研究の知見、含意を時系列的に厳密に実証する研究が、今やAPSR, AJPS, JoP, LSQ 等の学術雑誌 の主流となっている。その知見はより普遍的に、Cox の選挙制度分析、Budge や Powell Jr. の政 策選好・代表分析、Tsebelis の veto player theory や Huber の agency delegation、Putnum の two level games により、政治過程はもとより、比較政治や国際政治が共有する標準的分析道具にな っている。日本でも、最近、制度論に基づく実証研究は普及しはじめているが、議員に関する 公開情報が少ない現況では、一層のデーターセット作成や分析手法上の創意工夫が分析者には 要求されよう。 以上を念頭に、概要はこのシラバスの通り。毎週の負担は重いが、それに果敢に挑戦し、基 礎的なことでも怖じけず積極的に質問・発言し、課題内容を応用できるまで理解・修得ことが 要求かつ歓迎される。参加者はゼミ前日までに、1頁程度の「論点提起メモ」を全員に配布す る義務がある。それに基づいて、毎回、文献の内容、その理論的貢献、知見、含意、論争点、 それとその応用可能性と限界を議論する。 代表民主政の分析に必須の制度分析の基本的発想(政策空間理論や契約理論)やアメリカ政 治、統計などに関する予備知識は不要であるが、自主的に必要な「補習」をする時間的余裕は 必要である。 単位認定は毎回のゼミ出席と参加による。また、特にオフィスアワーを設けないが、相談の ある人はメールでアポイントメントをとっていただきたい。 (尚、このシラバスは http://www.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~hiwatari/ からもダウンロードできるようにする。 )尚、受講希望者は 出来る限り最初の集まりまでに本講の出発点となる、David R. Mayhew, Congress: The electoral connection (Yale University Press, 1974)を概観することが望ましい。 1 I. 議員と政党 第1週 戦略的候補と選挙 1. Jacobson, Gary C. and Samuel Kernell. 1983. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections, 2nd Edition (New Haven: Yale University Press). 2. Krasno, Jonathan S. 1994. Challengers, Competition, and Reelection: Comparing Senate and House Elections (New Haven: Yale University Press). Miller, Warren and Donald Stokes. 1963. “Constituency Influence in Congress.” American Political Science Review 57 (1): 45–56. Fenno, Richard F. 1977. “U.S. House Members and Their Constituencies: An exploration,” American Political Science Review 71: 883–917. Rhode, David. W. 1979. Risk-Bearing and Progressive Ambition: The case of members of the United States House of Representatives,” American Journal of Political Science 23 (1): 1-26. Hibbing, John R. 1982. “Voluntary Retirement from the U.S. House of Representatives: Who Quits?” American Journal of Political Science 26 (3): 467-484. Jacobson, Gary C.1987. The Politics of Congressional Elections, 2nd Edition (Boston: Little, Brown and Company). Jacobson, Gary C. 1989. “Strategic Politicians and the Dynamics of the U.S. House Elections,” American Political Science Review 83 (3): 773-793. Andrew Gelman and Gary King. 1990. “Estimating Incumbency Advantage without Bias,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 34, No. 4 (Nov., 1990), pp. 1142-1164 Jacobson, Gary C. 1990. The Electoral Origins of Divided Government: Competition in U.S. House elections, 1946–1988 (Boulder: Westview Press). Ansolabehere, Stephen, David Brady, and Morris Fiorina. 1992. “The Vanishing Marginals and Electoral Responsiveness,” British Journal of Political Science 22 (1): 21-38. Moore, Michael K. and John R. Hibbing. 1992. “Is Serving in Congress Fun Again? Voluntary Retirements from the House since the 1970s,” American Journal of Political Science 36 (3): 824-828. Schlesinger, Joseph A. 1994. Political Parties and the Winning of Office (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press). Epstein, David and Peter Zemsky. 1995. “Money Talks: Deterring Quality Challengers in Congressional Elections,” American Political Science Review 89 (2): 295-308. Hall, Richard L. and Robert P. Van Houweling. 1995. “Avarice and Ambition in Congress: Representatives’ Decisions to Run or Retire from the U.S. House,” American Political Science Review 89 (1) 121-136. Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M. 1996. “A Dynamic Analysis of the Role of War Chests in Campaign Strategy,” American Journal of Political Science 40 (2): 352-371. Cox, Gary W. and Jonathan N. Katz. 1996. “Why did the Incumbency Advantage in the U.S. House Elections Grow?” American Journal of Political Science 40 (2): 478-497. Levitt, Steven D. and Catherine D. Wolfram. 1997. “Decomposing the Sources of Incumbent Advantage in the U.S. House,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22 (1): 45-60. Ansolabehere, Stephen, James M. Snyder, Jr., and Charles Stewart III. 2000. “Old Voters, New Voters, And The Personal Vote: Using redistricting to measure the incumbency advantage,” American Journal of Political Science 44 (1): 17–34. Gronke, Paul. 2000. The Electorate, the Campaign, and the Office (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press). Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M., David C. Kimball, Scott R. Meinke and Katherine Tate. 2003. “The Effects of Political Representation on the Electoral Advantages of House Incumbents,” Political Research Quarterly 56 (3): 259-270. Gronke, Paul, Jeffery Koch, and J. Matthew Wilson. 2003. “Follow the Leader? Presidential Approval, Presidential Support, and Representatives’ Electoral Fortunes,” Journal of Politics 65 (3): 785-808. Carson, Jamie L. 2005. “Strategy, Selection, and Candidate Competition in U.S. House and Senate Elections,” Journal of Politics 67 (1): 1-26. Carson, Jamie L. and Jason M. Roberts. 2005. “Strategic Politicians and U.S. House Elections, 1874-1914,” Journal of Politics 67: 474–496. Wolak, Jennifer. 2007. “Strategic Retirements: The Influence of Public Preferences on Voluntary Departures form Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 32 (2): 285-308. Goodliffe, Jay. 2007. “Campaign War Chests and Challenger Quality in Senate Elections,” Legislative Studies Quarterly, 32 (1): 135-156. Grossback, Lawrence J., David A. M. Peterson, and James A. Stimson 2006. Mandate Politics (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). Stonecash, Jeffrey M. 2008. Reassessing the Incumbency Effect (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). 2 Lee, David S. 2008. “Randomized experiments from non-random selection in U.S. House elections,” Journal of Econometrics 142: 675–97 Lazarus, Jeffrey 2009. “Party, Electoral Vulnerability, and Earmarks in the U.S. House of Representatives.” The Journal of Politics 71 (3): 1050-1061. Tomz, Michael and Robert P. van Houweling. 2009. “The Electoral Implications of Candidate Ambiguity.” American Political Science Review 103 (1): 83-98. Stone, Walter J., Sarah A. Fulton, Cherie D. Maestas and L. Sandy Maisel. 2010. “Incumbency Reconsidered: Prospects, strategic retirement, and incumbent quality in U.S. House elections.” The Journal of Politics 72 (1): 178-190. Devin Caughey and Jasjeet S. Sekhon. 2011. “Elections and the Regression Discontinuity Design: Lessons from Close U.S. House Races, 1942–2008,” Political Analysis 19(4): 385-408 第2週 戦略的候補と選挙運動 3. Vavreck, Lynn. 2009. The Message Matters: The Economy and Presidential Campaigns (Princeton: Princeton University Press) 4. Alvarez, R. Michael. 1998. Information and Elections, Revised edition (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press). Abbe, Owen G., Jay Goodliffe, Paul S. Herrnson and Kelly D. Patterson. 2003. “Agenda Setting in Congressional Elections: The Impact of Issues and Campaigns on Voting Behavior.” Political Research Quarterly 56(4): 419-30. Arceneaux, Kevin. 2006. “Do campaigns help voters learn? A cross-national analysis,” British Journal of Political Science 36(1): 159–173. Bartels, Larry M. 1986. “Issue Voting Under Uncertainty: An Empirical Test,” American. Journal of Political Science 30(4): 709–728. Bartels, Larry M. 1996. “Uninformed Votes: Information Effects in Presidential Elections,” American Journal of Political Science 40(1): 194-230. Basinger, Scott J. and Michael J. Ensley. 2007. “Candidates, Campaigns, or Partisan Conditions? Reevaluating StrategicPoliticians Theory,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 32 (3): 361-394. Boatright, Robert G. 2004. Expressive Politics: Issue Strategies of Congressional Challengers (Columbus: Ohio State University Press). Bovitz, Gregory L. and Jamie L. Carson. 2006. “Position Taking and Electoral Accountability in the U.S. House of Representatives.” Political Research Quarterly 59(2): 297-312. Brasher, Holly. 2003. “Capitalizing on contention: Issue agendas in U.S. senate campaigns.” Political Communication 20(4): 453-471. Brooks, Deborah Jordan. 2006. “The Resilient Voter: Moving Toward Closure in the Debate over Negative Campaigning and Turnout.” Journal of Politics 68(3): 684-696. Brooks, Deborah Jordan, and John G. Geer. 2007. “Beyond Negativity: The Effects of Incivility on the Electorate.” American Journal of Political. Science 51(1): 1-16. Burden, Barry C. 2007. Personal Roots of Representation. Princeton Princeton: Princeton University. Press. Carson, Jamie L., Erik J. Engstrom, and Jason M. Roberts. 2007. “Candidate Quality, the Personal Vote, and the Incumbency Advantage in Congress.” American Political Science Review 101(2): 289-301. Cohen, Marty, David Karol, Hans Noel, and John Zaller. 2008. The Party Decides: Presidential nomination before and after reform (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press) Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. 1993. "Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable when Votes are so Predictable?" British Journal of Political Science 23(4): 409-451. Goldstein, Ken and Paul Freedman. 2002. “Campaign Advertising and Voter Turnout: New Evidence for a Stimulation effect.” Journal of Politics 64(3): 721-740. Hayes, Matthew, Matthew V. Hibbing, and Tracy Sulkin. 2010. “Redistricting, Responsiveness, and Issue Attention.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 35(1): 91-115. Herrnson Paul S.1992. “Campaign Professionalism and Fundraising in Congressional Elections,” Journal of Politics 53 (3): 859-870. Kahn, Kim Fridkin and Patrick J. Kenney. 1999. The Spectacle of U.S. Senate Campaigns. (Princeton: Princeton University Press). Kaplan, Noah, David Park and Travis Ridout. 2006. “Dialogue in American Political. Campaigns? An Examination of Issue Convergence in Candidate Television Advertising.” American Journal of Political Science 50(3): 724-736. Kaufmann, Karen M. 2004. “Disaggregating and Reexamining Issue Ownership and. Voter Choice.” Polity 36 (2): 283299. 3 Lau, Richard R. and Gerry Pomper. 2004. Negative Campaigning: An Analysis of U.S. Senate Elections. (Lanham, MD: Rowman Littlefield). Mansbridge, Jane. 2003. “Rethinking Representation.” American Political Science Review 97(4): 515-528. Mansbridge, Jane. “A 'Selection Model' of Political Representation.” Journal of Political Philosophy 17(4): 369-398. Sellers, Patrick. 1998. “Strategy and Background in Congressional Campaigns.” American Political Science Review 92(1):159–72. Sides, John. 2006. “The Origins of Campaign Agendas.” British Journal of Political Science 36(3): 407-436. Sides, John. 2007. “The Consequences of Campaign Agendas.” American Politics Research 35(4): 465-488. Sigelman, Lee and Emmett H. Buell. 2003. “You Take the High Road and I'll Take the Low Road? The Interplay of Attack Strategies and Tactics in Presidential Campaigns.” Journal of Politics 65(2): 518-531. Simon, Adam F. 2002. The Winning Message: Candidate Behavior, Campaign Discourse, and Democracy. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). Stevenson, Randolph T. and Lynn Vavreck. 2000. “Does Campaign Length Matter? Testing for Cross-National Effects,” British Journal of Political Science 30(2): 217-235. Stone, Walter J. and Elizabeth N. Simas. 2010. “Candidate Valence and Ideological Positions in U.S. House Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 54 (2): 371-388. 第3週 政党と画期選挙 5. Aldrich, John H. 1995. Why Parties? The origin and transformation of political parties in America (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press). 6. Grynaviski, Jeffrey D. 2010. Partisan Bonds: Political Reputations and Legislative Accountability (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). <Critical Elections> Tufte, Edward R. 1973. “The Relationship Between Seats And Votes In Two-Party Systems,” American Political Science Review 67: 540–54. Brady, David W., Joseph Cooper, and Patricia A. Hurley. 1979. “The Decline of Party In The United States House of Representatives, 1887–1968,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 4: 381–407. Cooper, Joseph and David W. Brady. 1981. “Institutional Context and Leadership Style: The House from Cannon to Rayburn,” American Political Science Review 75: 411–425. Sinclair, Barbara. 1982. Congressional Realignment, 1925-1978 (Austin: University of Texas Press) Brady, David W. 1985. “A Reevaluation of Realignment in American politics: Evidence from the House of Representatives.” American Political Science Review 79: 28–49. Brady, David W. 1988. Critical Elections and Congressional Policymaking (Stanford: Stanford University Press). Canon, David T. and David J. Sousa. 1992. “Party System Change and Political Career Structures in the U.S. Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly. 17 (3): 347- 363. Mayhew, David R. 2002. Electoral Realignments: A critique of an American genre (New Haven: Yale University Press) <Conditional Party Government and the Republican Revolution> Rohde, David W. 1991. Parties and Leaders in the Post-Reform House of Representatives (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press) Aldrich, John H. and David W. Rohde. 1997-8. “The Transition to Republican Rule in the House: Implications for Theories of Congressional Politics,” Political Science Quarterly 112 (4): 541-567. Moscardelli, Vincent G. and Richard S. Wike. 1998. “Party Building through Campaign Finance Reform: Conditional Party Government in the 104th Congress,” Journal of Politics 60 (3): 691-704. Aldrich, John H. and David W. Rohde. 2000. “The Republican Revolution and the House Appropriations Committee.” Journal of Politics 62 (1): 1–33. Wright, John R. 2000. “Interest Groups, Congressional Reform, and Party Government in the United States,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25 (2): 217-235. Roberts, Jason M. and Steven S. Smith. 2003. “Procedural Contexts, Party Strategy, and Conditional Party Voting in the U.S. House of Representatives,” American Journal of Political Science 47 (2): 305-317. Ladewig, Jeffrey W. 2005. “Conditional Party Government and the Homogeneity of Constituent Interests,” Journal of Politics 67 (4): 1006-1029. Crespin, Michael H., Suzanne M. Gold, and David W. Rhode. 2006. “Ideology, Electoral Incentives, and Congressional Politics: The Republican House Class of 1994,” American Politics Research 34 (3): 135-158. 4 <Party Activists and Polarization> Bafumi, Joseph, and Robert Y. Shapiro 2009. A New Partisan Voter. The Journal of Politics 71 (1): 1-24. Layman, Geoffrey C., Thomas M. Carsey, John C. Green, Richard Herrera, and Rosalyn Cooperman. 2010. “Activists and Conflict Extension in American Party Politics.” American Political Science Review 104 (2): 324-346. Saunders, Kyle L., Alan I. Abramowitz. 2004. “Ideological Realignment and Active Partisans in the American Electorate.” American Politics Research 32: 285-309. 第4週 選挙結果と政策 7. Grossback, Lawrence J, David A. M. Peterson, and James Stimson. 2007. Mandate Politics (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). 8. Sulkin, Tracy. 2011. The Legislative Legacy of Congressional Campaigns (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). <Responsible Parties and legislators> Adler, E. Scott. 2000. “Constituency characteristics and the `Guardian' model of appropriations subcommittees, 19591998.” American Journal of Political Science 44(1): 104-14. Adler, E. Scott and John S. Lapinski. 1997. “Demand-Side Theory and Congressional Committee. Composition: A Constituency Characteristics Approach.” American Journal of Political Science 41(3): 895-917. American Political Science Association, Committee on Political Parties. 1950. “Toward a More Responsible Two-Party System,” American Political Science Review 44 (3) Part 2 (supplement): 1–99. Bartels, Larry M. 2000. “Partisanship and Voting Behavior, 1952-1996,” American Journal of Political Science 44 (1): 3550. Black, Gordon S. 1972. “A Theory of Political Ambition: Career choices and the role of structural incentives,” American Political Science Review 66 (1): 144-159. Conley, Patricia Heidotting. 2001. Presidential Mandates: How Elections Shape the National Agenda (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press). Fowler, James. 2005. “Dynamic Responsiveness in the U.S. Senate,” American Journal of Political Science 49 (2): 299312. Fowler, James, and Oleg Smirnov. 2007. Mandates, Parties, and Voters: How elections shape the future (Philadelphia: Temple University Press). Jones, Bryan D., Heather Larsen-Price, and John Wilkerson. 2009. “Representation and American Governing Institutions.” Journal of Politics 71(1): 277-90. Jones, David R and Monika L. McDermott. 2004. “The Responsible Party Government Model in House and Senate Elections,” American Journal Political Science 48 (1): 1-12. Sulkin, Tracy. 2005. Issue Politics in Congress (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). Spiliotes, Constantine J. and Lynn Vavreck. 2002. “Campaign Advertising: Partisan Convergence or Divergence?” Journal of Politics 64(1): 249-261. Trubowitz, Peter and Nicole Mellow. 2005. “‘Going Partisan’: Politics by other means,” Political Science Quarterly, 120 (3): 433-453. II.議会 第5週 議員と委員会 9. Hall, Richard L. 1996. Participation in Congress (New Haven: Yale University Press). 10. Wawro, Gregory. 2001. Legislative Entrepreneurship in the U.S. House of Representatives (Ann Arbor: Michigan University Press) <Lawmaker activities and effectiveness> Arnold, Laura W. 2001. “The Distribution of Senate Committee Positions: Change or More of the Same?” Legislative Studies Quarterly 26 (2): 227-248. 5 Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M. and J. Tobin Grant. 1999. “All in a Day’s Work: The Financial Rewards of Legislative Effectiveness,” Legislative Studies Quarterly. 24 (4): 511-523. Green, Matthew N. and Douglas B. Harris. 2007. “Goal Salience and the 2006 Race of House Majority Leader,” Political Research Quarterly 60 (4): 618-630. Hasecke, Edward B. and Jason D. Mycoff. 2007. “Party Loyalty and Legislative Success: Are Loyal Majority Party Members More Successful in the U.S. House of Representatives?” Political Research Quarterly 60 (4): 607-617. Jenkins, Jeffery A., Michael H. Crespin and Jamie L. Carson. 2005. “Parties as Procedural Coalitions in Congress: An examination of differing career tracks,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 30 (3): 365-389. Kiewiet, D. Roderick and Langche Zeng. 1993. “An Analysis of Congressional Career Decisions, 1947-1986,” American Political Science Review 87 (4): 928-941. Lee, Frances E. Lee. 2000. “Senate Representation and Coalition Building in Distributive Politics,” American Political Science Review 94 (1): 59-72. Munger, Michael C. 1988. “Allocation of Desirable Committee Assignments: Extended Queues versus Committee Expansion,” American Journal of Political Science 32 (2): 317-344. Ragsdale, Lyn and Timothy E. Cook 1987. “Representatives’ Actions and Challengers’ Reactions: Limits to Candidate Connections in the House,” American Journal of Political Science 31 (1): 45-81. Stratmann, Thomas. 2000. “Congressional Voting over Legislative Careers: Shifting Positions and Changing Constraints,” American Political Science Review.94 (3): 665-676. Sinclair, Barbara.1995. Legislators, Leaders, and Lawmaking: The U.S. House of Representatives in the Post Reform Era (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press). Wawro, Gregory. 2001. Legislative Entrepreneurship in the U.S. House of Representatives (Ann Arbor: Michigan University Press). Woon, Jonathan. 2009 “Issue Attention and Legislative Proposals in the U.S. Senate.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 34(1): 24-54. <Bill sponsorship> Garand, James C. and Kelly M. Burke. 2006. “Legislative Activity and the 1994 Republican Takeover: Exploring Changing Patterns of Sponsorship and Cosponsorship in the U.S. House,” American Politics Research 34 (2): 159-188. Harward, Brian and Kenneth W. Moffett. 2010. “The Calculus of Cosponsorship in the U.S. Senate.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 35(1): 117-143. Kessler, Daniel and Keith Krehbiel. 1996. “Dynamics of Cosponsorship,” American Political Science Review 90 (3): 555566. Koger, Gregory. 2003. “Position taking and cosponsorship in the US House.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 28(2):225-46. Miquel, Gerard Padro I and James M. Snyder, Jr. 2006. “Legislative Effectiveness and Legislative Careers,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31 (3): 347-381. Rocca, Michael S. and Stacy Gordon. 2010. “The Position-taking Value of Bill Sponsorship in Congress.” Political Research Quarterly 63(2): 387-397. Schiller, Wendy J. 1995. “Senators as Political Entrepreneurs: Using Bill Sponsorship to Shape Legislative Agendas,” American Journal of Political Science 39 (1): 196-203. Talbert, Jeffery C. and Matthew Potoski. 2002. “Setting the Legislative Agenda: The Dimensional Structure of Bill Cosponsorship and Floor Voting,” Journal of Politics 64 (3): 864-891. Wilson, Rick K. and Cheryl D. Young. 1997. “Cosponsorship in the U.S. Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22 (1): 25-43. <Legislative influence of PACs> Deniz Igan, et al. 2009. “A Fistful of Dollars: Lobbying and the Financial Crisis,” IMF Working Paper Grier, Kevin B. and Michael C. Munger. 1993. “Comparing Interest Group PAC Contributions to House and Senate Incumbents, 1980-1986,” Journal of Politics 55 (3): 615-643. Hall, Richard L. and Frank W. Wayman. 1990. “Buying Time: Moneyed Interests and the Mobilization of Bias in Congressional Committees,” American Political Science Review 84 (3): 797-820. Jordi Blanes i Vidal, et al. Forthcoming, “Revolving Door Lobbyists,” American Economic Review Rudolph, Thomas J. 1999. “Corporate and Labor PAC Contributions in House Elections: Measuring the Effects of Majority Party Status,” Journal of Politics 61 (1): 195-206. Richard L. Hall and Alan V. Deardorff (2006). “Lobbying as Legislative Subsidy,” American Political Science Review, 100, pp 69-84. Snyder, James M.,Jr. 1990. “Campaign Contributions as Investments: The U.S. House of Representatives, 1980-1986,” Journal of Political Economy 98 (5): 1195-1227. 6 Snyder, James M. Jr. 1992. “Long-term Investing in Politicians; Or, Give Early, Give Often,” Journal of Law and Economics 35: 15-43. Witko, Christopher. 2006. “PACs, Issue Context, and Congressional Decisionmaking,” Political Research Quarterly, 59 (2): 283-295. Wright, John R. 1985. “PACs, Contributions, and Roll Calls: An Organizational Perspective,” American Political Science Review 79: 400-414. 第6週 委員会と本会議 11. Krehbiel, Keith. 1992. Information and Legislative Organization (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press). 12. Maltzman, Forrest. 1997. Competing Principals (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press) <Congressional Committees> Black, Duncan. 1958. The theory of committees and elections Clausen, Aage. 1973. How Congressmen Decide Kingdon, John. 1973. Congressmen’s voting decisions Asher, Herbert B. and Herbert F. Weisberg. 1978. “Voting Change in Congress: Some dynamic perspectives on an evolutionary process,” American Journal of Political Science 22: 395–425. Wright, John R. Wright. 1985. “PACS, contributions, and roll calls: An organizational perspective,” American Political Science Review 79: 400–414 Shepsle, Kenneth A. and Barry R. Weingast. 1987. The Institutional Foundations of Committee Power,” American Political Science Review 81: 85–127. Gilligan, Thomas W. and Keith Krehbiel. 1987. “Collective Decisionmaking and Standing Committees: An informational rationale for restrictive amendment procedures,” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 3: 287–335. Weingast, Barry R. and William J. Marshall. 1988. “The Industrial Organization of Congress: Or, why legislatures, like firms, are not organized as markets,” Journal of Political Economy 96: 132–163. Londregan, John and James M. Snyder, Jr. 1994. “Comparing Committee and Floor Preferences,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 19 (2): 233-266. Shepsle, Kenneth A. and Barry R. Weingast. eds. 1995. Positive Theories of Congressional Institutions (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press) King, David C. 1997. Turf Wars: How Congressional committees claim jurisdiction (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press) Maltzman, Forrest. 1998. “Maintaining Congressional Committees: Sources of membership support,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 23: 197-218. Peterson, Geoffrey and J. Mark Wrighton. 1998. “The Continuing Puzzle of Committee Outliers: A Methodological reassessment,” Congress and the Presidency 25:67-78. Carson, Jamie L, Charles J. Finocchiaro, and David. W. Rhode. 2002. “Partisanship, Consensus, and Committee-Floor Divergence in the 96th and 104th Congress,” American Political Research 30 (1): 3-33. Frisch, Scott A. and Sean Q. Kelly. 2004. “Self-Selection Reconsidered: House Committee Assignment Requests and Constituency Characteristics,” Political Research Quarterly 57 (2): 325-336. Parker, Glenn R, Suzanne L. Parker, Juan C. Copa and Mark D. Lawhorn. 2004. “The Question of Committee Bias Revisited,” Political Research Quarterly 57 (3): 431-440. Baughman, John. 2006. Common Ground: Committee politics in the U.S. House of Representatives (Stanford: Stanford University Press) 第7週 議員と政党 13. Poole, Keith T. and Howard Rosenthal. 2007. Ideology and Congress (New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers). 14. Theriault, Sean W. 2008. Party Polarization in Congress (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). <Measuring Polarization> 7 Poole, Keith T. and Howard Rosenthal. 1985. “Ideology, party, and voting in the United States Congress, 1959-1980,” American Political Science Review 79: 373–399. Poole, Keith T. and Howard Rosenthal. 1991. “Patterns of Congressional Voting,” American Journal of Political Science, 35: 228–278. Snyder, James M., Jr. 1992. “Artificial Extremism in Interest Group Ratings,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 17: 319–342. Jackson, John E. and John W. Kingdon. 1993. “Ideology, Interest Group Scores, and Legislative Votes,” American Journal of Political Science 36: 805–823. Poole, Keith T. and Howard Rosenthal. 1997. Congress: A political-economic history of roll call voting (Oxford: Oxford University Press). Hill, Kim Quaile, Stephen Hnnna, and Sahar Shafqat. 1997. “The Liberal-Conservative Ideology of U.S. Senators: A new measure,” American Journal of Political Science 41: 1395-1413. Groseclose, Timothy, Steven Levitt, and James M. Snyder, Jr. 1999. “Comparing Interest Group Scores across Time and Chambers: Adjusted ADA scores for the US Congress,” American Political Science Review 93: 33–50. Burden, Barry C., Gregory A. Calderia, and Tim Groseclose. 2000. “Measuring the Ideologies of U.S. Senators: The song remains the same,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25: 237-285. Poole, Keith T. and Howard Rosenthal. 2001. “D-NOMINATE after 10 Years: A Comparative Update to Congress: A Political Economic History of Roll-Call Voting,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 24 (1): 5-29. Price, Kevin S. 2002. “The Partisan Legacies of Preemptive Leadership: Assessing the Eisenhower Cohorts in the U.S. House,” Political Research Quarterly 55 (3): 609-631. Poole, Keith T. 2005. Spatial Models of Parliamentary Voting (New York: Cambridge University Press). <Explaining Party Polarization> Glazer, Amihai and Bernard Grofman 1989. “Why Representatives are Ideologues though Voters Are Not,” Public Choice 61: 29-39. Ansolabehere, Stephen, James M. Snyder, Jr., and Charles Stewart III. 2001. “Candidate Positioning in U.S. House Elections,” American Journal of Political Science 45-1: 136–59. Hetherington, Marc J. 2001. “Resurgent Mass Partisanship: The Role of Elite Polarization,” American Political Science Review 95 (3): 619-631. Layman, Geoffrey C. and Thomas M. Carsey. 2002. “Party Polarization and ‘Conflict Extension” in the American Electorate,” American Journal of Political Science 46 (4): 786-802. Layman, Geoffrey C., Thomas M. Carsey, and Juliana Menasce Horowitz. 2006. “Party Polarization in American Politics: Characteristics, causes, and consequences.” Annual Review of Political Science 9: 83-110. Lowry, William R. and Charles R. Shipan. 2002. “Party Differentiation in Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly, 27 (1): 33-60. Canes-Wrone, Brandice, David W. Brady and John F. Cogan. 2002. “Out of Step, Out of Office: Electoral accountability and House members’ voting,” American Political Science Review 96 (1): 127-140. Fleisher, Richard and Jon R. Bond. 2004. “The Shrinking Middle in the U.S. Congress,” British Journal of Political Science 34: 429-451. Galuti, Girish. 2004. “Revisiting the Link between Electoral Competition and Policy Extremism in the U.S. Congress,” American Politics Research 32 (5): 495-520. Highton, Benjamin and Michael S. Rocca. 2005. “Beyond the Roll-Call Arena: The Determinants of Position Taking in Congress,” Political Research Quarterly 58 (2): 303-316 Bovitz, Gregory L. and Jamie L. Carson. 2006. “Position-Taking and Electoral Accountability in the U.S. House of Representatives,” Political Research Quarterly 59 (2): 297-312. McCarty, Nolan, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal. 2006. Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches (Cambridge: The MIT Press). Sinclair, Barbara. 2006. Party Wars: Polarization and the politics of national policy making (Norman: The University of Oklahoma Press). Theriault, Sean M. 2006. “Party Polarization in the U.S. Congress,” Party Politics 12 (4): 483-503. Brady, David W, Hahrie Han and Jeremy Pope. 2007. “Primary Elections and Candidate Ideology: Out of Step with the Primary Electorate?” Legislative Studies Quarterly 32 (1): 79-105. Canes-Wrone, Brandice and Kenneth W. Shotts. 2007. “When Do Elections Encourage Ideological Rigidity,” American Political Science Review 101 (2): 273-288. Born, Richard. 2008. “Party Polarization and the Rise of Partisan Voting in U.S. House Elections,” American Politics Research 36 (1): 62-84. Wiseman, Alan E. and John R. Wright. 2008. “The Legislative Median and Partisan Policy.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 20 (1): 5-29. 8 Ladewig, Jeffrey W. 2010. “Ideological Polarization and the Vanishing of Marginals: Retrospective roll-call voting in the U.S. Congress.” The Journal of Politics 72 (2): 499-512. Ladewig, Jeffrey W. and Shauna Reilly. 2010 “The Electoral Benefits of Distributive Spending.” Political Research Quarterly 63: 343-355. Lebo, Matthew J., Adam J. McGlynn and Gregory Koger. 2007. “Strategic Party Government: Party Influence in Congress, 1789-2000,” American Journal of Political Science 51 (3): 464-481. Theriault, Sean M. and David W. Rohde. 2011. “The Gingrich Senators and Party Polarization in the U.S. Senate,” The Journal of Politics, 73:pp 1011-1024. Bafumi, Joseph and Michael C. Herron. 2010. “Leapfrog Representation and Extremism: A Study of American Voters and Their Members in Congress,” American Political Science Review, 104(3): 519-542 第8週 政党と議院 15. Cox, Gary W. and Mathew D. McCubbins. 1993. Legislative Leviathan: Party government in the House (Berkeley and Los Angeles: The University of California Press). 16. Cox, Gary W. and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2005. Setting the Agenda: Responsible party government in the U.S. House of Representatives (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). <Party leadership> Froman Jr. Lewis A. and Randall B. Ripley. 1965. Conditions for Party Leadership: The case of the House Democrats. American Political Science Review 59: 52–63. Nelson, Garrison. 1977. “Partisan Patterns of House Leadership Change, 1789–1977.” American Political Science Review 71: 918–939. Brady, David W, Joseph Cooper, and Patricia A. Hurley. 1979. “The decline of party in the United States House of Representatives, 1887–1968.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 4: 381–407. Bianco, William T. and Itai Sened. 2005. “Uncovering Evidence of Conditional Party Government: Reassessing Majority Party Influence in Congress and State Legislatures.” American Political Science Review 99 (3): 361-371. Forgette, Richard. 2004. “Party Caucuses and Coordination: Assessing Caucus Activity and Party Effects.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 29 (3): 407-430. Richman, Jesse. 2010. “The Logic of Legislative Leadership: Preferences, challenges, and the Speaker's powers.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 35 (2): 211-233. Jessee, Stephen, and Neil Malhotra. 2010. “Are Congressional Leaders Middlepersons or Extremists? Yes.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 35 (3): 361-392. <Party or Preference> Krehbiel, Keith. 1993. “Where's the party?” British Journal of Political Science 23: 235–266. Krehbile, Keith. 1999. “Paradoxes of Parties in Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 24 (1): 31-64. Binder, Sarah A, Eric D. Lawrence and Forrest Maltzman. 1999. “Uncovering the Hidden Effect of Party,” Journal of Politics 61 (3): 815-831. Hager, Gregory L. and Jeffry C. Talbert. 2000. “Look for the Party Label: Party Influences on Voting in the U.S. House,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25 (1): 75-99. Krehbiel, Keith. 2000. “Party Discipline and Measures of Partisanship,” American Journal of Political Science. 44 (2): 206-221. Snyder, Jr. James M. and Timothy Groseclose. 2000. “Estimating Party Influence in Congressional Roll Call Voting,” American Journal of Political Science 44 (2): 193–211. Ansolabehere, Stephen, James M. Snyder, and Charles Stewart III. 2001. “The Effects of Party and Preferences on Congressional Roll-Call Voting,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 26: 533–572. McCarty, Nolan, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal. 2001. “The Hunt for Party Discipline in Congress,” American Political Science Review 95 (3): 673-698. Cox, Gary W. and Keith T. Poole. 2002. “On Measuring Partisanship in Roll-Call Voting: The U.S. House of Representatives, 1877-1999,” American Journal of Political Science 46 (3): 477-489. King, David C. and Richard J. Zeckhauser 2003. “Congressional Vote Options,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 28 (3): 387411 Burden, Barry C. and Tammy M. Frisby. 2004. “Preferences, Partisanship, and Whip Activity in the U.S. House of Representatives,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 2 (4): 569-590. 9 Krehbiel, Keith, Adam Meirowitz and Thomas Romer. 2005. “Parties in Elections, Parties in Government, and Partisan Bias,” Political Analysis 13 (2):113-138. Krehbiel, Keith. 2006. “Partisan Roll Rates in a Nonpartisan Legislature,” Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 23 (1): 1-23. Cox, Gary W. and Jonathan N. Katz. 2007. “Gerrymandering Roll Calls in Congress, 1879-1999,” American Journal of Political Science 51 (1): 108-119. Diermeier, Daniel and Razvan Vlaicu. 2011. “Parties, Coalitions and the Internal Organization of Legislatures.” American Political Science Review 105(2): 359-80. <Parties and Committees> Owens, John E. 1997. “The Return of Party Government in the U.S. House of Representatives: Central LeadershipCommittee Relations in the 104th Congress,” British Journal of Political Science 27: 247-272. Carson, Jamie L., Charles J. Finocchiaro and David W. Rohde. 2002. “Partisanship, Consensus, and Committee-Floor Divergence: A Comparison of Member Behavior in the 96th and 104th Congresses,” American Politics Research 30 (1): 333. Leighton, Wayne A., Edward J. Lopez. 2002. “Committee Assignments and the Cost of Party Loyalty,” Political Research Quarterly 55(1): 53-90. Heberlig, Eric S. 2003. “Congressional Parties, Fundraising, and Committee Ambition,” Political Research Quarterly 56 (2): 151-161. Young, Garry and Valerie Heitshusen. 2003. “Party and the Dynamics of Congressional Committee Composition in the US House,” British Journal of Political Science 33 (4): 659-679. Larson, Bruce A.2004. “Incumbent Contributions to the Congressional Campaign Committee, 1990-2000,” Political Research Quarterly 57 (1): 155-161. Deering, Christopher J. and Paul J. Wahlbeck. 2006. “U.S. House Committee Chair Selection: Republicans Play Musical Chairs in the 107th Congress,” American Politics Research 34 (2): 223-242. Lazarus, Jeffrey and Nathan W. Monroe. 2007. “The Speaker’s Discretion: Conference Committee Appointments in the 97th through 106th Congresses,” Political Research Quarterly 60 (4): 593-606. <Majority Status> Cox, Gary W. and Eric Magar. 1999. “How Much Is Majority Status in the U.S. Congress Worth?” American Political Science Review 93 (2): 299-309. Rudolph, Thomas J. 1999. “Corporate and Labor PAC Contributions in House Elections: Measuring the Effects of Majority Party Status,” Journal of Politics 61 (1): 195-206. Krehbiel, Keith and Adam Meirowitz. 2002. “Minority Rights and Majority Power: Theoretical Consequences of the Motion to Recommit,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 27 (2): 191-217. <Procedural Rules> Bach, Stanly and Steven S., Smith. 1988. Managing Uncertainty in the House of Representatives: Adoption and innovation in special rules (Washington D.C.: Brookings Institution) Smith, Steven S. 1989. Call to Order: Floor politics in the House and Senate Groseclose, Tim. 1994. “Testing Committee Composition Hypothesis for the US Congress,” Journal of Politics 56: 440458. Dion, Douglas and John D. Huber. 1996. “Procedural Choice and the House Committee on Rules,” Journal of Politics: 25–53. Dion, Douglas and John D. Huber. 1997. “Sense and Sensibility: The role of rules,” American Journal of Political Science 41: 945–957. Binder, Sarah A. 1997. Minority Rights, Majority Rule: Partisanship and the development of Congress Dion, G. Douglas. 1997. Turning the Legislative Thumbscrew: Minority rights and procedural change in legislative politics (Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press). Schickler, Eric and Andrew Rich. 1997. “Controlling the Floor: Parties as procedural coalitions in the House,” American Journal of Political Science 41:1340–1375. Scickler, Eric. 2001. Disjointed pluralism: Institutional innovation and development of the U.S. Congress Gregory Koger. 2010. Filibustering: a political history of obstruction in the House and Senate, University of Chicago Press <Party and Agenda Control> Yackee, Susan Webb. 2003. “Punctuating the Congressional Agenda: Strategic Scheduling by House and Senate Leaders,” Political Research Quarterly 56 (2): 139-149. 10 Covington, Cary R. and Andrew A. Bargen. 2004. “Comparing Floor-Dominated and Party-Dominated Explanations of Policy Change in the House of Representatives,” The Journal of Politics 66 (4): 1069-1088. Binder, Sarah A. 2006. “Parties and Institutional Choice Revisited,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31 (4): 513-532. Lawrence, Eric D., Forrest Maltzman and Steven S. Smith. 2006. “Who Wins? Party effects in legislative voting,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31(1): 33-69. Volden, Craig and Elizabeth Bergman. 2006. “How Strong Should Our Party Be?” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31(1): 71-104. Young, Garry and Vicky Wilkins. 2007. “Vote Switchers and Party Influence in the U.S. House,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 32 (1): 59-77. Gailmard, Sean and Jeffery A. Jenkins 2007. “Negative Agenda Control in the Senate and House: Fingerprints of Majority Party Power, Journal of Politics 69 (3): 689-700. Smith, Steven 2007. Party Influence in Congress (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press) Finocchiaro, Charles J. and David W. Rohde. 2008. “War for the Floor: Partisan Theory and Agenda Control in the U.S. House of Representatives,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 33 (1): 35-62. III. 政府と政策 第9週 権力分立と政策 17. Krehbiel, Keith. 1998. Pivotal Politics: A theory of U.S. lawmaking (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press). 18. Mayhew, David R. 2011. Partisan Balance: Why political parties don’t kill the U.S. constitutional system (Princeton: Princeton University Press 2011). Gibson, Martha L. 1995. “Issues, Coalitions, and Divided Government,” Congress and the Presidency 22 (2): 155-166. Durr, Robert H., John B. Gilmour and Christina Wolbrecht. 1997. “Explaining Congressional Approval,” American Journal of Political Science 41 (1): 175-207. Binder, Sarah A. and Steven S. Smith. 1997. Politics or Principle? Filibustering in the United States Senate (Washington D.C.; Brookings Institution Press). Edwards III, George C., Andrew Barrett, and Jeffrey Peake. 1997 “The Legislative Impact of Divided Government,” American Journal of Political Science 41 (2): 545-563. Thorson, Gregory R., “Divided Government and the Passage of Partisan Legislation,” Political Research Quarterly 51 (3): 731-764. Coleman, John J. 1999. “Divided Government, and Party Responsiveness,” American Political Science Review 93 (4):821-835. Binder, Sarah A. 1999. “Dynamics of Legislative Gridlock, 1947-96,” American Political Science Review 93:519-534. Howell, William, Scott Adler, Charles Cameron and Charles Riemann. 2000. “Divided Government and the Legislative Productivity of Congress, 1945-94,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25 (2): 285-312. Cameron, Charles M. 2000. Veto Bargaining: Presidents and the politics of negative power (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). Krutz, Glen S. 2000. “Getting Around Gridlock: The Effect of Omnibus Utilization on Legislative Productivity,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25 (4): 533-549. Jones, David R. 2001 “Party Polarization and Legislative Gridlock,” Political Research Quarterly 54 (1): 125-141. Binder, Sarah A. 2003. Stalemate: Causes and consequences of legislative gridlock (Washington D.C.: Brookings Institution Press). Chiou, Fang-Yi and Lawrence S. Rothenberg. 2003. “When Pivotal Politics Meets Partisan Politics,” American Journal of Political Science 47 (3): 503-522. Chiou, Fang-Yi and Lawrence S. 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Lapinski. 2006. “Measuring Legislative Accomplishment, 1877-1994,” American Journal of Political Science 50 (1): 232-249. Richman, Jesse. 2011. “Parties, Pivots, and Policy: The status quo test.” American Political Science Review 105 (1): 151165. 第10週 政府と議会 19. Karol, David. 2009. Parties Position Change in American Politics: Coalition management (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). 20. Beckmann, Matthew N. 2010. Pushing the Agenda: Presidential leadership in U.S. lawmaking, 19532004 (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press). <大統領・議会関係> Covington, Cary R. 1987. “’Staying Private’: Gaining Congressional Support for Unpublicized Presidential Preferences on Roll Call Votes,” The Journal of Politics 49: 738-755. Edwards III., George C. 1989. At the Margins: Presidential Leadership of Congress (New Haven: Yale University Press). Neustadt, Richard E. 1990, Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents: The Politics of Leadership from Roosevelt to Reagan (New York: The Free Press). Peterson, Mark A. 1990. Legislating Together: The White House and Capitol Hill from Eisenhower to Reagan (Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press). Bond, Jon R. and Richard Fleisher. 1990. The President and the Legislative Arena (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press). Mouw, Calvin J. and Michael B. Mackuen. 1992. “The Strategic Agenda in Legislative Politics,” American Political Science Review 86 (1): 87-105. Covington, Cary R., J. Mark Wrighton, and Ronda Kinney. 1995. “A “Presidency-Augmented” Model of Presidential Success on House Roll Call Votes,” American Journal of Political Science 39 (4): 1001-1024. Bond, Jon R. Bond and Richard Fleisher. 1996. “The President in a More Partisan Legislative Arena,” Political Research Quarterly 49 (4): 729-748. 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