National Flood Policy—ASFPM 2015 Recommendations M. Arid Regions Recommendations Mapping and Regulation in Arid Regions M-1 STANDARDS RELATED TO ARID REGION ISSUES a) The NFIP should revise definitions, regulations, and elevation requirements in arid regions for existing Special Flood Hazard Area zones: approximate Zone A in shallow sheet flooding less than 1-foot deep, Zone AH in true ponding areas, and Zone AO where depth exceeds 3 feet. The latter category should be rezoned to Zone AE. b) The NFIP should also clarify the elevation and freeboard requirements above natural grade in approximate Zone A, with no BFE (Refer to 44CFR Parts 59.1, 60.3(b) and (c)). See: F-1 [FEMA, in conjunction with state and local partners] M-2 The NFIP and states should disallow, through clear and strongly worded regulations, development in areas subject to flow path uncertainty, erosion, and debris. These areas should be treated as regulatory floodway. See: A-10, A-11, F-10 [FEMA, in conjunction with state and local partners] M-3 HYDROLOGIC AND HYDRAULIC MODELS a) The NFIP and states should pursue the use of new science and technology to update hydrologic and hydraulic methods or models for arid regions when determining the risk of flooding, erosion, and debris flow hazards in arid regions, including alluvial fans and post-wildfire conditions. b) The resulting predictions of depth and velocity from a) should be required to be verified with indirect methods at key locations. Explanation/rationale It is essential the mapping and regulation of floodplains in arid regions be closely linked. Regulatory requirements for various zones without a BFE should be clearly stated for use in these regions. While these zones and issues apply to areas other than arid region areas, there are especially important in situations often encountered in arid regions. Areas subject to flow path uncertainty should be clearly dealt with in a manner to minimize exposure and risk, as well as, minimize impacts on other properties and people. Due to unique circumstances prevalent in arid regions, FEMA should encourage the use of stochastic numerical models to better simulate location, extent, and depth of flooding in areas of flow path uncertainty. Parallels exist in other countries and their experience may be applicable to arid regions in the US. See: A-10, A-11 [FEMA, in conjunction with state and local partners and expert NGOs] M-4 The NFIP should develop floodplain management Best management practices will vary, techniques which address wildfire, flood and erosion cycle appropriate, amongst various arid regions. hazards experienced in the arid regions. [FEMA, in conjunction with state and local partners and expert NGOs] Arid Regions Research & Development M-5 RESUME NFIP R & D FOR ARID REGIONS There is a critical need to resume the arid regions research that was started with the 1985 DMA Consulting Engineers report to FEMA and the 1996 National Academy study. A starting point for resuming this effort may include: NFPPR policy rec and explanations Page 1 of 2 as Continued research and development of models and management approaches are essential in all flood risk areas, but especially in arid regions, where the science in newer and evolving. Section M Arid Regions draft 1-28-15 National Flood Policy—ASFPM 2015 Recommendations a) Review the effectiveness of present identification, characterization, and mapping guidelines in Appendix G. Identify pros and cons. b) Collect data on alluvial fan flooding mitigation efforts utilized in the arid regions. Develop options for post-construction performance of these features; identify pros and cons. c) Identify specific aspects of both Appendix G guidelines and mitigations efforts which need improvement and/or further research and development. d) Establish, in light of recent improvements in modeling software, clear guidance and policy on the applicability of different software on active and inactive alluvial fan flooding areas, and establish different classifications for use of these software for different settings, if necessary and appropriate. e) Establish policy and guidance to ensure that new technology used to determine flood hazards is consistent with the local and national floodplain requirements, and is not improperly used (such as ignoring the flow path uncertainty) to allow development in areas where high risk alluvial fan flooding is possible. f) Coordinate with the Army Corps of Engineers and other agencies to develop guidance on the appropriate application of two-dimensional software (including the new 2D HECRAS) on alluvial fans and areas of unpredictable flow paths. This would produce defensible recommendations with no conflicting interests in the determination. [FEMA, MitFLG, USACE, USGS, States, Expert NGOs] M-6 Establish a streamlined process (through a LOMC or other mechanism) for NFIP communities to update FIRMs after major flood-disaster storm events that cause erosion and new flow paths that increase flood risks vertically and/or change them horizontally. See: A-10, A-11 [FEMA, mapping partners] NFPPR policy rec and explanations Page 2 of 2 This would be a significant effort, but is essential if the nation is to manage the increasing risk in arid regions of the nation where we see greatly increased population and development pressure— thus increased risk. Such a streamlined process is critical considering that in the past the NFIP has allowed delineation techniques to be used for alluvial fans in arid regions that failed to recognize flow path uncertainty. This results in unintentionally reducing the extent of predicted Special Flood Hazard Areas and/or under predicting volumes and depths of flooding and debris. Section M Arid Regions draft 1-28-15