Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions - Resilient Ecosystems Project Place-based policy-making and community resiliencebuilding for climate change Final Report, July 2013 Michael Howlett, Simon Fraser University/ Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy & Sarah Giest, Simon Fraser University About the Project The scale, pace and range of climate change has far-reaching impacts on BC’s ecosystems. Research under the resilient ecosystems theme seeks to understand these impacts and to develop management solutions that will maintain the viability of ecosystems in the province. Given that many such ecosystems are now under threat from climate change, the emphasis is on risk and adaptive management. Achieving integrated social, economic and environmental development and sustainability is one of the greatest challenges governments around the world face today. Given the complexity of the factors involved, an exclusively top-down approach to decision-making will not always yield the best solutions, especially on the climate-change front. This collaborative project is examining the capacity of local governments and communities to participate in multi-level government climate change decision-making and to implement high-quality evidence-based or place-based, policy initiatives. Place-based approaches (PBAs) in policy are processes in which stakeholders engage in collaborative management of issues experienced within a geographic space and are particularly well suited to climate change adaptation efforts; however, successful implementation of climate change policies in such settings needs ‘leadership, adaptive management and stakeholder collaboration’ (Bellefontaine and Wisener 2011). Our research shows that BC is lacking horizontal and vertical integration for successful environmental networking, but that PICS is providing and could expand on its provision of resilience-building elements together with government and community stakeholders. Project Team Michael Howlett, Simon Fraser University/ Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy Jeremy Rayner, University of Saskatchewan Christopher Stoney, Carleton University Adam Wellstead, Natural Resources Canada 2 Table of Contents About the Project ........................................................................................................................................... 2 Project Team ................................................................................................................................................. 2 Introduction .................................................................................................................................................... 4 Phase 1 (2011-2012) ..................................................................................................................................... 5 Research Highlights................................................................................................................................... 5 Phase 2 (2012-2013) ..................................................................................................................................... 8 Research Highlights................................................................................................................................... 8 Final Remarks ............................................................................................................................................. 11 References .................................................................................................................................................. 12 Table of Figures Table 1. The Distribution of New Environmental Policy Instruments in the Nine Jurisdictions (EU/Australian infomration based on Jordan et al. 2005, 486) .................................................................................................... 6 Figure 1. Taxonomy of policy adoption. .............................................................................................................. 9 3 Introduction The goal of the project “Place-based policy-making and community resilience-building for climate change” was to answer two key questions connected to climate change, first, how to make communities more resilient to environmental events and how to shape policy in a way that supports the ability to buffer climate change-caused disturbances. Thereby, special attention was paid to European examples of networking and learning as well as the policy tools used. In this context, the research finds that transnational municipal networks can serve as an important example for BC communities in terms of sharing ideas and learning from each other’s experiences. This describes the ability of communities to self-organize and retain the capacity of learning in the context of change (Armitage 2008). Local, provincial and federal governments need to match these developments with the according policy tools – thinking about the combination of existing and the introduction of new ones. In federal systems such as Canada, government needs to pay attention towards local communities and their vertical and horizontal linkages in order to undertake effective long-term planning. This should ultimately inform place-based strategies that can strengthen the connections between different levels of jurisdictions of government. In contrast, aspatial policies pay less attention to locality based on the premise that policy should be built around ‘mobility, agglomeration and thus, the promotion of specific urban sectors or technologies with little or no recourse to the regional context’ (Barca, McCann and Rodriguez-Pose 2012, 140). This disregards the notion that even spaceneutral policies will always have explicit spatial effects, many of which will undermine the goals of the policy itself unless its special effects are taken into account. In an environmental context, this aspect is of special importance as problems are complex and have to be addressed from multiple entities. Another aspect to place-based policy is its flexibility or sometimes path-dependence when it comes to implementing new measures or policy tools. Identifying a given path, breaking with it and creating a new one will be a reoccurring challenge for governments in the climate change field. Among a continuum of possibilities from sticking to the status-quo to path-creation, British Columbia serves as one of the examples of a ‘path dependent policy intervention’ approach (Levin et al. 2012) in connection with the carbon tax. Given these different aspects of resilience and place-based policy, the project concludes that BC is taking strides in networking and path dependent policy intervention; however local communities will have to continuously work on their adaptability not only to provincial (climate) policy change, but also developments in neighbouring provinces and the US. The same applies to the provincial government in relation to federal attempts and cap and trade decisions in the US. The carbon tax gives BC an edge in climate change, but the adaptation process is ongoing. 4 Phase 1 (2011-2012) Phase 1 of the project “Place-based policy-making and community resilience-building for climate change” looked at the European experience of multi-level governance and placed-based policy making in the climate change field and drew lessons for British Columbia. Specifically, the research focused on community-based collaborative approaches in which cities and regions connect in order to learn from each other and implement environmental tools. Research Highlights British Columbia has made an independent and voluntary effort to meet more ambitious climate change goals than has the federal government while using the full suite of policy instruments, including regulations and disincentives. British Columbia was able to set itself apart not only from other Canadian provinces, but generally in North America by introducing the carbon tax. This fits in with the more ambitious goals of the province and its communities. These goals include the greenhouse gas emission reduction of 33 percent below 2007 levels by 2020 and 80 percent by 2050. Further climate action focuses on the production of clean electricity and having a carbon-neutral government (Ministry of Environment Climate Action Secretariat 2011). To achieve these goals, the 2008 carbon tax was designed to be phased-in over a fiveyear period, with an initial price of $10 per tonne of carbon, increasing to $30 per tonne in 2012 (Crossman 2012). BC also became the first Canadian province to join the Western Climate Initiative (WCI) – a group now composed of one US state and four provinces although initially it was much larger. The WCI focuses on and is developing a regional cap-and-trade system to reduce GHG emissions. In BC, this initiative is supported by the ‘Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets Act’. To date, BC has relied on direct government control and regulation for its environmental management but has shown interest in market-based instruments (see Table 1, Scott et al. 1995). Research shows that for regulations to be effective, they must be supported by monitoring and enforcement procedures (Haley & Luckert 1995). In this, community governments can play a key role in enforcing some of the goals and implementing provincial measures for climate change through enhanced European network-type activities. However, compared to European countries, British Columbia’s efforts to apply new environmental tools are sometimes counterproductive, because policy tools have been layered on top of existing ones without due attention paid to their procedural components. It seems that BC has long-term visions in place, but is 5 missing short-term pursuits and coherent instruments to pursue them. Especially in the past two years government advances for climate change have lost momentum. Table 1. The Distribution of New Environmental Policy Instruments in the Nine Jurisdictions (EU/Australian information based on Jordan et al. 2005, 486) Finland Germany Netherlands Austria UK Ireland European Union France Australia Canada British Columbia Eco-Taxes Tradable Permits Voluntary Agreements Ecolabels High Medium High Medium Medium Low Low Medium Low Low High Low Low High Low High Low Low/Medium Low Low Medium Medium Medium High High Medium Low/Medium Low/Medium Medium Low Low Medium Medium High High Low Medium Low Low Medium Low Low High High Environmental Management Systems High High Medium High Low/Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Medium High Several cities in BC beyond the major metropolitan centres of Vancouver and Victoria also have developed climate change action plans that aim for local emission reduction and look at specific solutions in each setting. Those cities – among others– include Kelowna, Kamloops, Prince George and Campbell River. Communities like these assert significant influence on local land use, transportation patterns, building energy use and solid waste management – all significant contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. ‘In fact, local governments...influence approximately 50% of greenhouse gas emissions when decisions are made to support the walkability of a community, transit, smaller and more energy efficient housing types and more’ (City of Campbell River 2011). There are common elements that reoccur in every community, but there are also initiatives that address specific challenges, such as the danger of fish species abundance for communities close to the ocean and land conditions change or the issue of flooding in coastal areas. To date, however, the provincial and federal governments have failed to utilize these municipalities in effective environmental policy monitoring and evaluation. In terms of networking attempts, there is the PICS Climate Solutions Network and government-informing ‘Climate Action Working Groups’. The PICS network has been designed to facilitate communication and collaboration among researchers, scientists, policy-makers and other stakeholders in the area of climate change. Thereby, they touch upon almost any climate change related issue, such as adaptation, mitigation 6 or evaluation. PICS was established by the BC government to bring together research from and beyond BC and link to other global institutions. The goal is to create an international network of scholars, entrepreneurs and policy-makers. PICS also supports researchers with fellowships for continuing climate change research. In connection with government and industry, the institute frames questions, develops policy options and technological solutions, assesses the implications and communicates the issues and opportunities to government, industry and the general public (PICS 2008). Further, through its work with communities, PICS is a crucial outreach tool for communicating local challenges. The Climate Action Working Groups on the other hand work with government to provide input, help define a vision, build partnerships and recommend critical research priorities (Ministry of Environment 2012). Further, at the regional and community level, there are engagement frameworks in place: First, the seven regional citizen’s conservation councils (CCCs) on climate action, which were established in 2008. The councils include citizens, who represent their region’s youth, seniors, municipal government, local business, First Nations, community groups and educational institutions. They have helped to form a grass root regional network that aims to stimulate climate action in every region of the province (Government of British Columbia 2010:7). For communities there are engagement tools that can be used. The Pacific Resource Conservation Society & Destination Conservation has developed different models according to specific community needs or the ‘Natural Step’ five-level framework for strategic sustainable development that can be adapted to engagement goals. Research Outcomes Poster Presentation at the PICS Annual Forum, June 2012, Victoria (BC) – Poster link: http://pics.uvic.ca/sites/default/files/uploads/howlett_poster.pdf Giest, Sarah and Michael Howlett (2012). “Multi-level Governance and Place-based Policy-Making for Climate Change Adaptation: the European Experience and Lessons for British Columbia”. BC Studies 176. Giest, Sarah and Michael Howlett (2013). “Comparative climate change governance: Lessons from European transnational municipal network management efforts”. Environmental Policy and Governance (under review). 7 Phase 2 (2012-2013) Phase two of the resilient ecosystems project focused on the variations in place-based approaches (PBAs) regarding their flexibility towards climate change issues. Generally speaking, PBAs are, due to including policy in which stakeholders engage in collaborative management of issues experienced within a geographic space, particularly well suited to climate change adaptation efforts; however, every policy within an administration also carries the burden of being path-dependent – ranging in a spectrum from making climate change approaches consistent to being completely defined by a binding agreement. This bares the question of how much flexibility PBAs need regarding environmental issues and how much consistency would be necessary to succeed. The research shows that British Columbia was able to adopt – in connection with the carbon tax – a ‘path dependent policy intervention’ approach (Levin et al. 2012). Research Highlights Based on variations of path-breaking and path-creating elements, four adaptation options are developed (Figure 1), which display the four ways to tackle the stickiness of some set-ups. Starting with ‘adapting to existing structures and policies’, this option is the furthest away from being path-creating or path-breaking. It describes a situation in which the winning coalition for change is not big enough and new policy instruments or ideas have to yield to the underlying, dominant trajectory. Likely path-creating, but not pathbreaking is the ‘operation in a niche of an existing path’. This means that change occurs at a niche-level – mostly in one community or region – and mainly in isolation (Seyfang & Smith 2007). Thus, a niche is defined as a protected space that tolerates poor returns, accepts uncertainty and provides supportive networks for experimentation and advocacy (Schot & Geels 2008). In sum, while change within the larger regime tends to be incremental and path-dependent, path-creating change originates in this niche (Smith et al. 2010). Further, ‘overcoming inertia and implementing new policy’ is almost the opposite to the niche development. Here, an existing path is broken, however, no new path is created. Thus, there is the possibility that this change might be overturned, because it does not completely free its actors from existing institutions, standards or higher decision instances. Finally, the last option possesses both characteristics, as it is able to be path-breaking and path-creating at the same time. It overcomes an old trajectory and creates a strong winning coalition paired with a lock-in effect into a new path. All four of these variations are ideal types and often cases are hybrids of two adoption developments. However, the categorization helps to analyze climate change cases from path-dependent perspective and evaluate whether they are creating a new path, breaking an old one or doing both. 8 Figure 1. Taxonomy of policy adoption. For the example of the carbon tax, British Columbia falls into the last category of overcoming an old and creating a new path. The solution that the province found represents a recent trend in climate change policy. Sustainability scholars have argued that the underlying development path and the institutional constraints matter more to the successful realization of climate change goals than previously thought (i.e., Robinson et al. 2006; Cohen et al. 1998; Burch 2010). Environmental initiatives are moving away from being passive to institutional inertia and instead look for key reforms and generating momentum for change (Meadowcroft 2009). British Columbia is a frontrunner in climate change and thus ‘on the edge of what is likely to come in local government responses in Canada’ (CURA 2009, 8). What we see in the analysis of the carbon tax creation in BC is intended path-dependence initiated by a policy entrepreneur and locked-in by increasing returns for a winning coalition. First, the Liberals – and Premier Gordon Campbell in particular – used some techniques for overcoming institutional inertia (Meadowcroft 2009). They were able to generate momentum that encourages additional positive changes through (1) long-term targets, as the carbon tax is linked to emission reduction and price-increase over-time; (2) neutralizing opponents by getting businesses on their side and ‘stealing’ this issue from the opposition; (3) develop a climate friendly public ethos, especially through the media, as the carbon tax introduction brought B.C. positive climate change reviews in the Economist Magazine, the New York Times and the LA Times – encouraging the positive attitude through pointing out that the tax had no negative effect on economic growth; and (4) using the state apparatus to pioneer reforms by making public bodies carbon-neutral. These techniques were then combined with the mentioned policy window in which problem, policy and problem stream came together, fuelling the introduction of the tax. Beyond this opportunity, the tax is also deliberately designed to 9 create immediate ‘stickiness’. It increases the support of the original target population for maintaining the intervention by making the tax revenue neutral; it expands the original target population through coalition building of municipalities and schools based on the fact that they would lose revenues if the tax would ever be cancelled and the set-up of the tax created progressive incremental behavioural change ultimately lowering emission (Levin et al. 2010). Research Outcomes Paper Presentation at CPSA, June 4-6, 2013, Victoria (BC): “Paced-based policy in climate change: Flexible and path-dependent elements” in Session 15, Public Administration, Issues in Multi-Level Governance II, June 6 at 3.15pm. Giest, Sarah and Michael Howlett (2013). “The Pre-Conditions of Environmental Governance: The role of network management in the development of climate change policy”. Environmental Science & Policy (forthcoming). Giest, Sarah (2013). “Place-based policy in climate change: Flexible and path-dependent elements”. Environment & Planning C: Government & Policy (under review). 10 Final Remarks Tying together both research phases of the project, several aspects can be highlighted for British Columbia and the PICS institute. First, bottom-up and top-down dynamics in climate change do not always align from a multi-level governance perspective. While BC is making independent efforts to pursue environmental goals through policy tools, such as the carbon tax, the province’s policy might eventually come in conflict with the federal pursuit on a sector-by-sector basis. This would make it difficult to, for example, combine and address carbon emission across sectors such as electricity, transportation, aviation, oil and gas. Also, communities and cities in BC have developed action plans and made networking attempts in climate change, however, the knowledge generated by those networks often remains unused by the provincial government. Second, the carbon tax has been a success not only for reducing emissions in the province, but also in policy terms. The way it was implemented could be an example for other provinces in Canada for overcoming path-dependent solutions. BC was able to be path-breaking and path-creating at the same time. The carbon tax overcomes an old trajectory and creates a strong winning coalition paired with a lockin effect into a new path. Still, in relationship to Canada-wide and American developments, BC will have to think about a cap-and-trade system as well as the long-term effectiveness of the carbon price and its impact on economic competitiveness. BC also cannot rest on its laurels connected to the carbon tax. Because provincial action has an effect on municipal action, there needs to be constant monitoring and evaluating of the options available. To inform these options, PICS plays a crucial role. 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