1 2 Auxiliary material for 3 Analyses of New Short-Lived Replacements for HFCs with Large GWPs 4 Donald J. Wuebbles,1 Dong Wang,1,2 Kenneth O. Patten1 and Seth C. Olsen1 5 6 1 7 Illinois 61801, USA. 8 2 9 Italy. 10 11 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois, 105 South Gregory Street, Urbana, Now at: Euro-Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change, viale Aldo Moro, 44, Bologna 40127, 12 Supplementary Materials 13 1. Simple lifetime estimation approaches used in previous studies 14 Assuming globally-averaged OH concentration 15 X 16 where NOH is global weighted-average OH concentration. 17 Scaling from CH3CCl3 lifetime 18 X C HC C l C HC COl H 19 2. Simple GWP estimation approach using HGWP 20 In the previous studies (Hurley et al., 2007, Nielsen et al., 2007; Sondergaard et al., 2007; 21 Sulbaek Andersen et al., 2008) the GWPs for these VSLS are estimated through the Halocarbon 22 Global Warming Potential (HGWP) as described in Fisher et al. (1990), over time horizon t H 23 defined as the ratio of the GWP for gas X to that for CFC-11 24 GW P (t H ) X (t H ) HGW P X (t H ) GW P C F C1 1 25 HGWPX(tH) for gas X is obtained by 26 HGWPX (t H ) ( 27 Where MX, MCFC-11, τX, τCFC-11, IFX, and IFCFC-11 are the molecular weights, atmospheric 28 lifetimes, and instantaneous forcings for gas X and CFC-11, respectively. Note in the estimation 1 (M1) k X OH NOH k 3 3 3 3 kXO H M IF X 1 exp(t H / X ) )( X CFC 11 )( ) IFCFC 11 CFC 11 M X 1 exp(t H / CFC 11 ) (M2) (M3) (M4) 29 approach the instantaneous forcings for the VSLS are calculated following Pinnock et al. (1995) 30 assuming constant mixing ratios in the atmosphere. 31 3. Lifetime calculation from 3-D model output 32 The atmospheric lifetime (τX) of a gas X is determined as the ratio of its burden X in the 33 atmosphere over the total sink of X. Lifetime can be calculated by integrating its burden and sink 34 throughout the whole atmosphere, as shown in Eq. M5 35 X [ X ] V ,t k X OH NV ,t dVdt (M5) [ X ]V ,t [OH ]V ,t NV2 ,t dVdt 36 Where kX+OH is the rate constant of the reaction of X and OH, [X]V,t, [OH]V,t, and NV,t the mixing 37 ratios of X and OH and number of air molecules per unit volume, respectively, in the volume 38 element of interest (V) at time t. 39 Eq. M1 is a simplified form of Eq. M5 if kX+OH is not dependent on temperature, [X] is nearly 40 constant throughout the atmosphere, and 41 NO H [OH ] N V ,t N v2,t d V d t V ,t d Vd t (M6) 42 However, [X] is highly variable in the atmosphere for very short-lived substances. Therefore, 43 neither Eq. M1 nor Eq. M2 is adequate to calculate atmospheric lifetimes for very short-lived. 44 4. AGWP and radiative forcing caused by sustained emission 45 It is well established that atmospheric concentration of a gas, whose sink is dependent on its 46 concentration to the first order, will decay exponentially after emission into the atmosphere. 47 Accordingly, for a gas X whose efficiency in changing radiative forcing is proportional to its 48 mass (for a given atmospheric distribution) in the atmosphere, the radiative forcing caused by a 49 pulse emission of one unit mass X, decays exponentially following 50 t RFp (t) Fo e x p( ) 51 where F0 is the instantaneous radiative forcing at the time t is injected into the atmosphere, and 52 τX atmospheric lifetime of gas X. Hence AGWP, or time-integrated radiative forcing, over time 53 horizon tH for gas X can be derived as the following 54 AGW P RFp (t ) d t F0 ex p ( 55 The conventionally chosen time horizons for GWP comparisons are 20-, 100-, and 500-years 56 (IPCC, 1990). The atmospheric lifetimes of the VSLS considered here are all less than 1 month, 57 i.e. tH x . Hence, for these VSLS 58 AGWP F0 x 59 On the other hand, the UIUC RTM calculates the radiative forcing change due to sustained 60 emission of a gas. The following deduction shows that the AGWP of X just equals the radiative 61 forcing caused by sustained X emissions. 62 Considering a sustained emission such that one unit mass X is emitted in one unit time, the 63 radiative forcing caused by such sustained emission at time t can be calculated 64 RF s (t) RF p (u t)du F0 exp( 65 If t is sufficiently longer than τx, 66 RFs F0x (M7) x tH tH 0 0 t x )d t F0 x [1 ex p ( tH x )] (M8) (M9) t t t u 0 0 x )du F0 x[1 exp( t x )] (M10) (M11) 67 The above derivation (Eqns. M9 and M11) shows that for a VSLS, both the AGWP and radiative 68 forcing caused by sustained emission of the strength one unit mass per unit time is equal to the 69 product of F0 and its atmospheric lifetime. For a more general derivation see Prather [2002]. 70 71 72 References for Supplementary Materials 73 Fisher, D. A., C. H. Hales, W. C. Wang, M. K. W. Ko, and N. D. Sze (1990) Model-calculations 74 of the relative effects of CFCs and their replacements on global warming. Nature, 344, 513-516. 75 Hurley, M. D., J. C. Ball, and T. J. Wallington (2007) Atmospheric chemistry of the Z and E 76 isomers of CF3CF=CHF; Kinetics, mechanisms, and products of gas-phase reactions with Cl 77 atoms, OH radicals, and O3, J. Phys Chem A, 111, 9789-9795 (2007). 78 Nielsen, O. J., M.S. Javadi, M. P. Sulbaek Andersen, M. D. Hurley, T. J. Wallington, and R. 79 Singh (2007) Atmospheric chemistry of CF3CF=CH2: Kinetics and mechanisms of gas-phase 80 reactions with Cl atoms, OH radicals, and O3, Chem. Phys. Lett., 439, 18-22. 81 Pinnock, S., M. D. Hurley, K. P. Shine, T. J. Wallington, and T. J. Smyth (1995) Radiative 82 forcing of climate by hydrochlorofluorocarbons and hydrofluorocarbons, J. Geophys. 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