Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Title page Technical report for the Health Innovation Partnership of the Health Research Council of New Zealand and National Health Committee Study title: Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) Mutation Testing Host Organisation: Auckland UniServices Limited, University of Auckland Study investigators and affiliations Professor Mark McKeage, Pharmacology and Clinical Pharmacology and Auckland Cancer Society Research Centre, University of Auckland Dr Donald Love, Diagnostic Genetics, LabPLUS, Auckland District Health Board Mr Phillip Shepherd, Liggins Institute, University of Auckland Professor Mark Elwood, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Auckland Dr George Laking, Medical Oncology, Auckland District Health Board Dr Nichola Kingston, Pathology, LabPLUS, Auckland District Health Board Dr Christopher Lewis, Respiratory Medicine. Auckland District Health Board Study date Start 1st November 2013 Finish 31st October 2014 Signature Mark McKeage, 7 Nov 2014 1 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 1 Table of Contents 1 Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................ 2 2 List of Tables ................................................................................................................................... 4 3 Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 5 4 5 3.1 Aims......................................................................................................................................... 5 3.2 Methods .................................................................................................................................. 5 3.3 Results ..................................................................................................................................... 5 3.4 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................. 5 Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 6 4.1 Objective ................................................................................................................................. 6 4.2 Rationale ................................................................................................................................. 6 Aims................................................................................................................................................. 6 5.1 Aim 1 ....................................................................................................................................... 6 5.2 Aim 2 ....................................................................................................................................... 6 5.3 Aim 3 ....................................................................................................................................... 6 6 Research design .............................................................................................................................. 7 7 Clinical laboratory test and retesting study .................................................................................... 8 7.1 Background and Aims ............................................................................................................. 8 7.1.1 7.2 Study design and methods...................................................................................................... 8 7.2.1 Study design .................................................................................................................... 8 7.2.2 Eligibility criteria.............................................................................................................. 8 7.2.3 Study endpoint ................................................................................................................ 8 7.2.4 Study assessments .......................................................................................................... 8 7.3 8 Specific Aim 1 .................................................................................................................. 8 Results ..................................................................................................................................... 8 7.3.1 Tested study population ................................................................................................. 8 7.3.2 Retested study population .............................................................................................. 9 7.3.3 Agreement analysis ....................................................................................................... 10 7.3.4 Summary ....................................................................................................................... 14 Patient cohort study ..................................................................................................................... 15 8.1 Background and Aims ........................................................................................................... 15 8.1.1 Specific Aim 1 ................................................................................................................ 15 8.1.2 Specific Aim 2 ................................................................................................................ 15 8.2 Research design and methods .............................................................................................. 15 2 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 8.2.1 Study design .................................................................................................................. 15 8.2.2 Eligibility criteria............................................................................................................ 15 8.2.3 Study assessments ........................................................................................................ 15 8.3 Results ................................................................................................................................... 16 8.3.1 Population-based patient cohort .................................................................................. 16 8.3.2 EGFR gene mutation testing in the population-based patient cohort study population 16 8.3.3 Features of eligible cohort patients, and factors related to having had an EGFR gene mutation test ................................................................................................................................ 17 8.3.4 Features associated with EGFR gene mutations in eligible cohort patients ................. 17 8.3.5 EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) drug treatment in the population-based patient cohort study population ............................................................................................................... 18 8.3.6 8.4 9 Mortality outcomes ...................................................................................................... 18 Summary ............................................................................................................................... 18 References .................................................................................................................................... 22 3 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 2 List of Tables Table 1 Results of LabPLUS EGFR gene mutation test reports for detecting EGFR gene mutations in patients samples from the tested study population (n = 826) ............................................................... 9 Table 2 Frequency of specific EGFR gene mutations detected in a New Zealand lung cancer patients with EGFR gene mutation-positive lung cancer (n=145) from the tested study population. ................. 9 Table 3 Results of the cobas EGFR Mutation Test for detecting EGFR gene mutations in samples from the retested study population (n=532)................................................................................................. 10 Table 4 Results of sample retesting undertaken by Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus panel genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in the retested study population (n=532), using different Sample ID cut-off sample validity criteria. ............................................................................. 10 Table 5 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Aggregated results for all EGFR gene mutations using a Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. .................................................................... 11 Table 6 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene exon 20 L858R mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. ................................................................................................................................................... 11 Table 7 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene exon 19 deletion mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. ................................................................................................................................ 12 Table 8 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients. Aggregate result for Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥300 amplifiable copies.................................... 13 Table 9 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients. Aggregate result for Sample ID cut-off for validity of >0 amplifiable copies........................................ 14 Table 10 Frequency of testing (Cobas EGFR Mutation test) in eligible cohort patients (n=748) ......... 19 Table 11 Results of Cobas EGFR Mutation testing: patients with valid result only (n=414),................ 20 Table 12 EGFR TKI use for patients with Cobas positive test (n= 85) ................................................... 21 4 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 3 Summary 3.1 Aims (1) To evaluate the clinical performance of a cobas EGFR Mutation Test being used by LabPLUS (Auckland City Hospital) for analysing clinical samples from New Zealand lung cancer patients compared to a reference assay. (2) To describe the incidence, demographic profiles and patient outcomes for EGFR gene mutationpositive lung cancer in New Zealand. (3)To ascertain the level and equity of patient access to EGFR gene mutation testing and tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment for lung cancer patients residing in a large diverse region of NZ. 3.2 Methods The clinical performance of the cobas EGFR Mutation Test was assessed by agreement analysis by comparing reports of EGFR gene mutation tests issued by LabPLUS medical laboratory with results of the retesting of patient tumour DNA extracts by a Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping panel system at the University of Auckland facility. Patients eligible for a population-based cohort were residents of the Auckland, Counties Manakau, Northland and Waitemata District Health Boards, who had presented with non-small cell lung cancer, of the non-squamous or not-otherwisespecified morphological subtypes, on or after 1 August 2012. Data on their cancer diagnoses, EGFR gene mutation testing status and access to EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment were obtained from the New Zealand Cancer Registry, medical laboratory test listings and patient medical records. Data analysis used descriptive statistics. 3.3 Results Agreement analysis demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 91.2%, negative percentage agreement of 96.2% and overall percentage agreement of 95.3%, for the detection of EGFR gene mutations by the cobas EGFR Mutation test, compared to a reference assay, which was the Sequenom MassArray genotyping panel system. A population-based estimate of the prevalence of EGFR gene mutations was 20% (95% CI 16.5 to 24.1%) among 414 tested patients eligible for inclusion in a population-based cohort of New Zealand lung cancer patients (n=748). EGFR gene mutations were found more commonly among women, SE Asian subjects and non-smokers. EGFR gene exon 19 deletion and exon 20 L858R mutations, together, accounted for 75% of all EGFR gene mutations detected in a tested population of New Zealand lung cancer patients. Only 57% of eligible patients in this population-based New Zealand cohort of lung cancer patients were tested for EGFR gene mutations, with Maori, males and younger patients, along with those presenting earlier during the study period, being overrepresented among those not having been tested. About 70% of patients identified with as having an EGFR gene mutation, were treated with an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug. Older patients and those with localised disease were less likely to receive EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment. 3.4 Conclusions The cobas EGFR Mutation test was an accurate diagnostic assay for detecting EGFR gene mutations in clinical samples from New Zealand lung cancer patients. EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer is prevalent among New Zealand lung cancer patients, but uptake of both EGFR gene mutation testing and EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment may be influenced by their ethnicity, gender and age. 5 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 4 Introduction 4.1 Objective To assist in the development of recommendations for EGFR gene mutation testing in New Zealand 4.2 Rationale Lung cancer is a major cause of mortality and morbidity in New Zealand. New Zealand healthcare leaders previously identified lung cancer as an opportunity for initiatives for improving health. Mutations in the Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) gene are responsible for initiating and driving the progression of lung cancer in a subset of patients [1]. International randomised controlled trials have shown therapeutic beneficial efficacy in using EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drugs relative to standard chemotherapy, in lung cancer patients whose tumours harbour EGFR mutations but not in those with lung cancer negative for EGFR mutation [2-6]. International standard oncology practice guidelines now recommend undertaking EGFR gene mutation testing prior to systemic treatment of advanced lung cancer patients, and selecting an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drugs and systemic chemotherapy for those with or without EGFR mutations, respectively [7]. From August 2012, PHARMAC had made available publicly-funded gefitinib via Special Authority for patients with EGFR mutation positive lung cancer. However, at the time there was no nationally standardised process in place for EGFR gene mutation testing in the New Zealand healthcare system. Previously, very little research had been undertaken about EGFR mutation positive lung cancer in New Zealand, and its incidence, demographic profiles and clinical outcomes were unknown. This research was undertaken in the Northern region of New Zealand, whose residents included over one third of the population of New Zealand, most of its Pacific and Asian people, and a large number of Maori. Large burdens of lung cancer have been reported in these ethnic groups.With this background, this study sought to generate new information that would assist in the development of recommendations for how EGFR gene mutation testing should be done in New Zealand. 5 Aims 5.1 Aim 1 To evaluate the clinical performance of the Roche cobas EGFR Mutation Test being used by LabPLUS (Auckland City Hospital) for analysing clinical samples from New Zealand lung cancer patients, compared to a reference assay. 5.2 Aim 2 To describe the incidence, demographic profiles and patient outcomes for EGFR mutation positive lung cancer in New Zealand. 5.3 Aim 3 To ascertain the level and equity of patient access to EGFR gene mutation testing and tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment for lung cancer patients residing in a large diverse region of New Zealand. 6 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 6 Research design This research consisted of two distinct and related clinical studies, a clinical laboratory test and retesting study, and a population-based patient-cohort study. These two clinical studies had separate but overlapping study population groups, including a retested study population and a population-based patient-cohort study group. The research design and study population groups are shown in figure 1. Figure 1 Research design and study populations Clinical laboratory test and retesting study Population-based patient-cohort study Screened study population n=3175 Tested study population n=826 Eligible patient-cohort study population n=748 Retested study population n=532 Eligible and tested study population n=429 Agreement analysis study population n=344 7 Eligible but untested study population n=319 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 7 Clinical laboratory test and retesting study 7.1 Background and Aims 7.1.1 Specific Aim 1 The specific aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical performance of a cobas EGFR Mutation Test, when used at LabPLUS (Auckland City Hospital) for analysing clinical samples from New Zealand lung cancer patients for the detection of EGFR gene mutations, compared to a reference assay. 7.2 Study design and methods 7.2.1 Study design The clinical laboratory test and retesting study was designed to assess the performance of an EGFR gene mutation testing strategy applied to New Zealand samples, patients and testing conditions. 7.2.2 Eligibility criteria Patients were eligible for this laboratory test study if they had been referred to LabPLUS for EGFR gene mutation testing. Those with remnant tissue DNA extracts available after completion of clinical diagnostic testing were eligible for the clinical laboratory retesting study. 7.2.3 Study endpoint The primary endpoint of this clinical laboratory study was the detection of an EGFR gene mutation. 7.2.4 Study assessments Reports of EGFR gene mutation tests from LabPLUS that were issued since August 2012 were compiled and collated as anonymised data into a database. Reported test results were recorded as mutation detected, no mutation detected or invalid result. Any reasons apparent for missing reports from patients who were identified as having had an EGFR gene mutation test were noted. Patient tumour DNA extracts were retested using an oncogene mutation detection protocol based on a Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping panel system. These analyses were undertaken at the IANZ accredited Sequenom genotyping facility of the University of Auckland. To ensure samples met assay requirements, sample quality was assessed using a Sample ID panel, which is a PCR based MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry method, used to assess viable copy number in the DNA samples prior to downstream analysis. The OncoFocus genotyping panel is a commercially available set of prevalidated genotyping assays designed to detect 128 different oncogenic somatic mutations in the EGFR gene, as well as 63 different oncogenic somatic mutations in the BRAF, KRAS and NRAS genes. To evaluate the clinical performance of the cobas EGFR Mutation Test, results from the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping were analysed by agreement analysis in accordance with best research practice guidelines for the evaluation of diagnostic tests [8]. Descriptive statistics were used to calculate values for the levels of positive percentage agreement, negative percentage agreement and overall percentage agreement, and their respective 95% confidence intervals. 7.3 Results 7.3.1 Tested study population A total of 826 patients were identified who had had EGFR gene mutation tests reported by LabPLUS using the cobas EGFR Mutation Test (Tested study population). 8 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 7.3.1.1 EGFR gene mutation test reports Among the EGFR gene mutation test reports for the 826 patients in the tested study population, 145 tests were reported as an EGFR mutation detected, 584 as no mutation detected, 27 as an invalid test and the remaining 70 had either no patient record, no report available, a result to follow or the report was for an EGFR FISH test, as shown in Table 1. The prevalence of EGFR gene mutations in the tested study population was therefore 145 of 826 or 17.6% (95%CI 14.1 to 21%). The most frequent type of EGFR gene mutation detected in this tested study population of New Zealand patients with proven EGFR gene mutation-positive lung cancer were exon 19 deletion mutations (59 of 145 patients or 41%) and exon 21 L858R mutations (50 of 145 patients or 34%). The frequency of these and other types of EGFR gene mutations detected in this tested study population of New Zealand lung cancer patients are shown in Table 2. Table 1 Results of LabPLUS EGFR gene mutation test reports for detecting EGFR gene mutations in patients samples from the tested study population (n = 826). cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation No mutation detected detected 145 584 Invalid 27 No patient No report Result to EGFR record available follow FISH test 47 17 4 2 Total 826 Table 2 Frequency of specific EGFR gene mutations detected using the cobas EGFR Mutation Test in New Zealand lung cancer patients with EGFR gene mutation-positive lung cancer (n=145) from the tested study population. Exon involved or compound mutation 18 19 20 21 Unspecified Compound Mutation type G719X Deletion Unspecified Insertion L858R Unspecified Unspecified G719X plus S768I Exon 19 deletion plus S768I Exon 19 deletion plus T790M Exon 20 insertion plus L858R Total Number 5 59 1 17 50 2 2 4 1 2 2 145 Percentage 3.4% 41% 0.7% 12% 34% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 100% 7.3.2 Retested study population Among the 826-patient tested study population, a total of 532 patients had remnant tumour DNA extract samples available for blinded retesting by the Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus panel genotyping system. This 532-patient group represented the retested study population. 7.3.2.1 Compilation of LabPLUS test reports in the retested study population A compilation of the reports of the cobas EGFR Mutation Tests from this 532-patient retested study population are shown in Table 3. Among the reports for 532 patients in the retested population, 89 9 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 tests were reported as an EGFR mutation having been detected, 382 as no mutation detected and 10 as an invalid results and the remainder having either no patient record or report available. Table 3 Results of the cobas EGFR Mutation Test for detecting EGFR gene mutations in samples from the retested study population (n=532). cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation No mutation detected detected 89 382 Invalid 10 No patient No report record available 41 10 Total 532 7.3.2.2 Sequenom retesting results The results of the retesting undertaken by Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping of samples from this 532-patient retested study population are shown in Table 4. Retesting of 532 patients samples for EGFR gene mutations by Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping showed a mutation detected in 60 patients, no mutation detected in 329 patients and an invalid result in 143 patients, when the Sample ID sample validity criteria was set to ≥500 amplifiable copies. When the Sample ID sample validity criteria were reduced to lower numbers of amplifiable copies, the number of patients with detectable EGFR gene mutations increased. Table 4 Results of sample retesting undertaken by Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus panel genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in the retested study population (n=532), using different Sample ID cut-off sample validity criteria. Sample ID Validity Criteria 7.3.3 Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus Genotyping (amplifiable copies) Mutation detected No mutation detected >0 90 440 2 532 ≥300 74 389 69 532 ≥500 60 329 143 532 Invalid Total Agreement analysis 7.3.3.1 Aggregate results Among the 532-patient retested study population, a total of 344 patients had valid test results from both the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus panel genotyping system and were available for inclusion in the agreement analysis. Table 5 shows results aggregated for all EGFR gene mutations for samples meeting the Sample ID assay manufacturer’s recommended sample validity criterion (≥500 amplifiable copies). The agreement analysis between the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping, for the detection of an EGFR gene mutation, demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 91.2%, negative percentage agreement of 96.2% and overall percentage agreement of 95.3%. 10 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 5 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Aggregated results for all EGFR gene mutations using a Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping Cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation detected No mutation detected Total Mutation detected 52 11 63 No mutation detected 5 276 281 Total 57 287 344 Positive percentage agreement 52/57 = 91.2% (95%CI; 80 to 100%) Negative percentage agreement 276/287 = 96.2% (95%CI; 86 to 100%) Overall percentage agreement 328/344 = 95.3% (95%CI; 90 to 100%) 7.3.3.2 EGFR gene exon 19 deletion and exon 20 L858R mutations Previous studies had shown that the EGFR exon 19 deletion and exon 20 L858R mutations were among the most prevalent EGFR gene mutations associated with lung cancer and the most highly predictive of the therapeutic efficacy of clinical treatment with EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drugs [1]. In the tested study population of New Zealand lung cancer patients, EGFR exon 19 deletion and exon 20 L858R mutations accounted for 75% of all of the EGFR gene mutations detected by the cobas Mutation Test (Table 2). Results for the agreement analysis for the detection of specific EGFR mutations are shown on Table 6 and 7. The agreement analysis between the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping, in detecting EGFR gene exon 20 L858R mutations, demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 89.3%, negative percentage agreement of 98.7% and overall percentage agreement of 98.0% (Table 6). The agreement analysis between the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping, in detecting EGFR gene exon 19 deletion mutations, demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 90.5%, negative percentage agreement of 99.1% and overall percentage agreement of 98.5% (Table 7). Table 6 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene exon 20 L858R mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping Cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation detected No mutation detected Total Mutation detected 25 4 29 No mutation detected 3 312 351 Total 28 316 344 11 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Positive percentage agreement 25/28 = 89.3% (95%CI; 70.4 to 100%) Negative percentage agreement 312/316 = 98.7% (95%CI; 93.1 to 100%) Overall percentage agreement 337/344 = 98.0% (95%CI; 92.6 to 100%) Table 7 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene exon 19 deletion mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients (agreement analysis study population). Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥500 amplifiable copies. Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping Cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation detected No mutation detected Total Mutation detected 19 3 22 No mutation detected 2 320 322 Total 21 323 344 Positive percentage agreement 19/21 = 90.5% (95%CI; 70.4 to 100%) Negative percentage agreement 320/323 = 99.1% (95%CI; 93.5 to 100%) Overall percentage agreement 339/344 = 98.5% (95%CI; 93.1 to 100%) 7.3.3.3 Effect of varying Sequenom sample validity criteria A total of 143 of 532 patients (27%) from the retested study population were excluded from the agreement analyses because of invalid results from the Sample ID test of sample validity when the cut off level for defining sample validity was set to ≥500 amplifiable copies. To investigate whether biased percentage agreement estimates may have been generated by excluding these subjects, we explored other sample validity criteria for defining the study population eligible for inclusion in the agreement analyses, as shown in Table 8 and 9. The agreement analysis between the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of an EGFR gene mutation, including samples with ≥ 300 amplifiable copies, demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 85.5%, negative percentage agreement of 96.5% and overall percentage agreement of 95.6% (Table 8). The agreement analysis between the cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of an EGFR gene mutation, including samples with >0 amplifiable copies, demonstrated a positive percentage agreement of 84.5%, negative percentage agreement of 95.3% and overall percentage agreement of 93.4% (Table 9). Overall, changing the criteria for sample validity had little or no effect on levels of negative (96.2% vs 96.5% vs 95.3%) or overall percentage agreement (95.3% vs 95.6% vs 93.4%) but modestly reduced estimates of positive percentage agreement (91.2% vs 95.6% vs 93.4%), although these values still fell within the 95% confidence interval of the original estimates. 12 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 8 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients. Aggregate result for Sample ID cut-off for validity of ≥300 amplifiable copies. Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping Cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation detected No mutation detected Total Mutation detected 59 12 71 No mutation detected 16 331 341 Total 69 343 412 Positive percentage agreement 50/69 = 85.5% (95%CI; 73.5 to 97.5%) Negative percentage agreement 331/343 = 96.5% (95%CI; 91.1 to 100%) Overall percentage agreement 390/412 = 95.6% (95%CI; 90.7 to 100%) 13 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 9 Comparison of cobas EGFR Mutation Test and Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in lung cancer samples from New Zealand patients. Aggregate result for Sample ID cut-off for validity of >0 amplifiable copies. Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping Cobas EGFR Mutation Test Mutation detected No mutation detected Total Mutation detected 71 18 89 No mutation detected 13 367 380 Total 84 385 469 Positive percentage agreement 71/84 = 84.5% (95%CI; 73.6 to 95.3%) Negative percentage agreement 367/385 = 95.3% (95%CI; 90.2 to 100%) Overall percentage agreement 438/469 = 93.4% (95%CI; 88.8 to 98.0%) 7.3.4 Summary This clinical laboratory test and retesting study confirmed that the cobas EGFR Mutation test was an accurate diagnostic assay for the detection of EGFR gene mutations in clinical samples from New Zealand lung cancer patients. In previous analytical studies carried out elsewhere, the cobas Gene Mutation Test had shown high levels of percentage agreement (≥90%) for the detection of EGFR gene mutations when compared to Sanger sequencing, massively parallel sequencing and to other allele-specific PCR assays [9-13]. Similar levels of percentage agreements (>90%) were found in the current study when the cobas EGFR Mutation test was compared to Sequenom MassArray OncoFocus genotyping. In this population of New Zealand lung cancer patients, EGFR exon 20 L858R and exon 19 deletion mutations accounted for 75% of all of the EGFR gene mutations detected by the cobas Mutation Test. 14 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 8 Patient cohort study 8.1 Background and Aims 8.1.1 Specific Aim 1 To describe the incidence, demographic profiles and patient outcomes from EGFR mutant lung cancer in New Zealand. 8.1.2 Specific Aim 2 To ascertain the level and equity of access to EGFR gene mutation testing and tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment for lung cancer patients residing in a large, diverse region of New Zealand. 8.2 Research design and methods 8.2.1 Study design This study was a population-based cohort study of patients presenting with non-small cell lung cancer, inclusively of the non-squamous or not-otherwise-specified morphological subtypes, in the Northern region of New Zealand over an approximately 2-year study period. 8.2.2 Eligibility criteria Patients eligible for this study were residents of the geographical areas of the Auckland, Counties Manakau, Northland and Waitemata District Health Boards who presented with non-small cell lung cancer, of the non-squamous or not-otherwise-specified morphological subtypes, on or after 1 August 2012. Patient with squamous lung cancer, small cell lung cancer or pleural mesothelioma were excluded. The study population thereby represented the target population recommended for EGFR gene mutation testing. 8.2.3 Study assessments 8.2.3.1 Subject enrolment and data collection Potentially eligible subjects were identified by screening case notifications to the New Zealand Cancer Registry of patients presenting with non-small cell lung cancer of the non-squamous or nototherwise-specified morphological subtypes, over an approximately 2-year period. Lung cancer registrations were extracted from the New Zealand Cancer Registry, inclusive of all trachea, bronchus and lung cancers (ICD-10 codes 33-34) with morphology codes indicative of non-squamous or not-otherwise-specified morphological subtype (morphology codes: 8000, 8010, 8012-14, 8046, 8140, 8246, 8250-5, 8260-3, 8310, 8430, 8480, 8481-2, 8490, 8550, 8560, 8570-3, 8576) from 1 August 2012 to 30 April 2014. No data after April 2014 was available from the New Zealand registry at the time of the writing of this report. The cancer registry dataset provided, for each case, an NHI number, year of diagnosis, sex, prioritised ethnic code, domicile code, morphology code, basis for diagnosis, laboratory code, extent of disease, cancer notes, TNM-T, TNM-N, TNM-M and grade of tumour code. Patients eligible for inclusion in the cohort study were identified by domicile codes indicating residence in the geographical areas of the Auckland, Counties-Manakau, Northland and Waitemata District Health Boards and a date of diagnosis indicating a clinical presentation with lung cancer between 1 August 2012 and 30 April 2014. 8.2.3.2 EGFR testing and treatment To identify whether eligible subjects for inclusion in the patient cohort study population had accessed EGFR gene mutation testing or EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug therapy, listings of EGFR 15 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 gene mutation test reports issued by LabPLUS were screened for the NHIs of patients eligible for inclusion in the population-based study population. Individual patient records were screened for the reported result of EGFR gene mutation tests and records of drug dispensing and special authority approvals as evidence of access to EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug therapy. 8.2.3.3 Data analysis The proportion of EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer was calculated from the number of new cases of lung cancer confirmed to harbour EGFR gene mutations over the study period, expressed as a proportion of either the total population at risk, number of new lung cancers overall, non-small cell lung cancer, those of the non-squamous or not-otherwise-specified morphological subtypes or that of other defined subpopulations. Access to publicly-funded EGFR gene mutation testing or tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug therapy was estimated by calculating the proportion of the total eligible population who were tested or received treatment. Subgroups of patients were compared with respect to their demographic profiles, clinical characteristics and survival outcomes. Data were analysed visually in graphs and tables, and by descriptive statistics such as the calculation of proportions and their 95% confidence intervals. Comparisons between groups were made by chi squared test, T-test and multivariate methods such as logistic regression as appropriate for the data. 8.3 Results 8.3.1 Population-based patient cohort As described above, a population-based cohort of patients was defined from the total of 3175 patients with non-small cell lung cancer of the non-squamous or not-otherwise-specified morphological subtypes, who were notified to the NZ national Cancer Registry between 1 Jan 2012 and 30 April 2014. Among these 3175 patients, 789 had domicile codes indicating residence in the geographical areas of the Auckland, Counties-Manakau, Northland or Waitemata District Health Boards, and a date of diagnosis occurring on or after 1st August 2012. Of these, 41 were notified based only on a death certificate (32), autopsy report (5), or unknown source (4), with no records before death, and were excluded, leaving 748 eligible cohort patients. 8.3.2 EGFR gene mutation testing in the population-based patient cohort study population Among the 748 patients identified as being eligible for inclusion in the cohort study population, 429 (57%) had Cobas EGFR Mutation testing reports issued by LabPLUS and recorded, and the remaining 319 patients (43%) had no EGFR gene mutation testing reports. Of these, 86 (20.0%, 95% CI 16.5 to 24.1%), were reported as having a mutation detected. (This is currently our best estimate of the prevalence of EGFR gene mutations in a population-based group of patients). This is slightly higher than the prevalence of EGFR gene mutation in all patients tested, reported earlier in this report as 145 of 826, 17.6% (95%CI 14.1 to 21.0%), but the difference is not statistically significant. Among the 429 eligible patients who were tested, 15 (3.5%) had an unsatisfactory or uninterpretable result. In table 11, these patients have been excluded; the frequency of a mutation in those tested, excluding invalid results, is 21.0%. 16 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 8.3.3 Features of eligible cohort patients, and factors related to having had an EGFR gene mutation test As shown in Table 10, of the 748 eligible cohort patients, 52% were female, 19% under age 59 and 19% aged 80 and over, and 60% NZ European. Based on registry data, which may not be fully accurate, 46% had upper lobe cancers, and 50% had distant spread. The proportions of patients tested for an EGFR gene mutation (overall 57%), was greater in women (61%, men 53%), increased with age from 29% at ages under 59 to 64% at ages over 80, varied by ethnicity, being lower in Maori and higher in SE Asians, and increased over time from 50% in AugDec 2012 to 66% in Jan-April 2014. The proportion tested did not vary greatly by site of the tumour, and was higher in patients with regional or distant disease (based on registry data). Multivariate analysis was used to assess the effects of inter-related factors. This showed that the associations with gender, age, and time period were independent. With adjustment for these factors, the proportion tested in Maori patients was significantly lower (48%) than in NZ Europeans (57%), but the other ethnic differences, based on smaller numbers of patients, were not significant. In summary, the group of patients tested contains more women, more older patients, more recently diagnosed patients, and fewer Maori patients, than the whole eligible cohort population. 8.3.4 Features associated with EGFR gene mutations in eligible cohort patients Of the 748 eligible cohort patients, 414 had an interpretable Cobas EGFR test. As shown in Table 11, 21% of those tested, with a valid result, had a mutation found. The proportion with a mutation found was greater in women (27% compared to 12% in men), but did not vary substantially by age. It varied by ethnicity: compared to the NZ European patients of whom 18% had mutations, the proportions were significantly higher in SE Asian patients (40%, 95% CI 27 to 54%). The proportion positive was also higher in the ‘other and unknown’ group. It was somewhat lower in Maori (10%, 95% CI 5 to 20%). The mutation rate was higher in Pacifica (24%, CI 14 to 39%), but this was not significantly different from the NZ European group. Of the 414 patients, information on smoking was missing on 134 (32%). For those with information, mutations were found much more commonly in non-smokers (52%) than in smokers (18%) or exsmokers (17%). Multivariate analysis was used to assess the effects of inter-related factors. This showed that the associations with gender and ethnic background were independent, with higher mutation rates in women, and in SE Asian patients; the lower positivity in Maori was nearly significant (P=0.09). The positivity rate declined slightly with increasing age, but this association was not significant. In the multivariate analysis including smoking, restricted to 280 subjects, the higher proportions of mutations in non-smokers was significant. Adjusting for smoking reduced, but did not remove, the association seen with gender. In summary, an EGFR mutation was found in 20% of eligible cohort patients tested using the Cobas test. This proportion was higher in women, in SE Asian subjects and perhaps in Pacifica, but likely lower in Maori (each compared to the NZ European group). The proportion with an EGFR gene mutation was higher in non-smokers. It did not vary much by age. 17 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 8.3.5 EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) drug treatment in the population-based patient cohort study population In the eligible cohort patients, 86 had an EGFR gene mutation found on the Cobas test. Information on tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) drug treatment was missing on one patient. As shown in Table 12, of the 85 with information, 60 (71%) had TKI approval. The proportions with approval were higher in younger patients, varying from 91% at ages up to 59 to 44% at age 80 and over, and was lower in the small number of patients with localised disease (2 of 11, 18%). It did not vary by gender, ethnic background, or tumour site considering the 95% confidence intervals of these proportions. It varied irregularly by time, with a lower proportion in Jan-June 2013, but there was no regular trend over time. Multivariate analysis confirmed the associations with age and time period. 8.3.6 Mortality outcomes Mortality outcomes require further data, and will be assessed later. An analysis of mortality outcomes is planned for late 2015 when it is expected that over 50% of deaths may have occurred. 8.4 Summary A population-based estimate of the prevalence of EGFR gene mutations in New Zealand lung cancer patients was 20% (95% CI 16.5 to 24.1%). EGFR mutations were found more commonly among women, SE Asian subjects and non-smokers. Only 57% of eligible patients in a population-based New Zealand cohort of lung cancer patients were tested for EGFR gene mutations, with Maori, males and younger patients, along with those presenting earlier during the study period, being underrepresented among those tested. About 70% of patients identified as having an EGFR gene mutation, were subsequently treated with an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug. Older patients and those with localised disease were less likely to receive EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor drug treatment. 18 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 10 Frequency of testing (Cobas EGFR Mutation test) in eligible cohort patients (n=748) Factor Total Total Gender 748 391 357 144 227 237 140 444 126 83 68 27 176 194 220 158 41 348 41 166 152 57 27 82 373 209 Age Ethnic Time period Site Extent Female Male <59 60-69 70-79 80+ NZ European NZ Maori Pacific SE Asian Other & Unknown Aug-Dec, 2012 Jan-June, 2013 July-Dec, 2013 Jan-April, 2014 Main bronchus incl. Carina, Hilus Upper lobe, bronchus or lung Middle lobe, bronchus or lung Lower lobe, bronchus or lung Mixed or unspecified Localised to organ of origin Invasion of adjacent tissue or organ Regional lymph nodes Distant Not known Distribution Tested 52.3 47.7 19.3 30.3 31.7 18.7 59.4 16.8 11.1 9.1 3.6 23.5 25.9 29.4 21.1 5.5 46.5 5.5 22.2 20.3 7.6 3.6 11.0 49.9 27.9 429 240 189 41 84 104 90 252 61 49 49 18 88 107 130 104 24 192 27 104 82 24 15 56 225 109 Not tested 319 151 168 103 143 133 50 192 65 34 19 9 88 87 90 54 17 156 14 62 70 33 12 26 148 100 1 univariate analysis for factor; 2multivariate analysis for specific category 19 % tested 57.4 61.4 52.9 28.5 37.0 43.9 64.3 56.8 48.4 59.0 72.1 66.7 50.0 55.2 59.1 65.8 58.5 55.2 65.9 62.7 53.9 42.1 55.6 68.3 60.3 52.2 95% CI 53.8 56.5 47.8 21.7 31.0 37.7 56.1 52.1 39.9 48.3 60.4 47.8 42.7 48.1 52.5 58.1 43.4 49.9 50.5 55.1 46.0 30.2 37.3 57.6 55.3 45.4 - 60.9 66.1 58.1 36.3 43.5 50.2 71.7 61.3 57.1 69.0 81.3 81.4 57.3 62.0 65.4 72.8 72.2 60.3 78.4 69.6 61.7 55.0 72.4 77.4 65.2 58.8 P1 OR crude 0.022 1.00 0.71 0.18 0.30 0.43 1.00 1.00 0.72 1.10 1.96 1.52 1.00 1.23 1.44 1.93 1.00 0.87 1.37 1.19 0.83 1.00 1.72 2.96 2.09 1.50 <0.001 0.023 0.027 0.342 0.011 OR adjusted P2 0.69 0.17 0.44 0.59 1 1 0.48 0.82 1.60 1.18 1 1.31 1.43 2.27 0.02 <.001 0.001 0.03 0.001 ns ns ns ns ns 0.001 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 11 Results of Cobas EGFR Mutation testing: patients with valid result only (n=414). Factor Total Total Gender Female Male Age <59 60-69 70-79 80+ Ethnic NZ European NZ Maori Pacific SE Asian Other & Unknown 414* Distribution Positive No mutation % positive 95% limits P value 86 328 20.8 17.1 - 24.9 235 179 56.8 43.2 64 22 171 157 27.2 12.3 21.9 8.3 - 33.3 17.9 <0.001 95 138 132 49 22.9 33.3 31.9 11.8 23 30 24 9 72 108 108 40 24.2 21.7 18.2 18.4 16.7 15.7 12.5 10.0 - 33.7 29.3 25.6 31.4 0.69 244 59 45 48 18 58.9 14.3 10.9 11.6 4.3 43 6 11 19 7 201 53 34 29 11 17.6 10.2 24.4 39.6 38.9 13.4 4.7 14.2 27.0 20.3 - 22.9 20.5 38.7 53.7 61.4 0.001 Smoking Note: based on 280 subjects only Ex-Smoker 149 53.2 26 123 17.4 Non-Smoker 81 28.9 42 39 51.9 Smoker 50 17.9 9 41 18.0 *15 of 429 patients had unsatisfactory or uninterpretable results and were excluded 12.2 41.1 9.8 - 24.3 62.4 30.8 <0.001 20 Confidential Final 3 March 2015 Table 12 EGFR TKI use for patients with Cobas positive test (n= 85) Factor Total Gender Age Ethnic Time period Site Extent Female Male <59 60-69 70-79 80+ NZ European NZ Maori Pacific SE Asian Other & Unknown Aug-Dec, 2012 Jan-June, 2013 July-Dec, 2013 Jan-April, 2014 Main bronchus incl. Carina, Hilus Upper lobe, bronchus or lung Middle lobe, bronchus or lung Lower lobe, bronchus or lung Mixed or unspecified Localised to organ of origin Invasion of adjacent tissue or organ Regional lymph nodes Distant Not known Total Distribution TKI yes no % yes 95% limits 85 64 21 22 30 24 9 43 7 11 18 6 16 21 29 19 1 36 10 22 16 8 3 15 42 17 75.3 24.7 25.9 35.3 28.2 10.6 50.6 8.2 12.9 21.2 7.1 18.8 24.7 34.1 22.4 1.2 42.4 11.8 25.9 18.8 9.4 3.5 17.6 49.4 20.0 60 44 16 20 21 15 4 30 5 8 12 5 13 10 24 13 1 26 4 15 14 2 0 10 37 11 25 20 5 2 9 9 5 13 2 3 6 1 3 11 5 6 0 10 6 7 2 6 3 5 5 6 70.6 68.8 76.2 90.9 70.0 62.5 44.4 69.8 71.4 72.7 66.7 83.3 81.3 47.6 82.8 68.4 100.0 72.2 40.0 68.2 87.5 25.0 0.0 66.7 88.1 64.7 60.2 56.6 54.9 72.2 52.1 42.7 18.9 54.9 35.9 43.4 43.7 43.6 57.0 28.3 65.5 46.0 20.7 56.0 16.8 47.3 64.0 7.1 0.0 41.7 75.0 41.3 1 univariate analysis for factor; 2multivariate analysis for specific category 21 - 79.2 78.8 89.4 97.5 83.3 78.8 73.3 81.4 91.8 90.3 83.7 97.0 93.4 67.6 92.4 84.6 100.0 84.2 68.7 83.6 96.5 59.1 56.2 84.8 94.8 82.7 P value1 Odds ratio 0.591 1.00 1.45 1.00 0.23 0.17 0.08 1.00 1.08 2.03 1.52 3.81 1.00 0.21 1.11 0.50 0.034 0.986 0.045 0.122 <0.001 1.00 0.00 2.75 10.18 2.52 Multi OR P2 1 0.23 0.18 0.09 ns 0.05 0.02 1 0.21 0.94 0.54 0.05 ns ns Confidential Final 3 March 2015 9 References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 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